a case study: buypc.com developed by jim morton; ups professional services david simchi-levi; mit...

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A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

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Page 1: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

A Case Study: BuyPC.com

Developed by

Jim Morton; UPS Professional ServicesDavid Simchi-Levi; MIT

Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc.

See also BuyPC.pdf

Page 2: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

BuyPC.com Case Study• BuyPC.com is a fictitious

company that sells computers via the Internet

• BuyPC.com stresses next day delivery of its computers– BuyPC.com has opted to provide

this service with many distribution points, and this results in a significant inventory investment

Page 3: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

BuyPC.com Case Study• BuyPC.com ships via UPS, so

customers outside the 1-day ground zone must be shipped via air.

• The warehouses are replenished from factories in Asia– The product arrives to the U.S. via

Los Angeles

Page 4: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

Chicago WH

Atlanta

Milwaukee1- Day

2-Days

(Use UPS Ground Service)

(Use UPS Next Day Air Service)

Integrating Time-in-Transit Data

• Decide the service level required for each lane– Set outbound rates in model accordingly

Page 5: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

BuyPC.com Case Study:Current Network

Inbound: $ 851,000Outbound: $ 2,930,000Inv Cost: $13,291,000WH Fixed: $ 1,875,000

Total: $18,947,000

Page 6: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

BuyPC.com Case Study:Cost Trade-Off

Cost Trade-Off for BuyPC.com

$0$2$4$6$8

$10$12$14$16$18$20

0 5 10 15

Number of DC's

Co

st (

$ m

illio

n)

Total Cost

Inventory

Transportation

Fixed Cost

Page 7: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

Inventory Reduction and Warehouses

• BuyPC.com faced heavy variability in consumer demand– Each DC had to carry sufficient

safety stock– Warehouse to warehouse

transfers were discouraged because of the extra liability in shipping computers

Page 8: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

Inventory Reduction and Warehouses

• Studies within BuyPC.com indicated that reducing the warehouses would reduce the inventory– The Risk Pooling Effect

Page 9: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

BuyPC.com Case Study:Optimal Network

Inbound: $ 783,000Outbound: $ 5,900,000Inv Cost: $ 7,679,000WH Fixed: $ 625,000

Total: $14,987,000

$4 Million Savings

Page 10: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

Solution Results

• Warehouses picked and sizes– Harrisburg 26,000 sq. feet– Atlanta 15,000– Chicago 18,000– Dallas 13,000– LA 23,000

Page 11: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

BuyPC.com Case StudyNetwork Design Conclusion and Next Steps

• By reducing the number of warehouses, BuyPC.com could reduce their overall logistics network costs– The reduction in inventory costs

more than outweighed the increase in next-day air shipments

Page 12: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

BuyPC.com Case StudyNetwork Design Conclusion and Next Steps

• But, the strategic network did not consider the impact of seasonality– Would they have enough space?– When would they have to start

building inventory to meet demand?– Where would the product be stored?– Would the territories change during

peak season?

Page 13: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

Demand and Production Capacity

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May Ju

n

Jul

Aug

Sep Oct

Nov

Dec

Month

Un

its Demand

Production Capacity

BuyPC.com Demand and Production Capacity

BuyPC.com needed to start building inventory in advance of the Christmas season

Page 14: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

What is Tactical Planning?

A tactical plan allows you to develop optimal plan across the supply chainthat minimizes transportation costs, inventory costs, and production costs.

Plants DC’s Customers and Demand

Prod: A23

Prod: A55

Prod: A1

LT = 4 wks

CapacityLimits

Page 15: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

Coordinating Limited Resources

Low CostLimited Capacity

High Cost

How do I best usemy low cost producers?

Which productionline do I use for

a product?

Sea, LT = 5 weeks

Air, LT = 4 days

When do we ship air or sea, to minimize in-transit inventory and

avoid capacity problems?

How do I buildfor the seasonalspike and stillmeet shelf liferestrictions?

Page 16: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

Benefits of Tactical Planning Software

• Apply forecasts to the supply chain– Take your company’s forecast and relate it directly to the supply

chain

• Create better supply chain plans– Create plans that are optimal across the entire supply chain

– Analyze different inventory and production strategies

• Avoid supply chain bottlenecks– Anticipate problems months in advance and take action now to

alleviate the issue

• Improved coordination within your supply chain– Share the output and collaborate with all your supply chain

partners to ensure a successful execution of the plan

Page 17: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

What-Ifs with Tactical Planning Software

• When and where will we run out of capacity– Which plant or warehouse? In which month?

• What do we do if we run out of capacity?– Should we add capacity? Should we re-align

territories?

• What are the benefits of smoothing out the quarterly demand spikes?

• How do we meet seasonal demand?– Should we build inventory? When to start and where

to store?– Should we run overtime during the peak months to

meet demand?

Page 18: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

Tactical Planning Interface

Scenario Manager

DisplayMenu

Map showingshowing yoursolution lanesand capacityindicators forSeptember

Page 19: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

Input Data

• Time Periods• Customers Information

– Where you are shipping to and demand by time period

• Plant / Vendor Information– Capacity by time period

• Distribution Centers– Costs and capacities by time period

• Products• Transportation Costs

– The cost to move product from origin to destination

Page 20: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

Output Data• Minimum overall total cost

– Manufacturing costs– Warehouse costs (fixed, processing, and inventory)– Transportation costs

• Optimal plan for inventory– when to produce, where to store, and when to ship

• Appropriate allocation of products to different warehouses

– By time period• Optimal production quantity at each manufacturing

plant– By time period

• Efficient supply channels in the logistics network

Page 21: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

BuyPC.com Tactical Analysis• BuyPC.com wanted to minimize the amount of

floor space to keep overhead low, yet have enough to handle peak demand

• BuyPC.com wanted to know if their order fulfillment system would have to allow dynamic changing of territories

• The factories in Asia were capacity constrained, so product would have to be brought in early for the peak season

Page 22: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

BuyPC.com Tactical Results:Using the size of warehouses calculated by the strategic model,

BuyPC can only meet 78% of December’s demand

Warehouse Average Inventory Utilization (Volume)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Jan

Feb Mar Apr

May Ju

n Jul

Aug Sep OctNov Dec

Time Period

% U

tiliz

atio

n Atlanta, GAChicago, ILDallas, TXHarrisburg, PALos Angeles, CA

In Nov and Dec all warehouses are at capacity and cannot process any more product

Page 23: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

BuyPC.com Tactical Results:Determining warehouse sizes needed to meet seasonal demand

PA 26,000 --> 46,000GA 15,000 --> 28,000IL 18,000 --> 24,000TX 13,000 --> 17,000CA 23,000 --> 31,000

Increased system sq. feet by over 50%.

But, all demand is satisfied.

Page 24: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

BuyPC.com Tactical Results:Warehouse capacity utilization using larger facilities

Warehouse Average Inventory Utilization (Volume)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Jan

Feb Mar Apr

May Ju

n Jul

Aug Sep OctNov Dec

Time Period

% U

tiliz

atio

n Atlanta, GAChicago, ILDallas, TXHarrisburg, PALos Angeles, CA

With more warehouse space, there is less of a constraint on overall capacity, although several facilities are quite close to the limit.

However, space utilization is very poor for the first half of the year.

Page 25: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

BuyPC.com Tactical Results:Using temporary leased space

Alternatively, BuyPC.com could lease space from Oct - Dec in LA (23,000 additional) and PA (26,000).

During December, LA would have to ship outside its optimal territory. The order fulfillment system would have to dynamically assign orders to DC’s

Page 26: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

BuyPC.com Tactical Results:Using temporary leased space and additional

capacity

Or, BuyPC.com could lease less space from Oct - Dec in LA (15,000 additional) and PA (20,000) and add an addition 25% of production capacity for Sep to Dec.

This would also result in less of a seasonal inventory build-up.

Page 27: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

BuyPC.com Conclusions

• With the average warehouse sizes suggested by the strategic model, BuyPC.com could only meet 78% of December demand

• To alleviate this, BuyPC.com had several options– Build larger warehouses at all locations– Lease temporary space in LA and PA for the peak

season– Lease temporary space in LA and PA and increase

production

Page 28: A Case Study: BuyPC.com Developed by Jim Morton; UPS Professional Services David Simchi-Levi; MIT Michael Watson; LogicTools, Inc. See also BuyPC.pdf

BuyPC.com Conclusions

• BuyPC.com determined that the most economical choice was to lease temporary space, but not increase production