6/5/2015 greek presentation in 26 th session of the executive body for the convention on long-range...
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18/04/2318/04/23 Greek presentation in 26Greek presentation in 26thth session of the Executive Body for session of the Executive Body for the Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollutionthe Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution
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PROTOCOL ON NITROGEN OXIDESPROTOCOL ON NITROGEN OXIDES
Greek presentation in the 26Greek presentation in the 26thth session of the session of the Executive Body for the Convention on Long-Executive Body for the Convention on Long-
Range Transboundary Air PollutionRange Transboundary Air Pollution
Prof Ziomas Prof Ziomas
Alex KaravanasAlex Karavanas
NATIONAL CENTER FOR THE ENVIRONMENT AND NATIONAL CENTER FOR THE ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
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General Information General Information
1. According to 2005/4 Decision of the Executive Body as repeated in the ECE/EB.AIR/2008/3 Decision of the Implementation Committee, Greece must make a presentation in accordance with paragraph 8 of EB decision 2005/4 during the discussion under item 9 "Compliance by Parties with their obligations".
2. The final report describing the progress that has been made and the measures referred to in paragraph 5 of decision 2005/4 (as reiterated in 11th report par 2.12.f), will be submitted to the Implementation Committee by March 31, 2009.
3. A draft informal report is accompanying this presentation . From this report we can conclude that Greece is in compliance with the relevant provisions of NOx Protocol for the year 2010. It must be taken into account that even though Greece is in line without taking further measures for the year 2010, it has the intention to take new measures for better results after the year 2010.
18/04/2318/04/23 Greek presentation in 26Greek presentation in 26thth session of the Executive Body for session of the Executive Body for the Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollutionthe Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution
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Obligations Obligations
1. Greece taking into account all the pending obligations to the EB and Implementation Committee is going to fulfill all its obligations to the Protocol on Nitrogen Oxides
2. submit a final report describing the progress it has been made and the measures referred to in paragraph 5 of decision 2005/4 until 31-3-2009.
3. Make a presentation of the above in the 26th Session.
4. To submit the EMEP 50x50 km2 Inventory the soonest (available now).
5. To complete the questionnaire 2008 that has not been submitted so far.
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Requirements to be reported. Requirements to be reported.
1. According to the Decision EB.AIR/2005/3 of the September 13, 2005 the Executive Body :
2. urges Greece to consider taking additional measures in order to fulfill its obligation under article 2, paragraph 1, of the NOx Protocol as soon as possible
3. To fulfill its emission reduction obligations under the NOx Protocol, setting out a timetable with annual steps for the achievement of these measures and indicating the projected effects of each of these measures on its NOx emissions per year up to and including the year of predicted compliance;
4. Invites Greece, when deciding on the measures indicated above, to consider areas with high potential for achieving reductions of NOx emissions
5. Requests Greece to provide the Implementation Committee, with a report
18/04/2318/04/23 Greek presentation in 26Greek presentation in 26thth session of the Executive Body for session of the Executive Body for the Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollutionthe Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution
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Energy Sector EmissionsEnergy Sector Emissions
Big scale state investments in the energy sector are not foreseen until 2010. Another announced private investment is not going to be realized until 2010.
In previous document sent to the Implementation Committee in early 2008, a considerable emissions increase was associated with increasing production of electricity in small Aegean islands.
Although, as the whole installed capacity in the islands represents only a small percentage of the total installed capacity of the country, this statement seems rather unreliable.
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Emissions and projections 2010 Emissions and projections 2010 reported. reported.
Total emission values exceeded the threshold of 290 Kt/y for the period 2000-2006.
NOx emissions projections for the year 2010 as submitted in previous years. This remarkable increase in NOx emissions projections for 2010 as reported in 2008, is due to an overestimation of future investments in the energy sector.
2005 2006 2008
Energy industries (Combustion in Power plants and Energy production)
83.69 86 146
Road transport 55 65
Total (from all sources)
285 264 318
18/04/2318/04/23 Greek presentation in 26Greek presentation in 26thth session of the Executive Body for session of the Executive Body for the Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollutionthe Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution
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Measures planned for the emissions reduction –Measures planned for the emissions reduction –Energy sector.Energy sector.
The measures that will be taken are the following:
Replacement of existing units with new technology ones following the Best Available Techniques (BAT) as it is required by the IPPC Directive, and
Decommissioning of lignite installations which will be replaced later by new ones with Natural Gas as fuel and Photoboltaic installations. After 2010, new hydro plants will be added.
18/04/2318/04/23 Greek presentation in 26Greek presentation in 26thth session of the Executive Body for session of the Executive Body for the Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollutionthe Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution
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Energy Sector Emissions Energy Sector Emissions
Until 2010, two lignite units with a Nominal capacity of 913 MWth and one unit using Heavy Fuel Oil and Natural Gas with a capacity of 1185 MWth will be decommissioned.
Several internal combustion engines of total capacity of 200 MWth will be replaced by new engines of 180 MWth in the Aegean Islands. After 2010 and by the end of 2014 another 2000 MWth (public sector) will be installed. Installations of a total capacity of 1000 MWth (private sector) are expected to enter in operation after 2010.
NOx emissions from public electricity and heat production are expected to be 80.9 kt for 2010.
These estimations will be verified with detailed plans from the Public Power Corporation and the Competent authorities for the operation permits.
18/04/2318/04/23 Greek presentation in 26Greek presentation in 26thth session of the Executive Body for session of the Executive Body for the Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollutionthe Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution
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Energy Sector Emissions Energy Sector Emissions CalculationsCalculations
The models MARKAL, WASP IV and COSTPLUS were used for the calculations and projections
The use of these models leads to the conduction of analytical quantitative targets per technology, such as the demanded power for wind turbines, small - scale hydro or biomass or the quantification of energy savings in the industrial and residential sectors, etc.
The estimation of NOx emissions for years 2010, 1015 and 2020 is based on projected fuel consumption
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Energy Sector Emissions Calculations Energy Sector Emissions Calculations Projected fuel consumption for Electricity and Heat Production for Projected fuel consumption for Electricity and Heat Production for
mainland’s interconnected system mainland’s interconnected system ..Scenario Fuel type 2010 2015 2020
Scenario 0 Lignite 69923,8 63003,6 49388,7 kTons
Heavy Fuel Oil 521,6 0,0 0,0 kTons
Natural Gas 3958,0 3975,8 4372,6 10^6* nm^3
Coal 0,0 2844,5 5618,5 kTons
Scenario 1 Lignite 68806,4 59205,3 45784,2 kTons
Heavy Fuel Oil 519,0 0,0 0,0 kTons
Natural Gas 3655,8 3129,3 3090,7 10^6* nm^3
Coal 0,0 2779,2 4062,8 kTons
Scenario 2 Lignite 67823,9 62715,6 49693,3 kTons
Heavy Fuel Oil 516,1 0,0 0,0 kTons
Natural Gas 3779,3 4415,5 5098,7 10^6* nm^3
Coal 0,0 0,0 0,0 kTons
18/04/2318/04/23 Greek presentation in 26Greek presentation in 26thth session of the Executive Body for session of the Executive Body for the Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollutionthe Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution
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Energy Sector Projection ScenariosEnergy Sector Projection Scenarios Projected fuel consumption for Electricity and Heat Production for Projected fuel consumption for Electricity and Heat Production for
non interconnected islandsnon interconnected islands
Scenario Fuel Type 2010 2015 2020
Scenario 0 NG Crete 0,0 86,6 270,3 ktoe
Oil - islands 495,5 515,1 461,0 ktoe
Scenario 1 NG Crete 0,0 86,6 270,3 ktoe
Oil - islands 495,1 503,2 392,6 ktoe
Scenario 2 NG Crete 0,0 86,6 270,3 ktoe
Oil - islands 495,1 503,2 400,0 ktoe
18/04/2318/04/23 Greek presentation in 26Greek presentation in 26thth session of the Executive Body for session of the Executive Body for the Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollutionthe Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution
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Energy Sector (6)Energy Sector (6)NOx emissions and projectionsNOx emissions and projections
2006 2010 2015 2020
1 A 1 a Public Electricity and Heat Production 80,02 80,9 81,5 73,9 kt NOx
1 A 1 b Petroleum refining 6,32 7,6 7,8 7,5 kt NOx
1 A 1 c Manufacture of Solid Fuels and Other Energy I ndustries 0,19 0,2 0,2 0,2 kt NOx
1.A.1 Total 86,54 88,7 89,5 81,5 kt NOx
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Transportation Sector Emissions Transportation Sector Emissions
During the period 1990 – 2006 GHG emissions from road transport present an average annual rate of increase of approximately 4.2%.
The projections are clearly shown that emissions are going to considerably decrease mainly because of the measures announced by the Government for the withdrawal of older cars.
These measures are planned to be started in 2009.
Annual NOx emissions from road transport in 2010 will be
87.7 kt/y (scenario A)95.5kt/y (scenario B)
18/04/2318/04/23 Greek presentation in 26Greek presentation in 26thth session of the Executive Body for session of the Executive Body for the Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollutionthe Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution
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Transportation Sector Emissions Transportation Sector Emissions Population of circulating vehicles according their age (first circulation year before and Population of circulating vehicles according their age (first circulation year before and
after 1995) and their typeafter 1995) and their type
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Transportation Sector Emissions Transportation Sector Emissions Contribution of each vehicle type to total NOx emissions from road trafficContribution of each vehicle type to total NOx emissions from road traffic
14%
8%
62%
13%
3%
Passenger Cars
Light Duty Vehicles
Heavy Duty Trucks
Buses
2-wheelers
18/04/2318/04/23 Greek presentation in 26Greek presentation in 26thth session of the Executive Body for session of the Executive Body for the Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollutionthe Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution
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Transportation Sector EmissionsTransportation Sector EmissionsContribution of older and newer vehicles to NOx emissions of each vehicle Contribution of older and newer vehicles to NOx emissions of each vehicle
categorycategory
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Measures planned for the emissions reduction –Measures planned for the emissions reduction –Transportation sectorTransportation sector
Main Target
These measures will lead to a considerable decrease of NOx emissions due mainly to the withdrawal of older vehicles.
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Transportation Measures (1) Transportation Measures (1)
Environmental charges of vehicles circulation
•Yearly circulation charges will increase according to the environmental impact of each vehicle engine (passenger cars, 2-wheelers, trucks etc.)
•For the payment of the charges and in order to receive the corresponding sticker, the presentation of the emissions control card will be required.
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Transportation Measures (2) Transportation Measures (2)
Environmental fees
Introduction of environmental fees concerning vehicles circulation as the following:
•Introduction of variable road tolls with respect to the environmental impact of each vehicle engine.
•Introduction of parking fees varying in accordance to the environmental impact of each vehicle engine.
•Congestion charges for vehicles entering the city centre. The charges will vary according to the environmental impact of each vehicle engine.
18/04/2318/04/23 Greek presentation in 26Greek presentation in 26thth session of the Executive Body for session of the Executive Body for the Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollutionthe Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution
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Transportation Measures (3) Transportation Measures (3)
Environmental circulation restrictions (green ring)
Implementation of a system of restricted entrance to the city centre applying to the more polluting vehicles of all types.
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Transportation Measures (4) Transportation Measures (4) Environmental circulation restrictions (green ring)Environmental circulation restrictions (green ring)
Vehicle
category
Environmental
“Performance”
Entrance to the
Green Ring
Passenger
Cars – Light
Duty Vehicles
Class D
Conventional (before ’93)
Only weekends
Class B and C
With catalytic converter (after 93)
With the “even-odd”
system (according
the last number of
the vehicle plate)
Class A
Low emissions
Free
2-Wheelers 2-stroke (mopeds <50cc) Only weekends
4-stroke Free
Trucks
Coaches
More than 15 years (Euro 1) Only weekends
Less than 15 years (Euro I I ,I I I ) Free
Clean (Euro IV) Free
Buses All Free
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FUTURE PROJECTION: 2010 SCENARIO AFUTURE PROJECTION: 2010 SCENARIO A
For this scenario, the following assumptions were made:All the governmental measures are applied in 2010.
70% of passenger cars older than 15 years old are withdrawn70% of light duty vehicles older than 15 years old are withdrawn
35% of heavy duty vehicles older than 15 years old are withdrawn35% of buses and coaches older than 15 years old are withdrawn
Nitrogen oxides emissions are 87,728 t/y
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FUTURE PROJECTION: 2010 SCENARIO BFUTURE PROJECTION: 2010 SCENARIO B
All the governmental measures are applied in 2010.50% of passenger cars older than 15 years old are withdrawn
50% of light duty vehicles older than 15 years old are withdrawn25% of heavy duty vehicles older than 15 years old are withdrawn25% of buses and coaches older than 15 years old are withdrawn
Nitrogen oxides emissions are 95,472 t/y
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Transportation Sector Emissions (2) Transportation Sector Emissions (2)
For the estimation of emissions from road transportation the model COPERT IV, Version 5.0 (December 2007), will be applied.
Air emissions from road transportation in 2006 in Greece 103.07 kt/y
Sector 2010 (kt/y)
Energy industries (Combustion in power plants
& energy production)
88.7
Manufacturing industry combustion
(Combustion in industry)
24
Road transport 87.7
Other transport 40
Other sectors 40
Fugitive emissions (from fuels) 0.4
Industrial processes 1.5
Solvent and other product use
Agriculture 1.3
Waste
Land use, lande use change and forestry
Total emissions 283.6
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Projections 2010 Projections 2010 (scenario A for Road transport )(scenario A for Road transport )
Based on the above, total expected NOx emissions for the year 2010 will not exceed the threshold of 290 kt/y.Projections will be reported for all sectors in the final report
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Projections 2010 Projections 2010 (scenario B for Road transport)(scenario B for Road transport)
Based on the above, total expected NOx emissions for the year 2010 will not exceed the threshold of 290 kt/y.Projections will be reported for all sectors in the final report
Table 3. Total NOx annual emissions per sector
Sector 2010 (kt/y)
Energy industries (Combustion in power plants
& energy production)
88.7
Manufacturing industry combustion
(Combustion in industry)
24
Road transport 95.5
Other transport 40
Other sectors 40
Fugitive emissions (from fuels) 0.4
Industrial processes 1.5
Solvent and other product use
Agriculture 1.3
Waste
Land use, lande use change and forestry
Total emissions 291.4