22.02.2013, international bonds, randolph s. koppa
TRANSCRIPT
Institute of Finance and Economics
February 22, 2013
Randolph S. KoppaPresident, TDB
Consider this: TDB has issued USD300 million in three year senior
notes under its USD700 million EMTN Programme.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch and ING were the Lead Managers, Arrangers and Book Runners of this Reg S transaction.
Reissue price 99.68
Coupon 8.5% p.a.
Company HighlightsThe “International Face of Mongolia”
Only Mongolian Repeat Issuer with Proven Track
Record of Debt Repayment in the International Market
2007
US$75 mm
3-yr Senior
Notes
Fully Repaid
in 2010
2010
US$150 mm
3-yr Senior
Notes
2010
US$25 mm
5-yr
Subordinated
Notes
First Mongolian issuer in the international capital market
2012
US$ 300million 8.5% Unsecured Senior Notes
Under US$ 700 million EMNT Program
Banks
and
Others
15%
Asset
Manag
ers, 60
%
Private
Banks,
25%
Investor profile
Asia
, 60%
Europe
, 35%
Offshor
e
US, 5%
Geographic demand
Joint Arrangers /
Joint Book
Runners /
Joint Lead
Managers
Listing Stock Exchange Rated by
Consider also: Government of Mongolia has issued USD 1.5 billion in
5 and 10 year notes under its USD 5 billion GMTN programme.
Bank of America Merrll Lynch, Deutsche Bank, HSBC, J.P.Morgan and TDB Capital were Joint Lead Managers and the first four banks were the joint bookrunners of this Reg S/ 144A transaction
Reissue rates: 99.996 for the 5 year; 100 for the 10 year
Coupon 4.125% on USD 500 million of 5 year notes , and 5.125% on USD 1 billion of 10 year notes
Terms and meanings Bonds
Notes
Euro Medium Term Note
Reg S
144A
Book Runner
Listing
Discussion points Background
History
Development of the market
Analysis of TDB’s transaction
Analysis of the GoM sovereign transaction
Current conditions
Relevance for Mongolia
Origins Hungary 1956
USSR concerned about its USD in US banks
Soviet dollar holdings moved to Moscow Narodny Bank, a London, UK, chartered bank.
Telex address: “EURBANK”
MNB re-deposited funds in USA
Became known as Eurodollars
Loans in Eurodollars became Euroloans
Bonds in Eurodollars became Eurobonds
Other offshore currencies became Eurocurrencies
The Eurobond Market The Eurobond market is the market for long-term debt
instruments issued and traded in the offshore market.
Like the Eurocurrency market, differences in national regulation helped developed the Eurobond market, while increasing capital mobility and greater ease in telecommunications enabled it to flourish.
The Eurobond Market A Eurobond is offered for sale simultaneously in a
number of countries.
A domestic bond is an obligation of a domestic issuer, underwritten by a syndicate of domestic investment banks, denominated in domestic currency, and offered for sale in the domestic market.
A foreign bond is similar to a domestic bond except that the issuer is a foreign entity.
Historical Overview and Dimensions of the Eurobond Market The Interest Equalization Tax (IET) of 1963 taxed
purchases of foreign stocks and bonds issued or trading in the United States.
The IET was proposed as a temporary measure to reduce U.S. capital outflows and take pressure off the U.S. balance of payments.
However, it effectively closed down the Yankee bond market, and induced foreign borrowers to migrate offshore and set up a US$-bond market in London and Luxembourg.
Historical Overview and Dimensions of the Eurobond Market In 1965 and 1968, further policy measures were taken
to limit the direct foreign investments made by U.S. corporations.
These programs effectively forced U.S. multinationals offshore to meet the financing needs for their foreign projects.
When the stimulating U.S. regulations were scrapped in 1974, the Eurobond market volume first collapsed and then grew steadily, before surging during the 1980s.
Growth of the market UK controls on lending Sterling offshore 1957
US controls on interest rates, Reg Q, 1960s
US capital outflow controls 1960s
US trade deficits in 1970s and thereafter
Lack of reserve requirements and deposit insurance
Controls by Germany and other countries led to Euromarks, Euroyen,etc.
Historical Overview and Dimensions of the Eurobond Market Now, the annual volume of new issues often nears or
surpasses the annual volume of new U.S. corporate bond issues.
Increasingly too, Eurobonds have been issued in currencies other than the US$, and then combined with a currency swap to achieve lower cost funds in US$, etc.
At the same time, the market has grown in terms of bond maturities, issue size, and secondary market trading.
USD 70 trillion in funds available to invest
Full menu of bonds Eurobond
Yankee
Global
Samurai, Shogun
Bulldog
Kangaroo
Dim Sum, Panda
Airang, Kimchi
Matrioska
Kauri
Chinggis, Gobi, Takhi, Buuz ? USD by Mongolia issuer into the US and Euro markets
USD by non Mongolian issuer into Mongolia
MNT by non Mongolian issuer into Mongolian market
Maybe a first: Buuz Bonds: MNT bonds by Mongolian entity into investors outside Mongolia
Options for USD bond issuers Reg S
U.S concern over investor sophistication
Investors outside the U.S.
U.S. offshore investors accepted
Rule 144A
Issue may be sold to U.S onshore investors
Higher level of due diligence
Comparative Characteristics of Bond Issues in the International Bond Market
RegulatoryBodies
Securitiesand Exchange Commission
Official agency approval
Minimum regulatory control
U.S. Market Non-U.S. Market Eurobond Market
Disclosurerequirements
More detailed• High initial and ongoing expense• Onerous to non-US firms
Variable Determined by market practices
Issuing costs 0.50-1.00% Variable to 4.0% 0.50-2.0%
Rating requirements
Yes Usually not No, but commonly done
Comparative Characteristics of Bond Issues in the International Bond Market
Exchange listing
Usually not listed Listing is usual Listing is usual
U.S. Market Non-U.S. Market Eurobond Market
Queuing No queue Queuing is common No queue
Currency of denomination restrictions
United States does not restrict the use of US$
Part of queuing• Many countries have in the past or now restrict use of currency
No restrictions on use of US$ or C$
Speed of issuance
Relatively slow until Rule 415 on shelf registration
Variable Usually fast - bought deal leads to fast issuance
Comparative Characteristics of Bond Issues in the International Bond Market
Borrower / Issuer incentives
+ Large market,great depth
– Disclosure is costly toforeigners,speed
+ Local visibility,diversification offunding sources
– Markets may besmall, queuingmay prevail
+ Lower annualinterest expense,speed of placement
– Cannot sell issuein U.S. until seasoned
U.S. Market Non-U.S. Market Eurobond Market
Lender / Investor incentives
+ Great depth &liquidity, appealof standardizedinformation
– Reporting to taxauthorities, withholding taxprior to 1984
+ Diversifiedcurrencyportfolio
– Reporting totax authorities,withholdingtax may apply
+ Diversifiedcurrency portfolio,bearer bonds, nowithholding tax
– Less liquidity &informationdisclosures
Bond Investor
Bond Issuer
Structure of a Eurobond Syndication
Selling Group
Fiscal Agentor Trustee& Principal
Paying AgentUnderwriters
A Eurobond offering brings together the bond issuer and investor.
Intermediaries
The process is facilitated by intermediaries.
and then assembles other firms to share in the underwriting risks of the issue.
Finally, the management group organizes a group of firms to place the bonds with the ultimate investors.
ManagementGroup
The lead management group meets with the issuer to design the issue size, currency, maturity,coupon, etc...
More terms and jargon T+
Tighter
Syndicate
Sales
Trading
Guidance
Book building
Book subject
Oversubscribed
Revisiting TDB’s transactions Benchmark considerations
Type of investors
Depth of market
Liquidity
Revisiting the GoM transaction Maiden issue
Benchmark considerations
Depth of market
Liquidity
Considerations for Mongolia Non investment grade
Concerns over Foreign Investment Law
Concerns over China slowdown
Drop in commodity prices
Fiscal discipline
Exciting story with high growth economy
Democratic government
Improving rule of law
Current market conditions High volume of funds to invest
Low interest rates in U.S. and Europe
Risk free versus yield considerations
Market is fragile
Eurozone concerns
US economy
Record level of emerging market issues
Access to Markets; which ones? Sovereign
Mining
Infrastructure
Corporates
Banks
Questions?
Thank you!