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DOCUMENT RESUME ED 336 329 SO 030 087 AUTHOR Matthews, Jessica Tuchman, Ed. TITLE Preserving the Global Environment: The Challenge of Shared Leadership. INSTITUTION American Assembly. New York, N.Y.; World Resources Inst., Washington, DC. SPONS AGENCY Rockefeller Bros. Fund, New York, N.Y. PUB DATE 90 NOTE 25p.; Report from the Annual American Assembly Conference (72nd, Harriman, NY, April 19-22, J.990). PUB TYPE Collected Works - Conference Proceedings (021) EDRS PRICE MF01/PC01 Plus Postage. DESCRIPTORS Conservation (Environment); *Environment; Environmental Influwices; Foreign Policy; *Global Approach; *International Cooperatioa; *International Relations; Physical Environment; Political Issues; Population Growth; Thermal Environment; World Affairs; World Problems ABSTRACT In April of 1990, a three-day conference was convened at which 76 men and women from 18 countries representing a spectrum of government, business, labor, academia, the media, and the professions gathered to discuss how the United State should reorient its policies and relations toward other countries and international institutions to preserve the global environment. This document is a statement produced by the conference participants after the close of their discussions. The statement contends that three indivisibly linked global environmental trends together constitute an increasingly grave challenge to the habitability of the earth. These trends, which are discussed, are human population growth; tropical deforestations and the rapid loss of biological diversity; and global atmosptIric change, including stratospheric ozone loss and greenhouse warng. The statement also outlines the goals and means of international cooperation and challenges. The United States must play a key leadership role in global environmental issues both by example and through international participation. (DB) Reproductions supplied by EDRS are the best that can be made from the original document. ***********,-*********************************N***********************

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Page 1: 90 - ERICThe volume, Pre,'Prving theGlobal Environment: The Challenge of Shared Leadership, edited by Jessica Tuchman Mathews, is an American Assembly book developed for the Seventy-seventhAmerican

DOCUMENT RESUME

ED 336 329 SO 030 087

AUTHOR Matthews, Jessica Tuchman, Ed.

TITLE Preserving the Global Environment: The Challenge of

Shared Leadership.

INSTITUTION American Assembly. New York, N.Y.; World Resources

Inst., Washington, DC.

SPONS AGENCY Rockefeller Bros. Fund, New York, N.Y.

PUB DATE 90

NOTE 25p.; Report from the Annual American AssemblyConference (72nd, Harriman, NY, April 19-22,

J.990).

PUB TYPE Collected Works - Conference Proceedings (021)

EDRS PRICE MF01/PC01 Plus Postage.

DESCRIPTORS Conservation (Environment); *Environment;Environmental Influwices; Foreign Policy; *GlobalApproach; *International Cooperatioa; *InternationalRelations; Physical Environment; Political Issues;Population Growth; Thermal Environment; WorldAffairs; World Problems

ABSTRACTIn April of 1990, a three-day conference was convened

at which 76 men and women from 18 countries representing a spectrum

of government, business, labor, academia, the media, and the

professions gathered to discuss how the United State should reorient

its policies and relations toward other countries and international

institutions to preserve the global environment. This document is a

statement produced by the conference participants after the close of

their discussions. The statement contends that three indivisibly

linked global environmental trends together constitute anincreasingly grave challenge to the habitability of the earth. These

trends, which are discussed, are human population growth; tropical

deforestations and the rapid loss of biological diversity; and global

atmosptIric change, including stratospheric ozone loss and greenhouse

warng. The statement also outlines the goals and means of

international cooperation and challenges. The United States must play

a key leadership role in global environmental issues both by example

and through international participation. (DB)

Reproductions supplied by EDRS are the best that can be made

from the original document.

***********,-*********************************N***********************

Page 2: 90 - ERICThe volume, Pre,'Prving theGlobal Environment: The Challenge of Shared Leadership, edited by Jessica Tuchman Mathews, is an American Assembly book developed for the Seventy-seventhAmerican

U.S. INTERESTS IN THE 1990'S

PRESERVINr THE

ENVIRONMENTTHE CHALLENGE OF SHARED LEADERSHIP

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

APRIL 19-22 1990 "PERMISSION TO REPRODUCE THISe of Eth.i.ationai Research and Improvement

t ,CATIONAL RESOURCES INFORMATION MATERIAL HAS BEEN GRANTED BYCENTER (ERICI

locurrent has Peen reproduced as

iiginatingMinor ( r anges nave Peen made to improve

tt ARDEN HUOSE..Ceived ''orn the person or organization

oproduct.on Quality

Earmet nese._

GrticjeroolnIs or v tev. ur opinions stated in this dOcu- , NY, TO THE EDUCATIONAL RESOURCES'rent co -ot necessarily represent official INFORMATION CENTER IERIC1."

nos.tion or policy

WORLD ESOURCES INSTITUTEKr'

THE AMERICAN ASSEMBLYCOLUMBIA UNIVERSITY

2 prey' PRIN MMII MI 5

Page 3: 90 - ERICThe volume, Pre,'Prving theGlobal Environment: The Challenge of Shared Leadership, edited by Jessica Tuchman Mathews, is an American Assembly book developed for the Seventy-seventhAmerican

The volume, Pre,'Prving the Global Environment: The Challenge ofShared Leadership, edited by Jessica Tuchman Mathews, is anAmerican Assembly book developed for the Seventy-seventh AmericanAssembly, the contents of which are listed on the following page. Thebook will be published in November, 1990, by W.W. Norton & Company.It is available to you in hardcover at a 15% discount off the list price of$22.95. To order, fill out the Coupon below and send with your check orcredit card order to:

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Please send me copiea of Freserving the Globa 7 Environment: TheChallenge of Shared Leadership. I am entitled to z discount price of$19.50 per copy. I understand that I will receive my hard cover copy in

November 1990.

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Additional copies of this report are available free of charge from: ThAmerican Assembly, 412 Altschul Hall, Barnard College, ColumbiaUniversity, New York, NY 10027-6598. Telephone: (212) 854-3456.

FAX: (212) 662-3655.

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PREFACE

On April 19, 1990, 76 men and women from 18 countries,representing a spectrum of government business, labor, academia, themedia, and the professions, gathered at Arden House, Harriman, NewYork for the Seventy-seventh American Assembly entitled Preservingthe Global Environment: The Challenge of Shared Leadership. Forthree days the participants discussed how the United States shouldreorient its policies and relations toward other countries andinternational institutions to preserve our global environment. This wasthe third in a series of American Assembly programs exploring thechanging global role of the United States in the 1990s.

This program was jointly sponsored by the World Resources Institute(WRI) and The American Assembly. Dr. Jesssica Tuchman Mathews,Vice President of WRI, served as director and edited the background pa-pers prepared for the participants. Authors and titles of these papers,which will be compiled and published as a W.W. Norton book, are:

Daniel A. Sharp PrefaceJames Gustave Speth

Jessica Tuchman Mathews

Nathan Keyfitz

Kenton MillerWalter V. Reid

Richard Elliot Benedick

George W. Rathjens

Tom H. Tietenberg

Richard N. Cooper

Peter H. Sand

Abram ChayesAntonia H. Chayes

Introduction and Overview

Population Growth Can Prevent theDevelopment That Would SlowPopulation Growth

Deforestation and Species Loss

Protecting the Ozone Layer:New Directions in Diplomacy

Energy and Climate Change

Managing the Transition:The Potential Role for EconomicPolicies

The World Economic Climate

International Cooperation:The Environmental Experience

Adjustment and ComplianceProcesses in InternationalRegulatory Regimes

Jessica Tuchman Mathews The Implications for U.S. Policy

Evening programs during this Assembly included an address byMaurice F. Strong, Secretary General, 1992 U.N. Conference onEnvironment and Development; and panels on "Arms, Conflict, and theEivironment" (Lincoln P. Bloomfield, Professor of Political Science,

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Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Moderator; Nicole Ball, Directorof Analysis, The National Security Archive; Michael Klare, Director,Five College Program in Peace and World Security Studies; KostaTsipis, Director, Program in Science and Technology for InternationalSecurity, Massachusetts Institute of Technology); and a panel on "TheCommon Environment of Eastern Europe" (Robert H. Pry, Director,International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg,Austria, Moderator; Tamas Fleischer, Senior Research Fellow,Research Institute for World Economy of the Hangarian Academy ofScience, Budapest; Andrzej Kassenberg, InbLicute of Geography andSpatial Economy, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw; JaromirSedlak, Krupp Senior Associate, Institute for East-West SecurityStudies, New York).

Following their discussion, the participants issued this report onApril 22, 1990; it contains both their findings and recommendationf).

We gratefully acknowledge the support of the following organizationswhich helped to fund this undertaking:

Principal Funder Rockefeller Brothers Fund

Major Funders John D. and Catherine T. MacArthurFoundationThe Pew Charitable TrustsThe Tinker Foundation, Inc.The George Gund Foundation

Funders The Ford FoundationCITIBANK/CiticorpThe Overbrook FoundationVolvo Nortll AmericaRockefeller Family Fund, Inc.Texaco, Inc.Xerox Foundation

These organizations, as well as the World Resources Institute andThe American Assembly, take no position on subjects presented here for

public discussion. In addition, it should be noted that the participantstook part in this meeting as private individuals and spoke forthemselves rather than for the institutions with which they are

affiliated. :

/.

We would like to express special appreciation in preparing for the

fine work of the drafting committee of this report: Ian Burton, HarlanCleveland, Charles Ebinger, T.N. Khoshoo, Carlisle F. Runge,Alexander Shakow, Bruce Smart, James Gustave Speth, and JenniferSeymour Whitaker.

James Gustave Speth Daniel A. SharpPresident PresidentWorld Resources Institute The American Assembly

The printing and distribution of this report hasbeen funded by a special grant from CITIBANK

and from The Pew Charitable Trusts.

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FINAL REPORTof the

SEVENTY-SEVENTH AMERICAN ASSEMBLY

At the close of their discussions, the participants inthe Seventy-seventh American Assembly, onPreserving the Global Environment: The Challenge ofShared Leadership, at Arden House. Harriman, NewYork, April 19-22. 1990, reviewed as a group thefollowing statement. This statement representsgeneral agreement; however, no one was asked to signit. Furthermore, it should be understood that noteveryone agreed with all of it.

Three indivisibly linked global environmental trends togetherconstitute an increasingly grave challenge to the habitability of theearth. They are human population growth; tropical deforestation andthe rapid loss of biological diversity; and global atmospheric change,including stratospheric ozone loss and greenhouse warming. Thesetrends threaten nations' economic potential, therefore their internalpolitical security, their citizens' health (because of increasedultraviolet radiation), and, in the case of global warming, possiblytheir very existence. No more basic threat to national security exists.Thus, together with economic interdependence, global environmentalthreats are shifting tradiConal national security concerns to a focuson collective global security.

The 1990s offer an historic opportunity for action that must not beallowed to slip. Not only do the global environmental trends pose anurgent threat to the planet's long term future, but the waning of the

Cold War also lifts a heavyThe industrialized countries psychological and economic

must prove through concrete burden from both governmentsand individuals, freeing human,

action that they take physical, and financialenvironmental issues resources to meet the new

cseriously. hallenge.There is evidence that

developing countries are ready to become partners in this globalendeavor. However, their willingness to act will depend on help fromthe industrialized countries to alleviate the poverty which is a majoraggravating cause of population growth and environmentaldegradation. It will also depend on the industrialized countries'demonstrated commitment to reduce their heavy per capita

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consumption of natural resources and ecological services. Theindustrialized countries, in short, must prove through concrete actionthat they take environmental issues seriously. The other side of theequation that determines environmental stress, which must beaddressed, is population growth: 95 percent of which will otherwiseoccur in the developing countries.

The global response must therefore be launched as a mutualcommitment by all countries. The certainty that all nations will sharea common destiny demands that they work together as partners.

The global environmental challenge is fundamentally differentfrom previous international concerns. Unlike the effort to avokinuclear war that dominated international relations for the pastforty-five years, success or failure will not hinge on the actions ofgovernments alone. Tt will rest equally on the beliefs and actions of

billions of individuals and on the roles played by national andmultinational business. The importance of individual behavioralchange and the major new roles to be played by thesenon-govern,nental actors demand profound change in the institutionsand mechanisms of international cooperation.

POPULATION GROWTHThe degradation of the global environment is integrally linked to

human population growth. More than 90 million people are addedeach yearmore than ever before. On its present trajectory, theworld's population could nearly triple its current size, reaching 14billion before stabilizing. With an heroic effort, it could level off ataround 9 billion. However, today's unmet need for family planning is

huge: only 30 percent of reproductive age people in the developingworld outside of China currently have access to contraception.Women's full and equal pa-.4. 'cipation in society at all levels must berapidly addressed.

Policy makers must recognize that actions taken during the criticaldecade of the 1990s will largely determine whether human population

double or triple before stabilizing. Nigeria, for example, could

grow from about 30 million in 1950 to around 300 million in 2020atenfold increase in one lifespan. In the absence of rapid progress infamily planning, future governments may be tempted to restricthuman freedom in order to deal with unmanageable populationincreases.

The pressure of population on the environment is bound up withpoverty: in the Sahel as well as other areas threatened by famine and

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environmental deterioration, poor peopie have no oilier option but toconsume al available local resources. Sustaining the environmentthus requires a balance between wise environmental management,active efforts to slow population growth, and equitable economic

development.

No Administration can beregarded as serious aboutthe environment unless it isserious about globalpopulation grcwth.

In many developingcountries, populationpressures on the landthreaten national security aspeople migrate in search ofsustenance, aggravatingterritorial disputes and oftencreating violent conflict.

While population pressures affect the planet as a whole, they mustbe individually addressed by each nation and its citizens. Countriesmust make their own assessments about population levels andgrowth, ordering their development priorities and incentivesaccordingly. Industrialized nations can offer much needed technicalsupport and experience in family planning to help developing nationsand individual couples achieve their goals.

Despite its complexities, the problem clearly calls for several policyinitiatives aimed at:

Universal access to family planning by the end of thedecadethis will require a global expenditure rising to reach $10billion a year by the year 2000.

Giving priority to investment in education for women and inbringing women into full economic and political participation.

Greatly increased research to provide a wide array of safer,cheaper and easier birth control technologies.

Stepped up mass communication aimed at increasing support forfamily planning.

Since 1981, the United States has retreated from the strongleadership role on world population it exercised in the two previousdecades. The ideological debate has destroyed a bipartisan consensusthat laid the groundwork for crucial international cooperation. Moneyfor research has fallen sharply, and the global family planning efforthas been gravely weakened. Positive U.S. leadership needs to bereestablished, through the restoration of U.S. support for the majorinternational population and family planning organizations andannual population assistance budgets more commensurate withglobal i equirements. Ultimately, no Administration can be regarded

as serious about the environment unless it is serious about globalpopulation growth.

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TROPICAL DEFORESTATION ANDLOSS OF BIODWERSITY

Tropical deforestation and the loss of a diverse set of species rob theearth of its biological richness, which undermines long-rangeecological security and global economic potential. Nearly 20 millionhectares of tropical forests are lost every year. Conservativeestimates put the extinction rate at one hundred species per day: arate unmatched since the disappearance of the dinosaurs. Escalatinghuman populations, deforestation, disruptions of watersheds, soilloss, and land degradation are all linked in a vicious cycle thatperpetuates and deepens poverty, and often creates ecologicalrefugees.

Because deforestation and the loss of biodiversity result first frommismanagement at the local level, effective interventions must alsooccur at this level, building upon local norms, traditions, and culturesthat will promote sustainable management. Recent efforts to restorecommon property management by indigenous peoples in the Amazonbasin of Colombia and Ecuador are notable initiatives. This approachrespects the rights of indigenous populations and the wisdom of theirinstitutions, and is likely to be low in cost.

At the national level, effective management will requife acommitment to conservation, land use planning, secure propertyrights, and sustainable agroforestry, so that forests provide acontinued flow of goods and services with minimal ecologicaldisruption. Timber harvesting must reflect long-term scarcity values,consistent with full environmental and social cost accounting.Tropical forests are often sacrificed for a fraction of their real value bynations in search of quick sources of foreign exchange. While"dPbt-for-nature" swaps by the private sector are helpful and shouldbe expanded, they are unlikely to be sufficient either to save forestecosystems or to relieve debt loads. However, the opportunity existsto include government debt in this process and to complement theinternational debt strategy by linking reduction in public sector debtto policy reforms with environmental benefits.

What policy goals and means are appropriate locally, nationally,and internationally?

While respecting local and community property rights whichpromote ecologically sound management, national governments canhelp most by eliminating distorted economic incentives thatencourage mismanagement, such as the granting of property titles inreturn for forest clearing, and below-cost timber sales. International

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institutions should encourage such reforms which, at the same time,relieve the pressure on remaining tropical forests and help bringabout their sustainable exploitation.

Forest conservation is not enough; it must be accompanied byaggressive, ecologically sensitive reforestation and landrehabilitation, especially on arid lands and where ft, elwood demandsare high.

These measures will be costly. Current international fundinglevels I such as called for in the Tropical Forest Action Plan) should beincrerised tenfold from about $1 billion to $10 billion. The additionalfunk-1F will only achieve their goals if accompanied by increasedtraining and broad non-governmental participation in the planningprocess.

An international Strategy and Convention on Biodiversity wouldprovide a means to actively engage many institutions, and toformulate a global action plan for identifying and funding criticalneeds in ecological "hot spots." The Strategy and Conventio-1 shouldbe readied for the 1992 Conference on Environment andDevelopment.

The World Bank in its lending policies should be sensitive toencouraging land use and forest practice s. that are consistent withenvironmental sustainaHity.

ATMOSPHERE AND ENERGYHuman activities are substantially changing the chemical

composition of the atmosphere in a way that threatens the health,security, and survival of people and other species, and increases thelikelihood of international tensions. Depletion of the ozone layer andglobal warming are two salient examples, but other unforeseen effectscannot be ruled out.

OzcneThe depletion of the ozone layer by chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs)

allows increased ultraviolet B radiation from the sun to enter theearth's atmosphere, threatening human health and the productivityof the biosphere.

The 1987 international agreement to limit production and use ofCFCs in the Montreal Protocol to the Vienna Convention was alandmark achievement and a promising precedent for internationalagreements on other global environmental issues. However, theProtocol itself is an unfinished story. Full participation by the less

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developed countries has not yet been achieved, issues of acceptablealternatives and technology transfer remain unresolved, and thetreaty itself must be revised to require complete elimination of CFC

production and use by industrialized countries I1J later than 2000.

How these issues are resolved will have important implications for

addressing climate change and other global ecological problems.

The Greenhouse EffectThere is a scientific consensus that rising concentrations of

greenhouse gases will cause global climatic change. Atmospheric

levels of carbon dioxide Lave increased 25 percent since the beginning

of the industrial era. Most of the CO2 emissions derive from energy

use. About 90 percent of the world's current energy use is met by the

burning of carbon-based fuels. Tropical deforestation is also a major

source of carbon dioxide. Other greenhouse gases, methane, nitrousoxides, and CFCs, are collectively as important as carbon dioxide in

their greenhouse effect and are increasing more rapidly.

Therefore, the earth is set to experience substantial climate changeof unknown scale and rapidity. The consequences are likely to include

sea level rise, greater frequency of extreme weather events,disruption of ecosystems, and potentially vast i mpacts on the global

economy. The processes of climate change are irreversible and majoradditional releases could be triggered from the biosphere by global

warming in an uncontrollable self-reinforcing process (e.g. methane

release from unfrozen Arctic tundra).

"Insurance" actions to reduce CO2 emissions and those of other

greenhouse gases are therefore needed, starting now. The associated

risks are much less than those of not acting and in some cases require

no net increase in cost.

Past and present contributions to greenhouse gases come largely

from the industrialized countries. However, the less developed

countries already contribute significantly through deforestation, and

their share will increase sharply with development and expansion of

fossil fuel use, especially coal.

The international community should work quickly toward a

multilateral framework ultimately involving national targets for

reducing emissions of carbon dioxide and the other greenhouse gases.

There is no need for the industrialized countries to await universal

agreements. They should act now: individually and/or in concert.

Indeed., some in Western Europe have already begun.

Initial steps involve the deployment of a range of policy

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instruments to achieve energy conservation and efficiency,demand-side management, and changes in the fuel mix. A

considerable expansion of

This American Assembly support for research anddevelopment into alternative

strongly endorses the global energy sources is urgentlytarget ...of a 20 percent required. There may be a

reduction in CO2 emissions future for nuclear energy ifcredible assurances can be

by 2005... provided with respect tosafety, waste disposal, nuclear

proliferation, and comparative costs.This American Assembly strongly endorses the global target now

under study by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) of a 20 percent reduction in CO2 emissions by 2005 as aminimum goal.

GOALS AND MEANS OFINTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

Global environmental damage threatens the physical as well aseconomic security of individuals and nations without exception,giving new reality to traditional concepts of collective security.Environmental threats are also likely to create new sources ofconflict. The risks of collective insecurity call for an unprecedentedstrategy of international cooperation.

The health of the global environment is the product of behavior bybillions of individuals. National governments must increasingly takeinto account the views of their citizens as they design policies toconfront environmental concerns, and can increasingly rely on theinfluence and impact of changes in individual behavior. Coalitions ofnon-governmental actors can be a powerful force in hammering outbargains, hardening scientific consensus, and developing legalconcepts and new institutional frameworks. Governments andinternational institutions can then set widely applicable norms andstandards.

In thi s new international context, institutions and n 1.1anisms are

becoming more fluid: the complex and swiftly evolving environmentaldilemmas demand it. Thus we need to seek global consensus in theUnited Nations as work proceeds in many other arenas to reach morelimited agreements. These include unilateral action by individualgovernments, small groups of nations bargaining on discrete issues,an active role by companies and non-governmental organizationsNG0s), regional arrangements. and hybrid public-private

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partneri-lips (such as the collaboration between pharmaceuticalcompanies and the World Health Organization on new birth control

measuresa pattern that should be copied for ecological restoration).

Actions and decisions should always be taken at a level as close as

possible to the people affected by them.

Within the UN system, the United Nations EnvironmentProgramme (UNEP) has demonstrated its capacity to serve asinnovator, monitor, and catalystnotably in the Mediterraneancleanup and the 1.987 ozone treaty. UNEP should be strengthenedand much more dependably funded to continue this important role.

Among key priorities for international action are the following:

Establishing Norms and Setting GoalsThe first task of the international community as a whole is to

develop a broad consensus on norms of global survival, and toestablish specific environmental goalsfor example, boundaryconditions on pollution of the atmospheric commons, targets for the

protection of biodiversity, and population policy goalstoward whichpublic and private efforts should be directed.

Meeting the CostsIndustrial countries must make major investments to improve their

own performance. Dev:!3ping countries must, in their own interest,increasingly incorporate sound environmental practices as part of

their own development programs. Resolving the debt overhang is

crucial. But industrial countries will also need to make a special

effort to expand flows to developing countries if needed investments

in global environmental prioritiesslowing population growth,protecting the ozone layer, limiting greenhouse gas emissions,preserving biodiversity, and many other non-global environmentalneedsare to occur. Because of resource scarcities, developing

countries are otherwise unlikely to act.

The UNEP, United Nations Development Program (UNDP), and

the World Bank have proposed a $1 billion, three-year pilot facility

for this purpose; it deserves strong support. Much larger resourceflows will be needed in the future. As a source of such funds, seriousconsideration should be given to establishing an international fee ( for

example, on carbon use) because conventional sources of finance are

simply not adequate to, or appropriate for, the task of reducing global

environmental risks.

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Policy ReformsWhile additional financing is required, many other measures can

make a major impact. International agreement is needed to introduceinto national acccunting methods the full costs incurred in depletionof natural resources and use of the global commons; this could serveas a valuable guide to all nations' deciEion makers to use scarceresources well. International trade is a major source of revenues fordevelopment; the current Uruguay Round of the General Agreementon Tariffs & Trade (GATT) negotiations should be used to strengthenenvironmental considerations in trade policy. All internationalfinancial and planning institutions should take account of how policyrecommendations affect environmental policy.

Technical Assistance and ResearchAll countries need additional environmental expertise and

research. An International Global Environmental Service Corpsshould be established to provide technical help and build localenvironmental capacity.

Expanding the Role of the Private SectorGovernment and international organizations have special

responsibilities, but the private sector may have the most impact.Where central planners and government bureaucracies have tried toreplace free markets, neither economic development norenvironmental protection has been well served.

The private sector should be spurred to anticipateand benefitfromthe changing structure of regulation and market demand bydeveloping environmentally superior technologies. Governments needto encourage such environmental entrepreneurship through the useof taxes, subsidies, an:: other signals, including codes of conduct. Aninternational structure of targets and standards is needed to supportthis approach.

Within the private sector, an enormous number of citizenorganizations now play an important part in establishing priorities.In all the actions we propose, active and early participation byrepresentative groups at the local, national, and international levelshould be encouraged.

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The 1992 U.N. Conference on Environment and DevelopmentNone of these environmental challenges can be met without a new

era of heightened cooperation bltween the industrial and developingcountries. This will come in many shapes and forms, using ad hoccoalitions of governments, active participation of NGOs and theprivate sector, and other new arrangemer .s designed to meet varying

needs.The 1992 conference provides a unique opportunit7. to build on

these initiatives to advance international action on the points notedherein short, to achieve a global compact for environmentP1protection and economic progress. The conference should affirm thatslowing population growth is an integral part of meeting theenvironment and development challenge. It should agree on how theadditional resource needs of the decade should be met. It shouldestablish a new official methodology for calculating national incomeaccounts. And it should complete legal agreements on conventions

already under negotiationfor protection of the atmosphere, andbiological diversity.

A CHALLENGE TO THE UNITED STATESAs the world's largest economic power and consumer of

environmental resources, the United States must play a keyleadership role both by example and through internationalparticipation. This calls for strong action at every level from privatehouseholds to the White House. Change is difficult and not cost freeIt will take commitment and courage. But the long term benefits willbe worth every penny.

Essential to this drive is the development of a nationalenvironmental strategy, through the joint efforts of government.private industry, NGOs, and individual leaders. It should be aimed atglobal goals that include:

A halt to the buildup of greenhouse gases;

A lower per capita environmental cost of industrial andagricultural practices and consumption patterns, particularly in theUnited States and other wealthy nations;

Slowing and then reversing deforestation;

A drastic reduction in the rate of human-caused speciesextinction; and,

Stabilization of world population before it doubles again.

To develop and carry out such a strategy will require integration of

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policies and more effective coordination of agencies within the U.S.government, and a major review should be launched to determine theneeded changes. Equally important, the strategy can benefit fromclose cooperation between private industry and environmental

experts to identify, develop,...enough is known about the and adopt environmentallyrisks of global warming and superior technologies.

climate change to justify an With its preeminentscientific research capacity, the

immediate U.S. policy United States is in a positionresponse. materially to aid development,

improve the environment, andincrease the planet's carrying capacity. Government research anddevelopment funding should be shifted from a preoccupation withdefense to greater concern for the environment, to increase knowledgeof natural phenomena and trends, to expand our understanding of thehuman dimensions of global change, and to develop more benigntechnologies, particularly in energy, manufacturing, and apiculture.Incentives for private environmentally-related research anddevelopment should also be considered.

In addition to lending strong support to the multilateral initiativesidentified above, U.S. action is needed in the following areas:

Adopt New Policies on Global Warming and Energy

Despite considerable uncertainties, enough is known about therisks of global warming and climate change to justify an immediateU.S. policy response. Without waiting for international consensus ortreaties, the United States should take actions to reduce substantiallyits emissions of carbon dioxide, CFCs, and other greenhouse gases.The United States should promote a global phase-out of CFCproduction by 2000. U. S. energy strategy should emphasize reducingfossil fuel use through aggressive energy efficiency improvements,especially in transportation and in the production and use ofelecticity, backed by greater efforts to introduce renewable energysources. Research on nuclear energy should be pursued to determinewhether designs can be developed that might resolve safety andproliferation concerns and restore public and investor confidence.

In addition to performance standards and other regulatoryapproaches, economic incentives are essential to achieving energyefficiency. Most important is a large, phased-in increase in the federaltax on gasoline and the adoption of a carbon dioxide emissions feeapplicable to users of fossil fuels. To avoid competitive imbalances,other industrial nations should be urged to adopt similar policies.

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Strengthen Cooperation with the Developing Countries andEastern Europe

Recognizing that meeting many of today's environmentalchallenges will require major actions by the developing countries, theUnited States should launch new programs and strengthen existing

ones that can encourage andsupport these undertakings.

Most important is a large, Operating in concert withphased-in increase in the international partners

federal tax on gasoline..,whenever appropriate, theseprograms should: 1) providestrong financial and other

support for universal access to family planning and contraceptiveservices, accompanied by efforts to improve the status of women andtheir employment opportunities; 2) launch major new financinginitiatives aimed at facilitating developing country participation ininternational negotiations, and at meeting the large need forinvestments in sustainable forest management, biodiversityprotection, watershed rehabilitation, fuelwood production, andtechniques adapted to the needs of small-scale farmers; 3) facilitatethe transfer of needed technology, expertise, and information inenergy, environment, and population; 4) assist the developingcountries with training and capacity building both in government andin NG0s, and 5) redeploy a substantial fraction of military andsecurity-related assistance to help developing and East Europeancountries to alleviate their environmental problems. Two importantobjectives of these efforts should be to make improved technologiesavailable to developing countries at affordable costs, and relatedly, toassist in finding environmentally acceptable ways of meeting theirenergy needs.

Recent political changes in Eastern Europe afford an immediateopportunity to reduce environmental stress of local and globalimportancl. Resolving the region's severe environmental problemsrequires collaboration and assistance from the United States,including the private sector. Such collaboration is a commercialopportunity, and should be one of the more economically efficientways of reducing environmental degradation. It is vital, however, thatthe needed transfer of technology and funds from the West should notbe made at the expense of resource flows to the developing countries.

Revise Agricultural and Forestry PoliciesThe United States, through negotiations abroad as well as

unilateral actions at home, should phase out agricultural subsidies

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that encourage overproduction, excessive use of chemical fertilizersand pesticides, and mismanagement of water resources. Eliminatingoverproduction and adopting full cost pricing will open U.S. and othermarkets to developing country producers who enjoy a naturalcomparative advantage, thus aiding their economic development andintervening in the poverty-population-environment degradation cycle.Similarly, U.S. national forestry policies should be amended toeliminate the federal subsidization of timber sales at below marketprices, and jointly with Canada, to conserve the last remnants of oldgrowth temperate rainforests.

A FINAL WORDOn this Earth Day 1990, we call attention to the need for

immediate international action to reverse trends that threaten theintegrity of the globalenvironment. These trendsendanger all nations andrequire collective action andcooperation among all nationsin the common interest. Ourmessage is one of urgency.Accountable and courageousleadership in all sectors will be

needed to mobilize the necessary effort. If the world community failsto act forcefully in the current decade, the earth's ability to sustainlife is at risk.

If the world community failsto act forcefully in thecurrent decade, the earth'sability to sustain life is atrisk.

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THE AMERICAN ASSEMBLY

Preserving the Global Environment:the Challenge ofShared Leadership

April 19-22, 1990Arden House, Columbia University

TIMOTHY ATKESONAssistant Administrator

Office ofInternational Activities

United States EnvironmentalProtection Agency

Washington, DC

JAMES D. ATWATERProfessorEditorial DepartmentSchool aJournalismUniversity of Missouri-ColumbiaColumbia, Missouri

NICOLE BALLDirector of' AnalysisThe National Security ArchiveWashington, DC

ANTHONY C. BEILENSONCongressman from CaliforniaU.S. House of RepresentativesWashington, DC

RICHARD E. BENEDICKSenior FellowThe Conservation Foundation/

World Wildlife FundWashington, DC

tt LINCOLN P. BLOOMFIELDDepartment of Political ScienceMassachusetts Institute

of TechnologyCambridge. -dassachusetts

ZBIGNIEW BOCHNIARZSenior FellowHubert H. HumphreyInstitute of Public Affairs

University of MinnesotaMinneapolis, Minnesota

SEYOM BROWNChair & Professor of PoliticsDepartment of PoliticsBrandeis UniversityWaltham, Massachusetts

GERARDO BUDOWSKIDirector of Natural ResourcesUniversity for PeaceSan Jose, COSTA RICA

Discussion Leader** Rapporteurtt Panel Member

;.;

**

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IAN BURTONDirector

The International Federationof Institutes for AdvancedStudy (IFIAS)

Toronto, Ontario, CANADA

SHARON L. CAMPVice PresidentPopulation Crisis CommitteeWashington, DC

ABRAM CHAYESFelix Frankfurter Professor of LawHarvard Law SchoolCambridge, Massachusetts

NAZLI CHOUCRIProfessor of Political ScienceDepartment of Political ScienceMassachusetts Institute ofTechnology

Cambridge, Massachusetts

HARLAN CLEVELANDProfessor EmeritusHubert H. Humphrey Institute of

Public AffairsUniversity of MinnesotaMinneapolis, Minnesota

Brigadier General W. R. DOBSONDirector,

General Forces DevelopmentNational Defense HeadquartersOttawa, Ontario, CANADA

CHARLES K. EBINGERCenter for Strategic

& International StudiesVice President,

International Resources GroupWashington, DC

ANTHONY FAIL_ AOUGHSpecial Advisor &

Former Deputy Director Generalfor Development

Commission of the EuropeanCommunities

Richmond, Surrey,UNITED KINGDOM

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TAMAS FLEISCHERSenior Research Fellow

Research Institute for WorldEconomy of the HungarianAcademy of Sciences

Vice President, ISTER(East EuropeanEnvironmental Research)

Budapest, HUNGARY

ALTON FRYEVice Prk.sident & Washington Di-rectorCouncil on Foreign RelationsWashington, DC

SHINJI FUKUKAWAAdvisor, Global Industrial &

Social Progress Research Institute(GISPRI)Former Vice-Minister of MITITokyo, JAPAN

RICHARD N. GARDNERHenry L. Moses Professor of Law

& International OrganizationSchool of LawColumbia UniversityNew York, New York

DAVID GERGENEditor-at-LargeU.S. News & World ReportWashington, DC

ROBERT G. GILPIN, JR.Eisenhower Professor of

International AffairsWoodrow Wilson School of

Public & International Affairsand Department of Politics

Princeton UniversityPrinceton, New Jersey

PETER H. GLEICKDirector, Global Environment Pro-gramPacific Institute for Studies inDevelopment, Environment, &Security

Berkeley, California

U.V. HENDERSON, JR.General ManagerEnvironment & Product Safety

DepartmentTexaco, Inc.Beacon, New York

Discussion LeaderRapporteur

tt Panel Member

PERDITA HUSTONSenior Advisor to

International Planned ParenthoodFederation

Pngent's CollegeLondon, UNITED KINGDOM

PAUL, IBEKADevelopment EconomistAnambra-IMO River Basin Devel-opmentAuthority

Owerri, NIGERIA

tt ANDRZEJ KASSENBERGInstitute of Geography &

Spatial EconomyPolish Academy of SciencesWarsaw, POLAND

HISAKAZU KATODirectorOffice of Policy Planning& Research

Environment AgencyGovernment of JapanTokyo, .TAPAN

NATHAN KEYFITZLeader, Population ProgramInternational Institute forApplied Systems Analysis (HASA)

Laxenburg, AUSTRIA

T.N. KHOSHOODistinguished Scientist (CSIR)Tata Energy Research InstituteNew Delhi, INDIA

JANUSZ KINDLERProfessorInstitute of Environmental

EngineeringWarsaw University of TechnologyWarsaw, POLAND

tt MICHAEL KLAREDirector & Associate ProfessorFive College Program in. Peace & World Security StudiesHampshire CollegeAmherst, Massachusetts

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SEEISO D. LIPHUKODeputy Permanent SecretaryMinistry of Local Government &Lands

Gaborone, BOTSWANA

ABRAHAM F. LOWENTHALProfessor of InternationalRelations

University of Southern CaliforniaLos Angeles, California

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C. PAYNE LUCASExecutive DirectorAfricareWashington, DC

THOMAS F. MALONEScholar in ResidenceSt. Joseph CollegeWest Hartford, Connecticut

JOAN MARTIN-BROWNSpecial Advisor to the Executive

Director, & Chief,Washington Office

United Nations EnvironmentProgramme

Washington, DC

JESSICA TUCHMAN MATHEWSVice PresidentWorld Resources InstituteWashington, DC

DONALD F. MCHENRYGeorgetown UniversityWashington, DC

BERNARD MCKINNONCAP DirectorUnited Auto WorkersFarmington, Connecticut

ROBERT MCNAMARAFormer President ofThe World Bank

Washington, DC

DANA MEADExecutive Vice PresidentInternational Paper CompanyPurchase, New York

JAMES W. MORLEYProfessor of GovernmentEast Asian InstituteColumbia UniversityNew York, New York

MARTHA T. MUSEChairman & PresidentThe Tinker Foundation, Inc.New York, New York

YVETTE M. NEWBOLDCompany SecretaryHanson PLCLondon, UNITED KINGDOM

Rapporteurtt Panel Member

MATTHEW NIMETZPartnerPaul, Weiss, Rifkind,Wharton & Garrison

New York, New York

ROBERT PAARLBERGAssociate ProfessorWellesley CollegeWellesley, Massachusetts

tt FOBERT H. PRYDirectorInternational Institute forApplied Systems Analysis ( IIASA)

Laxenburg, AUSTRIA

KEVIN F.F. QUIGLEYProgram Director for

Public PolicyThe Pew Charitable Trustc,Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

KILAPARTI RAMAKRISIINASenior AssociateInternational Environmental LawThe Woods Hole Research CenterWoods Hole, Massachusetts

**

GEORGE W. RATHJENSCenter for International StudiesMassachusetts Institute ofTechnology

Cambridge, Massachusetts

WALTER V. REIDAssociate, Program in Forests

& BiodiversityWorld Resources instituteWashington, DC

ALDEMARO ROMEROExecutive DirectorBIOMACaracas, VENEZUELA

ANNIE BONNIN RONCERELCoordinatorClimate Network-EuropeLouvain-La-Neuve, BELGIUM

CARLISLE FORD RUNGEAssociate Professor & Director,Center for International Food

& Agricultural PolicyUniversity of MinnesotaSt. Paul, Minnesota

JOSE SARUKHANRectorUniversidad NacionalAutonoma de Mexico (UNAM)

Mexico City, MEXICO

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JOHN C. SAWHILL?resident &Chief Executive Officer

The Nature ConservancyWashington, DC

YURI N. SAYAMOVFirst Deputy ChairmanCommittee of Soviet Scientists

for Global SecurityMoscow, USSR

tt JAROMIR SEDLAKKrupp Senior AssociateInstitute for East-WestSecurity Studies

New York, NY

ALEXANDER SHAKOWDirectorStrategic Planning& Review Dept rtment

The World BankWashington, DC

LEONARD SILKEconomics ColumnistThe New York TimesNew York, New York

BRUCE SMARTFormer Chairman & ChiefExecutive Officer ofContinental Group

Former Under Secretary ofCommerce for InternationalTrade

Upperville, Virginia

JAMES GUSTAVE SPETHPresidentWorld Resources InstituteWashington, DC

1- MAURICE F. STRONGSecretary General, 1992 U.N.

Conference on Environment& Development

Geneva, Switzerland

Pt KOSTA TSIPISDirectorProgram in Science & Technologyfor International Security

Massachusetts Instituteof Technology

Cambridge. Massachusetts

Rapponeurt Delivered formal addressfit Panel Member

-21-

MARTIN VON HILDEBRANDHead of Indigenous AffairsOffice of the President.Bogota, COLOMBIA

EDITH BROWN WEISSProfessor cf LawGeorgetown University

Sch, )i of LawWashington, DC

CASEY E. WESTEL YR.Consultant( Formerly Director,

Industrial Ecology)Tenneco Inc.Houston, Texas

JENNIFER SEYMOURWHITAKER

DirectorCommittees on Foreign RelationsCouncil on Foreign RelationsNew York, New Y)rk

JOHN WILLIAMSONSenior FellowInstitute for International

EconomicsWashington, DC

GEORGE M. WOODWELLDirectorThe Woods Hole Research CenterWoods Hole, Massachusetts

TAIZO YAKUSHIJIProfessor of Political ScienceSaitama UnivasityUrawa City, Saitama, JAPAN

ORAN R. YOUNGDirectorThe Institute of Arctic StudiesDartmouth CollegeHanover, New Hampshire

CHARLES ZIEGLERSenior Vice President,External Affairs

Ciba-GeigyArdsley, New York

KARL ZIEGLERFinancial Consultant to the World

Wide Fund for Nature andFriends

of the EarthFormer Executive Director ofBankersTrust International

London, UNITED KINGDOM

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ABOUT THE WORLD RESOURCES INSTITUTE

The World Resources Institute (WRI) is a policy research centercreated in late 1982 to help governments, international organizations,and private business address a fundamental question: How cansocieties meet basic human needs and nurture economic growth withoutundermining the natural resources and environmental integrity onwhich life, economic vitality, and international security depend?

The Institute's current areas of policy research include tropicalforests, biological diversity, sustainable agriculture, energy, climatechange, atmospheric pollution, economic incentives for sustainabledevelopment, and resource and environmental information.

WRI's research is aimed at providing accurate information aboutglobal resources and population, identifying emerging issues, anddeveloping politically and economically workable proposals.

ABOUT THE AMERICAN ASSEMBLY

The American Assembly was established by Dwight D. Eisenhower atColumbia University in 1950. It holds nonpartisan meetings andpublishes authoritative books to illuminate issues of United Statespolicy.

An affiliate of Columbia, the Assembly seeks to provide information,stimulate discussion, and evoke independent conclusions on matters ofvital public interest.

American Assembly Sessions

At least two national programs are initiated each year. Authoritiesare retained to write background papers presenting essential data anddefining the main issues of each subject.

A group of men and women representing a broad range of experience,competence, and American leadership meet for several days to discussthe Assembly topic and consider alternatives for national policy.

All Assemblies follow the same procedure. The background papersare sent to participants in advance of the Assembly. The Assemblymeets in small groups for four or five lengthy periods. All groups usethe same agenda. At the close of these informal sessions participantsadopt in plenary session a final report of findings andrecommendations.

c, 3

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WORLD RESOURCES INSTITUTE

Matthew NimetzChairman

John E. Cant ionVice Chairman

John H. AdamsRobert 0. AndersonRobert 0. BlakeJohn E. BrysonWard B. ChamberlinRichard M. ClarkeEdwin C. CohenLouisa C. DuemlingAlice F. EmersonJohn FirorJose GoldembergMichio Hashimoto

James Gustave SpethPresident

Mohamed T. El-AshryVice President for

Research & PolicyAffairs

1709 New York Avenue, N.W.Washington, DC 20006, U.S.A.

BOARD OF DIRECTORS

Cynthia R. HelmsCurtis A. HesslerMartin HoldgateJames A. JosephThomas E. LovejoyAlan R. McFarlandRobert S. McNamaraScott McVayPaulo Nogueira-NetoThomas R. OdhiamboRuth PatrickAlfred M. Rankin, Jr.Roger SantJames Gustave SpethM. S. SwaminathanMostafa K. TolbaRussell E. TrainAlvaro UmanaGeorge M. Woodwell

OFFICERS

J. Alan BrewsterVice President for

Administration &Finance

Jessica T. MathewsVice President

Wallace D. BowmanSecretary-Trasurer

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AmericanAssemaayCOLUMBIA UNIVERSITY

Trustees

ARTHUR G. ALTSCHULCHARLES BENTONWILLIAM BLOCKRICHARD BLUMENTHALCOURTNEY C. BROWNJEWEL PLUMMER COBBBRADLEY CURREY, JR.MEYER FELDBERGROBERT H. FINCHELLEN V. FUTTERROBERTO C. GOIZUETACLIFFORD M. HARDINB. R. INMANSOL M. LINOWITZKATHLEEN H. MORTIMERFAYEZ SAROFIMISABEL V. SAWHILLDANIEL A. SHARP, ex officioELEANOR BERNERT SHELDONMICHAEL I. SOVERN, ex officioSTEPHEN STAMAS, ChairmanPAUL A. VOLCKERCLARENCE C. WALTON

OfficersDANIEL A. SHARP, PresidentDAVID H. MORTIMER, Vice PresidentELEANOR H. TEJIRIAN, Secretary-Treasurer

Trustee EmeritusJ. ERIK JONSSON

25

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