5_determination of energy savings

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    DETERMINATION OF ENERGY

    SAVINGS

    Prepared by

    Duan Gvozdenac and Miroslav Kljaji

    Project: Regional training on planning and monitoring

    energy efficiency measures in the constructing sector

    Podgorica, Tiran, Sarajevo i Banja Luka, October December, 2013.

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    Determination of Energy Savings

    Energy is paid in money but it is measured in energy units

    (kWh, kJ). There is direct dependence between the price paid

    for energy and its consumption and it is stated in the unit priceof energy. This price is mostly determined by external factors

    and the owner of a factory, a house or an apartment cannot

    affect it. He/she can choose the type of energy carrier which

    will be used for his/her needs and thus affect overall energy

    costs. The efficient use of purchased energy is under his/her

    full control and he/she can do a lot in that respect. How?

    You cant manage what you dont measure

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    Determination of Energy Savings

    Measuring parameters of energy flows provides conditionsfor their control.

    If criteria of this control are established (for example,

    minimum energy consumption or minimum pollution of theenvironment or maximum security of energy supply or

    achieving maximum preset comfort in an air conditioned

    room, etc.), it is possible, then, to achieve optimum control

    of the system with preset conditions.

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    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    1600

    Jan -01 Feb-01 Mar -01 Apr-01 May-01 Jun-01 Jul-01 Aug-01 Sep-01 Oct -01 Nov-01 Dec-01

    Month

    Electricity

    Heat Energy

    Energ

    yConsumption[MWh/m]

    Child

    Water

    Energy

    Example of Energy Consumption during a Year

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    MonthlyElectricity

    Consumption[MWh/m]

    Time [h]

    New Load

    Duration Curve

    Current Load

    Duration Curve

    0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000

    0

    200

    400

    6000

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    16001800

    Load Duration Curve Electricity

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    Energy efficiency projects are in their core offering the

    increase of the degree of effectiveness of some energy

    transformation.

    This is achieved by changing procedures of managing theenergy plant, by replacing the part or the whole technology,

    etc.

    No matter what is in question and what kind of change is

    made, it is necessary to provide continuous monitoring of

    energy flows in the energy plant.

    Monitoring Energy Flows

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    The achieved effects are determined by comparing measuredvalues of energy consumption before and after the application

    of one or more measures to increase energy efficiency. The

    activities under the M&V procedures are:

    Installation, calibration and maintenance of measuring

    devices,

    Collection, processing and analysis of data,

    Development of a calculation method and establishment of

    reliable assessments, Calculations with measured data, and

    Reporting to all relevant stakeholders and verification of

    reports by a third party, if there is a need for that.

    Monitoring Energy Flows

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    Measurements that are carried out within the M&V should be

    differed from the measurements related to the process

    management or measurements that are occasionally done

    during preliminary and detail energy audits. The main purpose

    of the M&V is as follows:

    To reduce energy consumption. It is well known that it is

    not possible to manage something that is not measured.

    Measurement of energy consumption provides building

    managers not only with valid information about theappropriateness of energy systems but also about the

    effects of possibly undertaken measures to increase energy

    efficiency.

    Monitoring Energy Flows

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    To stimulate financing of projects for energy efficiency

    increase. A good M&V PLAN increases transparency andcredibility of reports on achieved effects. The existence of

    the M&V Plan can also raise thrust of investors and potential

    donors in energy efficiency projects.

    To improve design solution, plant and maintenance.

    Good M&V helps managers to disclose and lessen problems

    related to maintenance and plant running and provides

    feedback information for planning future investments.

    To manage energy balance. Even in cases whenenergy

    consumption is not planned, the M&V techniques enablemanagers to manage energy use in a much better way. The

    M&V techniques provide opportunities to notice and explain

    possible deviations from the balance and to introduce

    corrections resulting from changed operating conditions.

    Monitoring Energy Flows

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    To increase the value of the project by collecting credits

    for reduced emissions. The calculation of reduced GHGemissions adds value to the project if the project is

    implemented under the mechanisms of the Kyoto Protocol.

    The use of the M&V Plan for determining energy effects also

    contributes in the growth of credibility of reports on reducedemissions.

    To improve understanding of energy management as an

    instrument of national energy policy. The M&V techniques

    are a powerful tool for the promotion of social awareness on

    energy efficiency and reduction of GHG emissions. Good M&V

    practice emphasizes social benefits offered by proper energy

    management such as the improvement of public health and the

    protection of the environment.

    Monitoring Energy Flows

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    M&V Plan and Report on Achieved Effects

    The process of developing the M&V Plan should be carried outsimultaneously with the preparation of the project for the

    implementation of a measure or measures to increase energy

    efficiency. The measurement processes and verifications should

    include the following steps:

    Analysis of needs of users of planned reports.If the priority

    to the user is to control total costs, the best method is the one

    that involves the entire building. If the result of a specific

    measure to increase energy efficiency is important to the user,it is necessary to select measurements that enable

    determination of some specific energy indicators. Such cases

    arise when it is necessary to check some technology in order

    to repeat similar projects in the factory.

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    M&V

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    Jan-10

    Mar-10

    May-10

    Jul-10

    Sep-10

    Nov-10

    Jan-11

    Mar-11

    May-11

    Jul-11

    Sep-11

    Nov-11

    Jan-12

    Mar-12

    May-12

    Time

    Energ

    y

    Reporting PeriodBasic Period

    Increased

    Production

    EEM

    Implementaion

    Saving or

    Avoided

    Energy Use

    Calculated ConsumptionCorresponding to Conditions

    without EEM Implementation

    Example of Energy Consumption Diagram

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    Preparation of the plan for reading measured

    values

    Modern technology provides opportunities for automatic

    reading of measured values. However, this does not mean that

    it is also compulsory. Therefore, it is necessary to select anoptimum plan for reading which can also be manual. The goal

    is to obtain reliable measurement values.

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    Data processing and reporting

    The whole M&V procedure is carried out to obtain reliable data

    about achieved savings in energy and water consumption. Dataprocessing is done according to previously verified procedure

    and it can be manual or automatic. The report on achieved

    results should be forwarded to several addresses and therefore,

    it should be prepared with that in mind.

    For example, if it is sent to the top management, it should be,

    then, very simple and contain only data related to the final

    financial effect of the measure for energy efficiency increase. If

    the repot is intended for technical management of the facility in

    which the plant is located, the report should contain technical

    indicators enabling evaluation of not only achieved savings but

    also of the quality of operations of the whole plant and

    monitoring of parameters affecting functionality

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    Verification Plan

    When planned savings in energy consumption are determined

    and possibly proved, it is necessary to establish the procedure in asystematic way for constant verification of measurement data and

    calculations and to plan necessary actions when it comes to

    deviations. By all mean, it is necessary to envisage some sort of

    tolerance within which measured values are still satisfactory and

    it is considered that the effects of implemented EEM are

    acceptable.

    However, if deviations are not within planned limits, the reason

    for that should be immediately sought and measures undertaken

    to return observed parameter within acceptable limits. The

    following Figure shows an example of measurement results and

    their verification.

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    Energy

    Time

    Allowed

    Deviation

    Planned Energy

    Consumption after EEM

    Implementation

    Unexpected

    ConsumptionTrend. Immediate

    Action to Remove

    Defect

    Expected

    Saving

    Baseline Energy

    Consumption

    Baseline Period Period after EEM Implementation

    Examples of Monitoring and Verification

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    Analysis of financial effects in the lifecycle of

    applied EEM

    The M&V is a permanent process which is conducted in the

    whole period of the project lifecycle. In addition to physical

    decrease of energy consumption, it is important to determine

    financial flows.

    Namely, energy prices are changing during time unfortunately

    almost always up and not always in the proportion. Thus, it is

    possible that the effect of physical reduction of energy

    consumption does not need to correspond always to adequate

    effect financially.

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    The following Figure shows the basic measurement points

    and the values to be measured in the case of a steam boiler.

    The boxes in gray background represent values that are not

    necessary to be measured.

    For example, the temperature of steam (M2) should bemeasured only in case of superheated steam. Or, if the steam

    flow is measured with sufficient accuracy, it is not necessary

    to measure the flow of feed water although this value is

    often measured.

    Boilers M&V.

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    Boundary of System

    M2

    mS[t/h] =pS[bar] =

    tS[oC] =

    Steam

    M1

    tFW[oC] =

    mFW[m3/h] =

    ConFW[S/cm] =

    Feed Water

    M3

    M4

    mG[kg/h] =

    GCV [MJ/kg] =

    Fuel

    tA[oC] =

    Air

    tPS[oC] =

    CO [ppm] =

    O2(vol) [%] =

    Flue Gasses

    M5

    CondBW[S/cm] =

    Boiler Water

    M7

    M6

    mBD[t/h] =

    Blowdown

    M8

    tsurface[oC] =

    Radiation Losses

    Typical Measuring Points for Boilers

    Frequency and Scope

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    MONITORING

    PARAMETERPURPOSE

    Frequency and Scope

    < 20 t/h of steam20 100 t/h of

    steam

    Liquid Fuels

    Calorific value Calculation of heat input.No checking. Valuesgiven by the supplier

    can be used.

    Density and sulfurportion for each

    delivery.

    Fuel composition

    (Fuel distributioncompanys certificate )

    Possible negative effects

    on heat transfer surfaces

    and emissions ofcombustion products.

    No checking. Values

    given by the supplier

    can be used.

    Annual control.

    Consumption Calculation of heat input.Daily measurement

    and control.

    Continuous

    measurement and

    control

    Viscosity Regulation of burner. From time to time.For each fuel

    delivery.

    Combustion

    product

    temperature

    Calculation of energy

    efficiency of heat losses

    with combustionproducts.

    Continuous

    measurement and

    control.

    Continuous

    measurement and

    control. Automaticregulation

    MONITORING Frequency and Scope

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    MONITORING

    PARAMETERPURPOSE

    Frequency and Scope

    < 20 t/h of steam 20 100 t/h of st.

    Gaseous Fuels

    Calorific value Calculation of heat input.

    No checking. Values

    given by the suppliercan be used.

    Density and sulfur

    portion for eachdelivery.

    Fuel contents

    Possible negative effects

    on heat transfer surfaces

    and emissions of

    combustion products.

    No checking. Values

    given by the supplier

    can be used.

    Annual control.

    Consumption Calculation of heat input.Daily measurement

    and control.

    Continuous

    measurement and

    control.

    Combustion

    producttemperature

    Calculation of energy

    efficiency of energy withcombustion products.

    Continuous

    measurement andcontrol.

    Continuous

    measurement and

    control. Automaticregulation

    Combustion

    products analysis

    Calculation of efficiency

    (by using portion of O2;

    and due to incomplete

    combustion by usingportion of CO).

    Daily analysis.

    Automatic regulation

    is desirable

    Continuous

    measurement and

    control. Automatic

    regulation

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    Frequency and Scope

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    MONITORING

    PARAMETERPURPOSE

    Frequency and Scope

    < 20 t/h of steam20 100 t/h of

    steam

    WATER

    Supply wateranalysis

    Blowdown Measurements pershifts.

    Continuous

    measurement andcontrol.

    Supply water

    temperature

    Calculation of energy

    efficiency.

    Continuous

    measurement and

    control.

    Continuous

    measurement and

    control.

    Supply water flowCalculation of steamproduction if flow is not

    measured.

    Continuousmeasurement and

    control.

    Continuousmeasurement and

    control.

    Fresh water

    analysisBlowdown Daily measurements.

    Continuous

    measurement and

    control.

    Boiler water

    analysisBlowdown.

    Measurements per

    shifts.

    Continuous

    measurement and

    control.

    Temperature of

    return condensate

    Calculation of supply

    water temperature.

    Measurements per

    shifts.

    Continuous

    measurement andcontrol.

    F d S

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    MONITORING

    PARAMETERPURPOSE

    Frequency and Scope

    < 20 t/h of steam20 100 t/h of

    steam

    STEAM

    Steam flowCalculation of efficiency

    and heat energy.

    Continuousmeasurement and

    recording or supply

    water flow

    measurement.

    Continuous

    measurement

    and control.

    Steam pressureCalculation of thermal

    effect.

    Continuous

    measurement and

    control.

    Continuous

    measurement

    and control.

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    Options of M&V Procedures

    M&V OptionManner of Calculating

    EffectsTypical Application

    A.

    Measurement of key

    parameters

    Savings are determined by

    measuring key parameters

    which define energy

    consumption of the system in

    which the measure for energy

    efficiency increase has been

    applied.

    The frequency of

    measurements is adapted to

    expected variations ofmeasured parameters.

    Less important parameters

    are estimated on the basis

    specifications provided by

    equipment manufactures or

    on the basis of experience.

    On the basis of

    engineering calculations

    of energy consumption ofthe baseline period and

    after EEM application.

    It is compulsory to

    determine CORRECTION

    on the basis of operating

    conditions of theequipment or plant in

    both periods.

    Lighting in whichcapacity is the key

    parameter. The other key

    factor is the number of

    operating hours of

    individual parts of the

    lighting system.

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    M&V OptionManner of Calculating

    Effects

    Typical Application

    B.

    Measurement of all

    parameters

    Savings are determined by

    measuring energy

    consumption of systemaffected by the EEM

    implementation.

    Frequency of

    measurements is in the

    range from short term to

    continuous depending onexpected variations of

    measured parameters and

    on the duration of the

    reporting period.

    Short term or continuous

    energy measurements in

    baseline and reporting

    periods and/or engineering

    calculations by means of

    indirect measurement of

    energy consumption.

    Routine and non-routineadjustments are done

    according to the needs.

    When using frequency

    regulators for the purpose

    of pump flow control. Watt

    meters measure electricity

    every minute.

    Options of M&V Procedures

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    M&V OptionManner of Calculating

    EffectsTypical Application

    C.

    Supervision pf the whole

    facility

    Savings are determined

    by measuring energyconsumption of the whole

    facility or part thereof.

    Continuous measurement

    of energy consumption in

    the whole facility is used

    during the whole reportingperiod.

    Annalisa of data by

    metering devices inbaseline and EEM

    application periods.

    Routine and non-routine

    corrections are made

    according to the needs.

    Implementation of the

    energy management

    program affecting systems

    within the building (plant).Monthly measurement of

    energy consumption by

    meters for electricity and

    gas in the course of twelve

    consecutive months and

    over the whole service lifeof the project.

    Options of M&V Procedures

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    M&V OptionManner of Calculating

    EffectsTypical Application

    D.

    Simulation of consumption

    measurement

    In this case, savings are

    determined by simulation

    of energy consumption of

    the whole facility or partthereof.

    This type of M&V is the

    only one in new buildings

    when there are no baseline

    measured values.

    Simulation routines areused for adequate

    modeling of actual energy

    efficiency of systems in the

    building (plant).

    Simulation of energy

    consumption with hourly

    or monthly data from

    bills (measurement of

    final energy consumption

    can be used for

    redefining input data).

    Multi purpose program formanaging energy

    consumption in the building

    has several systems and does

    not have data for the baseline

    period.

    After the installation of ameasuring device,

    measurements are used to

    calibrate simulations.

    Energy consumption in the

    baseline period is determined

    by means of calibratedsimulation and it is compared

    with the simulation of energy

    consumption in the period

    after EEM has been

    implemented.

    Options of M&V Procedures

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    Example 1. Improvement of Boiler Efficiency

    Starting points. The contractor hasreplaced the existing boilerin a commercial building with a new more efficient one. In the

    offer, annual savings of fuel oil of at least 35,000 is guaranteed

    provided the boiler load is the same as in the baseline period

    which included the whole heating season. The employer is

    obliged to pay for annual savings to the contractor after the

    contractor presents the report on savings. The M&V Plan for the

    whole period is done together by the contractor and the

    employer (Type B).

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    As it was already mentioned a company which provides energy

    services by proposing EEMs through contracts with guaranteed

    energy savings is called an Energy Service Company(ESCO).

    The primary purpose of the M&V for contracts with guaranteed

    effects often quickly shows the results of energy efficiency

    projects. After such analysis and verification of effects, theemployer can undertake running the plant and does not need

    permanent relations with the ESCO. The M&V Plan becomes the

    part of the contract on guaranteed savings and defines

    measurements for determining mutual payments.

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    Factors affecting M&V concept.

    The hot water boiler isthe only energy device that

    uses fuel oil as a fuel. The price of fuel oil according to

    which savings will be calculated is 1.10 /l. The

    agreement between the contractor and the employerseems to specify the contractors responsibility only

    relevant to the improvement of boiler energy

    efficiency and not for the load under which the boiler

    is used.

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    M&V Plan. The control boundary of the system is the hot water

    boiler itself. Measurements include measurement of fuel oil

    consumption and net delivered heat to the building. Since the

    boilers consumption of electricity in relation to the consumption ofchemical energy of the fuel is minimum, electricity consumption is

    not included in the energy balance.

    Such a plan is an option A in the Table 2.

    The buildings owner ordered 241,300 liters of fuel oil for firing the

    boiler in that heating season. At the end of the heating season there

    were 2,100 liters left in the tanks out of the ordered quantity. The

    consumption of fuel oil in the baseline year is 239,200 liters. Theboiler load is determined according to above data after determining

    energy efficiency of the existing boiler. This quantity of fuel oil is

    considered as accurate as it is determined by measuring the level in

    the tanks and confirmed by bills of the fuel oil supplier.

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    Energy efficiency or the degree of the boilers effectiveness is

    carried out during winter period before the removal of the old

    boiler. Winter conditions are needed to ensure sufficient boilerload and thereby obtain reliable figures for the boilers efficiency.

    To measure the flow of fuel oil, a turbine flow meter is installed

    with the accuracy class of 2%. For measuring delivered heat

    energy, a calorimeter is installed of the same accuracy class.

    Baseline data are obtained on the basis of independent

    measurements in the duration of three weeks at the time when

    the average daily temperature was -5 to +5 oC. The same kind of

    measurements is also planned after the installation of a newboiler by means of the same measuring devices. This also implies

    that the outside temperature is within the same range as in the

    case of measuring the efficiency of the old boiler.

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    Measurements for the old and later for the new boiler are carried

    out by boiler operators on a daily basis during planned three

    weeks. Readings of the meter and calorimeter are recorded in a

    prepared form available for inspection at any time.The outside temperature is measured automatically and it is

    recorded in an independent device. The contractor and the

    employer determined together the level of satisfaction of the

    external conditions for the execution of tests.

    Delivery, installation, putting into operation of the calorimeter

    and flow meter for fuel oil, calculations and writing a report on

    achieved savings during two months is agreed in a separate

    contract worth 5,100. The contractor offered an additional

    contract worth 3,000 for the supervision of measurements over

    the entire heating season. This additional contract was not

    accepted by the employer.

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    0.652Reduction of Fuel Oil Consumption 239.200 1 45,700 [l / year]

    0.806

    Fuel OilSaving 1.10 45,700 50,270 [/ year]

    Since the annual consumption of fuel oil is known (239,100 liters),

    the expected annual saving is as follows:

    The expected financial effect is:

    The contractor guaranteed the saving of at least 35,000 and

    obviously did not achieve that.

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    Example 2. Efficiency of a Lighting System

    Starting point. In one school, efficient lighting is installed

    instead of old and inefficient lighting. The degree of illuminationremains the same as it is determined that the old lighting

    system meets modern standards in terms of illumination.

    The School Board has entered into negotiations with a qualified

    contractor taking into account a number of programs withmeasures to increase energy efficiency. It is proposed that

    payments are based on measured savings according to the price

    of electricity at the time of contract signing. The M&V plan

    defines, among other things, the manner of calculating savings.

    Since users control the lighting system in the school, it is agreed

    to implement Option A and to measure key parameters. Key

    parameters are the capacity of the lighting system and the

    number of operating hours. Details are worked out in the M&V

    plan.

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    Factors affecting M&V concept.When preparing theM&V Plan, the following facts have been taken into

    considerations:

    The whole lighting system is supplied by a standard low voltage electricity

    grid (220 V) which is used only for the supply of the lighting system. This

    fact simplifies the measurement of electricity consumption.

    Since the old system of lighting (incandescent light bulbs) affects heat

    energy requirements, it is necessary to consider and assess mutual effectsof two energy systems.

    The existing lighting system affects also the cooling system. However,

    during the hottest months, the school is not used. Therefore, the interaction

    between these two systems can be neglected.

    The School Board did not accept the contractors proposal to determine the

    number of hours of lighting systems operations arbitrarily. Therefore, it is

    agreed to monitor operations of the lighting system in the school. This test

    should determine the reliable number of hours of the systems operations

    during the baseline period and later during the calculation of savings.

    M&V Plan The boundaries of the lighting system are determined

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    M&V Plan. The boundaries of the lighting system are determined

    in such a way to include all light bulbs which are connected to the

    grid.

    Interactive effect on heating is determined by technical

    calculations. It is determined that heat energy required for the

    heating system will be increased by 3% after the replacement

    of incandescent light bulbs with highly efficient lights. This

    refers to the whole heating period. The efficiency degree of the

    boiler is 79% and it is determined by an independent test instandard winter conditions.

    Other factors, which are used for the preparation of the M&V

    Plan include description, location, level of illumination and the

    number of operational and burned out light bulbs. The level of illumination is determined arbitrarily by setting up

    30 luxmeters (data logger) in classrooms, corridors, dressing

    room, etc. The test lasted for two months. The Table 3 gives

    some data obtained during the test.

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    Location

    Portion of

    Lighting

    Subsystem

    in Total

    Capacity

    [%]

    Average Number of

    Hours in a Week

    [h/week]Assessment of

    Annual

    Operating Hours

    [h/year]Business

    Day

    Holidaysand

    Weekend

    s

    DressingRooms 5 106 22 4,424

    Offices 5 83 21 3,514

    Classroom

    s61 48 + 6 5 2,172

    Amphitheaters

    10 31 11 1,354

    Halls 10 32 25 1,578

    Corridors 9 168 168 8,770

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    Result. After the implementation of EEM, measurements are

    repeated in all electric circuits as during the test to determine

    baseline power. Maximum power is 162 kW with all new lights

    turned on. There are no burned out lights. With the samepercentage of 1% for burned out lights, as in baseline period,

    peak load is 160 kW (= 162 0.99).

    Power reduction relevant for calculations is:

    P 288 160 128 kW

    Expected electricity saving is:

    E 128 2,792 357,376 kW /a

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    Saving of power input is 128 kW during ten months and 50% of

    that during two summer months. This is totally 1,408 kW for the

    whole year.

    Thus, total financial effects of electricity consumption for this

    EEM is:

    N (357,376 0.0510) (1,408 8.79) 30,602 / a

    Because of the above change of lights, the boiler for heat energy

    production should deliver around 3% more energy during heating

    season. It can be estimated that during a typical winter months

    electricity consumption for lighting is equal to:

    mon

    357,376EE 35,738 / a

    10

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    If it is determined that the consumption of heat energy is

    increased (5 months) after the implementation of the EEM by

    some 3%, the equivalent of primary energy of natural gas is

    equal to:

    0.03 35,738 5NG 6,786 kWh / a

    0.79

    The calorific value of natural gas is 10.5 kWh/nm3 so that

    additional quantity of natural gas required for heating purposes

    is equal to 646 nm3/year. The monetary value of this amount of

    gas is 133.5.

    Now, the total net savings is equal to: 30,602 133.5 = 30,468.5

    /year.