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A webcast of Sims Investor Strategy Day Presentation can be viewed on demand http://streamit.webcastcloud.com.au/Mediasite/Catalog/catalogs/2019simsinvestorday
8 April 2019
Sims Investor Strategy DayCreate a world without waste to preserve our planet.
8 April 2019
Grow PreservePurpose Invest
Disclaimer
3
The material contained in this document is a presentation of information about the Group’s activities current at the date of the presentation, 8 April 2019. It is provided in summary form and does not purport to be complete. It should be read in conjunction with the Group’s periodic reporting and other announcements lodged with the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX).
To the extent that this document may contain forward-looking statements, such statements are not guarantees or predictions of future performance, and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Group, and which may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the statements contained in this release.
This document is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor.
RS1001948
1956
YEA1988
2005 2007
2008
2017
1917Albert G Sims starts a scrap metal collection business
Albert G Sims Ltd listed on
AustralianStock
Exchange
First export sales ofsteel scrap metal to Japan
Enteredthe USmetals recycling
market with acquisition of
LMCin California Formed a
jointventure withAdams
Steelcreating SA Recycling
Celebrated 100years
Merged with Hugo Neu, one of the largestexportersof scrap metal in the US
Acquired Metal Management, one of the largestrecyclers in the US
We Have Been Here for Over 100 Yearsand will be here for another 100 years
4
Fe
Processes~500k tonnes
of municipalcurbside material
Recycles430k tonnes
of e-recycling
Recycles430k tonnes
of non-ferrous
Recycles9.4 milliontonnes of ferrous
In revenue
5,000+EMPLOYEES
>$6.4 BAUD
Generates395k MWh
of renewable energy
5
Where We Are TodayA great base to continue to grow
Sims: Largest listed dedicated metals recycling company
globally
Largest dedicated metals recycler in the US
Largest dedicated metals recycler in Australia and New Zealand
Second largest dedicated metals recycler in the UK
Largest electronics recycler
Operates municipal recycling for the largest US city(>8 million people) since 2003
Owns the largest landfill energy operator in Australia in partnership from 2001
Member of the World Business Council on SustainableDevelopment
250+FACILITIES
Total recordable injury frequency
rate1
1.3TRIFR
Operating in 18 Across 18 countries countries
1. Defined as total recordable injuries x 200,000 divided by number of hoursworked.
Sims Strategy
OutcomesCompetitive AdvantagesStatement
Sims’ strategy is to broaden its participation in the environmental sector through a portfolio of businesses aligned to its Purpose
Be the global leader in metals recycling by: Expanding our ferrous and
non-ferrous volumes in favourable geographies
Continuously improving through technology application
Lead the conversion of waste to energy by: Entering the waste to energy
space Taking the LMS Energy business
model overseasGrow recycling the cloud1 by: Providing innovative solutions in
this vast emerging market
6
Global Structure Engineering and
technical expertise Excellent market
position with strong balance sheet ~20 years experience in
energy from non-traditional sources Strong relationships with
B2B clients
1. Recycling the cloud refers to the re-purpose and recycling of the server rooms that provide cloud computing and services.
RoadmapStrategyFact Base
Strategic ProcessStrong board and employee engagement
Purpose
7
Sims PurposeCreate a world without waste to preserve our planet
When we embrace our purpose, we will: Become a leading innovator in the
circular economy Be recognised around the world as a
responsible community partner Become an employer of choice in the
environmental sector Be the #1 or #2 player in the sectors in
which we compete
We will build enterprises that: Create long-term value by providing
secure and sustainable management of resources within the circular economy
Our strategy combined with our Purpose will: Provide safer working sites Reduce earnings volatility Reduce operational risk Counter threats to our core business
8
30 year megatrendsAn example of the analysis undertaken
9
Area
Economic/ Business
Social
Political
Environmental
01110110011001111 Technological
Category Megatrends Impact to Sims
ClimateChange
Waste
Water
Energy
ResourceSustainability
Natural disasters amore frequent and violent driven by rising CO2 emissions
Global waste will increase
Advanced materials will change thenature and composition of goods
Nuclear reactor decommissioning will generate radioactive waste tobe handled
Trade in waste will decline with emphasis placed on management, recycling and reuse
There will be less plastic pollution with theadvent of bio plastics
Increased demand and decliningavailability of freshwater in megacities
Renewables will make up to 50% of the energy capacity growth by 2040
Energy storage & peer-to-peer (P2P)energy trading will revolutionise traditionalutilities
Declining availability of low cost & highgrade mines across all commodities andminerals
Landfills mined for resources& energy
Increased push towards recycled materials to reduce carbonemissions
Higher landfill costs and need forsolutions
Increasing value of materials in waste streams and higher importance on separation
Need for development of economicsolutions
Material separation will occur in thedomestic market of materialorigin
Declining volume of plastic materials forprocessing (Municipal)
Need for development of economicsolutions
Increased supply of renewables risk cuts to government support from carbon permitsales
Potential for easier sale of and purchase of energy at lower prices
Higher prices across all commodities and improved economics for material recovery
Increased opportunities for materialrecovery
Increased pollution of globaloceans Need for development of economicsolutions
Implications over next five to ten yearsSims is well positioned to benefit from global trends
Size and ability to trade is needed to compete in the market
Global push for high quality metals
Expand metal volumes in favourable geographies
Growing demand for copper and aluminum scrap
Grow non-ferrous business
Increased environmental concerns
Higher landfill costs driving an increased focus on waste management
Enter waste to energyGrow municipal recycling
An increasingly connected world
Use of ‘cloud’ service continuing to expand Recycle the cloud
Increasing concerns around global warming
Drive for base load renewable energy
Take the LMS Energy business model overseasCO2
Under-investment in new copper ore capacity and aluminum production
10
Sims Energy
Expand proven business model and technology
globally
Develop recycling solutionsfor major cities
Secure additional large citycontracts by FY25
Sims e-Recycling
Grow product stewardship and services for recycling
the cloud
Recycle 10% of the cloudby FY25
Be the OEM supplier of choice for recycledplastic
Sims Waste to Energy
Utilise waste to createnew revenue stream and
reduce costs
Zero waste disposal & energy costs over the long
termInstall and operate seven
plants within 10 years
Sims Integrated StrategyGrow core business and leverage synergies to expand into adjacent markets
Sims Group
Sims Metals Sims Municipal Recycling
Fortify and growsustainable profits
Globally grow ferrous andnon-ferrous business.
Including:Doubling the US non-ferrous
business by FY25Growing the US ferrous business ~40% by FY25
Acquire or build 50 MW byFY25
11
Sims MetalsFortify and grow sustainable profits
OutcomesCompetitive AdvantageThemes
USA metals recycling industry consolidation
Continuing to play to our strengths in the export market with heightened flexibility
Customers demanding higher quality materials
Engineering and technology expertise to create better quality
Diversity of customers
Global trading function and expertise across all regions
Strong balance sheet and market position
Grow ferrous in favourable geographies
Grow non-ferrous business
Increased automation and continuous improvement
Ongoing review of the global business footprint
12
Sims Waste to EnergyUtilise shredding waste to create new revenue stream and reduce costs
OutcomesCompetitive AdvantageThemes
Worldwide increasing costs of waste disposal are a risk to metals business
Rising energy prices
Demand for controllable renewable sources of energy
Production and ownership of1.3 million tonnes per year of shredding waste
Shredding waste has high energy content (~16 mega joules / kg)
Ability to time shift plant operation
Synergies with LMS Energy
Generate a new revenue stream
Reduction in waste disposaland energy costs
IP and operations knowledge
13
Sims E-RecyclingDrive profitable growth through product stewardship and service for large corporate clients
OutcomesCompetitive AdvantageThemes
Significant cloud computing growth
More stringent data privacylaws
Increased demand for recycled content in manufacturing
Well established online resale channels
Global footprint aligns withcloud server centers
Data security leadership and strong corporate governance
Technology and partner leadership to recover plastic for re-use
Become the leading globalprovider of “cloud recyclingsolutions”
Become the supply chain partner of choice for the OEM plastic needs
14
Sims EnergyExpand proven business model and technology globally
OutcomesCompetitive AdvantageThemes
Expand the landfill energy business model to the US and UK
Energy demand is increasing
Drive to reduce greenhousegas emissions
Demand for baseload renewable energy
15
Energy and engineering expertise since 2001
A successful and proven landfill energy business model with nearly 60 MW and >20 sites in Australia
Combination of landfill gas and solar energy on one site
Sims global footprint
Sims Municipal RecyclingDevelop waste management solutions for mega cities
OutcomesCompetitive AdvantageThemes
Waste is increasingly recycled, reused or destroyed
Municipals moving to combine recycling material
Municipals requiring increased recycling rates from waste
Serviced largest US city since 2003 – population 8.6 million
Operations across – NYC,New Jersey and Chicago
Operations across all wastetypes – metal, glass, plasticand paper
First mover technology
Strong Sims synergies – e.g. separation technology, recovered metals
Expand existing recycling contracts to add other waste types
Grow municipal contracts
Grow private contracts
16
Target MeasuresTargeting minimum 15% return on growth projects requiring capital
17
4,700Expand metal volumes in favourable geographies 6,500
Grow non-ferrous business
Enter waste to energy
Recycle the cloud
Take the LMS Energy business model overseas
CO2
NAM Non-F
140errous Retail Volume
200s (‘000 tonnes)
300
NAM F errous Volumes (‘000 t
5,800onnes)
0Waste to E nergy Capacity (ASR ‘
160000 tonnes)
290
Market Sha
0%re by volume of Clou
5%d Recycling
10%
0 15
FY18 FY22 FY25
Landfill energy outside Australia 1 (MegaWatts)
50
1. Nearly 60 MW in operation inAustralia.
Sims Investor Strategy DayWaste to Energy (WtE)
8 April 2019
Lower cost EnergyWaste Preserve
Waste to Energy Opportunity1 million tonne of Automotive Shred Residue (ASR) can be converted to energy / year
19
Extra Large Plant >130k tonnes ASR Excellent returns for large WtE plant 1 plant Total waste 190k tonnes
Large Plants >80k & <130k tonnes ASR Excellent returns for medium WtE plant 2 plants Total waste 225k tonnes
Medium Plants >50k & <80k tonnes ASR Viable returns for small WtE plant 10 plants Total waste 625k tonnes
Small Plants <50k tonnes ASR Insufficient waste to justify WtE
investment 8 plants and total waste 260k tonnes
Waste is a resource Sims generate 1.3 million tonnes of ASR /yr 1.0 million tonnes comes from plants that
produce enough ASR to be viable WtE facilities converts this to 1,100 GWh / yr Sims incurs $103 million in waste costs per annum
and targeted WtE facilities would remove 75% ofcosts when fully implemented
Sims Targeted WtE Facilities
US, $49
UK, $24
ANZ,$30
Sims regional waste cost / year ($million)
Process and TechnologySolutions based on gasification technologies – this is not traditional incineration
20
Inputs Process Outputs
Gasification
Syngas
Vitrified Waste(Road base –18% of input)
Metal (3% or more)
Steam Turbine
Liquid Production
ElectricalEnergy (56K MWh –228K MWh)
Waste (2% of input)
Biofuel (52K –
176K bbls)
Sims Waste ASR75%
(60K - 200KTonne per site)
3rd PartyWaste25%
(10 – 40K Tonneper site)
Output Option
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%GasificationTypical Plant Incineration
Waste
Waste By Products Metals
Plant Waste by Technology
* Note: Tonnes, MWh (MegaWatt hours) and bbls (barrels)are annualisedfigures.
Sims is well placedWith unique advantages to succeed and minimise waste and environment impact
21
High energy content in ASRWhy Sims 75% of feedstock is guaranteed from
internally produced ASR 3rd party feedstock improves the returns
and allows blending and normalisationof feedstock – Calorific value
Higher value returns – “Behind the meter” energy
Mitigates risks of increased tip fee costs for the future
Management team with extensive large industrial project experience
Existing skills in energy generation andthe energy market
Material ApproximateCalorific Value (MJ/kg)
MSW 7
Paper 13
ASR 16
Plastic 20
Medical 20
Tyres 30
990,90%
110,10%
Feed In Behind the Meter
Feed-in revenue between$65-$73 / MWh
Energy Production 1,100 GWhBehind the Meter cost
savings $100-$275 / MWh
Sound investment todayWith significant potential upside if feed-in tariff (FIT) and tipping fee increases
22
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
Gate Fee
Fixed Cost
Energy
Var Cost
ByProducts
EBITDA
Single ANZ WtE Plant Financials Feed-in increase to $125 / MWh in 2030
* Assumes 2% escalation from base year 2019.
Potential if Environmental levy
rebate removed
2030 @ $89* FIT 2030 @ $125 FIT
Electricity feed-in tariffs Australian electricity feed-in tariffs are
dynamic with current peak >$125 / MWh Average feed-in could reach this by2030 An average feed-in of $125 by 2030
increases feed-in revenue 31% and for an ANZ WtE facility $2.5 million / yr
Waste disposal Gate fees represent ~50% of revenue and
any shift in gate fees or reclassification of waste will have a more significant upside
If the NSW environmental levy rebate were to be abolished in 2030 gate fees would shift from $138* in 2029 to $227* in 2030 -increased revenue $4.8 million / yr
Waste to Energy (gasification) - Phase 1
Best initial WtE implementations are in ANZ and NAM due to economic, environmental, logistics and business integration factors
First site is anticipated in Australia and co-located with a processing facility
Detailed feasibility including preliminary engineering, technology selection, environmental, regulatory and community consultation and analysis will be conducted in 2019
Expect first site to be operational 2022 with a second and larger capacity site by 2023
Larger US sites explored after ANZ implementations to build on capability and expertise
Each implementation will scale up the previous and provide replicable working solutions
Forecast capex of ~$158 million over five years
Year 3 4 5
ANZ
US
0 1 2
Feasibility Plan &Execute
onal
23
Feasibility Plan & Execute
Feasibility
Feasibility Plan & Execute 75% Ops 100% Ops
Plant 1 – 80K T waste - $53M Capex Operational 3rd PartyWaste
Plant 2 – 80K T waste - $53M Capex Operati
Plant 3 – 130K T waste - $68MCapex
Plant 4 – 200K T waste - $112MCapex
Over 5 years two sites will be implemented and two more in planning/execution
Approach, location and timing 5 Year Deployment Plan
Waste to Energy (gasification) - Phase 2Roll out to sites that meet sustainable criteria based on a proven scalable model
Investment A WtE facility is a 30 year investment and
the suitability of each location is dependent on a broader asset strategy
Every target location is assessed on a caseby case basis
Expect 7 sites implemented over 10 yearsReturns IRR range of over 25% assuming inclusionof
3rd party waste and current energy and waste disposal costs
Significant upside potential in offset and risk mitigation of escalating future waste costs and energy feed-in tariffs
WtE – Cumulative Revenue to Investment2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
Cummulative EBITDA Cummulative Investment
WtE Target Facility Implementation
24M
illion
s
Sims Investor Strategy DaySims E-Recycling
8 April 2019
Growth B2BCloud Circular
Current Sims E-Recycling business modelDominated by traditional “shredding” operations
Enhanced B2B Services
Global B2B Clients
Compliance Schemes & Trading >75%
make
26
Future Sims E-Recycling business modelPath to Achieve Meaningful Growth
B2B ExpansionLargest target – Recycle the cloud
Circular EconomyAdd closed loop OEMs
Compliance Schemes & Trading
make
27
Circular economy
Customer purchasesHP product
Customer recyclesEOL product
Product recycled
HPmanufactures product
Closed-loopPCR resin fornew product
Recyclingoutput material
Circular Economy in
action
Sims E-Recycling already has an established business model
Business Process HP closed-loop hardware recycling program
28
Global cloud service marketStrong business relationships with key players in cloud service and hardware
29
There are three groups of customers: Cloud service providers
Data center hardware providers
Large corporate clients
~6 million tonnes of rack and servermaterial currently in use
~2 million tonnes per year of high qualityreusable and recyclable material will bereleased
Established relationships with most of the Fortune 100 - expanding into the new service offerings
Synergies with other Sims businesses
2018 Cloud Revenue1 (US$bn)estimated28 26
20
126 6 5
302520151050
Data Centre Equipment Market2 (US$bn)
38 42 47 5361
7180
60
40
20
02015 2016 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F
10.3% p.a. compounding growth
1. Forbes2. Statistica.com
Top 10 data centre locationsCurrent SRS Footprint aligns with large global data centre locations
2,208
30
107419
262102 131
228
# Subcontractor location
198406
242
# of Data Centers
# Sims E-Recycling location
Data centres and mobile cloud storageHigh volume and high quality
31
Conclusion
32
12%10%
8%6%4%
2%0%
Current FY22 FY25
Targeting 10% market share by 2025 The cloud is growing exponentially
Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS) is the fastest-growing segment of themarket
Sims E-Recycling has strong global relationships with the dominant IaaSproviders
Sims E-Recycling considers itself as a “first mover” in this global space
IaaS providers require metal recycling, component resale, global compliance, and strong security governance. All comprehensively and uniquely provided by the SimsGroup
The global install base of ~6 million tonnes has just begun to be perpetually refreshedwith new material creating a large and ongoing stream of material
Market Share by Volume of Cloud Recycling
Sims Investor Strategy DaySims Energy
8 April 2019
Analyse InvestBusiness model Global
Sims EnergyExpand proven business model and technology globally
OutcomesCompetitive AdvantageThemes
Energy demand is increasing
Drive to reduce greenhousegas emissions
Demand for base load renewable energy
Energy and engineering expertise since 2001
A successful and proven landfill energy business model with nearly 60 MW and >20 sites in Australia
Combination of landfill gas and solar energy on one site
Sims global footprint
Expand the landfill energy business model to the US and UK
34
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
Previous Operator Operator - LMS Energy
LMS Energy operation
Landfill energy expertiseIntellectual property (IP) is transferable from LMS Energy
35
LMS has been successful because of the intellectual property it has developed:
Landfill Gas Extraction
Gas Conditioning
Electricity Generation
Market Understanding
LMS intellectual property is transferable and can be replicated around the world
Similar capital and operating environment overseas to apply LMS IP
Therefore, it’s important to understand the potential revenue in target markets
REC creation from landfill energy site
Source: Australian Renewable Energy Certificate Registry
Previous operator outputSite closed 2014
Determining the best opportunityStaged and disciplined approach
36
• Political stability• Legal system• Grid reliability• Sims presence
Region
• Gov. incentives• Energy prices• Waste policy• Other regulations
Country
• Opportunity size• Location & grouping• Technology• Ownership
Company
• Gas resource• Plant availability• Potential returns• Environmental issues
Projects
Stage One Stage Two
Potential targets identified
37
Stage one identified USA and UK as the best regions USA and UK offer the best opportunities
These are mature markets so acquisition of underutilised assets is the best entry mechanism
Apply LMS Energy intellectual property to maximise asset return
Many landfill energy in the USA
Source: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Determining the best opportunityStaged and disciplined approach
• Political stability• Legal system• Grid reliability• Sims presence
Region
• Gov. incentives• Energy prices• Waste policy• Other regulations
Country
• Opportunity size• Location & grouping• Technology• Ownership
Company
• Gas resource• Plant availability• Potential returns• Environmental issues
Projects
Stage One Stage Two
38
Potential targets identifiedWithin the best regions Target opportunities are around the 15
to 20 MW size range
A number of operational landfill energy sites appear underutilised
Some underperforming assets have been identified
Renewable natural gas provides potential upside in USA with supportive government policies
USA LFG projects 630 Companies that meet criteria 12 Initial targets 4
UK LFG projects 250 Companies that meet criteria 5 Initial targets 2
39
Why Sims Energy
40
Proven business model, technology and expertise for the best opportunities
Familiar with the proven business model
Ready access and knowledge of the required technology and expertise
Potential long term offtake agreements
Relatively stable earnings
Leverage Sims global presence
A minimum of 50 MW by 2025
Sims Investor Strategy DayNorth America Metals (NAM)
8 April 2019
Non-ferrous Consolidate GrowFerrous
# SAR Sites
# SMM Sites
# RSR JV Sites
4 RSR JV
10
West
51
827
78
4
18
Southwest Southeast
MidwestMetro/East
New England
Strong Market LeadershipWell positioned in key North American markets
42
Sims MetalsFortify and grow sustainable profits
OutcomesCompetitive AdvantageThemes
USA metals recycling industry consolidation
Continuing to play to our strengths in the export market with heightened flexibility
Customers demanding higher quality materials
Engineering and technology expertise to create better quality
Diversity of customers
Global trading function and expertise across all regions
Strong balance sheet and market position
Grow ferrous in favourable geographies
Grow non-ferrous business
Increased automation and continuous improvement
Ongoing review of the global business footprint
43
USA MarketLeading market share with more opportunity to grow
44
60
8.5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
USA Market Size (million tonnes)
Ferrous
Domestic
Non-Ferrous
Export
Source: USGS, Company Estimates Source: USGS, ISR, Recycling Today, CompanyEstimates
9%
9%
6%
6%
6%
6%5%5% 5%
5%
39%
Estimated USA Market Share by Volume
Sims
Gerdau
Omni
TripleMDJJ
Alter
SMS
SA
Schnitzer FPT
Other
Grow non-ferrous retail businessSignificant organic initiatives and strategic bolt-on acquisitions
200
140
300
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Current State Volumes Growth Target 2022 Growth Target 2025
NAM Non-Ferrous Retail – Target VolumeGrowth
Non
-Fer
rous
Ret
ail
(‘00
0ton
nes)
Purchase Strategy Increased buying from source
Sales Strategy Geographic and product
optionality
Engineering & Technology Product diversification and
upgrade
Inorganic opportunities Acquisition opportunities
45
Grow ferrous businessSignificant organics initiatives and strategic bolt-on acquisitions
4,700
5,800
6,500
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Current FY22 FY25
NAM Ferrous - Target Volume GrowthFeeder yard expansion Procure more at source
Engineering & Technology Enhance metal yields and
quality
Bolt on acquisitions Regional consolidation
opportunities
Logistics Cost effective solutions
ensuring material flow
46
Conclusion
47
Significant opportunities to fortify and grow sustainable profits NAM is the largest ferrous participant in a fragmentedmarket.
Abundant opportunities to profitably expand NAM’s footprint:
– Organic
– Acquisition
Significant opportunity to grow non-ferrous retail off a low marketshare
World class technology team will deliver superior returns through higher metal yields andquality products for top end customers
Operational capability to support our strategy
Sims Investor Strategy DayCapital Management8 April 2019
Returns CapitalGrowth Discipline
Capital structure principles
49
Structuring the balance sheet for growth is the priority
Target $100 million average net cash
Fund growth assets within the $100 million target but temporarily allow gearing(1) to increase to 10%(2). Return to $100 million net cash target within three years
Fund working capital movements with standby facilities
Continue to buy back shares to offset any dilution from employee share programs
Pay 100% franked dividends
The allocation of any surplus cash after meeting the above principles will be determined at that time, including additional share buybacks
(1) Defined as debt / (debt + equity).(2) Currently equivalent to approximately $300 million.
One possible scenario into the futureAssume a single point forecast in a stable world(1)
50
+
(1) This scenario is not intended to represent management’s view of future financial outcomes. It is a simplified hypothetical scenario based on broad market parameters and used for illustrative purposes only. Actual future financial outcomes are likely to vary substantially.
Growth capex and returns as set out in today’s presentations, noting that growth capex for ANZ Metals and Europe Metals
will be in addition and there is sufficient capacity forthis
Stable prices at around current pricing
Stable market conditions
Stable EBIT margins
Growth capexSignificant potential growth capex through to FY24
51
Scenario Forecast Growth Capex FY20-FY24
158
165
North America Metals Sims Waste to Energy Sims Energy
~A$670 million350
FY20 FY29FY21 FY22 FY23
Maintenance Capex
FY24 FY25
Growth Capex
FY26 FY27 FY28
Dividends/buybacks Net Cash
Scenario outcomeOverlay of capital structure principles results in internally funded growth
Net Cash Position
52
$00
0
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200Target net cash
-
(200)
(400)
(600)
Cash flow1
(1) Cash flow excluding capital expenditure, dividends and buy backs.
A possible downside scenario(1)
53
Test the business for resilience
Pricing reduced by 30% in FY21 and FY22 before recovering to stable in FY23
Price reduction is a significant enough fall to impact margin andvolume
(1) This downside scenario is only one possibility and is intended for illustrative purposes. It does not encapsulate all the possible risks that could impact future financial outcomes.
400
200
-
(200)
(400)
(600)
600
1,000
800
FY21 FY28
Downside Case Scenario
FY20
Cash flow
FY22 FY23
Maintenance Capex
FY24 FY25
Growth Capex
FY26 FY27
Dividends/buybacks
FY29
Net Cash
Downside scenario outcomeWhile challenging, the business is resilient
$00
0
Net cash troughs the year following the downside
54
Working capital movementThere is a partial “natural hedge” relating to cash flow movements
$000
(200)
150
100
50
-
(50)
(100)
(150)
200
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
Working Capital Movement Under Downside Example
Lower inventory value and receivables
55
Higher inventory value and receivables
FY24 FY25
Summary and ConclusionStructuring the balance sheet for growth is the priority
56
Target $100 million average net cash
Sims has the potential to internally fund its significant growthcapex
Targeting minimum 15% IRR on a post tax nominal basis on growth projects
Paying 100% franked dividends will likely see dividend payout ratio fall
The allocation of any surplus cash after meeting the above principles will be determined at that time, including additional share buybacks
Conclusion“Road map for the next five years”
Purpose Grow Preserve Invest
Summary of strategic initiatives
2 3 5 Years
Metals
NEW BUSINESSES
e-Recycling
Waste-to-Energy
Energy
5 new Feeder Yards (ferrous andnon-ferrous)
Leverage digital technology
New USA contract
15 MW outside Australia
Cloud Recycling
Optimise extraction of land value
Grow business in existing footprint
Selectively enter developing markets
Value chain integration
Optimisation
Sims has a solid pipeline of capital and non-capital growth opportunitiesLegend
EXISTING BUSINESSES
Opt
imis
e Pr
ofita
bilit
y of
Met
als…
…G
row
New
Portf
olio
1
2nd WTE operation
Municipal Recycling
OEM Recycled Plastic
2nd New USAcontract
WTEoperation
50 MW outsideAustralia
20 additional new Feeder Yards (ferrous and non-ferrous)
WTEfeasibility
WTEconstruction
3rd WTE plan
Embedcontinuous improvement
58
A webcast of Sims Investor Strategy Day Presentation can be viewed on demandhttps://edge.media-server.com/m6/go/sims-investor-strategy-day-0419/
9 April 2019
Sims Investor Strategy DayNon-Ferrous Market Update
9 April 2019
Product Sales DiversityTechnology Policy
Global demand for recycled copperForecast to grow driven by development of power grids and electric vehicles
3
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
16,000
14,000
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
F20
22F
2024
F20
26F
2028
F20
30F
2032
F20
34F
Direct Use Smelter Refinery
Source: Wood Mackenzie
In 2018 1.3 million tonnes of 2.8 million tonnes global secondary copper smelter capacity is located inChina1
Primary copper smelters are considering more recycled copper in their processes
Dismantling capacity outside Chinais increasing both at source and in Asia
Remelt capacity outside China is increasing with many companies building contingency plans to establish plants in Asia if Category6 quotas are reduced
1. Wood Mackenzie
Global recycled copper demand
‘000
tonn
es
Global supply of copper oreMore than 12 million tonnes of additional supply required by 20351
4
Under-investment in new copper ore capacity mean more than 12 million tonnes of additional supply is required by 20351
It can take ~10 years for a copperore mine to produce
It is estimated that the copper required for an2: Electric vehicle is ~80kg Electric bus is ~300kg
Source: Wood Mackenzie
Global copper production and primary demand
‘000
tonn
es1. Wood Mackenzie2. Copper Development Association Inc.
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
200
0 200
2 200
4 200
6 200
8 201
0 201
2 201
4 201
6 201
8 202
0 202
Possible projects
Base Case Production Capability
Probable Projects
Primary Demand
Global demand for recycled aluminiumForecast to grow next 5-10 years driven by auto, packaging and construction
5Source: Bloomberg and Statistica
Three main sectors consume largevolumes of recycled aluminium Auto Packaging Construction
Aluminium is the second most usedmaterial in the auto industry and itsuse is increasing
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
China
Japan
Germany India South Korea
United States Rest of World Global
Commercial and Passenger Vehicle Production
China PolicyThinking ahead, delivering and creating optionality
6
Sims technology creating high quality furnace ready product
Developed network of customers and partners who have/are setting up “re-melt facilities”
Long history of supplying smelters/refiners Strong record of importing quality materials
into different geographies Diversified sales to customer type and
geographic regions Continuing R&D where there is customer
demand
Demand outlook Forecast demand for recycled copper and
aluminum expected to grow
Sims thinking ahead Market options if China reduces Category 6 imports Recycled metals potentially processed in
alternate markets before shipping to China Re-melt facilities are cheap and easy to build
and they are already being built Ye Chiu (Chinese company) doubling
capacity in Malaysia Daiki (Japanese company) building a facility
in India Many copper semis producers have identified
where they would re-melt recycled metal
Sales diversificationUtilise strengths to grow non-ferrous sales in new geographies
7
Sims Advantages Global trading function
and expertise across allregions
Engineering and Technology expertise to create better quality and diversified product
Strong record of importing quality materials into different geographies
Diversity of customer type and geographic location
China Korea
India Pakistan
Malaysia Other
China India Korea Pakistan Other
Non Ferrous Export Sales Volume 1H19
Non Ferrous Export Sales Volume 1H18
Product diversificationInsulated copper wire converted to furnace ready product
8
Copper chop productChina classification of Category 6
Insulated copper wire productChina classification of Category 7
Furnace ready copper chopRemoves manual processing in China and ICW plastic waste not imported
9
Simple flow of Copper materialsSims sells Copper Chop
Simple flow of Copper materialsSims sells Insulated Copper Wire
Manually dismantled and sorted in China
Semi finished product producer
Smelting/ Refining Re-melting
Insulated copper wire shipped to China
Semi finished product producer
Smelting/ Refining Re-melting
Copper chop shipped to China
Note- Liquid markets for copper chops exist in other Asian, Europe, and North American countries.
Environmental driversFurnace ready recycled metal assists China to achieve it’s goal
10
China policy National Sword1
- Announced in July 2017 to the World Trade Organisation
- Aimed to stop the illegal smuggling of foreign waste into China, targeting dirty or hazardous waste mixed in the solid waste that can be used as raw material
Blue Sky2
- Announced in March 2018- Broad environment policy aimed to
improve air, water and soil quality
Sims & recycled metals contribute positively Sims Reputation
- Strong record of importing qualitymaterials without waste into China
- Produces 99% metallic zorba, furnace ready high grade copper and furnace ready twitch, red/grey heavy
Aluminium3
- Energy saved using recycled aluminiumvs. virgin materials is up to 95%
Copper4
- Energy saved using recycled copper vs. virgin materials is up to 85%
1) World Trade Organisation2) Chinese Government3) ISRI (Institute of Scrap Recycling Industries Inc)4) BIR (Bureau of International Recycling) Report on the environmental benefits of recycling
Sims Investor Strategy DayAustralia & New Zealand (ANZ) Metals
9 April 2019
Grow PreservePurpose Invest
Business OverviewMarket leader with stable earnings growth and strong returns Largest metals recycler in Southern Hemisphere 50 facilities across Australia, New Zealand, and
Papua New Guinea Track record of stable earnings growth and
strong investment returns $1.1 billion in revenue (FY18) $126 million in EBITDA (FY18)
12
21 3150 52
2843
47
FY16 FY17 FY19
Underlying EBIT (A$m)
FY181H 2H
A$m (ex-recharges) FY16 FY17 FY18
Revenue 743.6 981.4 1,071.0
Underlying EBITDA1 75.6 102.4 126.2
Underlying EBIT1 48.7 73.8 96.9
Sales volume 1,418 1,656 1,696
EBIT margin2 (A$/t) 35 48 61
ROC3 9.2% 12.3% 15.7%
12%
9%
17%
FY18 1H FY19Annualised
Return on Capital3 (%)16%
FY16 FY171) Underlying earnings excludes significant non-recurring items, the impact of non-qualifying hedges and internalrecharges.2) Calculated with proprietary salesvolumes.3) Return on Capital = (Underlying EBIT – Tax at tax rate of 30%) / (Net Assets).
38
9
Australia
3
Papua New Guinea
50 Facilities7 Shredders
1 Zorba Separation Plant
New Zealand
Sydney
Melbourne
Brisbane
Adelaide
Perth
Auckland
Christchurch
Business Overview50 recycling facilities across Australia, New Zealand, and Papua New Guinea
13
ANZ MarketLeading market share, with further capacity to grow
14
30%
Estimated Australian market share by volume
Sims Metal Liberty OneSteel
Tier 1 Competitors Tier 2 & 3 Competitors
Source: National Waste Report (FY17), Company Estimates Note: Oceania, excluding Australia, New Zealand, and Hawaii
0.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
6.0
7.0
Market size (million tonnes)
Australia New Zealand Oceania
ConclusionStrong returns with further opportunity to grow Market leader with a history of stable earnings growth and strongreturns
Competitive advantages in both technology and customerreach:– In-house engineering team and first to market in technology implementation– Facilities nation-wide to service both large-scale suppliers & customers
Leading market share, but potential to further grow volumes:– Greenfield & brownfield expansion in under-represented markets– Targeted bolt-on acquisitions
Management depth and experience to drive growth strategy as well as continuousimprovement programs on existing operations
15
ANZ MetalsZorba Separation Plant
9 April 2019
Grow Preserve InvestPurpose
Zorba Separation Plant
17
Solution to upgrade all Australian Zurik & Zorba to furnace-ready productsProject Summary National facility to upgrade all Sims Australia’s
Zorba and Zurik into smelter ready products First of its kind in the Southern Hemisphere Operational in April 2019
Key Benefits Solution to future demand uncertainty for semi-
processed mixed metals Potential for increased non-ferrous sales to
domestic customers previously not possible Ability to extract greater margins per tonne of
non-ferrous shred recovery material Opportunity to process e-waste Capacity to process future 3rd party volumes
Zorba Separation PlantCentral location to service all five Australian shredders
18
Sydney
Melbourne
Brisbane
AdelaidePerth
Sims Metal ManagementShredding Facility
Shredding Facility (Gillman)
Zorba Separation Plant
Project Location: Adelaide, SAProject Location: Adelaide, SA
Zorba Separation PlantSolution maximises current capabilities and future technology adaptations
19
Existing 3,000HP shredder, acquired and repurposed for Zorba Separation Plant
July 2018: Acquisition of recently installed3,000HP shredder in Adelaide, SA
– Shredder re-purposed to re-shred zorba and zurik for fine granulation / separation
– Acquisition significantly reduced the timerequired implement solution
August 2018 to April 2019: Design and construction of down-stream sorting equipment
– Newest technology utilising four separation sorting technologies; inductive sensors, laser modules, colour cameras, and x-ray
April 2019 to December 2019: Modification of Australia’s five MRPs to create twitch locally
Zorba Separation Plant
20
Direct to smelter sales for all products with capacity to process new materialsOld Process New Process
1) Smelter-ready aluminium product generated by local sortingenhancements.2) Residual aluminium-based material, not directly upgraded into twitch.
Sold for further processing (e.g. China)
Indirect Sales to Smelter
Zurik Zorba
SimsMM Regional MRP’s External MaterialSimsMM Regional MRP’s
Twitch1 MixedMetals2 Zurik E-Waste 3rd Party
Zorba Separation Plant
Twitch Sabot Copper Brass Greys heavies
Direct Sales to Smelter
Zorba Separation PlantEnables product, customer and geographic diversity Ability to upgrade all Australian Zurik & Zorba to furnace-ready products
– Solution to uncertainty of future demand for semi-processed mixed metals– Potential for increased non-ferrous sales to domesticcustomers
Expanded capacity to process new materials– Capacity to process future 3rd party Zorba and Zurik– Non-traditional materials including e-waste and co-mingled metals
Ability to extract greater margins per tonne– Direct to smelter sales removes weakening margins for semi-processedmaterials– Greater value-in-use to assist in placing products to targeted consumers
Single-centralised location provides future optionality to implement new technologies quicker and at lower cost
21
ANZ MetalsSite Tour
9 April 2019
Grow Preserve InvestPurpose
Material Recovery ProcessEnables the creation of furnace ready product
23
In-feed Shredder & Material Recovery
Plant (MRP)
Output Zorba Separation Plant
Output
Sabo
tTw
itch
Red
heav
ies
Zorba Separation PlantShredding facility - Gillman
Copper
Cu
Aluminium
Al
Gre
yhe
avie
s Mixed
Stainlesssteel
S
Zorba
Zurik
Ferrous shred
ZurikZorba