activities and plans in the us paul m. grant w2agz technologies san jose, ca usa
DESCRIPTION
Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA. “A Sober Assessment of Opportunities and Realities”. http://www.w2agz.com/BD_3TUW09.htm. New Holland & The Hudson Valley. Barents Baltus (1659) > Baltus Barents van Kleeck (?)(1702) > Poughkeepsie. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Activities and Plans in the USPaul M. Grant
W2AGZ TechnologiesSan Jose, CA USA
“A Sober Assessment of Opportunities and Realities”
http://www.w2agz.com/BD_3TUW09.htm
![Page 2: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
New Holland & The Hudson Valley
Barents Baltus (1659) > Baltus Barents van Kleeck (?)(1702) > Poughkeepsie
![Page 3: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
USElectric Power 101
![Page 4: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
~$2 trillion total asset value
$344 billion annual revenues
142 million customers
3273 utilities
Without electric power the $14.3 trillion
U.S. economy would come to a halt
- Electricity Today - The Crown Jewel of the US Economy
![Page 5: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
NYC circa 1890s
![Page 6: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Fathers of American Electric Power
![Page 7: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
The US Electrical System
![Page 8: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
US Electricity Generation Sources
![Page 9: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
US Electricity Flow - 20071 Quad = 0.29 TkWh
US Generation Capacity = 1.1 TWGross Generation = 4.33 GkWh(T&D Losses)/(End Use) = 10%
![Page 10: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
The US Transmission Grid(s)• 300,000 km• 500 companies• 10% Losses
![Page 11: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
North American HVDC
![Page 12: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Pacific Intertie• HVDC, +/- 500 kV, 3.1 kA, 3.1 GW• 1,362 km• ~50% of LA Power Consumption • Converter/Inverter Losses ~ 5%• Ohmic Losses ~ 10%
Celilo I/C Station“A Mountain of Silicon”
![Page 13: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
NERC Interconnects
Source: DOE 2006 National Electric Transmission Study
![Page 14: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
The Grid:A Journey Though the Heart of Our Electrified World
By Phillip F. ScheweJoseph Henry Press, 2007 (Buy It!)
Reviewed by Paul M. Grant:
Plugged into the matrixThe rise and potential fall of the US electricity grid
Nature 447, 145 (2007)http://www.w2agz.com/Publications/Book%20Reviews/06%20%282007%29%20Plugged%20Into%20the%20Matrix.pdf
![Page 15: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Where Can We Use Superconductivity?
Potentially Everywhere …maybe
![Page 16: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Superconductivity Act of 1988
DOE Program: ~ 20 Years @ ~ $50 M/yr = $1 B
![Page 17: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
HTSC Utility Market
10 More Years!
![Page 18: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
![Page 19: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
![Page 20: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
![Page 21: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
![Page 22: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
![Page 23: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
![Page 24: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
![Page 25: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
![Page 26: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
![Page 27: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
2010 DOE OED&ER Budget Request
?
WOW !
![Page 28: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
Wiring the World with Copper Oxides
![Page 29: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
HTSC Power Technology is Here
• …and it works!– …perhaps still a little pricey, though
• …so where’s the demand?• …what needs to be fixed?• …why isn’t is being used?
– …would it help if the wire/tape were free?
![Page 30: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Projected 2008 Congested Paths in the Eastern Interconnection
Source: DOE 2006 National Electric Transmission Study
![Page 31: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
Western Interconnection
Source: DOE 2006 National Electric Transmission Study
![Page 32: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
Real-Life Power Flows
Can we defeat (macroscopically) Kirchhoff's Laws?
![Page 33: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
Chaos on the Grid
Business as usual
Business when a crowbar is thrown
across the lines
![Page 34: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
How many 9’s?
• Average rms Voltage = 116.25 volts • Deviation = +/- 3.0 volts• Percentage = ~ 3.5%• Not Exactly “Five 9’s”
“Easily accommodated by most PC power supplies…no problem.”
07/25/04 3:30-6:00 PM, Sunday, SJ, CA 95120--W2AGZ Server Voltage
![Page 35: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
San Francisco ‘00
Chicago ‘99
New Orleans ‘99
Atlanta ‘99
Delaware ‘99
New York ‘99Detroit ‘00
West Coast ’96
1818
17
San Francisco ‘00
Chicago ‘99
New Orleans ‘99
Atlanta ‘99
New York ‘99Detroit ‘00
West Coast ’96Northern California ‘01
Delaware ‘99
Texas ‘03
Blackouts
Northeast ‘03
![Page 36: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
Northeast 8/14/03
![Page 37: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
As Night Falls…
![Page 38: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
The Party Begins…
![Page 39: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
…and Continues…
![Page 40: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
It Gets Better…
![Page 41: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
and Better…
![Page 42: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/42.jpg)
The Morning After
![Page 43: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/43.jpg)
Viva New York!
![Page 44: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/44.jpg)
Can “New” Transmission Technology Help?
• Yes, but probably not superconductivity in a big way, at least for a while.
• More likely, “smart” grid stuff will come first– HVDC cables and lines– FACTS to increase present corridor capacity by
30%– IT and communications plus an “OS/360” to more
effectively and efficiently management power flows
P. M. Grant, DOE Presentation, 2004
![Page 45: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/45.jpg)
Financials
$750 M ($400 M “VC”, $350 M “Futures”)
• Loan Payment (4%, 40 yrs, 750 M$) = 35 M$/yr• Labor, Overhead, Maintenance = 5 M$/yr• Tariff = 0.5 ¢/kWh• Profit (NOI) @ 50% Capacity = 4 M$/yr• Profit (NOI) @ Full Capacity = 48 M$/yr
Specifications
2-1000 MW HVDC Bipolar Circuits
• Circuit 1: 130 miles, Greene County → Bronx County• Circuit 2: 140 miles, Albany County → New York
County• Each Circuit: +/- 500 kV, 1000 A Bipolar (2 cables
ea.)
Why didn’t it go forward?Wire C/P = 100 $/kA×mHTSC Cost = $87 M
![Page 46: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/46.jpg)
Sayerville, NJ → Levittown LI, NY
- 600 MW (+/- 250 kV, 1200 A)- 65 miles (105 km)- $400 M- 2007
Pirelli (Prysmian)Energy Cables
$190 M
T 77 K
C/P$/
kA×m
Cost ($M)
Cu 7 1.8
HTSC 100 25.1
Financials40 yrs @ 4%: $ 20MLOM: 1 MNOI (100%): 5 M
![Page 47: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/47.jpg)
So Where’s the “Gold Rush” to Superconductivity?
• What’s the analogy to the Erie Canal, Railroads, REA, TVA, Interstate Highways that opened the country to economic development?– Capacity? Possibly– Reliability? Maybe– Power Quality? Nah
![Page 48: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/48.jpg)
![Page 49: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/49.jpg)
![Page 50: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/50.jpg)
![Page 51: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/51.jpg)
![Page 52: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/52.jpg)
![Page 53: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/53.jpg)
![Page 54: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/54.jpg)
![Page 55: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/55.jpg)
![Page 56: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/56.jpg)
1250 Miles
4 GW
460 Miles
500 kV
![Page 57: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/57.jpg)
![Page 58: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/58.jpg)
“Superconduct-ress”
![Page 59: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/59.jpg)
Mr. Electric Utility Good Ol’ Boy
![Page 60: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/60.jpg)
Miss Same Old Technology
![Page 61: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/61.jpg)
Together Forever?
![Page 62: Activities and Plans in the US Paul M. Grant W2AGZ Technologies San Jose, CA USA](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022062323/568154cc550346895dc2ce12/html5/thumbnails/62.jpg)