airline business - trends and challenges: new decade, new aircraft

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Atos, Atos and fish symbol, Atos Origin and fish symbol, Atos Consulting, and the fish itself are registered trademarks of Atos Origin SA. February 2010 © 2010 Atos Origin. Confidential information owned by Atos Origin, to be used by the recipient only. This document or any part of it, may not be reproduced, copied, circulated and/or distributed nor quoted without prior written approval from Atos Origin. Airline Business – Trends and Challenges Paul Nibbering & Lucas den Boer Utrecht, March 2010 New Decade, New Aircraft Types

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Page 1: Airline Business - Trends and Challenges: New Decade, New Aircraft

Atos, Atos and fish symbol, Atos Origin and fish symbol, Atos Consulting, and the fish itself are registered trademarks of Atos Origin SA. February 2010© 2010 Atos Origin. Confidential information owned by Atos Origin, to be used by the recipient only. This document or any part of it, may not be reproduced, copied, circulated and/or distributed nor quoted without prior written approval from Atos Origin.

Airline Business – Trends and Challenges

Paul Nibbering & Lucas den Boer

Utrecht, March 2010

New Decade, New Aircraft Types

Page 2: Airline Business - Trends and Challenges: New Decade, New Aircraft

2 Airline Business - Trends and Challenges

Fuel Saving

» New aircraft are 70% more fuel efficient than 40 years ago and 20% better than 10 years ago.

» Airlines are aiming for a further 25% fuel efficiency improvement by 2020.

» Modern aircraft achieve fuel efficiencies of 3.5 liters per 100 passenger km.

» The A380 and B787 are aiming for 3 liters per 100 passenger km – better than a compact car!

» The A380 is more fuel-efficient than a Toyota Prius

Source: iata.org, 2010

Page 3: Airline Business - Trends and Challenges: New Decade, New Aircraft

3 Airline Business - Trends and Challenges

New Design

» Composite: the 787 features an all-composite fuselage making it the first composite airliner in production

» Electro-thermal heater mats: these are used as wing ice protection system on the wing slats instead of hot bleed air that has been traditionally used

» Active gust alleviation system: this improves ride quality during turbulence

» Carbon-fiber reinforced plastic: both fuselage and wing structures of the Airbus A350 will be made of this material

» GLARE (GLAss-REinforced fibre metal laminate) is used in the upper fuselage and on the stabilizers' leading edges of the A380

Source: FAA, 2010

Page 4: Airline Business - Trends and Challenges: New Decade, New Aircraft

4 Airline Business - Trends and Challenges

Emission Reduction Per Flight

» Boeing: “four technologies have contributed to the 20% reduction in fuel and emissions: new engines, increased use of lightweight composite materials and electric systems that lighten the plane, more efficient systems applications and modern aerodynamics.”

» ATR CEO Stéphane Mayer: “ATR '-600' series, which also presents the lowest CO2 emissions per passenger, will become the reference in regional air transport, thus responding to the expectations of airlines in terms of competiveness and respect for the environment".

» Airbus: the A380 produces less CO2 per passenger than any other plane. With less than 75 g of CO2 produced per passenger kilometre, the A380 is one of the most environmentally-friendly aircraft.

Source: greenaironline.com, 2009

Page 5: Airline Business - Trends and Challenges: New Decade, New Aircraft

5 Airline Business - Trends and Challenges

Noise Reductions

» The A380 generates half as much noise as a 747-400 when it takes off thanks to its aerodynamic shape and engine performance

» The A380 will, as of today, meet the noise reduction targets stipulated by ICAO and the European Commission (ACARE project) for 2020. The aerodynamic shape of the A380 means a reduction in gas and noise emissions

» The engines of the Boeing 747-8 are modified to incorporate sawtooth extensions and reduced-noise air inlets, among other changes, so as to be able to satisfy the most stringent noise standard in the world, the QC2 standard that is to be applied in the vicinity of London Heathrow in the future. The modifications are expected to produce a 20% reduction in noise emissions during the departure phase and as much as 40% on the approach and landing.

Page 6: Airline Business - Trends and Challenges: New Decade, New Aircraft

6 Airline Business - Trends and Challenges

Updates Of Current Aircraft

» Boeing has targeted 2010 for a decision on re-engining the 737. Boeing will look to improve the 737's aerodynamics, performance and interior and is also "watching engine developments very closely“, according to Randy Tinseth, vice-president marketing for Boeing Commercial Airplanes

» Airbus will flight test the Pratt & Whitney GTF geared turbofan on an A340 later this year as part of its evaluation of new engine technology for an A320 replacement, but has not ruled out an interim GTF-powered A320 family development.

» A decision to introduce a re-engined A320 into service by the end of 2015 should come by around mid-year, says Airbus's chief salesman John Leahy.

Source: flightglobal.com, 2010

Page 7: Airline Business - Trends and Challenges: New Decade, New Aircraft

7 Airline Business - Trends and Challenges

New Commercial Aircraft From Asia

» Mitsubishi Regional Jet (MRJ). All Nippon Airways is the first customer, with an order for 15 MRJ 90s. Production is planned to begin in 2012.

» Comac ARJ21 Xiangfeng: this is the first passenger jet to be developed and indigenously produced by the People's Republic of China. It is supported by 19 major European and US aerospace components suppliers, including General Electric (engine production), Honeywell (fly-by-wire system) and Rockwell Collins (avionics production).

Source: Wikipedia/Flightglobal.com

Page 8: Airline Business - Trends and Challenges: New Decade, New Aircraft

8 Airline Business - Trends and Challenges

References Lucas den Boer

For more information please contact:

Lucas den Boerphone: +31 (0)6 22 241 508email: [email protected]

Page 9: Airline Business - Trends and Challenges: New Decade, New Aircraft

9 Airline Business - Trends and Challenges

References Paul Nibbering

For more information please contact:

Paul Nibberingphone: +31 (0)6 22 605 683email: [email protected]

Articles and papers by Paul Nibbering:

‘Managing Airport Congestion – the Effects of Runway Peak Pricing’ (article Aerlines Magazine)

‘Registered Traveler Forum 2008’ (column Aerlines Magazine)

‘Airport Benchmarking & Runway Capacity and Pricing (capita selecta research VU University)

“Regional Airports and low-cost carriers” (academic paper VU University)

Page 10: Airline Business - Trends and Challenges: New Decade, New Aircraft

Atos, Atos and fish symbol, Atos Origin and fish symbol, Atos Consulting, and the fish itself are registered trademarks of Atos Origin SA. February 2010© 2010 Atos Origin. Confidential information owned by Atos Origin, to be used by the recipient only. This document or any part of it, may not be reproduced, copied, circulated and/or distributed nor quoted without prior written approval from Atos Origin.

For more information please contact:

Paul Nibbering & Lucas den Boert +31 (0) 88 265 8363

m +31 (0)6 [email protected]

Atos Origin (Netherlands)Papendorpseweg 93

3528 BJ, Utrechtwww.atosorigin.com