adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience in Queensland
Marcello Sanò, PhD
![Page 2: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Griffith Centre for Coastal Management | Moffatt & Nichol
![Page 3: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Griffith Centre for Coastal Management | Moffatt & Nichol
![Page 4: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Griffith Centre for Coastal Management | Moffatt & Nichol
![Page 5: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Griffith Centre for Coastal Management | Moffatt & Nichol
![Page 6: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Griffith Centre for Coastal Management | Moffatt & Nichol
![Page 7: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Griffith Centre for Coastal Management | Moffatt & Nichol
![Page 8: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Outline
Coastal hazards in Queensland
Research methods in climate
change adaptation
From research to practice:
developing coastal hazard
adaptation strategies
Benefits for the United States
![Page 9: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Coastal hazards in Queensland
![Page 10: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Coastal geography
25M people
High density coastal settlements
Tropical cyclones
Storm tides
Beach erosion
Ocean acidification (GBR)
Griffith Centre for Coastal Management | Moffatt & Nichol
![Page 11: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Tropical cyclones
![Page 12: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Tropical cyclones
![Page 13: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Storm tides (=storm surge+tide)
![Page 14: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Coastal erosion
![Page 15: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Coastal erosion
![Page 16: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Inundations
![Page 17: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Climate change
![Page 18: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Climate change
Southward migration of cyclones
Increased intensity ~10%
Changes in the wave climate
![Page 19: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Climate change
![Page 20: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Proserpina Dam, Spain, 200 AD
![Page 21: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Venice Murazzi, ca. 1750 AD
![Page 22: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Commonwealth
Limited intervention in planning
Policy guidance in the coastal zone
Directly manage activities within the EEZ
International environmental affairs
$$$
![Page 23: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
States
Policy guidance in regional and
urban planning
Policy guidance in coastal hazard
management
Agriculture and fisheries
management
Nature conservation, parks
Social and economic affairs
![Page 24: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
Initiatives
![Page 25: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Initiatives
![Page 26: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
Research methods in climate change adaptation
![Page 27: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
Methods
Vulnerability mapping
Social network analysis
Stakeholder-driven adaptation options
Scenario planning
Adaptive capacity: systems thinking
and bayesian modelling
![Page 28: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
Vulnerability
Identify vulnerable communities
Census and statistical data
Inform risk mapping
![Page 29: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
Social network analysis
Map community structure
Identify key stakeholders
Optimize stakeholder
engagement
![Page 30: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Research-based pathways
![Page 31: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
Research-based policies
![Page 32: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
Scenario planning
Identify adaptation options with
stakeholders
Scenario planning: test
adaptation options under
different scenarios
Refine adaptation option pool
![Page 33: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
Adaptive capacity
Engage with stakeholders
Identify determinants of
adaptive capacity to implement
options
Use of systems thinking and
bayesian modeling
![Page 34: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
From research to practice: developing coastal hazard adaptation strategies
![Page 35: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
Decision making tool
![Page 36: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
Coastal hazard adaptation strategies (CHAS)
QLD Government $12M funding 2016-
2018
Local government $ matching
41 Local government areas eligible
Expert guidance, guidelines and tools
![Page 37: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
CHAS guidelines
1. Stakeholder engagement plan
2. Scoping of issues to be addressed
3. Coastal hazard mapping
4. Identification of system components
5. Risk mapping
6. Identification of adaptation options
7. Multi-criteria assessment and CBA
8. Trigger points for implementation, etc.
![Page 38: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
Stakeholder engagement plan
![Page 39: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
Scoping issues
• Coastal processes
• Ecosystems
• Buildings and infrastructure
• Socio-economics
• Selection of specific localities
![Page 40: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
Hazard mapping
Queensland Government maps:
Coastal erosion and storm tides
High or medium hazard areas
0.8 m sea level rise
1% AEP / 100 year ARI
GIS overlay to assets maps
![Page 41: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
Identification of system components
Coastal ecosystems and parks
Buildings and infrastructure
Planning instruments
Public services
Recreation, culture and
values
![Page 42: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/42.jpg)
Risk = Probability x Consequences
![Page 43: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/43.jpg)
Risk = Probability x Consequences
![Page 44: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/44.jpg)
Identification of adaptation options
1. Regenerative options 1.1 Beach nourishment 1.2 Dune construction and regeneration
1.3 Riparian corridor restoration and generation
1.4 Wetland restoration
2. Coastal engineering options
2.1 Artificial reefs 2.2 Detached breakwaters
2.3 Groynes and artificial headlands 2.4 Sea dykes
2.5 Seawalls 2.6 Storm surge barriers
3. Coastal settlement design options
3.1 Building retrofitting and improved design
3.2 Flood-resilient public infrastructure 3.3 Raise land levels
4. Planning options 4.1 Development setbacks
4.2 Land buy-back 4.3 Land swap
4.4 Land-use planning
![Page 45: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/45.jpg)
Socio-economic appraisal - MCA
![Page 46: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/46.jpg)
Socio-economic appraisal - CBA
![Page 47: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/47.jpg)
Implementation
1. Trigger points
2. Monitoring plan
(10 years
update)
3. Financial plan:
funding
mechanisms
![Page 48: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/48.jpg)
Training Monday 29 of April
• Coastal Processes and impacts
• Coastal modeling
• Impacts, vulnerability and risk
• Shoreline erosion management
• Coastal hazard adaptation
Tuesday 30 of April
• Policies and planning
• Stakeholder engagement
• Shoreline Erosion Management Plans
• Coastal Hazard Adaptation Strategies
• Case studies
![Page 49: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/49.jpg)
Potential applications to the US
![Page 50: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/50.jpg)
East coast
![Page 51: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/51.jpg)
California
![Page 52: Adaptation down under: planning for coastal resilience › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 01 › ... · 3. Coastal hazard mapping 4. Identification of system components 5. Risk](https://reader033.vdocument.in/reader033/viewer/2022042405/5f1cb22ff0cb994996309997/html5/thumbnails/52.jpg)
Lousiana