4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search...

24
4finance investor presentation ABG SC High Yield Bond Seminar 13 September, 2016

Upload: others

Post on 27-Jun-2020

2 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

0

4finance investor presentation

ABG SC High Yield Bond Seminar

13 September, 2016

Page 2: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

1

4finance: what has been achieved already

Notes: (1) Includes Friendly Finance acquisition in June 2016 and Dominican Republic launched in August 2016

(2) Including Friendly Finance

(3) Includes 190 in-house IT specialists and more than 200 third-party contractors

The European leader in online and mobile consumer lending:Putting our customers first, providing a convenient and transparent service using cutting edge data-driven technology

€3,400,000,000+in issued loans since 4finance

established in 2008

5,300,000+registered clients

22,500,000+applications reviewed

11,500,000+loans issued

€1,062,000,000in issued loans during 2015

1H’2016 return on average equity

2012-15 revenue CAGR

2015 returning customer rate

1H’2016 profit before tax margin

34% 61% 79% 21%

1H’2016 full time employees(2)

Highly qualified IT engineers(3)

16 2,000 400

Leading positions

in existing markets

9

Markets launched(1)

Page 3: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

2

Geographic and product diversification continues

Latin American expansion on track

• Argentina & Mexico volumes still relatively

low while scorecards and processes are fine-

tuned

• Dominican Republic launched in August

• Pipeline: Guatemala, Brazil…

Instalment loans & line of credit

• H1 2016 portfolio mix influenced by lower

instalment loan volumes in Lithuania

• Recent instalment launches in larger markets

Poland (relaunch in December), Spain (May) &

Romania (August)

• Issuance run-rate of nearly EUR 10m per

month, with >50% of volumes to new

customers

• Line of Credit launched in Latvia (September)

135

331

1H'2015 1H'2016

Populationundercoverage

2.5x

mill

ion

107

132

1H'2015 1H'2016m

EU

R

+23%Instalmentloans (grossportfolio)

LV12%

LT7%

PL26%

SE8%

FI6%

DK9%

ES14%

GE11%

CZ5%

Other2%

Single Payment

69.6%

Instalment30.0%

Line of Credit0.4%

Revenue by country

Gross portfolioBy product

Page 4: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

3

Clear and simple product structure

Term • Up to 30 days • Up to 24 months

Fee/payment structure

• Single fee payable at maturity

• Nominal annual interest rate: 62%–108%(3)

• EUR 5–2’010 • EUR 50–3’245

Extension• Option to extend up to 30 days

• Extension fee payable before extension

• Option to reset scheduled repayment by a month

• Extension fee payable before extension

Markets

• Latvia, Lithuania, Finland, Sweden, Poland, Denmark, Georgia, Spain, Czech Republic, Bulgaria, Romania, Argentina, Mexico, Dominican Republic

• Latvia, Lithuania, Sweden, Poland, Denmark, Armenia, Spain, Romania

Single payment loan Instalment loan

Fee amount• Loan cost:7%–29% in Europe; 30%-35% in LatAm(3)

• Monthly interest payments• Repayment in multiple instalments

Loan amount

(1) Gross loan portfolio, as of 30/06/2016(2) Average size of loan issued (for Single Payment loan and Instalment loan) and average outstanding balance for Line of credit, data on 30/06/2016(3) Max term and max loan amount pricing

Distribution channels

• Websites (mobile/tablet/web)• Apple & Android native apps• Phone call and SMS• Offline: agents, loan shops and other partners

• Open-ended revolving credit line

• Monthly interest rate:8.5%-10.0%

• Limit up to EUR 2’100

• Flexible payment options as long as MRP is met

• Customers can change their repayment date

• Finland, Latvia

Line of credit

• Minimum monthly repayment (MRP)• First withdrawal free• Further withdrawals: 11% of amount

% in portfolio(1) 30.0%69.6%

• Websites (mobile/tablet/web)• Apple & Android native apps (servicing

only)• Call centre, e-mail, webchat and SMS

(servicing only)

Average loan size(2) • 309 EUR • 777 EUR • 1,737 EUR

0.4%

Page 5: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

4

Marketing Apply Underwrite Accept and Fund Service

Attract customers through a diversified multi-channel and data-driven marketing and acquisition strategy

Focus on marketing to customers with the highest conversion potential

Sophisticated in-house marketing agency and Digital Hub with best-in-class technology

Prospective customer applies online or through a smartphone application

Customers enter identity, income, pay date and bank account information

Customer identification methods customised by country to reflect local regulation and available sources of information

Within a few seconds, proprietary systems pull data and determine creditworthiness

Dynamic credit scoring model ensures that 4finance captures the highest quality and most profitable customers

Extensive IT driven scoring system

Customer executes legally binding loan agreement online and funds are advanced within a few minutes

Entire disbursement process built around the customer experience to ensure satisfaction

More than 700 in-house specialists provide support in local language across all markets of operation

Key performance indicators are constantly monitored to improve customer service and enhance customer retention

Collection

Well staffed local in-house debt collection team

Highly automated collection process in initial stages

Focused on customer satisfaction

Strong recovery rates

Full regulatory compliance with no controversial debt collection practices

Our lending process: online, efficient, data-driven

Page 6: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

5

Most common customer characteristics:

Customer profile

• Has a bank account

• Expenditure matches monthly

income

• Little or no savings

• Limited credit history

• Employed + self employed

• Uses financing for lifestyle

choices or necessities

• Not willing to pay more for

value-added services

• 81% of loans are issued to

returning customers (1H’2016)

Client split by gender Client split by age

Applications by source

1H’2016

1H’20161H’2016

(1) Loan usage distribution in Latvia, smscredit.lv. Research agency: SKDS, 2015

1%

17%

21%25%

17%

12%

7%

18-20 21-24 25-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+

Loan usage(1)

34%

33%

12%

15%

6%

Emergency/unexpected expenses

Pay regular bills (house, utilities, food)

Debt consolidation/repayment

Maintaining my lifestyle (e.g. holidays,shopping, trips, etc.)

Other (wedding costs, medical expenses,etc.)

57%33%

10%

Desktop

Mobile

Other

Page 7: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

6

Robust credit scoringProfessional approach to underwriting Data sources used in approval process

• Both traditional (e.g. credit bureaus) and alternative (e.g. facebook) data used• Verification through one or more credit bureaus• Internal customer database

- Over 11 million loans issued and over 22 million applications reviewed• External data warehouses & services• Experian Risk Suite• Extensive scoring system

- 32 scorecards in place- Data mining and scorecard development tools (e.g., SAS, R, WPS)

52%54%

58% 59%57% 57% 55% 54% 55%

52% 52% 53%50% 51% 51% 51% 50% 51%

48% 48% 47% 47% 45%42%

39%41%

38% 37% 37% 36%

Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16

Acceptance rate total new applications (all products)

Page 8: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

7

Acquisitions and market changes

Page 9: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

8

Completed acquisition of TBI Bank

• Enhance existing TBI Bank operations

– Deploy cutting edge 4finance technology (eg online

proposition, marketing and risk management)

– Gradual integration process

• Potential to offer consumer loans in other EU markets

– Certain EU countries require a banking license for

consumer lending

– Gives greater flexibility in responding to changes in

licensing / regulatory regimes for non-bank lenders

• Potential to diversify funding beyond capital markets

• Potential to enhance produce offering, e.g. credit cards

• Small, profitable, consumer-focused bank in existing markets (Bulgaria and Romania)

• Track record of profitability

− EUR 7 million net profit in H1 2016

− RoA of 5%, RoE of 23%

• Strong capitalization

− 26% Tier 1 ratio (8.5% minimum)

− Strong results in recent central bank stress tests

• Simple, deposit funded balance sheet

− EUR 175 million net customer loans

− EUR 272 million total assets

− EUR 186 million customer deposits

• Purchase price EUR 69 million + YTD profit adjustment (c.1.25x price/book)

• Consolidated in 4finance financial results from third quarter of 2016

TBI acquisition at a glance Rationale and strategy for TBI

Page 10: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

9

TBI Bank: positive impact on financial profile

1H’2016 TBI Bank 4finance Proforma

Key figures (EUR m)

Revenue 25 183 207

Net profit 7 32 39

Net loan portfolio 175 323 498

Customer deposits 186 11 197

Key financial ratios

Profit before tax margin 31% 21% 23%

Adjusted interest coverage 6.5x 4.0x 4.3x

Net impairment to revenue ratio 17% 26% 25%

Return on average equity 23% 34% 31%

Capital/net loan portfolio 37% 63% 42%

Note: Proforma figures calculated on the basis set out in the 4finance H1 2016 results report assuming acquisition of TBI Bank had taken place on 1 January 2016.

• Profitable existing business

− Strong profit contribution (before any synergies)

− Improves profit margin

• Positive for bond covenants

− Improvement in interest coverage

− Substantial headroom on capitalization

• Diversification

− Further diversifies revenue sources

TBI Impact Highlights

Page 11: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

10

Friendly Finance reinforces the Group’s market position

Brands:

Rationale for acquisition

• Adds strong ‘challenger’ brands to portfolio and consolidates leading European market position

• Over 1.1 million registered customers, adding to proprietary database

• Profitable business with potential for future synergies from technology platform integration

Revenue (EUR m)

13.7

9.4

2015 1H'2016

16.1

22.8

2015 1H'2016

Total assets (EUR m)

23%

30%15%

23%

9%Czech Rep.

Poland

Spain

Slovakia

Georgia

Loans issued by country, 1H’2016

Friendly Finance at a glance

• Similar online consumer lending business model to 4finance

• 80%+ returning customers, 90% of revenue from interest income

• Single payment loans up to EUR 1,000 in 5 countries

• Instalment loans up to EUR 2,300 in Czech Republic, Spain & Slovakia

• Issued over EUR 220m in loans since launch at end of 2010

Page 12: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

11

Adapting successfully to regulatory changes

• As a responsible lender, we welcome appropriate regulation

– Active in regulatory / legislative consultations through industry associations

– Supportive of clear regulatory frameworks

– Clear, transparent products and pricing with IT/development resources to adapt products where needed

– Launch of ‘responsible borrowing’ websites (www.responsibleborrowing.com)

• Adapting successfully to regulatory changes in key markets

– Poland: revenue up 11%

– Latvia: revenue up 1%

– Lithuania: reduced marketing and volumes during regulatory change, now ready to participate strongly

– Czech Republic: regulations finalized with timeline for licensing process, no significant business impact expected

Page 13: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

12

Volumes are stable following Google policy changes

31%

4%

16%

49%

Affiliates & other

Paid Search(SPL, non branded)

Paid Search(SPL, branded)

Direct & organic search

Lending volume by marketing channel, 2015

• Limited business impact so far

• Google policy changes implemented at end of July 2016

• Lending volumes increased in August compared to June

• Seeing replacement of paid search volumes with organic

search and direct traffic

• Too early to assess longer-term impact

• Coordinated firmwide planning and response

• Already diversified marketing channels to limit reliance on

any individual channel (only 4% of overall volumes from

non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015)

• Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing, content

generation and organic search optimisation

• Active monitoring as ecosystem develops

Lending volume comparison post implementation

90.992.4

June August

+2%

mE

UR

Page 14: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

13

Financial review

Page 15: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

14

Financial highlights - profitable growth

45 4859

30 32

30% 22%19% 20% 18%

2013 2014 2015 1H'2015 1H'2016

Revenue, m EUR

Net profit from continuing operations (m EUR) and net margin

149

220

318

146183

2013 2014 2015 1H'2015 1H'2016

7188

120

5462

2013 2014 2015 1H'2015 1H'2016

Adjusted EBITDA, m EUR

29%35%

40%37%

34%

2013 2014 2015 1H'2015 1H'2016

Capital to assets ratio, % (1)

4.6x

3.7x4.2x 4.1x 4.0x

2013 2014 2015 1H'2015 1H'2016

Adjusted interest coverage ratio

37%

47%56%

51%

63%

2013 2014 2015 1H'2015 1H'2016

Capital/net loans, %

(1) Total assets figure for 2014 adjusted for the effect of 2015 Notes’ defeasance

Page 16: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

15

Diversified loan portfolio

178241

308 323

2013 2014 2015 1H'2016

Net loan portfolio(1), mEUR

25%

15%

10%9%

8%

7%

7%

8%

3% 6%

Poland

Latvia

Lithuania

Sweden

Georgia

Finland

Spain

Denmark

Czech Rp.

Other

3%

10%

19%

9%

12%

26%

13%

8%

0-100 101-200 201-300 301-400 401-500 501-1,000 1,001-2,000 2,000+

Net loan portfolio by country, 30/06/2016 Portfolio split by average loan amount, EUR

30/06/2016

(1) Gross loan portfolio less provisions for bad debts (2) Continuing operations only

• Total loans issued in 1H’2016: EUR 537.2m

- growth of 6% from 1H’2015

• High velocity of portfolio – total capital turnover 3x

• 53% of portfolio consists of loans below EUR 500

538

805

1,062

537

2013 2014 2015 1H'2016

Total loans issued(2), mEUR

Page 17: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

16

Non-performing loans and provisioning stable

Conservative provision coverageNon-performing loans (NPLs) as % of total loans issued(1)

9.5% of total loans issued

Stable NPLs to issued loans ratio(1)

9.2% 8.8% 9.0% 9.4% 9.5%

2013 2014 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016

• Loans that are overdue more than 90 days are considered as non-

performing (NPLs)

• At the end of Q2 2016 NPLs represented 9.5% of total issued loans

over the last 730 days

• Actual loss experienced on NPLs is approximately 50% (52% as of

30/06/2016)

• Provisions for default are typically 5-10 p.p. higher

(1) Total issued loans include the amount of loans issued during 730 days ending 90 days prior to the end of period

EUR1,964 m

EUR1,778 m

EUR186m

Loans issued 04/2014-3/2016(730 days)

NPLs as of30/06/2016

Repaid and performing loans30/06/2016

52%59%

73%

7%

Loss given default Provisionfor defaultportfolio

Provision coveragebuffer

Overall provisioncoverage

Page 18: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

17

Asset quality trends for single payment loans

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

2013 2014 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016

NP

L /

2 y

ea

r lo

an

issu

an

ce

Spain

Georgia

Denmark

Czech

Poland

Finland

Latvia

Lithuania

Sweden

• Non-performing loans to loan issuance ratio tends to improve over time in each market

• More data: better scorecards

• More experience: better debt collection

• More returning customers

• Different characteristics for each market

• Portfolio mix shift drives overall Group NPL/sales ratio (eg growth in Spain)

• Current trend is in line with expectations

• Higher NPL ratio countries also have higher interest rates and revenue

• Impairment / revenue ratio stable

Page 19: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

18

144153

167

198 201

224

249 258

276 282 268 274

160

177184

218

234

261 272

301

320

351

334

357

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

m E

UR

Total outgoing Total incoming

Last 12 months net incoming cash* EUR 262

Loan portfolio cash flow

* From continuing operations

2013 2014 2015 2016

Page 20: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

19

Conclusion

Page 21: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

20

• 4finance has established a leading business with strong growth prospects

• Solid first half results

• Strategic acquisitions enhance overall group profile

• Successfully managing impact of market changes

• New market and product development on track

• Supervisory board established at 4finance Group level in July and EUR 100m 5 year bond issued in May

Conclusion

Page 22: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

21

INCOME STATEMENT, M EUR 1H’2015 1H’2016 % Change

Interest income 146.1 182.8 25%

Interest expense (13.4) (15.4) 15%

Net interest income132.7 167.4 26%

Net impairment losses on loans and receivables (37.5) (46.8) 25%

General administrative expenses (56.8) (84.0) 48%

Other income/(expense) (0.9) 2.5 n.m.

Profit before tax 37.5 39.1 4%

Tax (7.7) (7.0) 9%

Profit from continuing operations 29.8 32.1 8%

Discontinued operations, net of tax 5.6 - (100)%

Net profit 35.4 32.1 (9)%

Net impairment to revenue ratio %26% 26%

Cost to income ratio % 39% 46%

Net profit margin, % 24% 18%

Appendix – Income statement

Page 23: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

22

Appendix – Balance sheet

KEY RATIOS 1H’2015 1H’2016

Capital/assets ratio 37% 34%

Capital/net loan portfolio 51% 63%

Adjusted interest coverage ratio 4.1x 4.0x

Return on average equity(1) 37% 34%

Return on average assets(1) 16% 12%

BALANCE SHEET, M EUR 1H’2015 1H’2016 % Change

Loans and advances 283.3 322.7 14%

Cash and cash equivalents 51.1 116.4 128%

Intangible assets (IT platform) 8.6 26.1 203%

Goodwill 0.6 25.4 n.m.

All other assets 46.9 100.0 164%

Total assets 390.5 590.6 51%

Loans and borrowings 214.7 328.7 53%

All other liabilities 30.4 59.3 95%

Total liabilities 245.1 388.0 58%

Total equity 145.4 202.6 39%

Total equity and liabilities 390.5 590.6 51%

(1) RoAE and RoAA based on net profit from continuing operations

Page 24: 4finance investor presentation › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › ...non-branded paid search for single payment loans in 2015) • Focus on ‘above the line’ brand marketing,

23

Appendix - Proforma H1 financials including TBI Bank

INCOME STATEMENT(1), M EUR, 1H’2016 TBI Bank 4finance Proforma

Interest income 24.6 182.8 207.4

Interest expense (1.7) (15.4) (17.1)

Net interest income22.9 167.4 190.3

Net impairment losses on loans and receivables (4.1) (46.8) (50.9)

General administrative expenses (14.5) (84.0) (98.5)

Other income/(expense) 3.3 2.5 5.8

Profit before tax 7.7 39.1 46.8

Corporate income tax for the reporting period (0.8) (7.0) (7.8)

Profit for the period 6.9 32.1 39.0

BALANCE SHEET(1), M EUR, 1H’2016 TBI Bank 4finance Adjustments Proforma

Loans and advances 175.1 322.7 497.8

Cash and cash equivalents 45.1 116.4 (68.8) 92.7

Property and equipment 14.3 4.9 19.2

Intangible assets 0.7 26.1 26.8

Goodwill 0.2 25.4 10.6 36.2

Loans to related parties - 28.8 28.8

Other assets 36.5 66.3 102.8

Total assets 272.0 590.6 (58.2) 804.3

Customer deposits 185.9 10.9 196.8

Loans and borrowings 6.1 328.7 334.8

Other liabilities 14.8 48.4 63.2

Total liabilities 206.8 388.0 594.7

Total equity attributable to theGroup’s equity holders 65.2 201.4 (58.2) 208.4

Non-controlling interests - 1.2 1.2

Total equity 65.2 202.6 (58.2) 209.6

Total shareholders’ equity and liabilities 272.0 590.6 (58.2) 804.3

(1) Proforma figures calculated on the basis set out in the 4finance H1 2016 results report assuming acquisition of TBI Bank had taken place on 1 January 2016.