Agriculture and Livestock Sector

Case study on estimation of damage and losses

Contents

1. Description of drought disaster

2. Baseline and other information

3. Estimations to be made

Effects of drought on agriculture crops

• Due to the drought seasonal crop growth was curtailed

• The effects of the drought included the following:– Harvested area for each crop was

lower than planted area– Average unit yields for each crop were

lower than initially foreseen– Overall quantity of production was

lower than forecasted

Effects of drought on livestock

• Some domestic animals died due to lack of water and pasture

• A significant number of animals were forced to travel long distances to obtain water and pasture. As a result:

• Some animals became sick• Others required unforeseen expenditures

to provide veterinarian attention, water and feed

• Production of meat, milk and cheese declined correspondingly

Planted and harvested area for food and cash crops

Forecasted and obtained crop yields

Crop prices paid to producers

Baseline for livestockData on animal stock

# of animals under production

Animal productivity

Drought effects on livestock

Effects on productivity of animals

# of dead and sick animals

Unit prices and associated costs

Price paid per animal

Prices of by-products

Cost of veterinarian assistance

Estimations to be made

1. Value of dead animals (damage)

2. Production losses of meat and milk due to:

• Death of animals• Illness of animals

3. Higher costs incurred– Veterinarian attention– Cost of water and feed

Thank You !!