agility in metals: the digital transformation of the steel industry in … · 2019-10-03 ·...
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Agility in metals: The digital transformation of the steel industry in stormy times
Future Steel Forum Budapest,
Presented by Nils Naujok and Holger Stamm
September, 2019
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Strategy&
The global metals landscape has been evolving very quickly in recent years
Source: Strategy& 2
Global
oversupply
Healthy global
economy
Tariffs amid
trade tensions
and CO2
Future
uncertainty
Future Steel Forum 2019 September 2019
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Strategy&
Today, a storm is coming and the steel industry is facing dynamic and complex market challenges
Source: Strategy& 3
Global overcapacities and volatility of
global steel markets
Necessary consolidation of the steel
industry does not progress
Raw material and energy prices
volatility
4.5% year-on-year drop in shipment
volumes (EU flat steel products Q1 2019)
Trade frictions and diversion effects
(Trump effect)
Steel industry faces production cuts or
factories closures
Structural challenges of the key
customer industry Automotive
New ways of forward integration,
collaboration and partnerships
CO2 price increase, regulation and
customer demand of CO2 efficient steel
Invests needed in CO2 efficiency, new
assets and digitalization
Future Steel Forum 2019 September 2019
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Strategy&
In order to succeed, metals companies must balance a number of important factors – to weather the storm or to sail the wind
Source; Strategy& 4
Digital Green Steel
New Business
Models
Future Steel Forum 2019 September 2019
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Strategy&
Strategy& carried out an in-depth analysis to better understand the importance of digital strategy for metals players
Source: Strategy& 5
31 steel companies 19 aluminiumLooking at:
• Connected Supply Chain
• Smart Operations
• Digital Customer Access
• Digital Products & Services
• Strategy
• Digital Talent & People
• IT & Technology
• Stakeholder engagement
Strategy& Metals maturity assessment
Future Steel Forum 2019 September 2019
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Strategy&
We placed the companies into four categories depending on where they were in their digital journey
Source: Strategy& 6
approx. 30% approx. 35% approx. 20% approx. 15%
Horizontal
collaboratorsVertical integratorsDigital novices
Digital
champions
Future Steel Forum 2019 September 2019
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Strategy&
Digital champions were the only category of metals players achieving a reasonable level of growth and profitability
1) Average CAGR (2011-2017)
Source: PwC Strategy& “Agility in Metals“, 2018 7
Revenue growth
-1.4%Vertical Integrator
-1.6%Digital Novice
1.5%Digital Champion
-o.8%Horizontal Collaborator
Profitability growth
0.7%Vertical Integrator
-0.4%Digital Novice
14.4%Digital Champion
-2.6%Horizontal Collaborator
Resilience to volatility
Less debt
Future Steel Forum 2019 September 2019
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Strategy&
These players have achieved this by taking the right approach to digital
8
production
organised and
monitored for
efficiency
Integrated
with supply
chains and
customers
Future Steel Forum 2019 September 2019
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Strategy&
The digitization of metals production and the metals value chain leads to a productivity revolution
1) Average CAGR (2011-2017)
Source: PwC Strategy& “Agility in Metals“, 2018 9Vertical Integration Horizontal Integration
Enabler: E2E data availability and analysis & efficient IT and data architecture, Competences and Culture
3D
RFID
Future Steel Forum 2019 September 2019
Melt shop process modeling
Modelling of temperature development
Big data end-to-end quality control
Predictive maintenance
Real-time Inventory analyticsPredictive price analytics
DemandSupply
E2E logistics visibility Integration into B2B ecosystems E2E supply & demand planning
Proactive demand sensingDynamic real-time inventory management
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Strategy&
The path to success has its challenges, but the time to act is now to lock in the competitive benefits of embracing digital
Three guiding principles to embrace on your journey towards becoming a digital champion
10
Create in networks and
partnerships
Start with a digital vision
Embed Digital
into your culture
Performance
Time
Digital Novice
VerticalIntegrator Horizontal
Integrator
DigitalChampion
Source: Strategy&
Future Steel Forum 2019 September 2019
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Strategy&
Digital Champions create new business models in the integrated steel value chainApplication of the business model of …
Future Steel Forum 2019
Source: Strategy& 11
… in the metals industry creates an ecosystem that consolidates and centralizes sales, distribution, and planning for various producers
Supplier in a digital ecosystem
… in the metals industry increases the integration in the customer industry to support the customer with design, development, production planning, and component production
Digital system supplier
… in the metals industry creates a virtual and digital network of partnerships in production, development, and sales
Digital network supplier (conglomerate)
September 2019
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Strategy&
The next stage of evolution will be to create a fully-integrated digital eco-systems to significantly increase margins – e.g. the Digital Body Shop…
12
DIGITAL
BODY SHOP
Pressing
Steel
Maker
Engine-
ering
Raw
materials /
recycling
OEM Body
Shop39
25
14
65
585
650
Value Added
(in /ton)
10% margin
(in /ton)
COGS
(in /ton)
Steel price(in /ton)
Productivity
Quality
Margin increase
of up to 16%
Source: Strategy&
Future Steel Forum 2019 September 2019
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Strategy&
… or to become the first ecosystem facilitator for Additive Manufacturing in a disruptive way to play
13
ADDITIVE
MANUFAC-
TURING
NETWORK
Appli-
cation /
Buyers
Metals
Powder
Vendors
Shops
Engine-
ering
Consulting
Machine &
Software
Vendors
Ecosystem
facilitator
3
• Expertise across full AM value chain
• Access to materials and solutions (partners or M&A)
• Ecosystem and platformmanagement
Disrupt
Integrate add. manufacturing
and end-user ecosystems
Solutions
innovator
2
New, creative materials and
services
• Application expertisebeyond materials
• Fitting together disparate technologies
• Wide range of materials and solutions
Expand
Source: Strategy&
Future Steel Forum 2019 September 2019
Descri
pti
on
Cap
ab
ilit
ies
Material
supplier
1
Providing the highest quality
materials
• Rigorous Innovation and R&D
• Prototyping/ applicationexpertise
Core
Way t
o P
lay
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Strategy&
Steel companies need to embrace three key elements for the strategy around “green steel” business models to gain competitive advantageKey elements for green steel business models
Future Steel Forum 2019
Source: Strategy& 14
New business models needed for green steel
(to benefit from advantages
of the EAF- or DRI-route)
EBITDA breakdown of in 2°C scenario
New material battle with Aluminuim due to
better CO2 intensity and
TCO of Steel (as key driver
to compensate weight
disadvantage)
Carbon Intensity (based on Paris 1.7-1,8°C scenario) CO2 Real-time Dashboards
CO2-Transparencyin real-time and on product
level (enabled by digital and
big data technology)
September 2019
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Strategy&
Find the right course
Dynamic StrategyDigitization
Alternative
business models
Green Steel
Our agile approach enables steel companies to develop a dynamic, agile strategy (enabled by digital) and to weather the upcoming storm Build on digitization, alternative business models and green steel
15
We combine agile ways of
working with our capability
driven strategy approach
building on digital, business
models and green steel.
Aligning costs and capex
anchors the approach and
needs to be closely aligned
with strategy, capabilities
and operating model
Put down a buoy
Align Costs and Capex
Future Steel Forum 2019
Alternative
business models
Clear the ship for action
Differentiated Capabilities
DigitizationGreen Steel
All hands on deck
Operating Model (incl. capabilities)
September 2019
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Strategy&
Weather the Storm or Sail with the Wind?
strategyand.pwc.com
© 2019 PwC. All rights reserved.
PwC refers to the PwC network and/or one or more of its member firms, each of which is a separate legal entity. Please see pwc.com/structure for further details.
Disclaimer: This content is general information purposes only, and should not be used as a substitute for consultation with professional advisors.
Dr. Nils NaujokPartner,
Energy, Utilities & Resources (EUR) Leader EMEA
+49 170 2238 855
PwC Strategy& (Germany) GmbH
Kapelle-Ufer 4, 10117 Berlin
Holger StammDirector,
Digital Operations Strategy&
+49 151 6135 8274
PwC Strategy& (Germany) GmbH
Goltsteinstraße 14, 40211 Düsseldorf