AirRail Africa 2016 Conference Planning for Rail Connections to CTIA and KSIA

6-7 October 2016

Hishaam Emeran, General Manager: Strategic Network Planning

Content

1

1 PRASA Background

3 King Shaka International Airport Rail Link (Durban)

2 Cape Town International Airport Rail Link

PRASA – the Passenger Rail Agency of South Africa

2

PRASA Structure

PRASA GROUP

PRASA RAIL INTERSITE

INVESTMENTS

AUTOPAX (Long distance

coach)

METRORAIL (Suburban)

S-MEYL (Long distance)

•Translux •City to City

PRASA CRES

•Real Estate Solutions •Facilities Management

PRASA TECHNICAL

•R/Stock engineering and maintenance •Capital Projects

•Leverage investment on assets

The Primary object of PRASA in terms of the Legal Succession SATS Act is to: • Provide Urban Rail Commuter Services in the public interest

• Provide Long Haul Passenger Rail Services

• Provide Long Haul Bus Services The Secondary object of PRASA is to:

• Generate income from the exploitation of assets acquired by PRASA

PRASA – Summary Fact Sheet

3

Total Rail Network 22 300 Km

Commuter Rail Network 2 230 km electrified track (Gauge – 1067mm)

Number of Metro Coaches 4 638

Number of MLPS coaches 1 223 Coaches and 124 Locos

Number of Buses 458 Mercedes Benz, Man 109 and Old Fleet 150

Passenger Numbers Metrorail – 540 million passenger trips Bus Service – 3.1 million passengers SMEYL – 0.6 million passengers

Total Number of Employees ±17 000

Stations 589 stations Value of Assets ±R40bn

Gauteng Pop: 13.5m

ORTIA(2015): 20.5m

KZN Pop: 11.0m

Dbn Pop: 3.5m

KSIA (2015): 5m WCape Pop: 6.5m

CT Pop: 4.0m

CTIA (2015): 9.5m

E Cape Pop: 7m

PE Pop: 1.0m

EL Pop: 1.0m

PEIA (2015): 1.5m

ELA (2015): 0.75m

Content

5

1 PRASA Background

3 King Shaka International Airport Rail Link (Durban)

2 Cape Town International Airport Rail Link

Background

6

1997: Development framework for CTIA, 1997 (ACSA)

CTIA Strategic Long-Term Development Plan, 1997 (ACSA)

2012: Feasibility Study (PRASA)

• Demand forecasts

• Various alignment and service design options

• Financial and Economic cost benefit analyses

2008: High Level Technical Investigation (PRASA)

• Demand forecasts

• Rail alignment and station positioning

• Preliminary costs and implementation timeframes

2008: CTIA Masterplan (ACSA)

CTIA Rail Link

Passenger Demand

8

PRASA Structure Main catchments

Cape Town Central – 26%

Southern Suburbs – 21%

Northern Suburbs – 12%

Two alignments put forward as

preferred options

CTIA Annual Pax

2015 – 9.5 million

2025 – 13 million (base case)

Airport Capacity: 40m

Forecast ridership: 2040 (daily)

2000 – 9000 Express

Similar for commuter

Current dedicated bus (MyCiti)

±500 daily pax

-

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000

9 000

10 000

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

Pass

enge

rs (d

aily

)

Airport Express

Airport Commuter

Integrated Line Solution

9

PRASA Structure

Description Project component Capital

Cost

Whole-of-life total benefit / (cost) to

PRASA over 30 years including cost of

capital (net present value 2010 terms)

Integrated Line:

4 trips/hr (peak)

3 trips/hr (norm)

20 min trip

4 operational trains

R75/ticket

21 km

Airport Express R1.2bn 1 MTEF pays for capital* +R488m

1a PRASA borrows* +R331m

2 Private capital** (R71m)

+ Network upgrades

(required)

+R0.7bn

+ Airport Commuters

(optional)

+R0.2bn

*D&C delivery of infrastructure. PRASA responsible for all infrastructure and operational costs.

**Private SPV responsible for infrastructure availability over 30 years. Operations remains with PRASA.

New single elevated line upgradeable to double line

New double at-grade line

Network upgrades

Integration with existing service on upgraded lines

Dedicated Line Solution

10

New single elevated line upgradeable to double line

Mid-point passing loop

Network upgrades (in red)

New single at-grade dedicated line

Description Project component Capital

Cost

Whole-of-life benefit / (cost) over 30 years

including cost of capital (net present

value 2010 terms)

Dedicated Line:

3 trips/hr (peak)

3 trips/hr (norm)

2 trains

14min trip

R100/ticket

Airport Express R1.6bn 1 MTEF pays for

capital*

+R686m

1a PRASA borrows* +R450m

2 Private capital** (R162m)

+ Airport Commuters

(optional)

+R0.2bn

*D&C delivery of infrastructure. PRASA responsible for all infrastructure and operational costs.

**Private SPV responsible for infrastructure availability over 30 years. Operations remains with PRASA.

11

PRASA Structure

12

PRASA Structure

Brisbane Airport Rail Link – Study Tour

13

14

Key Outcomes

Implementation timing and funding solution will have influence on above

Phase 1: direct access to CTIA from both Cape Town and Bellville stations

Phase 2: extend rail link to the Metro south eastern area.

PRASA and the City of Cape Town jointly exploring implementation strategies

Integrated Line Dedicated Line

Maximise use of existing infrastructure Provides a premium dedicated service

Serve as catalyst for network upgrades Higher overall usage is forecast

Is upgradeable to a dedicated line Higher fares possible due to shorter travel times

Lower (direct) capital cost Generate more revenue

Minimise criticism that Airport Express receiving

preferential treatment to new infrastructure

Does not require any Network upgrades in

advance of the project

Programme 1: Infrastructure

Investment

• Modernisation programme

• Infrastructure projects

• Network expansion

Programme 2: Operations Management

• Operations integration and

management reporting

• Law enforcement

Programme 3: Strategic Investment

Interventions

• Integrated ticketing & timetabling

• TOD and Station typologies

• Comms, Marketing & Branding

• Joint Investment Fund

Partnership towards the achievement

of sustainable integrated transport for

the City of Cape Town.

Strong implementation oriented

partnership approach.

Content

16

1 PRASA Background

3 King Shaka International Airport Rail Link (Durban)

2 Cape Town International Airport Rail Link

Background

17

2007: KSIA Masterplan (ACSA)

Dube Trade Port – EIA

– Notional rail alignment identified

– High level demand forecasting

– Proposed following investigations

• HoV Lane

• Dedicated bus service

• Rail Link

– Servitudes to be provided for future

public transport requirements

– Two types of services required:

• Dedicated Express Service

• Commuter service

2013: Northern Rail (incl KSIA) study

• Demand forecasts

• Rail alignment, technology and

station positioning

• Preliminary costs and timeframes

2010: eThekwini Municipality: IPTN

• Rail confirmed as backbone

• Trunk route / alignment to KSIA

18

C7

C9

C8

C6a

C6b

C6c

C5

Hillcrest

Bridge

City

Mpumalanga

Chatsworth

Pinetown

Umhlanga

King Shaka

International

Tongaat

CBD

Rossburgh

Merebank

Prospecton Umlazi

Isipingo

C4

C2

C3 C1

Transport and Land-Use

Source: ETA - IPTN

Passenger Demand

19

PRASA Structure Main catchments

Durban Central

Outer West

Umhlanga / Cornubia

Tongaat / Balito

KSIA Annual Pax

2015 – 5 million

2025 – 7 million (base case)

Airport Capacity: 42m

Forecast ridership: current - 2040 (daily):

3 000 – 12 000 Express

Prior to Integrated Aerotropolis Strategy

Currently no dedicated public transport

services

20

Scenario 1

Improved / modernised

North Coast Line

Rail Route Options/Scenarios

Scenario 2

Proposed Metrorail

Link (Durban – Mt

Edgecombe/Cornubia–

KSIA - Tongaat)

Scenario 3

New Higher Speed Link

(Durban – Umhlanga –

KSIA) –

21

22

Key Outcomes

Elements of each of the scenarios could be viable in the future

Scenario 2, similar alignment to C8 Corridor. Over time as demand grows BRT

corridor could be converted to LRT / Rail corridor. Plan for it upfront.

Scenario 3 (Higher Speed) considered more attractive for KSIA service.

Mainly new alignment

20-25 minute travel time between KSIA and Durban Central

Rail access to new nodes, e.g. Umhlanga

Demand still relatively low in short-medium term

Preliminary costing R15bn (infrastructure)

Detailed feasibility required. Important to consider link as part of the Gauteng – Durban

(Including Pietermaritzburg – Durban) High speed network with involvement of all key

stakeholders; i.e. national, provincial and local government, PRASA, Transnet, ACSA etc.

In the interim, to address the lack of public transport services to DTP / KSIA,

Road based solution (bus)

Shuttle service between Verulam / Tongaat rail stations to DTP / KSIA

23

Hishaam Emeran

General Manager: Strategic Network Planning

Email: hemeran@prasa.com

Tel: +27 12 748 7241