air pollution and health: an introduction ferran ballester
TRANSCRIPT
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Air Pollution and Health:
An introduction
Ferran Ballester
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Unit of Epidemiology & Statistics
Valencian School of Studies for Health-EVES
Air pollution projects involved:
APHEAAPHEISEMECAS
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LiteratureThere are many articles
and books on air pollution and health
There are also useful resources in Internet.
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OBJECTIVES:
• Introduce the basic concepts on air pollution and health
• Comment on the most used epidemiological designs
• Present the results of some of the main studies carried out in recent years
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Hippocrates
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–Meuse Valley, Belgium (1930)
–Donora, Pennsilvania, USA (1948)
–London, UK (1952)
Air Pollution Major Episodes in the mid XXth
century
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The London Fog
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The London Fog
December 1952
0
100
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500
600
700
800
900
1000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
0,000
0,500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
Black Smoke Central Hall mg/m3
Daily deaths, London
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0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972
Anual average of black smoke (in
g/m3) London 1958-1971.
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Major emission sources of air pollutants
SO2 VOCsNOXPM
Power Generation
Domestic Dwellings Industry
Pb
Stationary Emission Sources
CO VOCsNOXPb
Petrol
PM
Diesel
Mobile Emission Sources (Road Traffic)
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Major Air Pollutants (1)
Pollutant Formation Physical state
Sources
Suspended particulates
Primary & secondary
Solid, liquid
Vehicles Industrial processes Tobacco smoke
Sulphur dioxide (SO2)
Primary Gas Industrial processes Vehicles
Nitrogen dioxide (NO2)
Primary Gas Vehicles Gas heaters and cookers
Carbon monoxide (CO)
Primary Gas Vehicles Tobacco smoke
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Major Air Pollutants (2)
Pollutant Formation Physical state
Sources
Volatile organic compounds (VOCs)
Primary, secondary
Gas Vehicles, industry, tobacco smoke
Lead (Pb) Primary Solid (fine particulates)
Vehicles, industry
Ozone (O3) Secondary Gas Secondary to photo-oxidation of NOx and VOcs)
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Health Effects of Air Pollution
•Mortality •Cardiopulmonary Hospitalizations•Emergency department or outpatient visits•Symptomatic exacerbations•Changes in lung function•Cardiopulmonary symptoms•Upper respiratory illnesses•Lower respiratory illnesses
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Other Effects of Air Pollution
Immune System; AllergiesAllergic Asthma, Allergic RhinoconjunctivitisExtrinsic Allergic Alveolitis / Hypersensitivity
Central Nervous SystemToxic Damage of Nerve CellsMental retardation
Carcinogenic EffectsLung Cancer, Leukemia
Reproductive effectsInfant mortality, Low weight birth
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0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Annoyance, discomfort
Symptoms
Medication
Restricted activity
Visits to doctors
Emergencies
Hospitalizations
Deaths
Number of persons concerned
ADVERSE HEALTH EFFECTS
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Health effect assessment
•Toxicological studies•Epidemiological studies
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Basic study designs in air pollution epidemiology
Exposure
Unit of observation
Acute Chronic
Aggregated
Time Series (counts):Mortality, Hospital Admissions Emergencies
Episodes, interventions
Ecological (rates): Mortality Morbidity
Cross-sectional
Individual Panel studies: Symptoms/DiseasesLung Function
Cohort studies
Cohort studies: MortalitySymptoms/DiseaseLung Function
Cross-sectional
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Exposure assesment approaches in epidemiology
of air pollution
• Categorical exposure (high vs low) • Measured (or modeled) outdoor
concentrations • Measurement of indoor and outdoor
concentrations• Estimation of individual exposure using
indoor, outdoor along time-activity diaries• Direct measurement of personal
exposures• Measurement of biomarkers of exposure
COST
VALIDITY
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Results from some epidemiological studies
•Time series•Cohort studies
•Intervention studies
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Relationship between the factors implied in the time series
epidemiological studies of air pollution
GEOPHYSICAL FACTORSSeasonalityAnnual cycles
METEOROLOGYTemperatureHumidity, others
AIR POLLUTIONParticulates, SO 2, NO 2,O 3, CO...
HEALTHFunctional changes,emergency visits,admissions, deaths.
SOCIO-CULTURAL FACTORSWeekly patterns, holidays, unusual events,..
CORRELATESInfluenza
GEOPHYSICAL FACTORSSeasonalityAnnual cycles
METEOROLOGYTemperatureHumidity, others
AIR POLLUTIONParticulates, SO 2, NO 2,O 3, CO...
HEALTHFunctional changes,emergency visits,admissions, deaths.
SOCIO-CULTURAL FACTORSWeekly patterns, holidays, unusual events,..
CORRELATESInfluenza
GEOPHYSICAL FACTORSSeasonalityAnnual cycles
METEOROLOGYTemperatureHumidity, others
AIR POLLUTIONParticulates, SO 2, NO 2,O 3, CO...
HEALTHFunctional changes,emergency visits,admissions, deaths.
SOCIO-CULTURAL FACTORSWeekly patterns, holidays, unusual events,..
CORRELATESInfluenza
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APHEA1 cities
Population > 25,000,000
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APHEA1 FINDINGS 1. All pollutants studied have small acute effects on
the daily total, cardiovascular and respiratory mortality.
2. Particulates and ozone levels were consistently associated with respiratory and COPD admissions.
3. NO2 levels were associated with asthma admissions.
4. The effects were observed in locations where, in the majority of days, air pollutant levels were well below the set (W.H.O., E.C., U.S.E.P.A.) standards at that time.
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APHEA2
•EC Funded•30 cities•43 million inhabitants•Period of study: 5 years
(~ 1990-1996)
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The EMECAS Project
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EMECAS: Combined estimates for mortality and air pollution (1)
-0,5
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
TSP PM10 SO2_24h
%
chan
ge
TOTAL
CVS
RES
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NO2_24h CO_24h
% c
han
ge
-2,0
-1,0
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
TOTAL
CVS
RES
EMECAS: Combined estimates for mortality and air pollution (2)
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EMECAS: combined results for cardiovascular admissions
Particles
RR
lag
01
0.9
80
.99
1.0
01
.01
1.0
21
.03
R
F
F
F
BS
R
F
R
F
PM10
F
F F
F
TSP
CVS HD IHD CBS
1.5 %Increase in
cardiac admissions
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Harvard Six-City Cohort StudyRelative risk of mortality and long-term exposure to PM2.5
Dockery et al, 1993
RR
Annual mean PM2.5 (g/m3)
1,00
1,05
1,10
1,15
1,20
1,25
1,30
0 10 20 30 40
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1.01 (0.95-1.06)Other causes
1.14 (1.04-1.23)Lung cancer
1.09 (1.03-1.16)Cardiopulmonary
1.06 (1.02-1.11)Total mortality
RR (10µg/m3)Cause of death
Long-term exposure to fine particulates and mortality in the ACS cohort (n:500 000)
Pope et al, 2002
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Long term effectsin mortality and indicators of traffic-
related air pollution in the NetherlandsHoek et al, 2002
Cardio pulmonary
Non-Cardio pulmonaryNon-lung
cancerBlack smoke
1.34 (0.68-2.64)
1.15 (0.63-2.10)
Major road
1.95 (1.09-3.51)
1.03 (0.54-1.96)
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• Close of a steel mill in the Utah Valley: particle levels,
morbidity, inflammatory process • Ban on marketing and sale of smoky
coal in Dublin: black smoke levels, mortality• Introduction of gas with low sulphur in
Hong Kong: levels of SO2 and SO4, mortality and respiratory symptoms in children
Intervention studies
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Summary of estimates of particulate matter effects (1)
Acute exposures Chronic exposures Health outcomes % change per ↑
10g/m3 in PM10 % change per ↑ 5g/m3 in PM2.5
Increase Mortality* *(Population based)
*(Cohort based)
- All organic causes 0.2a - 0.6b,c - 1.0 2i - 3 - Cardiovascular 0.7c,d to 1.4 3i - 6 - Respiratory 1.3c to 3.4 - Lung Cancer 4i
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Summary of estimates of particulate matter effects (2)
Acute exposures Chronic exposures Health outcomes % change per ↑
10g/m3 in PM10 % change per ↑ 5g/m3 in PM2.5
Increased hospitalisation - All respiratory 0.8 to 2.4e - COPD 1.0f to 2.5 - Asthma 1.1f to 1.9 - Cardiovascular 0.5g to 1.2h Disease: bronchitis 7 Decreased lung function (FEV1) - Children 0.15 1 - Adults 0.08 1.5
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Summary• Main acute effects:
– Increase in the number of deaths– Increase in hospital admissions and emergency
visits, especially for cardio-respiratory causes– Alterations in lung performance, cardiac
problems and other symptoms and discomfort• Main chronic effects:
– Increase in the risk of death– Increased cardio-respiratory morbidity and
decline of pulmonary function
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References