3. study design epidemology-holi
DESCRIPTION
public health slideTRANSCRIPT
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STUDY DESIGNSiswanto, MD, MSc.
Holipah, MD
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RESEARCH DESIGN
THE RESEARCH
OBSERVATIONAL STUDY (NO CONTROL OVER EXPOSURE)
DESCRIPTIVE STUDY
COMPARISONS GROUPNON COMPARRISONS GROUP
INTERVENTIONAL STUDIES (INVESTIGATOR DETERMINE WHO
EXPOSED OR NOT EXPOSED)
SURVEILLANCE SURVEYCROS SEC TIONAL STUDY
CASE CONTROL STUDY
COHORT STUDY
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SCHEME FOR RESEARCH CYCLE
DESCRIPTIVE STUDIES
MODEL BUILDING FORMULATION OF
HYPOTHESIS
ANALYSIS OF RESULTS, SUGGEST FURTHER-DESCRIPTIVE AND NEW HYPOTHESIS
ANALYTICAL STUDIES
- X - SECTIONAL
- CASE-CONTROL STUDY
- COHORT
- CLINICAL TRIALS
- FIELD TRIALS
EXPERIMENTAL STUDIES :
TEST HYPOTHESIS
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THE EXPERIMENTAL STUDY
when the investigator test whether modifying or changing something about study participant (risk factor) alter the
development of the outcome (disease)
The essence of an interventional study is that the investigator has the power to randomly assign exposure in
a way that enhances the validity of a study (Investigator determine who exposed or not exposed)
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OBSERVATIONAL STUDYObservational studies involve the investigator collecting data on factors (exposures) associated with the occurrence of the
outcome of interest, without attempting to alter the exposure status of participant (no control over exposure)
The investigator does not intervene or manipulate the situation
Since the investigator does not control the circumstances of the exposure, a simple comparison of exposed and not exposed will not
accurately reflect the effect of the exposure if those who are exposed differ from those who are unexposed in other ways that are
related to the outcome
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DESCRIPTIVE STUDYDescriptive studies are used by public health specialist and health
provider for the surveillance of communicable disease or non-communicable disease, to decide on the allocation of resources and to plan prevention or health promotion programmes ( Grimes and
Schulz 2002)
Epidemiologist also undertake descriptive studies to identify clues as to possible determinants of diseases or risk factors and to formulate of hypothesis
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DESCRIPTIVE STUDYThe activities related to characterizing the distribution of diseases
(time, person and place) within population
Information is collected only on those individuals with a health problem or a particular exposure. There is no comparison group. Much useful information can be derived from these studies but no definite analysis of cause-effect association can be made from these information
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ANALYSIS BY TIMEThe frequency of diseases, health events or risk factors may increase,
decrease or stay constant over time
Disease rates change over time. Some of these changes occur regularly and can be predicted
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ANALYSIS BY PLACEWe describe a health event by place to gain insight into the
geographical extent of the problem.
For place, we may use place of residence, birthplace, place of employment, hospital unit, urban and rural etc, depending on which may be related to the occurrence of the health event or disease
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EXAMPLE
• diseases that are passed from one person to another spread more rapidly in urban areas than in rural ones, because the greater crowding in urban areas provides more opportunities for susceptible people to come into contact with some one who is infected.
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ANALYSIS BY PERSONWhen we organize or analyze data by “person” there are several
person categories.
Inherent characteristics of people ( age, race, sex), acquired characteristics ( immune, marital status), their activities ( occupation, use of tobacco, drugs), the conditions under which they live ( socioeconomic, access to medical care)
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• Example : Sex• For some disease, this sex-related difference is
because of genetic, hormonal, anatomic, or other inherent differences between the sexes.
• Premenopausal women have a lower risk of heart disease than man of the same age. This difference is attributed to higher estrogen level in women.
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New smear-positive case notification by age and sex (2005)
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Number of reported cases of tuberculosis by age in the United States 2002
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CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDIES
A cross-sectional studies (prevalence study) describes the frequency of particular attribute such as a specific exposure , disease or other health-related event in a defined population or a sample of a population at a given point in time
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CROSS SECTIONAL STUDIESThe comparison is made between a group of persons who has the disease and a group that does not have the disease, but the characteristic and/ or exposure of the two groups are observed in the same time
D+ D- TOTAL
FR + A B A+B
FR - C D C+D
TOTAL A+C B+D A+B+C+D
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CROSS-SECTIONAL-STUDY
TARGET POPULATION
STUDY SAMPLE
COMPARE
STUDIED CHARACTERISTICSTUDIED CHARACTERISTIC
D+ D-
SAMPLING
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Study Process
1. Statement of the research question or hypothesis.2. Research variable identification : Operational definition of risk factor (independent
variable) and disease ( dependent variable)3. Assessment of risk factor and disease : Interview, physical examination, laboratory test,
special procedures , medical record.
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4. Analysis of data
Prevalence ratio = A/(A+B):C/(C+D)
D+ D- TOTAL
FR + A B A+B
FR - C D C+D
TOTAL A+C B+D A+B+C+D
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ADVANTAGES
1 Quick and easy to perform
2 Losses to follow up –
3 Can be used to investigate many exposures
and outcomes
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DISADVANTAGES1 Difficult to interpret association in terms of
cause and effect (Problem with direction of causality/reverse causality
2 Not suitable for the rare disease, since sample size requirement will have to be large
3 Not suitable for diseases of short duration
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CASE-CONTROL STUDY
THE STUDY MOVE BACKWARD FROM DISEASE ( EFFECT) TO RISK FACTOR (CAUSE).PERSON WITH AND WITHOUT DISEASE ARE IDENTIFIED AND THEN THE PRESENCE OR ABSENCE OF PREVIOUS EXPOSURE TO THE RISK FACTOR IS DETERMINED
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scheme of case-control study
select cases select appropriate controls
obtain information about previous exposure to proposed risk of factors each group
compare the frequency of exposure between the two group
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STUDY PROCESS
1 Selection of cases . Clearly define case definition . Should be incidence cases . Representative of total cases.2 Selection of controls . Should be representative of the population from which the cases come . Be sure that the risk factor under study is not also related to disease among control group
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3. Sources of cases and controls Cases : Hospital, Community, Registration or surveillance system Controls : Hospital, Community, relative of cases, Neighbors4. Assessment of exposure to risk factor . Should be ascertain in the similar procedure between cases and controls. . Use record or documents as much as possible ( The goal is to obtain as accurate information as possible about
each individuals exposure to the main risk factors) . Clearly define exposure to risk factor
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5. Try to minimize bias . From selection of cases and controls : Selection bias . From data collection about risk factor exposure : memory bias (information bias) . From data analysis : Confounding bias
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Method of data analysisOdds ratio : Odds of cases : odds of controls
A/(A+C) B/(B+D)= : C/(A+C) D/(B+D)
= A/C:B/D=AD/BC
D+ D-
FR + A B
FR - C D
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ADVANTAGES
1 Efficient for the study of rare diseases2 Efficient for the study of chronic disease (diseases
with a long latency)3 Tend to require a smaller sample size than other
designs.4 Less expensive than other designs
5 Many risk factors can be studied simultaneously
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DISADVANTAGES1. The temporal sequence between exposure
and outcome may be difficult to establish (with come first : exposure or disease ?)
2. Obtaining valid information about past exposures may be difficult ( recall bias)
3. Selection of an appropriate control group may be difficult (selection bias)
4. Not suitable for investigating rare exposures ( unless a large proportion of cases are attributable to that exposure)
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The study move forward from risk factor (cause) to disease (effect).Population exposed and not exposed to a risk factor are identified and then both population were followed to determine the frequencies of health problems.
COHORT STUDY
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population
Risk factors +
Risk factors -
Disease +
Disease +
Disease -
Disease -
STUDY DESIGN OF COHORT
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STUDY PROCESS1 Selection of studied cohort . Total population, divided by risk factor exposure . Special group who possessed certain characteristics or exposure such as
doctors . Risk or exposure group, those who
receives risk factor such as industrial workers. . From survey for special group : DM, hypertension
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2. Selection of comparison group or control group without risk factor from
. General population . Sample population without risk factor3. Make sure that both exposure and non
exposure group do not have the disease of interest before the study begins
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4. Data collection Risk factors : records, medical
examination, measures of the environment, questionnaireProblem : effect - changes in exposure
Information on outcome/effect : periodic/non periodic medical examination, surveillance of death certificate.Problem : losses to follow-up
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5.Method of data analysisRELATIVE RISK = A/ (A+B) : C/ ( C+D
) D+ D-
FR + A B
FR - C D
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ADVANTAGES
• Direct calculation of relative risk• May yield information on the incidence of disease• Clear temporal relationship between exposure and
disease• Particularly efficient for study of rare exposure• Can examine multiple effect of a single exposure
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• Minimizes bias• Strongest observational design for establishing
cause and effect relationship
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DISADVANTAGES
• Time consuming• Often requires a large sample size• Expensive• Not efficient for the study of rare diseases• Lost to follow-up• Changes in exposure• Ethic
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A cohort study of infant feeding practices in city, suburban and rural areas in Zhejiang Province, PR China
Liqian Qiu†1,2, Yun Zhao†2, Colin W Binns*2, Andy H Lee†2 and Xing Xie†1
Address: 1Women's Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, PR China and 2School of Public Health, Curtin University, WA, Australia
Published: 3 March 2008International Breastfeeding Journal 2008, 3:4
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GOOD LUCK !