aapor 2016 - david dutwin - trends in telephone outcomes
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
![Page 2: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
•
•
•
•
•
![Page 3: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
![Page 4: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Initial ask was of ABC, CBS, Gallup, GfK, ICF, Ipsos, Nielsen, NORC, ORC, Pew, RAND, RTI, SRBI, TNS, Westat
![Page 5: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
•
•
![Page 6: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
•
•
![Page 7: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
•
•
![Page 8: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
•
•
•
•
![Page 9: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
![Page 10: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
•
•
•
•
•
![Page 11: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
![Page 12: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
•
•
•
•
![Page 13: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
•
•
•
•
•
![Page 14: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
![Page 15: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Sample NameMode of Data
Collection
Cumulative Sample
Size
Response Rate
Formula
The BRFSS Telephone 6,118,156 BRFSS CASRO
CBS Polls Telephone 61,112 RR1
ABC Polls Telephone 130,099 RR3
Pew Polls Telephone 98,535 RR3
The GSS In-Person 32.749 RR3
The NHIS In-Person 1,244,070 RR3
•
•
![Page 16: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
![Page 17: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
![Page 18: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
•
•
![Page 19: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
![Page 20: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
![Page 21: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
![Page 22: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
![Page 23: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
Effect Estimate p-value
Intercept 2.295 0.013
Spline Effect 1: Linear Change in MAB (unweighted) 0.086 0.009
Spline Effect 2: Linear Change in MAB (unweighted) after 2009 -0.238 0.002
Telephone Surveys 1.241 0.129
Spline Effect 1 x Telephone Surveys 0.077 0.039
![Page 24: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
•
![Page 25: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
![Page 26: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
DON’T WORRY. THE POUND HAS DEVALUED, SO YOU’VE ACTUALLY LOST WEIGHT.
![Page 27: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
![Page 28: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
•
•
•
![Page 29: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
![Page 30: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
![Page 31: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
![Page 32: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
![Page 33: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
![Page 34: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
![Page 35: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
![Page 36: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
![Page 37: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
![Page 38: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
![Page 39: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
•
•
–
–
–
![Page 40: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
![Page 41: AAPOR 2016 - David Dutwin - Trends in Telephone Outcomes](https://reader031.vdocument.in/reader031/viewer/2022022201/58882b2f1a28ab733a8b5f5d/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)