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TRANSCRIPT
2018Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
22nd Annual Investor Survey
Conducted by:
KINGSLEY ASSOCIATES
for and in association with
INSTITUTIONAL REAL ESTATE, INC.
A Supplement to Institutional Real Estate Americas, May 2018
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2018 Institutional InvestorsReal Estate Trends
22nd Annual Investor Survey
Published by
INSTITUTIONAL REAL ESTATE, INC.2274 Camino Ramon
San Ramon, CA 94583 USAPhone: +1 925-244-0500 • Fax: +1 925-244-0520 • Email: [email protected] • www.irei.com
Research conducted in partnership with
KINGSLEY ASSOCIATES44 Montgomery St., Suite 1430San Francisco, CA 94104 USA
Phone: +1 415-777-1140 • Fax: +1 415-777-0949 • www.kingsleyassociates.com
© 2018 Institutional Real Estate, Inc. All Rights Reserved
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2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends v
TA B L E O F
C o n t e n t s
Introduction ......................................................................................................... 1
Executive Summary ............................................................................................... 2
Purpose ............................................................................................................... 3
Survey Methodology ............................................................................................... 4
Sample Characteristics ........................................................................................... 5
Findings ............................................................................................................... 7
Portfol io Return Expectations .......................................................................... 7
Investment Portfol io Allocations .................................................................... 10
Target Allocations to Real Estate Strategies ................................................... 11
Capital Flows to Real Estate ......................................................................... 13
New Capital Allocations to Real Estate Strategies ......................................... 1 4
Relative Attractiveness of Property Types ..................................................... 15
Future Opportunities and Challenges ................................................................... 18
Survey Data Tables and Graphs .......................................................................... 27
Personnel ........................................................................................................ 39
List of Respondents .......................................................................................... 40
If you are interested in becoming a member, contact our president, Gunnar Branson at 312.884.5184 to start the discussion.
Isn’t this a good time to join the conversation?
A License to Think in Public
Find out how you can get involved with the National Association of Real Estate Investment Managers.
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2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends vii
INSTITUTIONAL REAL ESTATE, INC.Founded in 1987, Institutional Real Estate, Inc. (IREI) is an infor-
mation company focused on providing institutional real estate and
infrastructure investors with decision-making tools through its pub-
lications, conferences and consulting. IREI provides investment fidu-
ciaries with information and insights on the people, issues, ideas
and events driving the global investment marketplace. The firm pub-
lishes a number of special reports and directories, as well as seven
regular news publications. The firm’s flagship publication, Institu-
tional Real Estate Americas, has covered the industry for more than
25 years. Other IREI titles include Institutional Real Estate Europe,
Institutional Real Estate Asia Pacific, Institutional Real Estate News-
line, Institutional Investing in Infrastructure, Institutional Real
Estate FundTracker and Real Assets Adviser.
IREI also offers subscriptions to its proprietary FundTracker data-
base, which contains information on more than 4,500 real estate funds
and more than 600 infrastructure funds sponsored by investment man-
agers from across the globe.
In 2006, the firm launched a conference and seminar division.
IREI’s events have quickly gained a stellar reputation and solid
following within the industry. The firm’s menu of events includes
Visions, Insights & Perspectives (VIP) conferences in North America,
Europe and for Infrastructure, as well as a new event for young,
promising executives titled IREI Springboard.
On the consulting side, IREI has more than two decades of expe-
rience providing research and advice to the investment-management,
brokerage, development and technology communities. Services
include strategic information and advice on presentations, organi-
zational structures, product development, proposal responses, and
design and implementation of market research projects.
INSTITUTIONAL REAL ESTATE, INC.2274 Camino Ramon
San Ramon, CA 94583 USAPhone: +1 925-244-0500
Fax: +1 925-244-0520 www.irei.com
viii 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
KINGSLEY ASSOCIATESBusiness Intelligence for the Real Estate Industry
The most successful firms in real estate rely on Kingsley Associates
for cutting-edge business intelligence solutions. Our comprehensive
suite of research and benchmarking tools assess firm performance
and competitive position based on direct feedback from key stake-
holders. For more than 30 years, Kingsley Associates has helped
elevate its clients’ portfolio and organizational performance through
a comprehensive suite of products, which include:
n Tenant and Resident Surveys
n Client and Investor Surveys
n Broker Perception Surveys
n Employee Engagement Surveys
In response to the need for performance-based benchmarks,
Kingsley Associates developed the Kingsley Index, which is now
the largest and most comprehensive database of customer satis-
faction metrics available to the real estate industry. Our sophisti-
cated reporting and analytics platform provides real estate firms
with performance dashboards and action plans tailored to users
at all levels of the organization.
With a depth and breadth of insight unmatched in the in-
dustry, Kingsley Associates brings thought leadership and excep-
tional client service to every engagement.
KINGSLEY ASSOCIATES44 Montgomery St., Suite 1430San Francisco, CA 94104 USA
Phone: +1 415-777-1140 Fax: +1 415-777-0949
www.kingsleyassociates.com
2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends 1
Int roduct ion
On behalf of Institutional Real Estate, Inc. and Kingsley Associates,
we are pleased to present the results of our 2018 Annual Investor
Study. This year’s study is our 22nd annual joint effort to identify
and understand investment trends driving the decisions of the largest and most
influential real estate investors. The initiative collected responses from 129 U.S.
investors and 57 foreign investors between November 2017 and January 2018.
With 186 responses in total, this year marks the highest response count in the
history of the study.
We would like to thank everyone who responded to this survey. We know
how busy you are, and that you receive many questionnaires of this type each
year. Once you have reviewed this report, we believe you will find your efforts
have resulted in data that are valuable to your organization. This report will help
determine why and where changes in the industry are occurring, so that you
can appropriately anticipate and address them. In our continuing effort to refine
the survey to better capture trends in the market, we welcome your comments.
Geoffrey Dohrmann Jim WoidatChairman and CEO PrincipalInstitutional Real Estate, Inc. Kingsley Associates
This year’s survey is
our 22nd annual joint
effort to identify and
understand investment
trends driving the
most influential real
estate investors.
2 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
Execut ive Summary
The 2018 Annual Investor Study, conducted
jointly by Institutional Real Estate, Inc. and
Kingsley Associates, assessed institutional inves-
tors’ fund allocations, risk and return assumptions,
expected capital flows, and real estate investment strate-
gies for the coming year. The initiative was launched on
November 7, 2017, and feedback was collected through
January 31, 2018. The 129 U.S. respondents manage
more than $454 billion in real estate holdings, and the 57
foreign respondents manage $527 billion in real estate
holdings. For the benefit of being able to see trends in
the data, much of the analysis and themes throughout
the report focus on feedback from the U.S. respondents.
Investors have moved into 2018 with a cautiously opti-
mistic view across their portfolios. Satisfaction with real estate
remains high and is in line with 2017 levels, with 81 percent
of U.S. respondents indicating they are satisfied with their
real estate investments. Respondents indicate that foreign and
domestic equities portfolios have outperformed expectations
in 2017, while the performance of their real estate portfolios
was largely in line with expectations in 2017. Looking ahead
to 2018, respondents anticipate a higher return environment
across the majority of their asset classes. When risk is factored
into the equation, real estate once again emerges as the most
attractive asset class on a risk-adjusted basis. Accordingly,
investors have increased their target allocations to real estate
to 9.8 percent, which results in their current real estate hold-
ings falling 30 basis points short of their target allocations.
Within their real estate portfolios, U.S. investors remain
heavily focused on domestic core strategies, and they are
ramping up their targets to domestic value-added and for-
eign real estate strategies. In an effort to close the gap to
target allocations, most respondents report a plan to deploy
additional capital to real estate in 2018. On a global basis,
respondents indicate plans to increase their 2018 new
capital flows by 2 percent over what they were able to
deploy in 2017. While their appetite for real estate remains
strong, investors increasingly express concerns regarding
deploying capital near the potential peak of the real estate
cycle. U.S. core continues to receive the largest portion of
this new capital, while allocations to U.S. value-added and
foreign investments increase compared to reported 2017
capital commitments. European assets continue to capture
the lion’s share of new capital flows to foreign investments,
with European value-added assets receiving more than half
of all new foreign capital commitments from U.S. respon-
dents. Foreign respondents also maintain their emphasis
on Europe for new capital, but assets in Asia Pacific garner
additional attention. U.S. and foreign respondents indicate
the overall attractiveness of U.S. investments is decreasing,
while all European regions are increasing in attractiveness.
Office and retail assets continue to decline in attractiveness
for U.S. investors, while industrial and multifamily remain
the most attractive assets for new investments. Senior hous-
ing is increasing in attractiveness globally, securing the sec-
ond most attractive spot for foreign investors.
2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends 3
Purpose
This report is prepared for the investment
managers and other real estate organizations
that sponsor Institutional Real Estate, Inc.
publications, and for the nonsponsoring Editorial
Advisory Board members of Institutional Real Estate
Americas, who support our efforts with their time
and advice. As a special thank you for contributing
their time and effort, we also will be sharing results
with the many investors who participated in this
year’s survey.
The purpose of our annual investor survey is to
provide relevant data and analysis to help tax-exempt
funds and the organizations that serve them (invest-
ment advisers, REITs and consultants) pinpoint and
understand the implications of the important investment
trends that are most likely to drive the markets during
the year ahead.
Although the information and analysis presented in
this report are based on data that its publishers believe to
be reliable, its accuracy cannot be guaranteed.
4 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
Kingsley Associates and Institutional Real Estate,
Inc. worked together to design and implement
the 2018 Annual Investor Study. The question-
naire included quantitative, open-ended and categorical
questions focusing on the following topics
n Plan type and fund size
n Allocations and risk/return assumptions for
investment vehicles
n Allocations and risk/return assumptions for real
estate investments
n Satisfaction with and future plans for real estate
investments
n Expected capital flows to real estate and search
plans for investment managers
n New capital allocations by global real estate
strategies
n Property type and region interest for real estate
investments
Institutional Real Estate, Inc. established a database
of potential respondents. On November 7, 2017, Kingsley
Associates distributed an invitation email with a link to the
web survey to potential respondents. Kingsley Associates
distributed several reminder emails from November 2017
to January 2018 to those contacts who had not responded
to the survey. As the survey responses were collected,
Institutional Real Estate, Inc. and Kingsley Associates veri-
fied the responses. In addition, Institutional Real Estate,
Inc. made follow-up phone calls to many respondents
to clarify their answers. Survey responses were collected
through January 31, 2018.
Institutional Real Estate, Inc. and Kingsley Associates
received 186 responses to the 2018 survey. Upon com-
pletion of the survey efforts, Kingsley Associates cleaned
and reviewed the data to ensure the validity of responses.
Kingsley Associates comprehensively analyzed the results
and presented the findings to clients of Institutional Real
Estate, Inc. at the Sponsor Briefing on February 16, 2018.
Survey Methodology
2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends 5
2018 is a record year for participation, with 186 respons-
es from key decision makers involved in investment
planning at both U.S. and foreign institutions. 129
responses are from U.S. investors, and 57 responses are from
foreign respondents. Total assets under management from the
respondent pool exceed $10 trillion this year, with U.S. inves-
tors representing $5.04 trillion and foreign investors represent-
ing $5.02 trillion. The average foreign investor is significantly
larger than the average U.S. investor, with $88.1 billion under
management compared to $39.0 billion for U.S. respondents.
Our respondents’ aggregate real estate assets under manage-
ment are $981 billion this year, $454 of which is owned by
U.S. respondents, and $527 billion by foreign respondents. The
average foreign respondent manages more than $9.2 billion in
real estate assets under management, while the average U.S.
investor manages $3.5 billion. Over half of U.S. respondents
represent public pensions, and similarly account for the major-
ity (62 percent) of the total U.S. assets under management.
Twenty-eight percent of foreign respondents are from public
pensions, and 14 percent of foreign respondents are from
insurance companies. Together, public pensions and insur-
ance companies comprise the majority of foreign AUM with
34 percent coming from public pensions and 36 percent from
insurance companies.
Sample Characteristics
52%
12%
12%
7%
5%
5%
3%3%
1%
1%
1.011U.S.
129 investors
Distribution of Investors by Fund Type
Total U.S. AUM Distribution: $5.04 T Total Foreign AUM Distribution: $5.02 T
28%
11%
4%14%
11%
12%
2%
11%
4% 5%
1.03
Public pension
Corp. pension
Endowment
Insurance co.
Family office
Other
Foundation
Fund of funds
Multi-employer
Sovereign wealth
Foreign57 investors
62% 8% 4%11%13% 34% 3% 36% 5% 16%
6 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
Total Assets Under Management Real Estate Assets Under Management
2018$0.0
$100.0
$200.0
$300.0
$400.0
$500.0
$600.0
$700.0
$800.0
$900.0
$1,000.0
$1,100.0
$ bi
llions
$454.1
$526.6Average foreign
investor:$9.2 billion
Average U.S.investor:
$3.5 billion
TotalR.E. AUM: $981B
2018$0.0
$2.0
$4.0
$6.0
$8.0
$10.0
$ tri
llions
$5.04
$5.02
U.S. investors Foreign investors
Average foreigninvestor:
$88.1 billion
Average U.S.investor:
$39.0 billion
TotalAUM: $10.06T
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2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends 7
Portfolio Return ExpectationsU.S. and Foreign Stocks Outperform Expectations,
Real Estate Largely in Line
Nearly two-thirds (63 percent) of U.S. respon-
dents indicate real estate performed in line
with their expectations, and an additional
33 percent of U.S. respondents indicate real estate out-
performed their expectations. This represents a slight
decline from the 49 percent of U.S. respondents indi-
cating outperformance in last year’s study. Across other
asset classes, U.S. and foreign equities both largely
outperformed expectations in 2017. Sixty-five percent
of U.S. respondents indicate domestic equities outper-
formed their expectations, and 64 percent report foreign
equities outperformed expectations.
U.S. respondents indicate satisfaction levels with
real estate are in line with 2017, with 81 percent indicat-
ing they are satisfied with real estate compared to 86
percent in 2017. Nearly 9 percent of U.S. respondents
indicate they are “dissatisfied” or “very dissatisfied” with
real estate. Investors voice concerns over the difficulty
Findings
Real Estate U.S. Stocks ForeignEquities
FixedIncome
VC/PrivateEquity
Cash HedgeFunds
Other RealAssets
Perc
enta
ge o
f Res
pond
ents
(%)
Below In line Exceeding
4%
63%
33%
35%
17%
65%
34%
64%
6%
77%
17%
25%
58%
29%
32%
42%
65%
6%
11%
84%
5%
26%
Performance Against Expectations (U.S. Respondents)
8 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
Real Estate
8.3%
U.S. Stocks
9.3%
Foreign Equities
12.1%
Fixed Income
4.8%
VC /Private Equity
11.0%
Cash
2.2%
Hedge Funds
5.8%
Other RealAssets
8.1%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Exp
ecte
d N
omin
al T
otal
Rat
e of
Ret
urn
(%)
7.7
8.7
7.4
8.6
7.4
6.8 7.
2
8.2
7.2 7.
6
7.3
9.5
4.0
3.6
3.2 4.
0
9.4 10
.4
9.8
11.3
1.4
1.1
1.1
1.1
6.3
6.3
5.5
6.7
8.7
7.1
6.7
7.7
2015 2016 2017 2018
ForeignRespondents
Historical Return Expectations (U.S. Respondents)
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 US 2018 Foreign
Perc
enta
ge o
f Res
pond
ents
(%)
Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Neutral Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied
25%
32%
43%
7%
11%
41%
42%
8%
31%
58%
12%
31%
54%
10%
43%
43%
10%
39%
43%
6%
Investors’ Satisfaction with Real Estate
of finding accretive deals at this point in the real estate
cycle, as well as core fund performance falling short of
some investors’ expectations. Despite these concerns,
investor return expectations for real estate increased to
8.6 percent, compared to 7.4 percent expected in 2017.
Investors tend to be optimistic in their return expecta-
tions indicating higher return expectations across all asset
classes globally, except for cash, which remains flat. For-
eign equities experienced the most notable increase from
7.3 percent expected in 2017 to 9.5 percent expected in
2018 for U.S. respondents.
When the associated risk level is factored in for
each asset class, real estate maintains its rank as the
most attractive asset class on a risk-adjusted basis. This
represents the eighth year in a row that investors have
ranked real estate as the most attractive asset class.
2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends 9
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018-0.2
-0.1
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
Sha
rpe
Rat
io (b
ased
on
expe
cted
ret
urns
and
ris
k)
All Real Estate U.S. Stocks Foreign Equities Fixed Income VC / Private Equity Other Real Assets
Historical Sharpe Ratios (U.S. Respondents)
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10 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
Driven largely by the positive performance experienced
during 2017, U.S. investors report ramping up their target allo-
cations to foreign equities to 20.2 percent, which is the highest
allocation to that asset class in the survey history. U.S. investors
also increased their target allocations to U.S. stocks from 23.8
percent to 24.7 percent and fixed income from 22.5 percent to
23.5 percent. To make way for these increases, U.S. investors
have pulled back their target allocations to hedge funds from
7.7 percent in 2017 to 4.1 percent in 2018. This represents the
lowest hedge fund allocation since 2005. VC/private equity
also drops from 10.5 percent in 2017 to 8.8 percent in 2018.
Investment Portfolio AllocationsTarget Allocations to Real Estate Near 10 Percent
U.S. investors report an average target allocation to real estate
of 9.8 percent. This marks a notable increase from 8.5 percent
in 2017, and is the highest recorded target allocation for this
asset class since 2011. Actual real estate holdings also increased
from 8.8 percent in 2017 to 9.5 percent for the average inves-
tor portfolio in 2018. This results in an under-allocation to real
estate of 30 basis points, a reversal from the over-allocation of
30 basis points to real estate reported in 2017.
RealEstate
15.0%
U.S.Stocks
10.6%
ForeignEquities
34.6%
FixedIncome
13.6%
VC/PrivateEquity
7.8%
Cash
6.0%
HedgeFunds
1.0%
OtherReal Assets
8.8%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Per
cent
of T
otal
Rea
l Est
ate
Ass
ets
(%)
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
8.9
8.8
8.5
8.5
24.725
.526
.423
.1
20.2
17.5 18
.617
.7
23.5
27.5
22.2
25.0
8.8
7.8 8.5 9.
9
1.2
1.1 1.9
1.1
4.1
6.8
6.7 7.3
4.0
3.6 4.6
ForeignTargets
9.8
23.8
16.8
22.5
10.5
1.8
7.7
4.2
Historical Target Allocations (U.S. Respondents)
2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends 11
U.S.—Core/Core-Plus
27.4%
U.S.—Value-Added
6.4%
U.S.—Opportunistic
3.7%
ForeignReal Estate
61.5%
U.S.—REITs
0.5%
U.S.—RealEstate Debt
0.5%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Per
cent
of T
otal
Rea
l Est
ate
Ass
ets
(%)
2015 2016 2017 2018
50.35
2.1 53.3
2.4
9.1
7.3
3.3 6
.1
3.7
2.4
20.9
16.9
22.5
12.4 1
5.7
11.0
6.5
54.0
18.4
10.5
3.1
3.7
7.7
3.3
ForeignTargets
Historical Real Estate Target Allocations (U.S. Respondents)
Target Allocations to Real Estate StrategiesReal Estate Portfolio Targets Shift Modestly Toward
Value-Added and Foreign Strategies
Sixty-three percent of U.S. investors indicate they set invest-
ment allocation targets within their real estate portfolios.
Of those investors who set allocation targets, U.S. core and
core-plus assets continue to capture the majority (50.3 per-
cent) of their real estate target allocation, although this is a
decline from 54.0 percent in 2017. Concurrently, U.S. inves-
tors report increasing their target allocations to domestic val-
ue-added strategies, from 18.4 percent in 2017 to 22.5 per-
cent in 2018, and foreign real estate strategies, which nearly
tripled from 3.1 percent in 2017 to 9.1 percent in 2018. This
marks a historic high in allocations to both U.S. value-added
and foreign real estate, as investors look for opportunities
beyond core. U.S. investors also report decreasing already
modest target allocations to U.S. real estate debt and REITs,
reflecting the relatively poor performance of REITs in 2017.
The majority of respondents indicate the performance across
the various real estate strategies was generally in line with
expectations. However, there is an increase in the percentage
of respondents indicating perceived underperformance for
core, value-added, opportunistic and, especially, REIT strate-
gies in 2017. Real estate debt performance moved in a posi-
tive direction with 38 percent of respondents indicating the
strategy outperformed expectations compared to 15 percent
in the previous year.
12 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018
Per
cent
age
of R
espo
nden
ts (%
)
Exceeding In-line Below
60%
31%
63%
24%31%
18%
59%
23% 25%
12%
73%61%
14%
15%
40%
U.S.—Core/Core-Plus
U.S.—Value-Added
U.S.—Opportunistic
U.S.—REITs U.S.—Debt
59%
10% 6% 9%
67%
19%
60%
21%13%
57%
30%
63%
38%
Performance Against Expectations (U.S. Respondents)
900 CongressOffice
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2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends 13
flows declining by 3 percent. Overall, these responses
signal that capital flows will be largely in line with
what investors actually deployed in 2017. In addition
to these new capital plans for 2018, investors continue
to report a large overhang in terms of uncalled capital.
The average uncalled capital levels for U.S. respondents
increased from $685 million in 2017 to $814 million
in 2018. Across foreign and U.S. respondents, the sum
of uncalled capital is $86.6 billion, compared to $58.7
billion in 2017.
Capital Flows to Real EstatePlanned New Capital Up 2 Percent from 2017
Commitments
Respondents indicate that planned new real estate
capital commitments in 2018 will increase 2 percent
globally from 2017 actual commitments. This modest
increase is driven by foreign investors who indicate
capital flows increasing by 6 percent over their actual
allocation in 2017, while U.S. investors indicate capital
2017 Actual 2018 Expected$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$ B
illion
s
36.79
34.36
35.80
36.51
U.S. Investors Foreign Investors
New capital flows in 2018expected to increase 2%from 2017 actualcommitments reportedglobally
Capital Flows to Real Estate
14 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
capital targeting foreign investments, U.S. respondents
maintain their focus on Europe as a primary target for
deploying new capital. Within their European invest-
ments, U.S. investors have shifted their focus from core
strategies (dropping from 29 percent in 2017 to a pro-
jected 9 percent in 2018) to value-added (up from 25
percent in 2017 to 51 percent in 2018) and opportunis-
tic (up from 8 percent in 2017 to a projected 19 percent
in 2018). Foreign respondents also plan to focus on
Europe in deploying new capital with more than 52
percent of projected foreign investment in 2018 flow-
ing to Europe. Foreign respondents indicate plans of
an increased focus on Asia Pacific, which is expected
to garner 26 percent of new investment in 2018, com-
pared to 17 percent put out in 2017.
New Capital Allocations to Real Estate Strategies2018 New Capital Allocations to Strategies Mirror
2017 Allocations
Investors’ 2018 new capital allocations across the various
real estate strategies will largely mirror their behavior in
2017. U.S. investors maintain their emphasis on domes-
tic investments, with 87 percent of new capital flowing
to domestic core, value-added and opportunistic assets.
While survey results indicate U.S. investors’ emphasis on
domestic core strategies declined slightly from 39 per-
cent to 35 percent, domestic value-added and foreign
real estate investments each received a higher allocation
of new capital in 2018. Among the 7 percent of new
2018 Projected
2017 Actual
U.S. Core
U.S. Value-Added
U.S. Opportunistic
Real Estate Securities (Listed, REITs, REOCs)
U.S. Private Real Estate Debt / CMBS
Foreign Investments
39% 29% 23% 3%
35% 32% 20% 7%3%
5%
Expected Capital Flows to Real Estate (U.S. Respondents)
2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends 15
ciency and nontraditional office spaces. The attractive-
ness of retail assets also continued to decline, reflecting
the ongoing impact of e-commerce. Foreign investors
mirror U.S. respondents’ emphasis on multifamily, senior
housing and industrial, securing the top spots for most
attractive property types and increasing in attractiveness
from the prior year. Student housing rounds out foreign
investors’ top four with a slight drop in attractiveness
from 2017. Next most attractive for foreign investors
are office and retail assets. While retail experienced a
similar drop as seen from U.S. respondents, office assets
increased in attractiveness by 16 basis points. Foreign
investors indicate a 44 basis point increase in the attrac-
tiveness of senior housing assets, which moved from
the fourth to the second most attractive property type
for foreign investors.
Relative Attractiveness of Property TypesIndustrial and Multifamily Assets Remain
Most Attractive
For the fifth year in a row, U.S. investors view indus-
trial assets as the most attractive property type for new
investments. Multifamily, self-storage and senior hous-
ing follow, maintaining their respective ranks from
2017. The biggest year-over-year increase in investor
sentiment is in the attractiveness rating for infrastruc-
ture, which increased 69 basis points and moved up
four spots to the fifth most attractive property type for
U.S. investors. The attractiveness of office properties
dropped to its lowest point since 2009, which is likely
attributable to relatively stagnant office vacancy and
rental rates and the increasing emphasis on space effi-
Industrial / R&D Multifamily Self-Storage Senior Housing Infrastructure Medical Office Student Housing Office Retail Hotel1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
Att
ract
iven
ess
for
New
Inve
stm
ents
3.51
3.79
3.95
3.32 3.
41
3.62
3.15
3.39
3.58
3.05
3.20
3.49
2.65 2.
73
3.41
3.36
3.04
3.30
2.89
3.13
3.14
3.13
2.84
2.68
3.11
2.93
2.52
2.49
2.36 2.
42
2016 2017 2018
Relative Attractiveness of Property Types for New Investments (U.S. Respondents)
Foreign Average
3.82 ▲ 3.95 ▲ 3.06 ▼ 3.90 ▲ 3.07 ▲ 2.83 ▼ 3.57 ▼ 3.45 ▲ 3.17 ▼ 2.60 ▼
16 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
top spot as the most attractive region for new invest-
ments among foreign investors with a 49 basis point
increase. U.S. investors reported a similarly positive
outlook on Northern Europe with a 37 basis point
increase. Globally, all European regions gained popu-
larity, along with all Asia Pacific regions except for
Japan, which had a 32 basis point drop for foreign
investors. Despite an increase in attractiveness from
2017, Russia remains the least attractive region for
new investments for both U.S. and foreign investors.
Attractiveness of U.S. for New Investments Drops
in Favor of Europe
United States investments remained most attractive to
U.S. investors this year, though, globally, sentiment for
investments in the United States declined. This drop in
attractiveness of investments in the United States was
more pronounced with foreign investors at 21 basis
points, but domestic investors also dropped 7 basis
points compared with 2017. Northern Europe took the
Attractiveness of Real Estate by Region — U.S. vs. Foreign Respondents
Region U.S. Foreign
Japan 2.78 ▲ 3.00 ▼
Australia/New Zealand 2.89 ▲ 3.61 ▲
China 2.37 ▲ 2.59 ▲
India 2.23 ▲ 2.06 ▲
Region U.S. Foreign
Brazil 2.32 ▲ 2.00 ▼
South America 2.17 ▼ 1.77 ▲
Central America 1.76 ▼ 1.57 ▼
Region U.S. Foreign
United Kingdom 3.22 ▲ 3.35 ▲
Northern Europe 3.53 ▲ 4.00 ▲
Southern Europe 3.00 ▲ 3.37 ▲
Central/Eastern Europe 2.52 ▲ 2.79 ▲
Russia 1.44 ▲ 1.28 ▲
Region U.S. Foreign
United States 4.23 ▼ 3.67 ▼
Canada 2.69 ▲ 2.88 ▲
Mexico 1.96 ▼ 2.10 ▲
▲ Increase from 2017 ▼ Decrease from 2017
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This survey, now in its 22nd year, could be
considered the granddaddy of all institutional
real estate investor intentions or sentiment
surveys. To the best of our knowledge, it’s the longest
running continuous annual survey of institutional
investor sentiment on real estate investing and, since
inception, continues to be the most in depth and
detailed survey of investor intentions.
Tracking the survey results over time and comparing
prior year actuals against the previous year’s intentions, the
survey appears to have been remarkably accurate in pre-
dicting investors’ following year’s actual investment activity.
(The only exceptions have come during years when unan-
ticipated events have disrupted investor plans, such as the
tech market meltdown and post 9/11 market corrections of
2001, and the global financial crisis of 2008.)
Over the past several years, we have noted a mild
tempering of investor activity. If anything, however,
recent survey results have slightly under-estimated
the amount of capital investors eventually allocated to
real estate.
The survey produces a lot of quantifiable data but
doesn’t capture everything. To uncover what’s capturing
the attention of investors’ minds over the years as they
attempt to formulate and implement their investment
plans, we tend to rely on the topics submitted by the
investor members of our annual editorial advisory boards.
Each year, between 15 and 20 Asian investors meet
together with the sponsors of our Asia Pacific publication
to discuss these kinds of issues. In the United States, two
different groups of 35–40 investors meet together with the
sponsors of our Americas publication on two separate
occasions each year. And in Europe, between 20 and 30
investors meet together with the sponsors of our Euro-
pean publication to explore similar issues.
Each of these investors is nominated either by IREI staff,
or by one of our sponsoring firms. All of those investors col-
lectively represent the readership of each of those regional
editions. And so, what’s on their minds tells us a lot about
what’s on the minds of the readers in each of those regions.
What’s interesting is that while investors around the
globe often share similar concerns, the issues on each
region’s board members’ minds also can differ consider-
ably at any given time.
Investors in Europe, for example, tend to be much
more conservative in their outlook, in their investment
preferences, and in the issues that concern them. Mean-
while, investors in the Asia Pacific region tend to be much
more aggressive (although this is changing as these inves-
tors’ experience with the asset class grows). And investors
in the Americas tend to be somewhere in between these
two extremes.
Investor mindsets throughout Europe and the
Asia Pacific region vary considerably depending upon
Future Opportuni t ies and Chal lenges
2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends 19
sellers. Although most appreciate the opportunity to capi-
talize on record-high pricing, most of these also are equally
concerned about the dearth of opportunities to prudently
reinvest their net proceeds from sales. Still others continue
to dollar cost average in order to maintain their allocations.
Meanwhile, uninvested, unspent, uncalled capital commit-
ments to fund offerings continue to pile up.
Interest ratesClosely related to the pricing concerns are concerns about
the gradual upward trend in interest rates. The current prop-
erty markets clearly have been propped up in part by the
availability of abundant, relatively inexpensive capital. All
assets appear costly in this kind of low interest rate environ-
ment. Most believe rates will rise; the question is, how fast
and how dramatically? Some are concerned that, if rates rise
to as high as 4 percent or more, asset allocation patterns
could shift dramatically. (The last time AAA corporate rates
were at 8 percent or higher was 1995. At that time, allocations
to fixed-income investments ranged between 40 percent and
60 percent, and allocations to alternatives like real estate,
less than 3 percent.) Despite these concerns, the prevailing
sentiment appears to be that increases will be implemented
gradually, and moderately. Consequently, most don’t expect
rate increases to have much immediate effect on cap rate
pricing mechanisms. On the other hand, recessions often are
triggered by a series of repeated interest rate hikes. In the
United States, the Fed already has raised rates three times
and seems to be signaling that it expects to make at least
two more before the end of 2018. But some investors draw
comfort from the fact that the overhang of the nation’s huge
national debt places limits on how high the Fed can really
afford to allow interest rates to rise. Worry warts, however,
point out that despite recent rate increases, the fact is, rates
remain fairly low. And this means that the Fed really won’t
have much runway left in terms of rate reductions, should the
economy stall. All of these conflicting points of view do little
to alleviate investor anxiety.
nationality. This is also true when it comes to the legal and
regulatory regimes under which each group operates. The
decision-making process for Japanese investors tends to
be more consensus oriented. The decision-making process
in most other Asian countries tends to be more central-
ized, more hierarchical and top down. U.K. investors tend
to be polite but more blunt than most of their continental
European counterparts. German investors tend to be more
methodical and measured in just about everything they do.
One thing that seems to unite investors across the
globe is the importance of and reliance upon relationships,
although brand awareness seems to be more important to
the investors throughout the Asia Pacific region than else-
where around the globe.
In the United States, investors have the luxurious
option to remain domestically focused if they decide to
do so. Most investors from Canada, Latin America, Europe
and the Asia Pacific regions don’t have this luxury. Their
domestic economies (and their domestic real estate mar-
kets) tend to be too small to absorb all of their capital
allocations, so consequently, most eventually find them-
selves competing globally for their investment managers’
time and attention.
So, what have been some of the most pressing con-
cerns on investors’ minds of late?
To answer that question, we did a review of all of
the “food for thought” topics submitted over the past 12
months by each of our investor board members for each
of our three regional real estate investment publications.
PricingThe issue that seems to be most top of mind, no matter in
which region investors seem to be operating these days,
is pricing. Despite the fact that some feel they can justify
pricing from a fundamental and on a relative-value basis,
everyone seems concerned about how you make money
in a market that increasingly appears to be priced to per-
fection. Lots of investors are attempting to become net
20 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
InstituteFor
Real EstateOperating Companies
A division of Institutional Real Estate, Inc.
EXECUTIVE MEMBERSINVESTORSAlaska Electrical Pension Fund BLG Capital Advisors California Institute of TechnologyCalifornia Public Employees’ Retirement System California State Teachers’ Retirement System The Collegiate Church Corporation Colorado Public Employees’ Retirement Association Harvard Management Company Jasper Ridge PartnersMakena Capital Management, LLCMoDOT & Patrol Retirement System New Mexico Educational Retirement Board Oregon State Treasury Rice Management Company Teacher Retirement System of Texas The Townsend GroupUniversity of California Regents UPS Group Trust Utah Retirement SystemWillett Advisors LLC
INVESTMENT MANAGERS Alcion Ventures Almanac Realty Investors Artemis Real Estate Partners Belay Investment Group Bentall Kennedy Crow Holdings Capital Partners Forum Partners Hart Realty Advisers, Inc.Invesco Real EstateLionstone InvestmentsMesa West Capital USAA Real Estate Co.Walton Street Capital
REAL ESTATE OPERATING COMPANIES Bixby Land Co.bkm Capital PartnersCarson Companies CA Ventures Christina Development CorporationContraVest Development Partners The Davis CompaniesEmmes Realty Advisors, LLCFirst Washington Realty, Inc.
Gerrity GroupGrosvenor Americas IDS Real Estate Group Lincoln Advisory GroupLloyd Jones CapitalMosser Capital Management Newport Capital PartnersRedBridge Capital Redcar Properties Ltd.RedHill Realty InvestorsShopOne Centers REIT, Inc.Skyline Pacifi c Properties TGM Associates University Communities UpEquityWestern National Group Westport Properties | US Storage Centers
ASSOCIATE MEMBERS
Accord Group Holdings LLCBlueprint EquityJLLJuniper SquareKAP Group, LLCNational Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries
(NCREIF)Park Hill Real Estate Group, LLC
The Institute for Real Estate Operating Companies (iREOC) is an exclusive membership organization and newly formed division of Institutional Real Estate, Inc. (IREI). We are proud to recognize the iREOC’s charter members.
FOR MEMBERSHIP INFORMATION, CONTACT:
David “Mac” McWhorterExecutive DirectorEmail: [email protected]: +1 970-300-8024www.ireoc.com
FOUNDING STRATEGIC SPONSOR
homebuilding sector). But midterm elections are com-
ing up soon. Should the Democrats wrest control of
the House and Senate from the Republicans, many of
these policies could be reversed. Meanwhile, the Trump
White House has been rocked over the past year by a
wave of resignations, and the administration’s relation-
ships with Vladimir Putin and Russia with regard to pos-
sible electoral manipulation continue to be under inves-
tigation. To make matters worse, the President himself
is under attack from a bevy of women all claiming to
have had sexual encounters or suffered sexual intimida-
tion or harassment at the hands of Donald Trump. A
midterm victory by the Democrats could eventually lead
to impeachment proceedings against the president and
possibly even members of his cabinet and staff. All of
these concerns have investors around the globe worried
about whether there is anywhere on earth these days
that represents a safe haven for their investment capital.
Capital flowsThis past recovery has been characterized first by a
relatively brief retreat to domestic markets, followed by
yet another robust acceleration of a renewed wave of
cross-border capital flows. Yet, the growth of populism
around the globe threatens to potentially put the brakes
on the flow of cross-border capital. The initiation of capi-
tal controls in China, coupled with fears of new tariffs
that could trigger trade wars, again, has investors nervous
about the sustainability of the current property market
and economic recovery.
CyclesCycles are also on investors’ minds these days — eco-
nomic cycles and property market cycles. Most believe
we’re closer to the end than the beginning, but view-
points as to when this particular market cycle will end
are widely divergent. Most, however, seem to feel that
PoliticsGeopolitics continue to worry investors. Brexit, Trump-
ism and the drift toward populist political solutions
around the globe are troubling to many. Continued
tensions between the United States and North Korea,
China, Taiwan and Japan, Russia and the Ukraine, as
well as various players in the Middle East, all are con-
tributing to a climate of uncertainty, making investment
decisions all that more stressful for everyone involved.
The U.S. president has proposed stiff tariffs on steel
and aluminum and has threatened to extend these pro-
tectionist measures to other goods as well. For years,
the nation’s posture has been in favor of open markets
and free trade. The American business and consumer
markets are among the largest in the world, and the
American economy continues to be the preferred mar-
ket for manufacturers and service providers around the
globe. But not all of the United States’ trading partners
have been providing as open a market as it has been
offering. The rationale for the introduction of these new
tariffs has been to force America’s trading partners into
creating an internationally more level playing field. The
Trump White House also has been relaxing the govern-
ment regulators’ control over business, while tighten-
ing up the enforcement of its immigration laws to slow
the influx of illegal immigrants over the U.S. borders.
Critics of these policies point out that a return to this
kind of protectionism could trigger a disastrous trade
war, slowing cross-border flows of goods, services and
capital, and ultimately leading to a global recession or
worse. And critics of the White House’s stance on immi-
gration argue that most of the U.S.’s GDP growth rests
on continued liberal policies that encourage rather than
discourage immigration. On a more positive note, the
recently introduced revisions in the tax code — the first
in several decades — appears to bode well for most
of real estate (with the exception of the single-family
InstituteFor
Real EstateOperating Companies
A division of Institutional Real Estate, Inc.
EXECUTIVE MEMBERSINVESTORSAlaska Electrical Pension Fund BLG Capital Advisors California Institute of TechnologyCalifornia Public Employees’ Retirement System California State Teachers’ Retirement System The Collegiate Church Corporation Colorado Public Employees’ Retirement Association Harvard Management Company Jasper Ridge PartnersMakena Capital Management, LLCMoDOT & Patrol Retirement System New Mexico Educational Retirement Board Oregon State Treasury Rice Management Company Teacher Retirement System of Texas The Townsend GroupUniversity of California Regents UPS Group Trust Utah Retirement SystemWillett Advisors LLC
INVESTMENT MANAGERS Alcion Ventures Almanac Realty Investors Artemis Real Estate Partners Belay Investment Group Bentall Kennedy Crow Holdings Capital Partners Forum Partners Hart Realty Advisers, Inc.Invesco Real EstateLionstone InvestmentsMesa West Capital USAA Real Estate Co.Walton Street Capital
REAL ESTATE OPERATING COMPANIES Bixby Land Co.bkm Capital PartnersCarson Companies CA Ventures Christina Development CorporationContraVest Development Partners The Davis CompaniesEmmes Realty Advisors, LLCFirst Washington Realty, Inc.
Gerrity GroupGrosvenor Americas IDS Real Estate Group Lincoln Advisory GroupLloyd Jones CapitalMosser Capital Management Newport Capital PartnersRedBridge Capital Redcar Properties Ltd.RedHill Realty InvestorsShopOne Centers REIT, Inc.Skyline Pacifi c Properties TGM Associates University Communities UpEquityWestern National Group Westport Properties | US Storage Centers
ASSOCIATE MEMBERS
Accord Group Holdings LLCBlueprint EquityJLLJuniper SquareKAP Group, LLCNational Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries
(NCREIF)Park Hill Real Estate Group, LLC
The Institute for Real Estate Operating Companies (iREOC) is an exclusive membership organization and newly formed division of Institutional Real Estate, Inc. (IREI). We are proud to recognize the iREOC’s charter members.
FOR MEMBERSHIP INFORMATION, CONTACT:
David “Mac” McWhorterExecutive DirectorEmail: [email protected]: +1 970-300-8024www.ireoc.com
FOUNDING STRATEGIC SPONSOR
22 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
Upcoming EventsContacts
IREI delivers quality content and exceptional networking opportunities with the right investors
Institutional Real Estate, Inc. has earned a reputation for producing events that are now staples in our industry. Our unique platform of candid discussions, no-marketing and exceptional content have created an exclusive following of loyal attendees. See what we have coming up and mark your calendar.
To learn more about these events, visit www.irei.com/events or contact us below.
Logistics information:Melissa Benson [email protected] +1 925-244-0500, ext. 139
Speaking opportunities:John Hunt [email protected]+1 925-244-0526
Sponsorship opportunities:Randy Schein [email protected]+1 212-706-7023
Registration information:Jenny Krasnovskaya [email protected] +1 925-244-0500, ext. 145
INSTITUTIONALREAL ESTATE, INC.
2274 Camino Ramon, San Ramon, CA 94583 USAPhone: +1 925-244-0500 • Fax: +1 925-244-0520 • www.irei.com people data insights
2018 iREOC Annual MeetingMay 8–10, 2018
Park City, UT USA
2018 Visions, Insights & Perspectives (VIP)Infrastructure
(formerly i3 conference)June 12–14, 2018
Toronto, ON Canada
2018 Editorial Advisory Board MeetingReal Assets Adviser
July 11–12, 2018New York, NY USA
2018 Fall Editorial Advisory Board MeetingInstitutional Real Estate Americas
September 12-14, 2018Blu� ton, SC USA
2018 Europe Editorial Advisory Board MeetingInstitutional Real Estate Europe
September 25-27, 2018Amsterdam, The Netherlands
2018 IREI SpringboardOctober 2–4, 2018
Laguna Beach, CA USA
implementation of the investor intentions uncovered in
this year’s survey.
StrategiesInvestors around the globe have been intently search-
ing for effective strategies that will perform in this kind
of uncertain economic environment. Some are retreat-
ing to core, others redefining core to include property
types and property markets that used to be considered
noncore. Others are turning to build-to-core strategies,
and still others, niche strategies thought to be driven
more by demographic rather than economic factors.
Seniors housing, student housing and self-storage in par-
ticular have increasingly been drawing investor attention.
the current bull market in both equities and properties
could continue under its own momentum for as long as
three or more years. What’s missing from this particu-
lar prolonged market cycle has been what one Federal
Reserve chairman once labeled as “irrational exuber-
ance.” This may be one of the longest recoveries on
record, but it’s probably also been the most joyless of
recoveries on record as well. People around the globe
continue to make investments, but no one anywhere on
earth appears to be having much fun doing so. Mean-
while, the equities markets suffered a severe correction
in March that, at current writing, showed little signs of
abating. Should the current downturn persist, denomi-
nator problems almost assuredly will undermine the
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Upcoming EventsContacts
IREI delivers quality content and exceptional networking opportunities with the right investors
Institutional Real Estate, Inc. has earned a reputation for producing events that are now staples in our industry. Our unique platform of candid discussions, no-marketing and exceptional content have created an exclusive following of loyal attendees. See what we have coming up and mark your calendar.
To learn more about these events, visit www.irei.com/events or contact us below.
Logistics information:Melissa Benson [email protected] +1 925-244-0500, ext. 139
Speaking opportunities:John Hunt [email protected]+1 925-244-0526
Sponsorship opportunities:Randy Schein [email protected]+1 212-706-7023
Registration information:Jenny Krasnovskaya [email protected] +1 925-244-0500, ext. 145
INSTITUTIONALREAL ESTATE, INC.
2274 Camino Ramon, San Ramon, CA 94583 USAPhone: +1 925-244-0500 • Fax: +1 925-244-0520 • www.irei.com people data insights
2018 iREOC Annual MeetingMay 8–10, 2018
Park City, UT USA
2018 Visions, Insights & Perspectives (VIP)Infrastructure
(formerly i3 conference)June 12–14, 2018
Toronto, ON Canada
2018 Editorial Advisory Board MeetingReal Assets Adviser
July 11–12, 2018New York, NY USA
2018 Fall Editorial Advisory Board MeetingInstitutional Real Estate Americas
September 12-14, 2018Blu� ton, SC USA
2018 Europe Editorial Advisory Board MeetingInstitutional Real Estate Europe
September 25-27, 2018Amsterdam, The Netherlands
2018 IREI SpringboardOctober 2–4, 2018
Laguna Beach, CA USA
24 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
potentially putting an end to millions of jobs. As with
most technological threats of the past, many of these
threats most likely are being overhyped. But still, inves-
tors are struggling to understand which kinds of invest-
ments are likely to continue to be attractive under the
pressure from all of this change. Meanwhile, investment
in real estate tech ventures also has been on the rise.
Investors are scratching their heads as they attempt to
determine whether this is a signal that the real estate
markets are finally embracing technological change, or
whether this is a signal that the venture capital markets
have reached an inflection point and are poised to turn
downwards. The recent downturn in the equities mar-
kets also is undermining the public exit window for ven-
ture capital backed ventures of all kinds, placing more
emphasis on generating cash flow, profits and growth. In
a marginally scalable market like real estate technology,
this is not necessarily a positive indicator.
Black swansIn addition to the foreseeable threats to market stability,
investors are worried about the possibility of disruptions
from highly impactful events that they can’t foresee and
can’t anticipate. The things that go “bump” in the night, so
to speak.
ESGIn Europe and Asia more so than in the Americas,
investors increasingly are focusing on the softer side
of the investment equation: environmental, social and
governance-related issues. In Europe, adherence to
ESG principals already has become more of a hygiene
item — more meaningful in its absence rather than as
a requirement when considering potential investment
manager hires. Asian investors are becoming increas-
ingly focused on these issues, and to a lesser extent,
so are American investors. Regulators and investors in
Meanwhile, in Asia, we’ve witnessed the emergence of
a tradable core property market and, along with it, a
whole new crop of core open-end funds focusing on
that opportunity. And, many investors have been invest-
ing in debt real estate investment opportunities in an
effort to fill the gap left by the retreat of the banks and
insurers from some sectors of the real estate lending
markets. Increasingly, some of these investors are look-
ing to debt as a solution to the uncertainty surrounding
the prospect for near-term growth in the private equity
real estate markets. If there’s little or no upside to be
gained from investing in real estate equity over the near
term, these investors reason, why not lock in an attrac-
tive yield by investing in leveraged debt positions and
surrendering the upside that most believe no longer is
likely to be realized on the equity side of the market?
RiskOne of the prime considerations associated with inves-
tor concerns about pricing is risk. Investors are struggling
to rationalize their investment decisions and, at the same
time, are struggling to understand the risks that they’re tak-
ing, and how those risks may be changing as we continue
our journey through the tail end of this particular property
market cycle.
DisruptersInvestors also are concerned about disruptive forces
such as the emergence and spread of the shared econ-
omy business model, the acceleration of e-commerce
that has been threatening and undermining the viability
of so many traditional bricks and mortar retailers, the
acceleration of advances in artificial intelligence, deep
learning, robotization and automation that appear to
be threatening the future of the job market, as well as
self-driving automotive technology, which also threat-
ens to undermine the meaning of place, as well as
2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends 25
The shift to defined contribution pension plan structuresIn Europe and the United States, the shift from defined
benefit to defined contribution funding mechanisms con-
tinues. This shift has all but been completed in Australia
and several Asian nations, and it is accelerating in the
United States, the United Kingdom, and elsewhere around
Europe. In the United States, nearly 95 percent of all cor-
porate defined benefit pension plans have frozen to new
participants. When a defined benefit plan is frozen, assets
continue to grow through investment gains and new con-
tributions to fund grandfathered participants’ pensions. As
those participants age in place or leave the plan, eventu-
ally asset growth begins to plateau. When this happens,
Europe have been considering mandating compliance
with ESG-related policies. Only a handful of U.S. inves-
tors have been mandating compliance with these kinds
of policies, but the employment of such policies, while
still not widespread, does appear to be on the rise.
ConsolidationThe continued march of consolidation within the invest-
ment manager and consultant sectors of the industry
has been raising concerns among investors — mostly
in the Americas. What does it all mean? and How
should our organization respond? seem to be the most
important questions many are asking, around this issue
of consolidation.
Investor focused.Connecting People, Data, Insights
INSTITUTIONALREAL ESTATE, INC.
2274 Camino Ramon, San Ramon, CA 94583 USAPh: +1 925-244-0500 • Fax: +1 925-244-0520 • www.irei.com
Investor focused.
Providing trusted news and information to investors
around the globe
Institutional Real Estate, Inc.’s family of publications provide institutional investors with the latest news, insights and market
perspectives on the global real estate and infrastructure markets. In addition, our newest publication, Real Assets Adviser, delivers news and information to help registered investment advisers and
wealth managers navigate this relatively new asset category.
To learn more about our publications, go to www.irei.com.
The investor-focused global infrastructure investment publication
www.i3-infrastructure.com
JANUARY 2018
INSTITUTIONAL INVESTING IN INFRASTRUCTURE3
22
How to invest in infrastructureAn introduction to the asset classby Keith Black
A conversation with Jenine HulsmannThe U.K. government has strengthened its powers to potentially block investments based on national security with Drew Campbell
19
14 The road aheadInfrastructure investing issues and trends for 2018by Tyson Freeman
COMMENTARY
1 › Market perspective Succeeding within the world’s largest emerging market by Michael Likosky
DEPARTMENTS
4 › Up front
6 › People
8 › News
26 › Infrastructure fundraising
28 › Photo finish
Next up for dead mallsThere are new uses for defunct shopping centers
Interval funds rising Semi-liquid product attempts to offer best of both strategies
Predictions for 2018What private wealth executives are forecasting for the new year
J A N U A R Y 2 0 1 8 | A PUBLICATION OF INSTITUTIONAL REAL ESTATE, INC.
Jeff Rosenthal, CEO of Triad Advisors, argues that real power for wealth advisory firms comes from being a house undivided
The hybridhybridhybrid
investor
FundTrackerInstitutional Real Estate
Q2/2016 Fundraising Summary
Inside2
4Q/14 Fundraising summary 27 private equity real estate fund recorded final closings during fourth quarter 2014
4
Trends & analysis A measure of recent fundraising activity and trends
5
4Q/14 Fund Closings A detailed list of funds closed during fourth quarter 2014
7
new Funds 42 new investment funds were launched during fourth quarter 2014
8
Funds in The markeT A detailed sampling of commingled funds currently seeking capital
17
Fund news News of recent fund launches and capital-raising activity
Institutional Real Estate
Q3/2016 Fundraising Summary
Inside2
Q3/16 shows weakness Fundraising activity continues to trend downward
4
Trends & analysis A measure of recent fundraising activity and trends
5
Q3/16 Fund Closings A detailed list of funds closed during third quarter 2016
8
new Funds 40 new investment funds were launched during third quarter 2016
10
Funds in The markeT A detailed sampling of commingled funds currently seeking capital
24
Fund news News of recent fund launches and capital-raising activity
FundTTrackerrackerFundTracker
weakness
4
Trends & analysis
A measure of recent fundraising activity and trends
5
Q3/16 Fund Closings
A detailed list of funds closed during third quarter 2016
40 new investment funds were launched during third
10
Funds in The markeT
A detailed sampling of commingled funds currently seeking capital
24
Fund news
News of recent fund launches and capital-raising activity
TrackerTTTrackerrackerrackerracker
33
24
39
49
Starting upInvestment in early-stage real estate tech
by Steve Bergsman
The year aheadInvestors are exercising caution, post-election
by Loretta Clodfelter
Political scenariosEconomic relevance for the White House?
by Christopher Macke
Natural interest ratesImplications for property
by Asieh Mansour
COMMENTARY1 › EditorialA dent in the universeby Geoffrey Dohrmann
5 › Market PerspectiveSell everything!by David Lynn
DEPARTMENTS 9 › Market Pulse
13 › People
15 › News & Views
67 › Data Bank
69 › By the Numbers
72 › Photo Finish
Institutional Real EstateAmericas
Investor focused — connecting people, data, insights
www.irei.com An Institutional Real Estate, Inc. publication January 2017
59Unlocking a pent-up demandShariah-compliant investment
by Hamel Shah
www.i3-infrastructure.com
22 A conversation with Jenine HulsmannThe U.K. government has strengthened its powers to potentially block investments based on national security with Drew Campbell
COMMENTARY
1 › Market perspectiveSucceeding within the world’s largest emerging marketby Michael Likosky
DEPARTMENTS
4 › Up front
6 › People
8 › News
26 › Infrastructure fundraising
28 › Photo finish
25
28
COMMENTARY
1 › Notes & TrendsVery thin ice indeed by Geoffrey Dohrmann
4 › Speaker’s CornerThe need for speedby Jakob Mähren
DEPARTMENTS
8 › Market Pulse
11 › People
12 › News & Views
39 › The Last Word
40 › Photo Finish
www.irei.com An Institutional Real Estate, Inc publication January 2018
Institutional Real EstateEurope
The investor-focused global real estate publication
18 More than just roomsThe short-stay living market has long-term attractions for investorsby James Buckley
Bright lightsDealing with the necessary cost of sustainability and certification by Jennifer Bollen
Time to ask questionsReal estate markets across Europe are biding time as possible disrupters lie ahead by Sabina Kalyan
False hope?Logistics is not the new retail by José Pellicer and Radu Mircea
32
Next up for dead mallsThere are new uses for defunct shopping centers
Interval funds rising Semi-liquid product attempts to offer best of both strategies
Jeff Rosenthalargues that real power for wealth advisory firms comes from being a house undivided
TheTheTheThehybridhybridThehybridTheThehybridThehybridinvestorinvestorinvestor
hybridinvestor
hybrid
Institutional Real EstateAsia Pacific
The investor-focused global real estate publication
www.irei.com An Institutional Real Estate, Inc publication January 2018
COMMENTARY
1 � Notes & TrendsA tale of two marketsby Geoffrey Dohrmann
4 � Market PerspectiveDigital disruptionby Chua Chor Hoon and Lee Lay Keng
DEPARTMENTS
10 � Market Pulse
12 � People
14 � News & Views
36 � Photo Finish
31Outlook 2018What Asia Pacific property markets hold for investors
by Victor Yeung
23The central issueWill central banks rein in Asian institutional property?
with Benjamin Cole
16MegatrendsForces propelling property performance in Asia Pacific
by Alex Frew McMillan
WASHINGTON, DC
NEW YORK
LOS ANGELES
ATLANTA
26 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
Real Estate/Nuveen, among others, have been developing
products and distribution channels targeting the private
wealth advisory and individual investor markets. Mean-
while, a growing number of defined benefit pension fund
staff members are being laid off or facing layoffs in the
relatively near term. (To date, the shift to defined contri-
bution plans has been largely a private market phenom-
enon. Only a handful of public plans and a handful of
Taft-Hartley plans have closed their defined benefit plans
to further participants. But the pressures on plan sponsors
obligated to fund these expensive plans is likely to lead to
more closures as the years continue to unfold.)
As you can see from scanning the above list, there’s a
lot on investors’ minds these days. The predominant theme
underlying all of these issues appears to be the accelerat-
ing pace of change and the uncertainty it’s creating. And
the times today appear to be particularly unsettling. (It’s
difficult enough to have to try to make sense out of such
a confusing and fast-changing investment landscape with-
out having to add job security to your list of worries.) At
the same time, investors almost everywhere around the
globe seem to be searching for answers, which is creating
opportunities for those who are paying attention.
Meanwhile, as we’ve noted so many times before, it’s
important to be careful. Be very, very careful. It’s a wacky
world out there.
Geoffrey Dohrmann
March 27, 2018
Danville, California
most plan sponsors shift to a more liability-driven invest-
ment scheme, with a dedicated bond portfolio covering
most of the liabilities, together with a real asset alloca-
tion to hedge the remaining assets against inflation. At
this point, real estate allocations disappear, and real
estate now must compete with other real assets (timber,
agriculture, energy, infrastructure and commodities) for
shelf space in the portfolio. Eventually, as liabilities con-
tinue to emerge, asset growth slows and turns negative.
When this starts to happen, plan sponsors often elect
to outsource the entire plan administration and invest-
ment function to independent third parties. This explains
in part the rapid rise in recent years of the outsourced
CIO function. All of these changes threaten the viability
of the real estate investment management business. The
defined benefit cow that these managers have been milk-
ing for so long has been and will continue to get skinnier
and skinnier. Meanwhile, the consolidation noted above
is creating larger and larger enterprises with larger and
larger numbers of mouths to feed. Consequently, some
of these managers have been focusing on the develop-
ment of new investment capital raising channels. A hand-
ful, for example, including JPMorgan, PGIM, UBS and
Heitman, have been mounting efforts to create vehicles
that will enable defined contribution pension plans to
invest a portion of their custom target date fund capi-
tal into real estate programs managed by these invest-
ment managers. Others, including Deutche Asset Man-
agement, LaSalle Advisers, Blackstone, Starwood and TH
2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends 27
Survey Data Tables
Your Profile
I am employed by a(n):
Type of Company U.S. Count U.S. Percent Int'l Count Int'l Percent
Public Pension Fund/Scheme 67 51.9 16 28.1
Corporate Pension Fund/Scheme 16 12.4 6 10.5
Labor Union, Taft Hartley or Multi-employer Sponsored Fund/Scheme 1 0.8 2 3.5
Insurance Company 9 7.0 8 14.0
Sovereign Wealth Fund 1 0.8 3 5.3
Foundation 4 3.1 1 1.8
Endowment 15 11.6 2 3.5
Family Office 6 4.7 6 10.5
Manager of Managers /Fund of Funds 4 3.1 6 10.5
Other (please specify): 6 4.7 7 12.3
If you are employed by a pension fund/scheme, please indicate the benefit:
Pension Fund Structure U.S. Count U.S. Percent Int'l Count Int'l Percent
Defined Benefit 36 75.0 9 69.2
Defined Contribution 0 0.0 2 15.4
Both 12 25.0 2 15.4
Other (please specify): 0 0.0 0 0.0
28 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
Investment Allocations and Expectations
My fund/scheme/organization has approximately $______ million in total assets under management.
Fund Assets Under Management ($m) U.S. Sum
U.S. Mean
U.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'l Sum
Int'l Mean
Int'l Min.
Int'l Max.
AUM 5,036,162 39,040 50 421,700 5,023,786 88,137 78 600,000
My fund/scheme/company's real estate portfolio is currently valued at $______ million.
Value of Fund's Real Estate Porfolio ($m)
U.S. Sum
U.S. Mean
U.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'l Sum
Int'l Mean
Int'l Min.
Int'l Max.
Value 454,093 3,520 12 58,500 526,566 9,238 9 46,000
U.S. Percentiles
5 10 25 50 75 90 95
Fund Assets Under Management ($m) 325 990 2,500 15,000 46,072 95,000 196,130
Int'l Percentiles
5 10 25 50 75 90 95
Fund Assets Under Management ($m) 145 500 4,740 27,060 103,884 321,440 434,650
U.S. Percentiles
5 10 25 50 75 90 95
Fund Assets Under Management ($m) 60 90 244 1,150 2,776 7,581 14,950
Int'l Percentiles
5 10 25 50 75 90 95
Fund Assets Under Management ($m) 91 149 1,415 3,321 15,000 30,560 41,400
Does your fund/scheme/company set real estate investment targets by strategy?
Real Estate Investment Targets by StrategyU.S.
CountU.S. %
Int'lCount
Int'l%
Yes 57 63.3 25 69.4
No 33 36.7 11 30.6
2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends 29
Our current portfolio allocations for each of the following sectors are as follows:
Actual Allocations (%)U.S.
MeanU.S. Min.
U.S.Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
All Real Estate 9.49 3.20 36.00 11.78 4.00 29.00Other Real Assets 3.11 0.00 15.00 3.88 0.00 12.00U.S. Equities 22.42 0.00 63.00 12.02 0.00 25.00Non-U.S. Equities 18.33 0.00 57.80 26.50 6.00 77.00High- and Low-Yield Bonds (Fixed Income) 25.65 0.00 79.00 26.24 0.00 75.00Venture Capital/Private Equity 8.02 0.00 22.00 7.91 0.00 30.00Money Market Funds/Cash Equivalents 3.66 0.00 80.00 7.71 0.00 33.00Hedge Funds 5.54 0.00 35.00 1.75 0.00 15.00Other 3.79 0.00 20.00 2.21 0.00 10.51
Target Allocations (%)U.S.
MeanU.S. Min.
U.S.Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
All Real Estate 9.79 4.00 15.00 15.00 10.00 20.00Other Real Assets 3.97 0.00 12.50 8.80 0.00 20.00U.S. Equities 24.68 0.00 60.00 10.60 0.00 23.00Non-U.S. Equities 20.24 0.00 53.00 34.60 10.00 70.00High- and Low-Yield Bonds (Fixed Income) 23.53 0.00 54.00 13.60 0.00 25.00Venture Capital/Private Equity 8.83 0.00 23.00 7.80 0.00 13.00Money Market Funds/Cash Equivalents 1.22 0.00 18.00 6.00 0.00 25.00Hedge Funds 4.12 0.00 18.00 1.00 0.00 5.00Other 3.61 0.00 15.00 2.60 0.00 13.00
For 2017, our portfolio performance across the following sectors is as follows:
2017 Performance (U.S.)Below Count
Below %
In line Count
In line %
Exceeding Count
Exceeding %
All Real Estate 3 4% 42 63% 22 33%Other Real Assets 12 32% 16 42% 10 26%U.S. Equities 0 0% 19 35% 35 65%Non-U.S. Equities 1 2% 17 34% 32 64%High- and Low-Yield Bonds (Fixed Income) 3 6% 40 77% 9 17%Venture Capital/Private Equity 3 6% 31 65% 14 29%Money Market Funds/Cash Equivalents 2 5% 32 84% 4 11%Hedge Funds 9 25% 21 58% 6 17%Other 4 13% 23 72% 5 16%
2017 Performance (Int'l)Below Count
Below %
In line Count
In line %
Exceeding Count
Exceeding %
All Real Estate 0 0% 20 77% 6 23%Other Real Assets 0 0% 12 80% 3 20%U.S. Equities 1 7% 6 43% 7 50%Non-U.S. Equities 0 0% 7 50% 7 50%High- and Low-Yield Bonds (Fixed Income) 1 7% 8 57% 5 36%Venture Capital/Private Equity 0 0% 10 77% 3 23%Money Market Funds/Cash Equivalents 3 23% 10 77% 0 0%Hedge Funds 0 0% 6 100% 0 0%Other 0 0% 4 67% 2 33%
30 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
For 2018, our expected gross nominal returns and risk assumptions for the following sectors are as follows:
2018 Return ExpectationsU.S.
MeanU.S. Min
U.S. Max
Int'lMean
Int'lMin
Int'lMax
All Real Estate 8.56 3.50 25.00 8.30 5.00 25.00
Other Real Assets 7.75 3.00 15.63 8.08 6.00 10.00
U.S. Equities 8.25 4.70 18.00 9.33 5.00 18.00
Non-U.S. Equities 9.54 3.40 27.09 12.14 7.00 25.00
High- and Low-Yield Bonds (Fixed Income) 4.00 2.10 7.99 4.79 3.50 8.00
Venture Capital/Private Equity 11.26 3.20 26.20 11.00 9.00 13.00
Money Market Funds/Cash Equivalents 1.09 0.00 3.00 2.20 1.00 4.00
Hedge Funds 6.74 3.00 14.00 5.80 5.00 8.00
Other 6.19 0.00 11.80 7.50 7.00 8.00
2018 Risk AssumptionsU.S.
MeanU.S. Min
U.S. Max
Int'lMean
Int'lMin
Int'lMax
All Real Estate 9.87 1.00 18.00 12.56 5.00 24.00
Other Real Assets 11.77 4.60 19.00 10.25 7.00 14.00
U.S. Equities 13.89 2.00 22.00 9.80 1.00 22.00
Non-U.S. Equities 16.04 2.00 26.00 15.60 7.00 22.00
High- and Low-Yield Bonds (Fixed Income) 6.76 2.00 12.20 6.20 3.00 9.00
Venture Capital/Private Equity 21.49 7.80 32.90 18.00 10.00 27.00
Money Market Funds/Cash Equivalents 0.93 0.00 2.00 0.50 0.00 1.00
Hedge Funds 9.20 5.00 20.00 8.00 4.00 12.00
Other 10.13 6.50 20.00 12.50 8.00 17.00
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INSTITUTIONALREAL ESTATE, INC.
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2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends 31
Real Estate Investment Allocations and Expectations
Our current real estate portfolio allocations for each of the following strategies are as follows:
United StatesActual Real Estate Allocations (%)
U.S.Mean
U.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
Core/Core-Plus 51.62 0.00 100.00 26.53 0.00 100.00
Value-Added 20.26 0.00 80.00 3.00 0.00 25.00
Opportunistic 11.72 0.00 35.00 5.67 0.00 80.00
Real Estate Securities (Listed, REITs, REOCs) 5.45 0.00 80.00 3.33 0.00 50.00
Real Estate Debt 3.98 0.00 40.00 1.33 0.00 20.00
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities 0.43 0.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Continental Europe and U.K.Actual Real Estate Allocations (%)
U.S.Mean
U.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
Core/Core-Plus 0.46 0.00 19.00 16.07 0.00 96.00
Value-Added 3.11 0.00 100.00 13.27 0.00 80.00
Opportunistic 0.85 0.00 6.60 3.33 0.00 30.00
Real Estate Securities (Listed, REITs, REOCs) 0.31 0.00 8.40 2.33 0.00 35.00
Real Estate Debt 0.01 0.00 0.50 3.67 0.00 50.00
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Asia PacificActual Real Estate Allocations (%)
U.S.Mean
U.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
Core/Core-Plus 0.62 0.00 16.60 6.13 0.00 50.00
Value-Added 0.50 0.00 11.70 6.00 0.00 50.00
Opportunistic 0.48 0.00 5.00 2.33 0.00 35.00
Real Estate Securities (Listed, REITs, REOCs) 0.09 0.00 4.00 3.67 0.00 50.00
Real Estate Debt 0.00 0.00 0.10 1.33 0.00 20.00
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 30.00
South America/Central AmericaActual Real Estate Allocations (%)
U.S.Mean
U.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
Core/Core-Plus 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Value-Added 0.06 0.00 1.60 0.00 0.00 0.00
Opportunistic 0.02 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00
Real Estate Securities (Listed, REITs, REOCs) 0.01 0.00 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00
Real Estate Debt 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
32 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
United StatesTarget Real Estate Allocations (%)
U.S.Mean
U.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
Core/Core-Plus 50.32 0.00 100.00 27.40 0.00 100.00
Value-Added 22.50 0.00 80.00 6.40 0.00 30.00
Opportunistic 11.04 0.00 75.00 3.70 0.00 20.00
Real Estate Securities (Listed, REITs, REOCs) 3.73 0.00 37.00 0.50 0.00 5.00
Real Estate Debt 3.29 0.00 40.00 0.50 0.00 5.00
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Continental Europe and U.K.Target Real Estate Allocations (%)
U.S.Mean
U.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
Core/Core-Plus 2.13 0.00 33.50 11.20 0.00 100.00
Value-Added 1.89 0.00 20.00 4.50 0.00 30.00
Opportunistic 1.25 0.00 20.00 3.40 0.00 20.00
Real Estate Securities (Listed, REITs, REOCs) 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.50 0.00 15.00
Real Estate Debt 0.54 0.00 10.00 0.50 0.00 5.00
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Asia PacificTarget Real Estate Allocations (%)
U.S.Mean
U.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
Core/Core-Plus 1.64 0.00 30.00 8.35 0.00 32.50
Value-Added 0.82 0.00 20.00 9.45 0.00 40.00
Opportunistic 0.61 0.00 10.00 7.70 0.00 35.00
Real Estate Securities (Listed, REITs, REOCs) 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 60.00
Real Estate Debt 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 20.00
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 20.00
South America/Central AmericaTarget Real Estate Allocations (%)
U.S.Mean
U.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
Core/Core-Plus 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.00 2.00
Value-Added 0.07 0.00 2.00 1.10 0.00 10.00
Opportunistic 0.18 0.00 5.00 0.10 0.00 1.00
Real Estate Securities (Listed, REITs, REOCs) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 5.00
Real Estate Debt 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends 33
For 2017, the performance of our portfolio across the following strategies was:
2017 Performance (U.S.)Below Count
Below %
In line Count
In line %
Exceeding Count
Exceeding %
Core/Core-Plus 6 10% 35 59% 18 31%
Value-Added 5 9% 36 67% 13 24%
Opportunistic 9 19% 28 60% 10 21%
Real Estate Securities (Listed, REITs, REOCs) 7 30% 13 57% 3 13%
Real Estate Debt 0 0% 15 63% 9 38%
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities 1 10% 6 60% 3 30%
2017 Performance (Int'l)Below Count
Below %
In line Count
In line %
Exceeding Count
Exceeding %
Core/Core-Plus 0 0% 13 72% 5 28%
Value-Added 1 6% 11 61% 6 33%
Opportunistic 1 8% 8 62% 4 31%
Real Estate Securities (Listed, REITs, REOCs) 3 33% 5 56% 1 11%
Real Estate Debt 0 0% 6 100% 0 0%
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities 0 0% 3 100% 0 0%
Our current leverage percentages for our real estate portfolio are:
Leverage (%)U.S.
MeanU.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
Core/Core-Plus 30.32 7.80 65.00 40.78 25.00 60.00
Value-Added 49.05 20.20 70.00 48.25 20.00 60.00
Opportunistic 55.26 24.50 75.00 51.20 25.00 65.00
How satisfied is your fund/scheme/company with real estate investment in general?
Satisfaction with Real Estate InvestmentU.S.
CountU.S. %
Int'lCount
Int'l%
Very satisfied 30 42.9 12 42.9
Somewhat satisfied 27 38.6 9 32.1
Neutral 7 10.0 7 25.0
Somewhat dissatisfied 4 5.7 0 0.0
Very dissatisfied 2 2.9 0 0.0
34 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
Expected Real Estate Capital Flows and Search Plans
Real Estate Capital Flows for 2017:
U.S. Real Estate Capital Flows for 2017 ($m)
U.S.New Capital Committed
in 2017
U.S.Amount Invested/
Called in 2017
U.S.Amount Sold
in 2017
Sum 51,496.70 31,622.00 22,492.00
Mean 422.10 445.38 299.89
Minimum 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maximum 9,921.90 9,921.90 3,320.00
Int'l Real Estate Capital Flows for 2017 ($m)
Int'lNew Capital Committed
in 2017
Int'lAmount Invested/
Called in 2017
Int'lAmount Sold
in 2017
Sum 37,989.78 16,123.29 7,687.87
Mean 808.29 488.58 240.25
Minimum 0.00 1.00 0.00
Maximum 4,700.00 3,000.00 1,600.00
At this point in time, the amount of capital:
Amount of Capital ($m)U.S. Committed, but not yet capitalized
Foreign Committed, but not yet capitalized
Sum 67,550.50 19,000.02
Mean 1,089.52 826.09
Minimum 10.00 6.15
Maximum 10,507.00 8,610.00
Are you committing any additional funds to real estate in 2018?
2018 New Commitments to Real EstateU.S.
CountU.S. %
Int'lCount
Int'l%
Yes 99 79.2 48 88.9
No 26 20.8 6 11.1
Expected real estate capital flows for 2018:
Expected New Capital Allocations for 2018 ($m) U.S. Int'l
Sum 40,911.50 37,961.54
Mean 498.92 903.85
Minimum 6.00 0.00
Maximum 8,000.00 8,437.80
2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends 35
For 2017 and 2018, our new capital real estate allocations will be distributed across regional strategies as follows:United StatesNew Capital Real Estate Allocations in 2017 (%)
U.S.Mean
U.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
Core/Core-Plus 38.73 0.00 100.00 12.87 0.00 80.00
Value-Added 29.40 0.00 100.00 8.33 0.00 40.00
Opportunistic 22.55 0.00 100.00 9.00 0.00 100.00
Real Estate Securities (Listed, REITs, REOCs) 1.50 0.00 25.00 0.67 0.00 10.00
Real Estate Debt 2.86 0.00 40.00 1.33 0.00 20.00
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Continental Europe and U.K.New Capital Real Estate Allocations in 2017 (%)
U.S.Mean
U.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
Core/Core-Plus 1.42 0.00 20.00 20.67 0.00 100.00
Value-Added 1.26 0.00 20.00 18.00 0.00 80.00
Opportunistic 0.41 0.00 10.00 9.00 0.00 80.00
Real Estate Securities (Listed, REITs, REOCs) 0.10 0.00 3.16 1.33 0.00 15.00
Real Estate Debt 0.29 0.00 9.00 0.67 0.00 10.00
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Asia PacificNew Capital Real Estate Allocations in 2017 (%)
U.S.Mean
U.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
Core/Core-Plus 0.48 0.00 15.00 9.47 0.00 57.00
Value-Added 0.52 0.00 10.00 2.67 0.00 30.00
Opportunistic 0.34 0.00 10.00 3.67 0.00 20.00
Real Estate Securities (Listed, REITs, REOCs) 0.12 0.00 3.78 1.67 0.00 15.00
Real Estate Debt 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
South America/Central AmericaNew Capital Real Estate Allocations in 2017 (%)
U.S.Mean
U.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
Core/Core-Plus 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Value-Added 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Opportunistic 0.01 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00
Real Estate Securities (Listed, REITs, REOCs) 0.01 0.00 0.19 0.67 0.00 10.00
Real Estate Debt 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
36 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
United StatesNew Capital Real Estate Allocations in 2018 (%)
U.S.Mean
U.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
Core/Core-Plus 35.24 0.00 100.00 7.12 0.00 70.00
Value-Added 32.25 0.00 100.00 9.41 0.00 50.00
Opportunistic 19.71 0.00 100.00 3.24 0.00 20.00
Real Estate Securities (Listed, REITs, REOCs) 3.07 0.00 80.00 0.59 0.00 10.00
Real Estate Debt 2.33 0.00 40.00 1.18 0.00 20.00
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Continental Europe and U.K.New Capital Real Estate Allocations in 2018 (%)
U.S.Mean
U.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
Core/Core-Plus 0.66 0.00 20.00 25.29 0.00 100.00
Value-Added 3.79 0.00 100.00 16.76 0.00 65.00
Opportunistic 1.40 0.00 33.00 7.94 0.00 80.00
Real Estate Securities (Listed, REITs, REOCs) 0.08 0.00 3.16 1.18 0.00 15.00
Real Estate Debt 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.18 0.00 10.00
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Asia PacificNew Capital Real Estate Allocations in 2018 (%)
U.S.Mean
U.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
Core/Core-Plus 0.07 0.00 2.50 11.71 0.00 69.00
Value-Added 0.55 0.00 10.00 3.82 0.00 30.00
Opportunistic 0.60 0.00 12.50 7.94 0.00 80.00
Real Estate Securities (Listed, REITs, REOCs) 0.10 0.00 3.78 1.47 0.00 15.00
Real Estate Debt 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.00 10.00
South America/Central AmericaNew Capital Real Estate Allocations in 2018 (%)
U.S.Mean
U.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
Core/Core-Plus 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Value-Added 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Opportunistic 0.14 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Real Estate Securities (Listed, REITs, REOCs) 0.01 0.00 0.19 0.59 0.00 10.00
Real Estate Debt 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends 37
For 2018, our new capital real estate allocations will likely be distributed to managers as follows:
New Capital Real Estate Allocations to Managers (%)U.S.
MeanU.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
Separate Account Managers/JVs 25.27 0.00 100.00 21.14 0.00 100.00
Pooled Fund Managers 63.03 0.00 100.00 45.00 0.00 100.00
Fund of Funds/Manager of Managers 1.30 0.00 65.00 5.23 0.00 85.00
Not Determined/Unknown 10.40 0.00 100.00 28.64 0.00 100.00
New Capital Real Estate Allocations to Managers (%)U.S.
MeanU.S. Min.
U.S. Max.
Int'lMean
Int'lMin.
Int'lMax.
New Account Managers 11.83 0.00 80.00 21.59 0.00 100.00
Existing Account Managers 57.81 0.00 100.00 38.41 0.00 100.00
Not Determined/Unknown 30.35 0.00 100.00 40.00 0.00 100.00
Real Estate Attractiveness by Country/Region
What is the relative attractiveness for new investments into each of the following countries/regions?
Attractiveness for New Investments
U.S.Relative Attractiveness
Int'lRelative Attractiveness
Count Mean Rank Count Mean Rank
Canada 26 2.69 7 16 2.88 7
Mexico 28 1.96 13 10 2.10 10
United States 52 4.23 1 21 3.67 2
United Kingdom 32 3.22 3 20 3.35 5
Northern Europe 32 3.53 2 22 4.00 1
Southern Europe 30 3.00 4 19 3.37 4
Central and Eastern Europe 29 2.52 8 19 2.79 8
Russia 27 1.44 15 14 1.29 15
China 27 2.37 9 17 2.59 9
India 26 2.23 11 16 2.06 11
Japan 27 2.78 6 17 3.00 6
Australia/New Zealand 27 2.89 5 18 3.61 3
Brazil 25 2.32 10 15 2.00 12
South America (exc. Brazil) 24 2.17 12 13 1.77 13
Central America 25 1.76 14 14 1.57 14
38 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
Real Estate Attractiveness by Property Type
What is the relative attractiveness for new investments into each of the following property types?
Attractiveness for New Investments
U.S.Relative Attractiveness
Int'lRelative Attractiveness
Count Mean Rank Count Mean Rank
Office 50 2.68 9 22 3.45 5
Medical office 44 3.30 6 18 2.83 11
Logistics/R&D 44 3.95 1 22 3.82 3
Self-storage 43 3.58 3 17 3.06 10
Retail 48 2.52 11 23 3.17 7
Residential/multifamily 45 3.62 2 21 3.95 1
Student housing 43 3.14 7 21 3.57 4
Senior/retirement housing 41 3.49 4 21 3.90 2
Single-family residential 31 2.48 12 16 3.13 8
Triple net lease 33 3.12 8 17 3.24 6
Hotel 38 2.42 13 20 2.60 12
Infrastructure 29 3.41 5 14 3.07 9
Land 28 2.07 15 15 2.20 14
Agriculture 28 2.57 10 15 1.93 15
Timber 29 2.28 14 13 2.23 13
2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends 39
Institutional Real Estate, Inc.Geoffrey Dohrmann, President and CEO
Survey design and analysis
Denise DeChaine, Special Projects Editor
Project management, editing
Larry Gray, Editorial Director
Editing and proofreading
Susan Sharpe, Art Director
Design, layout and production
Karen Palma, Data Services Manager
Project management, questionnaire distribution, survey
research, quality control, telephone follow-up and report
production process
Jennifer Babcock, Copyeditor
Proofreading
Kingsley AssociatesJim Woidat, Principal
Primary report author and overall project management,
including questionnaire design, research process,
respondent interviews and data analysis
Brandon Campen, Vice President
Project management, report production, data analysis,
questionnaire design and distribution
Eric Lytle, Project Manager
Project management, report production, data analysis,
questionnaire design and distribution
Alora Wogsland, Analyst
Report production, data analysis, questionnaire design
and distribution
Ryan Smith, Analyst
Report production, data analysis, questionnaire design
and distribution
Personnel
Copyright © 2018 by Institutional Real Estate, Inc., 2274 Camino Ramon, San Ramon, CA 94583. Material may not be reproduced in whole or in part without the express written permission of the publisher.
The publisher of this special report, Institutional Real Estate, Inc., is not engaged in rendering tax, accounting or other professional advice through this publication. No statement in this issue is to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or other investment.
40 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
Accord Equity Advisors
Alan Biller & Associates
Alaska Electrical Pension Fund
Alaska Retirement Management Board
Allstate Investments
Am Alpha GmbH
Art of the World
ATP Real Estate
Australian Government Future Fund
AustSafe Super
AVIVA Investors
Bank of Ireland Private Banking
Bayerische Versorgungskammer
Blue Cross Blue Shield Assoc. Nat’l Rtrmt Trust
Blue Sky Group
Board of Pensions, Presbyterian Church
Bouwinvest
California Public Employees’ Retirement System
California State Teachers’ Retirement System
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board
Canada Post Corp. Pension Plan
Cargill
Catholic Order of Foresters
CenturyLink Investment Management
Chapel Hill Foundation Real Estate Holdings
Chevron Corp.
Church Commissioners for England
The Church Pension Fund
Citi U.S. Pension Investments
City of Austin Employees’ Retirement System
City of Knoxville Employees’ Pension Fund
City of Milwaukee Employes’ Retirement System
City of Phoenix Employees Retirement System
CNP Assurances
The Collegiate Church Corp.
Colorado Public Employees Retirement Association
The Crown Estate
Dallas-Fort Worth Airport Employees Pension Plan
Deseret Mutual Benefit Administrators
Deutsche Finance Group
Development Bank of Japan
DNB Real Estate Investment Management
E.ON SE
Employees Retirement System of Texas
Employees Retirement System of the City of Baton
Rouge & Parish of East Baton Rouge
Employees’ Retirement System of the State of Hawaii
Erie Insurance Group
Etablissement Retraite Additionnelle de la Fonction Publique
Exelon Corp.
Farmers Insurance Group
Fiat Chrysler Automobiles N.V.
Florida Retirement System Pension Plan
Fort Worth Employees’ Retirement Fund
Fresno County Employees’ Retirement Association
GCM Grosvenor
Generali Real Estate SGR S.p.A
Government Pension Fund (Thailand)
Harding University
The Harry and Jeanette Weinberg Foundation
Hawkeye Partners
HB Capital Group
Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan
HESTA Super Fund
List of Respondents
2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends 41
North Carolina Retirement Systems
Northwestern University
Nuclear Electric Insurance
Oak Street Real Estate Capital
Ohio Bureau of Workers’ Compensation
Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan
Oorah Endowment Fund
Oregon Public Employees Retirement Fund
Oregon State Treasury
Oxford Properties Group
Partners Group
Pennsylvania Public School Employees’ Retirement System
Pennsylvania State Employees’ Retirement System
PensionDanmark
PFA Pension
PGGM Investments
Public Employee Retirement System of Idaho
Public Employees Retirement System of Nevada
Public School Retirement System of Missouri
Public Sector Pension Investment Board
Quilvest and Partners France
Régime de rentes du Mouvement Desjardins
The Regents of the University of Michigan
Retirement Plan for Employees of Aetna Master Trust
Rhea Capital Partners
Richard King Mellon Foundation
Roosevelt University Endowment
Royal Neighbors of America
San Diego City Employees’ Retirement System
San Joaquin County Employees’ Retirement Association
San Luis Obispo County Pension Trust
School Employees Retirement System of Ohio
Seattle City Employees’ Retirement System
SEI Investments Co.
Sentinel Trust Co.
Sonoma County Employees’ Retirement Association
South Dakota Investment Council
Southern Co.
Sparinvest Property Investors A/S
State of Idaho Endowment Fund Investment Board
Honeywell International Pension Fund
Hong Kong Baptist University
IBM Personal Pension Plan Trust
Inarcassa
Indiana Public Retirement System
Iowa Public Employees’ Retirement System
Irish Life Investment Managers
Ivanhoe Cambridge (real estate arm of Caisse de Depot
et de Placement du Quebec)
Jasper Ridge Partners
Jen Capital Advisors
Kansas City Police Employees’ Retirement Systems
Local Pensions Partnership
Los Angeles City Employees’ Retirement System
Los Angeles County Employees Retirement Association
Los Angeles Department of Water & Power Employees
Retirement Plan
Los Angeles Fire & Police Pensions
Maine Public Employees Retirement System
Manulife Financial
Marin County Employees Retirement Association
Maryland State Retirement and Pension System
Meag Munich Ergo
Meiji Yasuda Realty USA
Mercy Health
MetLife Investment Management
Migros-Pensionskasse
Minnesota State Board of Investment
Missouri Department of Transportation and Highway
Patrol Employees’ Retirement System
Montana Board of Investments
National Pension Service of Korea
Nationwide Insurance Co.
New Mexico Educational Retirement Board
New Mexico State Investment Council
New York City Retirement Systems
New York State Common Retirement Fund
Newport Wealth Management
New York Presbyterian Hospital
Nokia
42 2018 Institutional Investors Real Estate Trends
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State of Michigan Retirement Systems
State of Wisconsin Investment Board
State Oil Fund of the Republic of Azerbaijan
State Teachers Retirement System of Ohio
StepStone Real Estate
Sun Hung Kai Properties
Swiss Federal Pension Fund PUBLICA
Swiss Federal Social Security Funds
Syntrus Achmea Vastgoed
Tacoma Employees’ Retirement System
Teacher Retirement System of Texas
Teachers’ Retirement System of Louisiana
Temasek Holdings
The Tennessee Consolidated Retirement System
Texas Christian University
Texas Municipal Retirement System
Texas Permanent School Fund
The Pension Boards – UCC
Universiti Teknologi MARA
University of California Regents
University of Chicago Endowment
University of Florida Investment Corp.
University of San Diego
University of Texas Investment Management Co.
UPS Group Trust
Utah State Retirement System
Varma Mutual Pension Insurance Co.
Versicherungskammer Bayern
Virginia Retirement System
Washington State Investment Board
West Virginia Investment Management Board
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Zurich Insurance Co.
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