21 st century workforce: central illinois richard w. judy workforce associates, inc....
TRANSCRIPT
21st Century Workforce:
Central Illinois
Richard W. Judy
Workforce Associates, [email protected]
317-841-0133
221st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
Workforce 2020 was the starting point.
321st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
Central Illinois defined
Illinoi
Marshall
Peoria
Stark
Tazewell
Woodford
Map 1Central Illinois
Illinoi
Marshall
Peoria
Stark
Tazewell
Woodford
Illinoi
Illinoi
Marshall
Peoria
Stark
Tazewell
Woodford
Map 1Central Illinois
421st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
Five axioms1. Economic Development and Workforce
Development are “joined at the hip.”2. Every region needs a strong export
sector.3. Productivity is the key to growth &
prosperity.4. Plans for progress & change must
come from the inside.5. Follow-through and implementation
are the keys to success.
521st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
An overview
1. A brief look at how Central Illinois has fared economically in recent years.
2. Ten basic findings of the study.3. Three scenarios of the future.4. Developing a 21st century
workforce for Central Illinois: 10 key challenges.
621st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
The area’s economic growth has lagged the state’s and nation’s
Indexes of GDP Growth for the U.S., Illinois, and the Central Illinois Region,
1977-1998 1977=100
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Year
GD
P G
row
th In
dex
19
77=1
00
Central Illinois
Illinois
United States
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis and estimates based on BEA data.
Recent years (conc.)
721st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
Central Illinois’ Three Historical Eras of Economic Development, Early Times Into the 21st Century (An impressionistic view)
1800 1900 2000 2100
Farming
Agricultural Processing
Heavy Equipment Manufacturing
Tomorrow’s Leader or leaders
Number of Jobs
Time
Finding
#1
821st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
Central Illinois needs new & stronger “export” clusters
Export or die. Conducive conditions:
Excellent schools & culture of learning. Physical infrastructure. Fair and reasonable taxes. Institutional & government coherence. Regional cooperation. First class public services. A workforce adequate in quantity and high
in quality
Finding
#2
921st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
Powerful forces are creating a “knowledge economy” in America
Forces driving change: Technology Globalization Changing industrial & occupational
structure Profound demographic change
Finding
#3
1021st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
Competitive success in a “knowledge-based” economy
Depends on the ability to: Produce new ideas, transform old ones, & convert them
into intellectual property. Incorporate & commercialize knowledge into products
& services. Respond quickly to rapidly changing opportunities,
threats and other market conditions. Quickly acquire new technologies, skills and
knowledge. True for communities, companies and
individuals. Central Illinois must become part of America’s
new “knowledge-based” economy or fall behind.
Finding
#3 (conc.)
1121st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
Wanted: A strategy for economic development in C.I.
C.I. has lacked a coherent strategy & defined direction for its economic development in the early 21st century.
The Bioscience initiative and its outgrowths are steps in the right direction.
“We need more than one vine to climb.”
Finding
#4
1221st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
C.I.’s workforce growth has lagged seriously.
Index of Workforce Size, U.S., Illinois, and Central Illinois, 1975-2000
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Ind
ex
: 1
97
5=
10
0
United States
Illinois
Central Ilinois
Source: IDES
Finding
#5
1321st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
Worker dearth: The quantitative workforce challenge
Finding
#5 (conc.)
A Looming Worker Shortage by 2008 in Central Illinois?
23,822
5,839
-17,983
-25,000
-20,000
-15,000
-10,000
-5,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
ProjectedEmployment Growth,
1998-2008
Projected Growth ofWorking Age
Population, 1998-2008
Possible Shortfall
Nu
mb
er
of
Wo
rker
s o
r P
ers
on
s
Sources: Employment growth projections are from Illinois Department of Employment Security. Projected growth of the working age population is from Illinois Department of Commerce and Community Affairs.
1421st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
How to cope with potential worker dearth?
Augment workforce growth Spur growth of working age population. Boost participation rates among all groups
(including minorities, women, older residents and persons with disabilities).
Raise net inbound commuting. Raise productivity
Increase investment & improve management.
Improve workforce quality. Improve the match of workers with jobs.
Finding
#5 (conc.)
1521st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
Improving workforce quality: What it means.
In America’s 21st century “knowledge-based” economy, a successful person and a valuable worker will need: Great powers of flexibility, creativity,
and the capability to quickly acquire new skills & knowledge.
The motivation and ability to quickly learn what he/she does not yet know.
A sound basic education.
Finding
#6
1621st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
A sound high-school education is an essential prerequisite
Without it, the prospect is for a life of dismal jobs and meager earnings.
Much room for improvement in C.I In 2000-2001, nearly 700 C.I. high students
dropped out of school. Probably 500 of those will never receive a
high school diploma or G.E.D. Over the course of 10 years, that totals to
5,000 young people, Even among those who do graduate, too
many fail to demonstrate at least the minimum level of achievement according to state standardized tests.
Finding
#6 (conc.)
1721st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
Improving K-12 education is key to workforce development in C.I.
K-12 education is the most important formal workforce development most people ever experience.
Reduce dropout rates & raise graduation rates.
Improve learning outcomes; Cognitive skills (The four “Rs” – reading,
‘riting, ‘rithmetic, and reasoning.) Communication & computer skills. “Soft skills” including teamwork, leadership
& customer relations, & other “people” skills. Ability to find and use information and to
learn things that you don’t already know.
Finding
#7
1821st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
Learning must continue throughout life.
A dynamic and ever-changing “knowledge-based” economy means that one’s old skills & knowledge can become obsolete rapidly & frequently.
To maintain their employability & earning power, workers must retool, refresh & augment their skills & knowledge continually.
Incumbent workforce needs: Motivation to retool, refresh, gain new skills,
etc. Opportunities to do so.
Finding
#8
1921st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
The match of workers with jobs
Already pretty good in C.I. But it can be improved:
Career counseling. Students. Marginal workers Incumbent workers.
Student & worker assessment. Job profiling. Comprehensive and up-to-date labor market
information.
Finding
#9
A promising area for business-education collaboration!
2021st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
C.I.’s workforce development system
Much improved in recent years. But it is still too fragmented.
Multiple agencies & departments delivering services.
Each with its own funding streams and bureaucratic turf to defend
Impedes full implementation of the “one-stop” concept
It’s past time to bury all bureaucratic and other parochialisms.
Finding
#10
2121st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
Ten key challenges1. Make C.I. a “Learning Community” and
“brand” it as such.2. Reduce high school dropout rates &
raise graduation rates.3. Improve educational outcomes of K-12
education.4. Ensure proper mix of educational and
training opportunities as well as of career guidance and counseling.
5. Make the C.I. worker training and retraining system the nation’s most responsive & efficient
Challenges
2221st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
What is a learning community?Two essential components:
Motivation High awareness among all members of the
community of the value and critical importance of education and lifetime learning.
An avid enthusiasm and drive for learning & knowledge throughout the community.
Opportunity Affordable and accessible opportunity for
every person of every age to further their drive for learning and self improvement.
A definitionConc.
2321st Century Workforce: Central Illinois
Ten key challenges (concluded)
6. Recruit & retain a skilled workforce pool for Central Illinois.
7. Lower barriers to workforce participation for all.
8. Make C.I. highly attractive place to live & work for the kind of talent needed. (PEEP)
9. Work together. Banish petty parochialisms.10. Bring the Bioscience Strategy and other
viable economic development strategies to fruition.
ChallengesConc.