a homogenization of gnss tropospheric data with...

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A homogenizaon of GNSS tropospheric data with autoregressive process Anna Klos 1) , F. Norman Teferle 2) , Olivier Bock 3) , Eric Poaux 4) , Roeland Van Malderen 5) , Janusz Bogusz 1) 1) Military University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geodesy, Warsaw, Poland 2) University of Luxembourg, Geophysics Laboratory, FSTC, Luxembourg 3) IGN LAREG, University Paris Diderot, Sorbonne Paris, France 4) Royal Observatory of Belgium, Brussels, Belgium 5) Royal Meteorological Instute of Belgium, Brussels, Belgium A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisaon of GNSS tropospheric data…” #1/24 GNSS4SWEC Summer School 2016 and Working Groups Meeng WG3 meeng: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

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Page 1: A homogenization of GNSS tropospheric data with ...ozone.meteo.be/publication/Roeland.V.M/GNSS4SWEC... · A homogenization of GNSS tropospheric data with autoregressive process Anna

A homogenization of GNSS tropospheric data with autoregressive process

Anna Klos1), F. Norman Teferle2), Olivier Bock3), Eric Pottiaux4), Roeland Van Malderen5), Janusz Bogusz1)

1) Military University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geodesy, Warsaw, Poland2) University of Luxembourg, Geophysics Laboratory, FSTC, Luxembourg

3) IGN LAREG, University Paris Diderot, Sorbonne Paris, France4) Royal Observatory of Belgium, Brussels, Belgium

5) Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, Brussels, Belgium

A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…” #1/24

GNSS4SWEC Summer School 2016 and Working Groups MeetingWG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

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1. Homogenisation – offsets detection and subtraction.

2. Offsets in GNSS arise from:

1. Hardware change,

2. Earthquake,

3. Unknown reason.

These can be also seen in IWV series retrieved from GNSS.

Hardware changes are reported in log-files, however some may be unreported.

Relative homogenisation methods are most effective to detect offsets in time series.

Here we use IWV differences (GPS - ERA-Interim reanalysis).

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

MOTIVATIONMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

#2/24A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

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3. What is the plan?

1. Analyse the common data set provided for homogenisation sub-WG3 working group,

2. Use the amplitudes of seasonal changes, values of trend and character of stochastic part to

create a benchmark (simulation of a synthetic dataset): GPS, ERAI and GPS-ERAI

3. Simulate offsets,

4. Perform blind tests to detect simulated changes manually and with different statistical

approaches,

5. Decide on the optimum method to report real offsets (not ones related to autoregressive

behaviour of data),

6. Use this method to IWV retrieved from GNSS data.

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

MOTIVATIONMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

#3/24A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

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A common dataset provided for homogenisation group (sub-WG3 group).

Daily differences of IWV from GPS and ERA-Interim for period 01.01.1995-31.12.2010

for 120 stations.

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

COMMON DATASETMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

#4/24A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

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Homogenisation of common dataset:

1. 600 offsets reported in log-files of GNSS

stations (common data set),

2. 41 offsets reported manually in differences

of IWV (ERAI-GPS) (a),

3. Few stations included in a special class:

cases where visual detection of offsets is

not reliable (GOPE: Czech Republic, KOUR:

French Guiana, LONG: USA and MCM4:

Antarctica) (b).

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

HOMOGENISATIONMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

#5/24A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

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A homogenized common data set provided for homogenisation group (sub-WG3

group):1. We fitted a least-squares model as:

and removed trend and annual curve to examine on stochastic part character εZTD.

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

A LEAST-SQUARES MODELMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

#6/24A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

iZTDii

ii

ttdttc

ttbatZTD

00

0

2cos2sin

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A homogenized common data set provided for homogenisation group (sub-WG3

group):2. We analysed on a character of stochastic part:

3. Autoregressive of first order plus white noise (AR(1)+WN) chosen as a most appropriate for daily IWV data, basing on AIC criterion plus time of computation:

AR(1)+WN:

AR(4)+WN:

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

CHARACTER OF RESIDUAMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

#7/24A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

tZTDZTD att

11

tZTDZTDZTDZTDZTD attttt

4321 4321

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A homogenized common data set provided for homogenisation group (sub-WG3

group):4. We examined on amplitudes of seasonal changes, values

of trend and AR(1)+WN with Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) in Hector Software (Bos et al., 2013).

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

ANNUAL SIGNAL OF GPS & ERAIMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

#8/24A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

Page 9: A homogenization of GNSS tropospheric data with ...ozone.meteo.be/publication/Roeland.V.M/GNSS4SWEC... · A homogenization of GNSS tropospheric data with autoregressive process Anna

A homogenized common data set provided for homogenisation group (sub-WG3

group):4. We examined on amplitudes of seasonal changes, values

of trend and AR(1)+WN with Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) in Hector Software (Bos et al., 2013).

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

ANNUAL SIGNAL OF DIFFERENCESMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

#9/24A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

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A homogenized common data set provided for homogenisation group (sub-WG3

group):4. We examined on amplitudes of seasonal changes, values

of trend and AR(1)+WN with Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) in Hector Software (Bos et al., 2013).

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

PARAMETERS OF STOCHASTIC PARTMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

#10/24A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

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A homogenized common data set provided for homogenisation group (sub-WG3

group):4. We examined on amplitudes of seasonal changes, values

of trend and AR(1)+WN with Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) in Hector Software (Bos et al., 2013).

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

#11/24

PARAMETERS OF STOCHASTIC PARTMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

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A homogenized common data set provided for homogenisation group (sub-WG3

group):4. We examined on amplitudes of seasonal changes, values

of trend and AR(1)+WN with Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) in Hector Software (Bos et al., 2013).

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

#12/24

PARAMETERS OF STOCHASTIC PARTMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

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A homogenized common data set provided for homogenisation group (sub-WG3

group):4. We examined on amplitudes of seasonal changes, values

of trend and AR(1)+WN with Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) in Hector Software (Bos et al., 2013).

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

#13/24

PARAMETERS OF STOCHASTIC PARTMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

Page 14: A homogenization of GNSS tropospheric data with ...ozone.meteo.be/publication/Roeland.V.M/GNSS4SWEC... · A homogenization of GNSS tropospheric data with autoregressive process Anna

A homogenized common data set provided for homogenisation group (sub-WG3

group):4. We examined on amplitudes of seasonal changes, values

of trend and AR(1)+WN with Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) in Hector Software (Bos et al., 2013).

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

#14/24

PARAMETERS OF STOCHASTIC PARTMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

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A homogenized common data set provided for homogenisation group (sub-WG3

group):4. We examined on amplitudes of seasonal changes, values

of trend and AR(1)+WN with Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) in Hector Software (Bos et al., 2013).

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

#15/24

PARAMETERS OF STOCHASTIC PARTMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

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A homogenized common data set provided for homogenisation group (sub-WG3

group):4. We examined on amplitudes of seasonal changes, values

of trend and AR(1)+WN with Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) in Hector Software (Bos et al., 2013).

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

#16/24

PARAMETERS OF STOCHASTIC PARTMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

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Synthetic data:

We simulated the synthetic dataset with parameters derived from ERA-Interim, GPS and

differences ERAI-GPS.

Synthetic series basing on median

parameters of GPS & ERAI:

AR(1): fraction = 1.00,

sigma = 3.50 kg/m2,

AR(1) = 0.60±0.03.

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

#17/24

Can anyone see more offsets?

AR(1) BEHAVIOUR OF GPS & ERAIMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

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Synthetic data:

We simulated the synthetic dataset with parameters derived from ERA-Interim, GPS and

differences ERAI-GPS.

Synthetic series basing on median

parameters of GPS & ERAI:

AR(2): fraction = 1.00,

sigma = 3.50 kg/m2,

AR(1) = 0.60±0.03,

AR(2) = 0.3 ±0.03.

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

#18/24

Can anyone see more offsets?

AR(2) BEHAVIOUR OF GPS & ERAIMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

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Synthetic data:

We simulated the synthetic dataset with parameters derived from ERA-Interim, GPS and

differences ERAI-GPS.

Synthetic series basing on median

parameters of

differences (ERAI-GPS):

AR(1): fraction = 0.71,

sigma = 0.81 kg/m2,

AR(1) = 0.50±0.03.

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

#19/24

Can anyone see more offsets?

AR(1) BEHAVIOUR OF DIFFERENCESMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

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Synthetic data:

We simulated the synthetic dataset with parameters derived from ERA-Interim, GPS and

differences ERAI-GPS.

Synthetic series basing on median

parameters of

differences (ERAI-GPS):

AR(2): fraction = 0.71,

sigma = 0.81 kg/m2,

AR(1) = 0.50±0.03,

AR(2) = 0.30 ±0.02.

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

#20/24

Can anyone see more offsets?

AR(2) BEHAVIOUR OF GPS & ERAIMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

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Synthetic data:

We simulated the synthetic dataset with parameters derived from ERA-Interim, GPS and

differences ERAI-GPS.

Synthetic series basing on

AUCK (New Zealand):

AR(4): fraction = 0.73,

sigma = 3.18 kg/m2,

AR(1) = 0.77±0.03,

AR(2) = 0.17±0.02,

AR(3) = 0.02±0.015,

AR(4) = -0.01±0.00

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

#21/24

Can anyone see more offsets?

AR(4) BEHAVIOUR OF AUCKMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

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#22/24

7. Conclusions and Perspectives:

a) We delivered a homogenized dataset of ERAI, GPS and differences (ERAI-GPS).

b) We derived parameters of a common dataset.

c) We performed a manual homogenisation of synthetic dataset to prove, that we can

report offsets due to regime-like behaviour of AR process.

d) Next step: simulate offsets in 1 000 of synthetic series.

e) Future: Test different statistical homogenisation methods

Potential major issue: can offsets be efficiently detected with statistical approaches, being aware of the

autoregressive noise in a stochastic part of the IWV data?

f) Use these methods to homogenize IWV GNSS data

CONCLUSIONSMOTIVATION REAL DATA SYNTHETIC DATA CONCLUSIONS

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”

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THANK YOU FOR ATTENTIONe-mail: [email protected]

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS:Maps were drawn in the Generic Mapping Tools (Wessel et al., 2013).

The methodology was partially carried out during a Short Term Scientific Mission (STSM) that Anna Klos attended to

at the University of Luxembourg thanks to the ES1206 COST Action.

#23/24

COST ES1206 WG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

GNSS4SWEC Summer School 2016 and Working Groups MeetingWG3 meeting: Potsdam, 1-2 September, 2016

A. Klos et al. – „A homogenisation of GNSS tropospheric data…”