agenda: feb. 3, 2015 cpe strategic agenda work...

AGENDA 2016-20 Strategic Agenda Steering Committee

Council on Postsecondary Education

Tuesday, February 3, 2015 1:00 PM

Conference Room A

1. Welcome and Opening Remarks -Sherrill Zimmerman, Steering Committee Chair -Robert L. King, President

2

2. Status Report on Kentucky's Postsecondary Education -Patrick M. Kelly, Senior Associate, National Center for Higher Education Management Systems

14

3. Charge of the Steering Committee and Planning Process 66

4. Other business

5. Adjournment Next Meeting: March 3, 2015, 1:00-3:00 p.m., CPE Offices, Frankfort (proposed)

Charting Our Course to 2020

February 3, 2015

2

• Low educational attainment; high adult illiteracy

• Major leaks in the pipeline (high school to college, retention and graduation, transfer rates)

• Fragmented network of community and technical colleges and comparatively poor research competitiveness

• Largely driven by institutional interests, rather than by larger needs of state’s people and economy

• Lack of effective state-level policy leadership and state coordination

• Pervasive culture of not valuing higher education

Challenges Leading to 1997 Reform

1

3

Vision of HB 1 (1997)

Strategic agenda with long-term goals focused on quality of life and economy

Focus on accountability with clear goals and measurable results

2

Emphasis on strong statewide policy leadership to achieve common goals and coordinate system

Financing policy aligned with strategic agenda and designed to stimulate improvement.

Greater balance among the various educational players (research, adult education, community colleges, comprehensives, etc.)

4

CPE was created to address these

issues and charged with:

• Developing a statewide Strategic Agenda

• Revising and approving institutional missions

• Creating an accountability system to measure progress on the Strategic Agenda

• Reporting annually to the Governor and the General Assembly (Accountability Report)

SOURCE: “The Postsecondary Education Improvement Act of Kentucky” (House Bill 1), 1997.

4

5

Statewide Strategic or Public Agenda

What it IS:

• A higher education planning blueprint for Kentucky

• Focused on good of the state and her people

• A guidepost for what we want to achieve

• Reflective of collective values and goals

• A way to engage external stakeholders

• A way to measure progress and adjust course if needed

• A living, breathing document

What it ISN’T:

• A replacement for campus strategic plans

• Focused on the needs and goals of individual campuses

• The CPE’s strategic plan

• A static plan that cannot be changed

• A publication that gathers dust on a shelf

5

6

Planning since 1997

6

• Among the first states to strategically link state higher education goals with citizens’ social well-being and economic prosperity;

• Simple, short plan presentation, initially framed around broad, guiding questions, such as: o Are more Kentuckians ready for postsecondary

education? o Do more Kentuckians have certificates and degrees? o Are people, communities, and economy benefiting?

7

Planning since 1997, Cont.

• Current plan addresses similar state-level concerns, but is framed around four policy focus areas:

o College Readiness

o College Success

o Research, Economic & Community Development

o Efficiency & Innovation

• Plans developed with broad public and stakeholder input

• Accountability system assesses progress both at the state and institutional level with a focus on outcomes rather than inputs or specific institutional strategies

• Performance targets are negotiated balancing state needs (i.e. higher educational attainment) and institutional capacity

7

8

Looking Ahead to 2020: Challenges and

Opportunities Confronting Higher Education

Ambitious HB 1 (1997) goals to meet by 2020

Uncertain budget outlook. Increased costs in healthcare, pensions and corrections may consume any new revenue

Increasing and vocal demand for talented, job-ready graduates responsive to immediate workforce demands

Growing campus diversity and increased attention to the needs of underrepresented and adult populations

Rise of new financing models (i.e. public/private partnerships, greater reliance on philanthropy)

Increasing power of data and analytics

8

9

Challenges and Opportunities, Cont.

Growing levels of student debt, slowing support for financial aid, and uncertainty about tuition elasticity

Public skepticism about college’s return on investment

Rise of new academic models (competency-based education, credit for prior learning)

Aggressive federal goals and programs (federal ratings systems, national attainment goals)

Regional differences and challenges at the state level

Globalization of Kentucky’s economy

Growing culture of collaboration to improve student success and career readiness.

9

10

Robust Economy

Great Graduates

University

Great Support

University

Great Teachers

& Principals

K-12

Fully Prepared Students

Kentucky’s Success Depends on Cross-Sector Collaboration

10

11

11

12

Looking Ahead: Questions to Guide

the 2015 Planning Process:

12

Are we focusing on the right issues?

Are we measuring the right things?

What’s working and what’s not?

Does the state agenda align with the priorities of the campuses and vice-versa?

How to we engage the right stakeholders in the planning process and in the implementation?

How can we better link our work to state priorities?

How effective is the current accountability system?

13

National Center for Higher Education Management Systems 3035 Center Green Drive, Suite 150

Boulder, Colorado 80301

A Status Report on Kentucky’s Postsecondary Education System

Patrick Kelly

February 3, 2015

14

2011

15

What has

Happened Since

2011?

16

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Decennial Census, American Community Survey (ACS). slide 4

Percent of 25 to 64 Year Olds with Associate Degrees and Higher

24.5

30.5

32.933.8

38.140.0

0

10

20

30

40

50

2000 2009 2013

Kentucky Nation

KY Rank 47th

KY Rank 45th

KY Rank 44th

KY Highest % Change

KY 3rd Highest % Change

17

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Decennial Census, American Community Survey (ACS). slide 5

Percent of 25 to 44 Year Olds with Associate Degrees and Higher

27.3

33.7

36.535.0

39.0

41.9

0

10

20

30

40

50

2000 2009 2013

Kentucky Nation

KY Rank 44th

KY Rank 36th

KY Rank 40th

KY 2nd Highest % Change

KY 24th Highest % Change

18

Source: NCES, IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey. slide 6

Six-Year Graduation Rates at Four-Year Institutions

39.3

47.8 47.6

53.055.5 55.2

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2000 2009 2013

Kentucky United States

KY Rank 44th

KY Rank 35th

KY Rank 40th

KY Highest % Change

KY 41st % Change

19


Three-Year Graduation Rates at Two-Year Institutions

21.4

30.5

25.4

30.029.2 29.4

0

10

20

30

40

2000 2009 2013


KY Rank 38th

KY Rank 16th

KY Rank 26th

KY 3rd Highest % Change

KY 44th % Change

20


Undergraduate Credentials Awarded per 1,000 18-44 Year Olds with No College Degree

18.4

29.9

35.8

24.5

33.9

41.9

0

10

20

30

40

50

2000 2009 2013


KY Rank 45th

KY Rank 36th

KY Rank 38th

KY Highest % Change

KY 32nd Highest % Change

21

While Kentucky’s postsecondary system

has improved on many measures since

2009, it has lost ground to other states.

Over the past 10 years, many states

have developed similar college

attainment goals and public agendas.

22

Educational

Attainment

23

Comparing Kentucky with U.S. States and OECD Nations in the Percentage of Young

Adult Degree Attainment (Ages 25-34)

U.S. States % OECD Country Korea (65.7)

60 Japan

58 Canada

56 Massachusetts

North Dakota 54

Minnesota 52 New York

50 Luxembourg New Jersey Ireland Connecticut 48 United Kingdom

Nebraska, Illinois, Virginia New Zealand, Australia Pennsylvania, Colorado, Maryland, Rhode Island, Iowa 46

Vermont, South Dakota, Wisconsin Norway Kansas, New Hampshire 44 Israel, UNITED STATES

Hawaii, Montana Sweden, Netherlands, Belgium, France Washington, Missouri, Utah 42

Wyoming, Ohio Poland, Switzerland Delaware, Michigan, Maine, California, North Carolina, Oregon 40 Denmark, Estonia, Finland

Florida Spain 38 Iceland

Tennessee, South Carolina, Georgia, Indiana Slovenia, Greece Kentucky 36

Texas, Idaho, Arizona West Virginia 34

Alabama, Oklahoma, Alaska, New Mexico Louisiana 32

Arkansas, Mississippi Nevada 30 Hungary

Germany 28 Portugal, Czech Republic

Slovakia 26

24 Mexico Austria

22 Chile, Italy Turkey

20

Source: 2014 OECD Education at a Glance (for year 2012); U.S. Census Bureau, 2013 American Community Survey 1-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

24

Percent of Adults with an Associate Degree or Higher by Age Group Kentucky, U.S. & Leading OECD Countries

12

Source: OECD, Education at a Glance 2014 (for 2012); 2013 U.S. Census Bureau

65.7

58.6

57.3

49.9

49.2

47.9

47.2

46.9

45.0

44.5

44.0

36.1

52.2

51.5

59.0

45.0

46.0

45.1

45.0

42.5

43.5

49.8

45.5

36.6

29.1

46.0

49.6

31.9

32.4

37.2

37.5

37.8

34.7

44.9

41.0

31.2

13.5

32.0

44.5

26.4

24.9

32.6

33.0

34.6

29.9

46.5

41.8

28.5

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Korea Japan Canada Luxembourg Ireland UnitedKingdom

Australia NewZealand

Norway Israel UnitedStates

Kentucky

25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64

25

Percent of 25-64 Year Olds with College Degrees – Associate and Higher, 2013

slide 13

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013 American Community Survey 1-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

51.3

48.0

47.8

47.6

47.0

46.6

46.2

45.9

45.8

45.8

44.6

44.0

43.8

43.7

43.6

43.1

41.8

41.8

41.4

41.0

40.9

40.6

40.6

40.2

40.2

39.9

39.8

39.7

39.7

39.5

38.6

38.5

37.6

37.6

37.4

37.3

37.0

37.0

36.5

35.4

34.5

34.5

33.8

33.8

33.0

33.0

31.1

30.8

29.6

28.6

28.5

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Mass

ach

use

tts

Min

neso

taConnect

icut

Colo

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New

Ham

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Nort

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ia

KY Ranked 44th

26

Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults, Ages 25-64 – Kentucky, U.S., and SREB Average, 2013

slide 14

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

13.0

32.07

21.9

8.8

14.4

9.8

12.6

30.1

21.9

8.2

17.2

10.0

11.9

26.4

21.7

8.9

19.8

11.3

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

Less than HighSchool

High School Some College, NoDegree

Associates Degree Bachelor's Degree Graduate,Professional Degree

Kentucky SREB United States

27

BrackenPendleton

Kenton

Trimble

Owsley

Breathitt

Perry

Jackson

EstillMadison

Johnson

MorganLawrence

Martin

FayetteJessamine

Jefferson

Bullitt

Bourbon

Fleming

Woodford

Lewis Greenup

CampbellBoone

Anderson

Washington

Nelson

MarionLarue

Taylor

Green

Lincoln

Letcher

Harlan

Bell

Knox

WhitleyMcCreary

Wayne

ClintonCumberland

Meade

BreckinridgeHancock

Daviess

McLean

Henderson

Webster

EdmonsonButler

AllenSimpson

LoganTodd

Christian

Crittenden

Ballard

Carlisle

Hickman

Fulton

Adair

Barren

Bath

Boyd

Boyle

Caldwell

Calloway

Carroll

Carter

Casey

Clark

Clay

Elliott

Floyd

Franklin

Gallatin

Garrard

Grant

Graves

Grayson

Hardin

Harrison

Hart

Henry

Hopkins Knott

Laurel

Lee

LeslieLivingston

LyonMcCracken

Magoffin

Marshall

Mason

Menifee

Mercer

Metcalfe

Monroe

Montgomery

Muhlenberg

Nicholas

Ohio

Oldham

Owen

Pike

Powell

Pulaski

Robertson

Rockcastle

Rowan

Russell

Scott

Shelby

Spencer

Trigg

Union

Warren

Wolfe

26.6% to 50.7%22.3% to 26.6%18.2% to 22.3%10.7% to 18.2%

KY = 31.4

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006-10 American Community Survey.

Percent of Population Age 25-64 with at Least an Associates Degree, 2009-13

28

BrackenPendleton

Kenton

Trimble

Owsley

Breathitt

Perry

Jackson

EstillMadison

Johnson

MorganLawrence

Martin

FayetteJessamine

Jefferson

Bullitt

Bourbon

Fleming

Woodford

Lewis Greenup

CampbellBoone

Anderson

Washington

Nelson

MarionLarue

Taylor

Green

Lincoln

Letcher

Harlan

Bell

Knox

WhitleyMcCreary

Wayne

ClintonCumberland

Meade

BreckinridgeHancock

Daviess

McLean

Henderson

Webster

EdmonsonButler

AllenSimpson

LoganTodd

Christian

Crittenden

Ballard

Carlisle

Hickman

Fulton

Adair

Barren

Bath

Boyd

Boyle

Caldwell

Calloway

Carroll

Carter

Casey

Clark

Clay

Elliott

Floyd

Franklin

Gallatin

Garrard

Grant

Graves

Grayson

Hardin

Harrison

Hart

Henry

Hopkins Knott

Laurel

Lee

LeslieLivingston

LyonMcCracken

Magoffin

Marshall

Mason

Menifee

Mercer

Metcalfe

Monroe

Montgomery

Muhlenberg

Nicholas

Ohio

Oldham

Owen

Pike

Powell

Pulaski

Robertson

Rockcastle

Rowan

Russell

Scott

Shelby

Spencer

Trigg

Union

Warren

Wolfe

17.5% to 42.4%13.6% to 17.5%11.2% to 13.6%

5.0% to 11.2%

KY = 23.3

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006-10 American Community Survey.

Percent of Population Age 25-64 with at Least a Bachelor’s Degree, 2009-13

29

Public Two-Year - Undergraduate Awards per 100 FTE Undergraduates by State, 2011-12 (excludes <1 Year Certificates)

Source: NCES, IPEDS 2011-12 Completions File; c2012_a Provisional Release Data File Downloaded 08-09-13.

31.5

27.9

23.9

23.4

23.2

22.9

22.4

22.1

22.0

21.2

21.0

21.0

20.9

20.5

19.7

19.3

19.1

19.0

18.8

18.8

18.8

18.5

18.4

18.2

18.1

17.7

17.4

17.3

17.2

17.1

17.0

17.0

16.9

16.7

16.4

15.9

15.8

15.8

15.5

15.5

15.3

15.1

15.1

14.9

14.7

14.7

13.5

13.2

12.8

12.6

9.5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35South

Dako

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Ark

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KY Ranked 19th

30

Public Bachelors & Masters - Undergraduate Awards per 100 FTE Undergraduates by State, 2011-12


27.1

25.3

25.3

25.1

24.9

24.5

24.2

24.0

23.5

23.4

23.4

22.7

22.4

22.3

22.1

22.1

21.9

21.1

21.1

21.0

20.8

20.7

20.6

20.1

20.1

20.1

20.1

19.9

19.7

19.6

19.6

19.5

19.1

19.0

18.7

18.3

18.2

18.2

18.0

17.9

17.9

17.5

17.3

16.9

16.8

16.3

16.1

15.2

14.9

10.5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30Verm

ont

New

Jer

sey

Kansa

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Wash

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Mary

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KY Ranked 29th

31

Public Research Institutions - Undergraduate Awards per 100 FTE Undergraduates by State, 2011-12


26.2

26.2

26.0

24.9

24.9

24.8

24.0

23.9

23.7

23.7

23.4

23.1

23.1

22.7

22.6

22.6

22.6

22.5

22.5

22.4

22.3

22.3

22.3

22.3

22.1

21.6

21.6

21.4

21.4

21.2

21.1

21.0

20.9

20.6

20.5

20.0

19.9

19.9

19.7

19.7

19.6

19.4

18.9

18.9

18.7

18.7

18.5

18.3

18.1

17.9

17.4

0

5

10

15

20

25

30W

ash

ingto

nCal

iforn

iaM

inneso

taIllin

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Flo

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Pennsy

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New

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South

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KY Ranked 39th

32

Educational Attainment of Whites and Minorities (African-Americans, Hispanics, Native Americans) Aged 25-44, 2011-13

Kentucky

slide 20

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2011-13 American Community Survey (ACS) Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.

10.74

30.10

23.98

9.45

16.58

9.15

18.63

31.65

25.82

7.87

10.40

5.62

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

Less Than HighSchool

High SchoolGraduate or GED

Some College, NoDegree

Associate'sDegree

Bachelor's Degree Graduate orProfessional

Degree

Whites Minorities

33

Kentucky High School Graduates 1996-97 to 2027-28 (projected)

slide 21

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000

50000

1996-9

7

1997-9

8

1998-9

9

1999-0

0

2000-0

1

2001-0

2

2002-0

3

2003-0

4

2004-0

5

2005-0

6

2006-0

7

2007-0

8

2008-0

9

2009-1

0

2010-1

1

2011-1

2

2012-1

3

2013-1

4

2014-1

5

2015-1

6

2016-1

7

2017-1

8

2018-1

9

2019-2

0

2020-2

1

2021-2

2

2022-2

3

2023-2

4

2024-2

5

2025-2

6

2026-2

7

2027-2

8

Total

White

Hispanic

Asian/Pacific Islander

Black

Source: Knocking at the College Door

Actual Projected

34

Kentucky still lags many other states

(and countries) in the percentage of

adults with college degrees.

There are sizable gaps between whites

and underrepresented minorities.

35

Migration

36

Average Annual Net Migration of 22 to 44 Year Olds by Education Level, Kentucky, 2011-13

slide 24

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010-12 American Community Survey (ACS) Three-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.

2,821

4,835

-137

1,120

1,605

-276

-1,000

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

Less Than High

School

High School

Graduate

Some College,

No Degree

Associate's

Degree

Bachelor's

Degree

Graduate or

ProfessionalDegree

37

Percent of Residents Aged 25-64 with an Associates Degree or Higher Born In-State

slide 25

69.1

67.3

66.2

64.6

64.1

64.1

63.5

62.2

61.3

59.2

57.5

57.4

57.3

57.2

56.3

56.3

54.3

54.1

52.3

51.0

50.9

49.2

49.1

48.5

47.7

45.4

45.3

43.7

43.2

43.2

42.9

42.8

41.7

40.2

39.2

34.6

33.4

33.3

32.5

32.3

32.1

30.9

28.4

26.9

26.8

26.8

24.9

20.5

18.8

16.5

9.1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80M

ichig

an

Louis

iana

Ohio

Wis

consi

nIo

wa

Pennsy

lvan

iaM

issi

ssip

pi

West

Virgin

iaN

ort

h D

ako

taN

ebra

ska

India

na

Kentu

cky

Ala

bam

aM

inneso

taN

ew

York

Illin

ois

Mis

souri

South

Dako

taArk

ansa

sM

ass

ach

use

tts

Okl

ahom

aU

tah

Rhode I

sland

Main

eKansa

sTexa

sN

ation

Monta

na

Connect

icut

Tenness

ee

South

Caro

lina

Haw

aii

Nort

h C

aro

lina

Cal

iforn

iaN

ew

Jer

sey

Idaho

New

Mexi

coW

ash

ingto

nG

eorg

iaW

yom

ing

Ore

gon

Verm

ont

Dela

ware

Mary

land

Virgin

iaN

ew

Ham

psh

ire

Colo

rado

Flo

rida

Arizo

na

Ala

ska

Neva

da

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey (ACS) Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.

KY Ranked 10th

38

Percent of Residents Aged 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher Born In-State, 2010

66.3

66.1

63.3

62.3

61.0

61.0

61.0

60.7

60.0

57.0

54.7

54.4

54.0

53.6

53.5

53.3

52.9

52.9

50.9

50.1

47.7

47.1

46.4

45.7

43.7

43.0

42.8

42.5

41.9

40.7

40.4

40.0

37.9

37.7

37.7

32.6

30.8

30.4

29.7

29.5

29.2

26.9

25.1

24.8

24.3

24.0

23.0

19.2

16.6

15.6

9.1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70Lo

uis

iana

Mic

hig

an

Ohio

Mis

siss

ippi

Pennsy

lvan

iaW

est

Virgin

iaW

isco

nsi

nIo

wa

Nort

h D

ako

taN

ebra

ska

India

na

Ala

bam

aKentu

cky

New

York

Illin

ois

Min

neso

taM

isso

uri

South

Dako

taArk

ansa

sO

klahom

aM

ass

ach

use

tts

Uta

hRhode I

sland

Kansa

sTexa

sM

onta

na

Nation

Main

eTenness

ee

Connect

icut

Haw

aii

South

Caro

lina

New

Jer

sey

Cal

iforn

iaN

ort

h C

aro

lina

Idaho

Georg

iaW

ash

ingto

nO

regon

New

Mexi

coW

yom

ing

Dela

ware

Verm

ont

Mary

land

Virgin

iaN

ew

Ham

psh

ire

Colo

rado

Flo

rida

Arizo

na

Ala

ska

Neva

da

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey (ACS) Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.

slide 26

KY Ranked 10th

39

Kentucky is a slight net-importer of

college educated residents, but has a

history of educating its own residents –

relative to many other states.

40

Economic

Conditions

41

The Relationship Between Educational Attainment, Personal Income, and the State New Economy Index (2012)

AL

AK AZ

AR

CA

CO CT

DE FL GA

HI

ID

IL

IN

IA KS

KY

LA

ME

MD

MA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NV

NH NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR PA

RI

SC

SD

TN TX

UT

VT

VA

WA

WV

WI

WY

US

20

27

34

41

48

55

30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 55,000 60,000 65,000

High College Attainment, Low Personal Income High College Attainment, High Personal Income

Low College Attainment, Low Personal Income Low College Attainment, High Personal Income

Perc

ent

of

Adults

25 to 6

4 w

ith C

olle

ge D

egre

es

(2012)

Personal Income per Capita (2013)

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey; Bureau of Economic Analysis; ITIF 2012 New Economy Index

State New Economy Index 2012

Top Tier

Middle Tier

Bottom Tier

42

State New Economy Index – Overall Index Scores (2014)

Source: Information Technology and Innovation Foundation; The 2014 State New Economy Index

94.7

85.1

83.7

82.5

81.5

81.4

80.9

77.6

77.0

75.4

74.6

73.0

71.7

69.5

69.3

67.1

67.1

67.0

66.8

65.2

64.3

63.2

63.1

62.6

62.3

61.6

58.7

58.7

58.3

58.3

57.8

57.3

56.8

56.8

56.6

56.0

55.8

54.8

54.6

54.4

51.3

50.4

49.0

48.4

48.4

48.1

47.0

44.2

44.1

39.8

38.0

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0M

ass

ach

use

tts

Dela

ware

Cal

iforn

iaW

ash

ingto

nM

ary

land

Colo

rado

Virgin

iaConnect

icut

Uta

hN

ew

Jer

sey

New

Ham

psh

ire

New

York

Min

neso

taVerm

ont

Ore

gon

Illin

ois

Arizo

na

Mic

hig

an

Rhode I

sland

Texa

sG

eorg

iaPennsy

lvan

iaN

ort

h C

aro

lina

Avera

ge

Idaho

Flo

rida

New

Mexi

coN

eva

da

Main

eO

hio

Wis

consi

nKansa

sAla

ska

Mis

souri

South

Caro

lina

Nebra

ska

Nort

h D

ako

taIo

wa

India

na

Monta

na

Tenness

ee

Ala

bam

aSouth

Dako

taH

aw

aii

Kentu

cky

Wyo

min

gLo

uis

iana

Ark

ansa

sO

klahom

aW

est

Virgin

iaM

issi

ssip

pi

KY Ranked 44th

43

State New Economy Index – KY Rankings (2014)

Source: Information Technology and Innovation Foundation; The 2014 State New Economy Index

49

47

46

45

44

44

44

44

43

43

42

41

41

41

38

36

36

36

36

36

30

28

20

13

9

9

0 10 20 30 40 50

Migration of U.S. Knowledge Workers

Inventor Patents

Workforce Education

Scientists and Engineers

Health IT

Broadband Telecommunications

Online Agriculture

Overall Index Score

Non-Industry Investment in R&D

Patents

Manufacturing Value Added

Fast-Growing Firms

Managerial, Professional, and Technical Jobs

Information Technology Jobs

High-Tech Jobs

Venture Capital

Movement Toward a Clean Economy

Industry Investment in R&D

Initial Public Offerings

High-Wage Traded Services

Immigration of Knowledge Workers

Job Churning

Export Focus of Manufacturing and Services

Entrepreneurial Activity

E-government

Foreign Direct Investment

44

Personal Income Per Capita, 2013

slide 32

60,6

58

57,2

48

55,3

86

54,4

62

53,8

26

53,1

82

52,8

26

51,0

13

50,1

50

48,8

38

48,4

34

47,7

17

47,5

00

47,1

57

46,9

89

46,9

80

46,8

97

46,2

02

46,0

39

45,4

83

45,2

04

44,8

15

44,7

65

44,7

63

44,4

17

43,8

62

43,2

44

41,8

61

41,4

97

41,2

04

41,0

49

40,9

24

40,6

63

39,8

48

39,5

58

39,3

66

39,2

35

39,0

55

38,6

83

38,6

22

37,8

45

36,9

83

36,6

98

36,6

40

36,4

81

36,2

14

36,1

46

35,9

65

35,8

31

35,5

33

33,9

13

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000Connect

icut

Mass

ach

use

tts

New

Jer

sey

New

York

Mary

land

Nort

h D

ako

taW

yom

ing

New

Ham

psh

ire

Ala

ska

Virgin

iaCal

iforn

iaW

ash

ingto

nM

inneso

taN

ebra

ska

Rhode I

sland

Illin

ois

Colo

rado

Pennsy

lvan

iaSouth

Dako

taVerm

ont

Haw

aii

Dela

ware

United S

tate

sIo

wa

Kansa

sTexa

sW

isco

nsi

nO

klahom

aFlo

rida

Louis

iana

Ohio

Main

eM

isso

uri

Ore

gon

Tenness

ee

Monta

na

Neva

da

Mic

hig

an

Nort

h C

aro

lina

India

na

Georg

iaArizo

na

Ark

ansa

sU

tah

Ala

bam

aKentu

cky

Idaho

New

Mexi

coSouth

Caro

lina

West

Virgin

iaM

issi

ssip

pi

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

KY Ranked 45th

45

Kentucky Personal Income per Capita as a Percent of the U.S. Average, (1980-2013)

80.0 78.5 79.4

81.6 81.5 81.4 82.0 80.9

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013


46

BrackenPendleton

Kenton

Trimble

Owsley

Breathitt

Perry

Jackson

EstillMadison

Johnson

MorganLawrence

Martin

FayetteJessamine

Jefferson

Bullitt

Bourbon

Fleming

Woodford

Lewis Greenup

CampbellBoone

Anderson

Washington

Nelson

MarionLarue

Taylor

Green

Lincoln

Letcher

Harlan

Bell

Knox

WhitleyMcCreary

Wayne

ClintonCumberland

Meade

BreckinridgeHancock

Daviess

McLean

Henderson

Webster

EdmonsonButler

AllenSimpson

LoganTodd

Christian

Crittenden

Ballard

Carlisle

Hickman

Fulton

Adair

Barren

Bath

Boyd

Boyle

Caldwell

Calloway

Carroll

Carter

Casey

Clark

Clay

Elliott

Floyd

Franklin

Gallatin

Garrard

Grant

Graves

Grayson

Hardin

Harrison

Hart

Henry

Hopkins Knott

Laurel

Lee

LeslieLivingston

LyonMcCracken

Magoffin

Marshall

Mason

Menifee

Mercer

Metcalfe

Monroe

Montgomery

Muhlenberg

Nicholas

Ohio

Oldham

Owen

Pike

Powell

Pulaski

Robertson

Rockcastle

Rowan

Russell

Scott

Shelby

Spencer

Trigg

Union

Warren

Wolfe

$34,959 to $49,428$31,150 to $34,959$27,700 to $31,150$20,904 to $27,700

Per Capita Income by County 2013


47

Median Annual Wages by Level of Education, Kentucky 2013

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

$14,1

06 $

23,1

74

$22,1

66 $30,2

26

$40,3

02

$53,4

00

$15,1

13 $

24,1

81

$24,6

85 $

34,2

57

$46,3

47

$65,4

91

$0

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

$70,000

Less than HighSchool

High SchoolGraduate or GED

Some College, NoDegree

Associate Degree Bachelor'sDegree

Graduate orProfessional

Degree

Kentucky Nation

48

Percent of Workers with College Degrees Earning Low Wages, 2010

40.9

39.0

36.9

36.9

35.6

34.6

33.1

32.8

32.3

31.8

31.5

31.0

30.3

29.7

29.1

28.8

28.6

28.3

28.1

27.8

27.6

27.3

27.1

27.0

26.2

25.5

25.1

24.6

24.6

24.5

24.5

24.2

24.1

23.6

23.5

23.3

22.3

22.0

21.4

21.1

21.1

20.6

20.2

19.3

19.2

19.0

17.6

16.1

16.0

15.6

15.0

14.1

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45N

ort

h D

ako

taM

issi

ssip

pi

West

Virgin

iaM

onta

na

South

Dako

taId

aho

Flo

rida

Ark

ansa

sO

klahom

aW

yom

ing

South

Caro

lina

New

Mexi

coN

ebra

ska

Kentu

cky

Main

eN

eva

da

Ore

gon

Iow

aLo

uis

iana

Mis

souri

Nort

h C

aro

lina

India

na

Kansa

sTenness

ee

Verm

ont

Colo

rado

Ala

bam

aG

eorg

iaH

aw

aii

Pennsy

lvan

iaU

tah

Wis

consi

nArizo

na

Ohio

Mic

hig

an

Nation

Texa

sIllin

ois

New

Ham

psh

ire

Ala

ska

Wash

ingto

nD

ela

ware

New

York

Cal

iforn

iaRhode I

sland

Min

neso

taVirgin

iaM

ass

ach

use

tts

New

Jer

sey

DC

Connect

icut

Mary

land

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample File. Note: Low Wages Indexed to U.S. Median Wage of Workers with Just a High School Diploma ($29,221)

KY Ranked 14th

49

Percentage of Jobs in 2020 that Will Require a Postsecondary Education, by State

Source: Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce, Projections of Jobs and Education Requirements through 2020; 2013

74%

74%

72%

72%

71%

71%

71%

70%

70%

70%

70%

70%

70%

69%

69%

69%

68%

68%

68%

68%

68%

67%

67%

67%

66%

66%

66%

65%

65%

65%

65%

65%

64%

64%

64%

63%

63%

63%

62%

62%

62%

62%

62%

62%

62%

61%

59%

58%

56%

55%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

Min

neso

taColo

rado

Mass

ach

use

tts

Nort

h D

ako

taRhode I

sland

Kansa

sN

ebra

ska

Ore

gon

Illin

ois

Wash

ingto

nM

ichig

an

Connect

icut

Haw

aii

Monta

na

Mary

land

New

York

Arizo

na

Iow

aN

ew

Jer

sey

New

Ham

psh

ire

Idaho

Cal

iforn

iaN

ort

h C

aro

lina

Virgin

iaM

isso

uri

Main

eAla

ska

Verm

ont

Georg

iaSouth

Dako

taFlo

rida

Wyo

min

gO

hio

Okl

ahom

aU

tah

Dela

ware

New

Mexi

coPennsy

lvan

iaAla

bam

aTexa

sIn

dia

na

Wis

consi

nN

eva

da

Kentu

cky

South

Caro

lina

Mis

siss

ippi

Ark

ansa

sTenness

ee

Louis

iana

West

Virgin

ia

National Average = 65%

KY Ranked 44th

50

Gap Between Percent of Jobs in 2020 That Will Require a College Education and the Percent of Adults, Aged 25-64 with Associates and

Higher in 2012 32.5

%

32.3

%

31.5

%

31.5

%

31.1

%

30.7

%

30.7

%

30.0

%

30.0

%

30.0

%

29.9

%

29.2

%

28.8

%

28.7

%

28.3

%

27.7

%

27.7

%

27.6

%

27.6

%

27.6

%

27.5

%

27.4

%

27.3

%

27.2

%

27.2

%

27.1

%

27.0

%

26.9

%

26.7

%

26.6

%

26.6

%

26.6

%

26.1

%

25.9

%

25.7

%

25.2

%

25.1

%

24.9

%

24.6

%

23.7

%

23.3

%

22.8

%

22.5

%

22.3

%

22.1

%

21.5

%

21.5

%

21.2

%

21.0

%

18.7

%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%M

ichig

an

Idaho

Neva

da

Okl

ahom

aArizo

na

Monta

na

Kentu

cky

Kansa

sM

issi

ssip

pi

Ore

gon

Mis

souri

Ark

ansa

sN

ort

h C

aro

lina

Ala

bam

aRhode I

sland

India

na

Haw

aii

West

Virgin

iaIllin

ois

Georg

iaO

hio

Texa

sN

ew

Mexi

coCal

iforn

iaW

yom

ing

Ala

ska

Nebra

ska

Flo

rida

Min

neso

taW

ash

ingto

nM

ain

eLo

uis

iana

Colo

rado

South

Caro

lina

Nort

h D

ako

taIo

wa

South

Dako

taD

ela

ware

Tenness

ee

New

York

Mary

land

Pennsy

lvan

iaConnect

icut

Uta

hN

ew

Jer

sey

Mass

ach

use

tts

Virgin

iaN

ew

Ham

psh

ire

Wis

consi

nVerm

ont

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample; Georgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020.

KY Ranked 7th

51

Projected Job Growth From 2010 to 2020 by Education Level, Kentucky

(in thousands)

53

229

162

63

135

71

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

Georgetown Center for Education and the Workforce, Recovery: Job Growth And Education Requirements Through 2020

Less than High School High School Graduate Postsecondary

Graduate/Professional

Baccalaureate

Associate

Certificate or Credential of < 2 Years

52

Kentucky still lags the nation and most

states in realizing the economic returns

to a more educated citizenry.

However, like many other states, most

of the projected job growth will require

at least some postsecondary education.

53

Regional

Disparities

54

Kentucky's Area Development Districts (ADDs)

Prepared by: Research and Statistics Branch, Office of Employment and Training, Kentucky Education and Workforce Development Cabinet

55

PURCHASE 63.4%

PENNYRILE 49.7%

GREEN RIVER 56.6%

BARREN RIVER 52.1%

LINCOLN TRAIL 56.4%

KIPDA 52.7%

NORTHERN KENTUCKY 54.2% BUFFALO

TRACE 57.6%

FIVCO 56.0%

BIG SANDY 61.1%

BLUEGRASS 57.4%

KENTUCKY RIVER 61.5%

GATEWAY 58.0%

LAKE CUMBERLAND 53.6%

CUMBERLAND VALLEY 54.2%

College-Going Rates Directly Out of High School (2011-2012)

49.7% - 53.6%

54.2% - 56.4%

56.6% - 58.0%

61.1% - 63.4%

Source: KY Center for Education and Workforce Statistics

Kentucky 55.4%

56

PURCHASE 7.6%

PENNYRILE 7.5%

GREEN RIVER 8.0%

BARREN RIVER 6.4%

LINCOLN TRAIL 8.2%

KIPDA 7.0%


TRACE 7.9%

FIVCO 7.4%

BIG SANDY 5.3%

BLUEGRASS 6.6%

KENTUCKY RIVER 6.4%

GATEWAY 4.8%



Percent of Adults 25 to 64 with Associate Degrees (2008-12)

4.8% - 6.4%

6.4% - 7.0%

7.4% - 7.6%

7.9% - 8.2%


Kentucky 6.9%

United States 7.7%

57

PURCHASE 19.3%

PENNYRILE 13.5%

GREEN RIVER 15.4%

BARREN RIVER 17.4%

LINCOLN TRAIL 14.9%

KIPDA 28.1%


TRACE 12.9%

FIVCO 13.4%

BIG SANDY 11.3%

BLUEGRASS 28.7%

KENTUCKY RIVER 11.2%

GATEWAY 16.0%



Percent of Adults 25 to 64 with Bachelor’s Degrees (2008-12)

10.7% - 11.8%

12.9% - 14.9%

15.4% - 19.3%

25.7% - 28.7%


Kentucky 21.0%

United States 28.5%

58

PURCHASE $22,983

PENNYRILE $20,466

GREEN RIVER $21,683

BARREN RIVER $20,695

LINCOLN TRAIL $21,534

KIPDA $27,407

NORTHERN KENTUCKY $26,287 BUFFALO

TRACE $18,983

FIVCO $20,745

BIG SANDY $18,061

BLUEGRASS $25,743

KENTUCKY RIVER $16,965

GATEWAY $17,586

LAKE CUMBERLAND $17,488

CUMBERLAND VALLEY $16,357

Per Capita Personal Income

$16,357 - $17,586

$18,061 - $20.695

$20,745 - $22,983

$25,743 – $27,407


Kentucky $23,210

United States $28,051

59

The Way Forward Preliminary Considerations at the Policy Level

1. Re-establish (revise) a widely understood and accepted set of goals

2. More effectively linking the college attainment agenda to workforce and economic development (regionally as well as statewide)

3. More effectively focus on achievement gaps and regional disparities

4. Review existing policies, regulations and procedures with an eye to eliminating those that serve as barriers to progress on goal achievement

5. Develop finance mechanisms that link allocation of funds to goals

6. Create a mechanism for sustaining the agenda

– Accountability/annual report card

– Focused analyses

– Regular meetings focused on progress and strategies

7. Harness the state’s data and analytic capacity in ways that help to focus the agenda

8. Ensure public and stakeholder input into the agenda

60

Back-Pocket Slides

61

$7,8

18

$7,3

76

$6,8

22

$6,8

95

$6,0

23

$5,8

59

$5,9

65

$6,2

43

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62

Awards per $100,000 of State & Local Appropriations and Tuition & Fees Revenues, 2010, Public Two-Year

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Sources: NCES, IPEDS 2010 Completions File; c2005_a, c2009_a, and c2010_a Final Release Data Files. NCES, IPEDS 2009-10 Finance Files; f0405_f1a, f0405_f2, f0809_f1a, f0809_f2 F

Final Release Data Files; f0910_f1a, f0910_f2 Early Release Data Files Downloaded 10-11-11. U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey (ACS) Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) Files. slide 50

63

Awards per $100,000 of State & Local Appropriations and Tuition & Fees Revenues, 2010, Public Bachelors and Masters

4.7

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2.9

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2.7

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64

Awards per $100,000 of State & Local Appropriations and Tuition & Fees Revenues, 2010, Public Research

2.8

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1.9

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1.9

1.8

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1.8

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1.8

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1.6

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1.5

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65

The Strategic Agenda Steering Committee will oversee the various tasks that take

place over the planning period, analyze data and information collected

throughout the process, and facilitate the participation of a broad group of

stakeholders in planning activities.

The Committee will meet regularly to monitor and direct the process including

the drafting and review of the 2016-20 Strategic Agenda. Members of the

committee will provide leadership in engaging various constituent groups in the

planning process. The Committee will present the draft Strategic Agenda to the

Council on Postsecondary Education for approval at their board meeting in

November 2015.

The Strategic Agenda Steering Committee is comprised of representatives from

the Council on Postsecondary Education, a faculty and student representative,

each public university and KCTCS, a representative from the independent colleges

and universities, a member of the Committee on Equal Opportunities, and a

representative from the Governor’s office.

66

Proposed Topics

Feb 3 Tues 1:00 PM NCHEMS Status Report; Discuss planning process & timeline

Mar 3 Tues 1:00 PM Update on initial round of discussions with campuses, board members, and CPE staff; Review Department of Education, Economic Development Cabinet, and Workforce Cabinet strategic planning; Discuss mission, vision and values

April 16 Thurs 10:00 AM Review policy focus group discussions; Review draft policy focus areas and strategic plan framework; Discuss new performance funding model

May 12 Tues 1:00 PM Continue review of policy focus group discussions; Identify/prioritize key objectives; discuss potential performance metrics

June 11 Thurs 10:00 AM Discuss potential strategies; continue metrics discussion

Aug 11 Tues 1:00 PM Continue strategies discussion; Finalize metrics and review accountability/monitoring system; discuss public forums.

Sept 15 Tues 1:00 PM Review preliminary draft of 2016-20 Strategic Agenda; review input from public forums

Oct 6 Tues 1:00 PM Review second draft; finalize accountability/monitoring system; discuss state and institutional performance target setting

Nov 13 Fri 9:00 AM Council adopts 2016-20 Strategic Agenda

November 2015-March 2016 Finalize state and institutional performance targets

2015 Tentative Steering Committee Meeting Dates

Council on Postsecondary Education DRAFT - January 30, 2015

No meeting in July

2016-20 Strategic Agenda Planning Process

67

First Name Last Name Representing Title Phone EmailKim Barber CEO CEO Rep [email protected]

Tim Burcham KCTCS Vice President 859-256-3376 [email protected]

Laurie Carter EKU Exec VP for Student Success 859-622-8835 [email protected]

Gary Cox AIKCU President 502-695-5007 [email protected]

K. Renee Fister MuSU Senior Presidential Advisor for Strategic

Initiatives

270- 809-2491 [email protected]

Dan Flanagan CPE CPE Rep 270-789-1657 [email protected]

Joe Graviss CPE CPE Rep 859-873-4392 [email protected]

David Hein UofL Associate University Provost for

Strategic Planning

502-852-6252 [email protected]

Melinda Impellizzeri KYSU Special Assistant 502-597-7010 [email protected]

Robert King CPE President 502-573-1555 [email protected]

Angie Martin UK CBO 859-257-5701 [email protected]

Doug McElroy WKU Assoc. VP for Enrichment and

Effectiveness


Sue Hodges Moore NKU Sr. Vice President 859-572-5349 [email protected]

Lee Nimocks CPE Exec VP 502-573-1555 [email protected]

Jill Ratliff MoSU Assistant Vice President for Academic

Affairs & Institutional Effectiveness


Robert Staat CPE Faculty Rep 502-852-1296 [email protected]

Arnold Taylor CPE CPE Rep 859-331-2000 [email protected]

Josh Tunning CPE Student Rep 859-512-3765 [email protected]

Sherrill Zimmerman CPE Chair - Steering Committee 502-228-3960 [email protected]

Council on Postsecondary Education2016-20 Strategic Agenda Steering Committee

As of 2/2/2015

68

mailto:[email protected]



tel:%28270%29 809-2491













**DRAFT**

Strategic Agenda Policy Focus Group Conversations

What: Focused discussions with key stakeholders around 8-10 specific postsecondary/adult

education policy areas or issues.

Why: To get broad stakeholder input into the challenges and opportunities in each policy area. The

groups should also provide some input on appropriate metrics in each area. These conversations

would in lieu of the policy area workgroups formed during the last planning process, and are

designed to make more effective use of stakeholders’ time.

When: March and early April

Format: Professionally facilitated, ½ day discussion using a common format/structure. The first part of

the meeting will be on setting the context (key challenges, progress, national context, etc). The rest of

the meeting would focus on getting input from the group. Lunch will be provided.

Role of CPE Staff: Each policy conversation would be “owned” by a CPE staff member who would

identify the meeting participants, present the context material, work with the professional facilitator on

planning, and report on the meeting to the Steering Committee.

Participants: No more than 30 participants representing a broad group of people inside and outside

the higher education system. Each should have that has a specific stake in or knowledge of the policy

issue. Existing committees or workgroups might serve in this role for some policy issues.

Deliverables: A brief written report and presentation to the Strategic Agenda Steering Committee.

Tentative topics:

Improving College Access

Improving Academic Readiness

Serving Non-Traditional Populations

Improving Persistence and Completion

Improving Academic Quality and Instruction

Promoting and Supporting Diversity on Campus

Decreasing Financial Barriers to College

Aligning Postsecondary Education and the Workforce

Institutions’ Research Mission

Institutions’ Service Mission

69

agenda: feb. 3, 2015 cpe strategic agenda work...

Documents