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The Shadow of Chinese Dragon on
India
This is the story of two Asians nations. Both have populations
in excess of billion and the ability to become superpowers. Yet
there is a study of contrast: one had achieved the distinction of
being the fastest growing economy of the twentieth and twenty-
first centuries. The other is still playing catch up with the tiger
economies of South East Asia.
China has achieved the status of one of the fastest growing
economy of the decade, close to being the second
largest economy behind US. It has the
largest market in terms of population-
wise which every company in the world
crazes to command. It is also the
country which has got the
reputation of being the cheapest
manufacturing base in the world,
highly skilled and cheap labour
and products which, riding on the low priceship, are commanding a share and position all over the world and
making life miserable for companies competing against them
including that of India.
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Lets have a look as to what has made all these things
happen. What is the history of the reforms undergone by the
country and how has it got in the commanding position.
Also a look at why has India not been able to be in the same
position as that of China. What has been the impact of Chinese
industries on India and what are the measures, which need to be
undertaken to counteract this possible threat.
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China
Introduction
Walk into any major retail outlets like Wal-mart, Kmart,
Sears, Ikea, Sogo, Carefour or any other major retail chain
anywhere in the world. Chances are that more than 30% to 40%
of the merchandise on display will be from China. Chinese toys,garments, shoes, cutlery, consumer electronics, PCs and
accessories, sports equipment etc. are making waves.
Even in India, many industries are feeling the heat of Chinese
products becoming available at substantially lower prices. The
Indian consumer, so far used to high prices, is having a great time
buying these products of reasonable good quality 30-40%
cheaper than their Indian counterpart.
The initial success in penetrating the Indian markets in product
categories like batteries, toys, bulbs, consumer electronics is
slowly being replicated in other industries like pharmaceuticals,
engineering, machinery and even sophisticated industries like
computers hardware and mobile phones.
Ten years back, nobody could have imagined such a dominance
of Chinese products on the world scene. Many are bewildered by
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the sudden transformation in such a short time. Indian industry
appears to be completely at a loss to respond to such an
aggressive competition from China. Most of them are running to
Government for help in the form of protection and anti-dumping
measures. Such steps may give them breathing space in the short
run - but in the long run they will completely isolate themselves
from the world scene.
The story of Chinas competitiveness is the story of how
human skill can attract its own capital and how the ownership of
the means of production by the workers can actually producemiracles. Chinas competitiveness shows how the supply of cheap
and standardized goods can win markets helped by low assets but
intense knowledge. It shows the intense, tremendous and
autonomous role which trade unions can play in the
industrialization of the country. It shows how decentralization and
local autonomy can invoke both corruption and boost productivity
with equal probability. The story of China shows, like Michael
Porters all other examples how adversity for a community in a
country can work wonders for its fate.
To understand this inner story, lets examine what makes china
tick.
What are the reasons due to which China has an advantage and
upper hand?
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The opening up of China
The First Phase
The process of liberalization in China was started in late 70s. The
Chinese leadership had a vision to make China an industrial giant.
It opened the gates for foreign investors by giving them sops. The
overseas Chinese settled all over the world took advantage of this
by bringing in capital and starting manufacturing activities. The
produce had ready markets in their respective countries where
large Chinese population was concentrated.
Also the central government initiated price and ownership
incentives for farmers, which enabled them to sell a portion of
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their crops on the free market. In addition, the government
established four special economic
zones for the purpose of attracting foreign investment, boosting
exports, and importing high technology products into China.
Economic control of various enterprises was given to provincial
and local governments, which were generally allowed to operate
and compete on free market principles, rather than under the
direction and guidance of state planning. Additional coastal
regions and cities were designated as open cities anddevelopment zones, which allowed them to experiment with free
market reforms and to offer tax and trade incentives to attract
foreign investment. In addition, state price controls on a wide
range of products were gradually eliminated.
This process of opening up of Pearl River delta (Guangdong
province) became an example for other provinces to follow.
They started as copycats in products like toys, garments,
consumer electronics etc., producing at one tenth of prevailing
prices and making these available under OEM brand names.
Once the reputation for value was established, they wooed the
likes of Sears, Wal-mart, and Kmart etc. to offer these products
under their private labels.
The presence of Hongkong helped China to market the products
not only to the ASEAN countries but also to other countries in
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Africa, South America and the Middle East. This geographical
spread helped them to expand capacity and reduce costs further.
The Second Phase
In the second phase, China allowed multinational companies to
set up bases in China's economic free zones to take advantage of
Government incentives, cheap labor and presence of large
domestic market. This helped them to create employmentopportunities, gain technical knowledge and improve
infrastructure in terms of power, roads, ports etc.
As a result of this most consumer electronics majors such as
Panasonic, Sony, LG, Toshiba, Nokia etc. have set up
manufacturing plants in China. Many transnational companies like
GE, Siemens, Electrolux etc feed exports all over the world from
plants located in China. Favorable economic policies have
contributed to China becoming the largest Foreign Direct
Investment (FDI) destination among developing countries
The importance and contribution of FDI to China is explained
below:
Foreign Direct Investment
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China became to open up to foreign direct investment in the early
1980s, the amounts initially were relatively small. But by the
1990s, China was attracting $30 to $40 billion of foreign direct
investment per year. These inflows have been so massive that
China now accounts, for one-third of all foreign direct investment
in all developing countries combined.The FDI inflows into China inthe first seven months of 2010 have risen to $58.35 billion. In
2009, it received a whopping $95 billion in foreing direct
investment.
FDI inflow
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
197919851990199519971998199920002003200620072008
Years
US$Billion
Fig. 1
This has been a very important driver, of course, for exports,
because many of these foreign invested companies are heavily
involved in export production. Indeed, the next diagram shows
that the share of exports being produced by foreign invested
companies in China grew from about 1 percent in 1985 to
something around 61 percent last year.
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Share of Exports by Foreign Companies
in China
01020304050607080
1985 1990 1993 1995 1997 1998 1999 2000 2003 2006 2007 2008
Years
%R
ise
Fig. 2
As a result of above phases of opening up of Chinese economy,
China has developed a substantially large manufacturing base in
almost every product, be it a commodity like steel or consumergoods like toys batteries, watches etc. Chinese industry has
benefit of a large production base, flexible capacity and sort of
integrated structure of supporting industries in many sectors. In
many sectors, China is still adding capacity in anticipation of
emerging global opportunities. Besides, China has a well-
developed infrastructure.
Secret of Business and Manufacturing Strategy
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A very significant aspect of its competitiveness is perhaps the
mindset that makes business strategy - the way they think and
the way they operate.
This can be explained by the fact that:
Presently most Chinese companies have a single corporate
mission be a global company. Corporate profiles of most of the
companies had this to convey; we are a national company, going
to be a global company.
They seemed to be selling their product at prices that would
create markets for their products and enable the consumers to
buy large and many more times. They believe in maximization of
sales rather than profits that follow from sales. Their business
strategy is seemingly focused around the principle of mass
production and mass consumption. The Chinese concentrate on
mass markets, rather than premium markets and premium
products.
China has a subsequent large manufacturing base in virtually
every product, be it a commodity like steel or light consumer
goods like toys, batteries, watches, etc. Chinese industry has the
benefits of a large production base, flexible capacity and assort of
integrated structure of supporting industries in many sectors.
About China's manufacturing strategy it can be said that
it has opted for a price- and volume-led growth, at wafer-thin
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margins. From the research conducted on Chinese manufacturers,
it can be seen that the Chinese are neither consciously profit or
sales maximizers and value maximizers. The philosophy of a
Chinese manufacturer is simple. It won't claim to sell you the best
quality product, but it will charge you a tenth of the price offered
by others. In other words, their sole aim is to fulfill the customers
value for money for which they pack both product value as well as
money value. This has been the crux of the competitiveness
whether in the 19th century Europe or the 20th century Japan and
America or the 21st
century China.
Example:
Chinese aggressive marketing strategy is to take hold of exports
order at any cost. For instance, early this year, the Nepal
government invited bids to purchase 40 buses. Tata Engineering
and Locomotive company (Telco) offered competitive prices at
thin margins. When the bid was opened, it turned out to be the
lowest bidder. However, Telco was surprised when it found that
the order had gone to a Chinese company. The cause Chinese
firm gave an offer to the Nepal government a four-year, interest
free credit.
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Facilitators of dominance of Chinese products based on
cost leadership
A split unit air conditioner for less than $350, a 29inch television
for $200, a mobile phone for $20, a cotton shirt for $2, the most
demanded product like Children scooter at $15, toys for $1 and
ceramic for less than a dollar - these are some of examples of
prices of Chinese goods.
How are the Chinese able to produce at such a low cost -
sometimes, as per many experts, at costs lower than the
theoretical cost of material used? This question is repeatedly
asked by many people who do not have an in-depth knowledge as
to how the Chinese economy works and it can be explained as
follows:
There are two sides to the China story. The first is that cheap
labour; high productivity and government subsidies have turned it
into a low-cost producer that can beat any country. The second
part is seamier: Chinese firms are often ready to try anything --
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even illegal methods -- to capture a market. And it is becoming
increasingly difficult to separate the two.
Lower Costs Lead To Lower Prices
Although the data is sketchy, empirical evidence suggests that
three factors help Chinese manufacturers gain an edge over their
counterparts in other countries. These are:
1. productive and inexpensive labour
2. cheap inputs and
3. in-built economies of scale
In each of these areas, the government also chips in with specific
measures designed to improve the cost competitiveness. In fact,
the government incentives also explain why multinationals are
keen to set up manufacturing bases in China. Last year, the
country attracted $90 billion of foreign direct investment, or 13
times India's. To put this in perspective, the South Korean LG
Electronics has 10 units in China, while Schneider of France has
21.
First the low-cost, high-productivity labour edge that
China enjoys.
Recent studies indicate that the Chinese workforce is three to four
times more productive than India's in most sectors. Add to it the
labour-related policies adopted by the Chinese government,
which are tilted in favour of the manufacturers. In Mainland China,
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most workers are party cardholders. Also food, clothing and
housing for the workers are subsidised by the government. That
obviously results in lower corporate wage bills.
The situation is somewhat different in the export zones. There,
the companies negotiate wages each time they receive a new
export order. more than half of the companies with foreign
investment in the three SEZs (special export zones) in Guangdong
pay far less than the minimum wages. In addition, managements
in these zones have the flexibility to hire and fire workers, aflexibility that Indian corporate has been demanding for years.
Advantage of lower input costs.
To begin with, the import duty on capital goods is less than 5%,
compared with between 22% and 45% in India. And import duties
on raw materials are fairly low too. For example, the duty on
Caprolactum, an input for making nylon tyrecord, ranges between
4% and 18% in China, compared with 33.42% in India.
And finance costs, too, are lower in China. Interest rates on bank
loans range between 4% and 6% (compared with 14% in India).
Indian managers who regularly visit China claim that Chinese
firms do not have to bother about repaying the principal. And in
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case of default, the debt is converted into equity as long as the
interest is paid regularly.
Chinese Businessmen
Chinese exporters also take a number of steps to prune costs by
increasing productivity and building huge economies of scale. On
an average, the capacities of Chinese firms are at least three to
four times that of their Indian counterparts. Even in sectors like
steel, where capacities are fragmented -- China's largest plant has
a capacity of less than 9 million tpa, while its total capacity is over100 million tonnes -- the plants are located in
clusters to reap the benefits of scale.
Other methods followed
To play the volumes game, China also tacitly allows its
manufacturers to take any step necessary. For example, while the
manufacture of genuine high-quality goods allows them access to
organised markets, counterfeits help crack the gray market in
most countries. China has realised that the unorganised sector in
countries like India is often bigger than the organized one
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Chinese use the dirt-cheap counterfeits to woo new
customers in market where the per-capita consumption is low due
to the price barriers
What is interesting is that the counterfeits are made in the same
factories which produce genuine goods and provide economies of
scale and cross-subsidisation. That could explain why high-quality
Chinese goods can also be sold so cheap, and why the
government turns a blind eye to the illegal activities
One of them tells this story as an illustration. A few years ago,when Chinese companies were busy inking JV agreements with
their western counterparts, the Communist regime insisted that
the foreign partner should submit the technology-related
documents along with the application. When the JVs finally went
on stream, the western firms found that copies of those
documents had been passed on to local Chinese producers.
When one of these foreign firms complained, it received a curt
reply: "In the People's Republic of China, all documents submitted
to the government are people's property." The inference: Chinese
rivals were free to use those documents to make products that
were similar to the foreign brands. And they could sell them for
cheap due to low overheads, economies of scale and the ability to
use the under invoicing and smuggling routes to evade import
duties
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Yet another loophole available to these JVs was the buyback
agreement. So, if the proposed capacity was 100,000 units, and
the entire production was to be purchased by the foreign partner
to be sold in global markets, the Chinese would set up a plant
with twice or thrice that capacity. The additional production would
be sold as look-alikes.
China's counterfeit culture has become so predominant that
certain estimates indicate that two-thirds of products sold in its
domestic markets are fakes. Since it is difficult to differentiate the
real from the fake -- as the same firm could manufacture them.
But what is not an exception -- in fact, it is a planned strategy -- is
the endeavour among Chinese companies to use the smuggling
routes and loopholes in the legal system to evade duties and,
hence, reduce prices. Nepal is a good channel. The porous border
with India has resulted in organised smuggling channels. Also, the
trade treaty between the two countries enables free flow of goods
at low duties if the Nepalese exporter has achieved a minimum
value addition.
The import duty on plastics goods coming from Nepal is
15%, but the government gives a rebate of 75% if the goods are
made locally. That implies that the effective duty is less than 4%
and local manufacture is defined in terms of value addition." By
that logic, if a Nepalese trader under invoices the price of
imported goods from China and sells them at the original price to
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6. In order to make sure that it is able to pay the $180 billion
loan in foreign debt China had made it a point that the
currency was not devalued since 1994.
7. Since 1998 more than 1000 branches of unprofitable banks
have been closed down
8. The privatization of welfare is another Chinese initiative.
Education, housing, healthcare, and unemployment benefits,
which were earlier, delivered through the decaying SOEs is
now being privatised.
The current scenario:
After we have looked at the evolution and reforms through which
china has gone through from 1979 till date, lets see as to where
does China stand and what it has gained due to the reforms. What
is the current situation as regards to the economic position of
china, the different types of laws applicable and such other
things?
China's economic reforms and open investment policies have
contributed to a surge in economic growth. From 1979 to 1999,
China's real GDP grew at an average annual rate of 9.7%, making
it one of the world's fastest growing economies; real GDP growth
in 1999 was 7.1%.
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A significant share of FDI in China comes from overseas Chinese,
especially Hong Kong and Taiwan. At present The United States is
the third largest investor in China. Major U.S. corporate investors
in China include Motorola, Atlantic Richfield, Coca Cola, Amoco,
Ford Motor, United Technologies, Pepsi Cola, Lucent Technologies,
General Electric, and General Motors.
China has quickly become a major world trading power. Total
Chinese trade (exports plus imports) rose from $21 billion in 1978
to $361 billion in 1999; over this period, China's ranking as a
trading economy rose from 27th to 10th. The World Bank projectsthat by the year 2020 China will become the second largest
trading economy.
According to a report by Chinese government the countrys
productivity has been growing by 5 percent a year for the last 2
years. Its export was an impressive $250 billion in 2000-01, and
its imports touched $225 billion the same year. Its forex reserves
were a comfortable $165 billion.
China became the largest source of Indian imports, overtaking the
US, and bilateral trade grew 33 per cent in 2008 over the previous
year, to nearly $52 billion, despite the economic slowdown.
Imports from China almost doubled to $24.16 billion in April-
December 2008-09 over the comparable period of 2006-07, and
now account for a little over 10 per cent of Indias total.
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So, will the Chinese deluge leave a trail of destruction in its path?
Are the business linkages being created bad for Indias strategic
interests? Officially, the heads of Indias trade lobbies fuelled the
China bogey, even as many of them as entrepreneurs rushed off
to find Chinese suppliers. And why not? The ground realities
indicate that Indian industry is a big beneficiary.
Consider this: Almost half of Indias imports from China consist of
capital goods crucial for the manufacturing and infrastructure
sectors. There is robust demand from user industries such as
power, automobiles and electronics (which account for more than
half of Indias imports)and cost is not the only consideration
The Chinese are gaining a name in quality andsophistication
China Makes Claim To Lead WorldEconomies
Based on claims from the Chinese government, which should not
be a revelation to anyone given their source, the economy of the
worlds most populous nation has begun to turn around. That
would put it several months, if not quarters, ahead of the worlds
other large economies. If the pretensions are correct, China has
the opportunity to make a real claim for its role as the critical
driver of global GDP.
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The countrys leadership has already made the case that its semi-
regulated approach to fostered growth has trumped the corrupt
and greed-driven financial engines in the developed world which
has been, in Chinas view, the primary source of the erosion of the
worlds credit system. It would have the world believe that its
economy is simply more robust and resilient than those in the US,
Japan, the UK, and EU.
Crude oil imports into China hit a one-year high last month, a sign
of strong demand in the industrial and transportation sectors. Car
sales also hit a record in March. The central government said, inaddition, that its manufacturing sector grew last month for the
first time since October.
While Chinas GDP may not do as well as the governments stated
goal of 8%, any number above 5% in 2009 would be impressive
when compared to the contraction in the West which looks like it
could last through the entire year.
If China is recovering faster than other countries from the global
downturn, one reason may be that its stimulus package of $585
billion is better designed and better implemented that those
elsewhere.
A superior stimulus package, even one applied to the economy
almost perfectly, does not let China lay claim to being better able
to maintain GDP growth than other large nations. Stimulus
packages like the ones being employed now in most large
countries only come along every few decades. They are not a
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reasonable basis on which to measure which nations are the most
commercially and financially robust over long periods.
Chinas boasting cannot be based entirely on exports either.
Chinas trade partners are simply too weak for the country to look
to what it can manufacture and ship abroad as the source of a
fast and broad-based recovery.
China at least has the potential to have the largest middle class in
the world because it has 1.3 billion people. Since a large portion
of the population is still rural, the process of creating consumersmay only be in its early stages. If it continues to be successful,
China may actually come out of the recession with a meaningful
edge over the US as the preeminent driver of global GDP, perhaps
not in size yet, but certainly in its ability to affect global economic
improvement.
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The overall picture of Chinese competency
In all if to summarize the whole cost and advantage, which China
has over other countries, which shows it leadership can be done
through the following points:
1. Government vision and leadership to make China an
industrial power along with favorable economic policies with
respect to taxation, foreign exchange, low interest rates etc.2. Chinas government is managing very ably the global
financial crisis, and continuing to deliver to its people a
better standard of living. Yes, the economy in China is
growing more slowly than it has over much of recent history,
at around 7%-8%. But, overall, the country continues to
bustle as nowhere else does. People still have spring in their
step, and the same sense of boundless potential.
3. In China, the government, wisely, takes a much lighter
approach to regulation, always with an eye focused on
creating circumstance that will lead to new jobs, more
activity, and more competition in most sectors of the
economy.
4. Mindset of catering to global markets and deep
understanding of consumer trends and building economies
of scale to bring down cost.
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5. Providing better infrastructure in terms of power, roads and
ports and removal of any infrastructure related bottlenecks.
6. Creation of support industries such as steel making,
machinery, telecommunication and transportation etc to
facilitate the trade and lower the cost of input. Most of the
input material is produced within the country.
7. Low inflation and stable exchange rate.
8. Low dependence on Oil import as 75% of the country's
requirement is met by indigenous production. This also helps
in lowering cost of raw material and transportation.9. Cheap labour - The average labour cost in China is below
$30 per month, compared to India where the wages are
more than $60-100 per month.
10. Committed labour force with a mind set to work for the
nation not just for individual need.
11. Spread of modern means of education to large
population totally supported by the Government.
12. Presence of large Chinese population overseas who not
only became the first to set up industries by providing much
needed capital but also act as customers in their respective
countries for Chinese made products. Each city in USA
boasts of China town where most of the traditional Chinese
products are sold. Once successful they become available to
other ethnic groups through retail chains like Wal-mart and
Kmart.
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13. In order to make sure that it is able to pay the $180
billion loan in foreign debt China had made it a point that the
currency was not devalued since 1994.
14. Since 1998 more than 1000 branches of unprofitable
banks have been closed down
Due to these reasons China is able to produce items at such a low
cost. This is what has contributed to China's emergence as themost favored FDI destination for transnational companies. 'The
Chinese concentrate on mass markets based on mass production
and consumption. They seemed to be focused on selling at prices
that will create markets and enable the consumer buy. What
really matter, when technologically you do not have the cutting
edge, are factors like affordability and customer convenience.
This is where the Chinese seem extremely focused and
dominating the global markets.
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Why and where China scores well over India
China scores well on the following consumer dimensionson the
infrastructure front, China has strong PSTN subscription (with a
relative score exceeding 0.8); broadband penetration (as
measured by the percentage of households with service) is also
well above the average for Resource and Efficiency Driven
economies. Unlike India, China is near the top in terms of
coverage of the population by mobile networks, an impressive
accomplishment given the sheer size of the nation.
Chinas performance on the consumer usage front is more mixed.
Although it has a relatively high literacy rate, Internet usage is not
as high as one might expect given the high levels of broadband
penetration. This, however, reflects the fact that in certain
higher-scoring countries on this measure (such as Iran, which
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scores highly on Internet usage) the primary access modes for
Internet are public spaces, rather than at home.
To some extent, Chinas scores (like those of India) in both 2009
and 2008 have been adversely affected by the fact that the
scorecard computes so many performance metrics on a per
capita basis. However, despite these intrinsic disadvantages,
China stands well above India in all measures of basic
infrastructure deployment. It is possible that the tyranny of
dividing by a large population base is more of a factor inproducing low scores on the business metrics: but even if this is
the case, the fact that China does so well on consumer
infrastructure deployment suggests that there is the scope for
improving business
To the extent that China retains a command and control
economic structure in place, this structure is well-suited to rolling
out infrastructure and coordinating the required investment.
However, there are limits as to how well this approach can work,
especially when the demand for infrastructure is so driven by
patterns of usage (as in the business sector). Despite these
shortcomings, it should be recognised that China has far
outstripped India (the only real comparator country) in most
aspects of Connectivity.
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China is at least a generation or two ahead of India when it comes
to technology. China's leaders have been described as
Technocrats, having high regard for Science and Technology.
China has ploughed its huge reservoir of domestic saving about
40% of GDP into some of the best infrastructure in the world.
And it has been brilliant in attracting massive inflows of foreign
direct investment as the means to acquire technology,
managerial expertise, and factories on a scale and with scope
that is hard to believe. China has, in fact, leapt to the fore as thelargest recipient of FDI in the world some US$53 billion per
year in 2002-03. India suffers in comparison basically from having
none of the above. China possesses a diversified communications
system that links all parts of the country by Internet, telephone,
telegraph, radio, and television. System includes some of the
most sophisticated technology in the world. R&D for further
developments are still going on. China is already leading in the
hardware sector in world. It is worlds largest cell phone users of
400 million and worlds largest cable TV subscriber base. It is
worlds second largest PC market (20 mil/yr).It has largest
internet users with a number of420 million.
China's software industry has been performing well despite the
deepening world recession. In 2008, software exports reached
US$14.2 billion, up 39% year-on-year. Services outsourcing grew
at an even faster speed of 54.3% to $1.6 billion. The growth in the
whole year was 6.2 points higher than in the first 11 months.
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During the current global recession, due to the downtown in the
manufacturing and export sectors, China has selected outsourcing
as a new arena for economic growth. While India's outsourcing
entered difficult times, China saw opportunities, because India's
limitations are China's strengths. China has abundant IT human
resources available at low cost. The ratio of wages in China is
about 1:7 now, a ratio much more advantageous than that for
India. China also provides a safe and stable environment to
overseas investors: no terror attacks have ever taken place in
Chinese cities.
Whereas India is yet to succeed in attracting manufacturing
investments, China has been successfully garnering investments
in the IT services projects as well as for R&D. This is mainly due
to the well-educated and cheap labour force in China. The high
influx of foreign investors into China has ensured the high
demand for ICT products and services in the country.
As per a Feb 2009 Report, The Atlantic Century : Benchmarking
EU & U.S. Innovation and Competitiveness from The Information
Technology & Innovation Foundation (ITIF), China stands at 33
with 36.0 points while India finishes the last in the list of 40
countries in the world with 21.6 points. And when it comes to
overall change from 1999 to Feb 2009 on similar ranking, China
tops the list with 19.5 points while India secured the spot of 14
with 13.6. So these rankings indicate that over the last 10 years,
China is becoming competitive and innovative faster and better
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than the rest of the world. And India still lags behind China with
wider margin in both the change as well as absolute rankings.
Government Policies:
Freedom from Internal Control:
In China, citizens need to fill out paper works in the local police
departments where they relocate to a new place. Thisrequirement for migrate workers to file documents enable the
central census bureau to conduct their survey in population and
overall economic statistics. However, citizens are free to create
their wealth anywhere else in the country.
Education:
Chinas school life expectancy is 11 years , It is a quarter shorter
compare to the U.S 15-16 years , The total number of graduates
from colleges and universities in 2008: 2.8 million, which is about
25% of the total high school graduate population. Number of
Students in Colleges and Universities is 4.13 million, which is
about 33% of the total young adult population. In contrary, the
education quality is pretty good in China. And China has some
historical and world famous universities, for instance, Beijing
University, Tsinghua University and so on.
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industry and demonstration effects from other migrants pull rural
workers into urban centres.
A brief comparison of some important factors is givenbelow:
Comparing criteria China India
GDP Based on PPP
$7.8 tri ll ion (2008est.)country comparison
to the world: 3
$7.104 trillion(2007)$6.475 trillion(2006)
$3.267 trillion (2008est.)country comparison
to the world: 5
$3.065 trillion(2007)$2.812 trillion(2006)
Real GDP$4.222 trillion (2008est.)
$1.237 trillion (2008est.
GDP Growth rate
9.8% (2008 est.)country comparison
to the world: 813% (2007 est.)11.6% (2006 est.)
6.6% (2008 est.)country comparison
to the world: 419% (2007 est.)9.6% (2006 est.)
Per capita income(PPP)
$6,000 (2008 est.)country comparison
to the world: 132$5,500 (2007 est.)$4,900 (2006 est.)
$2,800 (2008 est.)country comparison
to the world: 168$2,700 (2007 est.)$2,500 (2006 est.)
GDP-sector wise
agriculture: 10.6%industry: 49.2%services: 40.2%(2008 est.)
agriculture: 17.2%industry: 29.1%services: 53.7%(2008 est.)
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Labour force
807.7 million (2008est.)country comparison
to the world: 1
523.5 million (2008est.)country comparison
to the world: 2
Labour force byoccupation
agriculture: 43%industry: 25%services: 32% (2006est.)
agriculture: 60%industry: 12%services: 28%(2003)
Unemployment rate
4% (2008 est.)country comparison
to the world: 464% (2007 est.)
6.8% (2008 est.)country comparison
to the world: 857.2% (2007 est.)
Population belowpoverty line
8%25% (2007 est.)
Exchange rates
Renminbi yuan(RMB) per US dollar- 6.9385 (2008 est.),7.61 (2007),7.97 (2006),8.1943 (2005),8.2768 (2004)
Indian rupees (INR) per US dollar -43.319 (2008 est.) ,41.487 (2007),45.3 (2006),44.101 (2005),45.317 (2004)
Foreign directinvestment abroad
$139.3 billion (2008est.)country comparison
to the world: 21
$54.21 billion (2008est.)country comparison
to the world: 29
Foreign directinvestment at home
$758.9 billion (2007est.)country comparison
to the world: 6
$142.9 billion (2008est.)country comparison
to the world: 23
External debt $420.8 billion (31December 2008 est.)country comparison
$163.8 bil lion (31December 2008 est.)country comparison
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to the world: 20 to the world: 27
Forex and gold reserves
$2.033 tri ll ion (31December 2008 est.)country comparison
to the world: 1
$250 billion (31December 2008 est.)country comparison
to the world: 5
Imports
$1.156 trillion f.o.b.(2008 est.)country comparison
to the world: 4
$287.5 billion f.o.b.(2008 est.)country comparison
to the world: 17
Exports
$1.465 trillion f.o.b.(2008 est.)country comparison
to the world: 3
$175.7 billion f.o.b.(2008 est.)country comparison
to the world: 28
Current account balance
$368.2 billion (2008est.)country comparison
to the world: 1
$-38.39 billion(2008 est.)country comparison
to the world: 184
Industrial productiongrowth rate
10.7% (2008 est.)country comparison
to the world: 11
4.8% (2008 est.)country comparison
to the world: 64
Inflation rate(consumerprices)
6% (2008 est.)country comparison
to the world: 1014.8% (2007 est.)
7.8% (2008 est.)country comparison
to the world: 1276.4% (2007 est.)
India
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Introduction
India always was way behind to realize the need of opening up its
economy for better competitiveness. This is because India was 13
years late in announcing and adopting the open door policy,
which China announced to the world in 1978 at the 11th peoples
congress.
Lets have a look at the reforms, which India underwent after the
opening up of its economy in 1991
Economic reforms in India
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The first decade (1991 2001)
1991
1. new industrial policy announced
2. foreign investment upto 51% in select industries allowed
3. PSU reservel list cut from 17 to 8
4. FIIs allowed to invest in market
5. PSUs brought under SICA
19921. Steel industry decontrolled
2. Wealth tax abolished
3. free pricing of IPOs allowed
4. 100% equity in core sectors like steel, telecom and power
permitted
5. five year EXIM policy announced
1993
1. companies act amended
2. rupee made convertible on trade account
3. excise duty simplified by merging special and excise duty
1994
1. private Telcos allowed to compete with state owned
companies
2. lending rate deregulated
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1995
1. modified trading-forward system allowed
2. insurance regulatory body mooted
1996
1. 74% foreign equity in 9 industries and 51% in 16 more
permitted
2. minimum alternated tax (MAT) introduced3. corporate surcharge cut from 15% to 7%
1997
1. coal sector privatized
2. maximum income tax rate cut to 30% and corporate tax to
35%
3. restrictions on import of 69 goods lifted
4. new takeover code approved
1998
1. FII investment in treasury bill cleared
2. FDI norms under automatic route simplified
3. trading in derivatives by FIIs cleared
4. norms on foreign equity participation in airline sector
overhauled
5. 100% FDI in cigarettes allowed
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6. 74% foreign equity cap announced for TV software
companies
7. up to 40% FDI in private bank allowed
8. ISP policy free tariffs, allows private gateways
9. insurance patent forms cleared
1999
1. IT ministry launches a 100 crore VC fund for start-ups
2. IRDA ( insurance regulatory & development Act) bill passed
3. foreign exchange regulatory act replaced by the foreign
exchange management act.4. department of disinvestments created to oversee the issue
of privatisation of public sector enterprises
5. excise rate slab cut from 11 to 3. mainly consisting now of
8%, 16% and 24% slab.
2000
1. VC companies made exempt from income tax as well as
dividend fund
2. Minimum daily requirement for maintaining cash reserve
ratio balances slashed from 85 to 65%
3. Inter-bank gold trading by banks allowed
4. Scheduled commercial banks allowed to float insurance
subsidiaries
5. Special economic zones to be created with 100% foreign
equity
quantitative restrictions (QRs) on 714 tariff lines at the 8-
digit level lifted
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6. Single-window clearance for import of capital goods at a flat
rate of 5% announced
After India opened up its economy in 1991 things did look good
for 2 years in the middle of 1990s when the economy grew byover 7 percent in both years, but it soon returned to where it was
before. The Indian economy grew by an average of 6.4% in the
first decade after reforms (1991 2000). Today the most cheerful
estimates put it at 6% and both the industrial and agricultural
sectors are on the downward spiral
If you see at the reforms, it can be easily noticed that the reforms
are world-class. They have been properly thought about and it is
seen that justice is done to everybody.
But the main problem lies in the implementation of the reforms in
the right spirit. As a result of which even though we have a well
planned and laid down reforms and procedures, the intended and
the required amount of changes and development are not taking
place.
But in India, people feel unsecured to do something different and
also do not want to get exposed to the competitive environment
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even if it means that one day they have to shutdown their shops
and face doom.
Law, rules and regulations
One very important reason due to which investors are shying
away from India is due to its labour law, which is not at all flexible
as compared to that of China.
This can be demonstrated through an article published in the
times of India
'Indian labour laws keep away investors'
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
This is one area where most of the problems of India lie. The way
in which India looks at FDI is the total reverse in the way China
looks at it. In case of India, there was no realization or a need felt
to make sure that there is a constant inflow of FDI in the country.
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There has always been hesitation on the part of the government
as far as welcoming FDI is concerned. There is no clarity of vision
among the leaders. Also, FDI approval in India is done at the
central level while the implementation is left with the state
government. There is a huge gap between approvals and inflows
as there is no mechanism for either proper delegation or
monitoring the implementation. It can be seen that even though
foreign companies are ready to invest in India, the legal hassles
take so much of time that by the time the application of the
concerned company has passed, they have already lost interestto invest in India.
India ranks high on intent but low on content because
government fails to attract FDI by not showing advantage of
investing in India. Also the procedural delays for the sanction lead
to a very less amount of inflows into the country as opposed to
those who had initially desired to invest into India. As a result the
approval to actual inflow of FDI in India is very low.
To further make it clear as to the flow of FDI into the
country, here a look at the next figure.
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comparison of flow of FDI
0
10
20
30
40
1991 1993 1995 1997 1999
Shareinworld
FDI
Developing countries Asia India
Fig. 5
The graph clearly shows the position of India as compared to Asia
and developing countries as a whole is much lower and is as good
as non-existent. The share of Asia and developing countries is
high mainly due to the contribution of FDI in china, which is the
largest attractor of foreign funds in developing countries.
After a decade of opening up of the economy and the liberalized
reforms undertaken, lets have a look at the economic indicators
and how it is at present
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Impact on India
Now that we have looked at the reforms undertaken in both
countries and what gives China the upper hand, lets take a look
as to what this has done in respect of the impact created on
Indian industries.
The impact can be shown with the help of some articles, which
were published in the national newspapers recently.
Economic Times
Textile
For now, its advantage China!
IF EVERY inch of India Inc is cowering before the hidden dragon,
can the desi wardrobe be immune? Indias ready-to-wear garment
industry is facing tough competition from China, which has
emerged an important sourcing base for international brands and
retailers in the Asian region because of its comparatively cheaper
costs.
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This helps the Chinese sell their garments 40 per cent cheaper
than Indian companies. It seems India has just not been able to
compete with China on pricing, and China has been able to keep
its price-quality balance to its advantage.
A year ago, China produced 10 billion garments and 5.2 million
tonnes of synthetic fiber. Indias export of readymade garments,
on the other hand, touched 1.5 billion pieces valued at $5.3
billion.
Example of first mover advantage and future oriented
thinkingThe Indian tractor industry is yet to come up with low horsepower
tractors that may be suitable for the eastern and northeastern
region. A Chinese firm is selling such tractors priced between
$800 - $1000 a price that last for ten years. It does not pose a
severe debt to the farmer. On the other hand, our farmers need
the support of NABARD if they want to buy Indian tractors.
Information Technology
IT race: Gushing dragon leaves elephant panting
Recent Gartner figures of hardware and software growth in India
and China shows how our agile neighbour has managed to
outstrip 'IT superpower' India.
Take hardware, for instance. Chinas hardware market in
2000 was almost eight times as big as Indias. While China had
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hardware sales worth $16 billion, India managed only $2.2-billion
hardware sales.
Last year the Chinese hardware market grew 17.8 percent as
compared to Indias 6 percent growth rate.
Furthermore, in the hardware business, local players dominate
China, unlike in India where unbranded grey market and MNCs
rule the roost. Chinas PC-maker Legend, which has more than 80
per cent domestic market share, happens to be Asias largest PC-
manufacturer.
Electronics
Polar prefers the dragon as an ally
With the cheap Chinese imports pervading the domestic market,
Polar industries has decided to ward off threat and join hands with
the chinese counterpart.
polar is importing fans from china and selling them under its
flagship brand, "Polar Mistral". Ashok tiberwal, chairman of polar
industries said" of course, we are reaping full advantage of the
cheap manufacturing base available in china. we have laready
joined hands with a number of chinese manufacturers. our
technical teams regularly visits china and updates the
manufacturers about our latest needs.polar is thus getting the
chinese tailor made products to its own requirments. the
company has already imported fans almost worth a crore over
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the last 4 months, which have seem to met with a good response
in the domestic market.
Business today
Ajanta clocks, the worlds largest clock manufacturer first
considered shifting its entire manufacturing operations to China,
then, gave up that idea and is now considering the idea of getting
out of the business altogether. This is because of the many
advantages, that China has over India, which includes1. raw material being cheaper by about 20 to 25 percent
2. electricity is cheaper by 50 percent .
3. because of the excellent infrastructure, there is little need to
maintain inventory, which reduces the overhead cost.
4. also since there is an hire and fire policy and workers are
paid according to their productivity, the wage bill is very low.
MAIT Report
India is very strong in software, but the main concern is that
China is infrastructure ready and for it to leapfrog to software will
not be difficult.
In fact the lack of a hardware base has threatened to take the
steam out of India's software run. And now, China is set to invest
$5bn internally in software spending, he adds. According to
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industry reports, China is well on the way to becoming an IT
superpower. Vis-a-vis India, the trends are disturbing.
China has 125 million telephone lines compared to India's 30
million, 70 million mobile phones to India's 2.5 million and 22
million internet subscribers to India's 1.5 million. Its international
bandwidth is already 1.2 giga bits per second compared to India's
860 mega bits per second.
Beijing is also aggressively laying fiber optic cables throughoutthe country and upgrading its backbone with the latest 3G (third
generation mobile) technologies and is expected to surpass the
US as the world's largest mobile telecommunication network by
03. It is also setting up its own Integrated Circuit valley as also a
notebook zone.
The MAIT report observes that China is the third largest IT
hardware supplier in the world. The total turnover of the IT
industry is expected to cross $46.1 billion in 01, an increase of
36.8 per cent over the previous year.
Hardware exports are likely to increase by 30 per cent in 01 and
software sales are also likely to register an increase of 31.7 per
cent from 00 ($3.6 billion in 01).
Other Areas
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Apart from this Chinas impact will also be on industries like
calculators, bicycles, stationery like pencil sharpeners, herbal
medicines, bikes, glass products and now colour televisions.
The reasons why China has an advantageous position is
1. the reforms undertaken by the government which give them
better productivity and lower price as already mentioned
earlier
2. the characteristics of such products are that they involve
standard technologies but highly skilled labour. The labour inChina is relatively more skilled than their counterparts who
produce such goods elsewhere in the world.
Industries facing the Threat
Now lets have a look at the industries, which are suffering, due to
the advantageous position of Chinese industries.
Most of the goods manufactured by China in which it has an upper
hand require a major portion of labour efforts. In India all such
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goods are mostly made by small-scale industries. These are
industries, which have a very small startup amount. They produce
the goods and either supply it to some bigger companies or sell it
in the local market. Now these are the small companies which are
going to get affected the most due to the entry of Chinese goods
in the Indian market.
The small-scale industry in India is the largest employer of people
as it is highly people oriented and very little amount of
technology is used. Also they contribute to about 30-40% of ourexports to foreign countries. Therefore they are very important
and play a very significant part of the growth and prosperity of
the country. This Industry is either under threat or facing stiff
competition of cheap imports from China. It is really a matter of
concern for everybody in the country
The people in this industry are of the opinion that they too can
compete with China if input costs are also brought down to their
levels. It claims that Chinese products are cheaper by 10-70 per
cent compared to similar Indian products The Indian small sector
also makes very competitive products, but the fact that Chinese
businessmen get capital at lower interest rates and their
electricity and freight charges are much lower than ours help
them price the goods better. Given a similar business
environment, they can take on China any day.
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Also they claim that Chinese goods though cheap cannot compete
with them on the quality front. The Chinese cycles, fans and other
products can't claim to be superior in quality that ours. They are
just priced better. Though the Chinese threat will fizzle out in a
few months, the small sector needs support to see it through this
period.
Recently, a FICCI survey on Chinese imports stirred a hornets
nest. The survey reports a surge in imports from China in
categories like food items, light and heavy engineering goods,
chemicals and metal products.
Why small-scale industry is facing this stiff competition, can be
explained as follows:
The operating scenario for Chinese businessmen: The government
has set up export zones with extraordinary infrastructure
facilities, importing the latest machinery, buying raw materials in
bulk from the world markets in slump, giving export incentives
and making bank loans available at 4-6 per cent. In contrast, the
Indian businessmen claim to be working with power cuts, high-
interest bank loans, expensive raw materials, bad infrastructure,
high transportation charges and a corrupt system. Imagine what
that has done to our costs. All this is making us the SSIs
uncompetitive against the Chinese.
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The managing director ofAshok Leyland, Mr. R. Seshasayee was
of the opinion that, One half of the industry, which is
unfortunately the small-scale industry, is very vulnerable. But the
organised industry will probably not face such a serious threat, for
two reasons.
The organised industry is capable of delivering more competitive
products because of the fact that there is a greater degree of
technology, access to market and distribution channels are
available to them. So, they will fight and come out.
But the unorganised small-scale industry, where there is
negligible use of technology and which is starved of finances and
the necessary strength to fight a brand-battle, will be most
adversely affected.
The organised industry will have to recognise that China is
capable of mass production at lower prices in comparable quality.
A combination of big production volume, huge market size and
different labour laws has made this possible. The state pays 50
per cent of the labour costs one-way or the other.
It is very unfortunate because this sector is employment intensive
and the sickness in this can have a domino effect.
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Extended impact
The impact can also be seen in other sector like the IT industry
where India boasts of a good percentage of growth and where
India is suppose to have an edge. But China, which invests heavily
in education and boasts of 100 per cent literacy levels, could well
surpass India as a global software producer soon.
In any case, domestically China consumes four times the software
as India does already. It is pointless for mantris to waffle on about
Indias so-called potential to become a global IT powerhouse. With
a government in terminal drift, such aspirations could well turn
into pretentious nonsense.
Chinas well-documented lead in education, infrastructure and
IT also add up to something more fundamental than leadership in
the IT sector alone.
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INDIAs current situation
Growth has continued to slacken to under 8% by the secondquarter of 2008. Inflation is high, driven by commodity prices, but
the peak appears to have passed. The current account deficit has
risen substantially and there is downward pressure on the
exchange rate. The economy is projected to slow further over the
next year and to recover in tandem with the world economy in
2010.
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Whos buying from China
The power sector is a prime example. Over the last couple ofyears, Chinese suppliers have made deep inroads into the power
plant equipment market in India, riding on the back of Indias
huge requirements for power generation and inability of local
companies to meet the growing demand. In India, power
generation companies face regulatory pressure to keep tariffs
low. Most companies pursue a dual strategy to achieve this. First:Faster execution of projects to prevent cost over runs, which can
only be done with timely delivery by the equipment maker.
Second: Reducing the cost of setting up the power plant itself. On
both counts, Chinese companies score over their Indian
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counterparts. Chinese suppliers like Dongfang Electric
Corporation, Shanghai Electric Corporation and Harbein Electric
Corporation dont just offer lower costs, but have shorter delivery
periods. On quality parameters, too, Chinese companies set high
standards. Says S.L. Rao, Director, Reliance Power: With private
sector entry into infrastructure in India, there is a demand for
cheaper and good quality plant and equipment, especially
because their bids are based on competitive tariffs. China can
give them supplies, low prices and quality. For instance, Chinese
suppliers specialise in producing highly-efficient supercriticalequipment. Reliance Powers Ultra Mega Power Project (UMPP) in
Sasan is committed to delivering power at Rs 1.20 per unit only
because it will have supercritical boilers. Using such Chinese
products, which require less coal to produce electricity, is helping
power companies such as Reliance Power and Adani Power
bolster their performance.
The auto industry, too, has been a major importer of Chinese
products. Imports of original equipment manufacturer (OEM)
components from China have grown at a CAGR of 100 per cent
over the past three years. In fact, imports from China now
constitute more than 10 per cent of the total components
imported, up from 1.5 per cent in 2003-04. Several leading
manufacturers, such as Tata Motors, Bajaj Auto, Ashok Leyland,
Mahindra & Mahindra, TVS Motor and Ford Motor India, are
already sourcing important components from China. Thats not
all. Indian companies are now setting up purchase offices in China
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and are sourcing tyres, wheel rims and shafts in bulk from
Chinese firms.
Indias imports from China of automotive components have
jumped exponentially from Rs 100 crore in 2003-04 to Rs 2,200
crore in 2007-08. Cost is certainly an important driver of this
surge in imports. The landed price of Chinese components is, on
an average, 30 per cent less than components sourced locally,
according to Automotive Component Manufacturers Association of
India (ACMA) estimates. But theres more to it, according to
industry experts.
Says Dilip Chenoy, Director General, Society of Indian Automobile
Manufacturers (SIAM): The increased presence of Chinese auto
products in the domestic automobile sector has been largely
attributed to better technology and superior quality. Moreover,
Chinese auto parts manufacturers are producing specialisedcomponents, which are not available in the Indian markets.
Consumer electronics and durables majors in India have also
begun to source from China. Components such as resistors,
capacitors, fly back transformers and rotary compressors along
with end-user products like plasma TVs, LCDs, high-end
refrigerators, microwaves and split air conditioners are all beingimported from China. And almost all the major players are doing it
Philips, Onida, Voltas, Whirlpool and others.
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World Trade Organisation
WTO and China
There has been a lots of hype created over the much anticipated
entry of China into WTO. For many companies this would mean an
opening of a huge market on a liberal policy basis and many such
factors.
Lets have a look at the implication of Chinas entry into WTO on
WTO, other countries and importantly, over India.
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What does it mean for India?
Advantages
On the positive side, Chinas entry into WTO may provide some
relief to the Indian industry. As a member of WTO, China will have
to abide by the multilateral rules and the agreements and make
its policies transparent. All these may lessen the anxieties of the
Indian industry about infiltration of exceptionally low costproducts from China into the Indian market. China is likely to lose
several of its existing advantages in the process of being WTO
compliant.
Substantial lowering of tariffs, reduction of subsidies etc should
provide significant opportunities for accessing the Chinese
market. Removal of quantitative restrictions (since China is not a
country with BOP difficulty) is also expected to widen export
opportunities. Further, with transparent economic and trade
policies, it should be easier for the Indian industry to understand
this complicated and vast market, establish their presence and
develop long-term strategy.
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Disadvantages
This has a very significant implication for India. As a transparent
and compliant economy, China may be more attractive to the
investors from the USA and the EU. Currently, bulk of the FDI flowto China comes from the expatriate Chinese. To the foreign
investors, China may be much more preferable ground to invest
compared to India.
China will also be entitled to greater market access opportunities
in the global market. It will surely make every effort to secure
higher share of world trade. This will mean that Indian industry
should be prepared to face stiffer competition from China in the
world markets.
China has two distinct and significant advantages that the Indian
industry does not have:
1. China has the advantage of mass production and large
volumes.
2. China has a unique advantage of efficient port infrastructure
that gives the benefit of large volume shipments ie low
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freight cost. Indian industry will have to contend with such
realities.
Counter Acting Strategies
It is believed that in times to come Indian industry will face tough
competition from China in terms of cost, quality and economies of
scale. Indian companies need to take serious view of domination
of Chinese manufacturing based on cost leadership while looking
into the future. It can spell doom or end of the road for
manufacturing sector in India - more so in open trade regime of
WTO, which China is going to be part of.
Indian industry needs to learn to take cognizance of this factor,
not by asking for Govt. help in terms of protection, but by creating
world-class organisations in terms of cost, quality and product
innovations. Indian industry is still reeling under the hangover of
protected regime but now it is time to get up from deep slumber
and act before it is too late, as has happened in many industries
especially in the consumer products, which were reserved for the
small-scale industry.
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Competition from Chinese products have given rise to anxiety in
many countries but not many countries are complaining and
responding the way we are. On the contrary most of them are
taking this as an opportunity and building strategies to take
advantage out of it.
Here are some of the strategies for Government and
Indian industry:
Strategies for Indian Government
1. rather than resorting to anti-dumping and non-tariff
measures, which will be retrograde steps in the long run,
Government should allow free competition and create
favorable economic scene.
2. the Government has to modernise labor laws and bankruptcy
laws.
3. de-reservation of products that are currently reserved for the
SSI.
4. removal of infrastructure bottlenecks by allowing free flow of
foreign capital into roads, power, ports, tele-communication.
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5. allowing local players to compete by providing level playing
field in terms of availability of capital at low interest rates
and lowering of excise and other duties and lowering taxes.
6. to improve the efficiency by allowing foreign companies in
all major sectors of economy.
Strategies for Indian industries
a) Face the competition head on
Indian industry must recognise that the only way to fight
competition is by cutting costs and improving quality. This needs
to be done at the company level by focusing on efficiency in the
use of factors of production.
Currently Chinese are dominating the lower end of technology-
based products by producing them at 30-40% cheaper than
Indian industry. Indian industry should evaluate the strength and
weakness of each industry in comparison to China. They should
move vigorously to knowledge-based industries where India still
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has an edge due to spread of English and technically qualified
workforce.
The Indian industry should constantly look for industry where they
still have an edge over China and create world-class organisations
offering innovations. They should also tie up with organizations all
across the world to block them before they cross over to China.
They should develop industry with world as a focus rather than
concentrating on domestic market. For example, India has a well-
developed automotive parts manufacturing industry. They shouldstart talking to automotive manufacturers all over the world to
become favored suppliers by offering quality products at
unmatched cost by leveraging on economies of scale. The highly
skilled manpower of India can be utilised in upcoming industries
like Pharmaceuticals, Software, Biotechnology and education
which are more research based industries. To combat Chinese
invasion, Indian industry needs to create a new mind set of
thinking about world as a market and developing strategies
around it.
b) Collaboration and tie up with Chinese companies
If you cannot beat them, join them. This what many Indian
companies have done to ward off the stiff competition from
Chinese products. Instead of lobbying to keep them out,
companies like Bajaj Electricals are switching over to Chinese
manufacturers to source products for the Indian market. Bajaj
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Electricals is bringing in a range of products - irons, toasters, fans,
and ovens at a rate 30-35% cheaper than those manufactured
within India. Baron international has tied up with TCL, a major
home appliances manufacturers in China to market products in
India. Haier, another major appliances manufacturer has set up a
joint venture in China. Konka is another example of Indian
industry collaborating by setting up joint venture to take
advantage of opportunities offered by Chinese companies.
There are many similar companies looking eagerly towards India.
It is time for India to tap them, develop skills offered by them, andbecome a player in the global markets
c) Setting up bases in China
Indian industry can set up bases in China like many transnational
companies have done to take advantage of favorable economic
conditions, better infrastructure and huge domestic markets. The
world's single largest clock maker, India's Ajanta, has decided to
invest in a manufacturing facility in China. Ajanta has realised
that China is a cheaper and better manufacturing host than India.
Essel packaging in another Indian company which started a
packaging unit in China. Ranbaxy too has set up units in China
and Vietnam. Many of the well established Indian companies who
are looking outward for markets to improve the economies of
scale should follow above example.
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Critical steps in making infrastructure leadership a
strategy for sustainable development of India
A2:- India initiated an ambitious reform programme, involving a
shift from a controlled to an open market economy showing
signs of overheating because of basic infrastructure constraints,
both physical and human. So far, the bulk of infrastructure was
in the public sector. Public sector in India operating in a
protected set up has been largely subsidised by the
Government. Since the launching of reform, Governmentis trying to reduce its borrowing which means that further
subsidization will not be possible. There is one area where there is
a need for private sector and foreign investment to come in.
Because of the long gestation period, and many social
implications, the infrastructure sector compares unfavorably with
manufacturing and many other sectors. For this, specific policies
in this area are need to make infrastructure attractive. Clearly,
there is a wide gap between the potential demand for
infrastructure for high growth and the available supply. This is the
challenge placed before the economy, i.e. before the public and
private sector and foreign investors. This can also be seen as an
opportunity for a widening market and enhanced production
The six core and infrastructure industries, viz., electricity, crude
oil, petroleum refinery products, coal, steel and cement, having a
weight of 26.7 per cent in overall Index of Industrial Production
(IIP). Several fiscal incentives were announced by the government
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for boosting investment in infrastructure projects. Ten-year tax
holiday offered to projects in core sectors like roads, highways,
waterways, water supply, sanitation and solid waste management
systems can now be availed of during the initial 20 years. Projects
in airports, ports, inland ports, industrial parks and generation
and distribution of power can now avail of 10-year tax holidays
during the initial 15 years
The Critical Steps:-
A-A Strong Government with Clear direction"Once committed to a focus on economic growth, some good
policy decisions were implemented quickly and efficiently While
India's corporate leaders agree that this could be true, they are
emphatic that India's vibrant democracy is the only way for the
country to ensure that growth and development reaches all.
There is chaos in it and sometimes policy decisions tend to be
reversed. But ultimately India's democracy is essential for the
country's welfare,
But come what may any party Govt. may come or go but the
direction of development of Infrastructure may not be altered.
B- A consistent and thoughtful marketing effort
We need to sell India. A USP is what is needed.
India's corporate leaders agree that the country's politicians have
never sold the country.
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Much of the investment flowing into the country today is on the
back of India's reputation as a place for skilled people who have
proven themselves in the information technology services sector.
C-Bringing in the Money (FDI and Private Participation)
. The importance of infrastructure sector also follows from the
fact that foreign investors are now looking at infrastructural
development as a yardstick for directing their investments. In
fact infrastructural development had taken precedence over
wage levels in assessing the investment potential in developingcountries. In India infrastructure sector itself is becoming an
attractive investment area for FDIs.
Already there is a huge demand for funds from the manufacturing
sector. On top of that is the demand from the infrastructure
sector. Both draw heavily from the savings of the household
sector. The growth of financial savings of household sector
however is not rising fast. In this context, the importance of
increased obligation of domestic saving needs underscoring.
According to the India infrastructure Report (IIR)2009 (Q2),
currently 3.5 % of the GDP is invested in the infrastructure
sector. Infrastructure investment in the region of US$500bn is
being planned between 2007 and 2012 under the government's
11th five-year plan. Of this, utilities will receive the largest
portion with US$167bn, roads will be allocated US$92bn,
railways US$65bn, ports US$22bn and airports US$8bn. The
government envisages 30% of the total amount in the plan to
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come from private sector companies through public private
partnerships (PPPs). However, the global economic downturn has
highlighted the barriers in India's infrastructure sector, which
may harm the government's ability to attract private sector
participation, especially at a time of risk aversion and tightening
access to credit.
D- Creation of zones and infrastructure for businessesIndia has tried to do this with its creation of export processing
zones and software technology parks.
But the problem lies in some key areas like creation of
infrastructure and quick approval of investment proposals.
More needs o be done
E-. The business-above-all attitude
"In India, trade and economic growth have never been
paramount. That has to change if we need to be a developed
economy by 2020
India's economic growth has always given in to the sentiments of
the local industry; like in cases where foreign investments have
been. curbed or restricted.
Provincial and local governments control the vast majority of
capital-hungry enterprises, and that creates an unsolvable
collusion between regulators and the state's ownership interests.
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This is arguably advantageous in the early, low-tech stages of
infrastructure and commercial development, but for the future its
impact is likely to be less positive
Indian Interests have always to be kept in mind while we do our
interactions with the other dwellings of mother earth.
Conclusion:- With this a belief that we can infact be business
leaders and a developed country of the world is what can lead usto a strong nation and lead us to sustainable development.
5 Policy Intervention strategies that can be put in place in
India. One in each for
A) Power
B) Transport
C) Fiscal
D)Communication
E) Agriculture
To make these a Robust & growth oriented
Power
Privatise Distribution
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Privatisation of distribution has a couple of advantages. First, the
company will invest in some modern equipment. Second, they will
ensure that 100 per cent metering is done and everything is
billed. They will also ensure revenue collection. These things will
be better taken care of by private parties.
Transport
Total Policy focus on this with chalking up a plan (like the
Golden Quadrangle) in terms of the following:- Railways.
Roads
Ports
Air
Four major problems that need to be addressed through policy
and institutional reforms: 1) Unclear or overlappingresponsibilities; 2) Inadequate resource mobilization; 3) poor
asset/system management and 4) Inadequate accountability for
service outcomes. A suggested way forward is through improved
public sector performance and accountability, increased private
sector participation and investment, improving customer-
responsiveness of the core rail business services, focusing a much
larger share of the capital budget on economic priority
investments etc.
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Creation of strong markets for Agri produce
And creation of Processing/Transport/and Preservance.
The infrastructure requirements of the agriculture sector are
many and varied. India needs good roads that would allow
sufficiently large trucks for speedy and bulk movement of
agricultural produce before it turns bad. It needs large cold
storage plants, modern drying facilities and communication
facilities.
Traditionally, India has been an agricultural economy and even
today agricultural sector accounts for one third of GDP as well as
one third of the work force. Successive governments have
realized the importance of agriculture to India and initiatives have
been taken for the growth of this sector.
CASE STUDY
Plastics
Plastic products are of three kinds : PVC, moulded and extruded.
The basic import duty on plastics is 35%, the surcharge on basic
customs duty is 3.5%, the additional duty is 16% and the special
additional duty is 4%, making it a total duty of 67.08%.
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Jewel Plastics is a small scale unit, with plant and machinery
valued at below Rs. one crore, which manufactures extruded
items, mainly packing material. The unit converts polymer into
plastic bags.
What is affecting this unit is the import of smuggled High Density
Poly Ethylene (HDPE), LDPE and Poly Propylene (PP) bags from
Nepal. This unit which previously worked in three shifts is
currently operating only one shift. Packing material manufactured
in China is being routed through Nepal. Manufacture of plastic
bags in China has certain advantages : there is no inspector raj inChina; no customs duty on raw material and no excise either. In
sharp contrast this unit had to face 53 inspectors. Further in China
electricity is cheap. The Chinese get their capital goods from
Germany without any import duty whereas Indian manufacturers
do not have comparable machinery.
Many units have closed down and some are on the verge of
closure. The plastic bags imported from China are about thirty
percent cheaper than those manufactured in India. Plastic bag
manufacturers in India therefore cannot compete with China.The
Association of Plastics Industries has made several
representations to various ministries including Finance and
Commerce but they have not received as much as an
acknowledgement.
Working capital loans were available to this unit at 16%. To be
able to compete effectively the unit needed cheap raw material
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and cheap finance. The unit wanted raw material to be available
at international prices.
No import of raw material was possible because of the high
protection given to indigenous raw material producers. The
import duty structure on plastic raw material (polymers) is the
same as that on plastic products, the total import duty being
67.08%.
Not all units manufacturing packing material in Delhi faced
competition from imports. This phen