a comparison of road traffic mortality and morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · introduction...
TRANSCRIPT
Robert Bourbeau Department of Demography Universiteacute de Montreacuteal
Eacutetienne Blais School of Criminology Universiteacute de Montreacuteal
Franccedilois Bellavance HEC Montreacuteal
Marie-Pier Cleacuteroux Perrault MSc Student Department of
Demography Universiteacute de Montreacuteal
A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and
Morbidity rates (2000-2015) and Road
Safety Policies in Quebec and Ontario
Canadian Association of Road Safety professionals (CARSP)
2017 Conference
Toronto 19-21 June 2017
Introduction
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 2
bull Decreases of 54 and 59 were respectively recorded in traffic-related
mortality and morbidity rates between 2000 and 2013 in Quebec
bull Mortality and morbidity rates are still lower in Ontario
bull Ontario has the best road toll in North America
bull Identify ldquofactorsrdquo likely to explain the traffic safety gap between Quebec and
Ontario
bull Offer a framework to conduct comparative analysis
Theoretical Framework Systemic Perspective
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 3
Similar definitions
Recording practices
Types of road users
involved
Enforcement issues
Other factors
(insurance premiums)
Main Objectives
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 4
Compare measurement methods for mortality and morbidity rates
due to road traffic accidents
Definitions for different categories of accidents
Methods for counting accidents
Accident recording practices by police officers
Compare similar categories of accidents (data analysis)
Identify traffic safety measures likely to explain the traffic safety
gap
Identify evidence-based traffic safety measures likely to improve
road safety in Quebec
Methodology
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 5
Four main parts
1 Critical analysis of data and indicators of road accidents with injuries
Demographic and statistical analysis interviews with police officers
2 Comparative analysis of mortality and morbidity rates for various categories of injuries and road users
Statistical analysis based on aggregate and individual data
3 Comparative analysis of road safety measures in each province documents and interviews
Qualitative and thematic analysis
4 Identification of effective evidence-based measures in relation to previous findings
Provincial evaluations and systematic reviews
Data
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 6
Individual data on people killed or injured drivers and road accidents with injuries collected by SAAQ and MTO for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 392 fatalities and 1725 major injuries in 2013 Ontario 518 fatalities and 2490 major injuries in 2013
Population estimates for Quebec and Ontario (from Statistics Canada) Quebec 8 155 505 as of July 1st 2013 Ontario 13 556 229 as of July 1st 2013
Licensed Drivers for Quebec and Ontario (SAAQ and MTO) for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 5 241 846 in 2013 Ontario 9 592 489 in 2013
Results
7 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Critical analysis of data
Severity of Injury in Quebec and Ontario
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 8
Critical analysis of data and indicators
Severity of injury in Quebec and Ontario (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 9
Valid comparisons for fatalities and severe morbidity (major
injuries) only
Interviews with police officers different application of
victim registration procedures by organizations
Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers
Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013
Populations Licensed Drivers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario
01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
16
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
WomenMenWomenMen
Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec
Ontario
Variable gap but still present between
the two provinces during the period
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12
Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female
Less important gap for women
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category
of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13
Drivers
Passengers
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers
More important gap for drivers
Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by
Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14
Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15
00
50
100
150
200
250
300
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13
Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013
among those 16-19 years old
BUT
The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in
2011-2013
Significant excess mortality
of Quebec drivers among
young adults 16-29 yo in
2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16
If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those
of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip
Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec
A Target for Drivers
Sex Observed
fatalities
Expected
Fatalities
Reduction
Men 144 93 51
Women 57 35 22
Total 201 128 73
A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been
observed in Quebec in 2013
Comparative Analysis of Traffic
Safety Measures
17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Approach for Comparing Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18
Five Policies
1 Drinking and driving
2 Speeding
3 Young Drivers
4 Drowsiness
5 Old Drivers
Identification of measures for each policy
Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19
For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario
2 What is the nature of the measure
3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews
4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario
Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Introduction
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 2
bull Decreases of 54 and 59 were respectively recorded in traffic-related
mortality and morbidity rates between 2000 and 2013 in Quebec
bull Mortality and morbidity rates are still lower in Ontario
bull Ontario has the best road toll in North America
bull Identify ldquofactorsrdquo likely to explain the traffic safety gap between Quebec and
Ontario
bull Offer a framework to conduct comparative analysis
Theoretical Framework Systemic Perspective
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 3
Similar definitions
Recording practices
Types of road users
involved
Enforcement issues
Other factors
(insurance premiums)
Main Objectives
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 4
Compare measurement methods for mortality and morbidity rates
due to road traffic accidents
Definitions for different categories of accidents
Methods for counting accidents
Accident recording practices by police officers
Compare similar categories of accidents (data analysis)
Identify traffic safety measures likely to explain the traffic safety
gap
Identify evidence-based traffic safety measures likely to improve
road safety in Quebec
Methodology
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 5
Four main parts
1 Critical analysis of data and indicators of road accidents with injuries
Demographic and statistical analysis interviews with police officers
2 Comparative analysis of mortality and morbidity rates for various categories of injuries and road users
Statistical analysis based on aggregate and individual data
3 Comparative analysis of road safety measures in each province documents and interviews
Qualitative and thematic analysis
4 Identification of effective evidence-based measures in relation to previous findings
Provincial evaluations and systematic reviews
Data
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 6
Individual data on people killed or injured drivers and road accidents with injuries collected by SAAQ and MTO for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 392 fatalities and 1725 major injuries in 2013 Ontario 518 fatalities and 2490 major injuries in 2013
Population estimates for Quebec and Ontario (from Statistics Canada) Quebec 8 155 505 as of July 1st 2013 Ontario 13 556 229 as of July 1st 2013
Licensed Drivers for Quebec and Ontario (SAAQ and MTO) for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 5 241 846 in 2013 Ontario 9 592 489 in 2013
Results
7 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Critical analysis of data
Severity of Injury in Quebec and Ontario
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 8
Critical analysis of data and indicators
Severity of injury in Quebec and Ontario (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 9
Valid comparisons for fatalities and severe morbidity (major
injuries) only
Interviews with police officers different application of
victim registration procedures by organizations
Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers
Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013
Populations Licensed Drivers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario
01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
16
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
WomenMenWomenMen
Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec
Ontario
Variable gap but still present between
the two provinces during the period
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12
Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female
Less important gap for women
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category
of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13
Drivers
Passengers
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers
More important gap for drivers
Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by
Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14
Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15
00
50
100
150
200
250
300
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13
Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013
among those 16-19 years old
BUT
The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in
2011-2013
Significant excess mortality
of Quebec drivers among
young adults 16-29 yo in
2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16
If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those
of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip
Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec
A Target for Drivers
Sex Observed
fatalities
Expected
Fatalities
Reduction
Men 144 93 51
Women 57 35 22
Total 201 128 73
A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been
observed in Quebec in 2013
Comparative Analysis of Traffic
Safety Measures
17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Approach for Comparing Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18
Five Policies
1 Drinking and driving
2 Speeding
3 Young Drivers
4 Drowsiness
5 Old Drivers
Identification of measures for each policy
Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19
For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario
2 What is the nature of the measure
3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews
4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario
Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Theoretical Framework Systemic Perspective
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 3
Similar definitions
Recording practices
Types of road users
involved
Enforcement issues
Other factors
(insurance premiums)
Main Objectives
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 4
Compare measurement methods for mortality and morbidity rates
due to road traffic accidents
Definitions for different categories of accidents
Methods for counting accidents
Accident recording practices by police officers
Compare similar categories of accidents (data analysis)
Identify traffic safety measures likely to explain the traffic safety
gap
Identify evidence-based traffic safety measures likely to improve
road safety in Quebec
Methodology
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 5
Four main parts
1 Critical analysis of data and indicators of road accidents with injuries
Demographic and statistical analysis interviews with police officers
2 Comparative analysis of mortality and morbidity rates for various categories of injuries and road users
Statistical analysis based on aggregate and individual data
3 Comparative analysis of road safety measures in each province documents and interviews
Qualitative and thematic analysis
4 Identification of effective evidence-based measures in relation to previous findings
Provincial evaluations and systematic reviews
Data
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 6
Individual data on people killed or injured drivers and road accidents with injuries collected by SAAQ and MTO for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 392 fatalities and 1725 major injuries in 2013 Ontario 518 fatalities and 2490 major injuries in 2013
Population estimates for Quebec and Ontario (from Statistics Canada) Quebec 8 155 505 as of July 1st 2013 Ontario 13 556 229 as of July 1st 2013
Licensed Drivers for Quebec and Ontario (SAAQ and MTO) for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 5 241 846 in 2013 Ontario 9 592 489 in 2013
Results
7 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Critical analysis of data
Severity of Injury in Quebec and Ontario
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 8
Critical analysis of data and indicators
Severity of injury in Quebec and Ontario (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 9
Valid comparisons for fatalities and severe morbidity (major
injuries) only
Interviews with police officers different application of
victim registration procedures by organizations
Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers
Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013
Populations Licensed Drivers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario
01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
16
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
WomenMenWomenMen
Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec
Ontario
Variable gap but still present between
the two provinces during the period
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12
Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female
Less important gap for women
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category
of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13
Drivers
Passengers
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers
More important gap for drivers
Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by
Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14
Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15
00
50
100
150
200
250
300
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13
Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013
among those 16-19 years old
BUT
The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in
2011-2013
Significant excess mortality
of Quebec drivers among
young adults 16-29 yo in
2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16
If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those
of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip
Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec
A Target for Drivers
Sex Observed
fatalities
Expected
Fatalities
Reduction
Men 144 93 51
Women 57 35 22
Total 201 128 73
A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been
observed in Quebec in 2013
Comparative Analysis of Traffic
Safety Measures
17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Approach for Comparing Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18
Five Policies
1 Drinking and driving
2 Speeding
3 Young Drivers
4 Drowsiness
5 Old Drivers
Identification of measures for each policy
Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19
For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario
2 What is the nature of the measure
3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews
4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario
Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Main Objectives
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 4
Compare measurement methods for mortality and morbidity rates
due to road traffic accidents
Definitions for different categories of accidents
Methods for counting accidents
Accident recording practices by police officers
Compare similar categories of accidents (data analysis)
Identify traffic safety measures likely to explain the traffic safety
gap
Identify evidence-based traffic safety measures likely to improve
road safety in Quebec
Methodology
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 5
Four main parts
1 Critical analysis of data and indicators of road accidents with injuries
Demographic and statistical analysis interviews with police officers
2 Comparative analysis of mortality and morbidity rates for various categories of injuries and road users
Statistical analysis based on aggregate and individual data
3 Comparative analysis of road safety measures in each province documents and interviews
Qualitative and thematic analysis
4 Identification of effective evidence-based measures in relation to previous findings
Provincial evaluations and systematic reviews
Data
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 6
Individual data on people killed or injured drivers and road accidents with injuries collected by SAAQ and MTO for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 392 fatalities and 1725 major injuries in 2013 Ontario 518 fatalities and 2490 major injuries in 2013
Population estimates for Quebec and Ontario (from Statistics Canada) Quebec 8 155 505 as of July 1st 2013 Ontario 13 556 229 as of July 1st 2013
Licensed Drivers for Quebec and Ontario (SAAQ and MTO) for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 5 241 846 in 2013 Ontario 9 592 489 in 2013
Results
7 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Critical analysis of data
Severity of Injury in Quebec and Ontario
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 8
Critical analysis of data and indicators
Severity of injury in Quebec and Ontario (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 9
Valid comparisons for fatalities and severe morbidity (major
injuries) only
Interviews with police officers different application of
victim registration procedures by organizations
Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers
Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013
Populations Licensed Drivers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario
01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
16
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
WomenMenWomenMen
Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec
Ontario
Variable gap but still present between
the two provinces during the period
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12
Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female
Less important gap for women
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category
of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13
Drivers
Passengers
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers
More important gap for drivers
Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by
Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14
Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15
00
50
100
150
200
250
300
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13
Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013
among those 16-19 years old
BUT
The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in
2011-2013
Significant excess mortality
of Quebec drivers among
young adults 16-29 yo in
2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16
If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those
of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip
Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec
A Target for Drivers
Sex Observed
fatalities
Expected
Fatalities
Reduction
Men 144 93 51
Women 57 35 22
Total 201 128 73
A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been
observed in Quebec in 2013
Comparative Analysis of Traffic
Safety Measures
17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Approach for Comparing Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18
Five Policies
1 Drinking and driving
2 Speeding
3 Young Drivers
4 Drowsiness
5 Old Drivers
Identification of measures for each policy
Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19
For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario
2 What is the nature of the measure
3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews
4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario
Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Methodology
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 5
Four main parts
1 Critical analysis of data and indicators of road accidents with injuries
Demographic and statistical analysis interviews with police officers
2 Comparative analysis of mortality and morbidity rates for various categories of injuries and road users
Statistical analysis based on aggregate and individual data
3 Comparative analysis of road safety measures in each province documents and interviews
Qualitative and thematic analysis
4 Identification of effective evidence-based measures in relation to previous findings
Provincial evaluations and systematic reviews
Data
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 6
Individual data on people killed or injured drivers and road accidents with injuries collected by SAAQ and MTO for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 392 fatalities and 1725 major injuries in 2013 Ontario 518 fatalities and 2490 major injuries in 2013
Population estimates for Quebec and Ontario (from Statistics Canada) Quebec 8 155 505 as of July 1st 2013 Ontario 13 556 229 as of July 1st 2013
Licensed Drivers for Quebec and Ontario (SAAQ and MTO) for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 5 241 846 in 2013 Ontario 9 592 489 in 2013
Results
7 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Critical analysis of data
Severity of Injury in Quebec and Ontario
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 8
Critical analysis of data and indicators
Severity of injury in Quebec and Ontario (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 9
Valid comparisons for fatalities and severe morbidity (major
injuries) only
Interviews with police officers different application of
victim registration procedures by organizations
Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers
Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013
Populations Licensed Drivers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario
01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
16
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
WomenMenWomenMen
Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec
Ontario
Variable gap but still present between
the two provinces during the period
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12
Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female
Less important gap for women
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category
of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13
Drivers
Passengers
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers
More important gap for drivers
Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by
Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14
Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15
00
50
100
150
200
250
300
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13
Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013
among those 16-19 years old
BUT
The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in
2011-2013
Significant excess mortality
of Quebec drivers among
young adults 16-29 yo in
2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16
If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those
of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip
Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec
A Target for Drivers
Sex Observed
fatalities
Expected
Fatalities
Reduction
Men 144 93 51
Women 57 35 22
Total 201 128 73
A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been
observed in Quebec in 2013
Comparative Analysis of Traffic
Safety Measures
17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Approach for Comparing Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18
Five Policies
1 Drinking and driving
2 Speeding
3 Young Drivers
4 Drowsiness
5 Old Drivers
Identification of measures for each policy
Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19
For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario
2 What is the nature of the measure
3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews
4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario
Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Data
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 6
Individual data on people killed or injured drivers and road accidents with injuries collected by SAAQ and MTO for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 392 fatalities and 1725 major injuries in 2013 Ontario 518 fatalities and 2490 major injuries in 2013
Population estimates for Quebec and Ontario (from Statistics Canada) Quebec 8 155 505 as of July 1st 2013 Ontario 13 556 229 as of July 1st 2013
Licensed Drivers for Quebec and Ontario (SAAQ and MTO) for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 5 241 846 in 2013 Ontario 9 592 489 in 2013
Results
7 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Critical analysis of data
Severity of Injury in Quebec and Ontario
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 8
Critical analysis of data and indicators
Severity of injury in Quebec and Ontario (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 9
Valid comparisons for fatalities and severe morbidity (major
injuries) only
Interviews with police officers different application of
victim registration procedures by organizations
Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers
Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013
Populations Licensed Drivers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario
01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
16
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
WomenMenWomenMen
Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec
Ontario
Variable gap but still present between
the two provinces during the period
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12
Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female
Less important gap for women
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category
of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13
Drivers
Passengers
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers
More important gap for drivers
Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by
Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14
Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15
00
50
100
150
200
250
300
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13
Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013
among those 16-19 years old
BUT
The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in
2011-2013
Significant excess mortality
of Quebec drivers among
young adults 16-29 yo in
2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16
If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those
of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip
Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec
A Target for Drivers
Sex Observed
fatalities
Expected
Fatalities
Reduction
Men 144 93 51
Women 57 35 22
Total 201 128 73
A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been
observed in Quebec in 2013
Comparative Analysis of Traffic
Safety Measures
17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Approach for Comparing Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18
Five Policies
1 Drinking and driving
2 Speeding
3 Young Drivers
4 Drowsiness
5 Old Drivers
Identification of measures for each policy
Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19
For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario
2 What is the nature of the measure
3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews
4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario
Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Results
7 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Critical analysis of data
Severity of Injury in Quebec and Ontario
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 8
Critical analysis of data and indicators
Severity of injury in Quebec and Ontario (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 9
Valid comparisons for fatalities and severe morbidity (major
injuries) only
Interviews with police officers different application of
victim registration procedures by organizations
Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers
Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013
Populations Licensed Drivers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario
01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
16
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
WomenMenWomenMen
Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec
Ontario
Variable gap but still present between
the two provinces during the period
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12
Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female
Less important gap for women
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category
of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13
Drivers
Passengers
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers
More important gap for drivers
Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by
Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14
Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15
00
50
100
150
200
250
300
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13
Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013
among those 16-19 years old
BUT
The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in
2011-2013
Significant excess mortality
of Quebec drivers among
young adults 16-29 yo in
2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16
If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those
of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip
Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec
A Target for Drivers
Sex Observed
fatalities
Expected
Fatalities
Reduction
Men 144 93 51
Women 57 35 22
Total 201 128 73
A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been
observed in Quebec in 2013
Comparative Analysis of Traffic
Safety Measures
17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Approach for Comparing Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18
Five Policies
1 Drinking and driving
2 Speeding
3 Young Drivers
4 Drowsiness
5 Old Drivers
Identification of measures for each policy
Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19
For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario
2 What is the nature of the measure
3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews
4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario
Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Critical analysis of data
Severity of Injury in Quebec and Ontario
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 8
Critical analysis of data and indicators
Severity of injury in Quebec and Ontario (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 9
Valid comparisons for fatalities and severe morbidity (major
injuries) only
Interviews with police officers different application of
victim registration procedures by organizations
Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers
Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013
Populations Licensed Drivers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario
01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
16
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
WomenMenWomenMen
Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec
Ontario
Variable gap but still present between
the two provinces during the period
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12
Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female
Less important gap for women
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category
of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13
Drivers
Passengers
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers
More important gap for drivers
Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by
Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14
Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15
00
50
100
150
200
250
300
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13
Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013
among those 16-19 years old
BUT
The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in
2011-2013
Significant excess mortality
of Quebec drivers among
young adults 16-29 yo in
2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16
If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those
of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip
Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec
A Target for Drivers
Sex Observed
fatalities
Expected
Fatalities
Reduction
Men 144 93 51
Women 57 35 22
Total 201 128 73
A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been
observed in Quebec in 2013
Comparative Analysis of Traffic
Safety Measures
17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Approach for Comparing Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18
Five Policies
1 Drinking and driving
2 Speeding
3 Young Drivers
4 Drowsiness
5 Old Drivers
Identification of measures for each policy
Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19
For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario
2 What is the nature of the measure
3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews
4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario
Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Critical analysis of data and indicators
Severity of injury in Quebec and Ontario (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 9
Valid comparisons for fatalities and severe morbidity (major
injuries) only
Interviews with police officers different application of
victim registration procedures by organizations
Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers
Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013
Populations Licensed Drivers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario
01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
16
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
WomenMenWomenMen
Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec
Ontario
Variable gap but still present between
the two provinces during the period
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12
Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female
Less important gap for women
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category
of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13
Drivers
Passengers
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers
More important gap for drivers
Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by
Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14
Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15
00
50
100
150
200
250
300
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13
Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013
among those 16-19 years old
BUT
The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in
2011-2013
Significant excess mortality
of Quebec drivers among
young adults 16-29 yo in
2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16
If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those
of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip
Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec
A Target for Drivers
Sex Observed
fatalities
Expected
Fatalities
Reduction
Men 144 93 51
Women 57 35 22
Total 201 128 73
A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been
observed in Quebec in 2013
Comparative Analysis of Traffic
Safety Measures
17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Approach for Comparing Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18
Five Policies
1 Drinking and driving
2 Speeding
3 Young Drivers
4 Drowsiness
5 Old Drivers
Identification of measures for each policy
Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19
For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario
2 What is the nature of the measure
3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews
4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario
Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers
Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013
Populations Licensed Drivers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario
01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
16
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
WomenMenWomenMen
Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec
Ontario
Variable gap but still present between
the two provinces during the period
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12
Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female
Less important gap for women
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category
of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13
Drivers
Passengers
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers
More important gap for drivers
Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by
Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14
Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15
00
50
100
150
200
250
300
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13
Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013
among those 16-19 years old
BUT
The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in
2011-2013
Significant excess mortality
of Quebec drivers among
young adults 16-29 yo in
2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16
If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those
of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip
Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec
A Target for Drivers
Sex Observed
fatalities
Expected
Fatalities
Reduction
Men 144 93 51
Women 57 35 22
Total 201 128 73
A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been
observed in Quebec in 2013
Comparative Analysis of Traffic
Safety Measures
17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Approach for Comparing Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18
Five Policies
1 Drinking and driving
2 Speeding
3 Young Drivers
4 Drowsiness
5 Old Drivers
Identification of measures for each policy
Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19
For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario
2 What is the nature of the measure
3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews
4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario
Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec
Ontario
Variable gap but still present between
the two provinces during the period
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12
Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female
Less important gap for women
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category
of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13
Drivers
Passengers
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers
More important gap for drivers
Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by
Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14
Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15
00
50
100
150
200
250
300
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13
Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013
among those 16-19 years old
BUT
The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in
2011-2013
Significant excess mortality
of Quebec drivers among
young adults 16-29 yo in
2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16
If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those
of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip
Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec
A Target for Drivers
Sex Observed
fatalities
Expected
Fatalities
Reduction
Men 144 93 51
Women 57 35 22
Total 201 128 73
A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been
observed in Quebec in 2013
Comparative Analysis of Traffic
Safety Measures
17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Approach for Comparing Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18
Five Policies
1 Drinking and driving
2 Speeding
3 Young Drivers
4 Drowsiness
5 Old Drivers
Identification of measures for each policy
Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19
For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario
2 What is the nature of the measure
3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews
4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario
Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12
Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female
Less important gap for women
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category
of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13
Drivers
Passengers
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers
More important gap for drivers
Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by
Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14
Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15
00
50
100
150
200
250
300
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13
Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013
among those 16-19 years old
BUT
The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in
2011-2013
Significant excess mortality
of Quebec drivers among
young adults 16-29 yo in
2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16
If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those
of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip
Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec
A Target for Drivers
Sex Observed
fatalities
Expected
Fatalities
Reduction
Men 144 93 51
Women 57 35 22
Total 201 128 73
A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been
observed in Quebec in 2013
Comparative Analysis of Traffic
Safety Measures
17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Approach for Comparing Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18
Five Policies
1 Drinking and driving
2 Speeding
3 Young Drivers
4 Drowsiness
5 Old Drivers
Identification of measures for each policy
Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19
For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario
2 What is the nature of the measure
3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews
4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario
Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category
of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13
Drivers
Passengers
Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
Years
Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers
More important gap for drivers
Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by
Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14
Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15
00
50
100
150
200
250
300
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13
Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013
among those 16-19 years old
BUT
The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in
2011-2013
Significant excess mortality
of Quebec drivers among
young adults 16-29 yo in
2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16
If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those
of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip
Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec
A Target for Drivers
Sex Observed
fatalities
Expected
Fatalities
Reduction
Men 144 93 51
Women 57 35 22
Total 201 128 73
A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been
observed in Quebec in 2013
Comparative Analysis of Traffic
Safety Measures
17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Approach for Comparing Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18
Five Policies
1 Drinking and driving
2 Speeding
3 Young Drivers
4 Drowsiness
5 Old Drivers
Identification of measures for each policy
Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19
For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario
2 What is the nature of the measure
3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews
4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario
Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by
Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14
Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Rat
e (
pe
r 1
00
00
0)
YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15
00
50
100
150
200
250
300
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13
Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013
among those 16-19 years old
BUT
The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in
2011-2013
Significant excess mortality
of Quebec drivers among
young adults 16-29 yo in
2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16
If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those
of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip
Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec
A Target for Drivers
Sex Observed
fatalities
Expected
Fatalities
Reduction
Men 144 93 51
Women 57 35 22
Total 201 128 73
A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been
observed in Quebec in 2013
Comparative Analysis of Traffic
Safety Measures
17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Approach for Comparing Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18
Five Policies
1 Drinking and driving
2 Speeding
3 Young Drivers
4 Drowsiness
5 Old Drivers
Identification of measures for each policy
Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19
For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario
2 What is the nature of the measure
3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews
4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario
Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15
00
50
100
150
200
250
300
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13
Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013
among those 16-19 years old
BUT
The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in
2011-2013
Significant excess mortality
of Quebec drivers among
young adults 16-29 yo in
2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16
If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those
of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip
Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec
A Target for Drivers
Sex Observed
fatalities
Expected
Fatalities
Reduction
Men 144 93 51
Women 57 35 22
Total 201 128 73
A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been
observed in Quebec in 2013
Comparative Analysis of Traffic
Safety Measures
17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Approach for Comparing Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18
Five Policies
1 Drinking and driving
2 Speeding
3 Young Drivers
4 Drowsiness
5 Old Drivers
Identification of measures for each policy
Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19
For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario
2 What is the nature of the measure
3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews
4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario
Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16
If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those
of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip
Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec
A Target for Drivers
Sex Observed
fatalities
Expected
Fatalities
Reduction
Men 144 93 51
Women 57 35 22
Total 201 128 73
A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been
observed in Quebec in 2013
Comparative Analysis of Traffic
Safety Measures
17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Approach for Comparing Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18
Five Policies
1 Drinking and driving
2 Speeding
3 Young Drivers
4 Drowsiness
5 Old Drivers
Identification of measures for each policy
Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19
For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario
2 What is the nature of the measure
3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews
4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario
Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Comparative Analysis of Traffic
Safety Measures
17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Approach for Comparing Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18
Five Policies
1 Drinking and driving
2 Speeding
3 Young Drivers
4 Drowsiness
5 Old Drivers
Identification of measures for each policy
Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19
For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario
2 What is the nature of the measure
3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews
4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario
Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Approach for Comparing Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18
Five Policies
1 Drinking and driving
2 Speeding
3 Young Drivers
4 Drowsiness
5 Old Drivers
Identification of measures for each policy
Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19
For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario
2 What is the nature of the measure
3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews
4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario
Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19
For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario
2 What is the nature of the measure
3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews
4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario
Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Results Comparison of Measures
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Results Comparison of Measures continued
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers
with a Positive BAC
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
w
ith
BA
C ge
008
1
Year
Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010
ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23
54
3944 46
326
114
75
61
76
87
57
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Year
Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)
Ontario Queacutebec
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Conclusion
The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to
several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely
Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested
1 Measures againt drunk driving
Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml
Limit sales outlets
Raising legal age
Limit hours of sale of alcohol
2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license
Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )
Limit the number of passengers without a regular license
25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Acknowledgements
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26
FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support
SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Supplementary Materiel
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 27
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Dissemination of Results
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 28
Paper report and thesis
BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016
BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan
CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)
Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)
Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)
Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere
(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016
Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris
Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015
Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-
Perrault 29
bull
bull BILAN ROUTIER
Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore
mieux
laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even
better raquo
UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Young drivers a coroner suggests a
curfew from midnight to 500 AM
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30
Speed uphellip itrsquos
almost midnight
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13
Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013
R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32
00
50
100
150
200
250
16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +
Rat
e (p
er 1
00
00
0 li
cen
sed
dri
vers
)
Age Groups
QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13