adapt or die surviving a changing market

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Adapt or Die – Surviving a Changing Market

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Page 1: Adapt or Die Surviving a Changing Market

Adapt or Die – Surviving a Changing Market

Page 2: Adapt or Die Surviving a Changing Market

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Past 30 Years • Regulated – Set Generation Prices / Inventory Levels Don’t Matter / Price No Issue

/ Got to Have the Part… NO matter what it takes• Have never had to suffer through a major downturn or catastrophic event

except for TMI (more New Build Related)• No real consequence for being inefficient• Nuclear Renaissance

The New World • De-Regulated (or acting that way) – Open Market / Inventory Levels Matter /

Price an Issue / Maybe the part really isn’t needed (demand)• Electricity Demand Low / Cheap Natural Gas / Renewables • Consequence for being inefficient – Closure• The DNP • Death of Domestic New Build – International Expansion

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Selling Less

Cutting Prices

Extending Terms

To Buy Less

Better

Terms

To Pay Less

Lower Prices

Lower Quality

Lower Service

Suppliers Exiting the Industry

Customer wants…

Suppliers are…

Result

Page 5: Adapt or Die Surviving a Changing Market

My Background…… A lot of “Acute” and “Chronic” Change

⊲ Power Plant Mechanic Erie Plant 1979-85

⊲ Charter Boat Fishing Captain and Hunting Guide 1985-1991 Featured in Outdoor Life, Field & Stream and Sports Afield

⊲ President/CEO/Owner of AP Services 1987-2012 Started Nuclear Division in 1989

Five Time USA Supplier of the Year

⊲ GM of Nova/AP Services and VP Sales Curtiss Wright 2012-14 Nova turnaround and refocus on Domestic Fastener and RE Programs

⊲ President of ATC Nuclear 2014-2017 “Best-in-Class” 3rd Party CGD, Reverse Engineering and Supply Chain Programs

Doubled Sales in three years

⊲ Acquired ATC Nuclear on August 30th 2017 and now Paragon CEO

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70’s – 1986

Lake Erie Salmon Fishing

“In early 1985 I quit my job to become a

full time Charter Captain. In late 1985

Pennsylvania announces they were

discontinuing their Salmon stocking

program”

1986 – 1993

Lake Ontario Salmon Fishing

“The Choice – Move my

operation to somewhere

with Salmon or shut down the

Business”

Doug VanTassell 1985

Joe Cinelli 1987

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?

Acute and Chronic Market Changes

Steel Industry Collapse

Coal Plant Closures

WBN2

1980 1990

2005

2010Gas Fracking

WBN2 Ends

Focus on Power Gen

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Programs aligned to support the future needs for the

industry

•Circuit Card and Power Supply Focus

•Repair Program

•Reverse Engineering in Analog – Nuclear Plants struggle with Digital

I&C

•Environmental Qualification

•Commercial Dedication

•Seismic Testing

•NRC and NUPIC Audited

CGD•Safety Related storage

• Investment Recovery

•Sourcing and Logistics

•$100M in stock

•Safety Related MRO Items

Inventory Management

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Bad NUPIC Audit

Poor Culture

Declining Sales

Profit Going to Corporate

Stellar NUPIC Audit

Doubled Sales in two years

Profit Going to the Business

2014 2017

Page 10: Adapt or Die Surviving a Changing Market

Step 1 – Develop a REAL Strategic Plan

⊲ Trends Market Demand

Technologies

Political

Nuclear Specific

⊲ Voice of the Customer What they want and why

How are we doing

⊲ Internal Assessment Operations, Sales, Industry Position, etc.…

Start with the Management Team

⊲ Competitive Analysis SWOT

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Industry Trends

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Nuclear Trends

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Voice of the Customer…. Help me please achieve the DNP

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Internal Assessment – STRAT Team (use Survey Monkey)

⊲ Operations

⊲ Systems

⊲ Teamwork

⊲ Culture

⊲ External Image

⊲ Internal Image

⊲ Pricing

⊲ Service Levels

⊲ Organizational Alignment

⊲ HR

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Step 2 – Deep Financial Dive

⊲ Use new projections created in the plan as the basis for sales,

GM and profit

⊲ Create as much visibility as possible to each business line by

contribution (Sales, GP and indirect costs)

⊲ Review fixed costs as % of sales

⊲ Trend these indictors on a 3 year history and 3 year proforma

⊲ Act on the results

Increase or decrease in operating expenses based on growth or decline

Careful review of cash flow – Expected/Best Case/Worst Case

Be like a small business, even if you are part of a larger

conglomerate

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Step 3 – Teamwork “Its all up Leadership”

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