A GREEN ENERGY FORCAST FOR

2100.Progress under President Trump ?

By Paul H. Carr, Ph.D.IEEE Life Fellow

Web page www.MirrorOfNature.org

• Geologist M. King Hubbert predicted the 1970 peak in US oil production during 1956.

• A 2nd peak is forecast for 2020.

• FOSSIL FUELS WILL NOT MEET THE ENEGY DEMAND

• NEED NEW WIND, SOLAR, AND NUCLEAR ENERGY

China Aims to Spend at Least $360 Billion on Renewable Energy by 2020 By MICHAEL FORSYTHE NYTimes JAN. 5, 2017. Solar and wind manufacturing will create 13 million jobs. ------------------------- Regardless of what the government does, Bill Gates said he is moving forward to lead a more than $1 billion investment fund to support breakthrough technologies and companies with the potential to help bring global greenhouse gas emissions to "near zero." Gates outlined details of the Breakthrough Energy Ventures Fund, supported by 20 other business leaders like Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos and Virgin Group founder Richard Branson. The net worth of the investor group is at least $150 billion.

http://wwwhttp://wwwhttp://www1. PageLog - Toggle

The International Energy Agency forcasts a 13% growth of renewable wind and solar in the USA.

Aerosol pollution from coal burning in Beijing

World Health Organization safe level: 25 mg/m3

Aerosol level in Beijing: 505 mg/m3http://scitation.aip.org/content/aip/magazine/physicstoday/news/10.1063/PT.5.4009?utm_source=Physics+Today&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=5229780_Physics+Today%3a+The+week+in+Physics+12-16+January&utm_content=$LINK_KEYWORD$&dm_i=1Y69,343BO,E1O2I6,B5VQT,1

Bill Gates is funding new clean energy, but it's not solar or windhttp://www.businessinsider.com/bill-gates-talks-private-nuclear-fission-plant-terrapower-2016-4

Gates said that TerraPower's nuclear pilot plant will be built in China. The economics, safety, waste, and all the key parameters are dramatically improved.

The traveling wave reactor converts depleted uranium, a byproduct of the nuclear-fission process, into usable fuel.

China plans to build 400 nuclear plants by midcentury. Bill Gates’ TerraPower, for instance, has designed a traveling wave reactor, which utilizes nuclear waste. Another design, by two MIT researchers, again uses waste, mixed into molten salt. In short, the nuclear reactors of the future will utilize not just regular uranium but will take care of the waste as well – the same waste that raises so much concern among environmentalists and the general public.

Source Total Investment:

60 Year Project

Annual Before-Tax

Revenue

Market Price to

Break Even at 15

Years

Life Span

before

Retooling

Comparative

ROI at 60 Years

($0.145/KWhr)

Nuclear $17.0 Billion $1.244 Billion $0.12/KWhr 60 years $74.7 Billion

Land-based

wind +

batteries

$44.6 Billion $0.873 Billion $$0.11/KWhr 25 years $52.4 Billion

Solar +

Batteries

$55.8 Billion $0.208 Billion $0.15/KWhr 25 years $12.5 Billion

  

• Wind is available about 36% of the time and solar about 26%. Renewables need to charge batteries to supply electricity 24/7.

• Kaui (Hawaii) is planning to use Tesla grid-level storage batteries and has a contract for $0.145/KWhr for 20 years. This is a small installation, but it can be used as a comparison. Telsa also offers grid level batteries for sale at $2.5 million/MW.

Over 60 years, the standard license period for nuclear reactors, nuclear provides the largest return on investment (ROI) (Emery et al)

Trump Could Fuel A Nuclear Energy Boom In 2017By James Stafford - Dec 06, 2016http://oilprice.com/Alternative-Energy/Nuclear-Power/Trump-Could-Fuel-A-Nuclear-Energy-Boom-In-2017.html

When I asked MIT Prof of Nuclear Science & Engineering, Ian Hutchison about this he replied, “The Republicans are less scared of nuclear energy than the Democrats.”

Tillerson Led Exxon’s Shift on Climate Change; Some Say ‘It Was All P.R.’By JOHN SCHWARTZ DEC. 28, 2016

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/28/business/energy-environment/rex-tillerson-secretary-of-state-exxon.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=0

Carbon taxes are a fee on fuel use, based on how much carbon dioxide that fuelputs into the atmosphere. “As a businessman, it is hard to speak favorably about anynew tax,” Mr. Tillerson told reporters in his speech at the Woodrow WilsonInternational Center for Scholars. But, he said, it was “a more direct, a moretransparent and a more effective approach” than an alternative gaining support in Congress known as cap and trade, which would set an upper limit on carbon dioxide emissions and then rely on a permit trading system to meet the target.

THE “WICKED PROBLEM” OF CLIMATE CHANGE: WHAT IS IT DOING TO US AND FOR US?

63nd Conference of the Institute on Religion in an Age of Science, www.iras.org

June 24—July 1, 2017. Star Island off Portsmouth, NH.

• Climate change is complex with causes and consequences in economic, ecological, ethical, and technological realms.

• How can global warming be a catalyst for spiritual and societal transformation? 

Science Is the art of the provable. (empirical verification, fact-check)

Religion is the art of the poetic (belief).

Politics is the art of the possible.(What will people believe?)

Solar PVs on historic Star Island form the largest off-grid array in New England

Can World Food Production Keep up with Population Growth in the Face of Climate Change & Sea Acidification?

Solomon H. Katz, Ph.D is a leading expert on the anthropology of food, U of Penn. He was editor-in-chief of the Encyclopedia of Food and Culture published by Scribner (2003). Prof Katz was Chair of the AAA Task Force on World Food Problems.

Barry Costa-Pierce, Ph.D, Chair of the Department of Marine Sciences, University of New England. Biddeford, Maine. Pioneer of the field of “Ecological Aquaculture” and helped develop the UN Food and Agriculture Organization’s global protocols.

Matthew Fox’s student wrote at major portion of Pope Francis’ 200 Page Encyclical Laudato Si: On Care for our Common Home. June 2015

Theologian Rev. Dr. Matthew Fox.Creation Spirituality: How the Crisis of Climate Change Challenges Our Species to a New Evolutionary Awakening

Prophetic Pope Francis:

• MORAL IMPERATATIVE: Stop plundering our planet for profit, the poor suffering the most.

200 Page Encyclical Laudato Si: On Care for our Common Home. June 2015

Carol Wayne White, Professor of Philosophy of Religion at Bucknell U. Humans are interconnected, social, & value-laden with the capacity for transformation

Scientists: Paul H. Carr, PhD; Robert S. Pikart,PhD; Emily Austin,PhD & Bill Shoemaker,PhD.

Chaplain. Rev. Dr. Mary E. Westfall Senior Minister at Community Church, UCC, Durham, Univ of NH

Maintaining Hope, Acting for Justice

S Sunrise on Star Island , www.iras.org

Star Island 200 year-old Chapel

View from Chapel

SUNSET OVER PORTSMOUTH, NH FROM STAR ISLAND Learn more at www.iras.org