adam guy - sustainable severn forum 2015

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Governance and the Tidal Thames A Talk for Sustainable Severn, December 2015 by Adam Guy Ex-Programme Manager, Thames Estuary Partnership Office for the Vice-Provost (Research), University College London

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Page 1: Adam guy - Sustainable Severn Forum 2015

Governance and the Tidal Thames

A Talk for Sustainable Severn, December 2015 by

Adam Guy

Ex-Programme Manager, Thames Estuary PartnershipOffice for the Vice-Provost (Research), University College London

Page 2: Adam guy - Sustainable Severn Forum 2015

Is governance ‘ownership’?

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Owners or stakeholders?

Citizens

State Companies

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Who owns the Thames Estuary?

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The City?

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The Country?

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A wasteland?

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Thames history

• 12th Century - Crown sold river to City for cash• Aldermen administer a huge and disparate conflict-riven territory

• 18th Century - Thames Commission• Uncoordinated bunch of country squires and riparian landowners• River full of obstructions and experienced material decline and pollution

• 19th Century - Thames Conservancy• Bazalgette row led to ownership change in tideway riverbed and soils• Eventually incorporated Thames Commission as well

• 20th Century - Thames Water Authority and PLA• TWA > National Rivers Authority > EA, and Thames Water utility co.

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Historical governance problems:

Navigation

Access

Pollution

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Current governance problems:

Navigation

Access

Pollution

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EA governance paradigm

Society

Environment Economy

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So who governs or funds the Estuary?Port of London Authority (PLA)• Navigation, safety, obstructionsEnvironment Agency (EA)• Ecology, safety, qualityCorporation of London (‘The City’)• Health, imported foodsThames Water• Water supply, waste, & quality

Greater London Authority (GLA)Essex and Kent County Councils• Planning, development, people

The Public?

Safety

Socio-economic Environment

Integrated (Water)Management

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A fulcrum in funding?

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Opportunities: Socio-economic

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Crossrail

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Opportunities: Ecological

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Thames Tideway (Tunnel)

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Opportunities: Safety

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TE2100

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Why governance opportunities?

• Socio-economic• Talent pipeline: Crossrail > Thames Tunnel > TE2100• Embed emerging Natural Capital/Ecosystem Services

• Ecological• Habitat Creation: Managed Realignment• Sustainable Urban Drainage (SUDS)• Modal transport shift - road to river

• Safety• TE2100 - Flood Security: New funding models• EU WFD - Water quality: Sharing responsibility

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Governance model: Partnership

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Criticism: Still too top-down?Local stakeholder • NIMBY

• Why can’t I walk my dog?• Rewilding - dangerous?• No surrender to the sea

• Language gaps• Science blind• Deny climate change• Eco-burn/blind

• Interest groups• Local• Developers• EU policy• NGO/Voluntary

Page 23: Adam guy - Sustainable Severn Forum 2015

Research approach

• Alternative to ‘stakeholder consultation’ methods• Heimat or ‘belonging’ rather than policy/funding• UK Research Council - NERC/EPSRC Funding• Create product - reproducible, cross-applications

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One values-driven solution?

• Capture uncertainty - interval method/fuzzy logic• Reduce ‘big-man’ effect - proportionate, no ‘loss’• Clear audit trail - why/how did we decide that?• New conservation ‘grammar’

• Values: why [do we care about our environment]?• Elements: what [things are we talking about]?• Properties: how [do we change these things]?

• Ultimately - iterative link to cost-benefit decisions• i.e. how do we decide what to spend to get the best ‘value’

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Method

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Analysis

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Results 1: Why? = Values

Value Stakeholder’s Perspective Personal Perspective

Rating Rank Rating Rank

Health (phys/env) 7.166 1 6.935 2

Health (protection) 6.769 2 6.249 6

Future Opportunities 6.607 3 5.879 9

Adequate Resources 6.59 4 6.315 5

Knowledge/Heritage 6.325 5 6.324 4

Aesthetic Pleasure 5.651 6 7.486 1

Spiritual/Philosophical 5.651 6 6.153 8

Meaningful Occupation 5.473 8 6.691 3

Recreation 4.979 9 6.164 7

Page 28: Adam guy - Sustainable Severn Forum 2015

Results 2: What? = ElementsElement Adequate Resources Aesthetic Pleasure Recreation Health (Protection)

Rating Rank Rating Rank Rating Rank Rating Rank

Hard Flood Defence Structures

6.411 5 6.828 4 7.294 3 7.483 3

Soft Flood Defence Structure

6.561 4 7.466 3 7.534 1 7.633 2

Sewage Treatment Work

8.27 1 7.918 2 7.231 4 7.756 1

Fish/Eel Passes

4.903 8 4.682 7 5.172 7 3.959 8

Fish 6.03 6 5.868 6 6.565 6 4.181 7

Shellfish 6.711 3 4.092 8 4.186 8 4.289 6

Riverside Vegetation 5.104 7 8.439 1 7.228 5 7.318 4

Disease Species

8.203 2 6.531 5 7.316 2 6.896 5

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Results 3: How? = Properties

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Future governance research?

• Universities: • Plymouth, Nottingham, Western Australia?

• Partnership or stakeholder model of management• Seek active management group making changes• Appropriately scaled problem/management group• Fluvial or coastal, or other governance problem?

[email protected]