7kh $gxow 6rfldo &duh :runirufh · 2020. 3. 31. · :h duh rshq dqg zdqw wr frooderudwh rq...
TRANSCRIPT
The Adult Social Care Workforce: the numbers we all need to know
Dave Griffiths, Skills for Care
The Next Steps in Reforming the Adult Social Care and Support System Conference
Overview• Size and structure
• Recent trends
• Current workforce challenges
• Future workforce challenges
• Adding value to the data
Skills for Care – workforce models• National Minimum Data Set for Social Care (NMDS-SC) soon to
become The Adult Social Care Workforce Data Set (ASC-WDS)
• 100% local authority coverage
• 55% CQC coverage
• Dedicated survey for Personal Assistants
• Peer reviewed by the London School of Economics
The adult social care workforce
Occupational StructureJob groups in adult social care - NMDS-SC
The adult social care workforce
The adult social care workforce
The adult social care workforce
The adult social care workforce
The adult social care workforceReplacement Demand
• Skills for Care estimate that around 390,000 workers leave their role each year.
• 390,000 recruitments at £1,500 per recruitment = £585,000,000 (£585m) per annum.
• Of these an estimated two thirds (260,000) are moving within the sector
• As such we need to find 130,000 new workers each year just to stand still.
The adult social care workforce
110,00076,000
5,1003,000
Vacancy rates
Age profile
Nationality
Jobs
England 104,000
Eastern 14,500
East Midlands 6,000
London 26,000
North East 1,100
North West 5,500
South East 26,000
South West 14,000
West Midlands 6,800
Yorkshire and the Humber 3,900
EU jobs by regionWorkforce nationality by region
Nationality
The adult social care workforce
The adult social care workforceIndependent sector care worker hourly rates by region, NMDS-SC March 2018
Care worker pay vs. Supermarket payCare worker hourly rate – NMDS-SC March 2018, How pay stacks up at the supermarkets - The Grocer
Adding value to the data• Leeds University / National Institute for Health Research (Care homes /
CQC outcomes)
• Personal Social Services Research Unit (Retention and Sustainability of the care workforce)
• Predicting CQC scores using machine learning
• Identifying ‘at risk of leaving’ workers using machine learning
• We are open and want to collaborate on Tableau, Machine Learning, Python, ‘R’, etc.
The adult social care workforce
The adult social care workforce
The adult social care workforce
1,600,000
1,600,000
650,000
950,000
0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000
65+ model
75+ model
Jobs 2017 Extra jobs by 2035
Total 2.55m
Total 2.25m
Do your own analysis
The adult social care workforce
See more at:
https://www.skillsforcare.org.uk/Home.aspx
https://www.skillsforcare.org.uk/NMDS-SC-intelligence/Workforce-intelligence/Home.aspx