al ramtha city jordan population growth

WORKSHOP (1)STAGE 2

PROF DR, EMAD AL HASHIMEDONE BY: MARAM OBAIDAT NOOR QTAESHAT SHOMOU AL JIZAWI

Population growth Stage two

Al Ramtha Renovation

QUANTITATIVE ASSESSMENT OF LAND USE

Land use area’s in al Ramtha Land use Area's km2 Area's m2Residential 10.010100 10010100transportation 3.390535 3390535Commercial 1.203179 1203179Industrial 1.122968 1122968Public building .294379 294379Schools .263047 263047Gardens .029365 29365Cemeteries .055209 55209Vacant land infill .903520 903520Total 17272302 17272302

POPULATION OF AL RAMTHA

Population of Jordanian in al Ramtha 2015 is 100,000

There are 70,000 thousand Syrian people in al Ramtha.

20000person was before the war immigration (before 2010) which we be calculated in the growth.

50000 person immigrant after the war, we will consider a percentage of 30%=15000 person .

The total number of population we will consider it in al Ramtha growth is 135,000 PERSON


0-0410-1420-2430-3440-4450-5460-64unspecified

01234567

Male(%)

-7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0

Female(%)


1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 20150

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

2713034154

4569051173

5733570031

87082100000

PERCENTAGE SHARE OF DEFERENT LAND USE CATEGORY FOR POPULATION OF 135,000 PERSON

share for each person from all the land use = 127.9

Land use Area's m2 Area per person Percentage for each land use per person

Residential 10010100 74.14888889 57.95%transportation 3390535 25.11507407 20%Commercial 1203179 8.912437037 6.97%Industrial 1122968 8.318281481 6.5%Public building 294379 2.180585185 1.7%Schools 263047 1.948496296 1.5%Gardens 29365 0.217518519 0.17%Cemeteries 55209 0.408955556 0.32%Vacant land infill 903520 6.692740741 5.2%Total 17272302 127.9429778

PERCENTAGE SHARE OF DEFERENT LAND USE CATEGORY

58%20%

7% 7%

1.7%

1.5%

0.17%0.32%

5.2%

Sales Land use Residentialtrans-portationCommercialIndustrialPublic build-ing SchoolsGardens CemeteriesVacant land infill

deferent land use category

Reside

ntial

transp

ortati

on

Commerc

ial

Indust

rial

Publi

c buil

ding

Schoo

ls

Garden

s

Cemete

ries

Vacan

t land

infill

0

2000000

4000000

6000000

8000000

10000000

1200000010010100

3390535

12031791122968294379263047 29365 55209903520

2-Qualitative assessment of land use Land use Area per

person EXISTING

% for each land use per person EXISTING

needed Area per person with FUTURE EXPANTION

New % for each land use

Residential 74.14888889 57.95% 70 51%transportation 25.11507407 20% 27 20%Commercial 8.912437037 6.97% 11 8%Industrial 8.318281481 6.50% 13 9%

Public building 2.180585185 1.70% 3 2%Schools 1.948496296 1.50% 4 3%Gardens 0.217518519 0.17% 4 3%Cemeteries 0.408955556 0.32% 2 1%infill 6.692740741 5.20% 3 2%Total 127.9429778 137

2-Qualitative assessment of land useComparison of per capita share (m²/person) with other local and international standards

Al Ramt

ha futur

e

Al Ramtha existing

South America-

LagosCaliforni

a

Dade country

/ Florida

Al-Huso

nIrbid

U.K Hook New Town

Naimeh e

51% 57.9% 60% 48% 60% 58% 54% 35% 62.8% Residential

8% .98% 5% 7% 5% 3% 7% 4% 3.1% Commercial

9% .38%As

Required

4% 1% 2% 2% 22% 0.4% Industrial

5% 4% 4% 9% 4% 8% 5% - 3%Public +Buildi

ng Schools

3% 0.17% 12% 6% 3% 0 1% 18% 0.7% Recreational

20% 20% 18% 24% 27% 29% 24% 20% 29.4% Transport

1.5% 0.32% 1% - - - 0 - 0.6% Cemeteries

137 126.2 171 222 170 115 125 200 125.2Per

capita/m2/per

son

2-Qualitative assessment of land use

Existing per capita (2015) m2/person. 127.9 M2 PER PERSON the growth will be studied for 20 years. proposed per capita (2035) m2/person. 137 M2 PER PERSON

3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION 2035

Population in al Ramtha is 135,000 35,000 are Syrian We will estimate the growth for 3

stages 7 years 7 years and 6 years And in each stage we will propose that

11,666 Syrian we go back to Syria. 2015-2022 2022-2029 2029-2035

3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION 2035

Population growth ratio PR=P(t2)-P(t1) P(t1) (t2-t1) PR=95000-71300 71300*10PR= .033PR=3.3%

3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION 2035 Population growth ratio.

There is two ration one we calculated and one from the government

The governmental publish is 2.4% We will estimate the growth for 3 stages 7 years 7 years and 6 years And in each stage we will propose that the growth

ratio will be changed for the 20 years 2015-2022 population growth ratio=2.4 2022-2029 population growth ratio=2.2 2029-2035 population growth ratio=2.0 The one we calculated is 3.3% 2015-2022 population growth ratio=3.3 2022-2029 population growth ratio=3.1 2029-2035 population growth ratio=2.9

3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION 2015-2022 PR=2.4

PF=PE(1+%growth) P2022=13500(1+2.4) Population in 2022 = 159,379 2016 - 138,240

2017 - 141,5572018 - 144,9552019 - 148,4342020 - 151,9962021 - 155,6442022 - 159,379

P2022 -11666= 159,379-11666=147713

n7

3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION 2022-2029 PR=2.2 %

PF=PE(1+%growth) P2029=143,476(1+2.2%) Population in 2029 = 167,084 2023 - 146,632

2024 - 149,8582025 - 153,1552026 - 156,5242027 - 159,9682028 - 163,4872029 - 167,084

P2029 -11666= 167,084-11666= 155418

n7

3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION 2029-2035 PR=2.0 %

P2035=PE(1+%growth) P2035=155418 (1+2.0%) Population in 2035 = 175,025 2030 - 158,526

2031 - 161,6962032 - 164,9302033 - 168,2292034 - 171,5942035 - 175,025

P2035 -11666= 175,025 -11666= 163359

n6

3-CALCULATION QUANTITATIVE SPACE REQUIREMENT 2035

(Qualitative assessment of land use)* (estimated population in al Ramtha 2035)

Qualitative assessment of land use 137 m2 The estimated P2035 in al Ramtha

163359 137*163359=22380183m2 The total future built up area =22.380183

km2 The total existing built up area is 17.272302=

km2 The future needed built up area = 5.107883 km2

3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION 2015-2022 PR=3.3

PF=PE(1+%growth) P2022=135000(1+3.3%) Population in 2022 = 169,447 2016 - 139,455

2017 - 144,0572018 - 148,8102019 - 153,7212020 - 158,7942021 - 164,0342022 - 169,447

P2022 -11666= 169,447-11666=157781

n7

3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION 2022-2029 PR=3.1%

PF=PE(1+%growth) P2029=147,723(1+3.1%) Population in 2029 = 182,918 2023 - 152,302

2024 - 157,0232025 - 161,8912026 - 166,9102027 - 172,0842028 - 177,4182029 - 182,918

P2029 -11666= 182,918 -11666=171252

n7

3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION 2029-2035 PR=2.9%

P2035=PE(1+%growth)P2035=171252 (1+2.9%) Population in 2035 = 203,295 2030 - 176,218

2031 - 181,3282032 - 186,5872033 - 191,9982034 - 197,5662035 - 203,295P2035 -11666=

203,295 -11666= 191629

n6


(Qualitative assessment of land use)* (estimated population in al Ramtha 2035), ratio 3.3

Qualitative assessment of land use 137 The estimated P2035 in al Ramtha 191629 137* 191629 = 26253173 m2 26.25 km2 The total future built up area =

26.253173km2 The total existing built up area is 17.272302=

km2 The future needed built up area = 8.980873 km2


When we used population ratio which started with 2.4 to 2.2 then to 2.0

P2035 = 163359 Total area 2035 = 22.38 km2 SPACE REQUIREMENT 2035 = 5.107883 km2

When we used population ratio which started with 3.3% to 3.1 then to 2.9

P2035= 214793 Total SPACE 2035 = 26.253173KM2 SPACE REQUIREMENT 2035 = 8.980873 KM2

al ramtha city jordan population growth

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