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ACCELERATE PROPERTY
FUND LIMITED
INVESTOR ROADSHOW: ACQUISITION OF A
POLISH MODERN LIGHT INDUSTRIAL /
LOGISTICS WAREHOUSE PORTFOLIO
2
KEY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
Rentals underwritten by strong covenants through multi-national parent guarantees
Properties are strategic to tenants’ operations
Weighted average unexpired lease length of 13.5 years across the portfolio
Limited on-going asset management through double and triple net lease structure
(only 1 property, representing 10% of the portfolio, is a double net lease)
The portfolio allows for the development of approximately 14,000m2 of available bulk
across four of the five properties
Tenants have verbally indicated they expect to require additional space in the short-
to medium-term
All assets new / recently developed by an internationally-renowned developer,
Panattoni Development Company Inc. (benefiting from contractor warranties)
Assets located on or close to major arterial routes near employee catchment areas
and in special economic zones benefiting from tax and administrative allowances
Seven year bank debt provided by Berlin Hyp (with no early pre-payment penalties
after three years) with 53% LTV of gross consideration
Quoted margin of 1.55% and an indicative fixed rate of 2.07% for seven years
Supportive covenant conditions (c.50% ICR headroom and an LTV of 60% with cure
rights)
Portfolio generates an initial levered Euro yield of 9.12%
Minimum initial ZAR yield after CCS of at least 13%1
Annual upward-only escalations provide stable long-term Euro income growth
Greater geographic and covenant diversification of APF’s existing European portfolio
Possibility to lock in income growth through forward EUR hedging
New modern light industrial /
logistics warehouses in
attractive locations across
Poland
1
High quality tenants on
long triple net leases2
Supported by accretive
debt funding fixed for
seven years
3
Generating an attractive
Euro yield4
Opportunity to enhance yield
through available bulk and
tenant appetite to expand
5
Notes: (1) Assuming a CCS of 23% of the gross transaction value (50% of the equity consideration)
3
OVERVIEW OF PORTFOLIO
In terms of industrial demand/supply Poland is the leader in CEE region. The central location of Poland within Europe, continuously improving road infrastructure, low
operational costs and a significant population of 38 million people are the main contributing factors
Well located assets in main industrial areas, situated on the main highways in Poland allowing easy access to Germany which is crucial for the automotive tenants
5
2
1
4
3
Sanden - Polkowice5
2 Kongsberg automotive - Brzesc Kujawski1 Kongsberg automotive - Koulszki
4 STS acoustics - Międzyrzecz
3 Benteler - Września
4
Cars61%
Trucks24%
Compressors15%
Kongsberg Brzsec32%
Kongsberg Koluszki
29%
Sanden15%
STS14%
Benteler10%
FINANCIAL SUMMARY OF THE PROPERTIES
LocationDevelopment
yearTenant Guarantor1 Lease start Lease end
Remaining
lease term
(years)2
Area of land
(sqm)
Area of
building (sqm)
Net annual
rental (EUR)
Koluszki 2016/2017KONGSBERG
Automotive PolandKongsberg
Automotive ASA15-Jul-16 14-Jul-31 14.93 32,105 16,981 796,821
Brzesc Kujawski 2017KONGSBERG
Automotive PolandKongsberg
Automotive ASA1-Dec-16 1-Dec-32 15.01 59,500 16,700 876,350
Wrzesnia 2016BENTELER
Automotive Poland3
BENTELER
International 20-Jun-16 30-Sep-29 11.84 22,798 5,363 280,479
Międzyrzecz 2016STS Acoustics
PolandSTS Acoustics Spa 01-Dec-16 30-Nov-28 11.01 27,659 8,919 384,060
Polkowice 2016/2017SANDEN
Manufacturing Poland
Sanden
International Europe
Ltd.
16-Jan-16 15-Jan-28 11.01 23,074 6,527 409,364
Total portfolio 13.524 165,136 54,490 2,747,074
High quality portfolio of double / triple net lease assets acquired at a portfolio net acquisition yield of 6.83%
Notes: (1) All ultimate parent companies are listed with the exception of Benteler International. Further details provided in the annexures (2) Remaining lease term from expected close of transaction
i.e. 1 December 2017 (3) Double net lease, all other lease are triple net (4) WAULT (5) Portfolio premium of 2% applied as per the guidance provided by the CBRE valuation report (6) Where
applicable a spot exchange of EURZAR16.68 ultised and a forward rate of EURZAR16.95 applied (7) Assuming a CCS of 23% of the gross transaction value (50% of the equity consideration)
Independent CBRE portfolio valuation5 EUR41,576,220
Portfolio purchase price EUR40,197,012
Blended portfolio acquisition yield 6.83%
Premium / (Discount) to CBRE portfolio valuation (3.4%)
Levered net acquisition yield 9.12%
Acquisition yield post CCS7 Minimum 13%
Rental concentration within the Poland portfolio
Kongsberg
exposure
5
SiteExisting
building m2 Cost €/m
2 Existing Rent/
m2 Yield Expansion m
2Rent/m
2Cost/m
2
STS 8 919 637,94 3,21 6,83% 2 931 3,51 4002
Sanden 6 527 929,16 5,06 6,83% 3 294 3,51 4002
Benteler 5 363 774,80 3,76 6,83% 4 168 3,51 4002
Kongsberg Brześć Kujawski 16 700 777,42 3,32 6,83% 3 930 3,51 4002
Current Expansion3 Cumulative portfolio3
Asset
yield
Levered
yield
Total
construction
cost
Annual rentalAsset
yield
Asset
yieldLevered yield4
STS 6.83% 1,172,400 123,102 10.50% 7.47%
Sanden 6.83% 1,317,600 138,348 10.50% 7.50%
Benteler 6.83% 1,667,200 175,056 10.50% 7.89%
Kongsberg Brześć Kujawski 6.83% 1,572,000 165,060 10.50% 7.23%
Total 6.83% 9.12% 5,729,200 601,566 10.50% 7.29% 10.03%
Notes: (1) Represents an estimated rental value in line with market standards (2) Represents a conservative “all in” cost including design and build, soft costs, finance and asset management (3)
Impact on year 1 yield assuming the expansion is complete on day 1 of the portfolio acquisition (4) Levered yield based on a 53% LTV and an interest of 2.07%. No additional operating costs are
assumed for the expansion
SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL EXPANSION
6
COMPARATIVE TRANSACTIONS IN THE MARKET
Long-lease single tenant completed transactions
Univeg
Country : Poland
Lease Term : 8 years
Turnover : n/a
Parent Guarantee : No
Size (sqm) : n/a
Yield : 7.00%
Offer : €30m
Date : Q4 2016
Inalfa
Country : Poland
Lease Term : 12 years
Turnover : €1bn
Parent Guarantee : Yes
Size (sqm) : n/a
Yield : 7.25%
Offer : €8m
Date : Q4 2016
Amazon (Poznan)
Country : Poland
Lease Term : 15 years
Turnover : €10bn
Parent Guarantee : Yes
Size (sqm) : 100,000
Yield : 5.40%
Offer : €70m
Date : Q4 2016
Long-lease single tenant modern light industrial / logistics warehouse portfolio being acquired by APF at a blended yield of 6.83%
Benteler
Country : Poland
Lease Term : c.12 years
Turnover : €7bn
Parent Guarantee : Yes
Size (sqm) : 4,714
Yield1 : 7.02%
Valuation1 : c.€4m
Kongsberg (Koluszki)
Country : Poland
Lease Term : c.15 years
Turnover : €1bn
Parent Guarantee : Yes
Size (sqm) : 14,968
Yield1 : 6.20%
Valuation1 : c.€13m
STS
Country : Poland
Lease Term : c.11 years
Turnover : €0.1bn
Parent Guarantee : Yes
Size (sqm) : 8,281
Yield1 : 7.64%
Valuation1 : c.€5m
Sanden
Country : Poland
Lease Term : c.11 years
Turnover : c.€1bn
Parent Guarantee : Yes
Size (sqm) : 6,211
Yield1 : 8.37%
Valuation1 : c.€5m
Kongsberg (Brześć)
Country : Poland
Lease Term : 15 years
Turnover : €1bn
Parent Guarantee : Yes
Size (sqm) : 13,297
Yield1 : 6.26%
Valuation1 : c.€14m
Notes: (1) Based on independent CBRE valuation
Zalando (Szczecin)
Country : Poland
Lease Term : 12 years
Turnover : €3bn
Parent Guarantee : Yes
Size (sqm) : 100,000
Yield : 5.75%
Offer : €55m
Date : Ongoing
Amazon Forward Funding
Country : Poland
Lease Term : 15 years
Turnover : €10bn
Parent Guarantee : Yes
Size (sqm) : 100,000
Yield : 5.75%
Offer : €60m
Date : Ongoing
BMW Logistics
Country : Poland
Lease Term : 10 years
Turnover : €94bn
Parent Guarantee : Yes
Size (sqm) : 30,000
Yield : c.6.00%
Offer : €20m
Date : Ongoing
Long-lease single tenant ongoing transactions
7
Retail Industrial / Logistics
100%
69%
19%
5%4%
3%OBI
Kongsberg
Sanden
STS
Benteler
South Africa Austria Poland SlovakiaSouth Africa Austria Poland Slovakia
77%
23%
SUMMARY OF APFE EUROPEAN PROPERTY PORTFOLIO
Summary of European property portfolio
Source: Unaudited management estimates
78%22% 54%
31%
15%
Existing Post transaction
52%
32%
16%
Existing Post transaction
Existing Post transaction
69%
31%
Tenant diversification Sectoral diversification by value
Geographic diversification by property value Geographic diversification by revenue
8
Retail Industrial / Logistics Office
7.50%
6.80%
6.60%
SA only SA including OBI SA including OBIand Poland
66%
6%
28%
South Africa Austria Poland SlovakiaSouth Africa Austria Poland Slovakia
SUMMARY OF COMBINED PROPERTY PORTFOLIO
Summary of total property portfolio
Existing Post transaction
83%
9%
5%2%
88%
9%3%
Notes: (1) Polish rentals assumed to grow at 1.50% p.a. (European CPI)
Source: Unaudited management estimates
Existing Post transaction
62%
11%
27%
Existing Post transaction Escalations decrease from 7.50% to 6.60% due to the impact
of the anticipated rental increases in Europe1 and their
impact on the overall portfolio. However, lease expiry on the
total portfolio goes from 5.30 years to 5.75 years
Geographic diversification by property value Geographic diversification by revenue
Sectoral diversification by value Impact on escalations of the portfolio
91%
4%4% 1%
94%
4% 1%
9
ATTRACTIVE ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT, WITH POSITIVE GROWTH
POTENTIAL
Poland remains an attractive investment destination, supported by strong economic fundamentals
Largest economy in Central Eastern Europe and considered one of the fastest
growing in the region
The Polish governments’ expansionary fiscal policy is expected to continue
through to 2018, despite strong economic growth and robust private sector
consumption
Poland’s currency, zloty, depreciated by 4.1% in 2016 against the euro, yet the
outlook is positive underpinned by strong fundamentals
Household consumption growth is expected to remain a key economic driver
supported by increased employment. The significant domestic demand makes
the country less exposed to external demand shocks
In 2016 Poland’s government budget deficit narrowed to 2.4% of GDP (2.6% in
2015; 3.3% in 2014)
- 2016 budget deficit was abnormally low due to once-off revenue earned
from the auction of 4G mobile spectrum
1.6% 1.4%
3.3%3.8%
2.7%
4.3%
3.1% 3.3%
2.5%
3.6%3.7%
1.1%
0.1%
-0.9% -0.7%1.9%
2.4%1.8% 1.7% 1.8%
2012A 2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F
Real GDP growth CPI
Sources: Economic Intelligence Unit
In 2009 the IMF approved a one-year credit line for Poland of $20.6 billion to help it
through the global economic crisis
Poland continues to attract a
significant amount of foreign direct
investment
Relative to other European countries,
the number of FDI-related jobs
expected to be created in Poland on
2016 was 22 074, lagging only behind
the UK (43 165)
48% of all projects into Poland came
from USA, Germany and the UK
Sources: EY Attractiveness Survey Poland May 2017
21% growth vs. 2015
Poland
256 projects
16% growth vs. 2015
CEE
1,342 projects
5,845
Europe
5,845 projects
15% growth vs. 2015
38.5 38.5 38.5
38.438.4
38.3 38.3 38.3 38.2 38.2
12.8% 13.5% 12.3%10.5%
9.0%7.4% 7.2% 7.0% 6.8% 6.9%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
38.1
38.2
38.2
38.3
38.3
38.4
38.4
38.5
38.5
38.6
2012A 2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F
Population (m) Unemployment rate
Sources: Economic Intelligence Unit
7,993 8,294 8,505 7,260 7,170
8,000 8,600 8,900 9,030 9,270
-0.2%1.4%
3.7%4.5% 4.8%
2.9% 2.6% 2.9% 2.6% 2.8%-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
-0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
2012A 2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F
Private consumption per head (USD) Average real wages growth
Sources: Economic Intelligence Unit
Positive GDP outlook as the economy continues to grow
Declining population forecast to taper off
Household consumption and wage growth on the up
Total foreign direct investments in 2016
10
The EU is among the world's biggest producers of motor vehicles and the sector
represents the largest private investor in research and development
The industry is vital to the wider EU economy due its multiplier effect, benefiting
upstream industries such as steel, chemicals, and textiles, as well as downstream
industries such as ICT, repair and mobility services
The sector was impacted by the global economic crisis but has returned to growth
with sales of new vehicles up 6.8% in 2016 vs. 2015 and more normalised growth of
1.5% - 2.0% expected in the current year
Companies favour the Polish automotive manufacturing market due to attractive tax
incentives and the country’s proximity to key European motor vehicle markets which
are supported by good infrastructure
The country has become one of the largest European manufacturing centres and an
industry leader in East-Central Europe, while the automotive sector has acquired the
status of a key element of the national economy, occupying top positions in terms of
total value of production, export volume, investments, and employment
Recent high profile investment pledges reflect Poland’s central position in Europe’s
automotive supply chain
- Toyota has invested EUR950m in Poland since 2002, and is expected to invest a
further USD158m in a new production unit
- Daimler expects to invest EUR500m to set up a new production facility
14.9 15.4 15.6 14.3 14.2 13.4 13.1 12.1 11.9 12.5 13.7 14.6
1.6% 1.5% 1.9% 2.2% 2.3% 2.5% 2.3% 2.2% 2.4% 2.6% 2.6% 2.9%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
-
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Total EU registerations (m) Poland registerations % EU
Poland’s population is c.5% of the total EU population
475 473 535 555
208 111 116 121 122
55
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 (Jan-Apr)
Passenger cars Trucks and tractors
Source: European Automobile Manufactures Association
POLISH AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY
The worldwide automotive industry achieved record levels of sales in 2016, up 4.8% from the previous year supported by 10-year high profit margins.
The automotive industry is crucial for Europe’s prosperity accounting for c.4% of the EU’s GDP
New vehicle registrations in Poland vs. EU
Source: European Automobile Manufactures Association
Poland is the 8th largest motor vehicle producer in the EU (2016)
New vehicle production in Poland (‘000)
c.3% of total motor vehicle production in
the EU was produced in Poland in 2016,
noting that c.20% of world wide motor
vehicles produced is in the EU
Source: European Automobile Manufactures Association
The largest manufacture in Poland are Fiat, General Motors and Volkswagen
11
Flows into Poland continue to represent the largest portion of investment into
the CEE region, however it now represents a smaller percentage (c.70% in
2012) with Hungry, Slovakia and Romania growing as investable jurisdictions
Having been almost non-existent as an investor in the region in 2011/12, South
Africa now represents c.20% of the flow into CEE real estate, representing a
greater proportion of investment than Asia and domestic investment,
respectively
Domestic investment has grown as a proportion of total investment (currently
19% from 15% in 2011) with investors becoming increasingly comfortable with
the levels of liquidity in the assets
Source: Colliers International, Investment Compass, 2017
Source: Colliers International, Investment Compass, 2017
Source: Colliers International, Investment Compass, 2017 Source: Colliers International, Investment Compass, 2017
13.0
10.1
2.9 3.8
6.5
3.9
5.4
7.5
8.7
12.2
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
22%
20%
16%
10%
7%
2%
19%
4%
Europe
South Africa
Asia
USA
UK
CEE cross-broader
CEE domestic
Other
201638.7%
30.5%
22.0%
8.8%
Office
Retail
Industrial / Logistics
Other2016
37.8%
31.5%
13.8%
7.5%
7.2%
2.1%
Poland
Czech Republic
Hungary
Romania
Slovakia
Bulgaria2016
POLISH REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW
Analysis of the CEE regional real estate market
20162016
Investment into CEE by investor state / regionCEE Real Estate investment by country Investment by sub-sector
Inflows into CEE real estate (EUR’bn)
12
PLN psm 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Warsaw 19.7 21.1 21.2 20.4 24.0 26.3
Krakow 16.3 17.1 16.8 16.8 19.2 21.6
Tricity 13.3 15.8 15.2 15.2 17.9 19.6
Record levels of demand in 2016 were registered with 3.5m sqm of space let
during the period (up 32% on 2015)
Warsaw is the largest warehouse market in Poland, however infrastructure
improvements are spurring construction activity in the regional markets such
as Poznan and Wroclaw as well as smaller markets of Krakow and Tricity
New supply also reached an all time high in 2016 with 1.12m sqm of new
space coming online maintaining the significant surge in new space seen over
the last three years
Notwithstanding, new supply lags demand keeping vacancies very low at 5.9%
compared to European averages between 8-12%
The supply demand dynamic has left rents largely stable across regions
Source: CBRE Poland Industrial, Q4 2016
Source: BMI Research, Poland Real Estate Report 2017 Source: CBRE Poland Industrial, Q4 2016Source: CBRE Poland Industrial, Q4 2016
Take up of industrial space remains strong with rents expected to remain stable due to supply tracking demand
POLISH LOGISTICS WAREHOUSE MARKET OVERVIEW
Leasing activity (‘000 sqm)
Average rents Vacancy rates Completions by region
13
THE TRANSACTION IS TO BE FUNDED WITH A COMBINATION OF
OFFSHORE TERM DEBT AND LOCAL EQUITY
Analysis of total funding requirement to fund the Properties
Acquisition consideration c.EUR40.2m
Transaction costs c.EUR1.7m
Total funding required c.EUR41.9m
Debt funding c.EUR22.4
Equity funding c.EUR19.5m
High-level debt analysis
Bank Berlin Hyp AG ( Germany)
Facility LTV 53% of gross transaction value
Floating rate 1.55% over EURIBOR
Fixed swap margin 0.52%
Term 7 years from drawdown
Payment No capital repayment for the first 5 years
Interest payable quarterly in arrears
Arrangement fee 0.75%
ICR covenant ICR at least 300%
LTV shall not exceed 60%
Net yield pre-debt 6.83%
Net yield post-debt 9.12%
Net yield post-debt and CCS Minimum 13%1
The purchase price may increase by EUR500,000 if new proposed
amendments to the Polish taxation legislation is not signed into law by the
president
- The proposed amendments have been approved by the Polish
parliament and is awaiting imminent ratification by the president
The transaction to be earnings and yield accretive for shareholders
Completion expected in early December following the successful transfer of
all completed properties
- Kongsberg Brześć Kujawski (still under development) is expected to be
completed by the end of November 2017 with the occupancy permit
expected to be issued shortly thereafter
Notes: (1) Assuming a CCS of 23% of the gross transaction value (50% of the equity consideration)
14
New build modern logistics warehouses in attractive locations across Poland
High quality tenants on long triple net leases
Supported by accretive debt funding fixed for seven years
Generating an attractive Euro yield
Opportunity to enhance yield through available bulk and tenant appetite to expand
KEY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
1
2
3
4
5
ANNEXURE
16
KONGSBERG AUTOMOTIVE, KOLUSZKI
Property statistics
Parent guarantee
Location
The Property is located in the
north-western area of Koluszki,
between Nasienna and Brzechwy
street.
Parent guarantee provided by Kongsberg Automotive ASA, a Norwegian
company that produces system solutions to light and commercial vehicle
makers (driver control, chassis, fluid transfer, PTFE hoses for automotive
and industrial applications, power electronic systems)
Kongsberg operates in more than 20 countries with 50 facilities on all
continents
Independent property valuation €12,850,000
Property yield 6.20%
Net income €796,821
Asset type Modern light industrial / logistics warehouse
Percentage of portfolio 29%
GLA 16,981 m2
Warehouse and office GLA 14,968 m2 and 2,221 m2 respectively
Handover date 15 July 2016 (existing); 23 October 2017 (expansion)
Lease expiry 1 November 2032
Age Constructed in 2016 / 2017
Tenant Kongsberg Automotive Sp. z o.o.
Escalation Annual upward only escalations of European CPI
Lease type Triple net lease
Guarantor and ultimate parent statistics
Entity Kongsberg Automotive ASA
Market cap €400m (Oslo Stock Exchange)
Revenue (FY2016) €986m
EBITDA (FY2016) €63m
Net income (FY2016) €1.3m
Interest cover ratio 2.3
17
KONGSBERG AUTOMOTIVE, BRZESC KUJAWSKI
Property statistics
Parent guarantee
Location
The Property is located in
Pikutkowo, near Brześć
Kujawski
Parent guarantee provided by Kongsberg Automotive ASA, a Norwegian
company that produces system solutions to light and commercial vehicle
makers (driver control, chassis, fluid transfer, PTFE hoses for automotive
and industrial applications, power electronic systems)
Kongsberg operates in more than 20 countries with 50 facilities on all
continents
Independent property valuation €14,000,000
Property yield 6.26%
Net income €876,350
Asset type Modern light industrial / logistics warehouse
Percentage of portfolio 32%
GLA 16,700 m2
Warehouse and office GLA 13,297 m2 and 3,555 m2 respectively
Handover date 30 November 20171
Lease expiry 30 November 2032
Age Currently at an advanced stage of construction (2017)
Tenant Kongsberg Automotive sp. z o.o.
Escalation Annual upward only escalations of European CPI
Lease type Triple net lease
Guarantor and ultimate parent statistics
Entity Kongsberg Automotive ASA
Market cap €400m (Oslo Stock Exchange)
Revenue (FY2016) €986m
EBITDA (FY2016) €63m
Net income (FY2016) €1.3m
Interest cover ratio 2.3
Notes: (1) Construction of building expected to be completed by 30 November 2017, with no delays or risks expected for handover
18
BENTELER AUTOMOTIVE, WRZESNIA
Property statistics
Parent guarantee
Independent property valuation €3,998,000
Property yield 7.02%
Net income €280,479
Asset type Modern light industrial / logistics warehouse
Percentage of portfolio 10%
GLA 5,363 m2
Warehouse and office GLA 4,744 m2 and 618 m2 respectively
Handover date 15 January 2016
Lease expiry 30 September 2029
Age Constructed in 2016
Tenant Benteler Automotive Poland Sp. z o. o.
EscalationAnnual upward only escalations of European CPI with a
minimum of 1% p.a. and maximum of 2.5%
Lease type Double net lease
Location
The Property is located on the
border of two small villages
Białężyce and Chocicza Wielka,
located in poviat Września.
The Property is located
within a close distance from
A2 motorway, approx. 4 km
from the exit “Września”.
Parent guarantee provided by Benteler International, an Austrian company
that produces automotive and steel products; develops and manufactures
chassis systems, structures, engine, seamless tubes, and welded tubes
Benteler operates all over the world excluding Africa and the Middle East
Guarantor and ultimate parent statistics
Entity Benteler International Aktiengesellschaft
Market cap n/a
Revenue (FY2016) €7,423m
EBITDA (FY2016) €417m
Net income (FY2016) €111m
Interest cover ratio 3.8
Benteler is strategically located 800m from VW factory in
Września; a €1bn investment employing over 2,300 people
19
STS ACOUSTICS, MIĘDZYRZECZ
Property statistics
Parent guarantee
Location
The Property is located in
Międzyrzecz, precinct 0002
Międzyrzecz -2. Geographically it
is a northern part of Międzyrzecz,
near the S3 Expressway.
Parent guarantee provided by STS Acoustics Spa, a Swedish company that
produces acoustic and thermal management systems for vehicle
manufacturers around the world; and develops and produces multifunctional
lightweight components for optimal protection against noise and heat
STS operates in Europe, mainly Germany, France, Italy
Independent property valuation €5,024,000
Property yield 7.64%
Net income €384,060
Asset type Modern light industrial / logistics warehouse
Percentage of portfolio 14%
GLA 8,919 m2
Warehouse and office GLA 8,281 m2 and 639 m2 respectively
Handover date 2 December 2016
Lease expiry 30 November 2028
Age Constructed in 2016
Tenant STS Poland Sp. z o.o.
Escalation Annual upward only escalations of Harmonized CPI1
Lease type Triple net lease
Key guarantor statistics Ultimate parent statistics
Entity STS Acoustics Spa Mutares AG
Market cap n/a €200m (DAX)
Revenue (FY2016) €137m
EBITDA (FY2016) €7m
Net income (FY2016) €3m
Interest cover ratio 17.7
Notes: (1) The Harmonised CPI is an indicator of inflation and price stability for the European Central Bank (ECB)
20
SANDEN MANUFACTURING, POLKOWICE
Property statistics
Parent guarantee
Location
The Property is located in the
industrial district of Polkowice,
precinct Polkowice Miasto 4.
Parent guarantee provided by Sanden International Europe Ltd, which is a
subsidiary of Sanden Holdings Corporation, a Japanese company that
produces air conditioning compressors, heat exchanger, freezer and
refrigerated showcases, vending machines for drinks and foods, and heating,
ventilation
Sanden operates all over the world excluding Africa
Independent property valuation €4,889,000
Property yield 8.37%
Net income €409,364
Asset type Modern light industrial / logistics warehouse
Percentage of portfolio 15%
GLA 6,527 m2
Warehouse and office GLA 6,211 m2 and 316 m2 respectively
Handover date 16 January 2017
Lease expiry 16 January 2029
Age Constructed in 2016 / 2017
Tenant Sanden Manufacturing Poland sp. z o.o.
Escalation Annual upward only escalations of European CPI
Lease type Triple net lease
Key guarantor statistics Ultimate parent statistics
Entity Sanden International Europe Ltd Sanden Holdings Corporation
Market cap n/a €460m (TYO Stock Exchange)
Revenue (FY2017) €560m
EBIT (FY2017) €2m
Net income (FY2017) €5m1
Interest cover ratio 0.6
Sanden is located next to the VW factory, together with a
service corridor. Sanden factory produces more than
1.5m compressors p.a.
Notes: (1) Positively impacted by dividends from investments
21
OVERVIEW OF PARENT GUARANTOR COMPANIES
Country
Description
Kongsberg Automotive ASA, a
Norwegian company that
produces system solutions to
light and commercial vehicle
makers (driver control, chassis,
fluid transfer, PTFE hoses for
automotive and industrial
applications, power electronic
systems)
Benteler International, an
Austrian company that produces
automotive and steel products;
develops and manufactures
chassis systems, structures,
engine, seamless tubes, and
welded tubes
STS Acoustics Spa, a subsidiary
of Mutares. STS is a global
automotive industry supplier that
produces acoustic and thermal
management systems for vehicle
manufacturers around the world;
and develops and produces
multifunctional lightweight
components for optimal
protection against noise and heat
Sanden International Europe Ltd,
which is a subsidiary of Sanden
Holdings Corporation (Japan),
produces air conditioning
compressors, heat exchanger,
freezer and refrigerated
showcases, vending machines
for drinks and foods, heating and
ventilation
Established 1987 1876 2000 1943
Selected key
customers
International automotive
customers including Volvo
International automotive
customers
International automobile
manufactures and refrigeration
customers
Market cap €400m (Oslo Stock Exchange) n/a €200m (DAX)1 €478m (TYO Stock Exchange)1
Revenue EUR986m EUR7,423m EUR132m EUR560m
Net profit EUR1.3m EUR111m EUR3m EUR5m
Debt/Equity 1.1 1.4 1.1 2.4
Interest cover 2.3 3.8 17.7 0.6
Current ratio 1.6 1.2 1.3 1.3
Notes: (1) Ultimate parent
22
Long-term
soverign
rating
S&P
GDP per head
($'000 at PPP)
(2016)
Real GDP per
capita 5 year
average
forward
growth rate
Private
consumption
real growth
(2016)
Personal
disposal
income 5 year
CAGR (2017-
2021)
5 year average
population
growth
Unemployme
nt rate (2016)
Consumer
price inflation
(2016)
Gross
national
savings rate
(2016)
Domestic
credit growth
(%)
Long-term Gvt
bond yield (%)
Total public
debt as % of
GDP
Trade
balance ($'bn)
Poland BBB+ 27.7 3.4% 3.8% 2.6% -0.1% 9.0% 2.0% 19.3% 6.9% 3.4% 48.4% 2.2
Germany AAA 48.9 1.7% 1.9% 2.8% 0.1% 4.2% 0.4% 27.5% 2.9% 0.4% 68.2% 300.8
SA BB+ 13.2 1.8% 0.8% 9.5% 1.2% 26.7% 6.6% 16.2% 9.5% 9.1% 50.7% 1.0
Bulgaria BB+ 19.2 2.9% 2.2% 7.0% -0.6% 8.7% -0.8% 24.5% -4.2% 1.3% 71.7% -2.0
Czech Republic AA- 35.0 2.4% 4.1% 5.0% 0.1% 4.0% 0.7% 27.2% 0.7% 1.6% 71.1% 10.3
Romania BBB- 23.9 3.6% 6.7% 7.3% -0.7% 5.9% -1.6% 22.7% -2.9% 4.4% 50.0% -10.2
Hungary BBB- 27.3 2.6% 5.0% 4.7% -0.3% 5.1% 2.8% 24.8% 0.9% 2.5% 74.3% 5.8
Slovakia A+ 31.2 3.3% 2.9% 3.4% 0.0% 9.5% 1.6% 20.8% 8.1% 0.8% 51.9% 2.5
Portugal BBB- 30.6 1.7% 2.3% 3.3% -0.4% 11.1% 1.4% 15.7% -1.4% 2.2% 130.4% -10.0
Italy BBB- 38.5 1.0% 1.3% 1.9% -0.1% 11.7% 1.7% 19.7% 2.3% 2.0% 132.5% 67.0
Greece B- 26.4 1.6% 1.4% 3.0% -0.2% 23.6% 1.0% 9.9% -7.7% 5.6% 179.4% -18.3
Spain BBB+ 36.5 2.4% 3.2% 2.7% 0.0% 19.6% 2.3% 22.4% 0.2% 1.6% 99.4% -16.0
Austria AA+ 51.1 1.8% 1.3% 3.1% 0.3% 6.0% 2.1% 25.5% 6.4% 0.6% 84.6% -0.2
Cyprus BB+ 32.8 3.1% 2.9% n/a 0.3% 13.1% 0.7% 10.7% -11.9% n/a 110.5% -4.0
Rank 9 2 4 12 8 7 5 10 3 4 14 6
BENCHMARKING POLAND TO PERCEIVED PEERS AND SA
Poland is an attractive investment environment based on macroeconomic fundamentals relative to its peers and SA
Commentary
Investment
grade rating
with stable
outlook
Still relatively
small in
comparison
with peers
Poland
expects one of
the highest
GDP per
capita growth
rates
High level of
real
consumption
growth bodes
well for the
economy
Attractive
personal
disposable
income relative
to more
developed
markets
Contracting
population
expected
Falling
unemployment
rate due to
increased
labour market
shortages
Positive CPI in
line with EU
targets
Savings rate
below that of
most peers
Increased
borrowings
ability in
Poland leading
to enhanced
development
Higher than
most peers
Lowest level of
debt to GDP
as compared
to its peers
Positive trade
balance
supported by
increased
exports
Note: (1) Germany included given its importance to Poland
Sources: Economic Intelligence Unit; Thomson Reuters
1
23
Poland’s strengthening trade position (in particular exports), steady GDP growth and infrastructure investment bodes well for the economy
Top Polish exports include high value products such as: automotive parts, cars, furniture and passenger and cargo ships
Automotive parts and components manufactured in Poland are highly respected in Europe, driving growth in the value of exportsand foreign investment
Between the years 2000 and 2007, exports in the independent automotive market increased by 27%, and in the following seven years by a further 31%
China / Polish relations continue to strengthen
- Poland recently issued a Chinese currency denominated bond diversify its funding sources
- Direct cargo train line between Chengdu, China and Lodz, Poland
- The new silk road route is set to run through Poland enhancing accessibility and could potentially increase trade activity
Well developed road
infrastructure with good
cross-boarder connections
via motor-ways running
through Poland’s main cities
Poland is located on the
overland “Belt and
Road” routes from China
to Europe and could be a
pivotal trade gateway
between the European
and Asian continents
POLAND IS IDEALLY LOCATED FOR EXPORT TRADE
Poland is the 19th (SA is 33rd) largest export economy in the world, with the EU accounting for 60% of all exports from Poland in 2016
27%
7% 7% 6% 5% 4%
45%
Germany UK Czech Republic France Italy Netherlands Other
Sources: Economic Intelligence Unit
Good infrastructure easily connecting Poland to Europe and Asia Poland’s largest trading partners in terms of export sales (2016)
24
2005-2006 2007 2010 2011 2015
Evolution of Polish politics
Poland admitted into the
European Union
Coalition government
(PiS/SDP) in place with stable
political environment
Coalition fails new coalition
formed (PO/PSL) with
stable political environment
New presidential election
held, won by PO party
Prime mister resigns to
become the president of the
European Council
New prime minster appointed
Stable political environment
continues
Elections held with PiS
winning outright majority for
the first time
Policy reforms start to be
implemented
In July 2017, Poland’s upper house ruled that government should have de facto control of the country’s supreme court justifying the decision as a reform to speed up judgments and
break the grip on the legal system of a privileged caste of lawyers and judges
The legislation appears to compromises judicial independence and undermined confidence in the rule of law free from political interference. Furthermore, the decision was in direct
defiance of the EU which explicitly opposed the measure
The rule is not yet signed into law and has been met with hard opposition through nationwide protests prompting President Andrzej Duda to state that he will veto two of the three
proposed laws (allowing one in relation to the appointment of the heads of Poland's lower courts)
The next parliamentary election is scheduled for 2019; the next presidential election is scheduled for mid-2020
The current political status has not appeared to deter foreign investment nor has it hampered economic growth
Poland’s strong macroeconomic backdrop should prevent fiscal slippage, with the budget deficit expected to remain below 3% of GDP in the short term
The governments proposed dismantling of Poland’s highest court led to some straining of relationships with the EU / US but reasoned Presidential oversight in response
to severe public backlash has softened the impact on trade relations
President
Prime minister
Lech Kaczynski
Jaroslaw Kaczynski
Lech Kaczynski
Donald Tusk
Bronislaw Komorowski
Donald Tusk
Bronislaw Komorowski
Ewa Kopacz
Andrzej Duda
Beata Szydio
Law and Justice Party (PiS) Civic Platform Party (PO)
POLAND’S POLITICAL OVERVIEW
Some political instability through recent government proposals with some comfort in harsh response from Poland populous
Strong and independent central bank continues to bolster economic stability and provides investor confidence
Recent political developments
BBB+ (positive) A- (stable) A- (stable) A- (stable) A- (positive)
Key :
Sovereign rating (S&P)
BBB+ (positive)
Current sovereign rating (S&P)
25
Poland as a real estate market has been characterized in recent years by
increasing investment and liquidity with some yield compression across sub-
sectors
Foreign investors represent the vast majority of the investment volume at 98%
with 40% from South African investors in 2016 although largely into multi-
tenanted retail assets
The market has been supported by sound economic fundamentals including a
prudent fiscal position and robust consumption with supportive monetary
policies – the country managed to avoid recession during the financial crisis
due to low levels of consumer debt and limited austerity applied by the lowly
geared fiscus
While there are some views that rates locally may rise to stabilize the return to
inflation, record low rates prevail supporting ongoing investmentSource: Colliers International, AR 2017
Source: Colliers International, AR 2017Source: Trading Economics / National Bank of Poland
%
POLISH REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW
Poland – a growing and supported real estate market
Total investment in the real estate sectorInterest rate history
Prime net initial yields by sub-sector
26
Share of market%
20%
12%
10%
8%
8%
Other investors 42%
The investment market in Polish industrial assets has grown significantly over
the last five years trebling in size compared to the average volumes between
2004 and 2011, resulting it becoming the dominate industrial and logistics
market in the region
Poland is a transparent market given the international developers and owners
operating within the country (Poland and SA ranked 24 and 74 respectively for
ease of doing business by the World Bank)
Warsaw demands one of the tightest initial yields on prime assets compared to
other CEE capital cities with the inner city demanding a substantial rental
premium over the assets in more regional locations
14 deals were recorded in 2016 totaling gross proceeds of €769m (six
portfolios, one platform and the balance in small and medium-size assets)
The largest buyers of assets in 2016 included:
Market share of existing warehouse space ownership in Poland
8.3
9.5
9.0
8.5
10.0
7.5
8.0
9.8
11.0
6.5 6.3
8.3
7.8
9.0
Warsaw Prague Budapest Bratislava Bucharest Sofia
2010 2014 2016
INDUSTRIAL AND LOGISTICS REAL ESTATE SECTOR
Regional markets gaining prominence as supply constrains the main central hubs
CEE Real Estate Investment Compass 2017; Colliers International
Source: JLL, Poland’s Industrial Market in 2016, February 2017
Source: JLL Report, H1 20017 warehousefinder.pl
1
Note: (1) Developed the portfolio APF is acquiring
Prime capital city industrial and logistics yields (%)
Industrial investment volume & prime yield
27
EUROPEAN CPI
Historic CPI and forecast CPI where available
Source: EIU
1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 1.9%
1.3%1.5% 1.6% 1.7% 1.8%
-1.00%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
9.00%
10.00%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F
EU CPI Euro Area CPI Harmonised CPI (HICP)
28
CAPABLE, EXPERIENCED AND ENTREPERNEURIAL LOCAL MANAGEMENT
PATRICK KIRWAN
Executive Director, BSc. MRICS
Hands on development, acquisition
and asset management experience
Significant local knowledge,
experience, networks and relationships
Highlights
Previous employers
Rendeavour (Deputy CEO), Newland Estates (MD), Ofer
Bothers-largest Israeli family office (Head of
development), JLL (Associate Director)
Activity highlights
Acquired, developed and managed over €1 billion of
commercial real estate in CEE
28 years of experience in commercial property (18 years
in CEE, 3 years in Africa & 7 in UK)
Marquee transactions and experience
Developed and managed in excess of €800 million
mixed use portfolio on behalf of Ofer family (35% IRR
achieved) including 3 shopping centres, General Electric
and Unilever Headquarters and 3 leading hotels
Developed and managed €180 million single tenant light
industrial portfolio with Newland Estates (4x equity
multiple achieved & 33% shareholder) including first
modern logistics buildings in Hungary and Romania
Acquisition and management of West African land
portfolio (Rendeavour) from $50 million to $330 million
(7x equity multiple & 3.5% shareholder)
Established CEE retail advisory and valuation
departments for JLL in CEE (1996-1998)
CEE portfolio valuer on behalf of CA Immo (largest
Austrian exchange listed company)
CHARLES BELLHOUSE
Executive Director, BA Hons. MA MRICS
Hands on acquisitions, disposals and
international tenant relations experience
Significant local knowledge, experience,
networks and relationships
Highlights
Previous employers
Victorios KFT, Cushman and Wakefield KFT
Activity highlights
Concluded €1.5 billion in transactions in Europe
13 years of experience in property market
Marquee transactions and experience
Retained #1 market position while at Cushman and
Wakefield throughout tenure
Grew the capital markets team into surrounding regional
markets
Acquisition of Hornbach Retail Warehouse in Vienna (return
of ca 14%) and acquisition of GE Power warehouse in
Poland (return of over 10%)
Forward funding of Rabobank HQ in the Netherlands (return
of over 10%)
Acquisitions of Bank Pekao’s CEE HQ in Warsaw (return of
over 10%) and H&M’s CEE logistics warehouse in Poznan,
Poland (return of over 12%)
Advised a seller on the most successful shopping centre sale
in the Budapest market (Campona Shopping Center, valued
at €80 million, sold for €115 million)
NICHOLAS APLAS
Finance, Treasury and Risk
Significant Finance, Treasury, Reporting,
and Risk management in Europe and Asia
B.Com, PGDF, CA (SA)
Highlights
Previous employers
IKOS Asset Management, Old Mutual PLC, Interoute
Telecommunications, A.T. Kearney, Arthur Andersen
Activity highlights
Corporate finance manager and COO for IKOS Asset
Management
Corporate financier during Old Mutual’s £4 billion hostile
cross-border takeover of Skandia AB
Marquee transactions and experience
As group treasury manager project managed the
centralisation of corporate treasury functions across
European operations
Set-up and ran the finance and risk function for the new
business unit as head of finance & risk for Asia-Pacific
Project managed and facilitated finance related projects at a
group level in a finance development manager role
Prepared a business case and financial model for the
redevelopment of a newly acquired hotel & golf resort in
Surrey
Performed external, internal and forensic audits of large and
medium sized companies
29
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