ali agan, chief executive officer baurzhan ayazbaev, chief ... · pdf file47.3 48.9 46.3 0 10...
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1
Financial results for Q2 2013 Ali Agan, Chief Executive Officer
Baurzhan Ayazbaev, Chief Financial Officer
Kaspars Kukelis, Marketing Director
Irina Shol, Investor Relations
* excluding non-recurring items
2
• Revenue KZT 46,271m (44,383)
– Increase of 4.3% relative to Q2 2012
• EBITDA* KZT 25,508m (25,064)
– Increase of 1.8% relative to Q2 2012
• EBITDA margin* 55.1% (56.5)
– Continuous focus on cost efficiency
• Net income KZT 15,551 (16,100)
– Decrease of 3.4%
• Subscribers 14.1m (13.8)
– Increase by 300K relative to Q1 2013
Continue to maintain strong leadership position
Key highlights Q2 2013
• Superior profitability in a challenging
environment
• Strong leadership position
• Strategic emphasis on the development
of data services - important growth
driver
3
Market update
4
MMO
• Ongoing price competition with Beeline
and Tele2
• Regulatory pressure on end-user tariffs
• LTE roll-out by Altel
• Maintain strong leadership position
• Drive data consumption, penetration and 3G devices
• Profitability and cash flow generation including cost saving initiatives
• Cultural transformation
Focus areas
The subscriber base is growing
5
MMO
• Healthy growth in new subscribers, despite continued price competition
Subscribers Net adds and churn rate
324 518
995
776
311 303
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013
Net subscriber additions Churn rate (%)
9,635 10,068 11,001 11,721 12,067 12,324
1,539 1,623 1,685
1,741 1,706 1,752 11,174
11,691 12,686
13,462 13,773 14,076
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
15,000
Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013
Other subscribers Pre-paid subscribers
000s 000s
High growth in data
6
Total revenues Data revenues
4.1 4.2 4.7
5.7 5.7 5.9
–
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013
Data services
% of total revenues
41.4 44.4 47.3 48.9 43.1 46.3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 20122 Q1 2013 Q2 2013
KZT in bn KZT in bn +39.7% +4.3%
The business is driven by voice while data is
growing fast
7
Revenue split Q2 2013
78.1%
12.8%
9.0%
0.1% Voice
Data
VAS
Other
Revenue split Q2 2012
81.8%
9.6%
7.7%
0.9% Voice
Data
VAS
Other
Voice revenues
8
Minutes of Usage (MOU) ARPU
160
176 175
162
149 156
135
140
145
150
155
160
165
170
175
180
Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013
1,222 1,277 1,282 1,228 1,043 1,097
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013
Total traffic & ARMU
4,855 5,478 5,786 5,783 5,524 5,959
4.20
4.40
4.60
4.80
5.00
5.20
5.40
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013
Traffic mln minutes ARMU
KZT
KZT
9
Financial highlights Q2 and H1 2013
KZT in millions, except per share data, number of shares and changes
Q2 2013
Q2 2012
Chg (%)
6m 2013
6m 2012
Chg (%)
Revenues 46,271 44,383 4.3 89,324 85,780 4.1
EBITDA* 25,508 25,064 1.8 49,237 48,518 1.5
EBITDA margin (%) 55.1 56.5 55.1 56.6
Operating income* 19,748 19,572 0.9 37,704 37,162 1.5
Net income 15,551 16,100 -3.4 29,207 29,425 -0.7
Earnings per share (KZT) 77.76 80.50 -3.4 146.04 147.12 -0.7
Free cash flow 26,581 10,216 37,607 25,443
*excluding non-recurring items
EBITDA continues to grow, margin remains stable
10
* Excluding non-recurring items
• EBITDA increased by 1.8 % relative to Q2 2012
• The EBITDA margin remained above 55 % due to our continuous focus on costs
SEK
EBITDA development
23.5 25.1
26.7 26.3 23.7
25.5
56.7%
56.5% 56.3%
53.6%
55.1%
55.1%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 20122 Q1 2013 Q2 2013
% margin
KZT in bn
Capex program
CAPEX-to-sales ratio
11
18.7%
15.0% 14.7%
27.2%
12.8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
FY10 FY11 FY12 Q2-12 Q2-2013
18.7%
15.0% 14.7% 12.8%
27.2% • 3G roll-out remains core
• Quality in network is the main focus
• Strong focus on efficiency
Robust capital structure
12
MMO
KZT in millions Dec 31, 2012 Jun 30, 2013
Cash and equivalents 3,075 2,080
Gross financial debt 48,991 50,992
Reported net debt / (cash) 45,916 48,912
LTM EBITDA 101,426 102,000
Implied net debt / EBITDA 0.46x 0.48x
Implied net debt / book value of equity 0.69x 0.78x
Dividends declared but unpaid 8,000 -
Adjusted net debt / (cash) 53,916 48,912
Implied Adj. net debt / LTM EBITDA 0.53x 0.48x
Implied Adj. Net Debt / Book value of equity 0.81x 0.78x
• Target leverage ratio (net debt / EBITDA) of 0.5-0.9x
• Net debt / EBITDA (as of June 30, 2013) was 0.48x
Free Cash Flow Q2 2013 vs. Q2 2012
13
Free cash flow Q2 2013 vs. Q2 2012
Q2 2012 CF before changein WC
WC Cash Capex Q2 2013
26. 5
10.2
KZT billion
+7.8
+1.7
+6.8
Regulatory developments
14
MMO
• Regulator imposed new threshold of
maximum prices
Specialized Inter-district Economic Court of Astana ruled
on April 17, 2013, to carry out an investigation
On April 16, 2013, the Company received MTC Order to
eliminate breaches of RK law on natural monopolies and
regulated markets, in which MTC refers to the violations
committed by the Company through its failure to fulfill the
requirements of the Reasoned Opinion
On June 12, 2013, the Specialized Inter-District Economic
Court of Astana granted the Company’s claim and invalidated
and cancelled the disputed documents
• MTR Regulation case
On June 13, 2013 Cassation Board of Astana court, having
considered the APC’s cassation appeal, cancelled the decision
of Appellate Judicial Panel for Civil and Administrative Cases of
April 9, 2013, and ruled the case in favor of APC. Kcell can
challenge the court decision to the Supreme court.
Q&A
I
it
Q&A
16
Income Statement
KZT in millions, except per share data, number of shares and changes
Q2 2013
Q2 2012
Chg (%)
6m
2013 6m
2012 Chg (%)
Revenues 46,271 44,383 4.3 89,324 85,780 4.1
Cost of sales -19,752 -18,767 5.2 -38,378 -36,905 4.0
Gross profit 26,519 25,616 3.5 50,946 48,875 4.2
Selling and marketing expenses -4,229 -3,855 9.7 -8,125 -7,221 12.5
General and administrative expenses -2,674 -1,617 65.4 -5,315 -5,104 4.1
Other operating income and expenses, net 132 18 198 167
Operating income 19,748 20,162 -2.1 37,704 36,717 2.7
Finance costs and other financial items, net -537 40 -1,149 79
Income after financial items 19,211 20,202 -4.9 36,555 36,796 -0.7
Income taxes -3,660 -4,102 -10.8 -7,348 -7.371 -0.3
Net income 15,551 16,100 -3.4 29,207 29,425 -0.7
Earnings per share (KZT), basic and diluted 77.76 80.50 146.04 147.12
17
Balance Sheet
KZT in millions Jun 30, 2012 Dec 31, 2012 Assets Intangible assets 14,370 16,140 Property, plant and equipment 111,191 110,337 Other non-current assets 2,761 3,121 Total non-current assets 128,322 129,598 Inventories 968 978 Trade and other receivables 11,045 15,990 Cash and cash equivalents 2,080 3,075 Total current assets 14,093 20,043 Total assets 142,415 149,641 Equity and liabilities Share capital 33,800 33,800 Retained earnings 29,208 32,403 Total equity attributable to owners of the parent 63,008 66,203 Deferred tax liabilities 5,699 5,104 Other long-term liabilities 988 988 Total non-current liabilities 6,687 6,092 Short-term borrowings 50,992 48,991 Trade payables, and other current liabilities 21,728 28,355 Total current liabilities 72,720 77,346 Total equity and liabilities 142,415 149,641
18
Statement of cashflows
KZT in millions Q2
2013 Q2
2012 6m
2013 6m
2012
Cash flow before change in working capital 22,323 20,614 42,539 39,939
Change in working capital 7,968 1,134 4,041 31
Cash flow from operating activities 30,291 21,748 46,580 39,970
Cash CAPEX -3,710 -11,532 -8,973 -14,527
Total cash flow from investing activities -3,710 -11,532 -8,973 -14,527
Cash flow before financing activities 26,581 10,216 37,607 25,443
Cash flow from financing activities -26,652 -13,717 -38,602 -25,933
Cash flow for the period -71 -3,501 -995 -490
Cash and cash equivalents, opening balance 2,151 4,364 3,075 1,353
Cash flow for the period -71 -3,501 -995 -490
Cash and cash equivalents, closing balance 2,080 863 2,080 863
Forward-looking statements
Statements made in this document relating to future status or
circumstances, including future performance and other trend
projections are forward-looking statements. By their nature,
forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because
they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will
occur in the future. There can be no assurance that actual
results will not differ materially from those expressed or implied
by these forward-looking statements due to many factors,
many of which are outside the control of Kcell.