a pragmatic introduction to the gaussian curve john behrens arizona state university [email protected]...

30
A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens @asu.edu Version of 9/98

Upload: cael-denbow

Post on 28-Mar-2015

222 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve

John BehrensArizona State [email protected]

Version of 9/98

Page 2: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

As we have seen, data occur in many shapes including...

Page 3: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

As we have seen, data occur in many shapes including...

• Positively Skewed

Page 4: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

As we have seen, data occur in many shapes including...

• Positively Skewed• Negatively Skewed

WRITING

Page 5: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

As we have seen, data occur in many shapes including...

• Positively Skewed• Negatively Skewed• Bell-shaped

Page 6: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

Curves with a single mode, and symmetric sides are often called . . .• Bell-shaped (remember the Liberty Bell?)

Page 7: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

Curves with a single mode, and symmetric sides are often called . . .• Bell-shaped (remember the Liberty Bell?)• or Gaussian (after the mathematician who

identified the exact shape)

Page 8: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

Curves with a single mode, and symmetric sides are often called . . .• Bell-shaped (remember the Liberty Bell?)• or Gaussian (after the mathematician who

identified the exact shape)• or “Normal” (a misnomer to get away from a

dispute about authorship!).

Page 9: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

Karl Pearson gave the name “Normal” to this shape:

“Many years ago I called the Laplace-Gaussian curve the NORMAL curve, which name, while it avoids an international question of priority, has the disadvantage of leading people to believe that all other distributions of frequency are in one sense or another "abnormal." That belief is, of course, not justifiable.”

Karl Pearson, 1920, p 25

Page 10: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

Karl regretted it, and we will honor him by using the other terms.

• Normalcy is a social, not a statistical concept.• In our culture, abnormal is valued in

intelligence, but not in “moral” behavior.• Remember Adolph Quetelet and La Homme

Moyen.

Page 11: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

The Gaussian shape is not a general appearance, but a very specific shape.

1 e-(x-)2 / 22

(x) = 2With a very specific formula:

Page 12: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1

0

What makes the shape Gaussian, is the relative height of the curve at the different locations

• Whether the curve is tall

-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

Page 13: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

0.4

0.2

00.

10.

3

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1

0

What makes the shape Gaussian, is the relative height of the curve at the different locations

• Whether the curve is tall• Or flat

-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

Page 14: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

0.4

0.2

00.

10.

3

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1

0

What makes the shape Gaussian, is the relative height of the curve at the different locations

• Whether the curve is tall• Or flat

-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

• Each of these shapes are Gaussian, because of the relative height at each point of the horizontal scale.-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

Page 15: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

We have already talked about the peak of the distribution, which occurs at the mean.

Page 16: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

Each side of the curve has inflection points where the curve makes shifts in direction.

Page 17: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

Each side of the curve has inflection points where the curve makes shifts in direction.

Page 18: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

Mean

Inflection points occur at very specific places.

Page 19: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

The first inflection point to the right of the mean occurs one standard deviation above the mean.

Mean Mean+

1 SD

1SD

Page 20: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

The second inflection point to the right of the mean occurs two standard deviations above the mean.

Mean Mean+

1 SD

Mean+

2 SD

Page 21: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

Inflection points below the mean occur at one and two standard deviations below the mean.

Mean Mean+

1 SD

Mean+

2 SD

Mean-

1 SD

Mean-

2 SD

Page 22: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

Mean +1

SD+2

SD

-1

SD

-2

SD

Because all points are in reference to the mean, we will indicate the differences with the mean implied.

Page 23: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

Mean +1

SD+2

SD

-1

SD

-2

SD

One of the most helpful aspects of the normal curve is that there are specific areas under each part of the curve.

Page 24: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

Mean +1

SD+2

SD

-1

SD

-2

SD

As we noted before, 50% of the data falls on each side of the mean.

50% 50%

Page 25: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

Mean +1

SD+2

SD

-1

SD

-2

SD

Of this 50%, 34% falls between the mean and one standard deviation above and below the mean.

50% 50%

34% 34%

Page 26: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

Mean +1

SD+2

SD

-1

SD

-2

SD

The area between one and two standard deviations from the mean holds 14% of the distribution.

50% 50%

34% 34%

14% 14%

Page 27: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

Mean +1

SD+2

SD

-1

SD

-2

SD

Since the total area on each side must sum to 50%, we know there is 2% of the distribution beyond two standard deviations in each direction.

50% 50%

34% 34%

14% 14%2% 2%

Page 28: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

Turn your attention to the tails for a moment. There are two things to notice.

+6

SD

+5

SD+4

SD

+3

SD

+2

SD

Page 29: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

First, while most of the data is in the first few standard deviations, the tails go on forever.

+6

SD

+5

SD+4

SD

+3

SD

+2

SD

Page 30: A Pragmatic Introduction to the Gaussian Curve John Behrens Arizona State University Behrens@asu.edu Version of 9/98

Second, notice that the 2% in the tails covers all the tails including the area of all subsequent standard deviations. When we work with all these areas, we will look their areas up in a table.

+6

SD

+5

SD+4

SD

+3

SD

+2

SD