Tajikistan 1 0

Mexico 6 0

Russian Federation 72 60

Libya 468 385

Italy 2 0

United States 13 9

Saint Kitts and Nevis 2 0

Montenegro 1 0

Kosovo 6 1

Hungary 1 0

Germany 5 0

Canada 3 2

Burkina Faso 3 0

Israel 221 55

Gaza & West Bank 394 209

Gambia 1 0

United Arab Emirates 1 1

Morocco 1 0

Algeria 24 41

Lebanon 226 144

Tunisia 34 45

United Kingdom 155 1

France 8 11

Mauritania 3 0

Spain 6 0

Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 0

Albania 1 0

Belarus 1 0

Ireland 13 0

Liberia 1 0

Cote d’lvoire 7 19

Mali 66 71

Sweden 4 0

Poland 1 0

Belgium 2 4Macedonia 2 0

Bahrain 18 9

India 1125 590

Somalia 362 654

Ethiopia 2 9

Djibouti 1 3

Yemen 668 1002

Kenya 137 327

Tanzania 8 6

Uganda 2 30

South Sudan 82 534

Sudan 445 554

Sri Lanka 5 4

Madagascar 1 1

Nigeria 265 3555

Egypt 397 285

DRC 162 433

Niger 2 12

CAR 91 226

Chad 3 0

South Africa 4 2

Zambia 2 2

Rwanda 2 1

Burundi 1 0

Mozambique 20 14

Cameroon 24 38

Congo Brazzaville 1 3

Malawi 1 0

Thailand 281 209

Philippines 386 267

Cambodia 2 0

Pakistan 1147 1741

Myanmar 73 49

Indonesia 18 15

China 25 126

Hong Kong 7 0

Nepal 24 0

Bangladesh 138 34

Afghanistan 1279 2718

Australia 4 2

Vietnam 1 5

Taiwan 1 0

Malaysia 7 2

Turkmenistan 1 3

Syria 6092 23881

Iraq 4302 9130

Greece 14 0

Georgia 2 0

Iran 11 20

Saudi Arabia 14 17

Turkey 147 44

Bulgaria 1 0

Finland 2 0

Jordan 3 0

Ukraine 419 968

Panama 1 0

Dominican Republic 1 1

Colombia 231 172

Peru 8 1

Chile 14 0

Paraguay 13 3

Argentina 2 1

Brazil 12 0

Venezuela 27 20

Guatemala 2 1

Nicaragua 3 4

Haiti 1 0

Kyrgyzstan 3 2

Country total attacks total non-militant fatalities

Key

>1 Day

Frequency of attacks:

>1 Week >1 Month >1 Quarter >1 Year

Scope: Transnational Orientation: Sunni Islamic Objective: Revolutionary

In Iraq and Syria, a total of 2,193 attacks were claimed by, or attributed to, the Islamic State in open sources in 2014, underlining its status as the pre-eminent non-state armed group in the world. Nonetheless, this total does not fully reflect the true level of violence perpetrated by the group, which was responsible for more of the 4,000 attacks recorded in Iraq and 6,000 attacks recorded in Syria than could be definitively attributed to it. As well as ongoing high-tempo insurgent activity in both countries, 2014 saw the Islamic State make highly significant territorial advances in Iraq and expand the contiguous territory under its control across the border in Syria.

ISLAMIC STATE1Scope: Transnational Orientation: Sunni Islamic Objective: Revolutionary

In Somalia and neighbouring countries, a total of 231 attacks were claimed by, or attributed to, Harakat al-Shabaab al-Mujahideen in open sources in 2014. As in 2013, this made Al-Shabaab the sixth most active group recorded worldwide, with an increase of more than 25% in the group’s operational tempo from 2013. The increase was representative of Al-Shabaab’s increasing transition to asymmetric operations following the loss of substantial territory to government and foreign military forces across 2013, with the group remaining highly capable of both rural guerrilla operations and mass-casualty attacks in the capital Mogadishu, as well as significant cross-border operations in Kenya.

HARAKAT AL-SHABAAB AL-MUJAHIDEEN6

www.ihs.com/jtic

Scope: Domestic Orientation: Sunni Islamic Objective: RevolutionaryIn Syria, a total of 539 attacks were claimed by, or attributed to, Jabhat al-Nusra in open sources in 2014. This made Jabhat al-Nusra the second most active group recorded worldwide, and represented a substantial increase from the 130 attacks recorded in 2013. Nevertheless, while the group has been somewhat overshadowed by the Islamic State, the total of Jabhat al-Nusra attacks across 2014 was likely far higher than could be definitively attributed to it. Across 2014, Jabhat al-Nusra was heavily involved in fighting against both the Syrian government and against rival militant groups – whether its chief rival the Islamic State or United States-backed moderate groups such as the Syria Revolutionaries Front (SRF).

JABHAT AL-NUSRA2Scope: Local Orientation: Ethnocultural Objective: Separatist In Thailand, a total of 207 attacks by Malay-Muslim separatists were recorded in open sources in 2014. In recent years, southern separatist militants have typically avoided issuing claims of responsibility for their operations, making reliable attribution impossible. However, with the BRN the only southern separatist group assessed to remain operationally active, it is highly likely that it – and its village-level units, the Runda Kumpulan Kecil (RKK) – was responsible for most if not all these attacks. Nonetheless, violence decreased significantly from the 441 attacks recorded in 2013, likely as a consequence of exploratory talks towards the beginning of a tentative peace process between the BRN and the military-led government.

BARISAN REVOLUSI NASIONAL (BRN)7

Scope: Domestic Orientation: Sunni Islamic Objective: RevolutionaryIn Afghanistan, a total of 460 attacks were claimed by, or attributed to, the Taliban in open sources in 2014. Although this made the Taliban the third most active group recorded worldwide, and represented a moderate increase from the 400 attacks recorded in 2013, the group was likely responsible for a greater proportion of the 1200 attacks recorded in Afghanistan than could be definitively attributed to it. The increase in the Taliban’s operational tempo across 2014 was almost certainly in response to the winding down and then conclusion of the ISAF military mission in Afghanistan at the end of year, leaving significant concerns regarding the security situation in the country moving forward.

TALIBAN3Scope: Transnational Orientation: Sunni Islamic Objective: Revolutionary

In Yemen, a total of 188 attacks were claimed by, or attributed to, Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) in open sources in 2014. This made AQAP the eighth most active group recorded worldwide, with the number of attacks almost doubling from 2013. Across 2014 AQAP intensified its insurgency in southern and central Yemen, interspersing guerrilla attacks with periodic mass-casualty operations, often utilising suicide bombers. In the final third of the year AQAP also launched an increasing number of attacks on the Shia Houthi militant group Ansar Allah following the latter’s seizure of the capital Sanaa and a substantial amount of further territory in northern and central Yemen.

AL-QAEDA IN THE ARABIAN PENINSULA (AQAP)8

Scope: Domestic Orientation: Marxist/Maoist Objective: Revolutionary

In India, a total of 358 attacks were claimed by, or attributed to, the Communist Party of India – Maoist (CPI-M) in open sources in 2014. As in 2013 this made the CPI-M the fourth most active group recorded worldwide, although the number of attacks carried out by the group increased by almost 40%. The growing operational tempo of the CPI-M came against a backdrop of growing sub-state violence in India, with a 45% rise in violence in the country in comparison to 2013. Alongside ethnic insurgent groups and low-level Islamist militancy, the CPI-M remained the key sub-state actor in the country, primarily active in the so-called “Red Belt” states.

COMMUNIST PARTY OF INDIA – MAOIST (CPI-M) 4Scope: Domestic Orientation: Sunni Islamic Objective: Revolutionary

In Nigeria, a total of 179 attacks were claimed by, or attributed to, Boko Haram in open sources in 2014. This made Boko Haram the ninth most active group recorded worldwide, with the number of attacks more than doubling from 2013. While the number of Boko Haram operations appears somewhat low, the scale of the group’s insurgency was underlined by the fact that its operations were recorded as killing at least 2,500 people across 2014. The casualty rate was particularly intense in the first six months of 2014, with Boko Haram recorded as killing more people in this period than in the previous four years combined.

BOKO HARAM9

Scope: Local Orientation: Ethnocultural Objective: AutonomistIn Syria, a total of 331 attacks were claimed by, or attributed to, Kurd-ish militant group Yekîneyên Parastina Gel (YPG) in open sources in 2014. This made the YPG the fifth most active group recorded world-wide, with a slight increase in operational tempo of 7%. Of the 331 recorded YPG operations, more than 90% targeted rival non-state armed groups, and in particular the Islamic State. The two groups competed for control of Kurdish-dominated areas of northeast Syria across 2014, and in particular the increasingly symbolic battle for control of the city of Ayn al-Arab (also known as Kobane) in Aleppo governorate towards the end of the year.

YEKÎNEYÊN PARASTINA GEL (YPG)5Scope: Local Orientation: Ethnocultural Objective: Reformist In Yemen, a total of 137 attacks were claimed by, or attributed to, Ansar Allah in open sources in 2014. This made Ansar Allah – popularly known as the Houthis and previously named Al-Shabab al-Muminin – the tenth most active group recorded worldwide. The number of Ansar Allah attacks more than doubled in comparison to 2013, largely attributable to its major territorial expansion in 2014. Throughout mid-2014, the group expanded southwards from its northern stronghold, seizing territory from rival Sunni tribes before taking control of the capital Sanaa in September. While it signed a tentative peace agreement with the government, substantial insecurity remains.

ANSAR ALLAH10

20142013

20,311

Syria4,694RANK 1

6,092RANK 1

Iraq 4,302RANK 2

3,499RANK 2

1,134RANK 4

1,279RANK 3

Pakistan

Afghanistan

1,550RANK 3

1,147RANK 4

India775RANK 5

1,125RANK 5

Yemen523RANK 6

668RANK 6

Libya237RANK 16

468RANK 7

Sudan370RANK 11

445RANK 8

Ukraine6RANK 55

419RANK 9

ATTACKS BY COUNTRY – TOP 10PRIMARY TACTICS 2014

PRIMARY TARGETS 2014

ATTACKS AND NON-MILITANT FATALITIES BY REGION SUICIDE ATTACKS BY COUNTRY MILITANT FATALITIES

JAN2014

JUL

FEB

AUG

MAR

SEP

APR

OCT

MAY JUN

DECNOV

ATTACKS AND NON-MILITANT CASUALTIESAttacks Fatalities

Egypt 397RANK 10

431RANK 10

© 2015 IHS: 1569485

MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA

13,021

ASIA

4,523

AFRICA

35,268

1,702

EUROPE & EURASIA

1050726

AMERICAS

214

6,495

339

1,699 2,028

1,871 1,545

1,867

1,680

1,456 1,590 1,5181,558

1,839

1,660

Attacks FatalitiesWounded

KILLED55,2085,759

ATTACKS BY GROUP – TOP 10

36,178

Engagement

Stand-off/Area Attack

Assassination

Assault

Ambush

Hit and Run

Kidnap

Raid

Security Forces

Random or Indiscriminate

Other/Unknown

Non-State Armed Groups

Commerce & Industry

Identity Groups

Government & Governance

7,017

5,795

2,658

872

834

735

647

575

11,288

4,504

2,104

1,511

1,438

1,333

1,104

(34.5%)

(28.5%)

(13.1%)

(4.3%)

(4.1%)

(3.6%)

(3.2%)

(2.8%)

(45.1%)

(18.0%)

(8.4%)

(6.0%)

(5.7%)

(5.3%)

(4.4%)

3,712

3,217

4,364

2,686

3,918

2,657

4,796

2,887

3,405 48,786 2,343

4,459

3,058

3,671

2,927

4,743

3,442

3,191

2,822

4,082

2,929

3,406

3,508

5,039

3,702

2014 IHS Global Attack Index

IHS Aerospace, Defence & Security

Acts of terrorism, insurgency, and violent protest recorded worldwide by IHS Jane’s Terrorism and Insurgency Centre in 2014

www.ihs.com/jtic

1DJIBOUTI:

MALI: 4MALI:

SOMALIA: 17SOMALIA:

YEMEN: 26YEMEN:

EGYPT: 4EGYPT:

NIGERIA: 25NIGERIA:

LIBYA: 12LIBYA:

IRAQ: 320IRAQ:

1CHINA:

1MAURITIANIA:

AFGHANISTAN: 157AFGHANISTAN:

SYRIA: 128SYRIA:

PAKISTAN: 33PAKISTAN:

LEBANON: 12LEBANON:

RUSSIAFEDERATION: 1RUSSIANFEDERATION:

2GAZA AND THE WEST BANK: