ai and the future of growth
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WHY ARTIFICIALINTELLIGENCEFUTURE OF GROWTHIS
THE
2.6 2.1 2.51.7 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.7
0.81.6 1.7
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4.64.1 3.9 3.6 3.2 3 3 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.5
1.8
Baseline AI Steady State
AI IS A NEW FACTOR OF PRODUCTIONCAPITAL AND LABOR ALONE CANNOT DRIVE SUFFICIENT GROWTHAI can help: • Double annual
economic growth rates
12 COUNTRIES STUDIED
2Real gross value added (%, growth)Source: Accenture and Frontier Economics
• Boost labor productivity
• Shorten the timeline to growth
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Intelligent automation
Labor and capital augmentation
Innovation diffusion
Now humans can do more innovative things:
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THREE GROWTH ACCELERATORSAI ACTS AS A CAPITAL-LABOR HYBRID THAT DOES NOT DEGRADE OVER TIME
Huge value is going to come from the new goods, services and innovations AI will enable. DAVID AUTOR, PROFESSOR OF ECONOMICS, MIT
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INTELLIGENT AUTOMATIONCREATES GROWTH BEYOND TRADITIONAL AUTOMATION SOLUTIONS
AI can:
• Adapt and flex to automate complex tasks
• Work across multiple industries or roles
• Self-learn for repeatability at scale
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LABOR AND CAPITAL AUGMENTATIONMAKES MORE EFFICIENT USE OF THE WORKFORCE AND CAPITAL ASSETS
AI can:
• Help humans focus on adding value
• Complement and enhance human ability
• Improve capital efficiency
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INNOVATION DIFFUSIONUSE AI TO STIMULATE NEW IDEAS
AI can:
• Complement technologies from new collaborations
• Create new revenue streams from data generated
• Introduce social benefits
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FOUR IMPERATIVES TO TRANSITION TO AIBE READY—INTELLECTUALLY, TECHNOLOGICALLY, POLITICALLY, ETHICALLY, AND SOCIALLY
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Prepare the next generation for AIIntegrate human intelligence with machine intelligence
Encourage AI-powered regulationCreate adaptive, self-improving regulation to keep pace with technological change
Advocate an AI code of ethicsManage the ethical and societal issues that can slow AI progress
Address redistribution effectsClearly articulate AI benefits and create strategies to address concerns
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ABOUT THE STUDYACCENTURE INSTITUTE FOR HIGH PERFORMANCE
EXPERT INTERVIEWS
EXTENSIVE SECONDARY RESEARCHinto how AI generates economic growth
12 countries
ECONOMIC MODELING
50% of the world’s
economic outputSpain Sweden United Kingdom United States
Germany Italy Japan Netherlands
Austria Belgium Finland France
that together generate
Copyright © 2016 Accenture All rights reserved.
PAUL DAUGHERTYChief Technology OfficerAccenture
MARK PURDYManaging Director-Economic Research Accenture
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CONTACT US
www.accenture.com/futureofAI
Copyright © 2016 Accenture All rights reserved.
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ABOUT ACCENTUREAccenture is a leading global professional services company, providing a broad range of services and solutions in strategy, consulting, digital, technology and operations. Combining unmatched experience and specialized skills across more than 40 industries and all business functions—underpinned by the world’s largest delivery network—Accenture works at the intersection of business and technology to help clients improve their performance and create sustainable value for their stakeholders. With approximately 375,000 people serving clients in more than 120 countries, Accenture drives innovation to improve the way the world works and lives. Visit us at www.accenture.com.
ABOUT ACCENTURE INSTITUTE FOR HIGH PERFORMANCEThe Accenture Institute for High Performance develops and communicates breakthrough ideas and practical insights on management issues, economic trends and the impact of new and improving technologies. Its worldwide team of researchers collaborates with Accenture’s strategy, digital, technology and operations leadership to demonstrate, through original, rigorous research and analysis, how organizations become and remain high performers. For more information, follow @AccentureINST or visit www.accenture.com/institute.
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