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  • A Methodology for Deriving a Renewable Energy

    Market Competence Index with Application to

    CSP Technology

    By

    Hatem Elsayed Hany Elrefaei

    submitted to

    Faculty of Engineering, Cairo University

    and

    Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, University of Kassel

    in partial fulfillment of the requirements for M.Sc. degree in Renewable Energy and

    Energy Efficiency for the MENA Region

    REMENA

    Faculty of Engineering, Cairo University

    Giza, Egypt

    March 2012

  • A Methodology for Deriving a Renewable Energy

    Market Competence Index with Application to

    CSP Technology

    By

    Hatem Elsayed Hany Elrefaei submitted to

    Faculty of Engineering, Cairo University

    and

    Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, University of Kassel

    in partial fulfillment of the requirements for M.Sc. degree in Renewable Energy and

    Energy Efficiency for the MENA Region

    REMENA

    Under supervision of

    Faculty of Engineering, Cairo University

    Giza, Egypt

    2012

    Mohamed ElSobki Mohab Hallouda Professor

    in Electrical Power and Machines Department Faculty of Engineering

    Cairo University

    Professor in Electrical Power and Machines Department

    Faculty of Engineering Cairo University

  • A Methodology for Deriving a Renewable Energy

    Market Competence Index with Application to

    CSP Technology By

    Hatem Elsayed Hany Elrefaei submitted to

    Faculty of Engineering, Cairo University

    and

    Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, University of Kassel

    in partial fulfillment of the requirements for M.Sc. degree in Renewable Energy and

    Energy Efficiency for the MENA Region

    REMENA

    Approved by the Examining Committee:

    Dr. Hany Nokrashy, Member

    Professor Dirk Dahlhaus, Member

    Professor Mohamed ElSobki, Thesis Advisor

    Professor Mohab Hallouda, Thesis Advisor

    Faculty of Engineering, Cairo University

    Giza, Egypt 2012

  • i

    Contents

    List of Tables............................................................................................................................. iv

    List of Figures ........................................................................................................................... vii

    List of Symbols ......................................................................................................................... viii

    List of Abbreviations................................................................................................................ ix

    Acknowledgment ...................................................................................................................... xi

    Abstract ..................................................................................................................................... xii

    1. Chapter 1: Introduction ..................................................................................................... 1 2. Chapter 2: Political, Economic, Social, and Energy Indices .......................................... 3

    2.1 Introduction.................................................................................................................. 3

    2.2 What is Index?.......................................................................................................... 3

    2.2.1 Definition of the word Index........................................................................ 3

    2.2.2 Other related terms: Indicator and Coefficient ......................................... 4

    2.2.3 What is not an Index?................................................................................... 4

    2.2.4 From Statistical Data to Indices....................................................................... 5

    2.2.5 Score and Rank................................................................................................ 6

    2.3 Important and Relevant Indices ................................................................................... 6

    2.3.1 Political Indices ............................................................................................... 7

    2.3.1.1 The Political Instability Index ........................................................ 7

    2.3.1.2 Corruption Perceptions Index......................................................... 10

    2.3.1.3 Freedom Country Index.................................................................. 12

    2.3.1.4 Press Freedom Index ...................................................................... 14

    2.3.2 Economics ....................................................................................................... 16

    2.3.2.1 Gini Index....................................................................................... 16

    2.3.2.2 Index of Economic Freedom .......................................................... 18

    2.3.2.3 Global Competitive Index .............................................................. 20

    2.3.3 Human development........................................................................................ 22

    2.3.3.1 Human Development Index............................................................ 22

    2.3.3.2 Global Gender Gap Index............................................................... 24

  • ii

    2.3.3.3 Global Wellbeing Index ................................................................. 26

    2.3.4 Energy.............................................................................................................. 29

    2.3.4.1 Fossil Fuel Sustainability Index ..................................................... 29

    2.3.4.2 Renewable Energy Countries Attractiveness Indices..................... 30

    2.4 Conclusion ................................................................................................................... 31

    3. Chapter 3: Index Construction ......................................................................................... 33 3.1 Introduction.................................................................................................................. 33

    3.2 Gini Index .................................................................................................................... 34

    3.3 Fossil Fuel Sustainability Index................................................................................... 35

    3.4 Press Freedom Index.................................................................................................... 37

    3.5 Renewable Energy Countries Attractiveness Indices .................................................. 39

    3.6 Conclusion ................................................................................................................... 42

    4. Chapter 4: Driving a Methodology for Renewable Energy Market Competence Index.............................................................................................................................................. 43

    4.1 Introduction.................................................................................................................. 43

    4.2 Index Type and Score Range ....................................................................................... 43

    4.3 Assumptions in Countries Governments .................................................................... 44

    4.4 Addressed Countries .................................................................................................... 45

    4.5 Renewable Energy Market Competence Index Hierarchy........................................... 46

    4.6 Data Sources, Values, Scores, and Challenges ............................................................ 47

    4.7 Political and Economic Indicators ............................................................................... 47

    4.8 Energy Sector Indicators.............................................................................................. 49

    4.8.1 Energy Intensity Indicator .............................................................................. 50

    4.8.2 Non Electricity Final Indicator ....................................................................... 51

    4.8.3 Electricity Consumption Growth Indicator .................................................... 53

    4.8.4 Net Imported Electricity Indicator.................................................................. 54

    4.8.5 Non-RE Electricity Production Indicator ....................................................... 56

    4.8.6 Oil and Gas Insecurity Indicator..................................................................... 57

    4.8.7 RE Target Indicator ........................................................................................ 61

    4.9 Financial and Environmental Indicators (2 indicators)................................................ 64

    4.9.1 Financial Indicator .......................................................................................... 64

  • iii

    4.9.2 Environmental Indicator ................................................................................. 67

    4.10 Logarithmic Scale of Some Indicators......................................................................... 68

    4.11 Technology Specific Indicators .................................................................................... 73

    4.11.1 Manuf