agriculture grain: world markets and trade€¦ · 1/9/2007 · concerns about crop prospects in...

United StatesDepartment ofAgriculture

ForeignAgriculturalService

Circular SeriesFG 09-07September 2007

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

Prices of all major grains have surged over the past year. U.S. wheat prices reached record highs at $334/ton fob as a result of tightened supplies from major exporters (EU-27, Canada, and Ukraine), concerns about crop prospects in Argentina and Australia, and fears of Russian export restrictions. Despite high prices, global demand has not subsided and the current export pace for the United States is a blistering 23 percent higher than last year. Tightening exportable barley supplies have caused prices to jump 25 percent in the past month ($80/ton) to $350/ton (fob, Northern Europe)as Ukraine kept its trade ban and Russia is considering imposing export restrictions.

In contrast to wheat and barley, historically high corn and sorghum prices are demand driven, largely by the EU. Prices have softened in recent weeks with expectations of a larger U.S. harvest. Corn price dynamics may change, however, if Brazil's surging export sales become constrained by limited exportable supplies and if Argentina continues restrictions on new-crop corn sales. Early season U.S. sorghum sales have already reached an unprecedented 2.6 million tons, nearly 4 times larger than this time last year. Much of these sales are expected to go to the EU, where import licenses are already 500,000 tons ahead of last year’s pace.

U.S. Prices Soar for All Grains

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Jul-9

4

Jul-9

5

Jul-9

6

Jul-9

7

Jul-9

8

Jul-9

9

Jul-0

0

Jul-0

1

Jul-0

2

Jul-0

3

Jul-0

4

Jul-0

5

Jul-0

6

Jul-0

7

$/ton FOB

Corn

Wheat

$334/ton

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................. 10 Coarse Grains................................................................................................... 15 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 39 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 64 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 9 a.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular is released at 9:30 a.m. on the same day, together with its downloadable data set.

Grain: World Markets and Trade, September 2007

2 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

September 2007

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2007/082006/072005/062007/082006/072005/062007/082006/072005/06

Production

United States (Jun-May) 57.3 49.3 57.5 7.1 6.2 6.1 282.3 267.6 338.0

Other 565.4 543.8 548.7 410.9 411.9 412.4 413.8 435.7 436.1

World Total 622.6 593.1 606.2 418.1 418.2 418.5 696.2 703.3 774.1

Domestic Consumption


Other 587.4 588.8 583.7 407.7 413.7 418.6 470.5 487.3 501.3

World Total 618.8 619.8 616.2 411.5 417.7 422.6 702.5 722.2 769.0

Ending Stocks


Other 133.6 112.7 102.5 76.1 75.9 70.1 72.9 71.9 62.9

World Total 149.2 125.1 112.4 77.5 77.2 71.0 122.9 101.0 105.4

TY Imports


Other 107.6 106.8 101.7 26.3 27.0 27.0 79.4 86.5 88.0

World Total 109.9 110.2 104.4 26.9 27.7 27.7 79.6 86.7 88.4

TY Exports


Other 85.1 87.6 76.5 25.6 26.3 26.6 26.5 33.2 33.4

World Total 112.5 112.6 106.5 28.9 29.6 29.7 82.6 87.2 90.4

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

September 2007

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

4

MONTHLY HIGHLIGHTS: Skyrocketing U.S. Export Pace

through August 2007

Skyrocketing U.S. Export Sales Pace* vs.

Eight Year Average**

PRICES: Tight Domestic Supplies

Export Sales Soar to Extreme Highs: In recent months, U.S. exports have climbed on importer concerns about record prices and tight exportable supplies from major exporters, many of which experienced severe weather conditions ranging from drought to heavy rains and frost. Supplies are inversely related to prices, which have recently shot to historic levels. These dynamics have spurred higher early-season U.S. wheat purchases by major importers such as Egypt, EU-27, Yemen, and Iraq. Many buyers have bought forward because they expect prices to continue to rise. The United States has sufficient supplies to cover some of this surging early-season import demand. Later in the year, if the foreign supply situation continues to tighten, the United States may be able to provide additional exports, despite a tight balance sheet, in certain classes such as SRW and HRW.

PRICES: Domestic: For August, wheat prices for all classes surged on continued strong global import demand and production concerns in Argentina and Australia. For the month, Hard Red Winter (HRW) rose $38 per ton, Hard Red Spring (HRS) rose $32, Soft Red Winter (SRW) rose $50, and Soft White (SWW) rose $43.

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

175200225250275300325350

6/8 6/15 6/22 6/29 7/6 7/13 7/20 7/27 8/3 8/10 8/17 8/24 8/31 9/7

$/M

T

U.S. No.1 HRW 11% (Gulf) U.S. No.2 SRW (Gulf)

U.S. No.1 SWW (PNW) US No.1 DNS 14% (PNW)

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

SR

W

Dur

u

8 Year Average

2007/08

m

HR

W

HR

S

Wh i

te

* End of August export sales divided by annual export estimate. ** Variabilities within each 8 year average are: SRW +/- 7%; Durum +/-6%; HRW +/-4%; HRS +/-1.50%; and White +/-3%.



September 2007

TRADE CHANGES IN 2007/2008 Selected Exporters

• Australia is down 1.5 million tons to 13.0 million on smaller crop prospects and continued dry weather.

• Canada is down 1.0 million tons to 14.0 million on deteriorating crop conditions that

lowered production potential. • EU-27 is down 1.0 million tons to 10.5 million on continued crop quality problems from

very poor weather conditions.

• Russia is up 1.0 million tons to 12.0 million on estimated higher production.

• United States is up 1.0 million tons to 30.0 million on stronger global import demand and less competition from some major suppliers.

Selected Importers

• Iraq is down 500,000 tons to 3.0 million on expected smaller purchases due to high prices.

• Nigeria is down 300,000 tons to 3.3 million as import pace is anticipated to be the same

as last year’s levels. TRADE CHANGES IN 2006/2007 Selected Exporters

• Australia is down 256,000 tons to 11.244 million based on final trade numbers. • Argentina is up 210,000 tons to 12.210 million based on final trade numbers.

• Canada is up 435,000 tons to 19.635 million based on final trade numbers.

• Ukraine is up 566,000 tons to 3.366 million based on final trade numbers.

Selected Importers

• Tunisia is up 250,000 tons to 1.45 million on stronger late season buying patterns. • Uzbekistan is up 450,000 tons to 650,000 with late-season purchases from Kazakhstan.



September 2007

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Aug

2007/08Sep

none

TY Exports

9,5009,50012,2108,30113,5027,346 Argentina

13,00014,50011,24415,21315,82615,096 Australia

14,00015,00019,63515,64415,14215,526 Canada

2,5002,5002,7831,3971,1712,824 China, Peoples Republic of

10,50011,50013,50015,69414,7459,834 EU-27

6,5006,5006,0003,0002,7004,110 Kazakhstan, Republic of

12,00011,00010,70010,6647,9513,114 Russian Federation

8008001,5006006001,200 Syria

1,5001,5002,0002,9002,217854 Turkey

1,5001,5003,3666,4614,35166 Ukraine

4,6754,6904,6665,2215,67711,103 Others

76,47578,99087,60485,09583,88271,073 Subtotal

30,00029,00025,02527,42428,46432,295 United States

106,475107,990112,629112,519112,346103,368 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,4004,4004,6005,4695,3983,933 Algeria

1,9001,9001,9002,0092,0581,945 Bangladesh

6,8006,8007,7506,1945,3095,559 Brazil

1,2501,3501,2381,3141,2481,246 Colombia

6,8007,0006,8007,7718,1507,295 Egypt

6,5006,5005,5006,7587,0617,374 EU-27

3,0003,0006,700118148 India

5,3005,3005,4254,9814,6614,535 Indonesia

3,0003,5003,0004,8783,0101,925 Iraq

5,5005,5005,7475,4695,7445,751 Japan

3,4003,4003,4393,8843,5913,434 Korea, Republic of

1,2501,2501,2501,2161,4121,329 Malaysia

3,6003,6003,6003,5493,7173,644 Mexico

3,2003,2001,8002,4182,2722,414 Morocco

3,3003,6003,3003,6563,0142,383 Nigeria

1,3001,5001,3001,6561,4491,488 Peru

2,5002,5002,8002,9542,5932,975 Philippines


1,2501,2508851,2421,407911 South Africa, Republic of

1,2001,2001,3501,6591,522995 Sudan

1,2001,2001,1241,1741,0811,139 Thailand

1,3001,3001,4501,2631,079781 Tunisia

1,7001,7001,8001,6911,5041,538 Venezuela

1,3001,3001,3001,1811,226830 Vietnam

2,1002,1002,2002,1431,8531,635 Yemen

27,44527,54529,35231,63335,94932,573 Others

101,695103,095106,810107,562107,51998,666 Subtotal

2,0802,1952,4242,6482,8812,942 Unaccounted

2,7002,7003,3952,3091,9461,760 United States

106,475107,990112,629112,519112,346103,368 World Total


September 2007

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Aug

2007/08Sep

none

Production

4,4004,4004,4004,2704,0004,360 Afghanistan

14,00014,00015,20014,50016,00014,500 Argentina

21,00023,0009,90025,36721,90526,132 Australia

20,30021,50025,26526,77525,86023,552 Canada


8,3208,3208,2748,1847,1776,443 Egypt

121,827124,931124,797132,356146,878110,578 EU-27

74,89074,89069,35068,64072,15065,100 India

15,00015,00014,80014,50014,50013,500 Iran


23,00023,00021,70021,61219,50019,183 Pakistan


15,50015,50017,50018,50018,50016,800 Turkey

13,50013,30014,00018,70017,5003,600 Ukraine

6,0005,8505,8505,8005,2505,400 Uzbekistan, Republic of

44,97344,67350,31650,00552,76250,353 Others

548,710552,864543,752565,359569,282491,091 Subtotal

57,53457,53449,31657,28058,73863,814 United States

606,244610,398593,068622,639628,020554,905 World Total

none

Total Consumption

7,6007,6007,6007,5007,3006,800 Algeria

6,7006,7007,5006,4005,9005,956 Australia

10,40010,40010,50010,80010,2009,800 Brazil

8,7508,9009,1509,1689,3867,590 Canada


15,70015,65015,45014,80014,20013,300 Egypt

121,296122,900125,700127,525123,220115,095 EU-27

75,85075,85074,35069,97172,83868,258 India

15,60015,60015,30015,00014,70014,300 Iran


7,1507,1507,2006,8006,6006,400 Morocco

22,40022,40021,90021,50020,00019,100 Pakistan


16,25016,25016,25016,10016,80016,800 Turkey

11,90011,90011,70012,50011,7009,025 Ukraine

119,090119,468120,785122,549116,893109,450 Others

586,490588,098586,105593,132577,695556,172 Subtotal

32,46832,41431,04731,35731,82332,507 United States

618,958620,512617,152624,489609,518588,679 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

3,5884,0783,2139,7286,6985,360 Australia

4,7484,7986,9239,7087,9226,080 Canada


11,01111,51114,48023,38327,48811,514 EU-27

5,4905,4903,5002,0004,1006,900 India


3,1503,1143,0003,2642,2481,382 Pakistan

32,75833,02842,00046,36145,39639,332 Others

102,520103,794112,676133,617136,313117,638 Subtotal

9,84410,98712,40215,54514,69914,872 United States

112,364114,781125,078149,162151,012132,510 World Total


September 2007

Thousand Metric Tons

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Aug

2007/08Sep

2007/08

TY Imports none

5,630 North America 5,910 6,136 7,295 6,575 6,575

1,500 Central America 1,510 1,514 1,500 1,450 1,350

1,839 Caribbean 2,034 1,926 1,878 1,930 1,930

11,207 South America 10,826 12,687 13,955 13,210 12,910

7,374 European Union 7,061 6,758 5,500 6,500 6,500

1,457 Other Europe 1,464 1,457 1,465 1,425 1,425

7,260 Former Soviet Union - 12 4,548 4,729 5,230 4,350 4,550

8,813 Middle East 10,202 13,220 11,237 11,095 10,395

15,480 North Africa 18,407 18,560 15,650 16,950 16,750

9,713 Sub-Saharan Africa 12,091 13,006 11,414 11,685 11,385

15,320 East Asia 18,357 12,830 11,886 11,650 11,650

3,008 South Asia 4,881 4,374 10,086 6,280 6,280

11,177 Southeast Asia 11,429 11,923 12,299 11,975 11,975

648 Oceania 745 751 810 720 720

100,426 Total 109,465 109,871 110,205 105,795 104,395

Production none

90,066 North America 87,018 87,075 77,821 82,294 81,094

1 Central America 1 1 1 1 1

0 Caribbean 0 0 0 0 0

23,632 South America 25,261 22,361 20,059 20,625 20,625

110,578 European Union 146,878 132,356 124,797 124,931 121,827

3,864 Other Europe 5,438 4,201 4,331 4,235 4,185


39,816 Middle East 41,593 42,968 41,828 39,772 39,772

16,285 North Africa 17,166 15,178 18,526 13,780 13,780


87,730 East Asia 93,179 98,647 105,243 106,278 106,278

90,966 South Asia 97,696 96,412 97,300 104,100 104,100

107 Southeast Asia 130 150 164 164 164

26,453 Oceania 22,161 25,660 10,177 23,277 21,277

554,905 Total 628,020 622,639 593,068 610,398 606,244

Domestic Consumption none

45,997 North America 47,209 46,625 46,397 47,614 47,518

1,354 Central America 1,410 1,462 1,436 1,336 1,251

1,839 Caribbean 2,034 1,926 1,872 1,930 1,930

23,240 South America 23,493 24,633 24,195 24,152 23,930

115,095 European Union 123,220 127,525 125,700 122,900 121,296

5,500 Other Europe 6,078 5,907 5,620 5,585 5,535


47,038 Middle East 49,188 50,262 50,458 50,430 49,730

30,082 North Africa 32,308 33,514 34,025 34,175 34,275


116,429 East Asia 114,077 113,584 112,929 112,310 112,335

96,891 South Asia 102,088 100,891 105,762 107,650 107,650

10,438 Southeast Asia 11,029 11,665 11,717 11,959 12,064

6,831 Oceania 6,822 7,341 8,475 7,620 7,620

581,181 Total 608,360 618,770 619,832 617,682 616,154

Ending Stocks none

21,695 North America 22,997 25,565 19,727 16,197 15,004

185 Central America 185 185 150 170 150

20 Caribbean 20 20 20 20 20

2,992 South America 2,856 3,220 2,079 2,136 2,109

11,514 European Union 27,488 23,383 14,480 11,511 11,011

1,115 Other Europe 1,673 1,251 914 732 729


13,087 Middle East 12,502 13,355 12,412 9,949 9,999

7,467 North Africa 10,520 10,511 10,439 6,587 6,534

1,108 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,234 1,393 1,582 843 843

45,563 East Asia 41,218 37,109 37,924 40,287 40,377

9,200 South Asia 7,350 6,095 7,111 8,955 8,991

2,030 Southeast Asia 2,052 2,001 2,228 1,786 1,803

5,548 Oceania 6,870 9,903 3,397 4,242 3,754

132,510 Total 151,012 149,162 125,078 114,781 112,364


September 2007

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Aug

2007/08Sep

2007/08

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data are reported using marketing years.


September 2007

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE PRICES: Nominal Rice Quotes – 2002 to Present International: Thai quotes are down $4 from last month to $330 per ton, FOB, reflecting a weaker Baht and the possibility of more exportable supplies from the government stocks release. Nominal quotes out of Vietnam are at $312 per ton, FOB, due to the export ban.

75

125

175

225

275

325

375

425

475

5/6/03

10/12/0

43/28

/069/11

/07

Thai 100B US #2/4 Viet 5%

Ind 5% Pak 15/20

Domestic: U.S. #2/4 long grain milled rice quotes are up from last month to $412 per ton, FOB. The spread between comparable qualities of Thai and U.S. rice has widened by $10 per ton, but at $82 per ton, is still much smaller than the $106 per ton gap at this time last year. California medium grain #1/4 prices are up from last month at $525 per ton, FOB.


10


September 2007

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Aug

2007/08Sep

none

TY Exports

500500500487345249 Argentina

10010015029127237 Brazil

10010010047190130 Burma, Union of

450450450350200300 Cambodia

1,5001,5001,4001,216656880 China, Peoples Republic of

1,1001,1001,0009581,095826 Egypt

150150150144201187 EU-27

180180230170182243 Guyana

4,1004,1004,5004,5374,6873,172 India

200200200200200200 Japan

15015016091400105 Korea, Republic of

3,2003,2003,1003,5793,0321,986 Pakistan

9,0009,0008,6007,3767,27410,137 Thailand

800800625812762804 Uruguay

4,7004,7004,7004,7055,1744,295 Vietnam

322322388622477543 Others

26,55226,55226,25325,58525,14724,094 Subtotal

3,1003,1003,3003,3063,8623,090 United States

29,65229,65229,55328,89129,00927,184 World Total

none

TY Imports

400400750531785801 Bangladesh

900900800691547762 Brazil

300300300309350275 Cameroon

365365350333321285 Canada

9009007006546091,122 China, Peoples Republic of

750750750750850867 Cote d'Ivoire

700700700594736639 Cuba

1,1001,1001,1001,0831,0581,184 EU-27

450450450400450425 Ghana

315315315309315309 Hong Kong

1,6001,6001,900539500650 Indonesia

9009001,2001,251983950 Iran

1,3001,3009001,306786889 Iraq

700700650681787706 Japan

40040040041191366 Korea, Democratic

700700800886751700 Malaysia

625625600586553521 Mexico

350350350350350375 Mozambique

1,7001,7001,7001,6001,7771,369 Nigeria

1,9001,9001,8001,7911,8901,100 Philippines

1,0151,0159601,4481,3571,500 Saudi Arabia

8008008001,113518850 Senegal

375375375375375346 Singapore

950950900963850818 South Africa, Republic of

450450450350320300 Vietnam

7,0947,0947,0327,3777,7076,907 Others

27,03927,03927,03226,31125,71625,016 Subtotal

1,9131,9131,8461,9472,8741,691 Unaccounted

700700675633419477 United States

29,65229,65229,55328,89129,00927,184 World Total

Note about dates: 2006/07 is calendar year 2007, 2005/06 is calendar year 2006, and so on.


September 2007

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Aug

2007/08Sep

none

Milled Production

29,40029,40029,15028,75825,60026,152 Bangladesh

7,8507,8507,7007,8748,9968,709 Brazil

10,66010,66010,60010,4409,57010,730 Burma, Union of

4,0754,0754,0003,7802,6302,960 Cambodia


4,4074,4074,3834,1354,1283,900 Egypt

92,00092,00092,76091,79083,13088,530 India

34,00034,00033,30034,95934,83035,024 Indonesia

7,9437,9437,7868,2577,9447,091 Japan


3,0003,0002,9002,7002,3002,200 Nigeria

5,3005,3005,2005,5475,0254,848 Pakistan

10,01010,01010,0859,8209,4259,200 Philippines

18,40018,40018,25018,20017,36018,011 Thailand

22,99422,99422,70022,77222,71622,082 Vietnam

30,71530,76230,43030,72929,54728,973 Others

412,354415,101411,924410,943393,564385,323 Subtotal

6,1346,0886,2397,1137,4626,420 United States

418,488421,189418,163418,056401,026391,743 World Total

none

Total Consumption

29,90029,90029,90029,00026,90026,700 Bangladesh

8,9008,9008,9508,9748,8608,687 Brazil

10,70010,70010,50010,40010,30010,200 Burma, Union of

3,7753,7753,7003,5802,7802,725 Cambodia


3,4683,4683,3003,2753,2503,225 Egypt

89,12089,12087,35085,08880,86185,630 India

36,15036,15035,55035,73935,85036,000 Indonesia

3,3303,3303,2253,1753,1253,100 Iran

8,1508,1508,2508,2508,3008,357 Japan


4,7004,7004,4504,3504,2504,000 Nigeria

12,06012,06011,55010,72210,40010,250 Philippines

9,6009,6009,8709,5449,4809,470 Thailand

18,75018,75018,50018,39217,59518,230 Vietnam

46,11146,15345,89144,43744,14943,686 Others

420,695420,781414,376411,695404,267409,474 Subtotal

3,9903,9904,0543,8383,9353,656 United States

424,685424,771418,430415,533408,202413,130 World Total

none

Ending Stocks


10,21010,21011,43010,5208,50010,800 India

2,3072,3072,8573,2073,4484,018 Indonesia

1,6981,6981,6781,327941839 Iran

2,6742,6742,3812,3951,9191,700 Japan

5,3775,3425,6275,2924,5724,047 Philippines

3,1863,1863,3793,5942,3121,706 Thailand

11,09011,26312,28412,96413,09514,319 Others

70,12572,96375,91976,08273,71881,344 Subtotal

8638681,2661,3701,211761 United States

70,98873,83177,18577,45274,92982,105 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


September 2007


Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Aug

2007/08Sep

2007/08

TY Imports none

1,283 North America 1,293 1,552 1,625 1,690 1,690

463 Central America 531 530 500 500 500

1,084 Caribbean 1,213 1,197 1,205 1,155 1,155

1,111 South America 966 1,097 1,305 1,350 1,350

1,184 European Union 1,058 1,083 1,100 1,100 1,100

125 Other Europe 130 130 115 130 130

526 Former Soviet Union - 12 526 470 356 436 436

4,510 Middle East 4,492 5,311 4,340 4,480 4,480

225 North Africa 261 265 325 225 225


2,849 East Asia 2,147 1,981 2,431 2,746 2,746

1,169 South Asia 1,051 790 1,060 720 720

3,202 Southeast Asia 4,236 4,147 5,565 5,267 5,267

238 Oceania 256 274 275 300 300

25,493 Total 26,135 26,944 27,707 27,739 27,739

Production none

6,620 North America 7,657 7,294 6,464 6,288 6,334

553 Central America 466 507 511 511 511

928 Caribbean 761 692 693 693 693

14,667 South America 15,346 14,244 13,841 14,420 14,420

1,741 European Union 1,880 1,741 1,688 1,659 1,654

8 Other Europe 10 10 10 10 10


2,510 Middle East 2,711 2,876 3,021 3,010 3,050

3,941 North Africa 4,169 4,176 4,424 4,448 4,448


126,628 East Asia 140,858 142,072 143,116 144,837 142,037

124,689 South Asia 118,886 131,298 132,355 132,000 132,000

100,903 Southeast Asia 99,465 102,952 101,926 103,180 103,180

395 Oceania 285 696 120 70 70

391,743 Total 401,026 418,056 418,163 421,189 418,488


4,666 North America 5,006 4,946 5,204 5,155 5,155

976 Central America 1,025 1,026 1,051 1,034 1,034

1,951 Caribbean 1,990 1,732 1,940 1,881 1,881

13,535 South America 13,837 14,069 14,193 14,223 14,223

2,627 European Union 2,631 2,651 2,700 2,750 2,750

118 Other Europe 125 130 135 135 135


6,724 Middle East 6,725 7,396 7,210 7,550 7,590

3,491 North Africa 3,552 3,553 3,566 3,734 3,734


148,254 East Asia 146,722 143,951 144,432 145,449 145,337

120,469 South Asia 115,760 121,453 124,884 126,740 126,740

90,710 Southeast Asia 90,390 92,493 93,905 95,386 95,386

540 Oceania 545 550 550 550 550

410,528 Total 405,286 411,530 417,724 422,607 422,553

Ending Stocks none

940 North America 1,385 1,529 1,447 1,071 1,066

441 Central America 383 343 335 312 312

141 Caribbean 165 238 256 223 223

3,010 South America 3,668 3,000 2,370 2,299 2,274

974 European Union 1,138 1,193 1,131 993 985

40 Other Europe 50 60 65 55 55


1,170 Middle East 1,719 2,424 3,026 2,891 2,891

719 North Africa 502 432 615 454 454


46,764 East Asia 41,916 40,329 39,664 40,080 37,240

12,189 South Asia 9,038 11,317 12,187 10,862 10,862

12,675 Southeast Asia 12,648 14,468 14,300 13,076 13,111

550 Oceania 466 531 251 46 46

82,105 Total 74,929 77,452 77,185 73,831 70,988


September 2007

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Aug

2007/08Sep

2007/08



September 2007

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE MONTHLY HIGHLIGHTS: Coarse Grain Trade Hits Record: Coarse grain trade for 2007/08 has been raised by over 4 million tons this month to a record 115 million (corn trade is up 3.7 million tons to a record 90 million). Trade in coarse grains has expanded over 13 million tons over the past 4 years, led by corn. Global demand for feed grains has been outstripping production and U.S. corn exports have filled the bulk of this additional demand. PRICES: Domestic: August export bids for U.S. #2 yellow corn averaged $152 per ton, up $5 from last month. Prices have softened from early-season highs, but export sales remain strong and demand for EU-27 GMO-free feed grains will allow U.S. corn to backfill new markets. International: Tightening foreign barley supplies and surging prices have boosted U.S. export sales to triple last year's level. Though the U.S. is only a small barley exporter (3 percent of world trade) the sharp rise in early-season demand is indicative of tightening global feed grain supplies and escalating prices. In the past month world barley prices have jumped $80 per ton (25 percent) to a record $350 (fob Northern Europe). Ukraine (16 percent of world exports) has a poor crop and therefore imposed export restrictions to ensure that there are sufficient domestic supplies to dampen internal prices. In addition, traders anticipate Russia will also impose export restrictions in the next few months. Finally, Australia, which normally supplies one third of world exports, is facing lower crop prospects and depleted old crop exportable supplies.

U.S. Gulf Export Bids

8090

100110120130140150160170180190200S

ep-0

3D

ec-0

3M

ar-0

4Ju

n-04

Sep

-04

Dec

-04

Mar

-05

Jun-

05S

ep-0

5D

ec-0

5M

ar-0

6Ju

n-06

Sep

-06

Dec

-06

Mar

-07

Jun-

07

$/M

T

Sorghum (Texas Gulf) Corn



September 2007


• United States corn is up 2.5 million tons to 57.0 million. Global demand for feed grains remains strong amidst a lack of corn export competition.

• Brazil corn is boosted 1.0 million tons to a record 8.0 million mainly because of a large

feed grain deficit in the EU-27. (It is also raised 1.0 million tons to 7.5 million for 2006/07).

• Paraguay corn up 200,000 tons to 1.2 million with strong exports to the region.

• Australia barley is down 500,000 tons to 4.5 million due to a cut in production.

• Canada barley is up 600,000 tons to 2.0 million, the highest in over a decade, due to

bolstered production and fierce international demand.

• United States barley is boosted by 50,000 tons to 500,000 in light of tight global supplies of barley.

• United States sorghum raised by 600,000 tons to 5.6 million, the highest in over 5 years,

due to strong demand for GMO-free feed from the EU-27. Selected Importers

• EU-27 corn is up 2.0 million tons to a record 8.0 million because of tight supplies of feed grains and feed-quality wheat.

• Israel corn is up 300,000 tons to a record 1.5 million with large new-crop sales in light

of tight supplies of feed-quality wheat.

• Turkey corn is raised 200,000 tons (to 200,000) because of a reduced barley crop. Barley imports are up by 225,000 tons to 250,000.

• EU-27 sorghum soars by 500,000 tons to a record 1.5 million in light of import

registrations and increased feed demand.



September 2007


• United States corn is up 1.0 million tons to 54.0 million with a surge of shipments and sales late in the season.

• United States sorghum is raised 400,000 tons to 4.4 million in light of increased feed

demand from EU-27.

Selected Importers

• Brazil corn is raised 300,000 tons to 850,000 because of higher trade with Paraguay.

• EU-27 corn is boosted 300,000 tons to 5.6 million because on huge import licenses taken during the late summer.

• Iran corn is raised 500,000 tons to a record 3.0 million because of new sales from the

United States.



September 2007

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Aug

2007/08Sep

none

TY Exports

18,30518,30515,60511,24314,37110,834 Argentina

4,8355,3352,1305,6164,9966,752 Australia

8,0257,0257,5252,8261,4576,191 Brazil

4,1003,5003,7504,0103,2173,474 Canada


4,1104,1104,6053,6495,9542,159 EU-27

1,2001,0001,5001,314386548 Paraguay


8258255251,4291,553838 South Africa, Republic of

4,0104,0104,5007,4446,4653,811 Ukraine

2,2752,1753,7704,1882,9834,191 Others

52,42051,02050,91046,92550,53348,288 Subtotal

63,13559,98558,93561,44350,69254,078 United States

115,555111,005109,845108,368101,225102,366 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,2552,2552,5552,1382,2731,788 Algeria

1,7701,6702,0702,0292,3392,081 Canada

1,9151,9151,8151,6621,1891,148 Chile


3,7253,7253,7253,3802,5162,232 Colombia

700700600687569583 Costa Rica

1,3001,3001,2001,0681,031824 Dominican Republic

4,5204,5204,6754,4185,4053,747 Egypt

9,7157,2156,9202,8832,9067,699 EU-27

1,0001,0001,2001,4435411,436 Indonesia

3,3003,3003,6002,8873,8492,518 Iran

2,0151,6151,5951,5881,7002,012 Israel

18,88518,88519,68519,76719,70919,982 Japan

1,0001,0001,0001,234938771 Jordan


750750700713693531 Libya

2,7002,7002,6002,5172,4062,401 Malaysia

13,30013,30011,0009,9308,9758,873 Mexico

2,4052,4052,0051,9711,9891,326 Morocco

1,4001,4001,4001,5481,3661,114 Peru

7,4007,4006,8008,5787,6447,130 Saudi Arabia

9259259251,008277612 South Africa, Republic of

2,6002,6002,2001,8682,2811,541 Syria

4,4504,4504,5504,7354,7575,114 Taiwan

1,2001,2001,2001,2301,228883 Tunisia

9,6759,25011,63412,09110,68210,356 Others

110,005106,580106,374102,22498,04697,222 Subtotal

2,9751,8501,0713,8499372,888 Unaccounted

2,5752,5752,4002,2952,2422,256 United States

115,555111,005109,845108,368101,225102,366 World Total


September 2007

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Aug

2007/08Sep

none

Production

27,47328,97327,53819,22324,90218,596 Argentina

11,80512,8055,75513,66611,40114,861 Australia

53,85952,85953,16944,16737,87444,881 Brazil

28,09927,44023,14525,93626,44726,326 Canada


7,0407,0407,0006,9926,9006,810 Egypt

9,1009,10011,0759,0857,5656,560 Ethiopia

134,984138,166138,689146,740166,531131,658 EU-27

34,91034,91034,16034,04033,56037,420 India

29,58029,38028,73025,83328,94730,277 Mexico

27,20027,20026,00024,70023,20020,300 Nigeria


10,93310,9737,1347,31112,20910,363 South Africa, Republic of

10,84511,64511,14511,94511,04510,040 Turkey

14,05014,05019,17518,14023,00015,600 Ukraine

119,224118,946123,356116,460115,767113,203 Others

704,652709,687699,831679,534697,200641,348 Subtotal

357,105350,141280,112298,763319,417275,098 United States

1,061,7571,059,828979,943978,2971,016,617916,446 World Total

none


10,47310,87310,1239,3739,0587,407 Argentina

45,00945,00944,02942,21741,55838,913 Brazil

25,56425,35524,09223,85623,80423,826 Canada


11,78011,78011,63511,20112,36410,277 Egypt

149,042148,062145,008147,541152,589145,237 EU-27

34,40534,40533,92033,84033,24035,650 India

19,23719,23719,78520,09219,87820,737 Japan


42,68042,68039,38037,58738,27637,332 Mexico

26,95026,95025,75024,45022,95020,250 Nigeria



11,75011,65011,45011,45211,50411,186 Turkey

12,65012,65013,37511,99015,20014,000 Ukraine

182,924182,301182,921178,411168,031162,614 Others

778,047776,639765,917747,414738,733720,270 Subtotal

282,222282,210246,978245,075240,216225,958 United States

1,060,2691,058,8491,012,895992,489978,949946,228 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,1675,8773,7873,1674,3808,045 Brazil

3,8103,8603,6056,3326,3414,076 Canada


10,28011,79218,23322,63725,01712,956 EU-27

2,6332,1332,8332,8332,7391,873 Iran

3,8613,3613,6863,3365,3955,767 Mexico

2,6292,6292,9393,2492,7082,434 Saudi Arabia

27,21328,27530,35431,57435,49830,831 Others

85,71688,35098,515108,936119,095111,463 Subtotal

46,52342,51532,23654,76758,80028,764 United States

132,239130,865130,751163,703177,895140,227 World Total


September 2007


Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Aug

2007/08Sep

2007/08

TY Imports none

13,210 North America 13,556 14,254 15,470 17,545 17,645

2,178 Central America 2,405 2,803 2,750 2,750 2,750

1,634 Caribbean 1,913 1,969 2,160 2,225 2,225

6,383 South America 6,460 8,749 9,465 8,645 8,645

7,699 European Union 2,906 2,883 6,920 7,215 9,715

817 Other Europe 582 696 710 605 605

1,440 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,080 1,075 760 705 705

16,162 Middle East 17,864 17,586 17,360 17,080 17,905

8,275 North Africa 11,588 10,470 11,135 11,130 11,130


35,922 East Asia 35,661 35,607 35,155 34,685 34,685

32 South Asia 44 33 10 10 10

4,046 Southeast Asia 3,499 4,897 4,815 4,790 4,790

14 Oceania 27 43 1 5 5

99,478 Total 100,288 104,519 108,774 109,155 112,580

Production none

331,701 North America 374,811 350,532 331,987 406,961 414,784

3,206 Central America 2,882 2,889 3,146 3,425 3,425

835 Caribbean 869 784 771 785 785

72,953 South America 72,662 73,232 91,991 93,441 92,941

131,658 European Union 166,531 146,740 138,689 138,166 134,984

9,241 Other Europe 12,757 12,985 12,090 9,552 9,502


17,601 Middle East 18,407 19,031 18,346 18,826 18,026

11,757 North Africa 11,786 9,371 11,047 9,212 9,212


126,238 East Asia 140,578 150,069 155,781 158,614 157,544

42,485 South Asia 39,405 38,427 38,723 39,471 39,471

19,512 Southeast Asia 21,583 21,700 22,707 23,263 23,213

15,472 Oceania 12,026 14,313 6,402 13,452 12,452

916,446 Total 1,016,617 978,297 979,943 1,059,828 1,061,757


287,116 North America 302,296 306,518 310,450 350,245 350,466

5,070 Central America 5,455 5,500 5,875 6,156 6,156

2,412 Caribbean 2,725 2,784 2,933 3,008 3,008

60,478 South America 65,342 68,084 72,060 74,323 73,923

145,237 European Union 152,589 147,541 145,008 148,062 149,042

10,761 Other Europe 12,139 12,264 11,783 10,520 10,470


34,324 Middle East 33,895 36,102 35,885 36,425 37,025

18,746 North Africa 21,891 20,779 21,770 21,515 21,515


175,901 East Asia 177,238 183,334 188,764 193,541 193,471

40,581 South Asia 38,803 38,695 38,683 38,916 38,916

21,787 Southeast Asia 23,946 25,658 26,650 27,985 27,985

7,245 Oceania 7,420 7,820 6,465 7,425 7,425

943,662 Total 978,552 989,911 1,008,918 1,058,944 1,060,768

Ending Stocks none

38,607 North America 70,536 64,435 39,527 49,736 54,194

700 Central America 541 652 673 692 692

120 Caribbean 177 146 144 146 146

11,179 South America 8,708 6,528 7,589 10,687 9,777

12,956 European Union 25,017 22,637 18,233 11,792 10,280

1,070 Other Europe 1,600 1,598 1,562 944 944


6,368 Middle East 7,994 8,188 8,209 6,595 7,065

2,288 North Africa 3,392 2,507 2,919 1,746 1,746


49,775 East Asia 41,159 39,695 37,017 33,540 32,740

1,575 South Asia 1,747 966 741 1,031 1,031

1,988 Southeast Asia 2,062 2,541 2,619 2,375 2,227

2,331 Oceania 2,387 3,315 1,123 1,720 1,220

140,227 Total 177,895 163,703 130,751 130,865 132,239


September 2007

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Aug

2007/08Sep

2007/08



September 2007

World Corn Trade


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Aug

2007/08Sep

none

TY Exports

17,00017,00014,30010,70713,75210,439 Argentina

8,0007,0007,5002,8261,4315,818 Brazil

200200300239244367 Canada


300300500449678455 EU-27

2502503004974811,222 India

1,2001,0001,5001,314386548 Paraguay

2002001,000nrnrnr Serbia

8008005001,4061,517797 South Africa, Republic of

1,5001,5001,0002,4642,3341,238 Ukraine

9959951,4852,8802,2051,815 Others

33,44532,24533,18526,50930,61730,252 Subtotal

57,00054,50054,00056,08445,34748,809 United States

90,44586,74587,18582,59375,96479,061 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,2002,2002,4002,0612,1451,765 Algeria

1,7001,6002,0001,9622,2372,033 Canada

1,8001,8001,7001,5871,0811,043 Chile

3,5003,5003,5003,1512,2561,999 Colombia

700700600687569583 Costa Rica

1,3001,3001,2001,0681,031824 Dominican Republic

4,5004,5004,6004,3975,3983,743 Egypt

600600550521513476 El Salvador

8,0006,0005,6002,6342,4695,859 EU-27

700700800751641513 Guatemala

1,0001,0001,2001,4435411,436 Indonesia

2,7002,7003,0002,3002,5581,857 Iran

1,5001,2001,2001,1281,2421,377 Israel

16,10016,10016,70016,61916,48516,781 Japan


2,7002,7002,6002,5172,4062,401 Malaysia

10,20010,2008,8006,7875,9455,739 Mexico

1,5001,5001,6001,4911,4231,183 Morocco

1,3001,3001,3001,4671,3011,041 Peru

1,4001,4001,3001,4721,2241,621 Saudi Arabia


2,0002,0001,7001,2561,781941 Syria

4,3004,3004,4004,5334,5624,951 Taiwan

700700600624714784 Tunisia

70070065047529136 Vietnam

7,0206,8208,4689,1148,0347,997 Others

88,02085,42086,46879,42475,61176,256 Subtotal

2,0509504422,959722,449 Unaccounted

375375275210281356 United States

90,44586,74587,18582,59375,96479,061 World Total


September 2007

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Aug

2007/08Sep

none

Production

22,50024,00022,50015,80020,50015,000 Argentina

51,00050,00051,00041,70035,00042,000 Brazil

10,57311,2008,9909,3618,8409,600 Canada


5,9805,9805,9405,9325,8405,740 Egypt

46,93748,42855,18761,15366,46847,896 EU-27

15,50015,50014,98014,71014,18014,980 India

7,0007,0006,7006,5007,2006,350 Indonesia

23,20023,20022,00019,50022,05021,800 Mexico

9,0009,0007,8007,0006,5005,500 Nigeria

6,1006,1006,2305,8845,0504,900 Philippines

4,2004,2006,415nrnrnr Serbia


6,5006,5006,4007,1508,8006,850 Ukraine

4,5604,5604,3123,8183,7572,800 Vietnam

65,51665,75665,55369,04168,73861,975 Others

436,066439,924435,707413,849414,929370,921 Subtotal

338,039331,577267,598282,311299,914256,278 United States

774,105771,501703,305696,160714,843627,199 World Total

none

Total Consumption

6,7007,1006,7006,2005,2004,400 Argentina

42,00042,00041,50039,50038,50036,300 Brazil

12,10012,60011,20010,83710,31411,228 Canada


10,70010,70010,50010,10011,3009,200 Egypt

61,50060,80059,60061,50063,20055,764 EU-27

15,00015,00014,80014,20013,90013,500 India

8,0008,0007,9007,9007,9007,350 Indonesia

16,20016,20016,50016,70016,50017,200 Japan


33,30033,30030,30027,90027,90026,400 Mexico

8,8008,8007,6006,8006,3005,500 Nigeria

6,6006,6006,2005,8005,1504,950 Philippines


5,6005,6005,2505,1006,0005,600 Ukraine

108,673108,268108,119104,164100,81893,165 Others

501,895501,750490,283471,962463,323437,251 Subtotal

267,728267,728234,961232,063224,648211,644 United States

769,623769,478725,244704,025687,971648,895 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

5,9655,6653,6653,0154,1927,878 Brazil

1,4641,4411,4912,0011,8021,143 Canada


3,7584,04910,6219,9348,0963,037 EU-27

1,6131,1131,7131,3131,4131,055 Iran

3,2822,9823,2072,7074,5294,461 Mexico

2,0081,8089082,3083,1902,956 South Africa, Republic of

16,14616,71417,78816,39517,28714,170 Others

62,89163,72771,94872,92877,06479,552 Subtotal

42,54838,49929,00949,96853,69724,337 United States

105,439102,226100,957122,896130,761103,889 World Total


September 2007


Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Aug

2007/08Sep

2007/08

TY Imports none

8,128 North America 8,463 8,959 11,075 12,175 12,275

2,178 Central America 2,401 2,803 2,750 2,750 2,750

1,634 Caribbean 1,913 1,969 2,160 2,225 2,225

5,805 South America 5,738 8,144 8,615 7,915 7,915

5,859 European Union 2,469 2,634 5,600 6,000 8,000

544 Other Europe 422 410 370 350 350


7,901 Middle East 8,039 7,381 9,200 8,425 8,925

7,673 North Africa 10,112 9,044 9,700 9,450 9,450


30,818 East Asia 30,094 29,951 30,600 29,850 29,850

32 South Asia 40 33 10 10 10

4,021 Southeast Asia 3,492 4,890 4,810 4,785 4,785

8 Oceania 3 23 0 0 0

76,612 Total 75,892 79,634 86,743 85,795 88,395

Production none

287,678 North America 330,804 311,172 298,588 365,977 371,812

2,874 Central America 2,552 2,582 2,820 3,099 3,099

707 Caribbean 741 656 643 657 657

64,550 South America 63,302 65,408 82,816 83,621 83,121

47,896 European Union 66,468 61,153 55,187 48,428 46,937

7,110 Other Europe 10,199 10,583 9,725 7,185 7,135


4,555 Middle East 5,088 5,773 5,022 5,722 5,722

5,942 North Africa 6,042 6,134 6,142 6,182 6,182


117,672 East Asia 132,141 141,276 146,773 149,763 148,693

18,757 South Asia 18,797 17,830 18,100 18,620 18,620

19,240 Southeast Asia 21,330 21,445 22,437 22,993 22,943

550 Oceania 482 552 422 522 522

627,199 Total 714,843 696,160 703,305 771,501 774,105


249,272 North America 262,862 270,800 276,461 313,628 313,128

4,735 Central America 5,100 5,190 5,550 5,825 5,825

2,284 Caribbean 2,597 2,656 2,805 2,880 2,880

52,505 South America 55,908 59,749 63,665 65,090 64,690

55,764 European Union 63,200 61,500 59,600 60,800 61,500

8,320 Other Europe 9,474 9,576 9,052 7,925 7,875


12,381 Middle East 12,677 13,210 13,421 14,221 14,821

13,298 North Africa 15,702 14,871 15,700 16,000 16,000


161,503 East Asia 163,133 168,958 175,145 179,745 179,675

17,143 South Asia 18,234 17,788 18,120 18,070 18,070

21,509 Southeast Asia 23,710 25,422 26,400 27,735 27,735

555 Oceania 510 545 430 515 515

648,000 Total 686,996 702,543 722,230 768,796 769,001

Ending Stocks none

29,941 North America 60,028 54,676 33,707 42,922 47,294

658 Central America 525 635 655 679 679

120 Caribbean 177 146 144 146 146

10,113 South America 7,724 5,951 6,837 9,963 9,063

3,037 European Union 8,096 9,934 10,621 4,049 3,758

775 Other Europe 1,254 1,267 1,237 597 597

1,361 Former Soviet Union - 12 2,165 1,634 1,700 875 880

1,985 Middle East 2,300 2,076 2,877 1,928 2,703

805 North Africa 1,061 1,314 1,456 1,088 1,088


48,331 East Asia 39,844 38,336 35,814 32,482 31,682

880 South Asia 1,033 587 327 637 637

1,983 Southeast Asia 2,036 2,515 2,593 2,349 2,201

39 Oceania 31 36 23 20 20

103,889 Total 130,761 122,896 100,957 102,226 105,439


September 2007

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Aug

2007/08Sep

2007/08



September 2007

World Barley Trade


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Aug

2007/08Sep

none

TY Exports

500500400309338167 Argentina

4,5005,0002,0005,2314,4816,104 Australia

2,0001,4001,5001,8761,4761,937 Canada

10100302 China, Peoples Republic of

3,5003,5003,7002,5874,240986 EU-27

600600600100100613 Kazakhstan, Republic of


555nrnrnr Serbia

5050505050320 Syria

2,5002,5003,5004,9263,9922,557 Ukraine

00250555306 Others

15,26515,16514,00517,03416,19514,428 Subtotal

500450500357771384 United States

15,76515,61514,50517,39116,96614,812 World Total

none

TY Imports

250250350153182128 Brazil


200200200198234181 Colombia

200200200168212654 EU-27

6006006005871,291661 Iran

350350300314313508 Israel

1,3001,3001,4001,4171,5221,359 Japan

600600600811607400 Jordan

20020020020321462 Kuwait

200200200242261333 Libya

900900400444565143 Morocco

6,0006,0005,5007,1066,4205,508 Saudi Arabia

600600500612500600 Syria

50050060060651499 Tunisia

250251505269171 Turkey

1,2251,2251,5711,5141,3461,557 Others

15,17514,95014,07116,64416,29913,883 Subtotal

290365134623510432 Unaccounted

300300300124157497 United States

15,76515,61514,50517,39116,96614,812 World Total


September 2007

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Aug

2007/08Sep

none

Production

1,2001,2001,2658008861,000 Argentina

8,0009,0003,8009,5637,74010,387 Australia

1,6001,4001,3501,8002,0001,800 Belarus

11,85011,5009,57312,48113,18612,328 Canada


1,8001,8002,1251,7851,5751,410 Ethiopia

57,30858,54756,15654,75264,07755,816 EU-27

1,3101,3101,2201,2001,3001,410 India

3,0003,0002,9002,9002,9002,900 Iran

800800920754805861 Iraq


9009009007539321,082 Mexico


6,5007,3007,5007,6007,4006,900 Turkey

6,2006,20011,3509,00011,1006,850 Ukraine

8,5888,61010,3238,73511,70910,997 Others

131,956134,467132,882132,823147,532136,558 Subtotal

4,8664,8663,9204,6136,0916,059 United States

136,822139,333136,802137,436153,623142,617 World Total

none

Total Consumption

3,5503,5503,6503,4503,4503,050 Australia

1,6001,5001,5001,9751,9001,750 Belarus

10,00010,00010,10010,41410,7679,893 Canada


1,8001,8002,1251,7851,5751,410 Ethiopia

54,85055,35055,85054,05054,58058,007 EU-27

1,3101,3101,2201,2001,3001,400 India

3,7003,7003,9003,8003,5003,100 Iran

1,5501,5501,6501,6501,6501,630 Japan


2,1002,1002,5002,4502,7002,300 Morocco


6,3106,3106,3106,5105,4107,010 Saudi Arabia

7,2007,4007,3007,3007,3007,100 Turkey

5,7005,7006,5004,9006,4006,200 Ukraine

14,44114,37314,62914,46514,16612,925 Others

135,618136,166140,319137,283137,268142,356 Subtotal

4,6824,6834,5924,5705,6724,990 United States

140,300140,849144,911141,853142,940147,346 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

8621,3629122,7621,9161,887 Australia

1,2121,4621,3123,2893,4352,102 Canada

4,5895,3285,4318,52511,0534,522 EU-27

1,0201,0201,1201,5201,326818 Iran

1,1731,1731,1738732,1102,227 Russian Federation

2,5932,5932,9033,2132,6722,399 Saudi Arabia

6836831,1631,193991596 Ukraine

3,5583,7625,1215,0206,8635,309 Others

15,69017,38319,13526,39530,36619,860 Subtotal

1,4681,5761,5012,3502,7962,619 United States

17,15818,95920,63628,74533,16222,479 World Total


September 2007


Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Aug

2007/08Sep

2007/08

TY Imports none

567 North America 291 201 400 400 400

440 South America 538 506 755 630 630

654 European Union 212 168 200 200 200

178 Other Europe 102 161 200 130 130


8,112 Middle East 9,619 10,057 8,060 8,585 8,810

601 North Africa 1,473 1,386 1,425 1,670 1,670

69 Sub-Saharan Africa 102 81 100 100 100

3,047 East Asia 3,768 3,808 2,875 3,250 3,250

0 South Asia 0 0 0 0 0

6 Oceania 24 20 1 5 5

14,380 Total 16,456 16,768 14,371 15,250 15,475

Production none

19,469 North America 20,209 17,847 14,393 17,266 17,616

2,039 South America 2,058 1,827 2,170 2,295 2,295

55,816 European Union 64,077 54,752 56,156 58,547 57,308

1,405 Other Europe 1,769 1,604 1,572 1,567 1,567


11,827 Middle East 12,095 12,034 12,100 11,880 11,080

4,795 North Africa 4,719 2,212 3,880 2,005 2,005


3,136 East Asia 3,678 3,848 3,934 3,825 3,825

1,970 South Asia 1,847 1,742 1,938 2,028 2,028

10,765 Oceania 8,120 9,963 4,200 9,400 8,400

142,617 Total 153,623 137,436 136,802 139,333 136,822


15,833 North America 17,389 15,934 15,642 15,633 15,632

2,189 South America 2,330 2,231 2,420 2,525 2,525

58,007 European Union 54,580 54,050 55,850 55,350 54,850

1,600 Other Europe 1,815 1,761 1,773 1,670 1,670


20,550 Middle East 19,782 21,515 21,140 20,910 20,810

4,427 North Africa 5,164 4,843 5,035 4,480 4,480


6,719 East Asia 7,457 7,634 6,885 7,160 7,160

1,960 South Asia 1,847 1,742 1,938 2,028 2,028

3,450 Oceania 3,850 3,850 4,075 3,975 3,975

146,015 Total 143,770 140,969 144,400 142,026 141,493

Ending Stocks none

4,921 North America 6,470 5,712 2,886 3,111 2,753

404 South America 331 163 268 178 168

4,522 European Union 11,053 8,525 5,431 5,328 4,589

242 Other Europe 295 283 277 299 299


4,340 Middle East 5,658 6,076 5,296 4,631 4,326

1,442 North Africa 2,291 1,153 1,423 618 618


850 East Asia 839 858 782 687 687

34 South Asia 34 34 34 34 34

1,939 Oceania 1,981 2,847 973 1,403 903

22,479 Total 33,162 28,745 20,636 18,959 17,158



September 2007

World Sorghum Trade


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Aug

2007/08Sep

none

TY Exports

800800900226279228 Argentina

15015050190370425 Australia

252525024371 Brazil


25252542442 India

505050505050 Nigeria


404035281436 Others

1,1401,1401,2105478251,361 Subtotal

5,6005,0004,4004,9614,5414,845 United States

6,7406,1405,6105,5085,3666,206 World Total

none

TY Imports

656565427162 Chile

303025258155 Eritrea

1,5001,0001,100772181,139 EU-27

15050454434104 Israel

1,3501,3501,3501,3931,3741,434 Japan


3,0003,0002,1003,0292,9313,002 Mexico

505050505050 Niger

10010030021116015 Sudan

505050696161 Taiwan

303090387239207 Others

6,3405,7405,1805,3415,2256,157 Subtotal

40040043016714049 Unaccounted

000010 United States

6,7406,1405,6105,5085,3666,206 World Total


September 2007

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Aug

2007/08Sep

none

Production

3,3003,3003,3002,2002,9002,200 Argentina

1,9001,9001,0001,9732,0112,009 Australia

2,0002,0001,5001,5432,0512,103 Brazil

1,7001,7001,8001,8371,4001,520 Burkina


900900900900900900 Egypt

2,8002,8003,3252,8002,1501,700 Ethiopia

554594551489499385 EU-27

7,6007,6007,4007,6307,2406,680 India

5,4005,2005,7505,5005,8907,300 Mexico

750750800750500720 Niger

10,50010,50010,50010,50010,0009,000 Nigeria

4,5004,5005,2004,2752,7005,190 Sudan

900900850890820500 Tanzania, United Republic

490490490450400420 Uganda

4,3314,3314,2794,1764,1514,349 Others

50,22550,06550,34548,45945,94047,841 Subtotal

12,56712,0657,0509,98111,52310,446 United States

62,79262,13057,39558,44057,46358,287 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,5002,5002,2002,2002,6002,000 Argentina

1,6301,6309801,8951,7551,405 Australia

1,9001,9001,5001,5932,1001,650 Brazil

1,7001,7001,8001,8371,4001,520 Burkina


900900900900900900 Egypt

2,8002,8003,1002,6002,1501,700 Ethiopia

2,6701,8701,1206835211,971 EU-27

7,5957,5957,3007,5407,2006,700 India

1,3501,3501,4001,4001,4001,500 Japan

8,3008,3008,0008,6009,3009,800 Mexico

875875825750550750 Niger

10,45010,45010,45010,4509,9508,950 Nigeria

5,1005,1005,0004,2503,5004,500 Sudan

900900850890820500 Tanzania, United Republic

5,1575,0575,0105,1444,9445,024 Others

56,41055,85253,46453,40551,58251,890 Subtotal

6,2236,2243,9384,8236,2555,638 United States

62,63362,07657,40258,22857,83757,528 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

228228228128328379 Argentina

1551557595133124 Brazil

42542542520000 Ethiopia

2002002201458061 India

5033034035536241,103 Mexico

200200200200200200 Nigeria

5375371,042547313958 Sudan

6547449069411,141962 Others

2,9022,7923,4992,8092,8193,787 Subtotal

1,7271,7329711,6681,446852 United States

4,6294,5244,4704,4774,2654,639 World Total


September 2007


Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Aug

2007/08Sep

2007/08

TY Imports none

3,002 North America 2,932 3,029 2,100 3,000 3,000



104 South America 158 68 70 70 70

1,139 European Union 218 77 1,100 1,000 1,500

24 Other Europe 7 10 10 10 10

105 Middle East 34 44 45 50 150

0 North Africa 0 35 0 0 0


1,526 East Asia 1,450 1,485 1,415 1,425 1,425

0 South Asia 4 0 0 0 0

25 Southeast Asia 7 7 5 5 5

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

6,157 Total 5,226 5,341 5,180 5,740 6,340

Production none

17,746 North America 17,413 15,481 12,800 17,265 17,967

332 Central America 330 307 326 326 326

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

5,075 South America 5,777 4,583 5,626 6,146 6,146

385 European Union 499 489 551 594 554

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

485 Middle East 485 485 485 485 485

915 North Africa 915 915 915 915 915


2,883 East Asia 2,341 2,554 2,708 2,620 2,620

6,918 South Asia 7,426 7,860 7,630 7,830 7,830


2,009 Oceania 2,011 1,973 1,000 1,900 1,900

58,287 Total 57,463 58,440 57,395 62,130 62,792


15,438 North America 15,555 13,423 11,938 14,524 14,523

335 Central America 355 310 325 331 331

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,509 South America 5,594 4,681 4,601 5,329 5,329

1,971 European Union 521 683 1,120 1,870 2,670

24 Other Europe 7 10 10 10 10

590 Middle East 527 529 530 535 635

915 North Africa 915 950 915 915 915


4,603 East Asia 3,886 3,984 4,105 4,070 4,070

6,938 South Asia 7,387 7,770 7,530 7,825 7,825

102 Southeast Asia 76 76 70 70 70

1,405 Oceania 1,755 1,895 980 1,630 1,630

57,508 Total 57,745 58,055 57,013 61,781 62,680

Ending Stocks none

1,955 North America 2,070 2,221 1,374 2,035 2,230



558 South America 535 302 372 434 434

32 European Union 234 90 166 130 40


43 Middle East 36 36 36 36 36

40 North Africa 39 39 39 39 39

1,375 Sub-Saharan Africa 773 1,163 1,893 1,315 1,315

465 East Asia 342 371 289 239 239

61 South Asia 80 145 220 200 200


63 Oceania 114 67 37 57 57

4,639 Total 4,265 4,477 4,470 4,524 4,629


September 2007

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Aug

2007/08Sep

2007/08



September 2007

World Oats Trade


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Aug

2007/08Sep

none

TY Exports

555120 Argentina

17517575191137210 Australia

1,8001,8001,8001,7541,374984 Canada

252525272944 Chile

200200150231356483 EU-27


00052112 Others

2,2102,2102,0602,2141,9241,738 Subtotal


2,2402,2402,0902,2541,9551,776 World Total

none

TY Imports

555421 Algeria

555565 Bosnia and Herzegovina

202020211619 Canada


252525262623 Colombia

550500 Ecuador

101010213 EU-27

606060596767 Japan

505050835191 Mexico

555110 Morocco

5050504822 Norway


505050482638 Switzerland

0000727 Others

330330325338260316 Subtotal

110110658566158 Unaccounted

1,8001,8001,7001,8311,6291,302 United States

2,2402,2402,0902,2541,9551,776 World Total


September 2007

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Aug

2007/08Sep

none

Production

808080808075 Algeria

400400400350508348 Argentina

1,5001,5006501,6951,2832,018 Australia

600500550600770500 Belarus

475475475517433413 Brazil

5,1004,2003,8523,4323,6833,691 Canada

380380380420425425 Chile


8,3388,4677,7417,9689,1539,018 EU-27


360360360360359333 Norway


120120120nrnrnr Serbia

290290290290290285 Turkey

6506507008001,000925 Ukraine

424424425547537545 Others

24,47723,10621,66322,34924,21124,476 Subtotal

1,4271,4271,3611,6671,6792,096 United States

25,90424,53323,02424,01625,89026,572 World Total

none

Total Consumption

400400400350500359 Argentina

1,1751,1758501,4001,1751,705 Australia

600500550650700500 Belarus

475475475515425410 Brazil

2,9502,2502,2002,1152,1942,187 Canada

350350350400400380 Chile


8,2428,2427,6477,8688,7198,636 EU-27


130130130137126182 Mexico

410410435410360340 Norway


120120120nrnrnr Serbia

290290290290290288 Turkey

6506507008001,000950 Ukraine

604604598714710702 Others

22,18420,97020,36721,05622,33223,204 Subtotal

3,2753,2613,1743,2873,2973,389 United States

25,45924,23123,54124,34325,62926,593 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

727277828377 Argentina

24024090365261290 Australia

1,014864644872974788 Canada


688817782778912834 EU-27

323232323433 Norway

190190190190240184 Russian Federation

133133128121183123 Others

2,4762,4552,0502,5472,7962,435 Subtotal

762690743763841941 United States

3,2383,1452,7933,3103,6373,376 World Total


September 2007


Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Aug

2007/08Sep

2007/08

TY Imports none

1,412 North America 1,696 1,935 1,770 1,870 1,870

34 South America 26 31 25 30 30

3 European Union 1 2 10 10 10

47 Other Europe 34 101 105 105 105


5 Middle East 0 0 0 0 0



76 East Asia 80 77 80 80 80

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,618 Total 1,889 2,169 2,025 2,130 2,130

Production none

5,882 North America 5,437 5,179 5,293 5,707 6,607

1,221 South America 1,397 1,317 1,285 1,285 1,285

9,018 European Union 9,153 7,968 7,741 8,467 8,338

586 Other Europe 628 637 637 637 637


285 Middle East 290 290 290 290 290

105 North Africa 110 110 110 110 110


602 East Asia 602 602 602 602 602

2,093 Oceania 1,358 1,770 725 1,575 1,575

26,572 Total 25,890 24,016 23,024 24,533 25,904


5,758 North America 5,617 5,539 5,504 5,641 6,355

1,207 South America 1,382 1,326 1,280 1,285 1,285

8,636 European Union 8,719 7,868 7,647 8,242 8,242

647 Other Europe 664 739 767 742 742


288 Middle East 290 290 290 290 290

106 North Africa 110 115 120 120 120


677 East Asia 677 683 680 682 682

1,780 Oceania 1,250 1,475 925 1,250 1,250

26,333 Total 25,541 24,291 23,574 24,132 25,446

Ending Stocks none

1,732 North America 1,818 1,638 1,390 1,557 1,779

104 South America 118 112 112 112 112

834 European Union 912 778 782 817 688

52 Other Europe 50 48 48 48 48





109 East Asia 114 110 112 112 112

290 Oceania 261 365 90 240 240

3,376 Total 3,637 3,310 2,793 3,145 3,238



September 2007

World Rye Trade


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Aug

2007/08Sep

none

TY Exports

1505050505050 Belarus

100100150141123186 Canada

100100250381677231 EU-27

10100491226 Ukraine

0000036 Others

360260450621972509 Subtotal


365265455622974511 World Total

none

TY Imports

55102644 EU-27

15155010211123 Israel

7575175279261341 Japan


552041316 Norway


555927 Switzerland

55526116 Turkey

005161243 Others

140140330477651610 Subtotal

12525015149-200 Unaccounted

100100125130174101 United States

365265455622974511 World Total


September 2007

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Aug

2007/08Sep

none

Production


1,3001,1001,2001,1501,4001,200 Belarus

277250383359420327 Canada

7,8237,7436,5377,68810,0316,972 EU-27


240240240240240240 Turkey

6006006001,0501,600625 Ukraine

187187180188184163 Others

14,18213,87512,19514,33016,81413,764 Subtotal

206206183191210219 United States

14,38814,08112,37814,52117,02413,983 World Total

none

Total Consumption


1,2001,1001,1501,1001,3251,200 Belarus

215215245187211138 Canada

7,7807,7007,2418,62010,1358,908 EU-27

7575175279261340 Japan


424257415140 Norway


245245245247299283 Turkey

6006008001,0501,300900 Ukraine

125125158238230250 Others

14,21813,93813,37215,45417,32317,701 Subtotal

314314313332344297 United States

14,53214,25213,68515,78617,66717,998 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

114114164164164139 Belarus

1209315817013043 Canada

7787788301,8743,1563,834 EU-27

202020202020 Japan


626272267336140 Ukraine

000011 Others

1,1701,1431,3202,6213,8844,532 Subtotal


1,1881,1611,3322,6393,9044,547 World Total


September 2007


Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Aug

2007/08Sep

2007/08

TY Imports none

101 North America 174 130 125 100 100

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

44 European Union 6 2 10 5 5

24 Other Europe 17 14 25 10 10


39 Middle East 172 104 55 20 20


455 East Asia 269 286 185 80 80

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

711 Total 825 607 455 240 240

Production none

546 North America 630 550 566 456 483

42 South America 94 64 61 61 61

6,972 European Union 10,031 7,688 6,537 7,743 7,823

85 Other Europe 106 106 101 108 108


240 Middle East 240 240 240 240 240


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

13,983 Total 17,024 14,521 12,378 14,081 14,388


435 North America 555 519 558 529 529

42 South America 94 64 61 61 61

8,908 European Union 10,135 8,620 7,241 7,700 7,780

115 Other Europe 124 123 126 118 118


306 Middle East 410 349 295 260 260


454 East Asia 269 286 185 80 80

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

17,938 Total 17,595 15,799 13,589 14,246 14,426

Ending Stocks none

58 North America 150 188 170 111 138

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

3,834 European Union 3,156 1,874 830 778 778





20 East Asia 20 20 20 20 20

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

4,547 Total 3,904 2,639 1,332 1,161 1,188



September 2007

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES DG F/SA &F

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 40 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 41 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 42 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand........................................ 43 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 50 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters................................... 52 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 54 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters............................ 55

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution ........................................................... 56 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 58 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 59 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 61 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 63



September 2007

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Area Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom. Consumpti

Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

122.4 113.252.820.44.05.024.6 1999/00 16.3

131.7 118.456.315.73.55.026.5 2000/01 17.5

123.4 118.556.512.88.74.825.9 2001/02 18.3

132.6 125.060.018.110.75.026.4 2002/03 18.5

110.6 115.152.49.87.44.624.3 2003/04 11.5

146.9 123.259.214.77.15.726.0 2004/05 27.5

132.4 127.563.015.76.85.125.8 2005/06 23.4

124.8 125.760.413.55.55.124.5 2006/07 14.5

121.8 121.356.410.56.54.924.9 2007/08 11.0

Coarse Grains

147.9 140.1105.813.42.94.433.6 1999/00 22.8

139.9 139.3105.19.34.14.233.0 2000/01 18.2

150.4 143.6107.96.73.94.533.7 2001/02 22.3

148.3 144.9109.37.64.44.532.7 2002/03 22.5

131.7 145.2109.64.28.24.032.6 2003/04 13.0

166.5 152.6116.54.93.05.033.5 2004/05 25.0

146.7 147.5109.44.42.84.532.6 2005/06 22.6

138.7 145.0106.54.76.64.431.9 2006/07 18.2

135.0 149.0109.74.110.24.331.1 2007/08 10.3

Wheat and Coarse Grains

270.3 253.4158.633.86.84.658.2 1999/00 39.1

271.6 257.7161.524.97.64.659.5 2000/01 35.7

273.8 262.1164.419.412.74.659.6 2001/02 40.6

280.9 269.9169.325.715.04.759.2 2002/03 41.0

242.2 260.3162.114.015.64.356.9 2003/04 24.5

313.4 275.8175.719.610.15.359.5 2004/05 52.5

279.1 275.1172.420.09.54.858.5 2005/06 46.0

263.5 270.7166.918.212.14.756.3 2006/07 32.7

256.8 270.3166.114.616.74.656.1 2007/08 21.3

Notes: Trade year statistics are on a July/June year for wheat and an Oct/Sept year for coarse grains. Data for years 1994-1999 represents EU-15 countries prior to its expansion in 1999.


September 2007


China: Grain Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

110.6 107.63.41.02.73.729.6 1996/97 81.2

123.3 109.14.91.21.94.130.1 1997/98 96.2

109.7 108.35.00.50.83.729.8 1998/99 97.9

113.9 109.36.50.51.03.928.9 1999/00 102.9

99.6 110.310.00.60.23.726.7 2000/01 91.9

93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.6 2001/02 76.6

90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.5 101.03.51.41.04.322.8 2005/06 34.9

104.0 101.04.02.80.54.523.2 2006/07 35.6

105.0 100.54.02.50.54.523.1 2007/08 38.1

Coarse Grains

141.3 121.082.64.02.14.929.1 1996/97 119.5

114.7 121.687.26.21.64.128.1 1997/98 108.0

143.5 127.391.43.42.64.929.1 1998/99 123.4

137.2 128.892.710.02.34.629.6 1999/00 124.2

114.0 130.494.47.32.44.326.5 2000/01 102.8

122.2 132.996.28.62.04.427.5 2001/02 85.6

130.7 136.498.415.31.84.728.0 2002/03 66.4

124.0 138.799.17.71.54.627.1 2003/04 45.5

138.3 141.2100.27.62.14.928.2 2004/05 37.0

147.7 147.5103.13.82.35.129.1 2005/06 35.8

153.6 152.8104.74.91.45.129.9 2006/07 33.1

155.4 158.3106.73.01.95.130.7 2007/08 29.1


251.9 228.686.05.04.84.358.7 1996/97 200.7

238.0 230.692.17.43.54.158.1 1997/98 204.2

253.2 235.696.43.93.44.358.8 1998/99 221.3

251.1 238.199.210.53.44.358.4 1999/00 227.1

213.6 240.7104.47.92.64.053.1 2000/01 194.7

216.1 241.6105.210.13.14.152.1 2001/02 162.1

221.0 241.6104.917.12.24.351.9 2002/03 126.7

210.4 243.2105.110.55.34.349.1 2003/04 88.8

230.2 243.2104.28.88.84.649.8 2004/05 75.8

245.1 248.5106.65.23.34.751.9 2005/06 70.7

257.6 253.8108.77.71.94.953.1 2006/07 68.6

260.4 258.8110.75.52.44.853.8 2007/08 67.2

Notes: Trade year statisics are on July/June Year for wheat and an Oct/Sep year for coarse grains.


September 2007


Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

3.9 4.90.50.31.33.21.2 1996/97 0.9

5.6 6.60.50.01.33.71.5 1997/98 1.1

6.0 6.60.60.11.03.91.6 1998/99 1.5

4.2 5.70.70.11.53.31.3 1999/00 1.3

4.6 5.60.70.31.23.31.4 2000/01 1.3

4.9 5.90.90.61.83.41.4 2001/02 1.4

4.9 5.70.90.61.43.51.4 2002/03 1.4

3.9 5.50.70.11.53.11.2 2003/04 1.1

5.4 6.11.00.31.54.01.4 2004/05 1.7

4.2 5.90.90.21.53.61.2 2005/06 1.3

4.3 5.60.70.51.53.61.2 2006/07 0.9

4.2 5.50.70.31.43.51.2 2007/08 0.7

Coarse Grains

10.8 11.19.80.20.63.72.9 1996/97 0.9

12.1 12.010.70.30.54.32.8 1997/98 1.2

11.2 11.610.20.30.43.92.8 1998/99 0.9

12.2 12.511.20.30.64.42.8 1999/00 0.9

8.1 9.07.70.01.03.12.6 2000/01 1.0

10.9 11.19.80.20.84.12.7 2001/02 1.4

11.7 11.49.90.60.64.42.7 2002/03 1.8

9.2 10.89.50.10.83.52.7 2003/04 1.1

12.8 12.110.80.60.64.82.7 2004/05 1.6

13.0 12.310.91.40.74.82.7 2005/06 1.6

12.1 11.810.51.10.74.82.5 2006/07 1.6

9.5 10.59.10.30.63.62.7 2007/08 0.9


14.7 16.110.40.51.93.64.1 1996/97 1.8

17.6 18.611.20.31.94.14.3 1997/98 2.4

17.2 18.210.80.41.43.94.4 1998/99 2.4

16.4 18.211.90.32.14.14.0 1999/00 2.3

12.7 14.58.40.32.23.24.0 2000/01 2.3

15.8 17.110.70.82.63.94.1 2001/02 2.9

16.6 17.010.81.22.04.14.1 2002/03 3.2

13.1 16.310.20.22.33.43.9 2003/04 2.2

18.2 18.211.80.92.04.54.0 2004/05 3.3

17.2 18.211.81.62.24.53.8 2005/06 2.8

16.4 17.411.21.62.24.43.7 2006/07 2.5

13.7 16.09.90.52.03.63.9 2007/08 1.7

Notes: Trade year statisics are on July/June Year for wheat and an Oct/Sep year for coarse grains.


September 2007


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

91.3 70.221.113.93.82.045.7 2001/02 16.0

96.9 75.424.825.74.62.048.4 2002/03 16.5

60.9 65.917.67.87.31.540.3 2003/04 11.0

86.6 72.920.815.24.51.946.5 2004/05 14.0

91.9 75.223.120.34.71.948.5 2005/06 15.2

85.9 73.521.520.35.21.946.0 2006/07 12.6

87.7 73.721.720.14.61.847.5 2007/08 11.0

Coarse Grains

61.8 50.833.36.61.01.932.6 2001/02 11.5

60.7 52.835.08.10.71.931.4 2002/03 12.0

55.4 56.739.46.11.51.831.2 2003/04 6.0

63.0 54.638.18.11.12.031.1 2004/05 7.3

55.2 49.633.68.51.11.928.3 2005/06 5.5

58.5 51.035.48.30.82.029.8 2006/07 5.5

53.3 50.435.35.00.71.829.6 2007/08 4.1

Notes: Trade year statistics are on a July/June year for wheat and an Oct/Sept year for coarse grains.


September 2007

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan, Republic of

11.0 6.82.74.10.01.011.3 2003/04 3.8

10.0 7.42.72.70.00.811.8 2004/05 3.6

11.0 7.42.73.00.00.911.8 2005/06 4.3

13.5 7.82.76.00.01.112.4 2006/07 4.0

14.0 7.82.76.50.01.112.8 2007/08 3.7

Russian Federation

34.1 35.512.53.11.01.522.2 2003/04 2.6

45.4 37.413.68.01.21.924.2 2004/05 3.9

47.7 38.414.910.71.31.925.4 2005/06 3.8

44.9 36.614.110.71.21.923.7 2006/07 2.6

47.0 36.714.212.01.21.924.5 2007/08 2.1

Ukraine

3.6 9.00.40.13.41.52.5 2003/04 1.1

17.5 11.72.14.40.03.05.9 2004/05 2.6

18.7 12.52.96.50.12.86.6 2005/06 2.4

14.0 11.72.13.40.12.55.5 2006/07 1.4

13.5 11.92.31.50.02.36.0 2007/08 1.6

Uzbekistan, Republic of

5.4 5.20.80.50.23.71.5 2003/04 0.9

5.3 5.40.80.10.23.81.4 2004/05 0.9

5.8 5.60.90.10.24.01.5 2005/06 1.2

5.9 6.21.10.10.74.51.3 2006/07 1.4

6.0 6.41.10.10.44.61.3 2007/08 1.3

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

6.8 9.41.20.12.62.32.9 2003/04 2.5

8.5 11.01.60.13.12.63.2 2004/05 3.0

8.7 11.31.70.13.12.63.3 2005/06 3.5

7.7 11.21.50.13.32.53.1 2006/07 3.2

7.2 10.91.40.02.92.52.9 2007/08 2.4

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

60.9 65.917.67.87.31.540.3 2003/04 11.0

86.6 72.920.815.24.51.946.5 2004/05 14.0

91.9 75.223.120.34.71.948.5 2005/06 15.2

85.9 73.521.520.35.21.946.0 2006/07 12.6

87.7 73.721.720.14.61.847.5 2007/08 11.0


September 2007


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat) (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports



September 2007


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports




2.1 2.01.90.70.01.21.8 2003/04 0.4

1.5 1.61.50.10.00.91.7 2004/05 0.2

1.5 1.41.30.10.00.91.6 2005/06 0.2

1.9 1.41.30.60.11.11.8 2006/07 0.3

2.0 1.41.30.60.01.11.8 2007/08 0.3

Russian Federation

18.0 18.613.72.30.41.710.5 2003/04 2.2

17.2 16.511.71.10.31.710.0 2004/05 2.1

15.8 15.510.91.70.21.79.2 2005/06 0.9

18.1 16.411.81.60.21.810.0 2006/07 1.2

17.5 16.111.61.60.21.89.8 2007/08 1.2

Ukraine

6.9 6.24.71.50.01.54.6 2003/04 0.6

11.1 6.44.74.30.02.54.5 2004/05 1.0

9.0 4.93.24.00.12.14.4 2005/06 1.2

11.4 6.54.84.90.02.25.2 2006/07 1.2

6.2 5.74.01.00.01.44.4 2007/08 0.7


0.2 0.20.10.00.01.40.1 2003/04 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.02.90.1 2004/05 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.03.20.1 2005/06 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.03.20.1 2006/07 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2007/08 0.0


2.5 2.61.80.00.22.01.2 2003/04 0.5

3.2 2.92.20.00.12.61.2 2004/05 0.8

2.9 3.12.30.00.12.51.2 2005/06 0.7

2.4 2.51.90.00.12.11.1 2006/07 0.6

2.6 2.71.90.00.12.11.2 2007/08 0.6


29.6 29.522.24.50.71.618.3 2003/04 3.7

33.2 27.620.25.50.31.917.5 2004/05 4.2

29.5 25.217.95.80.41.816.3 2005/06 3.0

33.9 27.019.97.10.41.918.2 2006/07 3.2

28.5 26.119.03.20.31.617.3 2007/08 2.7


September 2007


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley) (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports



September 2007


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports




0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.1 2003/04 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.1 2004/05 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.1 2005/06 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2006/07 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2007/08 0.0

Russian Federation

2.1 2.62.20.00.53.00.7 2003/04 0.2

3.5 3.63.00.00.23.90.9 2004/05 0.2

3.2 3.63.00.10.33.80.9 2005/06 0.1

3.6 3.63.10.10.23.61.0 2006/07 0.2

3.5 3.63.10.10.22.71.3 2007/08 0.2

Ukraine

6.9 5.64.91.20.03.42.0 2003/04 0.8

8.8 6.05.32.30.03.82.3 2004/05 1.3

7.2 5.14.42.50.04.31.7 2005/06 0.9

6.4 5.34.51.00.03.81.7 2006/07 1.1

6.5 5.65.01.50.03.41.9 2007/08 0.5


0.1 0.20.10.00.04.10.0 2003/04 0.0

0.2 0.20.10.00.04.40.0 2004/05 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2005/06 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2006/07 0.0

0.2 0.20.10.00.04.60.0 2007/08 0.0


2.1 2.42.10.10.12.90.7 2003/04 0.3

2.6 2.72.40.00.33.10.9 2004/05 0.6

2.3 2.62.40.00.33.10.8 2005/06 0.5

2.2 2.52.30.00.23.30.7 2006/07 0.4

1.7 2.11.80.00.22.50.7 2007/08 0.2


11.5 11.09.51.30.63.23.6 2003/04 1.4

15.4 12.711.02.40.53.74.2 2004/05 2.2

13.1 11.810.12.60.63.93.4 2005/06 1.6

12.7 11.910.21.10.43.63.5 2006/07 1.7

12.1 11.710.31.60.43.04.0 2007/08 0.9


September 2007


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn) (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports



September 2007

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

16.4 4.90.111.60.02.76.2 1999/00 0.6

16.2 5.00.111.30.02.56.4 2000/01 0.6

15.5 4.90.110.10.02.36.8 2001/02 1.1

12.3 5.20.16.80.02.15.9 2002/03 1.5

14.5 5.20.19.40.02.55.7 2003/04 1.4

16.0 5.00.111.80.02.66.1 2004/05 0.6

14.5 5.00.19.60.02.95.0 2005/06 0.5

15.2 4.90.110.50.02.95.3 2006/07 0.3

14.0 4.90.19.00.02.85.0 2007/08 0.4

Australia

24.8 5.22.517.80.12.012.2 1999/00 4.6

22.1 5.32.615.90.11.812.1 2000/01 5.5

24.3 5.42.716.40.12.111.6 2001/02 8.0

10.1 6.23.59.10.30.911.1 2002/03 3.1

26.1 6.03.218.00.12.013.1 2003/04 5.4

21.9 5.93.214.70.11.613.4 2004/05 6.7

25.4 6.43.716.00.12.012.5 2005/06 9.7

9.9 7.54.89.00.10.911.2 2006/07 3.2

21.0 6.74.014.00.11.613.0 2007/08 3.6

Canada

26.9 8.14.119.20.22.610.4 1999/00 7.3

26.5 7.03.017.30.22.411.0 2000/01 9.7

20.6 7.63.716.30.31.910.6 2001/02 6.7

16.2 8.24.19.40.41.88.8 2002/03 5.7

23.6 7.63.415.80.22.310.5 2003/04 6.1

25.9 9.45.214.90.22.69.9 2004/05 7.9

26.8 9.25.016.10.32.79.8 2005/06 9.7

25.3 9.24.819.20.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9

20.3 8.84.314.00.32.48.6 2007/08 4.7

Total Wheat Competitors

68.1 18.26.648.60.32.428.7 1999/00 12.5

64.9 17.45.744.50.32.229.5 2000/01 15.8

60.4 17.96.542.80.42.129.0 2001/02 15.9

38.6 19.57.625.30.71.525.8 2002/03 10.4


September 2007


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


64.2 18.86.743.30.32.229.2 2003/04 12.8

63.8 20.38.541.50.32.229.4 2004/05 15.2

66.6 20.68.741.70.42.427.4 2005/06 19.9

50.4 21.69.738.70.41.926.2 2006/07 10.4

55.3 20.48.437.00.42.126.6 2007/08 8.7

India

70.8 68.80.40.21.42.627.4 1999/00 13.1

76.4 66.80.51.60.42.827.5 2000/01 21.5

69.7 65.10.53.10.02.725.7 2001/02 23.0

71.8 74.30.64.90.02.825.9 2002/03 15.7

65.1 68.30.65.70.02.624.9 2003/04 6.9

72.2 72.80.52.10.02.726.6 2004/05 4.1

68.6 70.00.30.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0

69.4 74.40.30.26.72.626.4 2006/07 3.5

74.9 75.90.20.13.02.728.0 2007/08 5.5

Turkey

16.5 16.81.02.21.51.98.7 1999/00 1.6

18.0 16.71.01.60.52.18.7 2000/01 1.7

15.5 16.51.10.81.01.88.5 2001/02 1.0

16.8 16.81.00.81.22.08.6 2002/03 1.5

16.8 16.81.00.81.12.08.6 2003/04 1.7

18.5 16.81.02.00.42.28.6 2004/05 1.8

18.5 16.10.43.20.12.28.6 2005/06 1.1

17.5 16.30.42.01.52.08.6 2006/07 1.8

15.5 16.30.41.51.21.88.6 2007/08 0.8

Notes: Wheat trade statistics are on July/June year.


September 2007


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


Argentina

17.2 5.54.011.90.05.53.1 1999/00 0.5

15.4 5.63.99.70.05.52.8 2000/01 0.6

14.7 4.22.710.90.06.02.5 2001/02 0.3

15.5 4.12.511.20.06.32.5 2002/03 0.5

15.0 4.42.810.90.06.52.3 2003/04 0.2

20.5 5.23.514.60.07.42.8 2004/05 1.0

15.8 6.24.49.50.16.52.4 2005/06 1.2

22.5 6.74.815.80.08.02.8 2006/07 1.2

22.5 6.74.816.00.07.53.0 2007/08 1.0

China, Peoples Republic of

128.1 117.389.59.90.14.925.9 1999/00 123.8

106.0 120.292.07.30.14.623.1 2000/01 102.4

114.1 123.194.08.60.04.724.3 2001/02 84.8

121.3 125.996.015.20.04.924.6 2002/03 65.0

115.8 128.497.07.60.04.824.1 2003/04 44.9

130.3 131.098.07.60.05.125.4 2004/05 36.6

139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3

145.0 143.0103.04.80.15.427.0 2006/07 32.6

147.0 148.0105.03.00.15.327.8 2007/08 28.7

South Africa, Republic of

11.5 8.94.11.40.03.03.8 1999/00 2.0

8.0 8.74.11.30.42.53.2 2000/01 0.5

10.1 8.43.91.10.92.83.5 2001/02 1.9

9.7 8.54.01.10.42.73.7 2002/03 2.4

9.7 8.74.10.70.22.93.3 2003/04 3.0

11.7 9.75.02.10.43.63.2 2004/05 3.2

6.9 8.24.00.50.93.42.0 2005/06 2.3

6.7 8.84.30.51.22.42.8 2006/07 0.9

10.5 8.94.40.80.33.23.3 2007/08 2.0

Brazil

31.6 33.528.50.21.62.512.6 1999/00 1.7

41.5 34.529.56.30.23.213.0 2000/01 2.7

35.5 35.029.52.10.43.011.8 2001/02 1.5

44.5 35.830.04.60.73.413.0 2002/03 6.3

42.0 36.330.54.40.43.412.4 2003/04 7.9

35.0 38.532.10.70.53.011.6 2004/05 4.2


September 2007


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


41.7 39.533.04.51.13.212.9 2005/06 3.0

51.0 41.535.09.50.73.614.0 2006/07 3.7

51.0 42.035.57.00.33.614.3 2007/08 6.0

Total Corn Competitors

188.4 165.2126.123.51.74.145.4 1999/00 128.0

171.0 169.0129.524.50.84.142.1 2000/01 106.2

174.3 170.7130.122.61.34.142.1 2001/02 88.6

191.0 174.3132.532.21.24.443.7 2002/03 74.2

182.5 177.8134.423.70.64.342.1 2003/04 55.9

197.5 184.4138.625.00.94.643.0 2004/05 44.9

203.8 190.9142.418.32.24.743.7 2005/06 41.7

225.2 200.0147.130.62.04.846.6 2006/07 38.3

231.0 205.6149.726.80.74.848.4 2007/08 37.6

Notes: Corn Trade Statistics are on an Oct/Sept year.


September 2007


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


Australia

5.0 2.61.72.60.01.92.6 1999/00 0.4

6.7 2.21.34.00.02.03.5 2000/01 1.0

8.3 2.81.84.70.02.23.7 2001/02 1.8

3.9 2.71.82.00.01.03.9 2002/03 0.9

10.4 3.12.26.40.02.34.5 2003/04 1.9

7.7 3.52.54.30.01.74.6 2004/05 1.9

9.6 3.52.55.30.02.24.4 2005/06 2.8

3.8 3.72.82.00.01.04.0 2006/07 0.9

8.0 3.62.64.50.01.84.5 2007/08 0.9

Canada

13.2 11.49.91.70.03.24.1 1999/00 2.8

13.2 11.610.12.00.02.94.6 2000/01 2.5

10.8 10.38.91.10.12.64.2 2001/02 2.0

7.5 7.96.50.40.22.23.3 2002/03 1.5

12.3 9.98.51.80.02.84.4 2003/04 2.1

13.2 10.89.31.20.13.34.1 2004/05 3.4

12.5 10.48.92.30.03.23.9 2005/06 3.3

9.6 10.18.61.50.13.03.2 2006/07 1.3

11.9 10.08.52.00.13.04.0 2007/08 1.2

EU-27

59.3 53.238.59.70.24.014.7 1999/00 11.7

59.9 55.841.07.20.44.314.1 2000/01 9.0

58.8 54.939.74.21.44.214.1 2001/02 10.0

58.2 55.439.35.21.14.214.0 2002/03 8.7

55.8 58.041.82.60.74.014.0 2003/04 4.5

64.1 54.638.63.30.34.713.7 2004/05 11.1

54.8 54.138.23.30.14.013.8 2005/06 8.5

56.2 55.940.03.70.34.113.7 2006/07 5.4

57.3 54.939.03.50.24.213.7 2007/08 4.6

Notes: Barley trade statistics are on October/September year.


September 2007


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area Harvested

Ending Stocks

Total Consumpti

Feed Consumpti

MY Exports

MY Imports


Argentina

3.4 2.52.40.90.04.60.7 1999/00 0.7

2.7 2.52.40.40.04.80.6 2000/01 0.4

2.8 2.32.20.40.05.10.5 2001/02 0.5

2.8 2.32.10.60.05.10.6 2002/03 0.4

2.2 2.01.90.20.04.60.5 2003/04 0.4

2.9 2.62.40.40.05.00.6 2004/05 0.3

2.2 2.22.00.20.04.70.5 2005/06 0.1

3.3 2.22.01.00.05.30.6 2006/07 0.2

3.3 2.52.30.80.05.10.7 2007/08 0.2

Australia

2.1 1.31.30.90.03.40.6 1999/00 0.1

1.9 1.31.30.60.02.60.8 2000/01 0.1

2.0 1.71.70.40.02.50.8 2001/02 0.1

1.5 1.41.40.10.02.20.7 2002/03 0.1

2.0 1.41.40.60.02.70.7 2003/04 0.1

2.0 1.81.80.20.02.70.8 2004/05 0.1

2.0 1.91.90.10.02.40.8 2005/06 0.1

1.0 1.01.00.10.02.00.5 2006/07 0.0

1.9 1.61.60.30.02.60.7 2007/08 0.1

Notes: Sorghum trade statistics are on October/September year.


September 2007

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Area Harvested

Yield Rough Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom. Consumption


Ending Stocks

Wheat

13,37430,4483,15022,83423,1391,9582,10643,705nr218,544 2002/03

14,87232,5075,52132,29531,5241,7601,71563,814nr321,474 2003/04

14,69931,8234,95528,46429,0091,9461,92158,738nr320,234 2004/05

15,54531,3574,34727,42427,2912,3092,21457,280nr320,283 2005/06

12,40231,0473,50725,02524,7293,3953,31749,316nr318,943 2006/07

9,84432,4684,62730,00029,9372,7002,31357,534nr321,078 2007/08

Corn

27,603200,748141,30340,92440,334374367227,767nr828,057 2002/03

24,337211,644147,19748,80948,258356358256,278nr928,710 2003/04

53,697224,648156,42845,34746,181281275299,914nr1029,798 2004/05

49,968232,063156,33756,08454,201210224282,311nr930,399 2005/06

29,009234,961146,05754,00053,850275254267,598nr928,590 2006/07

42,548267,728148,59757,00057,153375381338,039nr1034,568 2007/08

Sorghum

1,0934,9394,3284,8774,681119,163nr32,883 2002/03

8525,6384,6244,8455,0490010,446nr33,156 2003/04

1,4466,2554,8604,5414,6751111,523nr42,637 2004/05

1,6684,8233,5534,9614,936009,981nr42,321 2005/06

9713,9382,7944,4003,810017,050nr41,998 2006/07

1,7276,2234,8265,6005,5880012,567nr52,711 2007/08

Barley

1,5105,1791,8195526592824024,940nr31,669 2002/03

2,6194,9901,6173844094974496,059nr31,913 2003/04

2,7965,6722,2387715061572646,091nr41,627 2004/05

2,3504,5701,1323576061241174,613nr31,323 2005/06

1,5014,5921,2055004413002643,920nr31,194 2006/07

1,4684,6821,3065005443003274,866nr31,433 2007/08

Oats

7233,4802,43539381,7771,6401,684nr2833 2002/03

9413,3892,33038361,3021,5472,096nr2898 2003/04

8413,2972,22331391,6291,5571,679nr2723 2004/05

7633,2872,21740301,8311,5721,667nr2738 2005/06

7433,1742,09830381,7001,8311,361nr2638 2006/07

7623,2752,18630291,8001,8961,427nr2652 2007/08

Rye


September 2007

Area Harvested


Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom. Consumption


Ending Stocks

113218523109156165nr2106 2002/03

15297622110183219nr2129 2003/04

2034410724174143210nr2121 2004/05

183329610130139191nr2113 2005/06

123137653125127183nr2111 2006/07

183147853100117206nr2124 2007/08

Rice, Milled

8293,534nr3,8343,8604584716,5369,57071,298 2002/03

7613,656nr3,0903,3104774786,4209,06871,213 2003/04

1,2113,935nr3,8623,4964194197,46210,54081,346 2004/05

1,3703,838nr3,3063,6606335447,11310,12571,361 2005/06

1,2664,054nr3,3002,9436756546,2398,78781,142 2006/07

8633,990nr3,1003,1987006516,1348,70181,105 2007/08

Notes: Wheat trade year statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats trade year statistics are on Oct/Sept years. Rice trade year statistics are for subsequent calendar year.


September 2007

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Area Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom. Consumpti

Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks


1,183.1 278.21,138.1556.8161.82.1569.7 1978/79

1,153.1 273.71,157.6573.9182.62.0569.0 1979/80

1,159.3 255.21,179.2562.6200.62.0577.6 1980/81

1,204.0 281.01,178.3573.5196.92.0587.8 1981/82

1,248.0 332.11,197.1593.4189.62.2576.9 1982/83

1,162.5 278.51,216.2588.4193.22.1563.8 1983/84

1,315.0 339.91,253.6609.9203.62.3567.0 1984/85

1,328.5 420.51,247.9613.1165.22.3570.9 1985/86

1,348.0 468.91,299.5644.2174.72.4565.6 1986/87

1,285.0 422.01,329.8655.2202.22.4544.7 1987/88

1,218.0 337.41,302.6618.2203.32.2542.2 1988/89

1,327.7 318.71,346.4643.1208.92.4548.4 1989/90

1,416.7 365.81,369.6667.0190.12.6548.8 1990/91

1,355.4 356.41,364.8649.9207.52.5545.3 1991/92

1,431.0 395.01,389.5662.3205.22.6549.3 1992/93

1,356.2 362.41,388.8654.0188.22.5540.5 1993/94

1,392.4 358.61,396.3666.7200.12.6537.8 1994/95

1,339.1 317.31,380.4636.3187.52.5533.6 1995/96

1,491.9 366.51,442.7669.3198.42.7553.6 1996/97

1,491.6 413.11,445.0680.1190.32.8539.8 1997/98

1,480.9 445.41,448.7678.8198.72.8533.6 1998/99

1,463.6 440.71,467.7684.8214.32.8515.1 1999/00

1,444.0 416.31,468.4693.1205.12.8514.4 2000/01

1,475.2 399.41,492.1708.2208.52.9516.2 2001/02

1,443.9 336.31,507.0707.0209.82.8507.7 2002/03

1,471.4 272.71,534.9711.4205.72.8516.3 2003/04

1,644.6 328.91,588.5749.1213.63.2518.2 2004/05

1,600.9 312.91,617.0747.9220.93.1520.0 2005/06

1,573.0 255.81,630.0737.5222.53.0515.8 2006/07

1,668.0 244.61,679.2749.4222.03.1533.5 2007/08

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year. "Stocks as a Percent of Consumption" represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.


September 2007


World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Wheat

438.9 134.8413.389.871.31.9228.9 1978/79

417.5 120.5431.994.085.51.8227.8 1979/80

435.9 112.7444.191.293.21.8236.9 1980/81

445.0 112.5445.190.6100.51.9238.9 1981/82

472.7 129.9455.692.897.72.0238.4 1982/83

484.3 145.3468.995.6101.22.1229.9 1983/84

508.9 168.0486.299.9104.72.2231.7 1984/85

494.8 178.3484.597.283.62.2229.8 1985/86

524.1 191.1511.3113.289.72.3227.9 1986/87

497.9 158.6530.3113.6114.12.3219.7 1987/88

495.0 134.0519.6104.0104.32.3217.4 1988/89

533.2 136.2531.0103.7103.92.4225.8 1989/90

588.0 170.5553.7130.1101.32.5231.4 1990/91

542.9 162.0551.5113.8111.42.4222.5 1991/92

561.6 175.7547.6110.9113.22.5222.8 1992/93

558.0 181.4552.4108.0101.72.5222.1 1993/94

523.2 162.1542.499.6101.52.4214.4 1994/95

537.9 155.3544.891.999.22.5218.8 1995/96

582.6 164.5573.496.7104.02.5230.2 1996/97

610.0 197.0577.5100.9104.52.7228.4 1997/98

590.0 207.9579.1103.6102.02.6225.1 1998/99

585.8 208.5585.198.9112.02.7215.4 1999/00

581.5 205.8584.2104.1102.32.7217.6 2000/01

581.1 201.8585.2107.5108.02.7214.7 2001/02

568.4 166.3603.9112.0107.12.7214.5 2002/03

554.9 132.5588.796.5103.42.6209.8 2003/04

628.0 151.0609.5106.4112.32.9218.2 2004/05

622.6 149.2624.5111.9112.52.8218.8 2005/06

593.1 125.1617.2106.3112.62.8212.3 2006/07

606.2 112.4619.0101.2106.52.8217.8 2007/08

Coarse Grains

744.1 143.3724.8467.090.52.2340.8 1978/79

735.5 153.2725.6479.997.12.2341.1 1979/80

723.5 142.6735.1471.4107.42.1340.7 1980/81

759.0 168.4733.2482.996.42.2348.9 1981/82

775.3 202.2741.5500.692.02.3338.6 1982/83

678.2 133.1747.3492.792.02.0333.9 1983/84

806.1 171.9767.4510.098.92.4335.3 1984/85

833.7 242.2763.4515.981.62.4341.1 1985/86

823.9 277.9788.2531.085.02.4337.7 1986/87

787.1 263.3799.5541.688.12.4325.0 1987/88

723.0 203.4782.9514.299.02.2324.9 1988/89

794.5 182.5815.4539.4105.02.5322.6 1989/90

828.6 195.2815.9537.088.92.6317.5 1990/91

812.5 194.4813.3536.196.22.5322.8 1991/92

869.3 219.3841.9551.491.92.7326.4 1992/93

798.1 181.1836.4546.186.52.5318.4 1993/94

869.2 196.5853.8567.298.62.7323.5 1994/95

801.2 162.1835.6544.488.22.5314.8 1995/96

909.3 202.1869.3572.794.42.8323.5 1996/97

881.6 216.2867.5579.185.82.8311.4 1997/98


September 2007

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

891.0 237.5869.6575.296.72.9308.6 1998/99

877.7 232.2882.6585.9102.42.9299.7 1999/00

862.5 210.5884.1588.9102.72.9296.8 2000/01

894.1 197.6907.0600.7100.53.0301.5 2001/02

875.5 170.0903.1595.0102.73.0293.2 2002/03

916.4 140.2946.2614.9102.43.0306.5 2003/04

1,016.6 177.9978.9642.7101.23.4300.0 2004/05

978.3 163.7992.5636.0108.43.2301.1 2005/06

979.9 130.81,012.9631.2109.83.2303.5 2006/07

1,061.8 132.21,060.3648.2115.63.4315.7 2007/08

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year. 'Stocks as a Percent of Consumption' represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.


September 2007


World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Corn

392.1 91.4378.0247.067.13.1126.0 1978/79

425.6 111.2405.8277.173.23.3127.3 1979/80

408.7 102.5417.9279.277.83.1131.2 1980/81

441.8 127.2417.1286.166.93.3133.0 1981/82

439.9 149.8417.3293.563.23.5125.2 1982/83

348.3 89.0409.1271.161.12.9119.7 1983/84

458.4 118.2429.2289.566.13.6129.0 1984/85

479.0 177.7419.5284.353.83.7131.0 1985/86

475.4 204.9448.3304.656.93.6131.9 1986/87

451.0 197.5458.3316.558.83.5127.2 1987/88

400.9 145.2453.2306.866.03.2126.3 1988/89

462.0 132.8474.4324.874.53.6127.5 1989/90

482.1 141.2473.7318.558.83.7129.4 1990/91

493.2 140.9493.6334.463.03.7132.7 1991/92

536.1 162.5512.5348.862.64.0133.3 1992/93

476.0 129.3509.3342.157.43.6130.9 1993/94

559.0 152.9535.4371.371.94.1135.3 1994/95

516.1 132.7536.3365.164.83.8134.9 1995/96

592.9 165.6560.0387.666.74.2141.7 1996/97

574.2 166.2573.7401.163.14.2136.3 1997/98

605.8 190.4581.5404.568.74.3139.3 1998/99

607.6 192.9605.2422.872.34.4139.0 1999/00

590.7 173.7609.9427.975.94.3137.2 2000/01

600.1 150.3623.5436.272.84.4137.9 2001/02

603.4 125.6628.1433.176.94.4137.9 2002/03

627.2 103.9648.9445.179.14.4142.0 2003/04

714.8 130.8688.0473.476.04.9145.0 2004/05

696.2 122.9704.0476.382.64.8145.5 2005/06

703.3 101.0725.2474.387.24.7148.5 2006/07

774.1 105.4769.6486.190.44.9158.5 2007/08

Barley

175.6 24.3171.2123.910.62.280.9 1978/79

153.8 18.9159.2118.510.21.884.0 1979/80

157.4 18.3158.3111.213.52.078.6 1980/81

149.5 16.0151.8109.414.51.881.6 1981/82

161.2 21.5155.8113.416.02.078.8 1982/83

158.5 15.5164.5122.015.82.079.8 1983/84

170.5 23.1162.9122.417.42.279.2 1984/85

173.6 29.6167.2127.817.72.280.0 1985/86

178.1 33.8173.8132.118.32.279.6 1986/87

175.3 33.4173.6129.718.32.278.7 1987/88

164.0 31.1166.2121.919.02.176.4 1988/89

166.1 26.7170.5126.218.52.373.6 1989/90

179.0 29.8175.9130.419.62.572.9 1990/91

169.8 33.3166.3120.219.42.276.4 1991/92

166.2 33.3165.6118.916.42.373.4 1992/93

169.2 33.5168.9123.718.82.374.7 1993/94

160.7 28.5165.8121.115.32.273.2 1994/95

141.6 19.5150.6107.713.42.169.0 1995/96

153.6 23.6149.4106.217.92.366.5 1996/97

154.3 32.2145.8103.712.82.464.9 1997/98


September 2007

Area Harvested


Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

135.7 28.9139.098.617.82.260.7 1998/99

127.5 24.0132.393.917.82.355.3 1999/00

132.8 22.8134.194.316.22.454.6 2000/01

142.3 28.8136.395.017.22.556.8 2001/02

134.8 27.2136.494.116.32.456.4 2002/03

142.6 22.5147.3102.614.82.459.7 2003/04

153.6 33.2142.999.917.02.757.9 2004/05

137.4 28.7141.997.017.42.555.9 2005/06

136.8 20.6144.9100.314.52.456.9 2006/07

136.8 17.2140.397.515.82.457.3 2007/08

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year. "Stocks as a Percent of Consumption" represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.


September 2007


World Rice: Supply and Demand

Area Harvested


Production TY Exports Domestic Consumpti

Ending Stocks

Rice, Milled

385.4 54.8252.311.8262.42.7143.6 1978/79

376.6 54.0257.612.0256.82.7141.2 1979/80

397.0 52.6271.211.9269.92.7144.4 1980/81

408.3 50.5280.011.3277.92.8144.4 1981/82

418.3 56.8278.711.2285.03.0140.5 1982/83

450.9 69.3294.411.9306.93.1144.6 1983/84

464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.2 1984/85

467.3 97.7307.911.8318.03.2144.8 1985/86

481.9 103.3310.412.9316.03.3144.8 1986/87

465.0 105.3313.311.4315.33.3141.7 1987/88

491.0 111.7325.814.0332.23.4146.5 1988/89

510.4 120.6336.411.7345.33.5147.6 1989/90

518.9 126.7345.012.3351.03.5146.7 1990/91

522.9 126.8353.114.4353.33.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.3357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.4 119.1359.116.6354.93.6145.3 1993/94

539.5 117.8365.220.8363.93.7147.4 1994/95

547.2 118.4368.219.7368.83.7148.2 1995/96

564.5 120.6378.718.9380.93.8149.9 1996/97

574.5 127.9379.727.6387.03.8151.2 1997/98

586.5 134.4388.124.8394.63.8152.6 1998/99

608.2 143.5399.722.8408.93.9155.3 1999/00

593.4 147.3395.124.4398.83.9151.7 2000/01

594.2 133.4413.227.9399.33.9150.6 2001/02

562.4 103.5407.727.6377.83.9145.9 2002/03

584.2 82.1413.127.2391.73.9148.2 2003/04

596.6 74.9408.229.0401.04.0150.5 2004/05

622.7 77.5415.528.9418.14.1152.6 2005/06

622.9 77.2418.429.6418.24.1153.0 2006/07

623.6 71.0424.729.7418.54.1153.9 2007/08

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years. "Stocks as a Percent of Consumption" represents the ratio of marketing year ending stocks to total consumption.


September 2007

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States.

Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela.

EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom.

Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland.

Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan.

Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen.

North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines,

Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea. OTHER NOTESStocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in marketing year imports and marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent EU-27 and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA



September 2007

database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria and Romania, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains. Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Field Crops and Livestock Branch, Industry and Sector Analysis Division, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6590. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 08-07 August 2007. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 09-07 September 2007. This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov



September 2007

agriculture grain: world markets and trade€¦ · 1/9/2007 · concerns about crop prospects in...

Documents