52(consequence analysis)

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  • Input Screen input cell

    DOWN WIND CONCENTRATION CALCULATIONS

    Release Rate 4.183 kg/sec

    Elevation of Release 33 m

    Wind Speed 4.5 m / sec

    atmosphere condition night "day" or "night"

    Molecular Weight 166 gm/mole

    VESSEL PHYSICAL EXPLOSION

    Volume of Vapour Space in Vessel 4 m3

    Burst Pressure 1.50E+06 Pa

    Cp/Cv for gas 1.4

    FIRE AND EXPLOSION CONSEQUENCES

    Fuel Involved: cyclohexane

    Quantity of Fuel: 1000 lb

    Heat of Combustion for cyclohexane : 20000 BTU/lb

    Caution This Spreasheet should not be used for purposes other than CHEE 470

    without a complete review of the calculation methods and tables

  • Down Wind Concentrations for Toxic Release or Flammability

    Calculations per "Chemical Engineering Aug 1998"

    Instructions: 1. Go to "input" sheet and enter release information

    2. In this sheet under the yellow "concentration" column enter desired concentrations for analysis

    3. Read Downwind distance fromthis sheet

    Release Rate 4.183 kg / s from Input Sheet

    Velocity 4.5 m / s from Input Sheet

    Molecular Weight 166 gm/mole from Input Sheet

    Density Air 1205 gm/cu m from Input Sheet

    Atmospheric Stability night night or day from Input Sheet

    Release Elevation 33 m from Input Sheet

    Release Type Continuous

    Material Buoyancy neutral

    Ground Type Urban

    Comment Concentration Calculated Downwind Distance

    ppm vol mg / m3 ug/m^3 m miles

    100 690 6.90E+05 208 0.13

    EPRG 3 60 414 4.14E+05 269 0.17

    EPRG 2 5 34 3.45E+04 1,125 0.70

    3 21 2.07E+04 1,633 1.01

    Odour Threshold 0.05 0 3.45E+02 32,442 20.16

    0.25 2 1.72E+03 10,020 6.23

  • Calculation of Energy Release from a Bursting Vessel

    (Does not include the effects of the gas or liquid burning/exploding)

    Volume of Vapour Space in Vessel 4 m3

    Burst Pressure 1500000 Pa

    Cp/Cv for gas 1.4

    Atmospheric Pressure 1.01E+05 Pa

    Energy = 8,054,580 Joules

    Note: 40 to 80% of the energy calculated above is usually converted to Blast Wave Pressure

    Conversion Efficiency 80%

    Energy from Blast = 6,443,664 Joules

    Energy from Blast 6,107 BTU

    TNT energy 1120 cal/gm

    2016 BTU/lb

    Explosion TNT equivalent 3.0 lb of TNT

    Damage Caused by The Explosion Distance From Centre of Explosion (ft)

    Large glass windows which are already under strain are broken 990

    Loud Noise. Sonic boom glass failure 743

    Typical pressure for glass failure 217

    95% probability of no serious damage 120

    large and small windows very likely to shatter 80

    large and small windows are l00% shattered 312

    Minor damage to house structures 62

    Partial demolition of houses, made uninhabitable 47 1 psi overpressure

    Steel frame of clad building slightly distorted 39

    Non-reinforced concrete or cinder walls start to shatter 29

    Non-reinforced concrete or cinder walls completely shattered 22

    Lower limit of serious structural damage 27

    Steel frame building distorted and pulled from foundations 22

    Rupture of oil storage tanks begins 22

    Rupture of oil storage tanks is complete 19

    Wooden Utility poles snapped 16

    Nearly complete destruction of houses (lower range) 16

    Nearly complete destruction of houses (upper range) 13

    Loaded trainwagons overturned 13

    Loaded train boxcars completely demolished 12

    Probable total destruction of buildings 11

    Limit of crater lip 3

    Lethality (low) 4

    Lethality (high) 3

    lung damage (low) 6

  • lung damage (high) 6

    ear drum rupture 16

    Overpressure at any distance

    Choose Distance: 500

    Overpressure at this Distance: 0.059

  • Note: 40 to 80% of the energy calculated above is usually converted to Blast Wave Pressure

    Distance From Centre of Explosion (ft)

    1 psi overpressure

  • Fireball Estimate Size and Damage/Injuries

    Use this sheet to estimate the potential injury from a fireball

    These Calculations are relevant to a fireball which has not reached detonation

    Caution This Spreasheet should not be used for purposes other than CHEE 470

    without a complete review of the calculation methods and tables

    ref: - "Industrial Explosion Prevention and Protection"; Frank T. Bodurtha

    - "Loss Prevention In The Process Industries"; Lees; Vol 2

    Fire Ball Size

    mass of fuel = 454 kg

    fireball dia = 45 meters

    Duration of the Fireball

    duration = 3.5 sec

    Rate Material is Burned

    Rate = 131 kg/sec

    Heat Release Rate

    Heat of Combustion = 20000 BTU/lb

    Heat Release Rate = 3.47E+08 BTU/hr

    Intensity of Thermal Radiation at any point from the fireball centre

    distance from fireball centre = 100 ft

    Intensity = 2762 BTU/hr sq ft

    Fraction of Heat Release

    Fr = 0.3

    Thermal Radiation Effects Per tables 16.83, 16.79 ; Lees

    Calculated Distance Calculated Distance Dose Dose

    Along Ground From Fireball Centre

    ft ft kJ / m2 BTU / sq ft

    7 7 838 73.8

    21 21 580 51.1

    "Loss Prevention in Process Industries" pg 16/184, in the case of BLEVE when more than 35% of the liquid involved in the fire flashes, virtually all

    the liquid released burns as a fireball.

  • 31 79 125 11.0

    105 128 1.6 0.1

    26 26 37.5 3.3

    30 30 30 2.6

    37 37 19 1.7

    42 42 15 1.3

  • These Calculations are relevant to a fireball which has not reached detonation

    Caution This Spreasheet should not be used for purposes other than CHEE 470

    (carried from Input Sheet)

    Dia=5.8(mass kg)^(1/3)

    Eqt 16.15.10 ; Lees

    from Input sheet

    Eqt 16.15.18; Lees

    Based on API RP 521

    Duration Result Notes

    sec

    1.43 mortality of 99% of people

    10 mortality of 50% of people ref: Lees table 16.79

    "Loss Prevention in Process Industries" pg 16/184, in the case of BLEVE when more than 35% of the liquid involved in the fire flashes, virtually all

    the liquid released burns as a fireball.

  • 30 1st degree burns First degree burns are the onset of blisters

    1 Continuous Exposure to People Okay

    1 Damage caused to process equipment

    1 spontaneous ignition of wood

    1 cable insulation degrades

    1 Ignition of wood

  • First degree burns are the onset of blisters

  • BLAST DAMAGE DUE TO OVERPRESSURE BY VAPOUR CLOUD EXPLOSION

    Use this sheet in the case of an vapour cloud explosion

    which has undergone a detonation

    Caution This Spreasheet should not be used for purposes other than CHEE 470

    without a complete review of the calculation methods and tables

    Explosion Efficiency 2%

    TNT energy 1120 cal/gm

    2016 BTU/lb

    Explosion TNT equivalent 198.4 lb of TNT

    Damage Caused by The Explosion Distance From Centre of Explosion (ft)

    Large glass windows which are already under strain are broken 3989

    Loud Noise. Sonic boom glass failure 2995

    Typical pressure for glass failure 874

    95% probability of no serious damage 485

    large and small windows very likely to shatter 322

    large and small windows are l00% shattered 1256

    Minor damage to house structures 248

    Partial demolition of houses, made uninhabitable 191 1 psi overpressure

    Steel frame of clad building slightly distorted 158

    Non-reinforced concrete or cinder walls start to shatter 118

    Non-reinforced concrete or cinder walls completely shattered 90

    Lower limit of serious structural damage 107

    Steel frame building distorted and pulled from foundations 90

    Rupture of oil storage tanks begins 90

    Rupture of oil storage tanks is complete 75

    Wooden Utility poles snapped 66

    Nearly complete destruction of houses (lower range) 66

    Nearly complete destruction of houses (upper range) 54

    Loaded trainwagons overturned 54

    Loaded train boxcars completely demolished 47

    Probable total destruction of buildings 44

    Limit of crater lip 11

    Lethality (low) 16

    Lethality (high) 13

    lung damage (low) 26

    lung damage (high) 23

    ear drum rupture 66

    Overpressure at any distance

    Choose Distance: 500 ft

    Overpressure at this Distance: 0.268 psi

  • THIS SHEET IS FOR INTERNAL CALCULATIONS

    Scaled Distance ft / lb ^ (1/3) Overpressure (psi)

    ln (distance) ln(psi)

    3 1.098612289 70.5 4.255613

    4 1.386294361 38 3.637586

    5 1.609437912 25 3.218876

    10 2.302585093 6 1.791759

    20 2.995732274 2 0.693147

    33 3.496507561 1 0

    81 4.394449155 0.3 -1.20397

    200 5.298317367 0.105 -2.25379

    300 5.703782475 0.075 -2.59027

    650 6.476972363 0.031 -3.47377

    =EXP(0.011*LN(D5)^2-2.0765*LN(D5)+6.5166)

    =EXP(0.077789*LN(D10)^2-1.929189*LN(D10)+5.78107)

    y = 0.0402x2 - R =

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    -5 0 5

    Overpressure (psi)

    Overpressure (psi)

    Poly. (Overpressure(psi))

    100

    Shock Wave Parameters

  • 0.01

    0.1

    1

    10

    100

    1 10 100 Overp

    ressu

    re (

    psi)

    Scaled Distance ft/lb^1/3

    Shock Wave Parameters

  • y = 0.1313x2 - 2.41x + 6.7238

    calc psi % error calc distance% err

    66.87397 4.20281 -5.14331 3.083782 -2.79274

    37.54225 3.625467 -1.20461 3.969897 0.752572

    24.3145 3.191073 -2.74201 4.793759 4.124822

    6.797391 1.916539 13.28986 10.13445 -1.34453

    2.128037 0.7552 6.401831 20.16179 -0.80896

    0.986692 -0.0134 -1.33079 32.71063 0.876889

    0.288339 -1.24362 -3.88695 83.10095 -2.59377

    0.101255 -2.29011 -3.5663 206.0574 -3.02869

    0.067406 -2.69701 -10.1248 280.8878 6.370741

    0.034541 -3.3656 11.42376 661.6599 -1.79382

    =EXP(0.011*LN(D5)^2-2.0765*LN(D5)+6.5166)

    =EXP(0.077789*LN(D10)^2-1.929189*LN(D10)+5.78107)

    0.0402x2 - 0.726x + 3.4877R = 0.9997

    Overpressure (psi)

    Poly. (Overpressure(psi))

  • 1000Scaled Distance ft/lb^1/3

  • THIS SHEET IS FOR INTERNAL CALCULATIONS

    Vapour Vessel

    Cloud Burst

    Overpressure Scaled Distance Distance Distance

    psi ft / lb^(1/3) ft ft

    0.03 684 3989 990

    0.04 513 2995 743

    0.15 150 874 217

    0.3 83 485 120

    0.5 55 322 80

    0.1 215 1256 312

    0.7 43 248 62

    1 33 191 47

    1.3 27 158 39

    2 20 118 29

    3 15 90 22

    2.3 18 107 27

    3 15 90 22

    3 15 90 22

    4 13 75 19

    5 11 66 16

    5 11 66 16

    7 9 54 13

    7 9 54 13

    9 8 47 12

    10 8 44 11

    300 2 11 3

    690 100 3 16 4

    1380 200 2 13 3

    207 30 4 26 6

    255 37 4 23 6

    34 5 11 66 16

  • Damage

    Large glass windows which are already under strain are broken

    Loud Noise. Sonic boom glass failure

    Typical pressure for glass failure

    95% probability of no serious damage

    large and small windows very likely to shatter

    large and small windows are l00% shattered

    Minor damage to house structures

    Partial demolition of houses, made uninhabitable

    Steel frame of clad building slightly distorted

    Non-reinforced concrete or cinder walls start to shatter

    Non-reinforced concrete or cinder walls completely shattered

    Lower limit of serious structural damage

    Steel frame building distorted and pulled from foundations

    Rupture of oil storage tanks begins

    Rupture of oil storage tanks is complete

    Wooden Utility poles snapped

    Nearly complete destruction of houses (lower range)

    Nearly complete destruction of houses (upper range)

    Loaded trainwagons overturned

    Loaded train boxcars completely demolished

    Probable total destruction of buildings

    Limit of crater lip

    Lethality (low) Bodurtha pg 66

    Lethality (high)

    lung damage (low)

    lung damage (high)

    ear drum rupture