7hfkqlfdo 5hsruw 81& 7hdfkhu 3uhsdudwlrq ......july 2011 by gary t. henry, unc-chapel hill charles...

24

Upload: others

Post on 15-Feb-2021

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • Carolina Institute for Public Policy

    Technical Report:

    UNC Teacher Preparation ProgramEffectiveness Report

    July 2011

  • Technical Report:

    UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness

    July 2011

    by

    Gary T. Henry, UNC-Chapel Hill

    Charles L. Thompson, East Carolina University

    C. Kevin Fortner, UNC-Chapel Hill

    Kevin C. Bastian, UNC-Chapel Hill

    Jade V. Marcus, UNC-Chapel Hill

  • Acknowledgements

    We wish to recognize Alisa Chapman, Alan Mabe and Keith Brown with the University of North

    Carolina General Administration for their vital contributions in providing data and working as

    partners throughout the research and communication processes.

    We also wish to thank the deans and department heads from the colleges, schools and

    departments of education at the 15 UNC institutions engaged in teacher education for their

    valuable input during the development of the models and discussions of the findings. We

    gratefully acknowledge the many contributions made by our current and former researchers and

    fellows at the Carolina Institute for Public Policy, including Ashu Handa, Doug Lauen, Adrienne

    Smith, and Kelly Purtell. Finally, we wish to acknowledge the editing and formatting work done

    by Elizabeth D‟Amico, who is responsible for the overall look and polish of the report. All

    authors accept responsibility for any remaining errors in the report.

  • Table of Contents

    Introduction 1

    Overall Study Design: Value Added Models 1

    Equations for Estimating Teacher Impacts 2

    Measures and Study Sample 4

    a. Focal Variables: UNC Teacher Preparation Programs 4

    b. Focal Variables: Individual Program Analysis 5

    c. Merging Multiple Data Sets to Create the Study Data Base 5

    d. Outcome Variables: Student Test Scores 7

    Covariates: Influences on Student Test Scores Controlled in the Analysis 7

    Prior Student Test Scores 7

    Student and Family Characteristics 8

    Classroom and Teacher Covariates 9

    School Level Covariates 9

    Summary 10

    Tables:

    Table 1: Teacher Preparation Categories 3

    Table 2: Student Roster Counts 6

    Table 3A: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Models – Elementary School 11

    Table 3B: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Models – Middle School 13

    Table 3C: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Models – High School 15

    Table 4: Calculating Days Equivalency 19

  • Introduction

    The purpose of this Technical Report is to describe the methods used in the UNC Teacher

    Preparation Program Effectiveness report and the reports for each teacher preparation program

    in the University of North Carolina‟s fifteen institutions, which were published in July 2011. The

    overall objective of this research is to estimate the average effects of UNC prepared teachers on

    students‟ test scores in North Carolina. We analyzed more than 2.6 million test scores of 1.7

    million students in elementary, middle, and high schools across the state, and estimated value-

    added models using data on more than 28,000 teachers with less than five years of experience. In

    addition to the average overall estimates of the effectiveness of teachers prepared by UNC

    institutions, we completed 15 separate sets of models using each teacher preparation program as

    the reference group and compared the test score gains of students taught by their graduates to the

    test score gains of the students of teachers with 12 other types of teacher preparation.

    In the main report, UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness, we described the

    objectives and findings of the initial models comparing all UNC teacher preparation programs to

    a common reference group, commented briefly on our methods, and interpreted the results. In

    this companion Technical Report, we provide further details of the methods used to produce the

    study findings, including our design, sample, and modeling approach. Furthermore, we include a

    discussion of the design changes between these reports and the previous report, The Impact of

    Teacher Preparation on Student Learning in North Carolina Public Schools (April 2010), the

    equations used to generate estimates for the primary report and the companion institutional

    reports, and the data compiled for this study. This report concludes with complete tables

    including coefficient estimates for our overall analyses. Separate supplementary reports contain

    the results of individual institution analyses.

    Overall Study Design: Valued Added Models

    In this study, we use year-to-year multilevel, value added models with extensive controls as we

    did in the prior study. These models are as accurate, fair, feasible to implement consistently, and

    transparent for use across the grade levels and subjects as possible. While our basic modeling

    approach remained unchanged from prior reports comparing the effectiveness of teachers from

    various teacher preparation programs, we changed the cutoff for teachers‟ years of experience,

    added two more years of data, and added control variables. The bulleted points below provide a

    list of changes between the prior teacher preparation models and the current report. A more

    detailed explanation of these changes is included in the primary report.

    • Added two years of data: 2008-09 and 2009-10 to 2005-06 through 2007-08 • Limited analysis to teachers with less than five years of experience • Included other teacher preparation categories in the models

  • Technical Report: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness Report

    Page 2 of 19

    • Individual campus models compare each campus to other sources of teacher preparation • Included middle grade science and algebra 1 models • Presented findings in a graphical format • Expressed effects as percentages of a standard deviation

    In addition, for the subjects of Elementary Reading and Mathematics and Middle School

    Reading and Mathematics, we calculate an equivalent days of schooling value to provide a

    meaningful metric to understand the effects of having a teacher from a specific preparation

    program compared to a teacher from another program. Table 4 provides the formulas for this

    calculation.

    Equations for Estimating Teacher Impacts

    In our first model, we estimate a separate effect for each of UNC‟s 15 institutions that prepare K-

    12 teachers. Separate indicator variables for teachers prepared by each of the UNC institutions

    generate specific estimates of the average teacher value added for students‟ of UNC prepared

    teachers, compared to all other sources of teacher preparation in the North Carolina Public

    Schools. Only teachers with less than five years of experience are included in the models, and

    additional teacher characteristics variables separate the effects of years of experience and out-of-

    field teaching from program effectiveness estimates. Traditional undergraduate teacher training

    includes students who majored in a teacher preparation degree program, and those students

    majoring in another subject who take classes in a school of education to concurrently gain a

    teaching credential.

    The equation used to estimate the effect of programs is:

    Where is a student‟s test score, specifically student i in classroom j in school s in the

    current time period;

    estimates the average effect on student test scores of the teachers from each of the 15

    UNC traditionally prepared programs;

    are indicator variables that equal 1 if the teacher is a traditionally prepared

    undergraduate from the specified institution in the particular analysis and 0 if not;

    represents a prior test score or scores;

    represents a set of individual student characteristics for student i in classroom j in school s;

  • Technical Report: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness Report

    Page 3 of 19

    represents a set of classroom characteristics in classroom j in school s;

    represents a set of school characteristics in school s;

    and and are disturbance terms representing unexplained variation at the individual,

    classroom, and school levels, respectively.

    The second set of models generates up to 11 individual model results (based on the student test

    score outcome) for each of UNC‟s fifteen teacher preparation programs. Within each of these

    models, indicator variables designate groups of teachers based on their preparation for entry into

    the classroom and are designated by 12 separate variables listed in Table 1 below.

    Table 1: Teacher Preparation Categories

    Teacher Preparation Categories Abbreviation

    Other UNC Traditionally Prepared Undergraduates OtherUNC

    UNC Graduate Degree Prepared UNCGD

    NC Private University Undergraduate Degree Prepared NCPUGD

    NC Private University Graduate Degree Prepared NCPGD

    Out-of-State University Undergraduate Degree Prepared OSUGD

    Out-of-State University Graduate Degree Prepared OSGD

    UNC Licensure Only UNCLO

    Other Licensure Only OtherLO

    Teach For America TFA

    Visiting International Faculty VIF

    Alternative Entry AE

    Unclassifiable Unclass

    Other UNC Traditionally Prepared Undergraduates OtherUNC

    UNC Graduate Degree Prepared UNCGD

  • Technical Report: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness Report

    Page 4 of 19

    Each of the 12 types of teacher preparation are compared to the teachers traditionally prepared

    by a specific UNC institution, which is the reference group for that institution‟s analyses. Their

    teacher value added estimate, as the reference group, is set to zero and the coefficients on each of

    the 12 categories of teacher preparation indicate the average difference in student test score

    outcomes for students‟ of teachers in the specified category as compared to the reference

    institution. The “Other UNC Traditionally Prepared Undergraduates” group includes all

    traditionally prepared UNC teachers not from the reference institution and is the only group

    whose members vary across each of the analyses. The remaining categories are consistent in

    membership, but their estimated coefficients vary based on the reference group‟s performance in

    each model. The equation for individual institution comparison models is as follows:

    Where is a student‟s test score, specifically student i in classroom j in school s at time t;

    provide estimates of the average effect of the teachers from each of the 12 comparison

    categories on student test score outcomes;

    are indicator variables that equal 1 if the teacher is a member of the

    category in the particular analysis and 0 if not;

    represents a prior test score or scores;

    represents a set of individual student characteristics for student i in classroom j in school s;

    represents a set of classroom characteristics in classroom j in school s;

    represents a set of school characteristics in school s;

    and and are disturbance terms representing unexplained variation at the individual,

    classroom, and school levels, respectively.

    Measures and Study Sample

    In this section we describe the way each of the measures were constructed and the sources of the

    data that were used. In addition, this section provides more detailed information on the methods

    used to construct the data sets included in the models.

    a. Focal Variables: UNC Teacher Preparation Programs

    UNC Teacher Preparation Program variables are created based on data provided by the

    UNC General Administration and matched to value-added model data based on each

  • Technical Report: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness Report

    Page 5 of 19

    teacher‟s identification number. More detail on teacher program variables is provided in

    UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness.

    b. Focal Variables: Individual Program Analysis

    Teachers that are coded as graduates of UNC Teacher Preparation Programs become the

    reference group in each individual program analysis. The focal variables in the analysis

    are 12 comparison groups representing the various teacher preparation categories in

    Table 1. These categories are identified using data from the UNC General

    Administration, the North Carolina Department of Public Instruction (NCDPI), and

    Teach for America. With one exception, teacher assignments to preparation categories

    use similar rules for the assignment to portals utilized in Teacher Portals: Teacher

    Preparation and Student Test Scores in North Carolina (June 2010). In the portals

    analysis, an individual who acquires a master‟s degree after completing a traditional

    undergraduate program, but before beginning teaching, is identified as being in a

    graduate portal. In this analysis, persons retain their identity as a traditionally trained

    graduate of a UNC program if they meet the criteria of a program, regardless of

    additional preparation before entering the teaching profession.

    c. Merging Multiple Data Sets to Create the Study Data Base

    The data used in this study includes longitudinal student achievement scores linked to

    class rosters, teacher characteristics including experience and out-of-field teaching status,

    classroom characteristics, and school characteristics provided to researchers at the

    Carolina Institute for Public Policy. Roster files that NCDPI receives from schools

    provide information which allow us to link students to teachers. Student roster files

    contain information on a student‟s classroom assignments and the name of the teacher

    instructing each class. The student‟s name, date of birth, and a study-generated

    identification number are used to match the student to test scores that occur in the current

    and prior year. Student roster information is matched with current year test scores for

    over 95% of the students listed on rosters. Approximately 90% of these students are

    matched to their prior year test scores. Table 2 (below) displays the count of students in

    the data sets by year. We match approximately 93% of teachers in the roster data to other

    teacher data.

  • Technical Report: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness Report

    Page 6 of 19

    Table 2: Student Roster Counts

    School Level/Subject

    Unique Students

    Academic Year

    2005-06

    Unique Students

    Academic Year

    2006-07

    Unique Students

    Academic Year

    2007-08

    Unique Students

    Academic Year

    2008-09

    Unique Students

    Academic Year

    2009-10

    ES Reading 182,973 170,567 324,656 222,313 156,641

    ES Mathematics 124,619 124,224 235,715 164,057 104,474

    MS Reading 65,509 65,270 64,375 76,212 71,336

    MS Mathematics 79,358 75,319 70,623 81,469 72,733

    MS Science - - 23,529 30,884 28,078

    MS Algebra I 4,614 4,903 4,560 5,459 5,075

    HS All Subjects* 149,850 110,348 152,732 199,377 176,157

    HS English I 27,273 26,562 26,133 34,189 28,990

    HS Math 41,532 41,339 43,151 54,591 57,430

    HS Science 40,007 - 38,648 53,919 39,039

    HS Social Studies 41,040 42,446 44,801 56,678 50,698

    * Observations may not sum to total for all subjects due to rounding of partial year observations.

  • Technical Report: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness Report

    Page 7 of 19

    d. Outcome Variables: Student Test Scores

    Eleven separate models are conducted when at least 10 teachers are included in the

    reference group. Two elementary school (grades 3-5) models base outcomes on End-of-

    Grade (EOG) tests in reading and mathematics. Four middle school grades (grades 6-8)

    models base outcomes on EOG tests in reading, mathematics, 8th

    grade science

    (beginning with the 2008-09 school year), and End-of-Course (EOC) tests in Algebra I.

    Algebra I models include limited numbers of students enrolling in Algebra I during

    middle school grades. Five high school (grades 9-12) models base outcomes on tests in

    all EOC tested subjects combined, English I only, mathematics EOC tests (Algebra I,

    Algebra II, and Geometry), science EOC tests (Biology, Chemistry, Physical Science,

    and Physics), and social studies EOC tests (Civics/Economics and US History). Not all

    tests are conducted or reported in all years and the availability of data varies across

    subjects and grade level. All EOG test scores are standardized within year, grade, and

    subject (z scores). EOC test scores are standardized within year and subject, but not by

    grade since students in various grades take the same test. Standardization of these

    variables converts scaled scores into a format where the average score is zero and the

    standard deviation of scores is one. A student with a standardized score of zero scored at

    the mean or average when compared to all students in his/her same grade in the year the

    student took the test. Therefore, a student with a score of zero in two consecutive years

    increased his/her performance in the subject in the second year by the same amount as the

    average increase in the state for his/her grade.

    Covariates: Influences on Student Test Scores Controlled in the Analysis

    In this section, we describe the variables, referred to as covariates, which may influence student

    test score outcomes. We use these covariates to adjust or control for differences in the students

    that graduate from different teacher preparation programs and where they choose to teach. These

    factors are beyond the control of the program and therefore, their effects on student achievement

    should be removed to better isolate programmatic effects. Most of the covariates are the same for

    the elementary, middle and high school analyses, however, a few differences exist.

    Prior Student Test Scores. For high school students, prior test scores are the student‟s 8th

    grade

    test scores in both reading and math. These scores are not necessarily from the prior year as

    students in higher level grades (10th

    – 12th

    grades) took their 8th

    grade EOG exams in more

    distant prior years. For middle school students, we use the student‟s prior test performance on

    EOG exams in both reading and math in the preceding year. For elementary school students, the

    student‟s prior year EOG or 3rd

    grade pretest (beginning of the year) scores are used. For these

    pretest scores, when two scores are available they were averaged, and when only one score was

    available (for example, 3rd

    grade pretest scores in years when both tests were not administered) a

    single score was used.

  • Technical Report: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness Report

    Page 8 of 19

    Student and Family Characteristics. In addition to prior student test performance, the models

    also include student level variables that adjust for any performance differences that may be due

    to other factors measured at the student level. The prior test performance of the other students

    within a class identifies the contribution of peers to a student‟s own achievement. This is a single

    value consisting of the mean of prior test scores of other students within a class, excluding the

    individual student. The student‟s number of absences during the school year is included as a

    continuous variable.

    A series of variables indicate student mobility. One variable is related to structural mobility, a

    student moving to a new school because the current grade configuration of a school required

    moving (i.e. a 9th

    grade student enrolled in a grades 9-12 high school). Between-year mobility

    indicates students who tested (elementary and middle school) or attended a different school (high

    school) in the prior year and the school did not require a structural move. Students who could not

    be matched to roster data from the immediate prior year are coded as missing for between-year

    mobility. Within year mobility is based on the reported days enrollment for a student. If the

    student‟s days enrolled value is more than 10 days less than the modal value for the school, the

    student is coded as being a within-year mover.

    Dichotomous indicator variables are used in models to indicate male, Asian, black, Hispanic,

    multiracial, and American Indian students (the ethnicity categories designated by the state of

    North Carolina). As a proxy for a student‟s family income level, we use three dichotomous

    variables indicating free lunch eligible students, those eligible for reduced price lunch, and

    finally those whose lunch payment status is missing. Student exceptionality codes are used to

    generate an indicator variable if the student is gifted and another indicator variable if the student

    has a disability. Students are coded as having a disability if their school district has recorded an

    exceptionality code which includes behavioral, physical, learning or cognitive disabilities. Two

    covariates related to each student‟s English proficiency are included. One variable indicates

    whether a student currently receives services for Limited English Proficiency (LEP), and a

    second variable indicates whether a student formerly received LEP services but does not

    currently receive the services.

    In order to control for student‟s prior school progress, we created dichotomous variables for

    students who were overage for their grade, indicating they had likely been held back for a grade,

    or underage, indicating they had likely skipped a grade. The variables were created based on the

    combination of a student‟s date of birth and grade level. Based on the enrollment cutoff date of

    October 16th

    , we mark students as underage if their birth date occurs before the cutoff date for

    their grade level and overage if a student‟s birth date occurs after the cutoff date one year later.

    Finally, dichotomous variables representing the student‟s grade level are included in high school

    analysis models.

    In addition to these characteristics, high school models also include indicator variables to control

    for the average score differences between different EOC tests. During the time period covered by

  • Technical Report: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness Report

    Page 9 of 19

    this study, ten tests were required and included in the analysis: Algebra I, Algebra II, Geometry,

    Biology, Chemistry, Physical Science, Physics, English I, Civics/Economics, and US History.

    Algebra I serves as the reference group for analyses in models that include all subjects and

    mathematics only models. Physics is the reference group in models that include only science

    courses. US History serves as the reference group in models of high school social studies

    achievement. Models of achievement in English I do not include any additional test specific

    control variables since it is the only test subject in the category.

    Classroom and Teacher Covariates. Four control variables related to classroom characteristics

    are included in the models. The number of students in a classroom is included to control for

    differences in achievement that may be related to class size. Also, we calculate peer dispersion, a

    classroom level variable indicating the range of students‟ prior test scores within a classroom.

    This variable is calculated based on the standard deviation of prior year test scores for each

    student within a classroom, and is included to control for any potential effect of the range of

    prior abilities of the students within a classroom on a teacher‟s instruction and students‟

    achievement. In the high school and middle school analyses, two indicator variables are used to

    indicate classrooms with an advanced or remedial curriculum. Classrooms are labeled as an

    advanced curriculum classroom when their titles include the keywords „advanced‟, „honors‟, or

    „AP‟. Remedial classroom labels are based on course titles including „remedial‟ or „resource‟.

    Teacher controls include indicator variables for a teacher‟s years of teaching experience and an

    additional variable indicating teachers who are teaching a class that is „out-of-field‟. Teaching

    out-of-field occurs when a teacher is the teacher of record for a course where the teacher does

    not hold an initial or continuing license in the specified certification area. The models for this

    analysis are limited to teachers with less than five years of teaching experience. A series of

    indicator variables designate teachers in their first, second, third, and fourth years of teaching,

    with fifth year teachers as the reference category.

    School Level Covariates. School level covariates include measures of school size and context.

    Variables indicating school size, measured by the average daily membership of a school, per

    pupil expenditures measured in hundreds of dollars, and the average local supplement paid to

    teachers in the school measured in hundreds of dollars, are included in models. The suspension

    rate indicates the suspension rate per 100 students. The violent acts rate indicates the number or

    reported violent acts within a school per 1000 students. Models also include the concentration of

    students within a school by ethnicity and free or reduced lunch status. The variables report the

    percentage of students who are black, Hispanic, Asian, American Indian, and multiracial (the

    ethnicity categories designated by the state of North Carolina).

  • Technical Report: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness Report

    Page 10 of 19

    Summary

    In this study, we use multilevel models with extensive covariates or control variables to isolate

    the effects of teachers‟ preparation on the achievement of their students. We included two types

    of analyses. The first compares the UNC‟s fifteen teacher preparation programs to the outcomes

    of students taught by teachers from all other sources of teacher preparation. In the second

    analysis, we compare each of UNC‟s teacher preparation programs individually, as the reference

    group, to twelve other categories of teacher preparation. The findings from these individual

    analyses are found in the teacher preparation program reports for each institution. Differences

    attributed to preparation programs or preparation categories control for students‟ prior test scores

    in all cases, which is often referred to as value-added modeling. We also include covariates to

    adjust or control for characteristics of students and their families, classrooms, and school context.

    We estimate the effects of the graduates of UNC teacher preparation programs compared to the

    effects of all other teachers, including private institutions, those prepared out of state, and those

    alternative or lateral entry teachers that began teaching prior to obtaining a license from the state.

  • Technical Report: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness Report

    Page 11 of 19

    Table 3A: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Models – Elementary School

    Variable

    Elementary Reading Elementary Mathematics

    Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error

    Teacher Preparation Categories

    ASU -0.000 0.006 0.021* 0.007

    ECU 0.019* 0.007 0.004 0.009

    ECSU -0.012 0.019 -0.044 0.030

    FSU -0.011 0.015 0.027 0.019

    NCA&T 0.024 0.022 0.030 0.031

    NCCU 0.001 0.015 -0.032 0.022

    NCSU -0.029 0.038 0.104 0.074

    UNCA -0.018 0.020 0.039 0.022

    UNCCH 0.008 0.012 0.010 0.013

    UNCC -0.006 0.006 -0.011 0.008

    UNCG 0.008 0.007 0.030* 0.010

    UNCP 0.027 0.016 0.033 0.023

    UNCW 0.019* 0.007 0.014 0.011

    WCU 0.018 0.011 -0.001 0.014

    WSSU -0.009 0.026 -0.017 0.030

    Teacher Characteristics

    Out of field teaching 0.007 0.005 -0.009 0.006

    First year teacher -0.046* 0.004 -0.088* 0.006

    Second year teacher -0.025* 0.004 -0.030* 0.006

    Third year teacher -0.017* 0.004 -0.007 0.006

    Fourth year teacher -0.008 0.004 -0.007 0.006

    Student Characteristics

    Average prior grade EOG scores (Std.) 0.678* 0.002 0.706* 0.001

    Average peer test score (Prior grade) 0.043* 0.005 -0.001 0.006

    Days absent -0.003* 0.000 -0.006* 0.000

    Student structural move -0.050* 0.012 -0.042* 0.019

    Student moved in prior year 0.005 0.004 0.002 0.003

    Missing prior year school information 0.021* 0.005 0.044* 0.006

    Student moved during school year -0.053* 0.005 -0.074* 0.005

    Missing within year moved information --- --- --- ---

    Underage student based on grade 0.053* 0.010 0.076* 0.009

    Overage student based on grade -0.099* 0.003 -0.120* 0.002

    Academically or intellectually gifted 0.255* 0.003 0.245* 0.003

    Disabled student -0.132* 0.003 -0.117* 0.003

    Free lunch -0.097* 0.003 -0.064* 0.002

    Reduced price lunch -0.063* 0.004 -0.041* 0.004

    Lunch status missing -0.095* 0.009 -0.021* 0.007

  • Technical Report: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness Report

    Page 12 of 19

    Table 3A: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Models – Elementary School Continued

    Variable

    Elementary Reading Elementary Mathematics

    Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error

    Black -0.170* 0.003 -0.145* 0.003

    Hispanic -0.032* 0.005 -0.009* 0.005

    Multiracial -0.053* 0.005 -0.043* 0.004

    American Indian -0.084* 0.011 -0.060* 0.011

    Asian 0.002 0.006 0.083* 0.006

    Male -0.012* 0.002 0.020* 0.002

    LEP services recipient -0.160* 0.006 -0.073* 0.005

    Previous LEP services recipient 0.030* 0.007 0.051* 0.006

    Classroom Characteristics

    Students per classroom -0.001 0.000 -0.001 0.001

    Classroom ability dispersion 0.046* 0.009 0.043* 0.012

    School Characteristics

    School size (per 100) -0.014* 0.004 -0.012* 0.005

    School size squared 0.001* 0.000 0.001* 0.000

    Total per-pupil expenditures ($100s) 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

    Average teacher supplement ($100s) 0.000 0.000 0.001* 0.000

    Short-term suspension rate (per 100 students) -0.001* 0.000 -0.001* 0.000

    Violent acts rate (per 1000 students) 0.000 0.001 -0.002* 0.001

    Free and reduced price lunch mean -0.001* 0.000 -0.001* 0.000

    Black mean 0.000* 0.000 -0.000 0.000

    Hispanic mean 0.001* 0.000 0.000 0.000

    Multiracial mean -0.001 0.001 -0.004* 0.001

    American Indian mean -0.000 0.000 -0.001* 0.000

    Asian mean 0.002* 0.001 0.003* 0.001 Note: Teachers with less than 5 years of experience and teaching an elementary school reading or math course during the

    2005-06, through 2009-10 school year.

    *Indicates a given coefficient is significant at the .05 level.

  • Technical Report: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness Report

    Page 13 of 19

    Table 3B: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Models – Middle School

    Variable

    Middle Reading Middle Mathematics Middle Science Middle Algebra I

    Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error

    Teacher Preparation Categories

    ASU -0.010 0.008 -0.023* 0.012 0.067 0.051 -0.117 0.070

    ECU 0.004 0.008 -0.021 0.014 -0.015 0.037 0.115 0.061

    ECSU 0.016 0.021 -0.045 0.041 --- --- NR NR

    FSU 0.005 0.013 0.011 0.021 NR NR NR NR

    NC A&T -0.059 0.034 0.008 0.043 NR NR NR NR

    NCCU 0.005 0.020 -0.027 0.025 NR NR NR NR

    NCSU -0.009 0.008 -0.019 0.014 0.033 0.055 -0.019 0.050

    UNCA -0.042* 0.021 0.043 0.030 NR NR NR NR

    UNCCH -0.001 0.012 0.069* 0.021 0.069 0.056 NR NR

    UNCC 0.017 0.010 0.009 0.012 0.036 0.047 -0.140* 0.069

    UNCG -0.006 0.011 -0.021 0.020 NR NR NR NR

    UNCP 0.014 0.017 0.069* 0.031 NR NR NR NR

    UNCW 0.018 0.010 0.042* 0.015 0.004 0.049 0.051 0.098

    WCU 0.003 0.015 -0.011 0.016 0.009 0.063 NR NR

    WSSU -0.047 0.028 -0.032 0.066 NR NR NR NR

    Teacher Characteristics

    Out of field teaching -0.003 0.004 -0.018* 0.006 0.011 0.020 -0.088* 0.035

    First year teacher -0.029* 0.005 -0.073* 0.008 -0.070* 0.026 -0.136* 0.044

    Second year teacher -0.015* 0.005 -0.021* 0.008 -0.028 0.024 -0.083 0.043

    Third year teacher -0.003 0.005 -0.001 0.008 0.031 0.023 -0.007 0.045

    Fourth year teacher -0.000 0.005 0.001 0.008 -0.025 0.022 -0.007 0.042

    Student Characteristics

    Prior grade EOG reading score (Std.) 0.577* 0.002 0.140* 0.001 0.443* 0.004 0.157* 0.007

    Prior grade EOG math score (Std.) 0.176* 0.002 0.582* 0.002 0.261* 0.004 0.649* 0.009

    Average peer reading test score

    (Prior grade) 0.072* 0.003 0.111* 0.004 0.034* 0.007 0.086* 0.024

    Days absent -0.003* 0.000 -0.006* 0.000 -0.005* 0.000 -0.012* 0.001

    Student structural move -0.018* 0.004 -0.031* 0.006 0.093 0.050 0.155 0.098

    Student moved in prior year 0.013* 0.004 0.005 0.004 0.023* 0.009 -0.011 0.019

    Missing prior year school info. -0.006 0.012 0.003 0.012 0.045* 0.017 0.050 0.043

    Student moved during school year -0.041* 0.005 -0.079* 0.005 -0.065* 0.011 -0.123* 0.031

    Missing within year moved info. -0.046 0.078 -0.120 0.100 -0.243 0.132 -0.893* 0.301

  • Technical Report: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness Report

    Page 14 of 19

    Table 3B: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Models – Middle School Continued

    Variable

    Middle Reading Middle Mathematics Middle Science Middle Algebra I

    Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error

    Underage student based on grade 0.040* 0.008 0.049* 0.008 0.100* 0.016 0.094* 0.025

    Overage student based on grade -0.059* 0.002 -0.068* 0.002 -0.074* 0.005 -0.092* 0.012

    Academically or intellectually gifted 0.118* 0.004 0.149* 0.004 0.144* 0.007 0.130* 0.009

    Disabled student -0.110* 0.004 -0.054* 0.004 0.005 0.009 0.004 0.026

    Free lunch -0.058* 0.002 -0.023* 0.002 -0.050* 0.005 0.015 0.012

    Reduced price lunch -0.039* 0.004 -0.016* 0.003 -0.010 0.008 -0.024 0.016

    Lunch status missing -0.037* 0.010 -0.017 0.009 -0.035 0.019 -0.031 0.036

    Black -0.091* 0.003 -0.085* 0.003 -0.251* 0.006 -0.081* 0.012

    Hispanic -0.009* 0.004 -0.002 0.004 -0.089* 0.009 -0.005 0.016

    Multiracial -0.002 0.005 -0.026* 0.005 -0.066* 0.012 -0.004 0.022

    American Indian -0.064* 0.010 -0.045* 0.008 -0.184* 0.020 0.016 0.050

    Asian -0.020* 0.006 0.099* 0.006 -0.021 0.015 0.127* 0.016

    Male -0.037* 0.002 0.010* 0.002 0.189* 0.004 -0.018* 0.007

    LEP services recipient -0.126* 0.006 -0.001 0.005 -0.093* 0.012 0.086* 0.025

    Previous LEP services recipient 0.011 0.008 0.054* 0.007 -0.004 0.015 0.078* 0.028

    Classroom Characteristics

    Students per classroom 0.000 0.000 -0.001 0.000 -0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002

    Reading classroom ability dispersion 0.017* 0.007 -0.008 0.010 -0.007 0.016 0.141* 0.055

    Advanced curriculum 0.014* 0.005 0.019* 0.006 0.127* 0.040 -0.051 0.028

    Remedial curriculum -0.026* 0.007 -0.036* 0.010 0.007 0.059 0.364* 0.101

    School Characteristics

    School size (per 100) -0.004 0.003 0.008 0.005 0.004 0.011 0.021 0.034

    School size squared 0.000 0.000 -0.001* 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.002

    Total per-pupil expenditures ($100s) -0.000 0.000 -0.000 0.000 -0.000 0.000 0.007* 0.002

    Average teacher supplement ($100s) 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.003* 0.001 -0.004 0.002

    Short-term suspension rate (per 100

    students) -0.000* 0.000 -0.000* 0.000 -0.001* 0.000 0.000 0.001

    Violent acts rate (per 1000 students) -0.000 0.000 -0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.004* 0.002

    Free and reduced price lunch mean -0.000* 0.000 -0.000 0.000 -0.000 0.001 0.003 0.002

    Black mean 0.001* 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.001* 0.000 -0.007* 0.002

    Hispanic mean 0.001* 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.002* 0.001 -0.004 0.003

    Multiracial mean 0.002 0.001 -0.003 0.002 0.006 0.004 0.051* 0.012

    American Indian mean -0.001 0.000 -0.001 0.001 -0.002 0.001 -0.000 0.005

    Asian mean 0.001 0.001 0.005* 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.012* 0.006

    Note: Teachers with less than 5 years of experience and teaching a middle school EOG or EOC tested course during the 2005-06

    through 2009-10 school year.

    *Indicates a given coefficient is significant at the .05 level

  • Technical Report: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness Report

    Page 15 of 19

    Table 3C: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Models – High School

    Variable

    High School

    All Subjects

    High School

    English I

    High School

    Mathematics

    High School

    Science

    High School

    Social Studies

    Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error

    Teacher Preparation Categories

    ASU 0.018 0.010 -0.014 0.011 0.018 0.018 0.075 0.039 0.002 0.016

    ECU -0.012 0.013 -0.012 0.011 -0.010 0.022 -0.083* 0.040 0.066* 0.025

    ECSU -0.117* 0.046 NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR

    FSU -0.044* 0.020 0.008 0.018 0.067* 0.029 NR NR -0.042 0.046

    NC A&T -0.030 0.025 NR NR -0.030 0.032 NR NR NR NR

    NCCU -0.043 0.032 0.012 0.033 -0.040 0.040 NR NR NR NR

    NCSU 0.024* 0.009 0.012 0.010 0.022 0.014 -0.012 0.031 0.091* 0.021

    UNCA 0.034 0.025 -0.027 0.022 0.010 0.076 0.043 0.091 NR NR

    UNCCH -0.046 0.027 NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR

    UNCC 0.059* 0.012 0.028 0.017 0.048* 0.022 0.237* 0.083 0.067* 0.019

    UNCG 0.008 0.013 -0.016 0.012 0.051 0.030 0.014 0.038 -0.003 0.026

    UNCP -0.032 0.024 NR NR 0.002 0.046 0.078 0.061 -0.088 0.046

    UNCW 0.050* 0.013 0.022 0.012 0.028 0.026 0.119 0.069 0.004 0.026

    WCU 0.014 0.021 0.042* 0.019 -0.052 0.032 -0.130* 0.053 0.058 0.053

    WSSU NR NR --- --- NR NR NR NR NR NR

    Teacher Characteristics

    Out of field teaching -0.031* 0.005 -0.002 0.006 -0.022* 0.009 -0.069* 0.015 -0.025* 0.012

    First year teacher -0.095* 0.008 -0.026* 0.007 -0.092* 0.014 -0.090* 0.022 -0.126* 0.015

    Second year teacher -0.029* 0.008 -0.011 0.008 -0.037* 0.014 0.003 0.022 -0.044* 0.015

    Third year teacher -0.012 0.008 -0.002 0.007 -0.032* 0.015 0.016 0.023 -0.018 0.015

    Fourth year teacher -0.002 0.008 -0.005 0.008 0.003 0.015 0.034 0.023 -0.013 0.016

  • Technical Report: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness Report

    Page 16 of 19

    Table 3C: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Models – High School Continued

    Variable

    High School

    All Subjects

    High School

    English I

    High School

    Mathematics

    High School

    Science

    High School

    Social Studies

    Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error

    Student Characteristics

    8th Grade Math EOG score (Std.) 0.327* 0.002 0.189* 0.003 0.512* 0.004 0.370* 0.004 0.203* 0.003

    8th Grade Reading EOG score (Std.) 0.301* 0.002 0.484* 0.003 0.097* 0.002 0.281* 0.003 0.417* 0.003

    Average peer test score (Prior grade) 0.158* 0.005 0.104* 0.007 0.152* 0.009 0.103* 0.012 0.170* 0.008

    Days absent -0.008* 0.000 -0.005* 0.000 -0.009* 0.000 -0.009* 0.000 -0.008* 0.000

    Student structural move 0.067* 0.005 -0.040* 0.009 0.084* 0.006 0.008 0.009 -0.036* 0.014

    Student moved in prior year 0.012* 0.004 -0.010 0.022 0.012 0.008 0.014 0.008 0.015* 0.006

    Missing prior year school info. 0.046* 0.006 0.026 0.034 0.011 0.009 0.044* 0.009 0.073* 0.008

    Student moved during school year -0.077* 0.004 -0.063* 0.007 -0.077* 0.007 -0.101* 0.010 -0.069* 0.008

    Missing within year moved info. -0.010 0.054 -0.078 0.083 0.003 0.090 0.073 0.131 -0.227* 0.110

    Underage student based on grade 0.108* 0.006 0.058* 0.011 0.082* 0.010 0.167* 0.013 0.132* 0.010

    Overage student based on grade -0.107* 0.002 -0.106* 0.004 -0.104* 0.003 -0.119* 0.005 -0.105* 0.004

    Academically or intellectually gifted 0.143* 0.003 0.167* 0.005 0.153* 0.005 0.140* 0.006 0.144* 0.005

    Disabled student -0.050* 0.004 -0.170* 0.006 -0.053* 0.005 -0.030* 0.007 0.001 0.006

    Free lunch -0.008* 0.002 -0.046* 0.004 0.009* 0.003 0.002 0.004 -0.016* 0.003

    Reduced price lunch -0.004 0.003 -0.043* 0.005 0.009* 0.005 0.013* 0.006 -0.012* 0.005

    Lunch status missing 0.003 0.006 -0.018 0.010 -0.002 0.009 0.001 0.011 0.015 0.010

    Black -0.115* 0.003 -0.078* 0.005 -0.104* 0.004 -0.155* 0.005 -0.120* 0.004

    Hispanic 0.009* 0.004 -0.013 0.007 0.015* 0.006 -0.015 0.008 0.036* 0.007

    Multiracial -0.025* 0.005 -0.004 0.009 -0.044* 0.007 -0.027* 0.010 -0.015 0.009

    American Indian -0.083* 0.008 -0.067* 0.017 -0.071* 0.012 -0.096* 0.018 -0.091* 0.013

  • Technical Report: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness Report

    Page 17 of 19

    Table 3C: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Models – High School Continued

    Variable

    High School

    All Subjects

    High School

    English I

    High School

    Mathematics

    High School

    Science

    High School

    Social Studies

    Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error

    Asian 0.057* 0.006 -0.022* 0.009 0.131* 0.009 0.069* 0.011 0.024* 0.010

    Male 0.063* 0.002 -0.123* 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.104* 0.004 0.200* 0.003

    LEP services recipient -0.077* 0.006 -0.154* 0.009 -0.006 0.009 -0.055* 0.013 -0.099* 0.012

    Previous LEP services recipient 0.023* 0.007 -0.008 0.011 0.013 0.011 0.039* 0.014 0.022 0.012

    Algebra II -0.389* 0.012 --- --- -0.405* 0.012 --- --- --- ---

    English I 0.008 0.007 --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---

    Geometry -0.286* 0.009 --- --- -0.296* 0.010 --- --- --- ---

    Biology -0.010 0.009 --- --- --- --- 0.926* 0.041 --- ---

    Chemistry -0.572* 0.020 --- --- --- --- 0.392* 0.042 --- ---

    Physical Science 0.304* 0.014 --- --- --- --- 1.243* 0.040 --- ---

    Physics -0.960* 0.038 --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---

    Civics/Economics -0.014 0.008 --- --- --- --- --- --- 0.098* 0.008

    U.S. History -0.103* 0.010 --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---

    Classroom Characteristics

    Students per classroom -0.002* 0.000 0.001 0.000 -0.002* 0.001 -0.004* 0.001 -0.003* 0.000

    Classroom ability dispersion 0.036* 0.010 0.022 0.014 0.047* 0.017 0.060* 0.021 0.060* 0.016

    Advanced curriculum 0.127* 0.006 0.085* 0.008 0.235* 0.012 0.117* 0.015 0.096* 0.009

    Remedial curriculum 0.011 0.017 0.005 0.010 0.014 0.037 -0.068 0.067 0.047 0.044

  • Technical Report: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness Report

    Page 18 of 19

    Table 3C: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Models – High School Continued

    Variable

    High School

    All Subjects

    High School

    English I

    High School

    Mathematics

    High School

    Science

    High School

    Social Studies

    Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error Value Standard

    Error Value

    Standard

    Error

    School Characteristics

    School size (per 100) 0.010* 0.002 0.003 0.002 0.008* 0.004 0.002 0.004 0.017* 0.004

    School size squared -0.000* 0.000 -0.000 0.000 -0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.000* 0.000

    Total per-pupil expenditures ($100s) 0.000 0.000 0.001* 0.000 -0.000 0.000 -0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

    Average teacher supplement ($100s) 0.001* 0.000 0.001* 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.003* 0.001

    Short-term suspension rate (per 100

    students) -0.000* 0.000 -0.000 0.000 -0.000 0.000 -0.001* 0.000 -0.001* 0.000

    Violent acts rate (per 1000 students) -0.001* 0.000 -0.000 0.000 -0.000 0.001 -0.002* 0.001 -0.001 0.000

    Free and reduced price lunch mean -0.000 0.000 -0.001* 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 -0.001 0.000

    Black mean 0.001* 0.000 0.001* 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001* 0.000 0.001* 0.000

    Hispanic mean 0.003* 0.001 0.002* 0.001 0.003* 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.004* 0.001

    Multiracial mean -0.002 0.003 0.006* 0.002 -0.003 0.003 0.000 0.005 -0.004 0.004

    American Indian mean 0.001 0.001 -0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.003* 0.001

    Asian mean 0.003 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.005* 0.002 0.004 0.003 -0.000 0.002

    Note: Teachers with less than 5 years of experience and teaching EOC tested course during the 2005-06, through 2009-10 school year.

    *Indicates a given coefficient is significant at the .05 level.

  • Technical Report: UNC Teacher Preparation Program Effectiveness Report

    Page 19 of 19

    Necessary Information for Days Equivalency Calculations

    Table 4: Calculating Days Equivalency

    End of Grade Test Standard Deviations Average Yearly Gains

    Elementary School Mathematics 8.554 6.143

    Elementary School Reading 8.065 5.061

    Middle School Mathematics 8.293 2.791

    Middle School Reading 7.763 2.719

    Days Equivalency Equation = (((Result value/100) x Standard Deviation) / (Avg. Yearly Gains))) x 180

    Example for Elementary School Mathematics

    Step One

    Result value from institution comparison graph (ES and MS = 6.75) Standard Deviation (8.554) and Average Yearly Gains (6.143) from the table above

    Step Two

    Insert the result value into the days equivalency equation

    (((6.75/100) x 8.554) / (6.143))) x 180 = 16.92 days of learning

    Days Equivalency for High School and Middle Grades Science/Algebra

    For elementary and middle grades mathematics and reading tests, Carolina Institute for Public

    Policy (CIPP) can calculate days equivalency values because the tests are interval scaled and

    students have prior test scores for the subject. In high school subjects and middle grades science

    and algebra, however, prior test scores do not exist. Therefore, CIPP did not provide days

    equivalency values for these tested subjects.

  • Carolina Institute for Public Policy

    TechProgramReportCover2011Technical Report 2011ProgramReport_Final_7-21-2011.pdfBACK COVER_2