3Ʃ science statistics society - ratswd · risk society - reflexive modernisation* the individual...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Science Statistics Society Amtliche Statistik 4.0 7. KONFERENZ FÜR SOZIAL- UND WIRTSCHAFTSDATEN
8.–9. FEBRUAR 2017 BERLIN
WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 2: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Data scientist: an engineer’s view
2 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 3: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Is this the full picture? Co-production of statistics and society
The power and distribution of knowledge and missing knowledge
S&T
The double use of information
Technosphere and democracy
Risk-society
Globalisation
Individualisation
Ethical dilemmas
Privacy and confidentiality
3 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 4: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Data revolution WHICH ONE?
4 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 5: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
1. Big data
5
Data revolution: "What steam was to the 19th century, and oil has been to the 20th, data is to the 21th." (http://www.rss.org.uk/Images/PDF/influencing-
change/rss-data-manifesto-2014.pdf )
WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 6: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
2. Evidence based decision making: "if you can’t measure it, you can’t manage it.” (https://blog.deming.org/2015/08/myth-if-you-cant-measure-it-you-cant-manage-it/ )
6
http://www.institutjeanlecanuet.org/content/vers-homo-algorithmus
WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 7: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
3. Post-truth-politics
7
"The 5% Unemployment Figure Is One Of The Biggest Hoaxes In Modern Politics." (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QMmk3oQ0QiI )
WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 8: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
History LEARNING TO PREPARE FOR THE FUTURE
WALTER J. RADERMACHER 8
![Page 9: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Driving forces
9
Society
WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 10: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
10
Official Statistics 4.0
WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 11: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
A. Desrosières, Words and Numbers, in The mutual construction of statistics and society, New York, 2011 pg. 45
11 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 12: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Learning lessons Statistics = learning from data
Official Statistics‘ history = learning from data and science in societal context
Official Statistics 4.0 = f (big data, data science and new societal conditions)
12 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 13: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation*
The individual ◦ in a risk society
◦ faced with a risk economy and
◦ embedded in a risk environment
Drivers of risk and uncertainty (e.g. globalisation, externalities and by-products of the modern life, distribution of the known and unknown facts)
Limited solution powers of national states
Trust and mistrust vis-à-vis political decision making mechanisms, technical experts, media etc.
13
* Zinn, J.O.: Social Theories of Risk and Uncertainty: An Introduction, Malden 2008
WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 14: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Quality APPRECIATED?
WALTER J. RADERMACHER 14
![Page 15: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
15 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 16: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Data4Policy
16 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 17: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
http://www.ksh.hu/cess2016/pdf/cess2016_a12_1703.pdf
17 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 18: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Indicators From evidence to decision ACTORS: SCIENCE, POLICY, STATISTICS
WALTER J. RADERMACHER 18
![Page 19: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
User-producer-interaction
19 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 20: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Quality = multidimensional
20
Indicators
Accounts
Basic Statistics
WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 21: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Reduction of complexity
21 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 22: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Reduction of complexity
22 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 23: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
Risks EVIDENCE DECISIONS
23 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 24: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
Interaction between statistical indicators and public policies: possible stress!
24 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 25: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Evidence based decision-making what can go wrong?
Consequences on evidence gathering ◦ Searching under the lamp post
◦ Measurement of success and failure = definition of strong incentives – who sets the norms?
◦ Measurement bureaucracy (administrative activism)
◦ Myopic orientation / system design
25 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 26: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
Evidence based decision-making what can go wrong?
Consequences for decision-making ◦ Adaptations - behavioural consequences of a measurement culture
◦ Filter in public perception and political debate (e.g. GDP)
◦ 'Beyond GDP': Measure the non-measured! Simulate markets (if they don’t exist)!
◦ Misuse (financial crisis, rating, bubbles)
26 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 27: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
Evidence based decision-making what can go wrong?
Long-term consequences ◦ Cultural impacts (e.g. Bologna reform)
◦ Democratic impacts, dominance of technocrats (measurement mandarins), in-transparency, loss of participation
Feed-back loops ◦ Measuring the unmeasured (and unmeasurable)
◦ Decision based evidence making
◦ Evidence instead of decision making
27 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 28: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
Knowing the limits, stamping the quality
Understand better the 'mutual construction of statistics and society' (see https://www.routledge.com/products/9780415873703 )
Codify the evidence based decision making process
Expand research and standard-setting for indicator methodology, both from the statistical and the political science side
Principles for an undisturbed interaction between producers and users of evidence
Engage stakeholders in the entire construction process
Learn from language theories
Learn from other disciplines (e.g. engineering)
28 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 29: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
Ethics / Good Administration REVIEW AND MODERNISATION
29 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 30: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
http://www.responsibledatascience.org
30 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 31: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
Responsible data science
31 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 32: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
WALTER J. RADERMACHER 32
http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/esgab/introduction
![Page 33: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
Ethical standards in Official Statistics
33 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 34: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
Communication THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE VALUE CHAIN
34 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 35: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
Promoting statistical literacy
35
http://memespp.com/homer-gdp-meme-generator-gdp-what-is-gdp-ea675c-jpg-1327467092-jpg/assets.diylol.com*hfs*d39*9e2*f7e*resized*homer-gdp-meme-generator-gdp-what-is-gdp-ea675c.jpg1327467092.jpg/diylol.com*memegenerator*homergdp2*memes*gdpwhatisgdp3/
WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 36: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
Interaction, consultation, participation
In the development and design: take civil society on board as early as possible
◦ Case: SDIs
In production: Is shared production possible? ◦ Case: Eye on earth http://www.eoesummit.org/about-eye-on-earth/declaration-of-principles/)
In dissemination: segmentation of user groups, new tools, quality labelling
Close the feedback loop and improve continuously
Invest in literacy and learning
36 WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 37: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
Official Statistics for Democratic Societies
Statistics is a key for people empowerment
Open data are fundamental for open societies
Datacy is a key enabler for citizens
The future is smart statistics
More influence means more responsibilities
37
http://www.ksh.hu/cess2016/cess6016_dinner_speech.pdf
WALTER J. RADERMACHER
![Page 38: 3Ʃ Science Statistics Society - RatSWD · Risk Society - Reflexive Modernisation* The individual in a risk society faced with a risk economy and embedded in a risk environment Drivers](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022041101/5edb357cad6a402d66654b8c/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
thanks for your attention H TTPS ://WWW.RESEA RCHGA TE .N ET/PROJECT/3 -SCIENCE -STA TI STICS -SOCIETY H TTPS ://WWW.L INKEDI N.COM/GROUPS/7064446
38 WALTER J. RADERMACHER