a comparison of road traffic mortality and morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · introduction...

32
Robert Bourbeau, Department of Demography, Université de Montréal Étienne Blais, School of Criminology, Université de Montréal François Bellavance, HEC Montréal Marie-Pier Cléroux Perrault, M.Sc. Student, Department of Demography, Université de Montréal A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000-2015) and Road Safety Policies in Quebec and Ontario Canadian Association of Road Safety professionals (CARSP) 2017 Conference Toronto, 19-21 June 2017

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Page 1: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Robert Bourbeau Department of Demography Universiteacute de Montreacuteal

Eacutetienne Blais School of Criminology Universiteacute de Montreacuteal

Franccedilois Bellavance HEC Montreacuteal

Marie-Pier Cleacuteroux Perrault MSc Student Department of

Demography Universiteacute de Montreacuteal

A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and

Morbidity rates (2000-2015) and Road

Safety Policies in Quebec and Ontario

Canadian Association of Road Safety professionals (CARSP)

2017 Conference

Toronto 19-21 June 2017

Introduction

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 2

bull Decreases of 54 and 59 were respectively recorded in traffic-related

mortality and morbidity rates between 2000 and 2013 in Quebec

bull Mortality and morbidity rates are still lower in Ontario

bull Ontario has the best road toll in North America

bull Identify ldquofactorsrdquo likely to explain the traffic safety gap between Quebec and

Ontario

bull Offer a framework to conduct comparative analysis

Theoretical Framework Systemic Perspective

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 3

Similar definitions

Recording practices

Types of road users

involved

Enforcement issues

Other factors

(insurance premiums)

Main Objectives

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 4

Compare measurement methods for mortality and morbidity rates

due to road traffic accidents

Definitions for different categories of accidents

Methods for counting accidents

Accident recording practices by police officers

Compare similar categories of accidents (data analysis)

Identify traffic safety measures likely to explain the traffic safety

gap

Identify evidence-based traffic safety measures likely to improve

road safety in Quebec

Methodology

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 5

Four main parts

1 Critical analysis of data and indicators of road accidents with injuries

Demographic and statistical analysis interviews with police officers

2 Comparative analysis of mortality and morbidity rates for various categories of injuries and road users

Statistical analysis based on aggregate and individual data

3 Comparative analysis of road safety measures in each province documents and interviews

Qualitative and thematic analysis

4 Identification of effective evidence-based measures in relation to previous findings

Provincial evaluations and systematic reviews

Data

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 6

Individual data on people killed or injured drivers and road accidents with injuries collected by SAAQ and MTO for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 392 fatalities and 1725 major injuries in 2013 Ontario 518 fatalities and 2490 major injuries in 2013

Population estimates for Quebec and Ontario (from Statistics Canada) Quebec 8 155 505 as of July 1st 2013 Ontario 13 556 229 as of July 1st 2013

Licensed Drivers for Quebec and Ontario (SAAQ and MTO) for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 5 241 846 in 2013 Ontario 9 592 489 in 2013

Results

7 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Critical analysis of data

Severity of Injury in Quebec and Ontario

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 8

Critical analysis of data and indicators

Severity of injury in Quebec and Ontario (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 9

Valid comparisons for fatalities and severe morbidity (major

injuries) only

Interviews with police officers different application of

victim registration procedures by organizations

Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers

Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013

Populations Licensed Drivers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario

01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000

16

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

WomenMenWomenMen

Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec

Ontario

Variable gap but still present between

the two provinces during the period

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12

Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female

Less important gap for women

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category

of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13

Drivers

Passengers

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers

More important gap for drivers

Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by

Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14

Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15

00

50

100

150

200

250

300

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13

Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013

among those 16-19 years old

BUT

The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in

2011-2013

Significant excess mortality

of Quebec drivers among

young adults 16-29 yo in

2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16

If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those

of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip

Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec

A Target for Drivers

Sex Observed

fatalities

Expected

Fatalities

Reduction

Men 144 93 51

Women 57 35 22

Total 201 128 73

A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been

observed in Quebec in 2013

Comparative Analysis of Traffic

Safety Measures

17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Approach for Comparing Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18

Five Policies

1 Drinking and driving

2 Speeding

3 Young Drivers

4 Drowsiness

5 Old Drivers

Identification of measures for each policy

Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19

For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario

2 What is the nature of the measure

3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews

4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario

Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 2: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Introduction

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 2

bull Decreases of 54 and 59 were respectively recorded in traffic-related

mortality and morbidity rates between 2000 and 2013 in Quebec

bull Mortality and morbidity rates are still lower in Ontario

bull Ontario has the best road toll in North America

bull Identify ldquofactorsrdquo likely to explain the traffic safety gap between Quebec and

Ontario

bull Offer a framework to conduct comparative analysis

Theoretical Framework Systemic Perspective

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 3

Similar definitions

Recording practices

Types of road users

involved

Enforcement issues

Other factors

(insurance premiums)

Main Objectives

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 4

Compare measurement methods for mortality and morbidity rates

due to road traffic accidents

Definitions for different categories of accidents

Methods for counting accidents

Accident recording practices by police officers

Compare similar categories of accidents (data analysis)

Identify traffic safety measures likely to explain the traffic safety

gap

Identify evidence-based traffic safety measures likely to improve

road safety in Quebec

Methodology

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 5

Four main parts

1 Critical analysis of data and indicators of road accidents with injuries

Demographic and statistical analysis interviews with police officers

2 Comparative analysis of mortality and morbidity rates for various categories of injuries and road users

Statistical analysis based on aggregate and individual data

3 Comparative analysis of road safety measures in each province documents and interviews

Qualitative and thematic analysis

4 Identification of effective evidence-based measures in relation to previous findings

Provincial evaluations and systematic reviews

Data

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 6

Individual data on people killed or injured drivers and road accidents with injuries collected by SAAQ and MTO for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 392 fatalities and 1725 major injuries in 2013 Ontario 518 fatalities and 2490 major injuries in 2013

Population estimates for Quebec and Ontario (from Statistics Canada) Quebec 8 155 505 as of July 1st 2013 Ontario 13 556 229 as of July 1st 2013

Licensed Drivers for Quebec and Ontario (SAAQ and MTO) for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 5 241 846 in 2013 Ontario 9 592 489 in 2013

Results

7 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Critical analysis of data

Severity of Injury in Quebec and Ontario

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 8

Critical analysis of data and indicators

Severity of injury in Quebec and Ontario (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 9

Valid comparisons for fatalities and severe morbidity (major

injuries) only

Interviews with police officers different application of

victim registration procedures by organizations

Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers

Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013

Populations Licensed Drivers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario

01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000

16

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

WomenMenWomenMen

Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec

Ontario

Variable gap but still present between

the two provinces during the period

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12

Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female

Less important gap for women

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category

of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13

Drivers

Passengers

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers

More important gap for drivers

Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by

Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14

Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15

00

50

100

150

200

250

300

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13

Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013

among those 16-19 years old

BUT

The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in

2011-2013

Significant excess mortality

of Quebec drivers among

young adults 16-29 yo in

2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16

If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those

of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip

Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec

A Target for Drivers

Sex Observed

fatalities

Expected

Fatalities

Reduction

Men 144 93 51

Women 57 35 22

Total 201 128 73

A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been

observed in Quebec in 2013

Comparative Analysis of Traffic

Safety Measures

17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Approach for Comparing Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18

Five Policies

1 Drinking and driving

2 Speeding

3 Young Drivers

4 Drowsiness

5 Old Drivers

Identification of measures for each policy

Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19

For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario

2 What is the nature of the measure

3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews

4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario

Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 3: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Theoretical Framework Systemic Perspective

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 3

Similar definitions

Recording practices

Types of road users

involved

Enforcement issues

Other factors

(insurance premiums)

Main Objectives

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 4

Compare measurement methods for mortality and morbidity rates

due to road traffic accidents

Definitions for different categories of accidents

Methods for counting accidents

Accident recording practices by police officers

Compare similar categories of accidents (data analysis)

Identify traffic safety measures likely to explain the traffic safety

gap

Identify evidence-based traffic safety measures likely to improve

road safety in Quebec

Methodology

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 5

Four main parts

1 Critical analysis of data and indicators of road accidents with injuries

Demographic and statistical analysis interviews with police officers

2 Comparative analysis of mortality and morbidity rates for various categories of injuries and road users

Statistical analysis based on aggregate and individual data

3 Comparative analysis of road safety measures in each province documents and interviews

Qualitative and thematic analysis

4 Identification of effective evidence-based measures in relation to previous findings

Provincial evaluations and systematic reviews

Data

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 6

Individual data on people killed or injured drivers and road accidents with injuries collected by SAAQ and MTO for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 392 fatalities and 1725 major injuries in 2013 Ontario 518 fatalities and 2490 major injuries in 2013

Population estimates for Quebec and Ontario (from Statistics Canada) Quebec 8 155 505 as of July 1st 2013 Ontario 13 556 229 as of July 1st 2013

Licensed Drivers for Quebec and Ontario (SAAQ and MTO) for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 5 241 846 in 2013 Ontario 9 592 489 in 2013

Results

7 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Critical analysis of data

Severity of Injury in Quebec and Ontario

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 8

Critical analysis of data and indicators

Severity of injury in Quebec and Ontario (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 9

Valid comparisons for fatalities and severe morbidity (major

injuries) only

Interviews with police officers different application of

victim registration procedures by organizations

Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers

Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013

Populations Licensed Drivers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario

01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000

16

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

WomenMenWomenMen

Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec

Ontario

Variable gap but still present between

the two provinces during the period

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12

Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female

Less important gap for women

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category

of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13

Drivers

Passengers

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers

More important gap for drivers

Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by

Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14

Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15

00

50

100

150

200

250

300

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13

Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013

among those 16-19 years old

BUT

The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in

2011-2013

Significant excess mortality

of Quebec drivers among

young adults 16-29 yo in

2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16

If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those

of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip

Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec

A Target for Drivers

Sex Observed

fatalities

Expected

Fatalities

Reduction

Men 144 93 51

Women 57 35 22

Total 201 128 73

A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been

observed in Quebec in 2013

Comparative Analysis of Traffic

Safety Measures

17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Approach for Comparing Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18

Five Policies

1 Drinking and driving

2 Speeding

3 Young Drivers

4 Drowsiness

5 Old Drivers

Identification of measures for each policy

Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19

For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario

2 What is the nature of the measure

3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews

4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario

Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 4: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Main Objectives

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 4

Compare measurement methods for mortality and morbidity rates

due to road traffic accidents

Definitions for different categories of accidents

Methods for counting accidents

Accident recording practices by police officers

Compare similar categories of accidents (data analysis)

Identify traffic safety measures likely to explain the traffic safety

gap

Identify evidence-based traffic safety measures likely to improve

road safety in Quebec

Methodology

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 5

Four main parts

1 Critical analysis of data and indicators of road accidents with injuries

Demographic and statistical analysis interviews with police officers

2 Comparative analysis of mortality and morbidity rates for various categories of injuries and road users

Statistical analysis based on aggregate and individual data

3 Comparative analysis of road safety measures in each province documents and interviews

Qualitative and thematic analysis

4 Identification of effective evidence-based measures in relation to previous findings

Provincial evaluations and systematic reviews

Data

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 6

Individual data on people killed or injured drivers and road accidents with injuries collected by SAAQ and MTO for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 392 fatalities and 1725 major injuries in 2013 Ontario 518 fatalities and 2490 major injuries in 2013

Population estimates for Quebec and Ontario (from Statistics Canada) Quebec 8 155 505 as of July 1st 2013 Ontario 13 556 229 as of July 1st 2013

Licensed Drivers for Quebec and Ontario (SAAQ and MTO) for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 5 241 846 in 2013 Ontario 9 592 489 in 2013

Results

7 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Critical analysis of data

Severity of Injury in Quebec and Ontario

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 8

Critical analysis of data and indicators

Severity of injury in Quebec and Ontario (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 9

Valid comparisons for fatalities and severe morbidity (major

injuries) only

Interviews with police officers different application of

victim registration procedures by organizations

Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers

Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013

Populations Licensed Drivers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario

01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000

16

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

WomenMenWomenMen

Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec

Ontario

Variable gap but still present between

the two provinces during the period

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12

Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female

Less important gap for women

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category

of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13

Drivers

Passengers

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers

More important gap for drivers

Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by

Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14

Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15

00

50

100

150

200

250

300

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13

Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013

among those 16-19 years old

BUT

The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in

2011-2013

Significant excess mortality

of Quebec drivers among

young adults 16-29 yo in

2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16

If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those

of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip

Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec

A Target for Drivers

Sex Observed

fatalities

Expected

Fatalities

Reduction

Men 144 93 51

Women 57 35 22

Total 201 128 73

A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been

observed in Quebec in 2013

Comparative Analysis of Traffic

Safety Measures

17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Approach for Comparing Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18

Five Policies

1 Drinking and driving

2 Speeding

3 Young Drivers

4 Drowsiness

5 Old Drivers

Identification of measures for each policy

Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19

For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario

2 What is the nature of the measure

3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews

4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario

Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 5: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Methodology

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 5

Four main parts

1 Critical analysis of data and indicators of road accidents with injuries

Demographic and statistical analysis interviews with police officers

2 Comparative analysis of mortality and morbidity rates for various categories of injuries and road users

Statistical analysis based on aggregate and individual data

3 Comparative analysis of road safety measures in each province documents and interviews

Qualitative and thematic analysis

4 Identification of effective evidence-based measures in relation to previous findings

Provincial evaluations and systematic reviews

Data

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 6

Individual data on people killed or injured drivers and road accidents with injuries collected by SAAQ and MTO for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 392 fatalities and 1725 major injuries in 2013 Ontario 518 fatalities and 2490 major injuries in 2013

Population estimates for Quebec and Ontario (from Statistics Canada) Quebec 8 155 505 as of July 1st 2013 Ontario 13 556 229 as of July 1st 2013

Licensed Drivers for Quebec and Ontario (SAAQ and MTO) for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 5 241 846 in 2013 Ontario 9 592 489 in 2013

Results

7 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Critical analysis of data

Severity of Injury in Quebec and Ontario

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 8

Critical analysis of data and indicators

Severity of injury in Quebec and Ontario (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 9

Valid comparisons for fatalities and severe morbidity (major

injuries) only

Interviews with police officers different application of

victim registration procedures by organizations

Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers

Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013

Populations Licensed Drivers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario

01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000

16

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

WomenMenWomenMen

Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec

Ontario

Variable gap but still present between

the two provinces during the period

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12

Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female

Less important gap for women

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category

of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13

Drivers

Passengers

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers

More important gap for drivers

Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by

Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14

Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15

00

50

100

150

200

250

300

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13

Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013

among those 16-19 years old

BUT

The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in

2011-2013

Significant excess mortality

of Quebec drivers among

young adults 16-29 yo in

2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16

If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those

of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip

Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec

A Target for Drivers

Sex Observed

fatalities

Expected

Fatalities

Reduction

Men 144 93 51

Women 57 35 22

Total 201 128 73

A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been

observed in Quebec in 2013

Comparative Analysis of Traffic

Safety Measures

17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Approach for Comparing Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18

Five Policies

1 Drinking and driving

2 Speeding

3 Young Drivers

4 Drowsiness

5 Old Drivers

Identification of measures for each policy

Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19

For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario

2 What is the nature of the measure

3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews

4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario

Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 6: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Data

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 6

Individual data on people killed or injured drivers and road accidents with injuries collected by SAAQ and MTO for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 392 fatalities and 1725 major injuries in 2013 Ontario 518 fatalities and 2490 major injuries in 2013

Population estimates for Quebec and Ontario (from Statistics Canada) Quebec 8 155 505 as of July 1st 2013 Ontario 13 556 229 as of July 1st 2013

Licensed Drivers for Quebec and Ontario (SAAQ and MTO) for the years 2000 to 2013 (2015 for Quebec) Quebec 5 241 846 in 2013 Ontario 9 592 489 in 2013

Results

7 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Critical analysis of data

Severity of Injury in Quebec and Ontario

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 8

Critical analysis of data and indicators

Severity of injury in Quebec and Ontario (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 9

Valid comparisons for fatalities and severe morbidity (major

injuries) only

Interviews with police officers different application of

victim registration procedures by organizations

Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers

Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013

Populations Licensed Drivers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario

01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000

16

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

WomenMenWomenMen

Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec

Ontario

Variable gap but still present between

the two provinces during the period

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12

Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female

Less important gap for women

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category

of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13

Drivers

Passengers

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers

More important gap for drivers

Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by

Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14

Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15

00

50

100

150

200

250

300

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13

Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013

among those 16-19 years old

BUT

The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in

2011-2013

Significant excess mortality

of Quebec drivers among

young adults 16-29 yo in

2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16

If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those

of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip

Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec

A Target for Drivers

Sex Observed

fatalities

Expected

Fatalities

Reduction

Men 144 93 51

Women 57 35 22

Total 201 128 73

A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been

observed in Quebec in 2013

Comparative Analysis of Traffic

Safety Measures

17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Approach for Comparing Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18

Five Policies

1 Drinking and driving

2 Speeding

3 Young Drivers

4 Drowsiness

5 Old Drivers

Identification of measures for each policy

Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19

For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario

2 What is the nature of the measure

3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews

4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario

Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 7: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Results

7 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Critical analysis of data

Severity of Injury in Quebec and Ontario

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 8

Critical analysis of data and indicators

Severity of injury in Quebec and Ontario (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 9

Valid comparisons for fatalities and severe morbidity (major

injuries) only

Interviews with police officers different application of

victim registration procedures by organizations

Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers

Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013

Populations Licensed Drivers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario

01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000

16

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

WomenMenWomenMen

Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec

Ontario

Variable gap but still present between

the two provinces during the period

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12

Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female

Less important gap for women

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category

of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13

Drivers

Passengers

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers

More important gap for drivers

Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by

Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14

Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15

00

50

100

150

200

250

300

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13

Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013

among those 16-19 years old

BUT

The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in

2011-2013

Significant excess mortality

of Quebec drivers among

young adults 16-29 yo in

2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16

If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those

of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip

Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec

A Target for Drivers

Sex Observed

fatalities

Expected

Fatalities

Reduction

Men 144 93 51

Women 57 35 22

Total 201 128 73

A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been

observed in Quebec in 2013

Comparative Analysis of Traffic

Safety Measures

17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Approach for Comparing Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18

Five Policies

1 Drinking and driving

2 Speeding

3 Young Drivers

4 Drowsiness

5 Old Drivers

Identification of measures for each policy

Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19

For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario

2 What is the nature of the measure

3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews

4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario

Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 8: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Critical analysis of data

Severity of Injury in Quebec and Ontario

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 8

Critical analysis of data and indicators

Severity of injury in Quebec and Ontario (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 9

Valid comparisons for fatalities and severe morbidity (major

injuries) only

Interviews with police officers different application of

victim registration procedures by organizations

Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers

Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013

Populations Licensed Drivers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario

01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000

16

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

WomenMenWomenMen

Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec

Ontario

Variable gap but still present between

the two provinces during the period

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12

Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female

Less important gap for women

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category

of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13

Drivers

Passengers

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers

More important gap for drivers

Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by

Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14

Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15

00

50

100

150

200

250

300

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13

Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013

among those 16-19 years old

BUT

The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in

2011-2013

Significant excess mortality

of Quebec drivers among

young adults 16-29 yo in

2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16

If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those

of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip

Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec

A Target for Drivers

Sex Observed

fatalities

Expected

Fatalities

Reduction

Men 144 93 51

Women 57 35 22

Total 201 128 73

A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been

observed in Quebec in 2013

Comparative Analysis of Traffic

Safety Measures

17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Approach for Comparing Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18

Five Policies

1 Drinking and driving

2 Speeding

3 Young Drivers

4 Drowsiness

5 Old Drivers

Identification of measures for each policy

Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19

For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario

2 What is the nature of the measure

3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews

4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario

Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 9: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Critical analysis of data and indicators

Severity of injury in Quebec and Ontario (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 9

Valid comparisons for fatalities and severe morbidity (major

injuries) only

Interviews with police officers different application of

victim registration procedures by organizations

Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers

Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013

Populations Licensed Drivers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario

01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000

16

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

WomenMenWomenMen

Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec

Ontario

Variable gap but still present between

the two provinces during the period

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12

Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female

Less important gap for women

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category

of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13

Drivers

Passengers

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers

More important gap for drivers

Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by

Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14

Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15

00

50

100

150

200

250

300

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13

Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013

among those 16-19 years old

BUT

The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in

2011-2013

Significant excess mortality

of Quebec drivers among

young adults 16-29 yo in

2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16

If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those

of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip

Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec

A Target for Drivers

Sex Observed

fatalities

Expected

Fatalities

Reduction

Men 144 93 51

Women 57 35 22

Total 201 128 73

A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been

observed in Quebec in 2013

Comparative Analysis of Traffic

Safety Measures

17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Approach for Comparing Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18

Five Policies

1 Drinking and driving

2 Speeding

3 Young Drivers

4 Drowsiness

5 Old Drivers

Identification of measures for each policy

Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19

For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario

2 What is the nature of the measure

3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews

4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario

Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 10: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Critical analysis of data and indicators Population Estimates and Licensed Drivers

Age Pyramids (in relative numbers) 2013

Populations Licensed Drivers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 10 Queacutebec Ontario

01000200030004000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0100020003000400050006000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000

16

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

WomenMenWomenMen

Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec

Ontario

Variable gap but still present between

the two provinces during the period

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12

Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female

Less important gap for women

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category

of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13

Drivers

Passengers

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers

More important gap for drivers

Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by

Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14

Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15

00

50

100

150

200

250

300

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13

Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013

among those 16-19 years old

BUT

The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in

2011-2013

Significant excess mortality

of Quebec drivers among

young adults 16-29 yo in

2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16

If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those

of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip

Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec

A Target for Drivers

Sex Observed

fatalities

Expected

Fatalities

Reduction

Men 144 93 51

Women 57 35 22

Total 201 128 73

A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been

observed in Quebec in 2013

Comparative Analysis of Traffic

Safety Measures

17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Approach for Comparing Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18

Five Policies

1 Drinking and driving

2 Speeding

3 Young Drivers

4 Drowsiness

5 Old Drivers

Identification of measures for each policy

Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19

For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario

2 What is the nature of the measure

3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews

4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario

Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 11: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Comparative Analysis of Mortality (Both Sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 11

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (both sexes) Quebec and Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec

Ontario

Variable gap but still present between

the two provinces during the period

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12

Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female

Less important gap for women

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category

of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13

Drivers

Passengers

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers

More important gap for drivers

Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by

Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14

Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15

00

50

100

150

200

250

300

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13

Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013

among those 16-19 years old

BUT

The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in

2011-2013

Significant excess mortality

of Quebec drivers among

young adults 16-29 yo in

2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16

If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those

of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip

Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec

A Target for Drivers

Sex Observed

fatalities

Expected

Fatalities

Reduction

Men 144 93 51

Women 57 35 22

Total 201 128 73

A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been

observed in Quebec in 2013

Comparative Analysis of Traffic

Safety Measures

17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Approach for Comparing Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18

Five Policies

1 Drinking and driving

2 Speeding

3 Young Drivers

4 Drowsiness

5 Old Drivers

Identification of measures for each policy

Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19

For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario

2 What is the nature of the measure

3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews

4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario

Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 12: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Sex

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 12

Age-standardized Mortality Rate by Sex Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - Male Ontario- Male Quebec - female Ontario - female

Less important gap for women

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category

of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13

Drivers

Passengers

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers

More important gap for drivers

Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by

Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14

Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15

00

50

100

150

200

250

300

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13

Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013

among those 16-19 years old

BUT

The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in

2011-2013

Significant excess mortality

of Quebec drivers among

young adults 16-29 yo in

2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16

If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those

of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip

Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec

A Target for Drivers

Sex Observed

fatalities

Expected

Fatalities

Reduction

Men 144 93 51

Women 57 35 22

Total 201 128 73

A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been

observed in Quebec in 2013

Comparative Analysis of Traffic

Safety Measures

17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Approach for Comparing Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18

Five Policies

1 Drinking and driving

2 Speeding

3 Young Drivers

4 Drowsiness

5 Old Drivers

Identification of measures for each policy

Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19

For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario

2 What is the nature of the measure

3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews

4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario

Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 13: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Comparative Analysis of Mortality by Category

of Involved Person Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 13

Drivers

Passengers

Age-Standardized Mortality Rate by Category of Involved Person (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

Years

Quebec - drivers Ontario - drivers Quebec - passengers Ontario - passengers

More important gap for drivers

Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by

Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14

Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15

00

50

100

150

200

250

300

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13

Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013

among those 16-19 years old

BUT

The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in

2011-2013

Significant excess mortality

of Quebec drivers among

young adults 16-29 yo in

2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16

If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those

of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip

Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec

A Target for Drivers

Sex Observed

fatalities

Expected

Fatalities

Reduction

Men 144 93 51

Women 57 35 22

Total 201 128 73

A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been

observed in Quebec in 2013

Comparative Analysis of Traffic

Safety Measures

17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Approach for Comparing Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18

Five Policies

1 Drinking and driving

2 Speeding

3 Young Drivers

4 Drowsiness

5 Old Drivers

Identification of measures for each policy

Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19

For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario

2 What is the nature of the measure

3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews

4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario

Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 14: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Comparative Analysis of Major injuries by

Category of Persons Involved Drivers and Passengers

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 14

Age-Standardized Major Morbidity Rate by Category of InvolvedPerson (drivers and passengers) Quebec et Ontario 2000 to 2015

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Rat

e (

pe

r 1

00

00

0)

YearsQuebec - passengers Ontario - passengers Quebec - Drivers Ontario - Drivers

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15

00

50

100

150

200

250

300

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13

Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013

among those 16-19 years old

BUT

The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in

2011-2013

Significant excess mortality

of Quebec drivers among

young adults 16-29 yo in

2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16

If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those

of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip

Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec

A Target for Drivers

Sex Observed

fatalities

Expected

Fatalities

Reduction

Men 144 93 51

Women 57 35 22

Total 201 128 73

A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been

observed in Quebec in 2013

Comparative Analysis of Traffic

Safety Measures

17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Approach for Comparing Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18

Five Policies

1 Drinking and driving

2 Speeding

3 Young Drivers

4 Drowsiness

5 Old Drivers

Identification of measures for each policy

Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19

For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario

2 What is the nature of the measure

3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews

4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario

Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 15: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013 (Both sexes)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 15

00

50

100

150

200

250

300

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 Ont - 2000-02 Ont - 2011-13

Decrease of about 59 in Quebec between 2000-2002 and 2011-2013

among those 16-19 years old

BUT

The ratio between Quebec and Ontario has increased to about 21 1 in

2011-2013

Significant excess mortality

of Quebec drivers among

young adults 16-29 yo in

2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16

If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those

of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip

Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec

A Target for Drivers

Sex Observed

fatalities

Expected

Fatalities

Reduction

Men 144 93 51

Women 57 35 22

Total 201 128 73

A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been

observed in Quebec in 2013

Comparative Analysis of Traffic

Safety Measures

17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Approach for Comparing Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18

Five Policies

1 Drinking and driving

2 Speeding

3 Young Drivers

4 Drowsiness

5 Old Drivers

Identification of measures for each policy

Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19

For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario

2 What is the nature of the measure

3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews

4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario

Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 16: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 16

If mortality rates of Quebec drivers had been the same as those

of Ontario drivers in 2013 hellip

Reduction in the Number of Persons Killed in Quebec

A Target for Drivers

Sex Observed

fatalities

Expected

Fatalities

Reduction

Men 144 93 51

Women 57 35 22

Total 201 128 73

A reduction of 73 deaths among drivers would have been

observed in Quebec in 2013

Comparative Analysis of Traffic

Safety Measures

17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Approach for Comparing Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18

Five Policies

1 Drinking and driving

2 Speeding

3 Young Drivers

4 Drowsiness

5 Old Drivers

Identification of measures for each policy

Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19

For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario

2 What is the nature of the measure

3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews

4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario

Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 17: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Comparative Analysis of Traffic

Safety Measures

17 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Approach for Comparing Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18

Five Policies

1 Drinking and driving

2 Speeding

3 Young Drivers

4 Drowsiness

5 Old Drivers

Identification of measures for each policy

Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19

For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario

2 What is the nature of the measure

3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews

4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario

Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 18: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Approach for Comparing Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 18

Five Policies

1 Drinking and driving

2 Speeding

3 Young Drivers

4 Drowsiness

5 Old Drivers

Identification of measures for each policy

Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19

For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario

2 What is the nature of the measure

3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews

4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario

Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 19: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Approach for Comparing Policies (continued)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 19

For each measure 1 Does it exist in Quebec and Ontario

2 What is the nature of the measure

3 Is it an effective measure based on provincialassessments and systematic reviews

4 Is the measure likely to explain the traffic safety gapbetween Quebec and Ontario

Triangulating results makes it possible todetermine whether a measure is responsible forthe traffic safety gap

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 20: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Results Comparison of Measures

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 20

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 21: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Results Comparison of Measures continued

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 21

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 22: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Results Percent of Fatally-injured Drivers

with a Positive BAC

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 22

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

w

ith

BA

C ge

008

1

Year

Trend in alcohol-related fatalities in Quebec and Ontario1998-2010

ON 81mg100ml and over QC 81mg100ml and over

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 23: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Results Trends in Drinking-and-Driving

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 23

54

3944 46

326

114

75

61

76

87

57

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Year

Percentage of drivers who thought they were over the legal limitand drove their vehicle (window=one year)

Ontario Queacutebec

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 24: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Results Beer Consumption (Statistics Canada)

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 24

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 25: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Conclusion

The traffic safety gap between Quebec and Ontario is attributable to

several factors and it is difficult to identify all of them precisely

Based on our approach two sets of measures could be suggested

1 Measures againt drunk driving

Lowering the TA to 005 grams 100ml

Limit sales outlets

Raising legal age

Limit hours of sale of alcohol

2 Gradual Access to driverrsquos license

Supervise driving at night (midnight to 5 am )

Limit the number of passengers without a regular license

25 R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 26: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Acknowledgements

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 26

FQRSC-SAAQ-FRSQ et RRSR for financial support

SAAQ et MTO for providing the data and for comments

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 27: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Supplementary Materiel

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 27

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 28: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Dissemination of Results

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 28

Paper report and thesis

BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et BLAIS Eacutetienne (2016) Comparaisons des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario Rapport de recherche FRQSC SAAQ FRQS 31 janvier 2016

BLAIS Eacutetienne BOURBEAU Robert BELLAVANCE Franccedilois et CLEacuteROUX-PERRAULT Marie-Pier (2015) Eacutevaluation par lrsquoapproche comparative Comparaison des bilans routiers du Queacutebec et de lrsquoOntario dans Laurent Carnis Gilles Blanchard eds Eacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere LHarmattan

CLEacuteROUX-PERREAULT Marie-Pier Analyse comparative de la mortaliteacute et de la morbiditeacute par accident de la route au Queacutebec et en Ontario 2000-2010 Meacutemoire de maicirctrise Deacutepartement de deacutemographie Universiteacute de Montreacuteal (in progress)

Medias La Presse + Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait mieux 29 juillet 2016 (Robert Bourbeau)

Entrevue agrave RDI le 30 juillet 2016 (Eacutetienne Blais)

Presentations in Conferences Activiteacute de transfert des connaissances Programme de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere

(FRQSC ndash SAAQ ndash FRQS) Queacutebec 23 septembre 2016

Congregraves sur lrsquoeacutevaluation des politiques de seacutecuriteacute routiegravere meacutethodes outils et limites 9 juin 2015 Paris

Colloque de lrsquoAssociation des deacutemographes du Queacutebec (ADQ) Ottawa juin 2015

Rencontre annuelle du Reacuteseau de recherche en seacutecuriteacute routiegravere Queacutebec 2 mai 2014

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 29: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

La Presse plus du 29 juillet 2016 Eacuteric-Pierre Champagne La Presse

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-

Perrault 29

bull

bull BILAN ROUTIER

Le Queacutebec tient la route lrsquoOntario fait encore

mieux

laquo Quebec keeps up the road Ontario is doing even

better raquo

UN MEILLEUR BILAN ROUTIER POUR LrsquoONTARIO

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 30: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Young drivers a coroner suggests a

curfew from midnight to 500 AM

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 30

Speed uphellip itrsquos

almost midnight

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 31: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Male Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2008-2010

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 31

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

Qc - 2000-02 Qc - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13

Page 32: A Comparison of Road Traffic Mortality and Morbidity rates (2000 … · 2017-06-27 · Introduction 2 R. Bourbeau, É. Blais, F. Bellavance and M.P. Cléroux-Perrault •Decreases

Mortality Rate (per licensed drivers) by Age Group for Female Drivers Quebec and Ontario 2000-2002 et 2011-2013

R Bourbeau Eacute Blais F Bellavance and MP Cleacuteroux-Perrault 32

00

50

100

150

200

250

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 +

Rat

e (p

er 1

00

00

0 li

cen

sed

dri

vers

)

Age Groups

QC - 2000-02 QC - 2011-13 ON - 2000-02 ON - 2011-13