acutely missing the chronic crisis. missing what? under-lying, slow-changing, “chronic” food...

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Acutely missing the chronic crisis

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Page 1: Acutely missing the chronic crisis. Missing what? Under-lying, slow-changing, “chronic” food security, nutritional, environmental, or livelihood problems

Acutely missing the chronic crisis

Page 2: Acutely missing the chronic crisis. Missing what? Under-lying, slow-changing, “chronic” food security, nutritional, environmental, or livelihood problems

Missing what?

Under-lying, slow-changing, “chronic” food security, nutritional, environmental,

or livelihood problems

that remain permanently near or beyond emergency levels of prevalence

or that may pass from critical into emergency levels with almost no evident

tipping-point event.

Page 3: Acutely missing the chronic crisis. Missing what? Under-lying, slow-changing, “chronic” food security, nutritional, environmental, or livelihood problems

The problem, illustrated: Niger

Locust and drought issues had minor human impacts

High prices were a major hit on food security and the household economy

Richest farming areas were where severe acute malnutrition issues appeared to be worst

Was there a nutritional “crisis”?

Only if you agree there always is.

Page 4: Acutely missing the chronic crisis. Missing what? Under-lying, slow-changing, “chronic” food security, nutritional, environmental, or livelihood problems

The problem, illustrated: Niger

Chronically severe acute malnutrition levels are:

present in all parts of the country and above critical levels,

present every season, every year. They probably vary, yes, but apparently in a small range

Page 5: Acutely missing the chronic crisis. Missing what? Under-lying, slow-changing, “chronic” food security, nutritional, environmental, or livelihood problems

The problem, illustrated: Niger

Everywhere… All the time…Crisis levels…Peuch, IRAM, 2006

Page 6: Acutely missing the chronic crisis. Missing what? Under-lying, slow-changing, “chronic” food security, nutritional, environmental, or livelihood problems

The problem, illustrated: Niger

• Mostly infants of 6-24 mos

• Rest of siblings and family members are “fine”

• Causality: malaria, poor water, infant feeding, poor mother’s education, poor health and sanitation facilities

-- plus poor and insufficient diet/consumption

Peuch, IRAM, 2006

Page 7: Acutely missing the chronic crisis. Missing what? Under-lying, slow-changing, “chronic” food security, nutritional, environmental, or livelihood problems

High prices were hammering the household. Panic at the household, market, donor, Press, and international levels

Motivated humanitarian actors made it an issue. Gathered infants.

Why did the crisis become so prominent at this time?

The problem, illustrated: Niger

Page 8: Acutely missing the chronic crisis. Missing what? Under-lying, slow-changing, “chronic” food security, nutritional, environmental, or livelihood problems

The problem, illustrated: Niger

Don’t forget that there are more severely malnourished children with 250 km of Maradi than anywhere else in the world

Page 9: Acutely missing the chronic crisis. Missing what? Under-lying, slow-changing, “chronic” food security, nutritional, environmental, or livelihood problems

The view since then:

• Most agree this was mostly a nutritional problem, and secondarily a food problem, due to high prices

• Most agree this was not a food shortage-driven famine

• Most agree that non-food causality is (a/the) major factor

• Most agree we need to respond with more than food

The problem, illustrated: Niger

Page 10: Acutely missing the chronic crisis. Missing what? Under-lying, slow-changing, “chronic” food security, nutritional, environmental, or livelihood problems

Will it happen this year?

• Prices are higher than average, but stable

• Malnutrition rates haven’t apparently changed much

• It could, but probably won’t in Niger

The problem, illustrated: Niger

Page 11: Acutely missing the chronic crisis. Missing what? Under-lying, slow-changing, “chronic” food security, nutritional, environmental, or livelihood problems

Problems of EW/M&A approach

FAv and FAc are generally seen as the most important causes of FI and a FS crisis.

FUt conditions are most often seen as pre-disposing dimensions of FI, V or a FS crisis.

Indicators of food utilization (FUt) are rarely regularly monitored or assessed.

The context, or “baseline”, is assumed to be a stable, “normal” condition in which problems arise

The causality of malnutrition is most often assumed to be a food-related (FAv and FAc) problem

Page 12: Acutely missing the chronic crisis. Missing what? Under-lying, slow-changing, “chronic” food security, nutritional, environmental, or livelihood problems

Problems of EW/M&A approach

A high prevalence of acute malnutrition is generally the most “impactful” indicator of a “FS” crisis.

But, a permanently high prevalence of acute and severe acute malnutrition has not been considered a crisis in some areas.

Monitoring and assessing prevalence levels of malnutrition has to be a primary objective for EW and FS M&A

A need to monitor chronic conditions will require EW and FS M&A to adjust (its/their) approach

Page 13: Acutely missing the chronic crisis. Missing what? Under-lying, slow-changing, “chronic” food security, nutritional, environmental, or livelihood problems

Need to adjust concepts?

Early warning?

“Food security”, and food insecurity vs humanitarian crisis

Malnutrition ≠ starvation ≠ shortage of food ≠ famine

The place of FUt and malnutrition in EW and FS M&A

New EW and FS M&A tools and methods

Page 14: Acutely missing the chronic crisis. Missing what? Under-lying, slow-changing, “chronic” food security, nutritional, environmental, or livelihood problems

Well?

Do the same problems found in Niger exist elsewhere?

What is the place of malnutrition in the food security concept (FAv, FAc, FUt, V)?

What are the options for more effective early warning and food security monitoring and assessment?

What is needed for more effective humanitarian response to malnutrition. Is it likely?