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Activities & Plans 2007

Dijana Klaric Met service of Croatia

RC LACE Project Leader

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RC LACE report

Environment &

R&D highlightsR&D highlights

Operations and Common actions

From Evaluation 2 Future

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Regional Cooperationenvironment

Members:Au-Cr-Cz-Hu-Ro-Si-Sk

Co-operation:R&D on meso-scale NWP

Operations

Common actions

RC LACE MoU RC LACE Budget

7 NWP teamsLACE MG Project Leader,

4 Working Group Leaders,

ALADIN SC, Data Manager

ALADIN partners

HIRLAM

SRNWP

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2006/2007 ALADIN-LACE-HIRLAM actions

ALARO training at Radostovice, March 2007 14 participants -all LACE Members (+ MF, Be, PT, Mc + Denmark)

ALADIN-HIRLAM LAM-EPS WS (November 2006, Vienna)

GLAMEPS Project at ECMWF

SRNWP WS on Numerical tech. ( December 2006, Zagreb)

ALADIN-HIRLAM coordination on SURFACE and DA issues (SURFEX WS, SRNWP WS on DA)

ALADIN-HIRLAM general WSALADIN-HIRLAM general WS at Oslo April 2007at Oslo April 2007

Surface Assimilation (CANARI) WS at Budapest, Nov 2007

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R&D overview

LACE Scientific Plans 2006; 2007 main input for ALADIN Scientific plans

IFS environment:

Arpege(Global) -Aladin(Alaro10km) -Arome (2.5km)

4 R&D working groups: Dynamics , Physics , Data Assimilation, Predictability

40 scientists: 7 NWP teams + visitors

25-30 person x month funds /year 2007

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Physics (10km->5km) ALARO

ALARO-0, step 1 (system) Equations and interface (loss of mass due to precipitation

is considered ); Prognostic cloud water (microphysics 5 water species); Radiation –NER formulation; Turbulence (pseudo- prognostic TKE scheme); Cloudiness issue (improved optical properties, new

saturation cloud model) ALARO-0, step 2 (multi-scale, “grey-zone”)

Sub-grib scale convection - 3MT

3MT - Microphysics and TransportMicrophysics and Transport for SGS convection for SGS convection +Multiscale +Modular =3MT

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ALARO Diagnostics

Model consistency and performance

(ALARO: more memory, less CPU – better optimized)

DDH tool for diagnostic (IFS basic, AAA developed)

Model comparison ALARO vs ALADIN Physics

ALARO –v0: operative at CZ, A, Be,..... (new ALADIN)

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ALARO plans 2007->

Governing equations: extension to compressible case (NH)

Pseudo-prognostic TKE-scheme: new mixing length formulation; an 'analytical' CBR interpretation within p-TKE

Radiation: modularization,better aerosol model 3MT: validation and tuning, sensitivity to mid-

troposphere humidity , test of convection diurnal cycle, triggering of convection

(Team; JF Geleyn, JM Piriou, B Catry, L Gerard, R Brozkova, N Pristov, D Banciu ,M Tudor, F Vana, J Masek, J Cedilnik......)

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ALARO-0 Project- Overview of R&D pxm o networking part only (fresh funds)o without home R&D , phasing and coordination efforts

Year ALADIN-2 LACE M F CHMI Flat-Rate FR/LACE Total

2004 1 1.5 2 2 6.5

2005 2.5 5.5 3 3.5 14.5

2006 1.5 5 2 1.5 3.5 13.5

2007 2 6 3.5 1.5 13

Total 5 pxm

18 pxm

7 pxm

7 pxm

7 pxm

1.5

pxm

45.5 pxm

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R&D status

Results

NH ALADIN Dynamics 3D VAR DA (10km) Multi scale physics Meso-scale EPS

Operations (06/07) ALARO 10kn physics

LAEF

Desires

NH ALADIN -VFE Coupling 4D-VAR, Surface SURFEX

GLAMEPS (+)

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GLAMEPS_v0- test phase

HIRLAM -66? members

ECMWF targeted singular vectors (TEPS)

OT - 24h

-3 TEPS domains

- 2 HIRLAM physics

- (10 memx2 mod x3domains)

ALADIN – 22 members

Downscaling of ECMWF EPS

22km/44km ALADIN lat/lon post-proc. (INM sys) Next step: ALADIN native

singular vectors (tests)

(OT =+12h, +24h)

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Products

www.rclace.eu

ALADIN deterministic 7 ALADIN models + Global Verification package ALADIN Multi-grams

ALADIN pEPS

LAEF products Downscaling of ECMWF EPS(16+cont, 18 km)- EPS grams- Probability charts- StampsPlanned:- Multi-physics- Blending

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FDP MAP D-Phase

MAP D-phase Demonstration Project (June-Nov 2007)

- Probabilistic hydrological and meteorological simulations for heavy rains and flood events

- Contribution of LACE via Austrian team

- ALADIN/Austria for deterministic products (ALARO phy)

(∆x= 9.6km, 45 levels, dyn. adaptation)

- ALADIN LAEF probability products (24h precipitation)

(∆x= 18km, 37 levels, 16 mem +contr. from ECMWF EPS)

- Disseminated to

MAP D-Phase center

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RC LACEMonitoring of Observation Network

Non-GTS SYNOP DA ALADIN /HU 3D VAR DA Impact Study Data: SYNOP, TEMP,

AIREP,AMV,Wind pr, AMSU AB SYNOP Observation distribution Neutral impact

CANARI OI for surface assim.

LACE Data manager

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LACE Evaluation

Project Evaluation after 10 year activities (1996-2006)- To give independent advices about future development

Recommendations To overcome the duplication of the operational efforts To suppress draining of resources on maintaining and downstream

applications. To provide small NWP centers with a complete NWP system.

Stronger governance: more working hours for LACE MG

TASK Sharing via Lead Centers: Operations and research

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LACE Future 2008 ->

Action Plan for implementation of (Working Group)

Political decision for the closer operative cooperation (toward the Projects with operative deliverables)

Leading centers => Responsible center Bottom-up => Top-down planning Projects (priority list, deliverables, Responsible center)

New Management Group: PM, 4AL, ASC, DA

LACE MoU III (2008-2012) LACE 10-years strategy