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Page 1: AFTA Travel Trends · 2019-03-12 · Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided

AFTA Travel Trends February 2019

© AFTA Travel Trends Report 2019

Page 2: AFTA Travel Trends · 2019-03-12 · Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided

Inbound and Outbound overview

Introduction

This snapshot provides an overview

of the balance of trade between

Inbound and Outbound Travel for

Year end of December 2019.

It uses information provided by the

Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS)

Overseas Arrivals and Departures

(OAD) data set.

Page 3: AFTA Travel Trends · 2019-03-12 · Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided

Source: December 2018 Short-term Movement, Residents Returning and Visitors Arriving - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted

Total Visitor and

Australian departure

and arrivals – Year End

December 2018

The ABS collects data on all

travellers entering and leaving

Australia through the Inbound

Passenger Card.

This section displays the number of

international tourists entering and

Australians departing Australia as

of December Year end 2017 and

2018.

For travel and tourism to be

sustainable it is imperative that

the trade between each country

is balanced and this snapshot

tracks overall benefits to each

country.

The countries chosen are the

major Australian source markets

and desired destinations.

December YE 2017 Total number of international

visitors to Australia

Inbound

December YE 2018 Total number of international

visitors to Australia

Inbound

December YE 2017 Total number of international

trips by Australians

Outbound

December YE 2018 Total number of international

trips by Australians

Outbound

China 1,384,200 1,444,900 544,200 592,200

New Zealand 1,358,100 1,384,900 1,436,200 1,435,900

USA 785,300 788,600 1,075,500 1,091,800

UK 727,400 731,000 630,300 665,500

Singapore 439,100 448,900 402,500 413,600

Japan 434,900 468,300 400,100 465,500

Malaysia 401,600 401,700 272,800 263,000

South Korea 303,300 289,500 72,600 75,500

India 303,300 358,200 364,400 393,900

Hong Kong 283,800 308,600 223,500 247,200

Indonesia 303,300 358,200 1,178,800 1,283,600

Thailand 98,000 99,500 581,000 571,900

Fiji 41,900 45,600 344,700 340,800

National Total 8,853,600 9,248,700 10,556,700 11,063,400

Page 4: AFTA Travel Trends · 2019-03-12 · Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided

Inbound Report

Introduction

These snapshots provide an

overview of the performance of the

Australian inbound tourism sector.

It uses information provided by the

Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS)

Overseas Arrivals and Departures

(OAD) data set.

Performance indicators are provided

for each market and month.

A neutral rating is provided for

markets which have a year on year

variation of (+/-) 2%.

Page 5: AFTA Travel Trends · 2019-03-12 · Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided

Where are our participants?

Total inbound tourists to

Australia – December

2018

This section displays the number of

international tourists travelling to

Australia each month.

Month

Total number

of travellers

2017

Change on

previous year

Total number

of travellers

2018

Change on

previous year2018 Performance

January 709,900 7.4% 762,200 7.4% Positive

February 723,400 11.9% 750,900 3.8% Positive

March 707,700 5.4% 773,400 9.3% Positive

April 751,300 10.7% 755,600 0.6% Neutral

May 733,000 8.1% 764,200 4.3% Positive

June 727,500 4.8% 771,000 6.0% Positive

July 744,600 7.4% 770,900 3.5% Positive

August 749,900 9.0% 791,400 5.5% Positive

September 745,000 4.0% 769,800 3.3% Positive

October 757,100 6.8% 778,700 2.9% Positive

November 758,000 7.7% 777,900 2.6% Positive

December 746,200 4.6% 782,700 4.9% Positive

Total 8,853,600 7.3% 9,248,700 4.5% Positive

Key Highlights

• During December 2018, short-

term visitor arrivals (782,700

movements) increased 0.6%

when compared with

November 2018 (777,900

movements).

• This followed a monthly

increase of 1.1% for October

2018 and a monthly decrease

of 0.1% for November 2018.

• Inbound passengers for the

2018 calendar year of

9,248,700 was an increase of

4.5% from the 2017 calendar

year.

Source: December 2018 Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted

600,000

650,000

700,000

750,000

800,000

850,000

Total number of tourists 2017 Total number of tourists 2018 5 year average

Page 6: AFTA Travel Trends · 2019-03-12 · Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided

Where are our participants?

Year end changes to

top Australian source

markets – December

2018

This section displays the

performance of the major

Australian source markets for

international travellers for 12

month period ending December

2017 and 2018.

Destination

Total number

of travellers

2017

2017 Year

end change

Total number

of travellers

2018

2018 Year end

change2018 Performance

China 1,384,200 13.2% 1,444,900 4.4% Positive

New Zealand 1,358,100 1.5% 1,384,900 2.0% Neutral

USA 785,300 9.3% 788,600 0.4% Neutral

UK 727,400 2.0% 731,000 0.5% Neutral

Singapore 439,100 2.2% 448,900 2.2% Positive

Japan 434,900 4.5% 468,300 7.7% Positive

Malaysia 401,600 3.4% 401,700 0.0% Neutral

South Korea 302,900 7.7% 289,500 -4.4% Negative

India 303,300 15.7% 358,200 18.1% Positive

Hong Kong 283,800 16.2% 308,600 8.7% Positive

National Total 8,853,600 7.3% 9,248,700 4.5% Positive

Key Highlights

• India demonstrated the highest

growth rate in 2018 of 18.1%,

increasing from previous year

growth of 15.7%.

• China remained the highest

source market by volume with

1,444,900 visitors in 2018.

• However, China growth of 4.4%,

slowed from 2017 growth rate

of 13.2%.

• Other countries showing growth

in 2018 from 2017 were

Argentina and Chile (both 23%)

and France (10.4%).

Source: December 2018 Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted

0

150,000

300,000

450,000

600,000

750,000

900,000

1,050,000

1,200,000

1,350,000

1,500,000

1,650,000

China NewZealand

USA UK Singapore Japan Malaysia SouthKorea

India HongKong

YE 18 Country YE 17 Country 5 year average

Page 7: AFTA Travel Trends · 2019-03-12 · Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided

Where are our participants?

Monthly changes to top Australian source markets – December 2018

This section displays the

performance of the major

Australian source markets for

international tourists comparing

the Month of December 2017 to

December 2018.

Key Highlights

• Singapore demonstrated

highest growth rebounding

back from previous year

negative figure.

• Spain showed growth of 20%

increasing movements from

3,500 to 4,200.

Destination

Total number

of travellers

2017

Change on

previous year

Total number

of travellers

2018

Change on

previous year2018 Performance

China 116,800 10.0% 122,600 5.0% Positive

New Zealand 111,800 -1.8% 115,600 3.4% Positive

USA 65,100 4.3% 69,100 6.1% Positive

UK 63,700 4.6% 60,100 -5.7% Negative

Singapore 32,600 -9.9% 37,600 15.3% Positive

Japan 36,800 3.4% 41,700 13.3% Positive

Malaysia 31,500 -1.6% 31,500 0.0% Neutral

South Korea 25,300 8.6% 22,300 -11.9% Negative

India 27,200 17.2% 31,200 14.7% Positive

Hong Kong 24,200 7.6% 25,900 7.0% Positive

National Total 746,200 4.6% 782,700 4.9% Positive

Source: December 2018 Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

China NewZealand

USA UK Singapore Japan Malaysia SouthKorea

India Hong Kong

Dec-18 Dec-17 5 year average

Page 8: AFTA Travel Trends · 2019-03-12 · Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided

OutboundReport

Introduction

This snapshot provides an overview

of the performance of the Australian

outbound travel sector.

It uses information provided by the

Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS)

Overseas Arrivals and Departures

(OAD) data set. Performance

indicators are provided for each

market.

A neutral rating is provided for

markets which have a year on year

variation of (+/-) 2%.

Page 9: AFTA Travel Trends · 2019-03-12 · Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided

Source: December 2018 Short-term Movement, Residents Returning - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted

Total outbound Australian travellers –December 2018

This section displays the number of

Australians travelling outbound for

each month.

Month

Total number

of travellers

2017

Change on

previous year

Total number

of travellers

2018

Change on

previous year2018 Performance

January 853,800 5.4% 894,400 4.8% Positive

February 893,400 12.3% 872,800 -2.3% Negative

March 854,300 5.8% 912,700 6.8% Positive

April 890,800 9.6% 924,300 3.8% Positive

May 884,500 9.0% 934,500 5.7% Positive

June 874,200 6.0% 913,800 4.5% Positive

July 871,400 4.5% 922,500 5.9% Positive

August 877,700 4.9% 936,900 6.7% Positive

September 896,300 6.0% 921,800 2.8% Positive

October 888,700 5.7% 943,600 6.2% Positive

November 893,100 6.2% 937,400 5.0% Positive

December 878,500 0.5% 948,700 8.0% Positive

Total 10,556,700 6.3% 11,063,400 4.8% Positive

Key Highlights

• During December 2018, short-

term resident returns (948,700

movements) increased 1.2%

when compared with

November 2018 (937,400

movements). This followed a

monthly increase of 2.4% for

October 2018 and a monthly

decrease of 0.7% for

November 2018.

• An overall growth of 4.8%

occurred from 2017 to 2018 in

outbound travellers.

700,000

730,000

760,000

790,000

820,000

850,000

880,000

910,000

940,000

970,000

Total number of travellers 2016 - 2017 Total number of travellers 2017 - 2018

5 year average

Page 10: AFTA Travel Trends · 2019-03-12 · Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided

Destination

Total number

of travellers

2017

2017 Year

end change

Total number

of travellers

2018

2018 Year end

change2018 Performance

New Zealand 1,436,200 7.0% 1,435,900 0.0% Neutral

Indonesia 1,178,800 -4.5% 1,283,600 8.9% Positive

USA 1,075,500 0.0% 1,091,800 1.5% Neutral

UK 630,300 7.9% 665,500 5.6% Positive

Thailand 581,000 6.5% 571,900 -1.6% Neutral

China 544,200 17.1% 592,200 8.8% Positive

Singapore 402,500 4.4% 413,600 2.8% Positive

Japan 400,100 12.6% 465,500 16.3% Positive

Fiji 344,700 -0.6% 340,800 -1.1% Neutral

India 364,400 13.3% 393,900 8.1% Positive

National Total 10,556,700 6.3% 11,063,400 4.8% Positive

Year end changes to popular international destinations travelled to by Australian’s –December 2018

This section displays the

performance of the major

destinations Australian’s are

travelling to as of December Year

end 2017 and 2018.

Key Highlights

Source: December 2018 Short-term Movement, Residents Returning - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted

Key Highlights

• Japan experienced the highest

growth rate of 16.3% increasing

movements to 465,500.

• Other countries that

experienced growth in 2018

not on the chart include:

- France (14.9%)

- Ireland (11.4%)

- Turkey (39.0%)

- Nepal (23.3%)

- Chile (17.6%)

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

NewZealand

Indonesia USA UK Thailand China Singapore Japan Fiji India

YE 18 Country YE 17 Country 5 year average

Page 11: AFTA Travel Trends · 2019-03-12 · Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided

Monthly changes to popular international destinations travelled to by Australian’s –December 2018

This section displays the

performance of the major

destinations Australian’s are

travelling to, comparing

December 2017 to December

2018

Destination

Total number

of travellers

2017

Change to

previous year

Total number

of travellers

2018

Change to

previous year2018 Performance

New Zealand 118,100 -1.3% 123,600 4.7% Positive

Indonesia 85,700 -18.8% 114,600 33.7% Positive

USA 89,000 -4.8% 94,000 5.6% Positive

UK 53,200 2.3% 60,600 13.9% Positive

Thailand 50,500 10.0% 46,900 -7.1% Negative

China 47,500 12.8% 50,000 5.3% Positive

Singapore 31,800 -19.9% 33,500 5.3% Positive

Japan 35,300 5.7% 39,400 11.6% Positive

Fiji 28,800 -4.3% 26,600 -7.6% Negative

India 32,400 20.0% 31,200 -3.7% Negative

National Total 878,500 0.5% 948,700 8.0% Positive

Key Highlights

• Thailand and Fiji had the

biggest drop in growth from

December 2017 both to levels

lower than the 5 year average.

• Indonesia had the highest

growth increasing to 114,600

movements from 85,700 in

December 2017.

Source: December 2018 Short-term Movement, Residents Returning - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

NewZealand

Indonesia USA UK Thailand China Singapore Japan Fiji India

18 Country 17 Country 5 year average

Page 12: AFTA Travel Trends · 2019-03-12 · Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided

Reasons to travel to popular international destinations by Australian’s – December 2018

This section displays the

performance of the popular

destinations visited by Australian’s

by reason of travel in December

2018.

HolidayVisiting

friends/relativesBusiness

Other Reasons for

Journey

New Zealand 41.1% 39.3% 10.1% 9.5%

Indonesia 82.2% 7.6% 3.5% 6.7%

USA 58.8% 17.8% 9.5% 13.9%

UK 31.2% 41.4% 10.6% 16.8%

Thailand 73.9% 11.6% 5.2% 9.3%

China 28.4% 37.8% 13.7% 20.2%

Singapore 50.9% 20.7% 16.5% 11.9%

Japan 72.3% 11.7% 6.3% 9.7%

Fiji 75.5% 13.5% 3.2% 7.8%

India 30.0% 49.2% 5.5% 15.3%

National Total 52.8% 26.5% 8.2% 12.6%

Source: December 2018 Short-term Movement, Residents Returning - Selected Destinations: Original

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

Holiday Visiting friends/relatives Business Other Reasons for Journey

Page 13: AFTA Travel Trends · 2019-03-12 · Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided

Source: International Airline Activity—Monthly Publications, November 2018

Introduction

This snapshot provides the market

share of each airline for international

travel.

Information is sourced directly from

the Department of Infrastructure and

Regional Development.

Airlines

Department Summary:

Fifty-eight international airlines

operated scheduled services to/from

Australia during November 2018

(includes five dedicated freight

airlines but excludes airlines operating

only via code share arrangements).

Page 14: AFTA Travel Trends · 2019-03-12 · Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided

Airline activity - Month End

November 2018

This snapshot displays the market share of

each airline for international travel for the

month of November 2018.

This information from the Department of

Infrastructure and Regional Development

presents statistical information on the

scheduled operations of international

airlines operating into/out of Australia.

Monthly Share of passengers carried November -17 November -18

Qantas Airways 16.8% 17.7%

Jetstar 8.9% 9.0%

Singapore Airlines 8.1% 8.2%

Air New Zealand 7.0% 7.4%

Emirates 7.9% 6.8%

Virgin Australia 6.1% 6.4%

Cathay Pacific Airways 4.6% 4.6%

China Southern Airlines 3.0% 3.3%

AirAsia X 3.5% 2.9%

Qatar Airways 2.2% 2.5%

Source: International Airline Activity—Monthly Publications, November 2017 and November 2018

Qantas Airways, 17.7%

Jetstar, 9.0%

Singapore Airlines, 8.2%

Air New Zealand, 7.4%

Emirates, 6.8%

Virgin Australia, 6.4%

Cathay Pacific Airways, 4.6%

China Southern Airlines, 3.3%

AirAsia X, 2.9%Malaysia Airlines,

2.5%

Page 15: AFTA Travel Trends · 2019-03-12 · Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided

Source: International Airline Activity—Monthly Publications, November 2017 and November 2018

Airline activity – Year End

November 2018

This snapshot displays the market share of

each airline for international travel of Year

end – November 2018.

This information from the Department of

Infrastructure and Regional Development

presents statistical information on the

scheduled operations of international

airlines operating into/out of Australia.

Year End share of

passengers carriedNovember - 17

Year End share of

passengers carriedNovember - 18

Qantas Airways 16.3% Qantas Airways 17.1%

Jetstar 9.2% Jetstar 8.9%

Emirates 8.4% Singapore Airlines 8.0%

Singapore Airlines 8.1% Emirates 7.8%

Air New Zealand 6.6% Air New Zealand 6.6%

Virgin Australia 6.0% Virgin Australia 6.1%

Cathay Pacific Airways 4.6% Cathay Pacific Airways 4.4%

AirAsia X 4.0% AirAsia X 3.2%

Etihad Airways 3.2% China Southern Airlines 3.1%

China Southern Airlines 3.0% Etihad Airways 2.9%

Others 30.6% Others 31.8%

Qantas Airways, 17.1%

Jetstar, 8.9%

Singapore Airlines, 8.0%

Emirates, 7.8%

Air New Zealand, 6.6%Virgin Australia, 6.1%

Cathay Pacific Airways, 4.4%

China Southern Airlines, 3.2%

AirAsia X, 3.1%

Etihad Airways, 2.9%

Others, 31.8%

Page 16: AFTA Travel Trends · 2019-03-12 · Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided

For further information please contact:

Naomi Menon

Head of Compliance and Operations

E: [email protected]

Ph: 02 9287 9900

© AFTA Travel Trends Report 2018

The information contained within this Report has been prepared by AFTA based upon best endeavours to ensure the accuracy and completeness of material.

AFTA accepts no liability for any loss or damage a person suffers because that person has directly or indirectly relied on any information provided by AFTA.