aeronautical decision making + single pilot resource management = operational risk management
DESCRIPTION
AERONAUTICAL DECISION MAKING + SINGLE PILOT RESOURCE MANAGEMENT = OPERATIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT. CGAP Decision Making/Risk Management Definitions. Aeronautical Decision Making (ADM): systematic approach to consistently determine the best course of action to a given set of circumstances - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
AERONAUTICAL DECISION MAKING+
SINGLE PILOT RESOURCE MANAGEMENT=
OPERATIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT
CGAP Decision Making/Risk Management Definitions
• Aeronautical Decision Making (ADM): systematic approach to consistently determine the best course of action to a given set of circumstances
• Automation Management (AM): demonstrated ability to control and navigate an aircraft by means of the
automated systems installed in the aircraft
• Operational Risk Management (ORM): decision-making tool to systematically help identify operational
risks and benefits and determine the best courses of action for any given situation.
• Single Pilot Resource Management (SRM): art and science of managing all the resources (onboard
aircraft and outside sources) available to a single pilot (prior to and during flight) to ensure
the successful outcome of the flight is never in doubt.
• Situational Awareness (SA): the accurate perception and understanding of all factors and conditions
within the four fundamental risk elements (pilot, aircraft, environmental, external pressures)
that affect safety before, during and after the flight.
• Task Management (TM): process by which pilots manage the many concurrent tasks that must be
performed to safely and efficiently fly a modern aircraft.
CGAP Decision Making/Risk Management Acronyms
• AOE: Areas of Evaluation
• CFIT: Controlled Flight Into Terrain
• D-E-C-I-D-E: Detect-Estimate-Choose-Identify-Do-Evaluate
• I-A-D-E: Identify-Analyze-Decide-Execute
• I-A-A-D-E: Identify-Analyze-Assess-Decide-Execute
• IFR: Instrument Flight Rules
• IMC: Instrument Meteorological Conditions
• I-M-S-A-F-E: Illness-Medication-Stress-Alcohol & drugs-Fatigue-Eating
• MEA: Minimum Enroute Altitude
• P-A-V-E: Pilot In Command-Aircraft-enVironment-External Pressures
• T-E-A-M: Transfer-Eliminate-Accept-Mitigate
CGAP Decision Making/Risk Management "Tools"
• The following Risk Management/Decision Making "Tools" are FAA AOE's for future pilot certification tests: - SRM - ADM - ORM - TM - CFIT Awareness
• CGAP has incorporated some of these "tools" in its Decision Making/Risk Management Model - ADM/SRM/ORM Using versions of or the actual "tools" below:
D-E-C-I-D-E; PPP's, 5P's, PAVE, I-M-S-A-F-E, T-E-A-M
How does it all fit together?
CGAP Decision Making/Risk Management TREE
AERONAUTICAL DECISION MAKING (ADM) SINGLE PILOT RESOURCE MANAGEMENT (SRM)
OPERATIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT
I-A-D-E 5P’s
I-A-A-D-E
I = IDENTIFYA=ANALYZED=DECIDE
E=EXECUTE
PLANPLANEPILOT
PASSENGERSPROGRAMMING(D-E-C-I-D-E)
CGAP Aeronautical Decision Making: "I-A-D-E Loop"
AERONAUTICAL DECISION MAKING (ADM)
I-A-D-EI = IDENTIFYA = ANALYZED = DECIDEE = EXECUTE
IDENTIFYHAZARDS,
PROBLEMS, PITFALLS,
EXECUTEACTION PLAN
ANALYZERISK
POTENTIALSEVERITY OF
OUTCOME
DETERMINECOURSE OF ACTION
TRANSFERELIMINATE
ACCEPT
MITIGATE
SUCCESSFUL?
FINISH
NO
YES
CGAP Decision Making/Risk Management TREE
AERONAUTICAL DECISION MAKING (ADM) SINGLE PILOT RESOURCE MANAGEMENT (SRM)
OPERATIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT
I-A-D-E 5P’s
I-A-A-D-E
I = IDENTIFYA=ANALYZED=DECIDE
E=EXECUTE
PLANPLANEPILOT
PASSENGERSPROGRAMMING(D-E-C-I-D-E)
CGAP Decision Making/Risk Management: SRM & "5P's"
SINGLE PILOT RESOURCE MANAGEMENT (SRM)
5P’s
PLAN: Mission or TaskPLANE: Systems, complexity, designPILOT: I-M-S-A-F-EPASSENGERS: Status, behaviorPROGRAMMING: Navigation; Automation
SRM and the "5P's"
"5P's"- a scheduled review at key points in the flight where decisions are most likely to be effective:
- pre-flight- before takeoff- midpoint cruise- before descent- before initial approach segment or pattern entry- anytime an emergency or abnormal situation occurs
• PLAN- mission or task: weather, route, fuel, publications, ATC, nature of flight
• PLANE- status/condition: mechanical, database currency, automation, backup systems
• PILOT: I-M-S-A-F-E Illness: symptoms, do I feel well? Medication: am I taking medication which is not approved for flying? Stress: am I under emotional stress or psychological pressure? Are there personal distractions? Alcohol & drugs: have I consumed alcohol within the last 8, 12, 0r 24 hours; do I use controlled
substances? Fatigue: have I had sufficient rest; am I sleepy? Eating: am I adequately nourished; do I have too low a blood sugar level or too high a caffein level?
SRM and the "5P's"
"5P's"- continued
• PASSENGERS- pilot, non-pilot, experienced vs nervous flyer, quiet vs disruptive
• PROGRAMMING- avionic, navigation management systems, flight control systems, EFIS, powerplant management systems
CGAP Decision Making/Risk Management TREE
AERONAUTICAL DECISION MAKING (ADM) SINGLE PILOT RESOURCE MANAGEMENT (SRM)
OPERATIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT
I-A-D-E 5P’s
I-A-A-D-E
I = IDENTIFYA=ANALYZED=DECIDE
E=EXECUTE
PLANPLANEPILOT
PASSENGERSPROGRAMMING(D-E-C-I-D-E)
Operational Risk Management Elements
OPERATIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT
I-A-A-D-E
I = IDENTIFY HAZARD
A = ANALYZE HAZARD
A = ASSESS RISK
E = EXECUTE ACTION PLAN
D = DEVELOP ACTION PLAN
P = PILOT IN COMMANDA = AIRCRAFTV = ENVIRONMENTE = EXTERNAL PRESSURES
T = TRANSFERE = ELIMINATEA = ACCEPTM = MITIGATE
RISK VS BENEFITSTASK
MANAGEMENT
HAZARD Definition
• Condition, or circumstance which can lead or contribute to an unplanned or undesired event such as a mishap.
• Examples: thunderstorms; wet or icy runways; obstacles in approach or departure path; FOD
Operational Risk Management Elements
OPERATIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT
I-A-A-D-E
I = IDENTIFY HAZARD
A = ANALYZE HAZARD
A = ASSESS RISK
E = EXECUTE ACTION PLAN
D = DEVELOP ACTION PLAN
P = PILOT IN COMMANDA = AIRCRAFTV = ENVIRONMENTE = EXTERNAL PRESSURES
T = TRANSFERE = ELIMINATEA = ACCEPTM = MITIGATE
RISK VS BENEFITSTASK
MANAGEMENT
Analyze Hazard: P-A-V-E
• PILOT: certificate level, competency in aircraft, currency, experience
• AIRCRAFT: performance, equipment, airworthiness, condition
• ENVIRONMENT: weather, airport condition
• EXTERNAL PRESSURE: purpose of flight, job, family, commitments
Operational Risk Management Elements
OPERATIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT
I-A-A-D-E
I = IDENTIFY HAZARD
A = ANALYZE HAZARD
A = ASSESS RISK
E = EXECUTE ACTION PLAN
D = DEVELOP ACTION PLAN
P = PILOT IN COMMANDA = AIRCRAFTV = ENVIRONMENTE = EXTERNAL PRESSURES
T = TRANSFERE = ELIMINATEA = ACCEPTM = MITIGATE
RISK VS BENEFITSTASK
MANAGEMENT
Risk Vs Benefits Analysis
• LEVEL OF RISK: in terms of hazard severity and probability of occurrence
- Severity: catastrophic, critical, marginal, negligible
- Probability: frequent, probable, possible, remote, improbable
• ACCEPTANCE OF RISK: accept no unnecessary risk
• WEIGHT/AMOUNT OF BENFITS VS RISK: accept risk only when benefits outweigh risks
Example:
Flight Instructor turns off fuel selector/fuel shutoff in flight in a single engine airplane to
simulate loss of engine power
Risk Vs Benefits Analysis
• WHAT IS THE HAZARD?
• WHAT IS LEVEL OF RISK IN TERMS OF SEVERITY AND PROBABILITY OF HAZARD?
- Severity: catastrophic, critical, marginal, negligible
- Probability: frequent, probable, possible, remote, improbable
• IS THERE UNNECESSARY RISK?
• WHAT IS BENEFIT?
• DOES THE BENEFIT OUTWEIGH THE RISK?
Operational Risk Management Elements
OPERATIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT
I-A-A-D-E
I = IDENTIFY HAZARD
A = ANALYZE HAZARD
A = ASSESS RISK
E = EXECUTE ACTION PLAN
D = DEVELOP ACTION PLAN
P = PILOT IN COMMANDA = AIRCRAFTV = ENVIRONMENTE = EXTERNAL PRESSURES
T = TRANSFERE = ELIMINATEA = ACCEPTM = MITIGATE
RISK VS BENEFITSTASK
MANAGEMENT
Develop Action Plan: T-E-A-M
• Transfer: can the risk be transferred or shared?
• Eliminate: can the risk be eliminated?
• Accept: can the risk be accepted? (See Risk Vs. Benefits Analysis)
• Mitigate: can the risk be mitigated? (Reduced to an acceptable level)
Example:
Planned IFR flight- lowest MEA's along route will be in IMC with forecast temperatures aloft at or
below freezing
• WHAT IS THE RISK?
• CAN THE RISK BE TRANSFERRED OR SHARED?
• CAN THE RISK BE ELIMINATED?
• CAN THE RISK BE ACCEPTED?
• CAN THE RISK BE MITIGATED?
Develop Action Plan: T-E-A-M
Operational Risk Management Elements
OPERATIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT
I-A-A-D-E
I = IDENTIFY HAZARD
A = ANALYZE HAZARD
A = ASSESS RISK
E = EXECUTE ACTION PLAN
D = DEVELOP ACTION PLAN
P = PILOT IN COMMANDA = AIRCRAFTV = ENVIRONMENTE = EXTERNAL PRESSURES
T = TRANSFERE = ELIMINATEA = ACCEPTM = MITIGATE
RISK VS BENEFITSTASK
MANAGEMENT
EXECUTE- Task Management (TM)
Task Management is an integral part of the EXECUTE phase of ORM.
Task: function performed by human as opposed to machine or system
Task Management (TM): process by which pilots manage concurrent tasks required to safely and efficiently operate a modern aircraft.
TM entails: - initiation of new tasks
- monitoring on-going tasks- prioritization of tasks- allocation of resources based on priority- resumption of interrupted tasks- completion or elimination of tasks
Critical Phases of Flight for TM: - pre flight preparation & planning
- before take off/departure preparation- take off & initial departure- descent/approach preparation- initial approach/pattern entry phase- go around/missed approach
EXECUTE- Task Management (TM)
Task Management affected by:
- weather - stress - Air Traffic Control - aircraft condition - information/data overload
Task Saturation: inability to perform task management due to one or more of factors above
PRIORITZATION OF TASKS IS KEY TO AVOIDING TASK SATURATION!
AVIATENAVIGATE
COMMUNICATE
POST FLIGHT: "Lessons Learned"
• Successful Operational Risk Management does not end when the flight is over!
• After each flight the pilot should conduct a "lessons learned" review of the following:
- What did I do well/right? - What did I do poorly/wrong? - Did I identify any hazards? - Were the hazards analyzed and the risks assessed? - Did I develop an action plan based on the risk assessment? - Did I execute my action plan? Was that plan successful? - Were there any occurrences which should be reported via an Air Safety or Hazard Report?
REMEMBER FOUR BASIC PRINCIPLES OF ORM
ACCEPT NO UNNECESSARY RISK
MAKE RISK DECISIONS AT APPROPRIATE LEVEL
ACCEPT RISK ONLY WHEN BENEFITS OUTWEIGH POTENTIAL OUTCOME
INTEGRATE ORM INTO ALL PHASES OF FLIGHT
REFERENCES
- Aviation Instructor Handbook (FAA-H-8083-9A) - FAA System Safety Handbook - CGAP Safety Management System Manual - CGAP EA-500 Training Manual - Industry Standard Practices for Risk Management - Industry Standard Practices for Operating Excellence (Six Sigma)