allemagne simon schlueter responsable de la section laitiere au dbv
DESCRIPTION
"La PAC dans tous ses Etats", conférence le 20 novembre 2014TRANSCRIPT
« La PAC dans tous ses États »Déclinaison de la PAC et impacts dans sept pays européens
Jeudi 20 novembre 2014
Germany
Simon SchlueterDeutscher Bauernverband
Implementation of agricultural policyfor improving sustainability and profitability
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Ruminant livestock sectors in Germany►Dairy sector►Cattle sector
Impacts of the new CAP►Implementation the of new CAP►Differences from previous CAP
Evolutions for the livestock sectors
Content
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Ruminent livestock sector in Germany
Structure of dairy farmers in Germany
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Ruminent livestock sector in Germany
Germany: milk delivery
1,000 tons, standard month
Source: ZMB, BLE
30,655,000 €Central and
South America
54,430,000 €North America
7,444,400,000 €Europe
161,608,000 €Tariff Union Russia-Belarus-Kazakhstan
425,935,000 €Asia
134,760,000 €Arabian
Peninsula
11,093,000 €Oceania
108,686,000 €North Africa
84,569,000 €Africa
Source: Export-Union für Milchprodukte e.V.Weltkarte © white - Fotolia.comMilchkanne © J.M. - Fotolia.comPfeile © M.Gove - Fotolia.com
Importance of export markets
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Ruminent livestock sector in Germany
Cattle population in the EUin Mio. pieces, count May/June 2014 change from previous year in %
EU‐28 total
France
Germany
France
UK
Ireland
Italy
Spain
Poland
Netherlands
Belgium
Romania
Austria
Denmark
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Ruminent livestock sector in Germany
The German beef market
Market supply in 1,000 tonsdomestic production – slaughter weightxx
exports
imports
Per capita consumption in kg
Beef exports 2014*the most important sales countries
Beef imports 2014*the most important import countries
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Ruminent livestock sector in Germany
annual average
Producer price for young bulls (R3) in Germanyfree slaughterhousein Euro per kg slaughter weightmonthly average (without VAT)
Price development for young bulls
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Direct payments are nearly fully decoupled
Impacts of the new CAP
Young farmer scheme (50 €/ha)
First hectares
Greening(85 €/ha)
Basic payment(174 €/ha)
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Impacts of the new CAP
Change of basic payment and Greening between 2015‐2019Basic payment plus Greening 1)Eligible
area / payment entitlements
in Euro per hain Euro per ha in Euro per ha
1) Share of Greening threrein about 85 Euro/ha. Additionally, 50 Euro/ha supplement for the first 30 ha and 30 Euro/ha for hectares 31 to 46.Source: DBV estimation on basis of BMEL figures
Germany (average)
Baden‐WürttembergBavariaBrandenburg/BerlinHesseMecklenb. West. Pom.Lower Saxony/BremenNorthrine‐WestphaliaRhineland PalatinateSaarlandSaxonySaxony‐AnhaltSchlesw.Holst./HamburgThuringia
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Shifting from 1. Pillar to 2. Pillar
„earmarked“ shift to 2. Pillar:
• Promoting grassland areas
• Ruminant animals
• Agri-environment schemes
• Organic farming
• Less favoured area payment
• animal welfare
Shifting of 4.5%
from 2015
Direct payments
Basic payment (62 %)
Greening (30 %)
First hectares (7 %)
Young farmer scheme (1 %)
Equtes to225-231 mio. € p.a.
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Additional support for the first hectares
in Germany round about 7 % of direct payments
►50 €/ha for the first 30 hectars and ►30 €/ha for further 16 hectars
for farms with ≥ 46 ha:►30 ha x 50 €/ha = 1,500 €►16 ha x 30 €/ha = + 480 €
►In addition to basic payment = 1,980 €
Impacts of the new CAP
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Young farmer scheme 25 % in addition the the basic payment for max. 5 years for max. 90 hectars
Impacts of the new CAP
Eligible area of the farm
Young farmer scheme per hectare
Annual payment
30 hectares 60 hectares 90 hectares 120 hectares
this comes up to… 1 year claim… 2 year claim… 3 year claim… 4 year claim… 5 year claim
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1. P
illar
(EU
-fina
nced
)until 2013/14
Single farm payment(linked to CC)
2013: ca. 5,37 bn. € in D=> ca. Ø 316 €/ha
Agri-environment scheme (voluntarily)
2007-2013: ca. 0,6 Mrd. € p.a. in D
Less favoured areapayment
2007-2013: ca. 0,3 bn. € p.a. in D
from 20152.
Pill
ar(c
o-fin
ance
d)
Basic premium (linked to CC)
Greening (ca. 85 €/ha)
Young farmer scheme
Agri-environment scheme (voluntarily, stricter than Greening)
Less favoured areapayment
Small farm
ers
Redistribut. payment (first hectares)
Impacts of the new CAP
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Common Market Organisation: Milk
Abolition of milk quota: 31st March 2015Safety netMilk package
Impacts of the new CAP
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CAP has not a big influence on the evolutions of the livestock sectors
Other impacts are crucial: Political/Societal discussion about animal husbandry
Some examples►„Industrial Livestock Farming“ („Massentierhaltung“)►Animal welfare►Outside grazing►Antibiotic resistance
Acceptance and societal consensus about production practices is necessary for sustainable animal husbandry in the long run
Evolutions for the livestock sectors
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CAP: Expectations
Decreasing economic importance of Direct Payments►Development of farms should not be dependend on Direct Payments in the future
Volatility of prices remains a problem that will furtherincrease►Commodity futures exchange as one solution?
Regulatory framework remains strict in Europe►Disadvantage in cost structure
Farmers need to start discussion about CAP after 2020
Evolutions for the livestock sectors
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Evolutions for the livestock sectors
Expectation cattle fattening
Efficiency of production can be increasedManagement of the farm is crucial for successCattle demand does again increase in Germany
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Evolutions for the livestock sectors
Expectation milk production
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Thank you for your attention!