adaptation learning exchange: climate ready clyde ... · guglielmo tell – ambiente italia river...
TRANSCRIPT
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Adaptation Learning Exchange:Climate Ready Clyde Accelerator
DAY TWOStrathclyde TIC| 29 November 2016
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Recap / Reflections
Anna Beswick | Programme Manager
Strathclyde TIC| 29 November 2016
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Day 1 recap
• What did you get out of the day?
• What would you like to get from day 2?
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Overview – day 2
09:30 – 10:00 Recap – day 1 Anna10:00 – 11:30 Climate impacts in GCV Joe11:30 – 11:45 Coffee/ Tea11:45 – 12:15 Co-dependencies Partnership working Kit12:15 – 13:00 Lessons learned – insights from Kristen
London and Bologna Giovanni13:00 – 14:00 Lunch14:00 – 16:00 The Adaptation process Kit
16:00 – 16:35 Next Steps Joe
16:35 – 16:45 Feedback and close Joe
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Climate Impacts on the Region, Your Organisation
Strathclyde TIC| 29 November 2016
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Our adaptation process:
This stage of the process includes:• Learning about past climate trends and future projections• Understanding how your place, assets, services or priorities have been affected by severe weather events in
the past• Considering how your place, assets, services or priorities might be affected as our climate continues to change
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Tools & Guidance
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Ellie Murtagh (University of Strathclyde)
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We’re going to make a start now…
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15 Key Consequences for Scotland (Scottish Climate Change Adaptation Programme)
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Activity: Identify a climate / weather related-impact that has occurred recently or might occur in the future in the Glasgow City Region. Try to be specific. How will this impact your organisation (assets and services)?
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Q: What seem the most important risks?
Q: Are there some you hadn’t considered?
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Reasons for collaboration
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Adaptation in City-Regions II:
Practical Insights
Strathclyde TIC| 29 November 2016
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Kristen Guida (Greater London Authority)
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Adaptation challenges: lessons learned
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Lesson 1: Presentation is everything
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Adaptation pathways: quick guide
• Define your aims and objectives • Understand the vulnerability of objectives (thresholds)• Consider plausible worst-case scenarios• Explore what measures could tackle the key thresholds• Check interactions with other issues• Assemble high-level route maps of responses that will tackle
the thresholds• Compare costs/benefits against most likely rate of change
with possible sensitivity testing against higher or lower rates• Recommend route/pathway• Implement and monitor
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1m0m 4m3m2m
New barrier, retain Thames Barrier, raise defences
Raise Defences
New barrier, raise defences
Existing system
Improve Thames Barrier and raise d/s defences
Over-rotate Thames Barrier and restore interim defences
Flood storage, improve Thames Barrier, raise u/s & d/s defences
Flood storage, over rotate Thames Barrier, raise u/s & d/s defences
Flood storage, restore interim defences
Note:
Each box represents one or more portfolios of responses
Maximum water level rise:
Def
ra 2
100
Hig
h ++
210
0
Improve defences
Maximise storage
New Barrier
New barrage
TE2100 developed options
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Climate Change Adaptation SC
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Lesson 2: Awareness ≠ action
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Attributes of well-adapting organizations
Leadership
LearningScope/ CoherenceChampions
Awareness Operationalmanagement
ExpertisePartnershipAgency
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Local adaptation policies in Bologna: the BlueAp projectALE CRC Accelerator – Workshop 28-29 NovemberSession 4: Adaptation in City-Regions
Giovanni FiniUniversità di Bologna
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Guglielmo Tell –Ambiente Italia
Some on-going projects
River contract “Bologna city of water” Management of summer heat waves “Orti-per-tutti” vegetable gardens for
everyone GAIA – Green Areas Inner-city Agreement Sustainable new developments
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Guglielmo Tell –Ambiente Italia
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Guglielmo Tell –Ambiente Italia
RIVER CONTRACT: “BOLOGNA CITY OF WATER”
The River Contract of the "lock of Casalecchio and Bologna Water City” is a "cooperative agreement" based on a voluntary participation process promoted by the Casalecchio lock Consortium.
CONTRACT because it is a formal agreement among members (parties) for the implementation of the commitments.
RIVER because all interventions and strategies are affecting the Reno river and the canals of the Bologna system regulated by the lock of Casalecchio
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Guglielmo Tell –Ambiente Italia
Main information:· Preliminary document signed July 20, 2016
· Participation 40 signatories· Support of the Ministry of Environment
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Guglielmo Tell –Ambiente Italia
The objectives to be achieved .... in "drops"1. waters, for issues related to quality (pollution) and quantity of
water (availability for irrigation, environmental purposes, flood safety, etc ..);
2. infrastructure and existing buildings. Assessment and management, maintenance, monitoring, upgrading of drains;
3. territory and landscape. recover degraded territories and activate the protection for the improvement of tourism and environmental uses.
4. enhancement of the historical - cultural aspects aimed at raising awareness and participation of local community and voluntary organizations in order to promote the identity profile of the territory;
5. coordination of urban planning policies, of involved municipalities with the aim of promoting synergies and socio-economic development of territories
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Guglielmo Tell –Ambiente Italia
SIGNATURE OF PRELIMINARY DOCUMENT
SIGNATURE OF PRELIMINARY DOCUMENT
BASELINE SCENARIO / LONG TERM OBJECTIVES
ACTION PLAN
ACTIVATION OF THE CONTRACT
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The project "Prevention of heat waves" defines actions to prevent the risks that high summer temperatures can cause the elderly, with health, social or economic fragility.
The project is usually working from mid-June to mid-September each year.
The specific action of the City is directed to the construction of a network of solidarity in support of the elderly people and their families; The network is made possible by the contribution of voluntary associations , social centers and pharmacies , along with the work city services.
The project is implemented by the Municipality in collaboration with the Health Services of Bologna, ARPAE, Civil Defense of the Municipality with operational coordination of Cup2000.Main voluntary associations involved are: AUSER (Association for the self-management of services and solidarity), the Provincial Committee of Italian Red Cross, Anteas G.Fanin (National Association of Senior Citizens Active Solidarity), Ancescao (National Association Social Centers). Even the parishes of Bologna can involve citizens to participate actively in the project.
Active collaboration is also provided by pharmacies participating in the Bologna Federfarma and municipal pharmacies AFM.
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Intervention organized on three levels: First level: Communication plan, social annd sanitary
structures are pre-alerted on the basis of foreseen intensity of heat wave. Press releases informing about free phone nuber for emengecies. Information issued on road displays.
Second level: Activated if heath wave lasts more than four days: phone calls to vulnerable persons, home services (delivery of medicines, food, transportation to medical appointments, transfer to air conditioned structures).
Third level: in cases of special emergencies on the basis of collected data: emergency sevices, reinforncement of hospitral wards
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Public vegetable gardens
Objectives: Give value to residual green areas, involving the private sector in the management of areas of common interest. Development of new farming technologies with a focus on saving water
Area: 10 areas for about 180,000 m2
Intervention: publication of a tender for the construction of new collective gardens on 2 areas (Via Larga Park; Peppino Impastato Garden). The stron points of the winning project is the importance given to the natural elements that are to be included in a compatible way with the surrounding area and vegetable particles.
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GAIA: Green Areas Inner-city Agreement
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interventions:Better managing during intense rainfall events.ReducTION OF water consumptionSemi-permeable paving blocks, laid on bed of gravel and sand, for the parking area.Filtering trenches to collect the rainwater falling on the green areas and the pedestrian
paths: Length: 560 m.Laminating systems for other paved areas.
Sustainable management of rainfalls in the Urban Implementation Plan (PUA) “Via Larga – Via dell’Industria”
The project, INCLUDED in the Municipal Operations Plan (POC), has been revised in the summer of 2014 with the BLUE AP STAFF in order to make it consistent with the guidelines laid down FOR PUBLIC WORKS.
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Lessons learned
Make the project popular - people should speak about your project and feel they are part of it → VIRAL COMMUNICATION;
Find practical examples to show what's going on and communicate the sense of your project (and how succesfull it is) → PILOT PROJECTS;
Institutional relations pioneered by personal relationships → INFORMAL PIONEER TEAM.
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Guglielmo Tell –Ambiente Italia
http://www.urbancenterbologna.it/images/quaderni/PAES_LR.pdf
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Guglielmo Tell –Ambiente Italia
http://www.comune.bologna.it/media/files/blueap_lr_ita_eng.pdf
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Giovanni Fini (Università di Bologna)
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Reasons for collaboration
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The Adaptation Process
Sharing Experience
Strathclyde TIC| 29 November 2016
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Aims
• Make you familiar with the adaptation process• Provide you with real-world examples from other
organisations making their way through the stages
• Give you the opportunity to learn more about approaches of others to inform your own
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Session overview
• Overview of the adaptation process• Presentations from others working through it
– Investigating past weather events – Moving stages: From LCLIP to Risk Assessment– Lessons from strategic CCRA for assets– Action planning
• World café – the opportunity to dig into the actions
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The process
• Five-stage process• Similar to many
other policy-making processes
• Circular not linear
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Relationship to five steps
• More specific, tailored towards public sector
• Specific tools to implement and comply with statutory duties
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Stage 1: Getting started
• Finding out about the impacts of climate change for Scotland– 15 key consequences
• Understanding why the impacts of climate change matter– How could my organisation be affected? Financially?
Reputationally? • Raising awareness and agreeing next steps
– Running informal learning, training or briefing managers
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• IMPACTS of Climate Change
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Stage 1: Getting started
• Finding out about the impacts of climate change for Scotland– 15 key consequences
• Understanding why the impacts of climate change matter– How could my organisation be affected? Financially?
Reputationally? • Raising awareness and agreeing next steps
– Running informal learning, training or briefing managers
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Stage 2: Understand the impacts of climate change
• Learning about past climate trends and future projections
• Understanding how your place, assets, services or priorities have been affected by severe weather events in the past – e.g. LCLIPs
• Considering how your place, assets, services or priorities might be affected as our climate continues to change
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Stage 3: Identify and prioritise actions
• A range of possible actions you can take. • No organisation, community or business can
adapt in isolation. A key aspect is to work with others.
• Therefore, this stage of the process includes:– collaborating and communicating– identifying your significant climate risks– discussing how you are managing your climate risks– Identifying and prioritising adaptation options
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Stage 4: Take action
• This stage of the process includes:– Collating and presenting
adaptation actions – Implement them on the
ground – Partnership working and
leadership– Build adaptive capacity– Telling others
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Stage 5: Monitor, Review and Evaluate
• Once your plan is in place – you need to know the actions are being implemented and that they’re making a difference.
• Three mechanisms to understand this:– Monitoring– Reviewing– Evaluating
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Monitoring
• Checking whether action is happening, and if so, how it’s progressing
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Reviewing
• Taking stock of:– whether you are achieving
your aims and objectives, – what progress has been
made and;– whether your actions are
appropriate and cost effective
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Evaluating
Are our actions delivering outcomes?
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Tools and Resources available
• A wide range of support available• Expertise through Adaptation Scotland and
Climate Ready Clyde• Adaptation Scotland website:
– Case studies– Tools to support action at each stage – And much more!
• ALE Network
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Investigating past weather events
Royal Botanical Gardens28 November 2016
Ruth Monfries
Technology Innovation Centre, Glasgow
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Weather impacts at RBGE
Ruth Monfries, RBGE
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Impacts• Flooding, waterlogging• Storm damage• Phenology (seasonality)
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Four gardens
Inverleith: the driest
Dawyck: the coldest
Benmore: the wettest
Logan: the mildest
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Methodology
• Weather experienced• Impacts observed• Known risks /
opportunities• Actions taken• Actions considered –
unable to follow up?
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Findings
Common types of impacts –• Storm damage• Waterlogging• Pest & disease (mild winters)
Image: forestryimages.org
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Findings
Site – specific solutions
Resolving actions vary to account for local conditions
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From LCLIPS to Risk Assessment
Aberdeen City Council28 November 2016
Alison Leslie
Technology Innovation Centre, Glasgow
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Aberdeen City Council
Climate framework
Climate Change
LCLIP
Mini Stern
SEAP
Adaptation Strategy
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Aberdeen City Council
Climate Change
• Weather Impact Profile approved 2014.
• Commitment to tackling emissions –Powering Aberdeen a Sustainable Energy Action Plan for Aberdeen approved in 2016
• Scottish Cities Alliance – Mini Stern Approach for 7 Scottish Cities
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Aberdeen City Council
Support from ALE
• Following the 5 steps to managing your climate risks process.
• ALE programme & Risk Task Group. • Working with the Council Performance and
Risk team.• Aligning climate risk with our corporate risk
process.
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Aberdeen City Council
Embedding adaptation
Strategic Risk Register/ Corporate Risk Register
Report to CMT
Directorate Risk RegistersReport to SMT
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Aberdeen City Council
Climate risk objectives
• Strengthen city resilience and minimise strategic risks.• Safe and durable buildings.• Safe and resilient roads, paths and infrastructure.• Protect and increase the resilience of natural assets• Ensure the continuity of Council services and health &
well being.
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Aberdeen City Council
Securing buy in
• Committee Bulletins and SMT briefing.• Routes to reach people - workshops, staff
conferences, staff newsletters, new managers induction and staff training programmes.
• Face to face meetings with key council staff for climate impact assessments.
• Built upon requirements for Climate Change reporting to help engagement.
• Recent severe weather events helped with focus attention.
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Aberdeen City Council
• Business case template. Includes – “Building city resilience to projected changes in climate”
• Comment on major planning applications/ masterplans.
• Adaptation part of a checklist on environmental impacts being developed for committee reports.
• Actions of the ground wetland, climate change park, green wall project.
• This work continues …addressing the impacts of climate change to increase city resilience by developing a city-wide adaptation strategy.
Building understanding…
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Lessons from strategic risk assessments for capital programme
Mott Macdonald28 November 2016
Jamie Ledingham
Technology Innovation Centre, Glasgow
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Adaptation Scotland Climate Ready Clyde Accelerator
29th November 2016
Lessons learnt from ALE task group
Good practice in climate change risk assessment
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• Large infrastructure operator.
• Inherently sensitive to weather events as well as climate change.
• Operations span mountainous, lowland agricultural, urban and coastal regions.
• Wide range of potential risks:• Acute – high winds, flooding, extreme rainfall, extreme high
temperature, droughts.• Chronic–gradually increasing temperatures, progressively
changing rainfall patterns.
Scottish Water
01/12/2016 Mott MacDonald | Presentation 83
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• Large infrastructure operator.
• Inherently sensitive to weather events as well as climate change.
• Operations span mountainous, lowland agricultural, urban and coastal regions.
• Wide range of potential risks:• Acute – high winds, flooding, extreme rainfall, extreme high
temperature.• Chronic– extended dry periods, gradually increasing
temperatures.
Scottish Water
01/12/2016 Mott MacDonald | Presentation 84
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• Large infrastructure operator.
• Inherently sensitive to weather events as well as climate change.
• Operations span mountainous, lowland agricultural, urban and coastal regions.
• Wide range of potential risks:• Acute – high winds, flooding, extreme rainfall, extreme high
temperature.• Chronic– extended dry periods, gradually increasing
temperatures.
Scottish Water
01/12/2016 Mott MacDonald | Presentation 85
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• This was a revision of an earlier CCRA.
• Updated primarily to include new industry guidance, slightly altered asset base and an alternative approach to risk assessment.
• Primary aim was to identify knowledge gaps and scope up studies for more detailed work (currently ongoing).
• Asset based.
• Work undertaken over a 6 month period Oct. 2015-March 2016.
• Undertaken as a secondment.
The CCRA
01/12/2016 Mott MacDonald | Presentation 86
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• This is likely to be a relatively new activity to some.
• What is the aim and what are the objectives?
• It has a potentially huge extent if third party and supply chain risks are considered.
• There will always be constraints: budget, timing, resources.
• The level of detail could vary greatly.
• The exact nature of the risk assessment will vary – strategic or individual asset?
What is the aim, what are the constraints?
Lesson learnt 1Clear scoping is essential
01/12/2016 Mott MacDonald | Presentation 87
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• It’s difficult to develop assessments of future risk if you don’t understand current risk.
• Expect varying levels of knowledge of current risk, and be prepared to challenge any knowledge.
• While the focus is a climate change risk assessment, don’t obsess over future climate change at the expense of current risk.
• Ensure the assessment methodology reflects the levels of understanding of baseline risk.
• For individual asset/EIA style risk assessments, a more comprehensive exploration of future projections might be appropriate.
What’s your current understanding of risk?
Lesson learnt 2Clarify the baseline knowledge of risk.
01/12/2016 Mott MacDonald | Presentation 88
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• Embracing uncertainty is important.
• Uncertainty shouldn’t be ignored, but nor should it paralyse your work.
• Probabilistic scenarios cover help to achieve this, but they are not the whole answer.
• Some risks (i.e. large flood events) have significant uncertainty associated with their baseline risk.
• A good CCRA will ensure the output and decision making is robust to any uncertainty.
• This could be achieved by using a range of future estimates, taking a severe worst case or by ensuring any resulting decisions are not sensitive to the assumptions used in the risk assessment.
What impact does uncertainty have on your output?
Lesson learnt 3Understand that the future is uncertain
01/12/2016 Mott MacDonald | Presentation 89
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• Significant increase in current and future climate projections and derived data
• Useful to be able to assimilate this into your own studies rather than reinventing the wheel.
• Expect inconsistency in risk terminology, time horizon, emissions scenario etc.
• Most sectors (Environment, healthcare, transport, energy, water and sanitation) have some available information.
What information exists?
Lesson learnt 4Make use of the best available information
01/12/2016 Mott MacDonald | Presentation 90
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• Depending on how you plan to use your output, it’s useful to ensure the risk assessment outcomes make sense to others.
• Using existing risk management frameworks can help.
• Best to define at the existing scoping stage.
• How will this CCRA be used?
Lesson learnt 5Make sure it can be used within your organisation
01/12/2016 Mott MacDonald | Presentation 91
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• For project/individual asset based risk assessments, the IEMA guidance on integrating climate change into EIA provides some useful background.
• The ALE task group was really helpful to understand the different approaches, what worked and what didn’t.
• How to identify risk – use of an analogue organisation/project, expert judgement, industry guidance or a combination of all three.
• How did others do it:
• Asset specific assessments using GIS and national scale datasets.
• Service/business level assessments.
Some additional thoughts….
01/12/2016 Mott MacDonald | Presentation 92
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1. Scope the CCRA clearly.
2. Clarify your knowledge of baseline risk.
3. Learn to live with uncertainty.
4. Make use of the best available information.
5. Make sure the output can be used within your organisation.
A summary
01/12/2016 Mott MacDonald | Presentation 93
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Thanks to:
-The ALE group for some stimulating discussions.
-Adaptation Scotland for organising it.
-Scottish Water for permission to use them as a case study.
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Action planning: the Edinburgh Adapts approach
Programme Manager28 November 2016
Anna Beswick
Technology Innovation Centre, Glasgow
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Anna Beswick
29 November | TIC
Edinburgh AdaptsVision and Action Plan process
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Background
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Edinburgh Adapts - city wide vision and action plan
Mar 2015 – Edinburgh Adapts project given the go ahead
Jan 2015 - Adaptation on the radar as a result of:
• City wide Adaptation Action Plan• Jointly owned by city partners
• Local Climate Impact profile• Risk Assessment• Strategic Framework
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• Develop a shared adaptation action plan
• Build the capacity of partners to increase resilience and adapt
• Demonstrate the role of Community Planning Partnerships in developing and implementing shared adaptation frameworks and action plans.
Aims
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Edinburgh Adapts - Timeline
Aug ‘15 Sept - Dec ‘15Mar ’15
Task Group
Mar ‘16
Project approved by ESDP
Project task group set up
Project overview workshop
Action plan developed
Dec ’15 –Mar ‘16Jun ‘15
Sector specific actions
Draft action plan
available
Jan ’15
Project scoping
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Edinburgh Adapts - Timeline
Aug ‘15 Sept - Dec ‘15Mar ’15
Task Group
Mar ‘16
Project approved by ESDP
Project task group set up
Project overview workshop
Action plan developed
Dec ’15 –Mar ‘16Jun ‘15
Sector specific actions
Draft action plan
available
Jan ’15
Project scoping
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• City of Edinburgh Council• HES• Edinburgh World Heritage• Transition Edinburgh South/ Edible Edinburgh• Edinburgh University• Adaptation Scotland
• Provided oversight• Helped build knowledge and awareness
• Time consuming - - if you want to go fast go alone
Project Task Group
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Governance
• Strong governance needed for lasting impact
• Consultation on governance included as part of engagement to collate actions
• Participatory nature of project helped build enthusiasm for ongoing involvement
• Political support built for new governance arrangements and factored in to project • timescales
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Gathering actions
• Clear process
• Create space for collaboration
• Bring in new voices
• Infiltrate
• Support other agendas
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Vision
• A positive focus
• Embracing change
• Backed up by actions
• Builds political support
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End result
• Permanent Edinburgh Adapts Steering Group
• Widely endorsed vision
• Action plan with 100 committed actions from over 40 organisations
• To be published 1st December
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Next Steps
Strathclyde TIC| 29 November 2016
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Do one thing by Christmas…..