IntroductionOur Results

Summary

AIRCRAFT MARKETSHARE

CHEN Yixuan GU Ruiyang Jeyhun MAMMADOV

IATOM13ENAC

16 Janary 2014

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

IntroductionOur Results

Summary

Outline

1 IntroductionThe Basic Problem That We Studied

2 Our ResultsMain ResultsBasic Ideas for Proofs

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

IntroductionOur Results

SummaryThe Basic Problem That We Studied

Outline

1 IntroductionThe Basic Problem That We Studied

2 Our ResultsMain ResultsBasic Ideas for Proofs

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

IntroductionOur Results

SummaryThe Basic Problem That We Studied

Why we have chosen this topic

We are students of ENAC.We focus on aeronautics-related area.Aircraft industry is becoming more and more important allover the world.

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

IntroductionOur Results

SummaryThe Basic Problem That We Studied

What we have studied.

Assumptions and StudiesAssuming the market share related to several factors:

GDP,Traffic growth rate,Oil price,Specifications of aircraft. . .using order numbers of different aircrafts to present marketshare

Seperating the world into 7 parts:Asia-Pacific,North America,Europe,Middle East,LatinAmerica,CIS,Africa.

Checking and studying of datas:Getting relavant documents.Analysing.

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

IntroductionOur Results

SummaryThe Basic Problem That We Studied

What we have studied.

Assumptions and StudiesAssuming the market share related to several factors:

GDP,Traffic growth rate,Oil price,Specifications of aircraft. . .using order numbers of different aircrafts to present marketshare

Seperating the world into 7 parts:Asia-Pacific,North America,Europe,Middle East,LatinAmerica,CIS,Africa.

Checking and studying of datas:Getting relavant documents.Analysing.

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

IntroductionOur Results

SummaryThe Basic Problem That We Studied

What we have studied.

Assumptions and StudiesAssuming the market share related to several factors:

GDP,Traffic growth rate,Oil price,Specifications of aircraft. . .using order numbers of different aircrafts to present marketshare

Seperating the world into 7 parts:Asia-Pacific,North America,Europe,Middle East,LatinAmerica,CIS,Africa.

Checking and studying of datas:Getting relavant documents.Analysing.

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

IntroductionOur Results

SummaryThe Basic Problem That We Studied

What we have studied.

Assumptions and StudiesAssuming the market share related to several factors:

GDP,Traffic growth rate,Oil price,Specifications of aircraft. . .using order numbers of different aircrafts to present marketshare

Seperating the world into 7 parts:Asia-Pacific,North America,Europe,Middle East,LatinAmerica,CIS,Africa.

Checking and studying of datas:Getting relavant documents.Analysing.

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

IntroductionOur Results

SummaryThe Basic Problem That We Studied

What we have studied.

Assumptions and StudiesAssuming the market share related to several factors:

GDP,Traffic growth rate,Oil price,Specifications of aircraft. . .using order numbers of different aircrafts to present marketshare

Seperating the world into 7 parts:Asia-Pacific,North America,Europe,Middle East,LatinAmerica,CIS,Africa.

Checking and studying of datas:Getting relavant documents.Analysing.

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

IntroductionOur Results

SummaryThe Basic Problem That We Studied

What we have studied.

Assumptions and StudiesAssuming the market share related to several factors:

GDP,Traffic growth rate,Oil price,Specifications of aircraft. . .using order numbers of different aircrafts to present marketshare

Seperating the world into 7 parts:Asia-Pacific,North America,Europe,Middle East,LatinAmerica,CIS,Africa.

Checking and studying of datas:Getting relavant documents.Analysing.

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

IntroductionOur Results

SummaryThe Basic Problem That We Studied

What we have studied.

Assumptions and StudiesAssuming the market share related to several factors:

GDP,Traffic growth rate,Oil price,Specifications of aircraft. . .using order numbers of different aircrafts to present marketshare

Seperating the world into 7 parts:Asia-Pacific,North America,Europe,Middle East,LatinAmerica,CIS,Africa.

Checking and studying of datas:Getting relavant documents.Analysing.

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

IntroductionOur Results

Summary

Main ResultsBasic Ideas for Proofs

Outline

1 IntroductionThe Basic Problem That We Studied

2 Our ResultsMain ResultsBasic Ideas for Proofs

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

IntroductionOur Results

Summary

Main ResultsBasic Ideas for Proofs

Models Estimated

Representing the order ratio of a given plane in a given regionwith Y,and the factors as Xi,using linear regression model,wehave a formule as below:

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

IntroductionOur Results

Summary

Main ResultsBasic Ideas for Proofs

Estimated Results

The table shows that the most related variable is the traffic.And the specifications of aircrafts acctualy have fewinfluences for market share.

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

IntroductionOur Results

Summary

Main ResultsBasic Ideas for Proofs

Estimated Results for Share-Traffic

We work precisly on the relation between market share and thetraffic growth rate and find the results below:

In which we can find a interesting result that market sharedecreases when traffic growth increases.

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

IntroductionOur Results

Summary

Main ResultsBasic Ideas for Proofs

Local or not

We also find out that the market share is stronly effected by thelocation of buyers and manifacturers,if the aircraft is boughtlocally, we give the value of variable as 1,if not, it will be 0.Andwe can gain this result only when we set North America apart.

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

IntroductionOur Results

Summary

Main ResultsBasic Ideas for Proofs

Outline

1 IntroductionThe Basic Problem That We Studied

2 Our ResultsMain ResultsBasic Ideas for Proofs

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

IntroductionOur Results

Summary

Main ResultsBasic Ideas for Proofs

Explanations

1.The negetive impact to the aircraft order of the traffic growthrate is maily because that we always have greater growth ratein areas which are relativly less developed.And in fact thegreatest needs are still in developped areas, so the aircraftorders will be larger.2.Aircraft specifications do not show strongly the linearregression relationship,which verifies that they can servicedifferent flight missions.3.Local buyers prefer local aircrafts.As the manifacturation ofaircrafts is quite a big industry,we believe that this phenomenonwill benifit local aeronautic industry development.

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

IntroductionOur Results

Summary

Summary

Higher traffic growth rate may represent fewer aircraftorders.Local buyers prefer local aircrafts.

OutlookWe havn’t figured out why the lineare equation forshare-local does not work well for North America.

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

Appendix For Further Reading

For Further Reading I

Rolls-Royces.Market Outlook 2012-31.2012

Airbus.Globle Market Forcast-Future Journeys 2013-2032.2013

Boeing.Current Market Outlook 2013-2032.2013

EMBRAER.Market Outlook 2012-2031.2012

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title

Appendix For Further Reading

For Further Reading II

BOMBARDIER.Market Forcast 2012-2031.2012

GROUP 9 Short Paper Title