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A Comprehensive Model for Multi A Comprehensive Model for Multi A Comprehensive Model for Multi A Comprehensive Model for Multi- Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: i i i i i i Emission Inventory Preparation Emission Inventory Preparation Chun Yi Wu, Gregory Pratt, & Mary Dymond Chun Yi Wu, Gregory Pratt, & Mary Dymond Minnesota Pollution Control Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Agency

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Page 1: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi--Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Pathway Risks from Air Pollution:

i i ii i iEmission Inventory PreparationEmission Inventory Preparation

Chun Yi Wu, Gregory Pratt, & Mary DymondChun Yi Wu, Gregory Pratt, & Mary Dymond

Minnesota Pollution Control Minnesota Pollution Control AgencyAgency

Page 2: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

MNRISKS Criteria

Air Toxics

• CAA HAPs

All known air emissions sources

Pollutants• PM10

PM2 5• Other Toxics• Lead• Diesel

All pathways in EPA HHRAP protocol

• PM2.5

• SO2

• NOxExhaust

• CO

• LeadPoint

• VOCsPoint

NonpointMobile

Page 3: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

ISSUESISSUES

1. Double counting for1. Double counting for grouped pollutants

2. Methods for . et ods oallocating county-level emissions to eve e ss o s ocensus tracts

3. Stack parameters and pgeographic coordinates

Page 4: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

2005 EI OVERVIEW2005 EI OVERVIEW

286 Pollutants286 Pollutants 1235 Permitted facilities• 599 Reported emissionsp• 20+ - Lack of emissions• Others – throughput for combustion51 TRI facilities37 Categories - 86 sub-categories for nonpoint sources• 31 - State estimated

6 F EPA• 6 - From EPA

Page 5: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

2005 EI OVERVIEW2005 EI OVERVIEW

Onroad mobile sources - EPANonRoad mobile sources• Aircraft & airport ground

support equipment - MPCA• Locomotives - MPCA• CMV - Grow CENRAP 2002• Others - EPA

Page 6: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

RESOLUTION for ISSUESEmissions of grouped pollutants

8090

100

506070

rcen

tage

203040Pe

r

010

Metals PAHs Dioxins Trimethylbenzene Xylenes

Pollutant Group

Point Nonpoint Onroad Nonroad

Page 7: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

Metal EmissionsMetal Emissions

90% of emissions from point sources90% of emissions from point sources1,139 Facilities and 5,057 processes4 Forms of metal emissions o s o eta e ss o s• Individual metal compounds• Individual subgroups: such as Cr III and Cr VI• Mass of the metal alone• Mass of total compoundsL d i t i d i b th CAP EI d AT EILead - inventoried in both CAP EI and AT EI

Page 8: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

Metal EmissionsMetal Emissions

Suspiciously high emissionsSuspiciously high emissions from surface coating operations due to no consideration ofdue to o co s de at o o• Transfer efficiency (30% - 100%) • Control efficiency (0 - 99.8%)• 32 Facilities – 100 processes• Contacted facilities with > 20lb

i iemissions

Page 9: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

Metal Emissions300,000 Selenium

Metal Emissions

200 000

250,000

LB)

NickelMercuryManganese

150,000

200,000

issi

ons

(L ManganeseLeadCopper

50,000

100,000Emi Cobalt

Chromium VIChromium

0Before After Before After

CadmiumBerylliumArsenicArsenicAntimonyTotal Mass Metal Mass

Page 10: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

Metal EmissionsMetal Emissions

General steps for MNRiskSGeneral steps for MNRiskSinput • Emissions only available for y

the metal compound - use as emissions of metal elements

• Cr - speciated to Cr VI and Cr III

• Emissions of an individual• Emissions of an individual metal compound - converted to emissions of metalto emissions of metal elements

Page 11: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

Metal EmissionsMetal Emissions

Recommendations • Facilities should report emissions of

specific metal compounds or the mass of the metal only

• Emission factors need to be mutually exclusive for compounds

• Lead emissions from the CAP EI and AT EI need to be reconciled

Page 12: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

Dioxin EmissionsDioxin Emissions

Over 90% of emissions from point sourcesOver 90% of emissions from point sources20 Congener groups: > 200 congenersMajority emissions for groups resulted from ajo ty e ss o s o g oups esu ted ogeneric emission factors in FIREApply dioxin/furan apportioning factors to pp y d o / u ppo o g c o s ogroups Calculate 2,3,7,8-TCDD equivalents (TEQs) , , , q ( Q )for MNRiskS input

Page 13: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

Dioxin EmissionsDioxin Emissions100

80

ge

40

60

Perc

enta

g

0

20

P

0Total Dioxins in EI TEQs in MNRiskS

Point Nonpoint Onroad Nonroad

Page 14: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

PAH EmissionsPAH Emissions1,000,000

800,000

Nonroad

600,000

ons (

lb)

Nonroad

Onroad

Nonpoint400,000

Emis

sio Nonpoint

Point

0

200,000

0Individual

PAHsTotal PAH 16-PAH 7-PAH POM

Page 15: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

PAH EmissionsPAH Emissions

No changes on emissions Adjust toxicity values in the MNRisks input• EPA NATA 2002 guidance • Minnesota Department of Health guidance

Page 16: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

Trimethylbenzene Emissionsy160,000

120,000N i t

80,000

ns (l

b)

Nonpoint

Point

40,000

Em

issi

on

0

E

1,2,4-Trimethylbenzene

1,3,5-Trimethylbenzene

Trimethylbenzene

Page 17: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

Trimethylbenzene EmissionsTrimethylbenzene Emissions

No changes on emissionsNo changes on emissions Total trimethylbenzenes used for MNRiskSmodel inputode put• Only total - use it• No total - use the sum of isomers • Both total and isomers

o Use total if the sum of isomers < totalU th f i if th f io Use the sum of isomers if the sum of isomers > total

Page 18: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

Xylene EmissionsXylene Emissions

84% Emissions from mobile sources84% Emissions from mobile sources5 Forms• m,p-xylene,p y• m-xylene• p-xylene Point sources• o-xylene• xylenes (mixed isomers) – 99%No change on emissionsNo change on emissionsXylenes used for MNRiskS model input

Page 19: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

Apportion EmissionsApportion Emissions

Nonpoint sourcesNonpoint sourcesEmission data at individual facility level: landfills public owned treatment workslandfills, public owned treatment works (POTWs), and dry cleanersEmission data at the county levelEmission data at the county level • Throughput data not available from individual

facilities - appropriate surrogatesfacilities appropriate surrogates • Throughput data might be available from

individual facilities: human cremation and drum and barrel reclamation

Page 20: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

Human Cremation

Number of cremations per crematoryNumber of cremations per crematory available for 2006-2008Use average fraction per crematory to Use ave age act o pe c e ato y toallocate the 2005 state total Addresses available for majority crematoriesdd esses v b e o jo y c e o esNo address - web search and phone callsEmissions were allocated to 55 crematories for MNRiskS input

Page 21: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

Drum and Barrel Reclamation1,818,182 barrels reclaimed in Hennepinreclaimed in Hennepin County in 2002 from EPA Finding after a search -Finding after a search one facility with the operation 480,000 barrels reclaimed in 2008 – data collected f th f ilitfrom the facilityUpdated the EI

Page 22: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

Surrogates for Apportioning Nonpoint Source Emissions

C N Surrogates for TractCategory Name Surrogates for Tract Apportioning

Commercial and Consumer Products Usage PopulationUsage p

Commercial Cooking Commercial Land UseDegreasing PopulationGasoline Service Stations Gas Station LocationsGraphic Arts Commercial Land UseResidential Wood Burning PopulationResidential Wood Burning PopulationStationary Source Fuel Combustion -Commercial/Institutional Commercial Land Use

St ti S F l C b tiStationary Source Fuel Combustion -Industrial Industrial Land Use

Page 23: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

Surrogates for Apportioning NonroadMobile Source Emissions

C Surrogates for TractCategory Surrogates for Tract Apportioning

Agricultural Equipment Rural Land AreaC i l E i t P l tiCommercial Equipment PopulationCommercial Marine Vessel Water FractionConstruction and Mining Equipment # Point Sources Per TractIndustrial Equipment # Point Sources Per TractLawn and Garden Equipment PopulationLogging Equipment Forest AreaLogging Equipment Forest AreaPleasure Craft Water FractionRailway Maintenance Railway MilesRecreational Equipment PopulationLocomotive Emissions Railway Miles

Page 24: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

Apportion Onroad Mobile Source ppEmissions

Use vehicle miles traveled (VMT) as a surrogate

VMT = AADT x LWhere

AADT = average annual daily traffic count

L = length of road segment

Page 25: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

Stack Parameters and Geographic Coordinates

Data from a permitting databasePermitting processes pay little attentionPermitting processes pay little attentionAnticipating incorrect or incomplete informationinformation

Page 26: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

Stack ParametersUse average values by SCC for

i i t k tmissing stack parametersDefault stack values • Height - 10 m• Diameter - 2 m • Exit velocity - 1 m/s• Exit temperature - 293 K

Page 27: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

Geographic CoordinatesGeographic Coordinates

C l ti l sCompare locationaldata with the draft 2005 NATA 30

3540

Faci

litie

s

2005 NATA• > 200 m - 89

facilities 152025

Inco

rrec

t

Both

MPCA

Use aerial photography to get

t d t 05

10um

ber o

f NATA

correct data> 10 km > 1 kmN

u

Distence Between MPCA Data & DATAD tDATA Data

Page 28: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIssue Resolution

Grouped pollutants

Collect data for individual pollutantsCl d fill fp p Clean up and fill gaps for emission factorsBetter understanding

Allocating emissionsBetter understanding emission dataCollect facility-level datay

Stack parameters & X/Y coordinates

Include requirements in EI reporting

Page 29: A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for ......A Comprehensive Model for MultiA Comprehensive Model for Multi-Pathway Risks from Air Pollution: Emii iission Inventory

AcknowledgementAcknowledgement

Nate Edel for his effort on correcting metal emissions from pointemissions from point sources