amazon: the good, the bad, and the algorithm
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Amazon was recognized as a Top Stock Pick from I Know First's Top 20 Stock Picks.TRANSCRIPT
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Amazon: The Good,The Bad,And the
Algorithm
© I Know First 2014. All rights reserved.
www.iknowfirst.com
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Since AMZN missed Q4 earnings mainly due to weak revenue growth in the international market, most notably, international sales slowed to 13% in Q4 from 21% 4Q12 plus higher holiday shipping costs
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Has caused AMZN’s share price to have fallen around 10% YTD making now a buying opportunity for the worlds largest online retailer
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The Good
Net sales improved 22% to $74.5 billion year over year in 2013
In 4Q13, net sales augmented 20% to $25.59 billion, an increase from $21.27 billion in 4Q12
Over 20 million Amazon Prime members
Source: Google Finance
Amazon Growth in 2013
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Estimated Quarterly U.S. Retail E-Commerce Sales as a Percent of Total Quarterly Sales
Source: US Department of Commerce
E-commerce sales accounted for only 5.8% of total retail sales in 2013Plenty of room for growth in e-commerce
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Pushing Boundaries With Amazon Drones
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Amazon Drones
Delivery in 30 minutes
10 Mile Delivery Radius (16 Kilometers) from the strategically located fulfillment centers
Can hold products under five pounds (90% of all Amazons offerings)
"The FAA is actively working on rules and an approach for unmanned aerial vehicles that will prioritize public safety. Safety will be our
top priority, and our vehicles will be built with multiple redundancies and designed to
commercial aviation standards.”
- Statement From Amazon
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The Bad
After posting disappointing fourth-quarter results on January 30th, Amazon stated it was considering
raising the price of the Prime service by $20 to $40
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UBS Downgraded
AMZN To NeutralUBS commissioned a survey to see how a price hike would affect current customer sentiment.
94% of Amazon Prime customers were likely going to renew their subscription as is
A raise of $20 or $40 caused that percentage to drop to 58% and 24% respectively.
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We developed an advanced algorithm based on artificial intelligence and machine learning that also incorporates elements of artificial neural networks and genetic algorithms
Dr. Lipa Roitman, a scientist with over 20 years of experience, led our R&D team to develop and consistently enhance the algorithm
Our live portfolio from 2013 returned 60.66% in 12 months beating the S&P 500 by 31.27%
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A unique financial market forecasting algorithm that analyses, models and predicts over 1,400 markets for short and long term:
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Firms that can consistently recognize the most opportunities and overall trends has the key to the market
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I Know First Prediction
Learn how to read the forecast
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Signal – Predicted movement of the asset
Predictability Indicator – Historical correlation between the prediction and the actual market movement
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Read Our Full Analysis
Amazon: The Good, The Bad And The Algorithm
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