Agricultural statistical system in Lebanon

22-23 January 2014Paris- France

Lebanese Republic Ministry of Agriculture

Agricultural market (mostly grain) information network in the Agricultural market (mostly grain) information network in the Mediterranean regionMediterranean region

(AMIS MED) (AMIS MED)Kick off meetingKick off meeting

Existing

– Trade : Negative Balance• Exports, (Million US$)

2 816• Imports, (Million US$)

11 815

– Total Surface Area (Km2) 10 452– Population (Thousand)

4 097– GDP (Million US$)

42 000

3 3"

Smallest country in the western part of Asia

AGRICULTURE SECTOR FACTS

• Agriculture as % of Gross Domestic Product (2009) = 4.9% (vs. 5.8% in 2008)

• Employment in Agriculture (2004) = 7.5 % of Total Labor Force

• Agricultural Exports including agro-processed food (2010) = 518 million USD • Value of Agricultural Exports as % of Total Exports (2010) = 12%• Volume of Agricultural Exports = 844 thousand tons

• Agricultural Imports including agro-processed food (2010) = 2 852 million USD• Value of Agricultural Imports as % of Total Imports (2010) = 16%• Volume of Agricultural Imports = 2 692 thousand tons

• Total Cultivated Area (2009) = 275 thousand hectares

Wheat sector facts• Wheat area (2013): 96000 dn (9600 Ha)

• Productivity : 5 tons/ha (irrigated) 3.25 tons/ha (rainfed)

• Wheat production (2013) :47000 Tons

• Imports: 400.000 tons (80% of total demand)

• Bill of imports: 114.721.000 $ (no customs fees)

• Lebanon produce each year around 80000 Tonnes of wheat mainly durum wheat which equivalent to 17.7% of yearly consumption which is around 450000 Tonnes.

• Lebanon imports wheat from different countries mainly from Russia ( 75%) Kazaghstan (22%).

Wheat sector facts

international priceinternational price

Subsidized Price Subsidized Price 22% 22%

Consumption

The estimated consumption of wheat is around 450000 tonnes per year divided as follows:-416000 tonnes for baking,- 50000 tonnes for flour type extra,-25000 tonnes for Burghul (durum wheat), -4000 tonnes for semolina - 12000 tonnes for household consumption.- Wheat varieties in Lebanon are not suitable for bread baking.

The local production of wheat is normally used in burghul making and part of it is exported.

Projected production and demand-Given that Lebanon has limited ability to produce wheat, imports will have to increase substantially to meet demand. -Lebanon population is expected to reach 5.33 million by 2050, a 70 % increase from 3,733,610 in 2010. Consumption per capita for Lebanon is expected to reach 130 kilos by 2050, while production is only expected to reach 80000Tonnes. -As a result, imports will have to reach 689000 MT in 2050 in order to fulfill domestic demand.

GapsGaps

Agricultural market monitoring system

• Efficiency ( Monitor cereals prices at regional level)

• Transparency• Sustainability• Link & coordination with other ministries• Lack technical resources (Methodologies in

data collection and dissemination )

Needs

Interventions at the different cereals chain ( Mainly wheat)Interventions at the different cereals chain ( Mainly wheat)

Increase productivity (varieties)Improve quality

Improve storage facilities and conditions

installation of the already installed software's but not yet usedImprove methodologiesIncrease number of qualified staffTechnical assistance

Related departments: statistics, marketing departments/ MOA and Office of cereals and sugar beet / MOE

THANK YOU !