78. festival

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    Festival

    Strange things can happen in the betting shop. One day a few years ago now

    I was busy studying form when a stranger came up and engaged me in

    conversation. I'm always naturally suspicious in these situations and when heproceeded to tell me that he was the driver of a horse-box that had come up

    to the Perth meeting that day with a couple of runners from a well known

    Lambourn yard, I had a good idea of what was coming next; especially when

    he added that both were expected to win later that afternoon, and at good

    prices. I hastily ended the conversation and drifted away to study my Racing

    Post to see if I could uncover a noted Lambourn trainer that had two runners

    at Perth later in the afternoon.

    It didn't take too much study to reveal the answer. Kim Bailey at that time was

    training in Lambourn and sure enough he had two runners at Perth later that

    day, and they were at decent prices. He was the only trainer that fitted the bill.

    The fact that he had a good record at Perth was a bonus. I congratulated

    myself on my cunning and went ahead and backed both of them - just in

    singles, as I afterwards regretted, and not in a double. They both won. The

    prices were good, I collected my considerable winnings and was making my

    way out of the shop when I saw again the horsebox driver. I was thinking

    about bunging him a few quid from my winnings, just out of generosity, when I

    saw a good friend that I hadn't seen for a few months, so went to speak to him

    instead. I pointed out to him the Kim Bailey driver and related my story,

    expecting him to be impressed by my craftiness. Instead, he laughed for

    about two minutes. When he managed to stop he told me that my Kim Bailey

    driver lived along the street from him, and was a noted chancer of the highest

    calibre who hadn't worked a day in his life. So, although his life was one of

    total make-believe, my winnings were real enough. I think I had the last laugh.

    That was a true story and so is this, brought to mind by the mention of the

    Perth race meeting in the previous anecdote. Mrs Highlander and myself were

    in Perth for the day, she to do some scientific testing of the power of plastic,

    or what I would call extreme shopping, while I had to kick my heels in a variety

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    of pubs to pass the hours. At times it's a hard life. I found myself eventually in

    a pub called The Last Drop. I thought it was a great name for a hostelry and

    so stayed there sampling quite a few drops of malt, especially that of Highland

    Park which comes from the most northerly distillery in the U.K. After a while I

    was feeling in expansive, and probably expensive, mood and addressed the

    owner to the effect that I considered The Last Drop a most appropriate name

    for a drinking place where you could enjoy your dram to the very last

    sensation. He quickly put me right. He explained that it was nothing to do with

    that at all. It was all about the site of the pub, because it was exactly located

    on the place where the last gallows in Perth did its grisly business. It was

    indeed for many the last drop. I felt a sudden chill in the bar and quickly

    finished my malt before going out into the warm sunshine.

    Thinking of horses' names the other day I suddenly remembered a name from

    the past - or rather a family of names, all including the word KYBO. It came

    from an acronym for a piece of matronly advice given to the owner when he

    was a public schoolboy. Keep Your Bowels Open. The matron's advice

    continued into history.

    Before going on to our system for this month, how about this thought that

    must have occurred to most of us at some point in our pursuit of a winner? A

    racehorse is the only animal that can take several thousand people for a ride

    at the same time. Yes, and I've been aboard many times.

    Now, for the system. It's called Festival and I've been tempted to introduce it

    many times in the past because it's a fairly well known one and is frequently

    referred to in discussions of the best performing systems over the years. I

    would just like to clarify one or two points. The three form figures should all

    come from the current season. And secondly, when it talks about the

    Topspeed ratings under each race, that is no longer how they are recorded.

    There is now a separate chart for each meeting, race by race, so you will

    have to look there to see if the selection is placed in the first three. After all

    that, let's hope that the Festival is a cause for celebration for all of us.

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    Festival

    You must only use the Racing Post for this method. No other paper will do. If

    you follow the rules carefully you will end up with one selection, sometimes

    two.

    1. Mark down all the horses that are running who have consistent form, i.e.

    horses who have finished in the first three on all of their last three runs. Next,

    you have to eliminate horses to get down to one horse.

    Eliminate all horses that are not rated in the Topspeed ratings. These can be

    found underneath each race. There is usually a maximum of three. Next you

    eliminate all horses that are not forecast favourite in the Racing Post betting

    forecast. If you are left with one horse then this is the day's selection. If you

    are left with more than one horse then the horse to be selected is the one at

    the shortest price in the Racing Post forecast. If two horses or more are

    quoted at the same price, then all horses are to be backed.

    If when you have eliminated all the horses that are not forecast favourite you

    end up with no horses left, you move onto the next rule. Obviously, with not

    having a selection from the first rule then this rule must be brought into

    operation.

    All the horses that qualified through Topspeed ratings will re-qualify. Next,

    eliminate all horses who are not quoted second favourite in the Racing Post

    forecast. Once again, if you are left with one horse then this is the selection.

    If you are left with two or more selections then there is no bet for that day.

    If no horse qualifies under both rules, then obviously there is no bet for that

    day.

    What you are backing is a horse who has shown consistent form and returned

    good times. So the horse when running against others must have a first rate

    chance.