aema presentation december 2017 final
TRANSCRIPT
NASDAQ: RGLD
Industry Outlook Luncheon
American Exploration and Mining Association
Tony JensenPresident and Chief Executive Officer
December 7, 2017
NASDAQ: RGLD
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This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Suchforward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materiallyfrom the projections and estimates contained herein and include, but are not limited to: gold under pressure and expectations for a stronger dollar,global markets, US GDP and immunity to world risks, necessity for holding gold, industry ability to successfully find, develop and produce preciousmetals including gold, gold price performance compared to historical performance and other investment classes, supplies of fiat currencies and gold,successful precious metals companies trading at premiums, ability to maintain or increase cash flow from Pueblo Viejo or any or all of the otherCompany properties, a diverse portfolio, strong margins, lean structure, capital stewardship, and dividend returns and total shareholder returns inline with historical track records. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements include, amongothers: the risks inherent in the operation of mining properties; a decreased price environment for gold and other metals on which our stream androyalty interests are determined; performance of and production at properties, and variation of actual production from the production estimates andforecasts made by the operators of those stream and royalty properties from fiscal 2017 to fiscal 2020; decisions and activities of the Company’smanagement affecting margins, use of capital and changes in strategy; unexpected operating costs, decisions and activities of the operators of theCompany’s stream and royalty properties; changes in operators’ mining and processing techniques or stream or royalty calculation methodologies;resolution of regulatory and legal proceedings; unanticipated grade, geological, metallurgical, environmental, processing or other problems at theproperties; revisions or inaccuracies in technical reports, reserve, resources and production estimates; changes in project parameters as plans of theoperators are refined; the results of current or planned exploration activities; errors or disputes in calculating stream deliveries and royaltypayments, or deliveries or payments under stream or royalty agreements; the liquidity and future financial needs of the Company; economic andmarket conditions; the impact of future acquisitions and stream and royalty financing transactions; the impact of issuances of additional commonstock; and risks associated with conducting business in foreign countries, including application of foreign laws to contract and other disputes,environmental laws, enforcement and uncertain political and economic environments. These risks and other factors are discussed in more detail inthe Company’s public filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Statements made herein are as of the date hereof and should not berelied upon as of any subsequent date. The past performance of the Company, any commodity or the precious metals industry is not necessarilyindicative of its future performance. The Company disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statements.
Third-party information: Certain information provided in this presentation has been provided to the Company by the operators of properties subjectto our stream and royalty interests, or is publicly available information filed by these operators with applicable securities regulatory bodies, includingthe Securities and Exchange Commission. The Company has not verified, and is not in a position to verify, and expressly disclaims any responsibilityfor the accuracy, completeness or fairness of such third-party information and refers readers to the public reports filed by the operators forinformation regarding those properties.
Cautionary Statement
2
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Presentation Preface - Headwinds
Gold is Under Pressure
Stronger dollar
• Fed rate hike in December expected, and further strengthening anticipated
• US tax reform expectations
Global markets rising in unison, US markets hitting all time highs
US GDP at 3.3% annualized, highest in three years
Market is becoming immune to world risks
Risk off mentality – who needs gold?
Anyone seeking long term wealth
3
NASDAQ: RGLD
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Gold is Under Pressure
Stronger dollar
• Fed rate hike in December expected, and strengthening anticipated
• US tax reform expectations
Global markets rising in unison, US markets hitting all time highs
US GDP at 3.3% annualized, highest in three years
Market is becoming immune to world risks
Risk off mentality – who needs gold?
Anyone seeking long term wealth
Presentation Preface - Headwinds
Focus on building long term value, rather than worrying
about short term issues
4
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Buy and Hold – Creating Long Term Value
Agenda:
Gold is Precious
• Becoming increasing scarce
• Longer lead times to development
The industry must discover, permit, build and operate for long term value
Gold is Valuable
• A surprisingly competitive investment
• Critical store of investment
5
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Gold is Precious
Gold is a store of value because it is scarce
Approximately 187,200 tonnes, equal to ~6 billion ounces mined to date1,2
Current market value of all gold mined to date is $7.8 trillion3
• 2/3 of that gold has been mined since 1950
• Each year 2,500-3,000 tonnes of gold are mined
6
1 Source is World Gold Council.2 1 tonne = 32,150 ounces3 6 billion ounces *($1,283) current spot rate per ounce of gold on November 29, 2017.
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Gold is Precious
Gold is a store of value because it is scarce
Exploration has become increasingly less efficient
Source: BMO Capital Markets, SNL Metals and Mining
7
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Gold is a store of value because it is scarce
Exploration investment hasn’t demonstrated pro rata increase in reserves
Reserve grade degradation over time; not only maturing assets
• South Africa dominant in 1970s
• Heap leaching in the 1980s
• Economies of scale in the 1990s
• Gold price increases in the 2000s
• Productivity peaking in last decade
Gold is Precious
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51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 75 78 81 84 87 90 93 96 99 02 05 08 11 14Average Grade of Gold Mined in USA + Canada + Australia + South Africa
g/mt $/ Ounce
Gold Price (RHS)
Average Grade of Gold Mined and Gold Price
Grade (LHS)
Average Grade of Gold Mined in World
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Gold is Precious
Longer lead times to development and production
Adds to value by restricting supply
Initial exploration to production = 16 years (Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence)
Source: Schodde, 2014
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NASDAQ: RGLD
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Buy and Hold – Creating Long Term Value
Agenda:
Gold is Precious
• Becoming increasing scarce
• Longer lead times to development
10
The industry must discover, permit, build and operate for long term value
Gold is Valuable
• A surprisingly competitive investment
• Critical store of investment
NASDAQ: RGLD
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Gold is Valuable
A competitive investment for all portfolios
Strong historical performance in all currencies
• 9.25% compounded annual average return since 2000
Relatively stable, when viewed on an annual average basis
11
Source: Bloomberg, Sprott
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Gold is Valuable
A competitive investment for all portfolios
Strong historical performance against other investment classes
Tremendous global liquidity
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-6%
-4%
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Since 1971 20-year 10-year
Avg. annual return
US Cash US Bond Aggregate US stocks EM stocks
EAFE stocks Commodities LBMA Gold (US$/oz)
Gold's long-term performance compared to other financial assets*
*Based on total returns indices including MSCI US, MSCI ACWI ex US, JPMorgan 3-month US cash, BarCap US Bond Aggregate, Bloomberg Commodity for the 10- and 20-year average, and S&P Goldman Sachs Commodity since 1971 due to data availability. Gold performance based on the LBMA Gold Price. Data between January 1971 and December 2016.
Source: Bloomberg, NBER, ICE Benchmark Administration, World Gold Council
0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400
US$/euro
US$/yen
US Treasuries
US$/sterling
JGBs
US Agencies
Gold**
S&P 500 (all stocks)
Euro/yen
UK Gilts
Dow Jones (all stocks)
German Bunds
US$bn/day
Gold trades more than many other major financial assetsAverage daily trading volumes in US$*
*Based on estimated annual averages as of December 2016.**Gold liquidity includes estimates on over-the-counter (OTC) transactions, and published statistics on futures exchanges, and gold-backed exchange-traded products.
Source: BIS; Bloomberg; Germany Finance Agency; Japan Securities Dealers Association; LBMA; UK Debt Management Office (DMO); World Gold Council
Stocks
BondsCurrencies
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1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Gold index value
US dollar Mark** Reichsmark Deutschemark ECU
Euro Yen Pound sterling Gold
Currencies have depreciated over time relative to gold
**The 'Mark' was the currency of the late German Empire. It was originally known as the Goldmark and backed by gold until 1914. It was known as the Papermark thereafter.
Source: Bloomberg, World Gold Council
Gold is Valuable
A critical store of value
All fiat currencies lose value against real assets over time
Most recent US Gold Standard, Bretton Woods 1944 – Nixon 1971
13
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Gold is Valuable
A critical store of value
Deflation: Making Sure ‘It Doesn’t Happen Here’
• Ben Bernanke, Federal Reserve Board, November 21, 2002
14
“Like gold, US dollars have value only to the extent that they are strictly limited in supply. But the US government has a technology called the printing press (or today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many US dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost. By increasing the number of dollars in circulation, or even by credibly threatening to do so, the US government can also reduce the value of the dollar in terms of goods and services, which is equivalent to raising the prices in dollars of those goods and services.”
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Gold is Valuable
A critical store of value
More dollars in circulation without underlying GDP growth leads to dollar devaluation
• Inflation is the oversupply of a currency
15
* US GDP Data from World Bank, 2017 GDP per capita data the same as 2016, 2017 not released. Source for M1 and M2 is U.S. Federal Reserve.Source for debt is U.S. Treasury, TreasuryDirect.
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Indexed US GDP and Money SupplyCY 1993 - October 2017
GDP* M1 Money Supply M2 Money Supply
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Gold is Valuable
A critical store of value
More dollars in circulation without underlying GDP growth leads to dollar devaluation
• Inflation is the oversupply of a currency
Money supply increasing to fuel deficit and debt
16
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Indexed US GDP, Gold Price, Debt O/S, & Money SupplyCY 1993 - Oct 2017
GDP* Gold Price Debt O/S M1 Money Supply M2 Money Supply
* US GDP Data from World Bank, 2017 GDP per capita data the same as 2016, 2017 not released. Source for M1 and M2 is U.S. Federal Reserve.Source for debt is U.S. Treasury, TreasuryDirect.
NASDAQ: RGLD
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$2,000
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Historical Gold Price and US Debt CeilingDecember 1993 - October 2017
Gold Price (LBMA PM) Debt Limit ($ billions)
Gold is Valuable
Source: Charles Schwab
A critical store of value
Current deadline to raise US debt ceiling is December 8, 2017
17
Source for historical gold price is at White House, Historical Tables. Source for gold price is from S&P Capital iQ.
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Gold is Valuable
A critical store of value
World fiat monetary supply increasing rapidly
Gold supply is essentially flat and becoming more constrained
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1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Cummulative Gold Supply OECD M1
OECD M1 and Cumulative Gold Supply, Index 1=1970
Index (1=1970)Index (1=1970)
18
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Gold is Valuable
A critical store of value
World fiat monetary supply increasing rapidly
Gold supply is essentially flat and becoming more constrained
According to Ben Bernanke, this is…
• “equivalent to raising the prices in dollars of goods”
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1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Annual Average Gold Value of Cummulative Gold Supply
OECD M1
OECD M1 and Annual Average Gold Value of Cumulative Gold Supply, Index 1=1970
Index (1=1970)Index (1=1970)
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NASDAQ: RGLD
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Agenda:
Gold is Precious
• Becoming increasing scarce
• Longer lead times to development
Successful Precious Metal Companies are at a Premium
Buy and Hold – Creating Long Term Value
The industry must discover, permit, build and operate for long term value
Gold is Valuable
• A surprisingly competitive investment
• Critical store of investment
20
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Current market value of all gold equities is just $230B1
vs AAPL($804B), GOOGL($621B), MSFT($563B), FB($484B), AMZN($471B)
Buy and Hold – Creating Long Term Value
Val
ue
in $
USD
1 All market data from S&P Capital iQ. Based on average market capitalization, in $USD, for the period 7-1-2017 to 9-30-17.
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12 monthsJun-30-2013
12 monthsJun-30-2014
12 monthsJun-30-2015
12 monthsJun-30-2016
12 monthsJun-30-2017
Go
ld P
rice
in U
S D
olla
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Cas
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s
Cash From Operations Average Gold Price (Kitco)
Cash from Operations (OCF) Versus Gold Price FY13-17
OCF average = $170m per year
$266m
FY16 Revenue$359M
Mount Milligan
$11.3
Pueblo Viejo $51.9
Andacollo $11.0
Peñasquito $3.9
Wassa Prestea
$2.1
Cortez$0.4
Other $0.4
Incremental $M Revenue by Property FY16 to FY17
FY17 Revenue$441M
Cash Flow - Creating Long Term Value
Operating cash flow up 56% over prior year
Pueblo Viejo was a major revenue driver
Go
ld P
rice in U
S Do
llars
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.
EfficiencyDiverse Portfolio - Creating Long Term Value
195 property interests, of which 40 are producing1,2 and 21 are in development
87% revenue from precious metals3
89% of revenue from Canada, Chile, US, Mexico and Dominican Republic3
1 Producing properties not highlighted include Allan, Bald Mountain, Canadian Malartic, Dolores, Don Mario, El Limon, Gold Hill, Goldstrike, Gwalia, Holt, King of the Hills, Las Cruces, Leeville, Marigold, Meekathara, Mulatos, Rambler North, Robinson, Ruby Hill, Skyline, Soledad Mountain, South Laverton, Southern Cross, Taparko, Twin Creeks, Wharf, Williams and others.
2 Reflects portfolio on October 30, 2017.3 In FQ1 2018.
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Our gross margin is within the top 6% of S&P 500 constituents
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Gross Margin, Last 12 Months
S&P 500 Constituent
RGLD, 80% margin
Gro
ss M
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Source: S&P Capital iQ. Gross margin calculated as total revenue less cost of goods sold, divided by total revenue. A total of 456 of the S&P 500 constituents reported positive gross margin in the last 12 months.
Strong Margins - Creating Long Term Value
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$0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000
NasdaqGS:MAR
NYSE:APH
NYSE:UHS
NYSE:M
NYSE:LEG
NYSE:OMC
NasdaqGS:FAST
NYSE:KSS
NYSE:AJG
NasdaqGS:FISV
NasdaqGS:IDXX
NasdaqGS:INFO
NasdaqGS:NAVI
NYSE:UTX
NYSE:SEE
NYSE:IT
NYSE:WFC
NYSE:DPS
NYSE:K
NYSE:TMO
NYSE:ALK
NYSE:JPM
NYSE:BAC
NYSE:CAT
NYSE:ADS
NYSE:UAA
NYSE:GPN
NYSE:TAP
NYSE:AMG
NasdaqCM:AMD
NYSE:NI
NYSE:VNO
NYSE:BF.B
NYSE:PEG
NasdaqGS:PDCO
NYSE:CHD
NYSE:UNH
NYSE:AIG
NYSE:TRV
NasdaqGS:SNI
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NasdaqGS:VRSN
NYSE:CF
NYSE:PXD
NYSE:NRG
NYSE:NBL
NYSE:DHI
NasdaqGS:CBOE
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NYSE:VTR
$25M(REIT)
$1M
$1.3M
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$2M
$19M$11M (REIT)
S&P
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Revenue per employee
Source: S&P Capital iQ. Revenue per employee calculated as total reported revenue for the last 12 months, divided by total reported employees. 498 of the S&P 500 companies report total employees.
Lean Structure - Creating Long Term Value
Our revenue per employee is higher than 497 of the S&P 500
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GDX Constituents Sorted by Shares Outstanding
Mill
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7
RGLD has 14 million outstanding shares less than the next-highest GDX member
Discipline
* Company with an incorporation date that pre-dates Royal Gold, which was incorporated in 1981.
Equity Stewardship - Creating Long Term Value
26
NASDAQ: RGLD
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Rainy River
Cortez Crossroads
Discipline
1 Calculated as reported cash from operations divided by common dividends paid during the same period. 2017 reflects trailing twelve months as reported through September 30, 2017. 2018 reflects approved dividend.
Shareholder Return - Creating Long Term Value
19% CAGR in dividends per share since 2001, and currently equates to $1.00 per share, a 1.2% annual yield, and an average 22% OCF yield1
27% 29%
12%
21%19%
25% 26%23%
34%30%
15%18%
25%
36%
29%
35%
22%
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
$1,800
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
$0.50
$0.60
$0.70
$0.80
$0.90
$1.00
Dividend Per Share Operating Cash Flow Yield Average Gold Price (source: Kitco)
An
nu
al D
ivid
end
s Pe
r Sh
are
Go
ld P
rice
in U
S D
olla
rs
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NASDAQ: RGLD
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Our focus is total shareholder return (TSR)
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Gold Price in US Dollars % Change Royal Gold Total Return Price % Change
S&P 500 Total Return Level % Change
RGLD+1261%
S&P 500+287%
Gold Price+313%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
20-Year Total Shareholder Return
Perc
enta
ge C
han
ge in
To
tal R
etu
rn P
rice
Source: YCharts
Performance
Premium Performance - Creating Long Term Value
28
1660 Wynkoop Street, #1000
Denver, CO 80202
303.573.1660
www.royalgold.com
NASDAQ: RGLD