4.1 covid-19: social & community impact supporting

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COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting Vulnerable Populations & Strengthening Community Resiliency Reflections and lessons learned Claire Gram, VCH Population Health Policy & Projects Lead Breezie Mitchell, FH Project Leader for Mental Wellness and Healthier Community Partnerships Lianne Carley, VCH Population Health Policy and Project Lead September 23, 2020 4.1 COVID-19 Response Task Force

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Page 1: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting Vulnerable Populations & Strengthening Community Resiliency Reflections and lessons learned

Claire Gram, VCH Population Health Policy & Projects Lead

Breezie Mitchell, FH Project Leader for Mental Wellness and Healthier Community Partnerships

Lianne Carley, VCH Population Health Policy and Project Lead

September 23, 2020

4.1

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 2: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

Background • Health authorities – associate members for RPAC & SIS, RGS partners and work in partnership

with municipalities on the Ministry of Health’s Healthy Communities Initiative

• Pandemic response & food insecurity presentation to Metro Mayors and subsequent messages in the Mayors’ letter sent to the Ministry of Municipal Affairs & Housing (focus on equity, concern re: pre-existing vulnerabilities, food security)

• Zoom Out: RPAC-SIS met twice in June to discuss the social and community impact of the

pandemic

• Reflected on the issues that arose, population groups impacted, and responses of local

governments

• Process highlighted the importance of NGOs and the importance of integrating social issues

into emergency response and into recovery strategies

• Objective: ensure the region is better prepared for future cycles of COVID-19 and strengthens

community resiliency

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 3: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

Context: COVID Infection Rate in BC

2%

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 4: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

Pandemic Social & Community Impact From the BC CDC COVID-19 Survey (May 2020): 394, 382 responses (1 in 10 adults in BC)

indicator BC

Mental Health Worsening 47.0%

Stress – quite/extremely 18.1%

Households with increased child stress 60.3%

Households with children with decreased connection with friends 79.2%

Not working due to COVID-19 15.3%

Increased difficulty meeting financial needs 31.4%

Food insecure since the pandemic 14.6%

18-29 year-olds: 55.1%

18-40 year-olds: 23% Females: 21%; Males: 15%

18-29 year-olds: 27.1%

18-29 year-olds: 40.8% 30-39 year-olds: 38.1%

18-29 year-olds: 18.2%

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 5: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

Examples of Issues & Needs • Access to info

• Income, food/food delivery, other household items/personal care items ($/delivery)

• Job loss

• Housing

• Transportation

• Social interaction

• Violence and abuse

• Primary care

• In-home personal care services

• In-home housekeeping services

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 6: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

Relevance & Importance • Number of new COVID cases continues to be high, hospitalizations increasing

• Prepare for virus surges and mitigate negative social and community impact

• Community resiliency and support for vulnerable populations

• Aligns with IPREM’s September 2020 report: COVID Regional After Action Review

Improve collaborative, information sharing process between sectors in the region

Identify opportunities to improve equity and inclusion in emergency management

Deliver accessible and culturally appropriate info to support vulnerable pops such as ethnocultural groups and people with disabilities

Prepare for impacts to vulnerable populations

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 7: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

Strengths • Social Planners - staff already in place who understood social and

community issues and responses

• Relationships & Connections – being able to tap into and leverage pre-existing relationships, networks, and committees (including municipal advisory committees)

• Connection to Councils and Emergency Operation Centres – being able to keep Council informed and formal connections to municipal EOCs to include social issues as part of the emergency response

• Engaging and Supporting NGOs –to keep a pulse on what was happening on the ground, convene conversations & highlight areas for collaboration, administer flexible grants, to communicate NGO issues and needs to other levels of govt & other public agencies

• Other Municipal Resources – databases, digital communication platforms, online programming, space such as community centres to collect donations

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 8: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

Opportunities for Improvement Stronger Role Clarity Across Sectors

• For the health authority, local government and NGOs

Formal Coordination and Convening Role of Metro Vancouver SIS

• To enable communication and collaboration across Metro social planners during the pandemic, coordinated data gathering and sharing, etc.

Support the NGO Sector

• NGOs require support during the pandemic and through the recovery phase - $, space, technology,, communication, inclusion in discussions and planning, etc. Critical for equity & support for vulnerable populations.

Include Social & Community Issues as Part of Emergency Response & Recovery Phases

• Every municipality did it differently. Learn from what worked well and what can be improved to ensure that social and community issues are effectively included as part of the emergency response and recovery phases.

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 9: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

Thank you

For all you have done to support your communities

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 10: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

COVID-19 in the Metro Vancouver RegionDATA ANALYSIS OF REGIONAL IMPACTSHeather McNellGENERAL MANAGER, REGIONAL PLANNING AND HOUSING SERVICES

COVID-19 Response Task Force Open Meeting: September 16, 202038240630

5.1

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 11: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

Core Services Data and monitoring Policy research Convene on planning issues of regional interest Provide a planning resource Leadership and Innovation

Provide a strategic, long-range, cross-boundary, interdisciplinary lens

Support planning throughout the region – Utilities, member jurisdictions, TransLink, other regional interests

REGIONAL PLANNING

2COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 12: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

3

Data and Information

• Housing (demand, market, starts)• Economy (jobs, sectors, change)• Transportation (transit use, travel patterns)• Land Use (office, retail, industrial markets)

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 13: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

$2000 every 4 weeks up to 4 months

4

Canada Emergency Response Benefit (CERB)

Government of Canada Sept 4, 2020

Canada Total

People filed for CERB

Dollar value of CERB benefits

paid

On May 5, 2020 7.59 million $28.57 billion

On Aug 30, 2020 8.70 million $72.55 billion

1.16 million people filed for CERB in BC as of August 30, 2020

Under 2517.7%

25 - 34 Yrs24.4%

35 - 44 Yrs19.7%

45 - 54 Yrs16.9%

55 - 64 Yrs15.6%

65 and Older5.7%

People Filed for CERB in BC by Age Group

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 14: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

5

BC Temporary Rent Supplement

BC Housing Sep 8, 2020

Community Applications Received

Aldergrove <5Anmore 11Belcarra 10Bowen Island 59Burnaby 6,812Coquitlam 2,904Delta 1,272Langley 1,412Lions Bay <5Maple Ridge 662New Westminster 2,270

Community Applications Received

North Vancouver 3,387Pitt Meadows 137Port Coquitlam 761Port Moody 406Richmond 4,640Surrey 9,748Tsawwassen 18Vancouver 29,864West Vancouver 789White Rock 355Metro Vancouver 65,522BC Total 98,850

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 15: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

6

HOUSING

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 16: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

Housing – August Listings REBGV / FVREB Sep 4, 2020

GVREB FVREB

7

35% above the 10-year August NEW listings average

29% above the 10-year August NEW listings average

6%1%

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 17: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

Housing – August Sales

GVREB FVREB

8

REBGV / FVREB Sep 4, 2020

20% above the 10-year August sales average

39% above the 10-year August sales average

37% 57%

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 18: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

Housing Starts

Housing starts have shown resilience during the pandemic.

• In August, Canadian housing starts increased by 7% month over month at a SAAR, and 17% year over year

• BC housing starts increased 6% month over month, and 22% year over year

• Metro Vancouver: 22% month over month 50% year over year

9CMHC, Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate (SAAR), Sep 9, 2020

Housing Starts, Metro VancouverSeasonally Adjusted Annual Rate

13

,21

1 20

,59

9

21

,22

9

15

,17

7

24

,97

1

23

,54

9

24

,40

4 29

,75

4

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 19: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

10

Value of Building Permits

BC: • 20% decrease compared to July 2019• 34% decrease compared to June 2020

Metro Vancouver: • 34% below July 2019• 54% below June 2020

Value of Building Permits, BC

Year over year change, July 2019 to July 2020

Statistics Canada, Seasonally Adjusted, Sep 4, 2020COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 20: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

11

ECONOMY

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 21: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

CANADA - Jobs

Recovery continued in August.

Increased from a record low of 16.19 million in April 2020 to 18.09 million in August 2020.

Employment was at 19.19 million in February 2020.

12

19.13 19.16 19.19

18.18

16.19 16.48

17.4317.85 18.09

15

16

17

18

19

20

Dec

-19

Jan-

20

Feb-

20

Mar

-20

Apr-2

0

May

-20

Jun-

20

Jul-2

0

Aug-

20

(milli

on)

Employment in Canada

Stats Canada Sept 4, 2020COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 22: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

CANADA - Jobs

• Full-time employment at 93.8% of pre-pandemic levels; 96.1% for part-time

• Number of Canadian workers affected = 1.8 million (was 5.5 million in April)

• Number of Canadians working from home declines for 4th consecutive month

• Employment remains far below pre-pandemic levels for low-wage workers and youth

• Employment recovery is slowing in accommodation, food services and retail

13

Stats Canada Sept 4, 2020COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 23: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

CANADA – Unemployment Rate

Unemployment Rate

May = 13.7%Aug = 10.2%

Feb = 5.6%

Stats Canada Sept 4, 2020

14COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 24: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

15

BRITISH COLUMBIA - Jobs

BC Stats

4.8 4.5 5.0

7.2

11.513.4 13.0

11.1 10.7

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

Dec

-19

Jan-

20

Feb-

20

Mar

-20

Apr-2

0

May

-20

Jun-

20

Jul-2

0

Aug-

20

BC Unemployment Rate

Stats Canada Sept 4, 2020 COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 25: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

16

METRO VANCOUVER - Jobs

Stats Canada Sept 4, 2020

3.553.32

2.242.15

1.47 1.361.22 1.21 1.28 1.32 1.32

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20

(milli

on)

Employment

Toronto Metro Area Montreal Metro Area Metro Vancouver

Metro Vancouver lost over 10% of jobs early in pandemic (~250,000)

Recovered 100,000 jobs by end of Aug. August = 1.32 million jobs February = 1.47 million jobs

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 26: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

17

METRO VANCOUVER - Jobs

5.5

13.0

4.6

12.4

5.6

10.2

3.04.05.06.07.08.09.0

10.011.012.013.014.015.016.0

Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20

Unemployment Rate

Toronto Metro AreaMetro VancouverCanada

Stats Canada Sept 4, 2020

Metro Vancouver unemployment rate rose to 12.4% in August, up 0.8% from July.

In comparison, unemployment rate was at 4.6% in February 2020.

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 27: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

18

TRANSPORTATION

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 28: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

19

Transportation – August Transit Ridership

• Beginning August 3, weekday SeaBusdepartures every 15 minutes

• Mandatory mask policy effective August 24 • 92% of customers wear masks on board

transit vehicles a week after new policy in effect

TransLink, Sep 2, 2020 COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 29: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

20

Transportation – BC Ferries Volumes

BC Ferries Sep 4, 2020

Passengers Vehicles

34%19%

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 30: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

21

Mobility Patterns in Metro Vancouver GoogleSep 15, 2020

Retail & Recreation Transit stations

Workplaces Parks

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 31: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

22

Land Use

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 32: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

Industrial Selling Price – Greater Vancouver

• Industrial price per sq ft in 2020 drop in April, but some recovery.

• Month-to-month: -5%

• Year-over-year: +6%

23

CoStar, Sep 2020

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 33: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

Office Selling Price – Greater Vancouver

• August’s office price per sq ft relatively unchanged over past 6 months

• Month-to-month: +9%• Year-over-year: +16%

25

CoStar, Sep 2020

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 34: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

Retail Selling Price – Greater Vancouver

• Monthly retail price per sq ft in 2020 higher than same period last year, except for Jan and Aug

• Month-to-month: -17%

• Year-over-year: -5%

24

CoStar, Sep 2020

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 35: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

26

SUMMARY

HOUSING SALES

HOUSING STARTS

Strong regionally

Resilient, at least in short term

Recovering, MuchUncertainty

Recovering

Relatively Stable

UNEMPLOYMENT

MOBILITY PATTERNS

INDUSTRIAL, RETAIL AND OFFICE PRICE PER SQ FT

COVID-19 Response Task Force

Page 36: 4.1 COVID-19: Social & Community Impact Supporting

Thank you

COVID-19 Response Task Force